QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 5 2017, 03:00 PM)
Did a some tweaking with Algozen ver four recently.
Here are some salient points:
1) She is now in favour of Greater China and I used eastspring dinasti as the proxy for greater china exposure. If you like CIMB Greater China pun boleh jugak. 10% max exposure.
2) India is still a
no - go. Zero exposure.
3) KGF versus IDS? Siapa menang? IDS menang @ max allocation = 15%
4) Reduce bond in favour of equities. What does this means? My personal interpretation is that you want higher return, you just have to take accept the risk... the days of easy return with little risk is not there anymore. Initially my bond was at 40%, now I am reducing to 30%. Where does the 10% go to? To the
reits.
5) I am increasing my exposure to Manureits. Why? I believe the Algozen ver four is telling me, reits is the new bond. Of course it is not as stable as bond, but remember this, she has to balance between stability and return. Hence reits is a good balance between the two. Manureits = will increase exposure to 25% from previously 15%.
6) TA Tech is still my alpha - maker. Was at 30%, now reduce to 20%. Where will the 10% go? It will go to Greater China.
7) Europe = still no buy signal!
8) Ponzi 1? Not under Algozen ver four radar. Risk to reward ratio does not reach threshold benchmark.
9) Ponzi 2? No corr-coeff data available from Morningstar. Missing data = unable to perform calculation, hence will omit this UTF from port consideration.
Xuzen
P/s to the newbies, the above is an extension to my previous crystal - ball reading. If you feel lost and blur - blur about it, it is normal. Ask specific questions and I will try my best to answer you with specific answers. Broad general questions, I try to avoid coz' wasting time.
Just for fun and to better understand why many forumers encountered losses recently, I simulated the Master Xuzen's Crystal ball (base on above post) performance using FSM portfolio simulator.
In above picture, portfolio #1 is mine, the portfolio #2 is Xuzen's. And, both of them is 30% FI and 70% EQ.
Obviously, the Master's Portfolio had been
flat for 3 months, but with low volatility. If includes the sales charge/ switching fee, it is a loss.
My portfolio is too concentrate on Asia Ex Japan, making its higher volatility.
This post has been edited by i1899: Dec 2 2017, 01:37 PM