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 Is the bubble finally bursting? 2014, V2

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SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Feb 10 2014, 10:20 PM

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QUOTE(HuiChyr @ Feb 10 2014, 10:18 PM)
Is there echo in the building? ..... hmm.gif
The divide by 954 lor ...if that makes u happy. Only one seller .....  rclxms.gif
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Change ur name oredi laa. Other DDDs have already done that.
HuiChyr
post Feb 10 2014, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Feb 10 2014, 10:20 PM)
Change ur name oredi laa. Other DDDs have already done that.
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First u asked me to report u.
Now u ask me to change my name?

Why? U think abt doing that? Malu already ler ..... hahaha.... rclxms.gif
Minolta
post Feb 10 2014, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(HuiChyr @ Feb 10 2014, 10:18 PM)
Is there echo in the building? ..... hmm.gif
The divide by 954 lor ...if that makes u happy. Only one seller .....  rclxms.gif
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No, it's not about happy or not. Nor is about Amaya, which I am neither vested in nor interested in. But the essence is property bubble bursting due to supposedly large amount of flippers and your coming up with 1/3 of all postings are flippers.

Now if u say its 1 instead of 1/3, then you're saying that 100% of all postings are flippers? Wow. I guess on this forum, only a handful of people may actually believe and accept your crap. But it's good crap! Live long and prosper Bubble Bursting Thread!
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Feb 10 2014, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(HuiChyr @ Feb 10 2014, 10:22 PM)
First u asked me to report u.
Now u ask me to change my name?

Why? U think abt doing that? Malu already ler ..... hahaha.... rclxms.gif
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Alamaak...reverse psyhology la nii? Hahahahaha...man u really can join maharaja lawak.
Minolta
post Feb 10 2014, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Feb 10 2014, 10:19 PM)
He can't he is too dumb...hahahahaha...i am literally laughing right now.
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Now he change to 1 edi! Guess its really suka sama suka!
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Feb 10 2014, 10:30 PM

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To get ur pHD in maths or finance and want to prove a methodology u must have a basis for a constant number...why pi is 3.1428? Therea a story in it, u ingat suke suke ke nombor tu?
TScranx
post Feb 10 2014, 10:42 PM

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Guys play by the rules. Do not troll and Don't feed the trolls.

QUOTE(b00n @ Jan 28 2014, 03:01 PM)
doh.gif
Ultimately it always ends with egoism displayed by both side of the camp. eg. my d*ck is bigger than yours comparison. Yet many whom self professed "logical", "sensible", "smart", "knowledgeable" constantly ask why such topic is always closed accusing the moderator as being biased.

Seriously wondering whether keyboard warriors do really feel ashamed?!

Anyway, whether bubble will burst or not; or whether there are bubbles, no one is certain. Even economist are in 2 camps. So whom are we to say yes or no?!.... Oh I forgot, many claimed to be this and that, expert this expert that, experience this experience that. My bad!

My 2cents and take it as final warning which risk closure of such topic again.

Lay your points and debates with points. If got source, point sources.
There is not need to reply every posts with sarcasm or just to retort.
Once points are laid, everyone can judge for themselves.
There is no need to "dictate" which camp one should be in. Again, comes back to my initial point, everyone can make their own judgement!

So if this topic goes off with everyone showing how big their "d*ck" is once again, say good bye to this topic!

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gspirit01
post Feb 10 2014, 10:45 PM

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The overall price increase for 2013 was 11% to RM746 per sq. ft, and drop of 2.5% rental to RM3.56 per sq. ft, for KL high ends condo. Although I would like to see it fall, it is my honest nature not to tell lie.

However, I don't know the basis and sample for the data. The report do sound cautious overall for 2014.

QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Feb 10 2014, 08:45 PM)
If one quarter up 2% in price. .. then per annum is 8% on capital appreciation. ... excluding rental income somemore...
Hmm... quite a decent gain anyway... with rental income shud easily achieve more than 10%... not bad in this so called bubble scenario
..
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Wiredx
post Feb 10 2014, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(gspirit01 @ Feb 10 2014, 10:45 PM)
The overall price increase for 2013 was 11% to RM746 per sq. ft, and drop of 2.5% rental to RM3.56 per sq. ft, for KL high ends condo.  Although I would like to see it fall, it is my honest nature not to tell lie.

However, I don't know the basis and sample for the data.  The report do sound cautious overall for 2014.
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Price increase based on developer launch prices? Or subsale data? If based on dev this year will also see an increase imo
cybermaster98
post Feb 10 2014, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(cranx @ Feb 10 2014, 10:42 PM)
Guys play by the rules. Do not troll and Don't feed the trolls.
Kill the thread and lets start a PROPER thread. Long overdue. Told u that you cant start threads with polls and expect sensible discussions.
gspirit01
post Feb 10 2014, 11:02 PM

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Be my guest !

Like I said previously, I dun know the basis.

Attached File  DTZ_Property_Times_Kuala_Lumpur_Q4_2013.pdf ( 534.17k ) Number of downloads: 74

Wiredx
post Feb 10 2014, 11:15 PM

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QUOTE(gspirit01 @ Feb 10 2014, 11:02 PM)
Be my guest !

Like I said previously, I dun know the basis.

Attached File  DTZ_Property_Times_Kuala_Lumpur_Q4_2013.pdf ( 534.17k ) Number of downloads: 74

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Hmm it says thats for high end condos in KL. I dunno what was the sample pool.
bearbearwong
post Feb 10 2014, 11:19 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Feb 10 2014, 10:56 PM)
Kill the thread and lets start a PROPER thread. Long overdue. Told u that you cant start threads with polls and expect sensible discussions.
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way to go cyberaster lets goo. finally... please start first
ManutdGiggs
post Feb 10 2014, 11:21 PM

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Make it 2.5k posts by tomolo lo. Then can start new thread. Hurray. 2014 huat ar.
TScranx
post Feb 10 2014, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Feb 10 2014, 10:56 PM)
Kill the thread and lets start a PROPER thread. Long overdue. Told u that you cant start threads with polls and expect sensible discussions.
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Not really. We just need to stop talking about Amaya and move on to the discussion on property price bubble.
I will close this topic when it reaches 2500 posts.
bearbearwong
post Feb 10 2014, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Feb 10 2014, 11:19 PM)
way to go cyberaster lets goo. finally... please start first
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lets talk property... cybermaster next thread.. we go a step deeper.. lets identify the areas that will be possible affected.. with weekly report o the said property (hoping only KV area) to show a real downtrend in property..

it been a while we been talking about the theory...into action.

start with high rise in KL lets skip the problematic high rise..
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Feb 10 2014, 11:28 PM

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QUOTE(cranx @ Feb 10 2014, 11:21 PM)
Not really. We just need to stop talking about Amaya and move on to the discussion on property price bubble.
I will close this topic when it reaches 2500 posts.
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Well when people talk lies about me i will defend myself. Just clarifying that.
bearbearwong
post Feb 10 2014, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Feb 10 2014, 10:14 PM)
I tried your long winded post but I am afraid you are the one beating around the bush and tryin to defend crap with more crap of yours. In essence, you are the guy that's providing ammo for all sensible forumers to trash at and keeping this thread alive! Hurray, if not for you, this forum will be quite voting already. Please continue ya:)
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this was a property bubble thread and still is property bubble thread why not... hmm d administrator has spoken have to carefully curtail our comments and avoid in conflicts with forumers...
icemanfx
post Feb 10 2014, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(KChan @ Feb 10 2014, 05:29 PM)
Ok. I know of this case. Let's see the scenarios yeah.

"Investor A" assuming staying with parents so no need spend $$$ on his/her own housing. His/Her salary is gross RM 6,000 which after deduction shall be around (RM 6000-348.35-14.75-660=) RM 4976.90

He/She bought a property say in 2010 for RM 450,000. Mortgage repayment is RM 1941.85 (Base on 90% loan, 35 years tenure, 4.6% interest).

So now, the his/her Debt Service Ratio (DSR) is 1941.85/4976.90*100=39%

Then he/she rents it out at RM 1,500 (4% yield).

That would be negative cashflow of RM 441.85 per month. Ok la. No big deal.

--------------------

Now he/she use the tenancy agreement of RM 1500 as income documents to bank. So basically his/her nett income is now RM 4976.90+1500= 6476.90

Based on RM 6476.90, and assume DSR is at 70%, he/she is eligible to take a loan with monthly instalment of (6476.90 x 70%)-1941.85= RM 2591.98 which the loan amount comes to RM 540,594

So now with a new property, his/her monthly instalment will be RM 4533.83 for 2 properties.

--------------------

Imagine this particular person with nett salary income of RM 4976.90 have a repayment of RM 4533.83 which left RM 443.07 monthly if the rental income suddenly stop coming in. Just think and see if this person can survive any probability of interest rate hike, vacant unit without tenant or market slightly crash?

There are people like this out there.

And I have not even talk about how genuine is their tenancy agreement (there are chances some of them using fake agreement or inflated rental price). Also imagine those people who leverage on multiple more tenancy agreement to max out their capability. I'm not saying there is a lot of people like this, but I'm very aware that there is a lot people using their tenancy agreement to take higher loan amount.
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Before bnm clamp down, believe similar scenario was fairly rampant among flippers.

This is how many flippers plan to retire in 3 years time. If this is not subprime, what is?


This post has been edited by icemanfx: Feb 11 2014, 12:04 AM
bearbearwong
post Feb 10 2014, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 10 2014, 11:30 PM)
Before bnm clamp down, believe similar scenario was fairly rampant among flippers.
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they are still promoting this theory heavily despite the the climate is more to house cleaning flippers rather BBB mode.. now those stuck are taking the "blow" on d face...


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