paper gold will collapse one day lah.
for something that is virtual traded 50x more than physical. It will be gone soon.
if you have few kgs it normal to hedge it over several safe facilities or stored in CERTIS SG very safe.
there is some arrangement for millionaires in CERTIS to store off-source gold.
just like you take chances with paper gold some take chances on physical.
bank default is a big event affecting a lot of people. if it comes almost everybddy will kena.
theft, flood, fire is small event affecting few people thus it occur more often.
thus, statistic is not applicable for this scenario.
It 's just like saying/comparing how many people kill by accident vs Tsunami 2004 in Indonesia.
5-10 years is a long 2 time agree. Average insurance policy lasted 20-30 years, some protect up to 70 yrs old
Thus if you compare 5-10 years for insurance + presevation of wealth purchasing power then it's not long. it just short
in any financial planning, you should have some cash + insurance in hand any time. in case anything happen just used your cash.
I believe 20 years ago for average citizen, 1991 one may have 10K cash in hand for emergency, now maybe 20K in hand for emergency and
insurance policy protection up to 100K to 1 million.
the insurance can be in the form of gold, in 1991 you may get at USD400.oz x RM2.5 = RM1000 per oz.
if you keep 10 oz in 1991. then now it is RM50,000.
so it;s a form of insurance base on your saving.
thus, it an saving insurance. when you need $ just sell it.
whether paper gold can achieve that integrity and commitment for the next 10 - 30 years remain a big Question with lot of bank default in USA, europe, etc in recent years.
QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 16 2011, 12:22 AM)
Forgot that if hyperinflation, paper gold also gain? unless bank defaulted the paper gold, which is another story not related to hyperinflation.
But hyperinflation /= bank must default your paper gold.
I am not paranoid for Rm100k insurance.
If I have a few kgs, RM100k insurance is not enough for me.
If I have below 100k, 100k sum is small only.
5-10 years is long long time horizon?
Ya, it can, bang defaulted, paper gold gone.
So does, bang, flooding, fire, Tsunami, theft, physical gold gone.
Which has higher chance, theft flooding, fire or bank defaulted?
By simply flipping the newspaper everyday to look for those news, bank defaulted depositors money or theft, flood, fire etc?
I don't know the stat...
Fiat has solved the problem for 98 years as you pointed out, so it is enough for me, because I long long a dead man, I cannot live indefinite, so I don't need indefinite insurance.

Added on December 16, 2011, 8:41 amindeed fiat do solved our problem for 98 years but creating many2 more indirect problems which one wish not to encounter.
such as unaffordable housing in SG, Taiwan, HK and also malaysia.
in the process of solving your problem, the value of currency is diluted to 95% of its original value.
we are no difference than ROme and China back then when paper $ was issued.
when USA use gold as currency prior to 1913, there was no inflation for 200 years 1700s - 1913 with some exception during the civil war.
paper money also created War.
with unlimited ability to print $$$, government can go to War , e.g WW2.
the indirect;y steal the saving from public by massive printing press, to fund their political agenda war, social program U name it.
if all $ is limited by gold, the war will lasted less than 3 month after that no more $ to fund everything else.
WORLd peace.
QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 16 2011, 12:22 AM)
Forgot that if hyperinflation, paper gold also gain? unless bank defaulted the paper gold, which is another story not related to hyperinflation.
But hyperinflation /= bank must default your paper gold.
I am not paranoid for Rm100k insurance.
If I have a few kgs, RM100k insurance is not enough for me.
If I have below 100k, 100k sum is small only.
5-10 years is long long time horizon?
Ya, it can, bang defaulted, paper gold gone.
So does, bang, flooding, fire, Tsunami, theft, physical gold gone.
Which has higher chance, theft flooding, fire or bank defaulted?
By simply flipping the newspaper everyday to look for those news, bank defaulted depositors money or theft, flood, fire etc?
I don't know the stat...
Fiat has solved the problem for 98 years as you pointed out, so it is enough for me, because I long long a dead man, I cannot live indefinite, so I don't need indefinite insurance.

This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 16 2011, 08:41 AM