I now have a historical data from period 1st Jan 2017 to 1st Jan 2018 ( exactly one year data ).
My port did a 7.XX% ROI, close to 8% p.a. In my twelve months of tracking, only one month registered a loss, that is in Nov 2017.
Std-Dev is also around 7.XX% making my risk to reward ratio around 0.9
Skewness is mildly positive around 0.19 meaning the port has a slight tendency to gravitate towards positive return.
Relative Kurtosis is negative meaning the data points tend to gravitate towards the mean and not diversely spread out.
=====================
Action plan for Jan 2018:
Top up:
1) RM 500.00 into Manureits: This is my defender. A cross between a pure bond and balanced fund. She will provide me stable return and also good diversification.
2) RM 1,000.00 into KGF. I am bullish / above neutral on Malaysia exposure because: PRU-14 effect, expected good corporate earning in Q4Yr2017, KLCI is now the cheapest PER amongs ASEAN peer, oversold, Foreign fund inflow expected.
3) RM 500.00 into Eastspring Dinasti. Hang Seng index PER is still in the single digit region. Cheap... bargain sale!
4) I'll give a neutral call on the US now. I'll stop buying TA Tech because US has very high PER , but I won't sell yet because their economic numbers remain robust. Unemployment rate is low meaning the people there have jobs and when they have jobs, they have money to spend. Which will raise domestic consumption. Tax reform, meaning less tax = higher earning for the US Company. US PMI index is above 50, meaning the production is expanding which means manufacturer are producing more goods.
Kitty &
Ancient-XinG, the above are what my Lic FP shared with me during my tok-kok / yamcha / blow water session during New year eve.
Xuzen
P/S Let us Huat together - gether in 2018!
