QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:06 AM)
Ask ck15Is the bubble finally bursting? 2014, V2
Is the bubble finally bursting? 2014, V2
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Jan 18 2014, 07:33 AM
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All Stars
21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Jan 18 2014, 08:46 AM
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Senior Member
6,747 posts Joined: Sep 2010 |
QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:17 AM) Let's oso put tis pic here. Quite true, I know ppl who earn few k a mth but spending on branded stuffs like no tomolo. New watches new bags new shoes nice car modify car hair style etc etc. Oso seen some vely down to earth mega rich guys wearing singlet hair cut at barber no watch but phone watch, ethg they use or hav is just above average but not branded chaser. However, they live in vely huge bungalow, hav Ferrari kept at home (ppl say u r not rich driving an expensive car but u r when u hav spare cash to just keep it in ur garage), chauffeured driven, props everywhere, etc etc. Guess I mentioned b4 somewhere in the previous pinned thread tat the bro of my fren can't even remember where he bot. Once he asked his sister (oso his PA) to enquire for a land tat ended up sister told him tat he actually bot it yrs ago. Tis ppl r so rich tat they dun worry bout having expensive stuffs. However, his kids r driving cars tat under 100k. Tats the rule. He make sure his kids hav to work for it eventhou he is filthy rich. For sharing, he has more than 50 cars at home. Imagine how big is the house. And he is running a biz produce goods tat most ppl need. Indeed Western and Asian tycoon are different, One pretends like a King, One pretends like a layman on the street. One has many mistresses, one has many kids One spend a lot for themselves (& mistresses), one spend a lot for their kids One donates a lot, one donate peanuts One show off with luxury cars or lifestyle, one keeps buying properties to show off, a symbolic of wealth This post has been edited by UFO-ET: Jan 18 2014, 09:14 AM |
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Jan 18 2014, 10:07 AM
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1,864 posts Joined: Apr 2011 |
QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:17 AM) Let's oso put tis pic here. I know ppl who earn few k a mth but spending on branded stuffs like no tomolo. New watches new bags new shoes nice car modify car hair style etc etc. Oso seen some vely down to earth mega rich guys wearing singlet hair cut at barber no watch but phone watch, ethg they use or hav is just above average but not branded chaser. However, they live in vely huge bungalow, hav Ferrari kept at home (ppl say u r not rich driving an expensive car but u r when u hav spare cash to just keep it in ur garage), chauffeured driven, props everywhere, etc etc. Guess I mentioned b4 somewhere in the previous pinned thread tat the bro of my fren can't even remember where he bot. Once he asked his sister (oso his PA) to enquire for a land tat ended up sister told him tat he actually bot it yrs ago. Tis ppl r so rich tat they dun worry bout having expensive stuffs. However, his kids r driving cars tat under 100k. Tats the rule. He make sure his kids hav to work for it eventhou he is filthy rich. For sharing, he has more than 50 cars at home. Imagine how big is the house. And he is running a biz produce goods tat most ppl need. |
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Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM
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4,561 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penangites |
All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others.
Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks. So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments. Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation, depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living. We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion. All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years. A lot of big players already keeping cash |
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Jan 18 2014, 10:27 AM
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9,533 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 18 2014, 06:21 AM) If one can anticipate the sky will fall, at least can find a shelter. Another wave those times dealers and middle man.. GST cime definately want to increase price.. if I m one of the retailer.. I go straight to sole distributor to save money on GST. Business no good liaoBelieve these invisible hands took advantages of zero rpgt to minimize tax, legalized cash and caused initial wave of "price increased". Like retailers in stock and commodities market, most flippers entered the market while these invisible hands are exiting. |
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Jan 18 2014, 10:38 AM
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1,466 posts Joined: Jul 2010 |
deleted!
This post has been edited by CK15: Jan 18 2014, 10:41 AM |
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Jan 18 2014, 10:39 AM
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1,466 posts Joined: Jul 2010 |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:09 AM
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1,466 posts Joined: Jul 2010 |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:14 AM
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4,788 posts Joined: Feb 2011 |
QUOTE(AllnGap @ Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM) All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others. does BN have control over sg bank Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks. So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments. Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation, depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living. We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion. All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years. A lot of big players already keeping cash This post has been edited by twincharger07: Jan 18 2014, 11:17 AM |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:15 AM
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All Stars
13,761 posts Joined: Jun 2011 |
QUOTE(CK15 @ Jan 18 2014, 11:09 AM) http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_tradingThey dun keep stocks but instead buy sell all the time. Some fr retailers some fr fund managers. |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:16 AM
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493 posts Joined: Apr 2011 |
QUOTE(AllnGap @ Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM) All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others. if u looking at the past. it's challenge how ppl sustain loan payments. todate the loan payment had been revised. which borrower pays the same amount as per contractual agreement. however with increase in BLR or interest rate. their principle reduction is lesser. hence there is room for air. Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks. So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments. Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation, depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living. We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion. All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years. A lot of big players already keeping cash only differences you may not complete settlement as per contract. it will drag longer and bank see this policy by BNM as win win situation for them earn more money over your outstanding balances... This post has been edited by toh2020: Jan 18 2014, 11:19 AM |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:29 AM
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773 posts Joined: Dec 2013 |
I think many people here are wrong to assume that most will suffer if crash come. Actually only those who overcommit will feel the pain. For houseowners or long term investors, price up or down makes no difference. Will price come down, I believe so. Desperate speculators will pull down the price, just like they push up the price previously. What is the percentage of speculators and investors in the market now? From a few threads here, it is more than 50%.
Most taikors here, even if they dun believe there is a crash, they r not buying since last yr. |
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Jan 18 2014, 11:31 AM
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1,466 posts Joined: Jul 2010 |
QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 11:15 AM) http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_trading Thanks. Trying to link it to property "trading"... some silimarity but holding period is far longer..... and got lots of "hidden processes"... can bypas banking system and rpgt some more.... They dun keep stocks but instead buy sell all the time. Some fr retailers some fr fund managers. |
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Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM
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519 posts Joined: Jun 2011 |
QUOTE(gspirit01 @ Jan 18 2014, 11:29 AM) I think many people here are wrong to assume that most will suffer if crash come. Actually only those who overcommit will feel the pain. For houseowners or long term investors, price up or down makes no difference. Will price come down, I believe so. Desperate speculators will pull down the price, just like they push up the price previously. What is the percentage of speculators and investors in the market now? From a few threads here, it is more than 50%. Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted.Most taikors here, even if they dun believe there is a crash, they r not buying since last yr. Speculators/flippers - yes Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%) Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses? I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs. Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period |
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Jan 18 2014, 01:42 PM
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All Stars
21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Jan 18 2014, 01:43 PM
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3,274 posts Joined: May 2013 |
QUOTE(Fazab @ Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM) Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted. Mulut Celupar takpe jagan jangan Mulut Masin dah ...lolSpeculators/flippers - yes Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%) Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses? I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs. Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period BNM already says our country will not experienced another late 90's crisis mah.. but donno later is janji dicapati or not lah..but household debt 83.5% is a worrying figures. Think of this way if crisis come you have money then songlap all u can, if no money then kelabu asap loh..lol |
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Jan 18 2014, 01:56 PM
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773 posts Joined: Dec 2013 |
QUOTE(Fazab @ Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM) Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted. It takes only 25% of the mentioned 50% to bring down the whole market.Speculators/flippers - yes Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%) Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses? I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs. Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period |
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Jan 18 2014, 02:16 PM
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Junior Member
493 posts Joined: Apr 2011 |
QUOTE(jolokia @ Jan 18 2014, 01:43 PM) BNM already says our country will not experienced another late 90's crisis mah.. but donno later is janji dicapati or not lah..but household debt 83.5% is a worrying figures. we also had no clue when KWSP willl shutdown the EPF Acc 2 withdrawal for members. that for either home loan principle reduction or monthly payment. we know they kwsp already discontinue to skim beli komputer.Think of this way if crisis come you have money then songlap all u can, if no money then kelabu asap loh..lol but when there is serious need for MOF (kementrian kewangan). the reserves are thinning out. they will stop the scheme as i mentioned. because the terms are subject to changes. then the rest of all will............ u know i know. This post has been edited by toh2020: Jan 18 2014, 02:20 PM |
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Jan 18 2014, 02:29 PM
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592 posts Joined: May 2010 |
Yeah its a must to have a personal backup retirement funds to epf. The govt is not being led by intelligent people anymore.
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Jan 18 2014, 02:43 PM
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Junior Member
22 posts Joined: Oct 2013 |
QUOTE(CK15 @ Jan 17 2014, 11:23 PM) I'm either UUU nor DDD camp. Am not concern whether bubble burst in 2014 or not! Since no one has ctr ovr it, why waste time n energ to worry/guess sky will fall or not? (Btw, I enjoy reading responses frm various forumers!) Totally agree!!Is it the flipper forumers here caused the property up in local market? I don't think so, instead they r many invisible hands in the market frm all directions (locally n overseas) with tons of CA$H$ n easy access to decision maker$, who can easily fund the projects, or/and buy en-blocks. When so called bubble burst, they still profitable by selling u with 30% disc. Hard to believe! then do more research.... |
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