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 Gold investment corner v4, Will gold price achieve USD2000 by 2012?

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GoldChan
post Nov 17 2011, 08:40 AM

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paper gold is better and more efficient.
1. if you intend to trade, meaning to said, you will enter and exit the market (buy low, sell high) at various time (3-6 mths or less in between buy and sell).
2. you intend to have fiat money at the end of the day.
all these are true so long that COMEX gold did not default.

Physical gold is better if you intend to keep for long2 time (> 2 yrs) and other than thief or lost due to misplacement there is no other risk.


QUOTE(bigwolf @ Nov 16 2011, 02:50 PM)
aiyaaa i was doing a simple example only la  biggrin.gif  ok lah, don't say rm10 appreciation. assume you buy physical for rm200 & buyback is rm 170, while paper gold buy = rm170 & buyback = RM168

1 year from now, say spot price appreciates rm100. if you sell your physical at rm270 = untung rm70. if sell paper at rm268 = untung rm98. rm28 difference

if spot price appreciates rm200, sell physical at rm 370 = untung rm170. sell paper at rm368 = untung rm198. rm28 difference also.

ofc this is just a simple calculation, the real thing is a bit more complicated lah but i'm just highlighting basically there is not much difference in the pricing mechanism between paper gold & physical gold since you buy/sell paper with paper price and buy/sell physical with physical price (too bad we can't buy at paper price and sell at physical price  drool.gif )
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This post has been edited by GoldChan: Nov 17 2011, 08:42 AM
GoldChan
post Nov 17 2011, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 17 2011, 11:08 AM)
This risk (bolded) is quite big actually, 100% loss.  tongue.gif

Another risk of physical gold is the purity of the gold.
Yes, for reputable seller, not much an issue.
But for third party or unknown party, this risk is quite big as well.
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i think we belong to different school of thought.! biggrin.gif
Option 1: For the reason of fear, trust, convenience, leave the money in financial system : fiat, stock, equity:- it will get indirectly stolen by ruling class over time.

Option 2:- get the money out from ruling class control:- get stored value $ in precious metal and store it aside. I take my chance.

given to choice, I take the bolded risk. Opt 2. for the rest of you, it up to U 2 decide.

purity : buy small size 1 oz or less. Pay the premium, don;t be greed.
GoldChan
post Nov 23 2011, 06:04 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 23 2011, 05:37 PM)
Rm208 - 7% still Rm19x.
Still higher than RM17x.  whistling.gif

Lower return with bank?
If gold price surge Rm10, both paper, or physical gold sold by bank also up Rm10.
What is the different? No
How come you said it is lower return?

You get higher return because of lower spread in the first place.
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stock people will alway buy paper. They will treat paper as good as gold. at the end of the day they will cash out.
no point talking them out for physical.

GoldChan
post Nov 25 2011, 10:39 AM

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everything you said is true
until
1. COMEX default.
2. Paper gold fraud.
3. Hyper inflation comes to picture like prior to WW2 in Germany.

If these 3 item did not come true or one cash out b4 it come true then paper gold is save lah.

Those who invest in physical gold they treat it as insurance as they believe that one of these will come true and they don;t want to get
stuck with paper gold which not convertable to physical. by the time they cash up, price of physical will bom bom up like no body business.


QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 23 2011, 06:27 PM)
Then you need to see why want to buy gold in the first place.
Majority people want to buy gold so that they can gain money, want to have some inflation hedge etc.

All are about to gain money, so to gain money, the one has lower spread, lower risk is the one preferred.

Unless one really like the gold, want to see the yellow shining metal, want to own and hold the yellow metal, then yes, go for physical.

So you want to buy at Rm208 which the real value is RM17x (buyback), in the process to gain money?

Physical price is based on paper price, this is a fact.
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GoldChan
post Nov 27 2011, 08:35 AM

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invest in food. + land.. tongue.gif
QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 25 2011, 11:24 AM)
Yes, I fully aware the difference between physical and paper.  smile.gif

Because my personal view, if that does happen, small fry like me, will be worry about my life, and whether there is foods around for me to eat, and even I have physical in my hand, I fear, may be robbed, gold being stolen, society is chaotic situation already.
Whether gold bom bom up, doesn't matter for me already, because financial system shut down, bank shut down, society is chaotic, business shut down, life and security already in doubt, small fry like me still care about money?

I am an just a small fry, I cannot like others can escape and bring KGs of gold to run away.  smile.gif


Added on November 25, 2011, 11:35 am1. Unlikely, but if Comex default, it doesn't mean paper gold default, as paper gold is you with the bank.
2. Yes, it can happen if bank goes under, but chance is slim, most gov more willing to print money to bail out the bank, instead let it fails.
As the consequence of letting bank fail is too big to handle for gov.
3. Hyperinflation, if paper gold is not being defaulted, you still earn from paper gold.

Paper gold is with bank.
If one doesn't trust paper gold, one shouldn't trust the bank, so it is same with FD, saving put in the bank. Although FD/saving is guaranteed under PIDM while paper gold doesn't, bank run based on trust, so bank will not try to default the paper gold as same as FD/saving.
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GoldChan
post Dec 2 2011, 11:14 PM

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i read some where. It's a private deal lah.
4 more info PM me.

QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 30 2011, 08:30 PM)
Tell me that the S&P is going the same direction over the last 10 yaers by this chart
user posted image

You gave me a two year chart. If the S&P was going the direction as gold as YOU have indicated in your post, the
the chart should be pretty FLAT. How come S&P vs gold is DECREASING

If Warren did not value silver why in the world did he buy all of 130mil ozs of the stuff in the first place?   rolleyes.gif
Its not he didnt see value when he unloaded. He just unloaded TOO early.......silver went from $7 to $12 in the next 18 months and to $50 in the next 5 years.

i have been enjoying since 2002........not seen any change in fundamentals to see otherwise....... nod.gif
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Added on December 2, 2011, 11:19 pm
QUOTE(alex_quah @ Dec 1 2011, 10:47 PM)
It means you did not read previous post thoroughly. hmm.gif

I went to PBB checked already, the spreading is too much which is around RM7, but with the best benefit to trade gold online from 9am to 4pm business days. However, consider invest 100g@RM200, you losses RM1400 immediately. 
Compared to Sg, the spreading using UOB Sg is surprisingly as low as S$0.20 only. However, UOB Sg incurs charge which is 0.12g/month or 0.25%/year whichever is higher. If you are small kaki, then not worth to invest gold with this scheme, but if you are big kaki can easily buy >100g every time, pls consider come in Sg to invest gold instead of in Malaysia cause the spreading charge in Malaysia simply too high already. Looking at long term investment and if you stay in JB south peninsular, you may consider to do that. Somemore, dollar conversion to RM may get higher over the next 10 years.
Btw, I work in sg, and planning to buy some lately. These were my findings to share here.  wink.gif
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I think UOB MY can lower their gold trading to RM1 and RM.50 but i don;t know how other bank will react and how bank negara will policy it.

i see lot of people still on paper gold but one day those on paper will kena kau kau lah.
my policy is always physical.

This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 2 2011, 11:19 PM
GoldChan
post Dec 11 2011, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(bigwolf @ Dec 10 2011, 06:05 PM)
Bro, UOB was ranked as the world's 32nd safest bank in 2010 and 26th in 2011. Maybank & Public Bank are not even in the list.

http://www.gfmag.com/tools/best-banks/1134...l#axzz1g7geUU9r

I think I can safely say our Malaysian economy is already dead if we ever see UOB collapse laugh.gif
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not as simple as that, physical gold is still the best.
banker will know how to milk their customer. get physical and stop the milking process.
GoldChan
post Dec 12 2011, 10:14 PM

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1. from legal point of view, you need to look at the contract for gold saving a/c. in most if not all occasion, it is unavailable for common people lah.
2. it is clearly stated in the term and condition that there may be some losses if U invest in gold.
3. default scenario.

1. U buy for Bank XXX in malaysia.
Bank XXX hedge the paper gold with Trader YYY at COMEX.
Trader YYY at COMEX screw up, cannot deliver the paper gold to Bank XXX.
How does Bank XXX going to pay U? put the blame on Trader YYY.
so nothing to do with Bank XXX reputation etc, it all has to do with the contract signed between Bank XXX and trader YYY.


2. U buy for Bank XXX in malaysia.
Bank XXX hedge the paper gold with BAnk YYY at COMEX.
bank YYY at COMEX screw up, cannot deliver the paper gold to Bank XXX.
Bank YYY will continue to print $$$ to pay Bank XXX lah.

then, U may see this announcement in the future.
a) to prevent manipulation, market loss to exchange etcc... spread of paper has to be higher.


then come a day, due to current scenario, we have to stop trading on Monday. Price is USD3000/oz
settlement price will be based on Monday.
then they will background print more $$$ then pay U USD3000/oz. irregardless on when U redeem it.
then when U get the USD3000. price of physical on Tuesday is USD4000/oz then on Friday it USD6000/oz
but U still have USD3000/- 1/2 of your $ is robbed.

to prevent all this scenario, get the real physical then nobody can steal it from U lah.



QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 11 2011, 05:53 PM)
It is investment basic.

Whether they have that gold or not is not your concern, (bank normally won't stupid left it unhedged totally for GSC, even if they had no gold, they may buy gold derivative in the financial market or whatever investment option)
You concern is bank fulfill the obligation as an account.
Same like your FD, saving in the bank.

If you view the gold account is not safe, then FD/saving account also not safe (for above 250k due to PIDM).
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This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 12 2011, 10:29 PM
GoldChan
post Dec 13 2011, 02:54 PM

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1. I doubt bank will pay. I.e. DBS did not pay those who invested in Lehman brothers.

2. That day will come, U just wait lah.

2.
QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 13 2011, 12:56 PM)
1) Yes, this can occur, defaulted.
But, this scenario, mostly Bank will suck up the loss incurred. Gold deposit is just small portion of entire bank liabilities.
No bank want to default paper gold obligation that screw up the entire bank trust. Bank can exist and survive based on trust. No trust no bank.
It can cause "bank run".

2) This scenario will not affect the paper gold investor, more money printed, paper gold price shoot up further.
Forget that physical gold price is based on paper gold?
Gold quoted is based on or use gold futures as benchmark.
Physical gold exchange based on how much paper gold is.

Paper gold, yes, it has its risk associated with banks.

Yes, I can understand why some prefer physical,
but physical risk can be greater than paper gold for some or for some scenario/situation (especially in term of theft and fake/purity issue, as not all people know how to verify purity of gold, especially those buy a few ten up to hundred gram one).
Also majority people bought gold to earn money from it, spread can be the key.

Paper gold stop trading due to market loss to exchange, to prevent manipulation? Paper gold has been trading for decades long, want to stop manipulation, just simply increase margin for it, you see gold price plunge straight away, ain't we see last time when COMEX raise margin, straight away plunge a few ten USD.
When COMEX price plunge, so does physical valuation out there.  whistling.gif
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GoldChan
post Dec 14 2011, 10:59 AM

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1. When default, it is not about reputation anymore. It about legal issue and court order.
Bank are earning few % interest from depositor, thus every single cents count.
I don;t think they will just suck up the losses, they will let the court to decide.
Do U think the press will be on your side?

I seen some many court cases between banks in financial dispute. recently today 14 Dec 2011 the star, bank auction off a house w/o telling the owner.
In property auction, bank r the 1st to wash their hand. So unfair to the buyer.
So, U think bank will keep the reputation or it will end up in court to decide.

I.e. Highland tower tragedy, how long does it takes the bank to waive the payment for the victim in the highland tower.
Does all the bank did the same thing?

can you name me us some cases where the court case is in favours of consumer? Then how much legal $$ is spent to get those verdict.

Get physical then U don;t have to worry about this.


QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 13 2011, 12:56 PM)
1) Yes, this can occur, defaulted.
But, this scenario, mostly Bank will suck up the loss incurred. Gold deposit is just small portion of entire bank liabilities.
No bank want to default paper gold obligation that screw up the entire bank trust. Bank can exist and survive based on trust. No trust no bank.
It can cause "bank run".

2) This scenario will not affect the paper gold investor, more money printed, paper gold price shoot up further.
Forget that physical gold price is based on paper gold?
Gold quoted is based on or use gold futures as benchmark.
Physical gold exchange based on how much paper gold is.

Paper gold, yes, it has its risk associated with banks.

Yes, I can understand why some prefer physical,
but physical risk can be greater than paper gold for some or for some scenario/situation (especially in term of theft and fake/purity issue, as not all people know how to verify purity of gold, especially those buy a few ten up to hundred gram one).
Also majority people bought gold to earn money from it, spread can be the key.

Paper gold stop trading due to market loss to exchange, to prevent manipulation? Paper gold has been trading for decades long, want to stop manipulation, just simply increase margin for it, you see gold price plunge straight away, ain't we see last time when COMEX raise margin, straight away plunge a few ten USD.
When COMEX price plunge, so does physical valuation out there.  whistling.gif
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Added on December 14, 2011, 11:04 amas long as it's fiat, it 's still in the banker or Central bank control. You still play by their rules. They can impose lot of things and rules
a) Increase spread.
b) Impose tax on earning.
in the end U get less gold then you started with.

remember 1 oz of gold in 1913 is USD20. It has lost over 95% of its value today due to fiat.
paper Gold is traded 10 - 50x more than physical. All these are known numbers,
yet if someone still 1 2 get into fiat in form or paper gold, be my guest, for me it has been long physical.

QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 13 2011, 12:56 PM)
2) This scenario will not affect the paper gold investor, more money printed, paper gold price shoot up further.
Forget that physical gold price is based on paper gold?
Gold quoted is based on or use gold futures as benchmark.
Physical gold exchange based on how much paper gold is.

Paper gold, yes, it has its risk associated with banks.

Yes, I can understand why some prefer physical,
but physical risk can be greater than paper gold for some or for some scenario/situation (especially in term of theft and fake/purity issue, as not all people know how to verify purity of gold, especially those buy a few ten up to hundred gram one).
Also majority people bought gold to earn money from it, spread can be the key.

Paper gold stop trading due to market loss to exchange, to prevent manipulation? Paper gold has been trading for decades long, want to stop manipulation, just simply increase margin for it, you see gold price plunge straight away, ain't we see last time when COMEX raise margin, straight away plunge a few ten USD.
When COMEX price plunge, so does physical valuation out there.  whistling.gif
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This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 14 2011, 11:04 AM
GoldChan
post Dec 15 2011, 08:50 AM

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until someone get us the contract how paper gold is operated in local bank, we can;t really argue much about it.
all are just merely assumption.
Even if U put cash in bank PIDM only insure up to 250K per account let alone paper gold.
It 's clearly stated gold investment account can have losses in the pass book.
When that day comes, one can spend all the time arguing with bank, I just don;t have the energy and time 2 do so.

with regards to loss, even if U have a house the house can be flooded, tsunami, burn down riot etc. nothing is save from losses.
For gold currently keeping in safe deposit box facilities is quite safe lah.

when one do physical, one must cater for some losses lah. inventory checking is important,. ask a secuirty consultant lah on how to secure your stuff.


QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 14 2011, 03:27 PM)
Bank is not a nice guy, you owe them money, for sure they want their money back.
Who said bank is or must be nice?

But Gold account is account with them, bank owe you, not you owe them.
So this (you owe them money, but house collapse and you want bank to waive the loan) is irrelevant to be used as example to protect their reputation.

Reputation of bank is about they owe you money, they fulfill their obligation to pay back, like your FD account, saving etc.

Increase spread, impose tax etc, are hypothesis, nobody knows it will or will not happen. It is prejudice to accuse somebody impose on it.
Also if you own the paper gold and never sell, aka like holding the physical gold, you still not being taxed until one day you sell it. (even if there is capital gain imposed)

You just hit the nail on its head.
If 1913 there was paper gold account and bank still survive until now, you still earn the same through paper gold as same as gold. Both pricing is the same.
Fiat system exist so long, still not fail...  whistling.gif
So the be your guest from 1913 until 2011, still your good guest.  rclxms.gif
98 years, certainly I am dead man already.

In between if your safe deposit of gold bar loss, that store in house but collapse like Highland Tower, flood, disaster, gold totally loss...
But paper gold in the bank account still intact, despite flood, house collapse.

Don't get me wrong, I am not saying paper gold is better than physical, it has its drawback, aka trust with bank, but physical has fair amount of risk associated with it as well.
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GoldChan
post Dec 15 2011, 11:05 PM

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up to RM100K insurance per box for some operator of safe deposit.
some are 200K to 400K. pretty much it covers for majority people.

This kind of default, when it come it comes with surprise, immediately come and bang2 sapu everybody one.
people want definite guarantee insurance that why they buy physical gold.
it's a protection for hyper inflation.
its for long long time maybe 5-10 years horizon.

people who do not believe in definite insurance will treat gold as an investment thus they prefer paper lor.
which indirectly mean they don;t believe in hyperinflation and fiat can solve most of the problem.


QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 15 2011, 10:32 AM)
Err... not me raise the issue of saying bank can default, COMEX default issue, paper gold is not safe, paper gold is milking money etc.
Not me..  smile.gif
OK, no point talk further... just like previous discussion, let's wait.

If the gold is stored in house, and house destroyed due to flood, tsunami, your physical gold may gone together, this is what I mentioned, but paper gold in bank account, still intact despite house destroy, Tsunami, burn down etc.
I am not talking of house value losses due to disaster. I am talk physical gold loss due to disaster happened.
This is the advantage of paper gold over the physical.

LOL, ask a security constant how to secure my stuff?
I am small fry, I am not storing a few Kgs or ten Kgs or tons, security constantly?  laugh.gif
Like movie, open up giant security vault then require finger print with multiple coding?  laugh.gif

Security constant care about me?
Ask security constant how to secure a few ten or hundred gram of my physical gold?  laugh.gif
I don't want become a joker for them.  smile.gif

Bank safe deposit is not 100% safe as well, bank may not pay full compensation of your few kgs stored in bank safe deposit box.
We had case of safe deposit box being stolen as well.

Again, I can understand the reason why one wants physical, but paper gold got its usage/function, especially for small fry like me.  smile.gif
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GoldChan
post Dec 16 2011, 08:35 AM

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paper gold will collapse one day lah.
for something that is virtual traded 50x more than physical. It will be gone soon.

if you have few kgs it normal to hedge it over several safe facilities or stored in CERTIS SG very safe.
there is some arrangement for millionaires in CERTIS to store off-source gold.

just like you take chances with paper gold some take chances on physical.

bank default is a big event affecting a lot of people. if it comes almost everybddy will kena.
theft, flood, fire is small event affecting few people thus it occur more often.
thus, statistic is not applicable for this scenario.

It 's just like saying/comparing how many people kill by accident vs Tsunami 2004 in Indonesia.

5-10 years is a long 2 time agree. Average insurance policy lasted 20-30 years, some protect up to 70 yrs old
Thus if you compare 5-10 years for insurance + presevation of wealth purchasing power then it's not long. it just short

in any financial planning, you should have some cash + insurance in hand any time. in case anything happen just used your cash.
I believe 20 years ago for average citizen, 1991 one may have 10K cash in hand for emergency, now maybe 20K in hand for emergency and
insurance policy protection up to 100K to 1 million.

the insurance can be in the form of gold, in 1991 you may get at USD400.oz x RM2.5 = RM1000 per oz.
if you keep 10 oz in 1991. then now it is RM50,000.
so it;s a form of insurance base on your saving.

thus, it an saving insurance. when you need $ just sell it.
whether paper gold can achieve that integrity and commitment for the next 10 - 30 years remain a big Question with lot of bank default in USA, europe, etc in recent years.

QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 16 2011, 12:22 AM)
Forgot that if hyperinflation, paper gold also gain? unless bank defaulted the paper gold, which is another story not related to hyperinflation.
But hyperinflation /= bank must default your paper gold.

I am not paranoid for Rm100k insurance.
If I have a few kgs, RM100k insurance is not enough for me.
If I have below 100k, 100k sum is small only.

5-10 years is long long time horizon?  biggrin.gif

Ya, it can, bang defaulted, paper gold gone.
So does, bang, flooding, fire, Tsunami, theft, physical gold gone.

Which has higher chance, theft flooding, fire or bank defaulted?  rolleyes.gif
By simply flipping the newspaper everyday to look for those news, bank defaulted depositors money or theft, flood, fire etc?
I don't know the stat... whistling.gif

Fiat has solved the problem for 98 years as you pointed out, so it is enough for me, because I long long a dead man, I cannot live indefinite, so I don't need indefinite insurance.   tongue.gif
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Added on December 16, 2011, 8:41 amindeed fiat do solved our problem for 98 years but creating many2 more indirect problems which one wish not to encounter.
such as unaffordable housing in SG, Taiwan, HK and also malaysia.

in the process of solving your problem, the value of currency is diluted to 95% of its original value.
we are no difference than ROme and China back then when paper $ was issued.

when USA use gold as currency prior to 1913, there was no inflation for 200 years 1700s - 1913 with some exception during the civil war.

paper money also created War.
with unlimited ability to print $$$, government can go to War , e.g WW2.
the indirect;y steal the saving from public by massive printing press, to fund their political agenda war, social program U name it.

if all $ is limited by gold, the war will lasted less than 3 month after that no more $ to fund everything else.
WORLd peace.
rclxms.gif

QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 16 2011, 12:22 AM)
Forgot that if hyperinflation, paper gold also gain? unless bank defaulted the paper gold, which is another story not related to hyperinflation.
But hyperinflation /= bank must default your paper gold.

I am not paranoid for Rm100k insurance.
If I have a few kgs, RM100k insurance is not enough for me.
If I have below 100k, 100k sum is small only.

5-10 years is long long time horizon?  biggrin.gif

Ya, it can, bang defaulted, paper gold gone.
So does, bang, flooding, fire, Tsunami, theft, physical gold gone.

Which has higher chance, theft flooding, fire or bank defaulted?  rolleyes.gif
By simply flipping the newspaper everyday to look for those news, bank defaulted depositors money or theft, flood, fire etc?
I don't know the stat... whistling.gif

Fiat has solved the problem for 98 years as you pointed out, so it is enough for me, because I long long a dead man, I cannot live indefinite, so I don't need indefinite insurance.  tongue.gif
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This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 16 2011, 08:41 AM
GoldChan
post Dec 19 2011, 05:00 AM

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mfglobal is the recent one.
read the horror story ok.
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/trust...llion-mf-global

trustee seize (curi) all the stored customer gold. What about paper gold?
long time kena curi already lah.
but small fry no need to worry lah. rclxms.gif

in summary,
physical gold lost like died of accident . if you can avoid it, then U won;t die

paper gold lost like dying due to cancer. the doctor will tell U there is hope 4 U lah. your life is not lost etc.. and still charge you medication+consultation fee (storage fee). Guarantee died.






QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 16 2011, 11:04 AM)
Lot of bank default in USA/Europe?
Who? Where got?
May be except Lehman which is investment bank, not ordinary consumer/retail bank.

Those go under are not defaulting but under receivership or taken over by FDIC, or locally, BNM taking over those financial institution that having problem. It doesn't mean directly bank defaulting and customer saving/account with the bank gone.

No one can deny fiat money has been working for 98 years, or even more.
Value of currency drop?
I am not comparing cash vs gold, I am comparing paper vs physical, if paper gold is not collapse, and bank doesn't default, both are the same aka gain you the same amount of money, forgot physical all the while since gold futures exist, physical gold pricing is following paper gold. Not the other way round.

Don't need keep on stressing how good gold is, I am comparing paper gold vs physical gold, not cash vs gold.

If not because of fiat money, and money is limited by gold, we don't type and discuss gold here already.
Economy is hindered by limited amount of gold.
Ya, world surely more peace, no internet, no economy grow, everyone plant their own rice, better life-style. I also support.  rclxms.gif

See the difference of economy grow between 1700-1913 and 1974 to 2011, the chance is enormous due to fiat money system.

OK I wait another 98 years...  biggrin.gif
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This post has been edited by GoldChan: Dec 19 2011, 05:07 AM
GoldChan
post Dec 20 2011, 07:51 PM

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cherroy., where is your padawan / supporter of paper gold? rclxm9.gif

thanks cruzzie for helping me to convince this otai cherroy. thumbup.gif

QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 20 2011, 02:34 PM)
Ya, this scenario can happen, but it has been 98 years wait for fiat money system to collapse, I don't have another 98 years to wait.  tongue.gif

Paper gold is about money all the while, some paper gold account (some can), stated no conversion of physical allowed, but they will pay you equivalent to gold price in fiat money term.

But if the mentioned situation happen, economy will down to the drain, huge and severe recession, and deflation can occur, so no more inflation threat. Normalising back.

Gold price also plunge in deflation, economy recession. 
Gold price surge, because there is too much money chasing too little thing. It is same across asset class, not only gold.
Economy recession, deflation, money shrink.

See how gold price plunge when 2008 global financial crisis on its height time which resulted global economy recession.
It is only aftermath, thing stablise back, + QE then gold price surge again.

Economy just like YingYang one, if you go too far on one side, it becomes bubble and huge correction factor coming.
If everyone rush to convert fiat money resulted in bubble, economy can collapse one, same with inflation, if inflation too severe, it will collapse the economy as well.
By then correction factor coming in, recession, deflation, kill the price back.

Current economy cannot work with gold as medium of exchange.
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GoldChan
post Dec 24 2011, 05:12 AM

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whatever is it. Thank U lah for sharing my effort and idea.
For those we have convinced the next phase will be "Prisoner Dilemma"


QUOTE(cruzzie73 @ Dec 23 2011, 12:02 AM)
GoldChan, honesty speaking, i'm not sure if i'm interested in convincing cherroy to convert his paper gold into physical gold. I get no benefit out of doing that, and it's kinda tiring. You and I are here to try to create awareness about the need for converting fiat (or any paper assets including paper gold) into physical gold/silver, but it is up to the readers to try to understand, digest, and make an informed decision on how they want to protect their future. If the reader is not willing to even TRY to understand the message, we cannot do anything. What we write in a forum is our opinion generated from our own knowledge, experience, logic, and hopefully unbiased and honest thought, which anyone else has all the right to agree, ignore, or counter our opinion. The thing is, if what you and I think is coming really comes one day, those readers who are well prepared will have much higher chance to survive, those who are not will find themselves in desperate situation. And if what we think about does not come true, then we end up being wrong, causing us holding a bunch of heavy physical gold, well hidden in shoe boxes (no offense intended kakiayam, i'm smart enough to understand the shoe box), and worth millions of Dollars.

Personally I do not care if someone can prove my point wrong about keeping physical gold. In fact, I hope I am wrong. And I hope you and I are wrong about the coming events. But looking at how things go, it looks like the economic and social calamity is inevitable. And it looks like we may not have to wait for 40 years for that to happen, it may come next decade, or even next year. And it looks like keeping physical gold/silver is the best protection.


Added on December 23, 2011, 12:23 am

1. I buy to keep the value of my asset. I also trade to make some quick money. About buying to invest/price appreciation, try to look at it from another angle. 30 years ago, 100oz of gold could buy a house. Today, that same 100oz of gold can also approximately buy a house. Although we see gold price appreciate, it actually just kept its value against other physical items. Price increase is just an idea, it is actually the decrease in the value of paper money, which is what the bankers called "inflation".

2. Gold does not earn you interest. If someone asks you to put money in a certain gold investment product and get paid with interest, think harder. Or come back to the forum to ask if anybody can help you explain how that gold investment product works, and whether it is better than your own gold plan.
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GoldChan
post Dec 29 2011, 09:03 AM

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Joined: Apr 2009
QUOTE(livelifefull @ Dec 29 2011, 01:52 AM)
Latest is USD1563.1 as of (Dec 28 2011, Current New York Time: 12:51:28)

Drop drop drop  rclxub.gif
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price will go up after new year. I think cause 30 th Dec 2011 is comex last day for gold and silver delivery.
need to depress the price to prevent delivery. after that price may rise.

i could be wrong.
GoldChan
post Jan 14 2012, 01:51 PM

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Joined: Apr 2009
can u show us the real coin photo? thanks.

QUOTE(ricstc @ Jan 13 2012, 12:11 AM)
Hi
Can anyone here (who has the knowledge or experience) suggest to me what to do / if I can do in my case:
1. have 1oz Canadian Maple Gold Leaf Coins (these types)
user posted image
2. Bought this almost 20 years ago but are MINT (ie kept in dry box safe) hence pristine looking
3. Have lost the purchase receipt. Bought from Spore OUB

Question: How do I sell them for cash - not that I want to now - but how and where is my question.

Many thanks  notworthy.gif
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GoldChan
post Jan 16 2012, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(potenza10 @ Jan 14 2012, 02:27 PM)
There u go...goldchan is here to buy your coin
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show me the real coin then only i can comment lah.


Added on January 16, 2012, 8:07 pm
QUOTE(penanghomes @ Jan 15 2012, 08:35 PM)
hi...anyone here wanna sell their gold coin or bar...not more than 20gram...do pm me....penang island....thanks.
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well, do PM me. can spare you some 1/10 oz gold lunar for sales.
price will depends on when U lockin.


This post has been edited by GoldChan: Jan 16 2012, 08:07 PM
GoldChan
post Feb 1 2012, 11:14 AM

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Joined: Apr 2009
gold is very low margin business.
If one play with very little capital, then one can easily loses out to forex.
A few point changes in forex will wipe out all the profit you make.
Sometimes, for dealer who sell 1 kilo bar, the profit only RM500 - RM1K with the risk of RM170K
tough business.

QUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 31 2012, 11:20 AM)
Outside buy based on market price one.

For eg. now market price of gold is Rm170/g for today, nobody will sell you below RM170 today. Banks can sell you at Rm175, jewellery shop can sell at retails jewellery price at RM199.
Impossible to make instant abitrage the to make a profit.

But next day price go up Rm180 that lead one make profit, is another story already.

Selling is always market price + spread charging
Buying price is always market price - charging.

Those so called "scheme" that posted before, by shops offer sell high and buy higher than market price won't get away the basic pricing.

Sell at you at Rm199, but offer to buy back from you at Rm180 only applied if you bought from them at RM199.
If market price out there is RM170, outside only accept buy back no more than Rm170.

Can you buy from outside at Rm175 to sell to them at Rm180? Certainly no.   laugh.gif
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Added on February 1, 2012, 11:16 am
QUOTE(eugenetwh @ Feb 1 2012, 02:34 AM)
Im still studying in uni... actually. isit ok if i use my allowance to buy 1gm of paper gold every month from maybank... im looking for long term thingy... or do i need to monitor the market every now and then....

OR

isit better if i just throw all my extra allowance into the bank or get saving policy from prudential.  hmm.gif  hmm.gif

thanks notworthy.gif
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buy better food and books. Got spare $ go travel locally or regionally. forget about the saving as it won;t make much differences.now u got time, spend it on travelling lah.



This post has been edited by GoldChan: Feb 1 2012, 11:16 AM

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