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 Is the bubble finally bursting? 2014, V2

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icemanfx
post Jan 18 2014, 07:33 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:06 AM)
Fact or guess??? Btw, v call those ppl swing traders la. icon_rolleyes.gif
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Ask ck15
SUSUFO-ET
post Jan 18 2014, 08:46 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:17 AM)
Let's oso put tis pic here.  brows.gif

I know ppl who earn few k a mth but spending on branded stuffs like no tomolo. New watches new bags new shoes nice car modify car hair style etc etc.

Oso seen some vely down to earth mega rich guys wearing singlet hair cut at barber no watch but phone watch, ethg they use or hav is just above average but not branded chaser. However, they live in vely huge bungalow, hav Ferrari kept at home (ppl say u r not rich driving an expensive car but u r when u hav spare cash to just keep it in ur garage), chauffeured driven, props everywhere, etc etc.

Guess I mentioned b4 somewhere in the previous pinned thread tat the bro of my fren can't even remember where he bot. Once he asked his sister (oso his PA) to enquire for a land tat ended up sister told him tat he actually bot it yrs ago. Tis ppl r so rich tat they dun worry bout having expensive stuffs. However, his kids r driving cars tat under 100k. Tats the rule. He make sure his kids hav to work for it eventhou he is filthy rich. For sharing, he has more than 50 cars at home. Imagine how big is the house. And he is running a biz produce goods tat most ppl need.  sweat.gif  thumbup.gif  bruce.gif
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Quite true,
Indeed Western and Asian tycoon are different,
One pretends like a King, One pretends like a layman on the street.
One has many mistresses, one has many kids
One spend a lot for themselves (& mistresses), one spend a lot for their kids
One donates a lot, one donate peanuts
One show off with luxury cars or lifestyle, one keeps buying properties to show off, a symbolic of wealth

This post has been edited by UFO-ET: Jan 18 2014, 09:14 AM
EddyLB
post Jan 18 2014, 10:07 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:17 AM)
Let's oso put tis pic here.  brows.gif

I know ppl who earn few k a mth but spending on branded stuffs like no tomolo. New watches new bags new shoes nice car modify car hair style etc etc.

Oso seen some vely down to earth mega rich guys wearing singlet hair cut at barber no watch but phone watch, ethg they use or hav is just above average but not branded chaser. However, they live in vely huge bungalow, hav Ferrari kept at home (ppl say u r not rich driving an expensive car but u r when u hav spare cash to just keep it in ur garage), chauffeured driven, props everywhere, etc etc.

Guess I mentioned b4 somewhere in the previous pinned thread tat the bro of my fren can't even remember where he bot. Once he asked his sister (oso his PA) to enquire for a land tat ended up sister told him tat he actually bot it yrs ago. Tis ppl r so rich tat they dun worry bout having expensive stuffs. However, his kids r driving cars tat under 100k. Tats the rule. He make sure his kids hav to work for it eventhou he is filthy rich. For sharing, he has more than 50 cars at home. Imagine how big is the house. And he is running a biz produce goods tat most ppl need.  sweat.gif  thumbup.gif  bruce.gif
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thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
SUSAllnGap
post Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM

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All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others.

Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks.

So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments.

Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation, depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living.

We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion.
All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years.

A lot of big players already keeping cash
bearbearwong
post Jan 18 2014, 10:27 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 18 2014, 06:21 AM)
If one can anticipate the sky will fall, at least can find a shelter.

Believe these invisible hands took advantages of zero rpgt to minimize tax, legalized cash and caused initial wave of "price increased". Like retailers in stock and commodities market, most flippers entered the market while these invisible hands are exiting.
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Another wave those times dealers and middle man.. GST cime definately want to increase price.. if I m one of the retailer.. I go straight to sole distributor to save money on GST. Business no good liao
CK15
post Jan 18 2014, 10:38 AM

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deleted!

This post has been edited by CK15: Jan 18 2014, 10:41 AM
CK15
post Jan 18 2014, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 18 2014, 07:33 AM)
Ask ck15
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Fact, if u choose to believe it!
Guess, if u choose NOT to believe it!
Every 1 aldy has ans in his/her mind, y care it's fact or guess! biggrin.gif

CK15
post Jan 18 2014, 11:09 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 07:06 AM)
Fact or guess??? Btw, v call those ppl swing traders la. icon_rolleyes.gif
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Boss, mind to share the definition of "swing traders"?

twincharger07
post Jan 18 2014, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(AllnGap @ Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM)
All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others.

Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks.

So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments.

Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation,  depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living.

We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion.
All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years.

A lot of big players already keeping cash
*
does BN have control over sg bank brows.gif

This post has been edited by twincharger07: Jan 18 2014, 11:17 AM
ManutdGiggs
post Jan 18 2014, 11:15 AM

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QUOTE(CK15 @ Jan 18 2014, 11:09 AM)
Boss, mind to share the definition of "swing traders"?
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http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_trading
They dun keep stocks but instead buy sell all the time. Some fr retailers some fr fund managers.
toh2020
post Jan 18 2014, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(AllnGap @ Jan 18 2014, 10:21 AM)
All these speculation is fueled by low interest loans coming from china, us, singapore n others.

Our blr rates are tagged together with us federal reserve central banks.

So if federal reserve taper n increase interest rates, I will see how many people can sustain loan payments.

Another factor is our last economy will be slowing down a lot due to these factors, inflation,  depreciation of ringgit, slow international markets, HIGH national debt and personal debts, rising cost of living.

We are heading for an economy crisis in my opinion.
All these growth comes from bank loan n u need to pay them. House price has doubled in less than 6 years.

A lot of big players already keeping cash
*
if u looking at the past. it's challenge how ppl sustain loan payments. todate the loan payment had been revised. which borrower pays the same amount as per contractual agreement. however with increase in BLR or interest rate. their principle reduction is lesser. hence there is room for air.

only differences you may not complete settlement as per contract. it will drag longer and bank see this policy by BNM as win win situation for them earn more money over your outstanding balances... whistling.gif

This post has been edited by toh2020: Jan 18 2014, 11:19 AM
gspirit01
post Jan 18 2014, 11:29 AM

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I think many people here are wrong to assume that most will suffer if crash come. Actually only those who overcommit will feel the pain. For houseowners or long term investors, price up or down makes no difference. Will price come down, I believe so. Desperate speculators will pull down the price, just like they push up the price previously. What is the percentage of speculators and investors in the market now? From a few threads here, it is more than 50%.
Most taikors here, even if they dun believe there is a crash, they r not buying since last yr.
CK15
post Jan 18 2014, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Jan 18 2014, 11:15 AM)
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_trading
They dun keep stocks but instead buy sell all the time. Some fr retailers some fr fund managers.
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Thanks. Trying to link it to property "trading"... some silimarity but holding period is far longer..... and got lots of "hidden processes"... can bypas banking system and rpgt some more.... biggrin.gif

Fazab
post Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM

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QUOTE(gspirit01 @ Jan 18 2014, 11:29 AM)
I think many people here are wrong to assume that most will suffer if crash come.  Actually only those who overcommit will feel the pain. For houseowners or long term investors, price up or down makes no difference.  Will price come down, I believe so. Desperate speculators will pull down the price, just like they push up the price previously. What is the percentage of speculators and investors in the market now? From a few threads here, it is more than 50%.
Most taikors here, even if they dun believe there is a crash, they r not buying since last yr.
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Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted.

Speculators/flippers - yes
Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%)
Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses?

I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs.

Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period
icemanfx
post Jan 18 2014, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(CK15 @ Jan 18 2014, 11:31 AM)
Thanks. Trying to link it to property "trading"... some silimarity but holding period is far longer..... and got lots of "hidden processes"... can bypas banking system and rpgt some more....  biggrin.gif
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Syndicates, like how they goreng stock market previously.

SUSjolokia
post Jan 18 2014, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(Fazab @ Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM)
Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted.

Speculators/flippers -  yes
Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%)
Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses?

I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs.

Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period
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Mulut Celupar takpe jagan jangan Mulut Masin dah ...lol

BNM already says our country will not experienced another late 90's crisis mah.. but donno later is janji dicapati or not lah..but household debt 83.5% is a worrying figures.

Think of this way if crisis come you have money then songlap all u can, if no money then kelabu asap loh..lol


gspirit01
post Jan 18 2014, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(Fazab @ Jan 18 2014, 01:06 PM)
Then the big question is - how many have overcommitted.

Speculators/flippers -  yes
Those who overborrowed ? (some banks give DSR of 80%)
Those who overborrowed based on projection of future earnings/ big bonuses?

I hate to mulut celupar, but I do remember the biggest pain in the 1997 crisis was watching friends who had to sell their houses because salary cut/ lost side income/ lost jobs.

Banks in general have been very lax in giving out loans during the 2000-2012 BBB period
*
It takes only 25% of the mentioned 50% to bring down the whole market.
toh2020
post Jan 18 2014, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Jan 18 2014, 01:43 PM)
BNM already says our country will not experienced another late 90's crisis mah.. but donno later is janji dicapati or not lah..but household debt 83.5% is a worrying figures.

Think of this way if crisis come you have money then songlap all u can, if no money then kelabu asap loh..lol
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we also had no clue when KWSP willl shutdown the EPF Acc 2 withdrawal for members. that for either home loan principle reduction or monthly payment. we know they kwsp already discontinue to skim beli komputer.

but when there is serious need for MOF (kementrian kewangan). the reserves are thinning out. they will stop the scheme as i mentioned. because the terms are subject to changes.

then the rest of all will............ u know i know.

This post has been edited by toh2020: Jan 18 2014, 02:20 PM
Wiredx
post Jan 18 2014, 02:29 PM

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Yeah its a must to have a personal backup retirement funds to epf. The govt is not being led by intelligent people anymore.
SchnauLover
post Jan 18 2014, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(CK15 @ Jan 17 2014, 11:23 PM)
I'm either UUU nor DDD camp. Am not concern whether bubble burst in 2014 or not! Since no one has ctr ovr it, why waste time n energ to worry/guess sky will fall or not? (Btw, I enjoy reading responses frm various forumers!)

Is it the flipper forumers here caused the property up in local market? I don't think so, instead they r many invisible hands in the market frm all directions (locally n overseas) with tons of CA$H$ n easy access to decision maker$, who can easily fund the projects, or/and buy en-blocks. When so called bubble burst, they still profitable by selling u with 30% disc. Hard to believe! then do more research....
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Totally agree!!

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