Hello CI 1800
STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V134, CI step into 1800, are you happy?
STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V134, CI step into 1800, are you happy?
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Jul 23 2013, 07:15 PM, updated 13y ago
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#1
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
Hello CI 1800 |
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Jul 23 2013, 07:22 PM
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#2
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Senior Member
3,019 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
so fast v134.....
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Jul 23 2013, 07:35 PM
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#3
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Senior Member
1,411 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
LOL!! number three this time
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Jul 23 2013, 07:58 PM
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#4
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Senior Member
1,059 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
me no.4
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Jul 23 2013, 08:00 PM
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#5
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Senior Member
2,677 posts Joined: Dec 2010 |
Checking in
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Jul 23 2013, 08:01 PM
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#6
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Senior Member
4,470 posts Joined: Sep 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
phew phewwww
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Jul 23 2013, 08:09 PM
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#7
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7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
Check me in
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Jul 23 2013, 08:10 PM
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#8
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Senior Member
2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
Check-in #8. Huat AH!
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Jul 23 2013, 08:11 PM
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#9
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Senior Member
4,715 posts Joined: Jan 2011 |
apa ini???
Notice: Service Interruption Please note that OSK188 will not be available for online trading today owing to technical issues. Do check your order status for all orders that were placed earlier in the morning before the system outage. Meanwhile, please contact your Dealer/Remisier for immediate assistance. We apologise for any inconvenience caused. |
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Jul 23 2013, 08:16 PM
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Senior Member
1,411 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
i got really pissed off by cimbclicks
the site is darnnnnn slow anyone facing the same problem? |
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Jul 23 2013, 08:45 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
1800, are you happy?
i more happy can check in #11. I like number. |
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Jul 23 2013, 08:47 PM
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Senior Member
4,342 posts Joined: Apr 2010 From: The place that i call home :p |
sap yee ...... yee hah .....
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Jul 23 2013, 08:57 PM
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All Stars
17,864 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
check in.
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Jul 23 2013, 09:06 PM
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934 posts Joined: Sep 2005 |
check in!
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Jul 23 2013, 09:08 PM
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Senior Member
852 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
OnG, Property, Finance counters!
Bull run! |
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Jul 23 2013, 09:30 PM
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Senior Member
6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
QUOTE TPP News US-led trade talks gain complexity as Japan joins KUALA LUMPUR, July 23 (Reuters) - Japan joined U.S.-led trade talks on Tuesday, adding its weight to a pact that covers two-fifths of the world economy but raising further doubt over whether negotiators can prise open sensitive sectors such as farm goods and statelinked firms. Tokyo's entry, which takes to 12 the number of countries in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), is a key plank of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's plans to shake up Japan's economy and return it to growth after years of stagnation. His "Abenomics" agenda won a further mandate on Sunday when his coalition won a strong majority in a parliamentary election. A major goal of U.S. President Barack Obama's administration, the TPP aims to tear down barriers in areas such as government procurement and set standards for workers' rights, environmental protection and intellectual property rights. But it faces tough resistance in several countries, including communist Vietnam and Malaysia, where state-linked enterprises and selective handouts of government contracts are entrenched and politically sensitive. Japan's entry adds another layer of complexity. "They'll come up with some agreement, but whether it will be as deep as they want it to be is another question," said Jayant Menon, a senior economist at the Asian Development Bank. "Malaysia and Vietnam will never agree to the rules they want on state-owned enterprises." http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-ne...apan-joins.html This post has been edited by ham_revilo: Jul 23 2013, 09:31 PM |
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Jul 23 2013, 10:19 PM
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Senior Member
7,960 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
silent reader check in..
and Good News to M2U Stocks for iPad users!!!! check out the latest update... now can view research reports, ta charts, news, and good till date orders.. https://itunes.apple.com/qa/app/m2u-stocks-...d491273619?mt=8 |
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Jul 23 2013, 10:36 PM
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Senior Member
650 posts Joined: Oct 2009 From: Formerly Perak, now KL |
#18 good number!
Btw before I go mandi, just wanna say this guy Isaac Chin is one of my investment heroes .... http://www.nextinsight.net/index.php/story...451-isaac-chin- This post has been edited by Veda: Jul 23 2013, 11:01 PM |
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Jul 24 2013, 12:37 AM
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Senior Member
1,602 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: Malaysia |
maybank wa, mbsb, and redtone to watch tomorrow
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Jul 24 2013, 01:11 AM
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46 posts Joined: Dec 2009 |
silent reader here, check in..
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Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later?
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Jul 24 2013, 01:31 AM
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2,677 posts Joined: Dec 2010 |
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Jul 24 2013, 08:13 AM
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375 posts Joined: Mar 2012 |
check in
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Jul 24 2013, 08:14 AM
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Junior Member
375 posts Joined: Mar 2012 |
index record high
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Jul 24 2013, 08:25 AM
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Senior Member
2,455 posts Joined: Aug 2008 From: Malaysia |
any thoughts on REITs?
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Jul 24 2013, 08:26 AM
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2,649 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
What do you guys think about TDM??
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Jul 24 2013, 08:48 AM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
the price should be 0.775-0.800 big player in game |
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Jul 24 2013, 08:58 AM
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374 posts Joined: Mar 2005 From: Sarawak |
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Jul 24 2013, 08:59 AM
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629 posts Joined: Dec 2007 |
TDM looking for another run today?
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Jul 24 2013, 09:11 AM
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3,019 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:12 AM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:16 AM
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3,019 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:20 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:22 AM
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Silent reader check in
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Jul 24 2013, 09:31 AM
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Senior Member
1,633 posts Joined: Jan 2007 |
sap fatt sap fatt ah!!!
1810 now...8 more points to go to the magic number ^^ |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:47 AM
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852 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:50 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:52 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:53 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:56 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM
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15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Babablacksheep @ Jul 24 2013, 09:47 AM) ?This is IGBReit chart since listing. ![]() Is the chart going up? No. Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes Is there any IMMEDIATE indication when the stock will stop falling? No Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting? What is the indicative yield at current price? This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM) Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later? As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM) ? Morning Boon3,This is IGBReit chart since listing. ![]() Is the chart going up? No. Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes Is there any IMMEDIATE indication where the stock will stock falling? No Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting? What is the indicative yield at current price? here the yield. Attached thumbnail(s) |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:03 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM) As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. If one is not lazy, one can use Uncle Google to check on past Greenshoe options performances.This one is the first one http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/commentary/...hoe-option.html |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM) As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. Hi gark,I thought the stabilizing mechanism using own IB $$$, not the $$$ from the IPO listing company? |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:03 AM) If one is not lazy, one can use Uncle Google to check on past Greenshoe options performances. If any IPO requires stabilizing manager on the first day itself already means it is overpriced and is going to fall sooner or later. Anyway I don't subscribe to IPO, most of it overpriced.This one is the first one http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/commentary/...hoe-option.html This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM
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15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM
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15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM) I see.However, prospectus numbers and promises is one thing. Company performing and actually doing what they promise is another thing. So far from Bursa website: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ll&company=5227 IGBReit has only announced ONE dividend payment in Jan 2013 and paid in Feb 2013. DPU was only 1.83 sen. It's now July 2013. I believe that no other dividend has been announced. Could this be another reason why this REIT is sliding and there's a chance that it could even go below its IPO price of 125? |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:20 AM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:22 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:27 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:32 AM
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20 posts Joined: Aug 2009 |
check in....
YEAH!!! CI more than 1800.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM
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Senior Member
1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
ooo Redtone got show again
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Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:42 AM
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4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
check in with Gadang !
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Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 10:22 AM) Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB.....Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment . Indo bank Share price kinda like rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought ..... Some more need to sell down some share portion in order to keep listed in INdonesia...... Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 24 2013, 10:45 AM |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:46 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:47 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM) Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB..... Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment . Indo Share price kinda like rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought ..... Some more need to sell down some share portion in order to keep listed. Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only. they posted a good quarterly report yesterday |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:49 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 09:53 AM) my curiosity until what extend the MGS interest rate will hike to what level, the reits will continue depress Bonds are in sliding mode across since the word "tapering" surface.I wonder how retail can purchase MGS to joy the ride? It is price of bonds go down, that sending yield higher. You don't "enjoy" your bond, when bond yield rising. |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:54 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:57 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:58 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 10:59 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:01 AM
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4,342 posts Joined: Apr 2010 From: The place that i call home :p |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM) Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB..... This maybank always got scandal one..... Now tony pua asking for the BII shares sold at what price and to whom? Dun know they bother to answer his question or not....... Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment . Indo bank Share price kinda like rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought ..... Some more need to sell down some share portion in order to keep listed in INdonesia...... Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only. |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:02 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:06 AM
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4,342 posts Joined: Apr 2010 From: The place that i call home :p |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:07 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:13 AM
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14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:14 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:17 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:19 AM
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14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:23 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:30 AM
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Jul 24 2013, 11:31 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:54 AM) I do not see it rise too far.Just normalise back what it should be. I do not see how quality bond yield can above 4-5% when there is no central banks around the world is hiking interest, nor concern about inflation. |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:36 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 24 2013, 11:31 AM) I do not see it rise too far. " Quality Bonds" , not sure which ones u refer to but ( a bit long winded ) :-Just normalise back what it should be. I do not see how quality bond yield can above 4-5% when there is no central banks around the world is hiking interest, nor concern about inflation. (July 23): Borrowing costs for Malaysia’s Syarikat Prasarana Negara Bhd. look set to rise for its planned sukuk as a government guarantee and a drought in new issuance fail to shield the company from a global increase in yields. The state-owned public transport operator plans to sell 1 billion ringgit ($315 million) of debt due in 10 to 15 years in August, which Asian Islamic Investment Management Bhd. predicts will have to offer a 50 basis-point premium over non-Shariah- compliant sovereign notes. Ten-year government bonds pay 3.82 percent, indicating Prasarana’s new securities may yield more than the 3.77 percent it paid for that maturity in August 2012. The world’s biggest sukuk market is experiencing its worst year for sales since 2010, with nothing apart from Prasarana’s offering confirmed in the pipeline from local-currency issuers. Average yields on global corporate Islamic securities increased 27 basis points since the end of May to 4.18 percent amid concern an end to U.S. monetary stimulus will spur outflows from Asia, an index compiled by HSBC Holdings Plc shows. “Even though the corporate debt market is pretty dry, investors won’t chase paper like before,” Fariza Taib, a fixed- income manager overseeing 1 billion ringgit at Kuala Lumpur- based Asian Islamic Investment, said in a July 18 interview. “Still, demand will be there from insurers and pension funds that need to manage assets and liabilities.” Malaysia’s offerings of Islamic bonds, which pay returns on assets to comply with the Koran’s ban on interest, dropped 65 percent to 19.9 billion ringgit this year, after reaching a record 95.8 billion ringgit in 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Issuance from the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council, which includes Saudi Arabia, fell 38 percent to $10.8 billion. Rising Guarantees Prasarana intends to raise 4 billion ringgit this year from sukuk to extend an overhead light railway in and around Kuala Lumpur, with a further 1 billion ringgit planned in September and 2 billion ringgit toward year-end, Mohd. Zahir Zahur Hussain, the group finance director, said in a July 17 interview. The risk of the Federal Reserve cutting bond purchases will have a limited impact on Prasarana’s borrowing costs due to the level of local demand and state backing, Mohd. Zahir said. Prime Minister Najib Razak’s administration is offering government guarantees for debt issuers looking to fund projects under Malaysia’s $444 billion development program to build railways, roads and power plants over the next 10 years. Such securities totaled 147.8 billion ringgit, or 69.4 percent of gross domestic product, as of March, Chua Hak Bin, an economist in Singapore at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said in an interview yesterday. That’s up from 68.5 percent and 64.8 percent at the end of 2012 and 2011, he said. ‘Red Flag’ At current trajectories, quasi-public debt, which includes government-guaranteed notes, will reach 72 percent by year-end and may test 80 percent in about two years, a level typically regarded as a “red flag,” Chua said. “The rise in government-guaranteed debt isn’t a major concern as the funds raised are used for infrastructure development, which will spur growth in the economy,” Michael Chang, who oversees $1 billion as head of bonds at MCIS Zurich Insurance Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur, said in an interview yesterday. “We would probably buy the Prasarana sukuk as we still need to extend duration.” Prasarana priced 15-year Islamic bonds at 4 percent at the previous sale in 2012. The yield has since climbed 30 basis points, or 0.3 percentage point, to 4.3 percent, the latest prices from Bursa Malaysia show. The rate on similar-maturity 5.248 percent government notes that don’t comply with religious tenets rose 27 basis points this year to 4.06 percent, the highest since March 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Corporate Gains The Bloomberg-AIBIM Bursa Malaysia Corporate Index, which tracks 57 local-currency Shariah-compliant bonds, climbed 2.2 percent in 2013 to 104.56. Borrowing costs on the nation’s top- rated 15-year non-Islamic notes remained stable in July, rising three basis points to 4.55 percent, a central bank gauge shows. Global sukuk, including company debt and sovereigns, posted a loss of 0.3 percent this year, according to the HSBC/Nasdaq Dubai US Dollar Sukuk index, while JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI Global Index shows bonds in emerging markets lost 5.9 percent. The premium investors demand to hold Shariah notes sold internationally over the London interbank offered rate narrowed 34 basis points to 183 basis points in July, after widening 38 points in June, the biggest increase since November 2011. No Hindrance Corporate sukuk in the Southeast Asian nation benefits from a higher degree of scarcity than for government debt, Nor Hanifah Hashim, fixed income head at Franklin Templeton Investments Malaysia, said in a July 5 e-mail. Prasarana’s Mohd. Zahir said the company will proceed with its planned bond sale even if the Fed starts tapering its asset purchases. The company, which has total debt of 9.9 billion ringgit outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, sold 2 billion ringgit of sukuk in August 2012, receiving 3.6 billion ringgit in orders. “In general, we prefer shorter-dated paper because yields have gone up,” Mohd Noor Hj A Rahman, chief executive officer at OSK-UOB Islamic Fund Management Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur, said in a July 19 interview. “We would only buy Prasarana sukuk if yields are attractive.” This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 24 2013, 11:41 AM |
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Jul 24 2013, 12:27 PM
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Senior Member
3,109 posts Joined: Aug 2007 From: Malaysia > Singapore |
Not bad INARI & REDTONE!
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Jul 24 2013, 12:39 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 01:03 PM
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896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
Check in...88 = huat huat...
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Jul 24 2013, 01:32 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 01:39 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Bonds : Death of an asset class.
Link here... A very technical but good analysis for bonds returns for the next 7 years, which is expected to perform below cash. This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 01:40 PM |
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Jul 24 2013, 01:46 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 01:51 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 01:55 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 02:00 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 02:03 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 24 2013, 02:03 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 02:06 PM
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1,411 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
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Jul 24 2013, 02:12 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 03:11 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Investors raised their longer-dated U.S. Treasuries holdings in the latest week after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sought to reduce worries about rising interest rates, according to a survey released on Tuesday.
He added the Fed will likely hold short-term rates near zero for a long time even after it stops buying Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. J.P. Morgan surveys 40 to 60 of its Treasuries clients weekly, of which 60 percent are fund managers, 25 percent are speculative accounts and 15 percent are central banks and sovereign wealth funds. It asks 10 to 20 of its active clients each week about their Treasuries holdings, of which 70 percent are speculative accounts and the rest are money managers. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/investors-ad...A3BtaA--;_ylv=3 |
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Jul 24 2013, 03:20 PM
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934 posts Joined: Sep 2005 |
tdm very powderful...
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Jul 24 2013, 03:23 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
Redtone manyak ong
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Jul 24 2013, 03:36 PM
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852 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
Wow. Ranhill Petronas license got revoked!
Extremely bad news for an IPO listing soon. |
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Jul 24 2013, 03:37 PM
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2,178 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: The Pearl of the Orient - MY |
Meet Mr. Money Mustache. Hundreds of thousands of readers follow his bold advice on his self-titled blog — and for good reason. He has cracked the retirement code while many of us were struggling with student loans. At 23 years old he began working and saving…and saving some more. By age 30, he’d amassed some $800,000 in cash and investments, and then entered early retirement.
How I Retired at 30 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:18 PM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:19 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:21 PM
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3,109 posts Joined: Aug 2007 From: Malaysia > Singapore |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:22 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:22 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Why people has no problem to trade healthcare sector at PE so high? It's like 50x is very much acceptable. Are they growing that fast? Really? And yield is not so attractive either. I don't see fast growing on KPJ, even IHH. Now Tropicana Medical Center. Not saying they are bad business, in fact they are very good business. But can they grow that much in next 3 years? Or the market is valuating their 10 years later scale?
http://nexttrade.blogspot.com/2013/07/tmcl...hcare-play.html |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:25 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:26 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I just wanna say REITs are selling like hot cakes....then realize is it correct to say that for REIT's case?
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Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:25 PM) I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce............. after announce it will go downward on 3rd day if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement This post has been edited by StupidGuyPlayComp: Jul 24 2013, 04:28 PM |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:31 PM
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Senior Member
3,109 posts Joined: Aug 2007 From: Malaysia > Singapore |
Rm 1
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Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM) I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce............. after announce it will go downward on 3rd day if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:41 PM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM) Why have a preset targets? Yes. Listen to the stock. Sometimes the stock can go much higher than the TP but there also many times it falls way short of TPs. Me? I always prefer to listen. Good profits eh? Depending on sentiment at that time, see how it goes actually, but the plan is 95 cents. On the other hand, JCY |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:44 PM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
thanks for sharing your observation.
and gratz on your profit QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM) I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce............. after announce it will go downward on 3rd day if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:51 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM) Yes. On the other hand, the observation that redtone consolidates after its quarterly earnings the past few quarterly earnings is spot on.Depending on sentiment at that time, see how it goes actually, but the plan is 95 cents. On the other hand, JCY I do know this a fact ... since when redtone was below 40 sen. JCY on the other hand is actually looking good. It's just digesting its recent gains. No stocks go straight up, its usually 2 steps forward 1 step backward. (ps: me not on this one cos I don't understand its fundamentals. |
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Jul 24 2013, 04:59 PM
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852 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM) ? IMO, price looks attractive = cheap buy compare to history price.This is IGBReit chart since listing. ![]() Is the chart going up? No. Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes Is there any IMMEDIATE indication when the stock will stop falling? No Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting? What is the indicative yield at current price? Since REIT is long term structure |
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Jul 24 2013, 05:00 PM
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Senior Member
7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
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Jul 24 2013, 05:04 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Babablacksheep @ Jul 24 2013, 04:59 PM) Compare to history price, the price is now much lower.Is it good just cos it's lower? How much dpu has this reit actually paid thid year? 1.83 Sen. It's now almost end July. Why so little so far? When will the next divi be paid? How much? |
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Jul 24 2013, 05:18 PM
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896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 05:04 PM) Compare to history price, the price is now much lower. IPO is in 3 quarter last year so DPU declared was 1.83 (i assume is only 1 quarter profit)Is it good just cos it's lower? How much dpu has this reit actually paid thid year? 1.83 Sen. It's now almost end July. Why so little so far? When will the next divi be paid? How much? If dividend is declare half yearly, then we will expect another one soon.. How much is a question but should expect abt 3.5sen? This post has been edited by Madbull: Jul 24 2013, 05:19 PM |
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Jul 24 2013, 05:49 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
IGBReit should pay about 7 sen for entire year.
No acquisition in pipeline, so can only consider organic growth. The organic growth is to further utilize Midvalley space, ie. the top cinema floor, they are building 2nd floors on top of some shops. And of course, major growth for the next 3 years or so will come from Garden's rental revision. The traffic in Garden has increased substantially the recent year. This is the same as Pavilion 2-3 years ago, from tiny traffic into fast increasing. Regarding parking issue, in fact, all top shopping malls in Malaysia suffers from this issue. 1U, Pyramid, Midvalley etc. Even fees as high as KLCC is not easy to find parking too. Wondering why is that so difficult to solve. Can't they simply add few more floors of parking in the building? |
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Jul 24 2013, 05:58 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
argh. everytime have long meeting sure miss something. Missed my redtone again. gotta enter again :/
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Jul 24 2013, 06:00 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 24 2013, 03:37 PM) Meet Mr. Money Mustache. Hundreds of thousands of readers follow his bold advice on his self-titled blog — and for good reason. He has cracked the retirement code while many of us were struggling with student loans. At 23 years old he began working and saving…and saving some more. By age 30, he’d amassed some $800,000 in cash and investments, and then entered early retirement. How I Retired at 30 |
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Jul 24 2013, 06:05 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 24 2013, 06:18 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 24 2013, 05:18 PM) IPO is in 3 quarter last year so DPU declared was 1.83 (i assume is only 1 quarter profit) I understand your point.If dividend is declare half yearly, then we will expect another one soon.. How much is a question but should expect abt 3.5sen? IGBReit is a monster size reit. 3.4 billion shares and a market cap of 4.32 billion. It took a very strong hand to push the stock down from 145 to current price of 127. I, for one, would respect what this strong hand is trying to do first before assuming anything else. If the stock is really good, paying a little bit more when the share price recovers won't hurt. What would hurt is buying now and have no idea why the so-called solid reit keeps dropping. My one sen. |
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Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM
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Junior Member
693 posts Joined: Dec 2009 From: Italy |
this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa holiday
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Jul 24 2013, 09:08 PM
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3,019 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
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Jul 24 2013, 09:09 PM
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598 posts Joined: Apr 2009 |
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Jul 24 2013, 11:21 PM
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2,361 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:18 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Nobody uses Bursa website? Bursa holidays are stated here: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/about-us/holidays/ |
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Jul 25 2013, 08:51 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Morning chart...
Fake stuff... ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 08:55 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Yesterday closing actually not too bad.
![]() So what's the fuss? At 125, IF IGBReit pays as promised in its prospectus, what the yield? Is it something to worth to hunt for? |
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Jul 25 2013, 08:59 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
The other day, if not mistaken ...
this was suggested for look see-ing.... ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 08:59 AM
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All Stars
21,308 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Kuala Lumpur |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:01 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Getting nervous after two red days meh?
Don't scared lar... trend still strong, yes? ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:04 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
The big money is always in the waiting..
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Jul 25 2013, 09:08 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Me think still OK la...
IMO I think it's just building itself up for the next leg up. ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:13 AM
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2,178 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: The Pearl of the Orient - MY |
Tambun!!!! 1.50 again....
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Jul 25 2013, 09:13 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Are you in it to win it?
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Jul 25 2013, 09:16 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:17 AM
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Senior Member
2,178 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: The Pearl of the Orient - MY |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:20 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
And of course the very scientific chart of the coming weeks....
August and September is coming... Pong Pong Ssway sifoo says all gains will be given back by end Sept... and from where we are ... that should be a loss of over 190 pts and counting. ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:22 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 25 2013, 09:17 AM) Why should TP set at 150? I don't use TP la... Ok I lied. The TP I use is toilet paper. Seriously... I am not one to use Target Prices. And if I don't have... like I said... I might even buy at 153! LOL! |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:34 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
This one also getting whacked until out of shape hor.
Yesterday volume... err ... ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:37 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
On the other hand, this other tailou died earlier and it looks as if it's in the process of finding its feet.
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Jul 25 2013, 09:42 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Shiit... spammer.
This other tailou also can be considered died ealier jor.. Looks like it's also in the process of finding of finding its feet... but then some might ask if the *C is the current stabilizing factor? ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:47 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Consolidating after announcing another decent set of earnings + *C ?
Or as some might say 'sell on news'? Or should one continue to sit? ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:51 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Looks like 32 is the immediate R. ![]() |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:06 AM
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896 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Ampang |
Boon dailou very rajin
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Jul 25 2013, 10:09 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Correction.. not rajin la... was just very bored.
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Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:20 AM
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Senior Member
896 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Ampang |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:30 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM) Forever up ones are good especially if you are patiently sitting in it. To get big gains, you have to wait. How to get 3x or 4x winners if you don't wait? It's the same with investing or is the investing following the trading? Investors don't pull the plants out upon seeing the first bloom of flowers, do they? Those falling ones... I know... you like cos .... you are drilled that buying something 'cheaper' is a good thing. I know ... very hard to argue against that reasoning. Haha. But in the stock market, I have seen incidents where all it takes is one bad falling cheap stock to whack you out of the game. I saw it in Transmil last time. Kaki thought when Tranmil fell kau-kau, it was opportunity of life time to buy something 'good' at a much 'cheaper' price. How can it be bad? They argued. Rich man Billionaire Kuok got big stake in the stock wor. How can he let it die. Kaki bought a lot when it limit down the second time. When it rebounded a fair bit, he was convinced he was so right. He bought more. When Tranmil resumed falling.. he constantly bought more. Still saying Kuok will not let Tranmil die. He was wrong. I am sure he lost at least 250k (maybe more) in that stock. He denied. Saying only 100+. When the stock is in its initial falling stage, what would really hurt is buying and then to see the stock continue to fall and have no idea why the stock keeps falling and have no idea when it will stop falling. If I want, I would rather wait a bit first. Let the selling finish first and not do the risky thing of guessing where and when the stock will stop falling. Waiting to buy is as important as waiting to sell. |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:33 AM
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Junior Member
184 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM) I do not chase prices which are shooting up,unless there are strong buying signals. I love these types of charts where prices are still falling. Prices cannot continue to keep falling with no end. I will monitor and try to catch rebound. Need to wait to see when selling stops and if likely short-term rebound is strong or not. I have made good profits from stocks which have rebounded from grossly oversold positions. Anyone has any LATEST fundamental data or interesting news to share on this counter AXREIT ? This post has been edited by LOWYAT3AB: Jul 25 2013, 10:59 AM |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:35 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 10:30 AM) Forever up ones are good especially if you are patiently sitting in it. Nice transmile story... but the transmile stock falling is together with deteriorating fundamentals. This kind of 'falling' stock I also don't want to touch.To get big gains, you have to wait. How to get 3x or 4x winners if you don't wait? It's the same with investing or is the investing following the trading? Investors don't pull the plants out upon seeing the first bloom of flowers, do they? Those falling ones... I know... you like cos .... you are drilled that buying something 'cheaper' is a good thing. I know ... very hard to argue against that reasoning. Haha. But in the stock market, I have seen incidents where all it takes is one bad falling cheap stock to whack you out of the game. I saw it in Transmil last time. Kaki thought when Tranmil fell kau-kau, it was opportunity of life time to buy something 'good' at a much 'cheaper' price. How can it be bad? They argued. Rich man Billionaire Kuok got big stake in the stock wor. How can he let it die. Kaki bought a lot when it limit down the second time. When it rebounded a fair bit, he was convinced he was so right. He bought more. When Tranmil resumed falling.. he constantly bought more. Still saying Kuok will not let Tranmil die. He was wrong. I am sure he lost at least 250k (maybe more) in that stock. He denied. Saying only 100+. When the stock is in its initial falling stage, what would really hurt is buying and then to see the stock continue to fall and have no idea why the stock keeps falling and have no idea when it will stop falling. If I want, I would rather wait a bit first. Let the selling finish first and not do the risky thing of guessing where and when the stock will stop falling. Waiting to buy is as important as waiting to sell. For the forever up stock, most are selling at high valuation, again back to fundamentals. I also hesitant to buy cause it is overvalued... Sometimes so difficult to play stock market, buy susah, don't buy also susah... |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:40 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:35 AM) Nice transmile story... but the transmile stock falling is together with deteriorating fundamentals. This kind of 'falling' stock I also don't want to touch. At that time, Transmil was made to look nice cos of fake accounting. (fake account showed solid growth) For the forever up stock, most are selling at high valuation, again back to fundamentals. I also hesitant to buy cause it is overvalued... Sometimes so difficult to play stock market, buy susah, don't buy also susah... Kaki still bought once the news was announced. Argued based on his buying price vs highest price Argued even more kau-kau citing Kuok factor. Yeah... stock game is sometime very weird one. Sometimes buta-buta machine gun shoot, everything also can win big (as seen after GE. ) Sometimes think-think until brain juice spill all out... buy and then still can lose money. |
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Jul 25 2013, 10:56 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 09:34 AM) This one also getting whacked until out of shape hor. Compare the early morning chart...Yesterday volume... err ... ![]() with this one just taken... ![]() See the volume and the fall? Isn't it gathering momentum? Take out the bigger zoom chart to see where we are at... ![]() This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 10:57 AM |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:00 AM
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Senior Member
4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:01 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(kueyteowlou @ Jul 25 2013, 11:00 AM) gadang u think today can hit RM1.1? Wait I call Uncle Pong direct line for consultation first...... |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:17 AM
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4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:18 AM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Huat lai la
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Jul 25 2013, 11:19 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
It's been a while
Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already. I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:40 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM) It's been a while Hard to say. Maybe CI climb up to 2000 pts, where esle some other asset class like reits go down hill.Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already. I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. U see some stocks like palm oil might refuse to follow the CI, by joining the opposition camp. So it is not across the board thing from now on. Might signal the market somehow near the peak too This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 25 2013, 11:43 AM |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:49 AM
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Senior Member
896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
Kinsteel..buy high sell higher..can ar??
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Jul 25 2013, 11:50 AM
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1,059 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
good rrrr
AeonCr climbing back |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:52 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM) It's been a while Where you go? Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already. I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. This time your calculation is correct. 1600 by end Sept hor... 1700 count as Uncle Pong count wrong math hor.. Edit... attach Uncle Pong lengzhai chart. ![]() This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 12:06 PM |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:59 AM
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629 posts Joined: Dec 2007 |
SBC Corp look steady.. may climb further
ILB also.. GABGAQRS warrant out.. |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
GOB super strong today.
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Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:13 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM
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14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM) EPF? What also you say one. For the record.. Jan: 1627.55 Feb: 1,637.63 - up 10.08 March: 1,671.63 - up 34.00 Apr: 1,717.65 - up 46.02 May: 1,769.22 - up 52 June: 1773.54 - up 4.3 Now we are at 1810. |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:17 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Every month place long no need to think blind blind earn money. So good
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Jul 25 2013, 12:18 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:20 PM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM) EPF? I change my mind like a girl changes her clothes. What also you say one. For the record.. Jan: 1627.55 Feb: 1,637.63 - up 10.08 March: 1,671.63 - up 34.00 Apr: 1,717.65 - up 46.02 May: 1,769.22 - up 52 June: 1773.54 - up 4.3 Now we are at 1810. You know lah our index got strong support one never tumble beyond 1%. On a side note, some REITs look attractive. |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM
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896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:27 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:28 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:28 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 25 2013, 12:18 PM) This one?Supermax - Bursting to Super Growth Yea.. Confident. Can go already. T4 already over. Wait for Fryday.. |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:34 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:35 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:34 PM) It could be true... You play the share market, one of the most important thing is to know how the players behave so you can guess their moves.. So you can plan ahead and move ahead of them.. This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Jul 25 2013, 12:36 PM |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:39 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM) Uncle Pong put this to try to affect many people into doing the same action together, hence can reflect the same result in the market. Uncle Pong got the best job... Can say 1000 things... 980 things not right... never mind one. the 20 things say correct... means Uncle Pong damn terror the chun! |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:41 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:35 PM) It could be true... But FED Ben has the sole right to alter the directions of the charts.....You play the share market, one of the most important thing is to know how the players behave so you can guess their moves.. So you can plan ahead and move ahead of them.. May as well guess what he intends to do . See reits now, u know what I mean........ |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:44 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:41 PM) But FED Ben has the sole right to alter the directions of the charts..... Well, FED BEN got his terror-ness. But this time around, I think BN + UMNO more significant this round. KLCI tarak apa apa pun.. More on sendiri world sendiri playMay as well guess what he intends to do . See reits now, u know what I mean........ |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:45 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:39 PM) Uncle Pong got the best job... Maybe can start to make another Pong Chart for 2014 before Uncle Pong create one.. Then fast fast post out and circulate it as fast as possible.. Can say 1000 things... 980 things not right... never mind one. the 20 things say correct... means Uncle Pong damn terror the chun! |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:48 PM
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6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM
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15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:54 PM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM) Take the market cap divide by the book value, almost less than 1 already.Means paying RM1 for asset worth more than RM1. QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM) Come come.Draw one then I help you distribute in whole KL PJ area. |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:56 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
The chart keep on go up one or got up and down one?
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Jul 25 2013, 12:57 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 12:54 PM) Take the market cap divide by the book value, almost less than 1 already. Feb - Means paying RM1 for asset worth more than RM1. Come come. Draw one then I help you distribute in whole KL PJ area. Mar - up Apr - up May -up June - July - up Aug - up Sep - up Oct - up Nov -up .................... haiyaaaa.... why susah... just put all also UP la. Sure very popular one. This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:00 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:01 PM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
Cannot lah like that too fake.
Prefer with some wild swings. |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:01 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Over perform everyone in the world. All investor over the world also come to Malaysia KLSE to goreng already..
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Jul 25 2013, 01:05 PM
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6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM) Feb - Mar - up Apr - up May -up June - July - up Aug - up Sep - up Oct - up Nov -up .................... haiyaaaa.... why susah... just put all also UP la. Sure very popular one. Feb: +100 Mar: +200 Apr: +400 May: -20 June: +100 July: +200 Aug: +400 Sep: -20 Oct: +100 Nov: +200 Dec: +400 like that maybe can reach 5200 malaysia boleh |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:07 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:09 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 25 2013, 01:05 PM) Feb: +100 Where can?Mar: +200 Apr: +400 May: -20 June: +100 July: +200 Aug: +400 Sep: -20 Oct: +100 Nov: +200 Dec: +400 like that maybe can reach 5200 malaysia boleh Add up total only +2060 points. Now say 1800. Total is 3860 only. You need Feb: +100 Mar: +200 Apr: +300 May: +400 June: +500 July: +600 Aug: -500 Sep: +100 Oct: +300 Nov: +500 Dec: +700 |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:10 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 01:21 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 02:11 PM
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896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
wake up guys...wake up...
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Jul 25 2013, 03:02 PM
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90 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
0011 any wind ?
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Jul 25 2013, 03:12 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
AAX first time drop 1.24.
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Jul 25 2013, 03:32 PM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
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Jul 25 2013, 03:42 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 03:47 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
my view, all those bought AAX IPO and intention for the price shoot up on listing day................Since the price cant up meaning your intention/objective has failed. Should admit the failure and sell right? why keep? if wanna keep, is that because its good in prospect and fundamental? or just refuse to admit the failure? |
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Jul 25 2013, 03:56 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Next week another 2 ipo listed- Ranhill and Sona, will c how they go
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Jul 25 2013, 04:01 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
4pm Liao, show time for Redtone?
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Jul 25 2013, 04:02 PM
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896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:04 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:07 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Coastal rebound, good sign?
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Jul 25 2013, 04:14 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:19 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:19 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:22 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:25 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:28 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:30 PM
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1,411 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:31 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:32 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:34 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:43 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:45 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 25 2013, 04:54 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 03:47 PM) my view, all those bought AAX IPO and intention for the price shoot up on listing day................Since the price cant up meaning your intention/objective has failed. Should admit the failure and sell right? why keep? if wanna keep, is that because its good in prospect and fundamental? or just refuse to admit the failure? If we look at these heavy IPO past performance.. They are more likely to stay stubborn for a couples of week first before shooting upwards. Just my observation on a few counters like 1. Gasmsia 2. IHH Just my lousy half cents.. But there are fail cases like FGV of course. |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:00 PM
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VIP
37,028 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Petaling Jaya |
CI 1808 making new high
However another red day for me, paper gain is shrinking everyday Sien jor |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:04 PM
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1,850 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM
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7,960 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Buy Redtone at rm0.82, no know is a good decision o not?
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Jul 25 2013, 05:06 PM
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VIP
37,028 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Petaling Jaya |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:07 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:08 PM
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739 posts Joined: Jan 2009 |
lemonade, dun worry...report is coming out next week...
hehe.... |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM
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309 posts Joined: Nov 2011 |
noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance?
what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately? » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 04:54 PM) I think AAX is not finished yet. If we look at these heavy IPO past performance.. They are more likely to stay stubborn for a couples of week first before shooting upwards. Just my observation on a few counters like 1. Gasmsia 2. IHH Just my lousy half cents.. But there are fail cases like FGV of course. |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:10 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:10 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:13 PM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
When market will crash??
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Jul 25 2013, 05:16 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:20 PM
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VIP
37,028 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Petaling Jaya |
QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM) noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance? Axis Reit is one of the well managed Reit that has the most assets in their portfolio. what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately? » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « Based on 2012's update, Axreit has Office & warehouses: 25 & Retail: 2, with high occupany rate as well. And it is one of local funds favourite too. I remember the yield used to be >6%, nowadays drop to 4.x% only. |
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Jul 25 2013, 05:58 PM
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4,966 posts Joined: Nov 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 06:07 PM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
Gadang results very scary oooo
Lets see hows the market reaction... Attached File(s)
1479173797_1628207692.pdf ( 244.39k )
Number of downloads: 75 |
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Jul 25 2013, 06:48 PM
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7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
Encorp wins RM114mil construction contract
Encorp Bhd said today its unit, Encorp Construction & Infrastructure, had been awarded the main contract to build a business centre worth RM114mil in Cyberjaya. It said Setia Haruman Sdn Bhd issued the letter of award on July 25th. Work on the project – which encompasses shops, offices, a car park and other amenities, including a 24 storey building – will commence on Sept 2 this year, with delivery date set 24 months down the road on Sept 2, 2015. The company said it did not see any exceptional risk in undertaking the project and expected the contract would contribute positively to the earnings of the Encorp Group during the duration of the contract. |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:24 PM
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8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
I guess this is the first time I login to this new thread. And it is at page 13 already. Wow.
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Jul 25 2013, 09:37 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:39 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM) noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance? Very simple.what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately? » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « Axreit DPU is improving over the time, from last time around 13~14 to now around 18 cents. Somemore, Axreit has shown it has the ability to expand its portfolio that improve DPU and asset base without needing any cent from shareholders nor any dilution effect. Somemore its portfolio is diversified across, so less rely on single or two tenants, or related party. |
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Jul 25 2013, 09:50 PM
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8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:13 PM
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2,361 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
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Jul 25 2013, 11:29 PM
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435 posts Joined: Jul 2005 From: KL Kepong |
eh guys,just to confirm,tomorrow market close or open ah? i mean 26 July 2013,Friday as KL dont have holiday,selangor yes.
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Jul 25 2013, 11:48 PM
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640 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
QUOTE(Darkcursed @ Jul 25 2013, 11:29 PM) eh guys,just to confirm,tomorrow market close or open ah? i mean 26 July 2013,Friday as KL dont have holiday,selangor yes. Earlier Boon3 posted this link:http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/about-us/holidays/ |
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Jul 26 2013, 09:23 AM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Forum is deaD?
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Jul 26 2013, 09:30 AM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
0078=gOgO 7(chai) 8 (fatt)
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Jul 26 2013, 09:33 AM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Gadang price sink due to reports? Can buy ah? Any sifu here can comment
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Jul 26 2013, 09:34 AM
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2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 09:37 AM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Coastal price seem like stabilize
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Jul 26 2013, 09:38 AM
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1,602 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: Malaysia |
redtone got show ;D
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Jul 26 2013, 09:51 AM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
yay, it's redtone day again
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Jul 26 2013, 09:51 AM
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3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:11 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:13 AM
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3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:13 AM
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1,370 posts Joined: Feb 2011 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:15 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:22 AM
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3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 10:15 AM) I am not sure CI high or not la, only 1 year later when looking back today, then we know CI really high or not.Our market still haven't go into crazy mode, though I do think most of the mid cap is slightly overvalued and many Big caps considered expansive. Our reits counter and blue chips yield probably can give some clue though |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:26 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 10:22 AM) I am not sure CI high or not la, only 1 year later when looking back today, then we know CI really high or not. Most Asian nations like China have to tackle their debt issues.......the upcoming budgets might show thatOur market still haven't go into crazy mode, though I do think most of the mid cap is slightly overvalued and many Big caps considered expansive. Our reits counter and blue chips yield probably can give some clue though So the economic expansions and profit growths might be impacted. So what makes CI to go more sky high , another big puzzle , maybe more gorengable than other markets Just my half sen view.. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 10:30 AM |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:41 AM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
Bursa should kick out existing CI components & bring in Lemon chan counters, sure can hit 3000 pts.
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Jul 26 2013, 10:48 AM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:49 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:50 AM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Come.. Let's goreng some stock.. It is Fryday!!
What ingredient we got? Redtone? |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:50 AM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Fitters is good for frying anot?
Maybe can fry to 80 cents today looking at that manner how the stock is moving. |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:52 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
Wow, Takaful is so grorengable .......
Potential CI stock......... |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 10:48 AM) Not exactly blue chip lah. Ok comparable lah... except nestle. But the price sure is blue chip price. Dlady @ PE 23.94 Nestle @ PE 31.97 F&N @ PE 24.30 Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only... Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1.. |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM
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1,132 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:55 AM
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3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM) Ok comparable lah... except nestle. That's what I thought too. What I can say this market is too small.Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only... Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1.. Now people feel these blue chips getting more expansive and start buying 2nd liner & third liner I should say already instead of start buying This post has been edited by foofoosasa: Jul 26 2013, 10:56 AM |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:57 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM) Ok comparable lah... except nestle. How to compare. many in US have worldwide businesses , some local ones only have kampung wide type Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only... Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1.. |
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Jul 26 2013, 10:58 AM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM) Ok comparable lah... except nestle. Btw wondering if you know how to calculate the PE of KLCI?Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only... Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1.. Take the price and earnings of all the CI stocks? Need to consider the weightage also right. btw.. Hoping Dlady to drop to PE20. QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 10:55 AM) That's what I thought too. What I can say this market is too small. You have a point there.Now people feel these blue chips getting more expansive and start buying 2nd liner & third liner That explains why my ahpek watch list never move while index at record high. |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:01 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 10:58 AM) Btw wondering if you know how to calculate the PE of KLCI? Yes take all earning divide by all price total. Or you can just google... Take the price and earnings of all the CI stocks? Need to consider the weightage also right. btw.. Hoping Dlady to drop to PE20. You have a point there. That explains why my ahpek watch list never move while index at record high. |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:05 AM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
Riding on SCABLE
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Jul 26 2013, 11:08 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 11:01 AM) Yes take all earning divide by all price total. Or you can just google... But the weight age is used for computing the CI lor Meaning to say, average of 16X is a bit fake lah . BTW. EPF also not favoring lower PE CI stocks.....maybe This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 11:10 AM |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:08 AM
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443 posts Joined: Oct 2007 |
Anyone on Coastal ride?
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Jul 26 2013, 11:13 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:20 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 11:13 AM) Ya it is true......Kinda like a shopping mallIf u have many more floors than the ground and first floors maybe like Times Squares. Then the Average rental cost is said to be cheaper .......than others But ........... BTW Debt Burden Malaysia’s debt burden places the nation at risk of a sovereign rating downgrade, Lam Chee Mun, a Kuala Lumpur-based fund manager at TA Investment Management Bhd., which oversees 650 million ringgit, said in a July 24 interview. The country is rated A- by Standard & Poor’s, the fourth-lowest investment grade and four levels above Indonesia. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 11:30 AM |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:36 AM
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1,213 posts Joined: Apr 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 11:39 AM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Got Coastal + Maybulk... Looks like some O&G related shipping trend again
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Jul 26 2013, 11:44 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 26 2013, 12:17 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Gtronic really powerful...
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Jul 26 2013, 01:45 PM
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29 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM
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3,806 posts Joined: Feb 2012 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM) Ok comparable lah... except nestle. Apple - Warren Buffet won't touchApple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only... Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1.. Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo... |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:20 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM) Apple - Warren Buffet won't touch So what is the fair PE for defensive stocks , 100x Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo... |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM) Apple - Warren Buffet won't touch Coca Cola is PE 20+Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo... Kraft Foods is PE 20+ J&J is PE 20+ Unilever is PE 20+ Nestle SA is PE 18.8+ Danone is PE 20+ .... Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+? Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents? Hint, hint... buy Nestle SA, higher dividend, lower PE, higher growth... than Nestle Malaysia (which is 70% owned by Nestle SA This post has been edited by gark: Jul 26 2013, 02:26 PM |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:23 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM
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6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM) Coca Cola is PE 20+ malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser.Kraft Foods is PE 20+ J&J is PE 20+ Unilever is PE 20+ Nestle SA is PE 18.8+ Danone is PR 20+ .... Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+? Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents? the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy. just my 2 cent though |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:34 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM) malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser. No wor.. i won't buy even though i drink milo for many years already. Oligo is not a bad alternative. the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy. just my 2 cent though |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:35 PM
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8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM) Coca Cola is PE 20+ Nestle got list in US market? I can't seems to find it. Kraft Foods is PE 20+ J&J is PE 20+ Unilever is PE 20+ Nestle SA is PE 18.8+ Danone is PE 20+ .... Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+? Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents? Hint, hint... buy Nestle SA, higher dividend, lower PE, higher growth... than Nestle Malaysia (which is 70% owned by Nestle SA |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:35 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Maybulk crazy mode.. Wanna hit the sky?
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Jul 26 2013, 02:36 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM) malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser. IF bursa re introduces short sellings in aggressive manner , then no more excuses the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy. just my 2 cent though |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:41 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:43 PM
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8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 02:36 PM) Short selling?Hope people won't be get burn then. Short selling can be worst than long. As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock. Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00 If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9. Anchovies try to short a stock to make money? Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies. Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price. Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock? Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 26 2013, 02:45 PM |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:47 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM) Short selling? Do not forget about the FF , not just ikan bakar alone.Hope people won't be get burn then. Short selling can be worst than long. As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock. Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00 If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9. Anchovies try to short a stock to make money? Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies. Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price. Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock? Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one. And 30% limit downs on few stocks, but noises everywhere ......... This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 02:49 PM |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:55 PM
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6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM) Short selling? that why must always cut loss lo. Hope people won't be get burn then. Short selling can be worst than long. As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock. Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00 If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9. Anchovies try to short a stock to make money? Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies. Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price. Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock? Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one. but the same can goes the other way too. A good fundamental stock can be short by sharks and force price stay low |
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Jul 26 2013, 02:57 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
How many time one can cut loss. Every cut will make it shorter and shorter.. In the end, there is nothing to cut anymore
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Jul 26 2013, 03:00 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:18 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:20 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:24 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:25 PM
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2,811 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Selayang |
QUOTE http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/media-centre/media-releases/2101 BURSA MALAYSIA DERIVATIVES’ OPEN INTEREST HITS ALL TIME HIGH 26 Jul 2013 Surpassing 250,000 contracts for all products and 200,000 contracts for FCPO Bursa Malaysia ended the day with two new historical record highs. Open Interest (OI) for all products hit a new high of 251,994 contracts at the end of day on Thursday 25th July, whilst FCPO saw 201,209 contracts remained open at the end of the same day. Bursa Malaysia Derivatives’ Chief Executive Officer, Mr Chong Kim Seng said, "The growing Open interest is a reflection of BMD’s growing strength. This positive development is indicative of an elevated confidence in our derivatives market as well as interest in hedging the cash exposure using futures instruments by institutions." The OI for all products and FCPO contracts on BMD have been consistently rising over the past four years. All contracts saw a record high OI of 148,652 contracts in 2010, 187,580 in 2011, 214,065 in 2012 and now an increase of 18% to 251,994 in just seven months of 2013. Meanwhile, OI on FCPO registered a historical high of 91,035 contracts in 2010, 143,338 contracts in 2011, 173,649 contracts in 2012 and now a 16% increase to 201,209 OI in July 2013. About Open Interest Open interest reflects hedgers' collective position in the Futures Exchange, taken against their other exposures and positions in the physical markets and is critical to the success of a futures contract. The true economic value of a Futures Exchange lies with its use as a price risk hedging facility, which is reflected in the open interest of the Exchange, and in turn reflecting hedgers' confidence in such a facility. The higher the Open interest, the higher the hedgers' confidence in the facility. derivatives grabs the spotlight again |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:25 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:29 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:32 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:33 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:52 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:33 PM) Like this ah. This I cannot promise you lar bro.. Haha. Maybe later 4pm also give you see some good good show already lo..Now also quite active already. If the volume can break 2.5m shares, then ok one.. I think can jalan jalan makan angin abit one. |
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Jul 26 2013, 03:59 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:02 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:09 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:12 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:34 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:55 PM) that why must always cut loss lo. It is a silly move to depress a good fundamental stock by sell short by shark.but the same can goes the other way too. A good fundamental stock can be short by sharks and force price stay low Imagine BAT being severe shorted by shark and plunge to Rm10, how nice.... Doing charity? |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:41 PM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:45 PM
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561 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
Bone gor. 9318 now 75.5 want to Q or not?
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Jul 26 2013, 04:47 PM
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1,669 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:49 PM
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Senior Member
7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
Bonia sees 11% stake traded off-market as shares hit all-time high
Bonia Corporation Bhd saw 22.17 million shares transacted off-market on Friday at an average price of RM2.54. Stock market data showed the shares accounted for 11% of its paid-up of 201.57 million shares. At 4.02pm, Bonia was up 10.6% or 27 sen to RM2.81 -- a record high -- in regular trade. |
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Jul 26 2013, 04:50 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 26 2013, 04:41 PM) How many retailers are winning in derivatives? I only saw a lot of Ikan bilis bakar last time out when CWs are hot time... Short selling can be 10x difficult to win as compare long, and its risk is way bigger than long. Mind can be short-circuited as well when seeing market green green time... joking only. It is not for weak hearted anchovies. |
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Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM
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6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 04:50 PM) How many retailers are winning in derivatives? but shorting is extremely useful during bear market I only saw a lot of Ikan bilis bakar last time out when CWs are hot time... Short selling can be 10x difficult to win as compare long, and its risk is way bigger than long. Mind can be short-circuited as well when seeing market green green time... joking only. It is not for weak hearted anchovies. |
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Jul 26 2013, 05:11 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM) I played a lot of short in FKLI before. It is way more "risky" than long. You may think it is easy to win by short in bear market, but once market turns time, one can be like "ant on the hot pan". And we do not have any bear market for the last 3~4 years already, so basically (generally or average) most short in the market ended in loss for the last few years. On average bear market is shorter than bull. So basically, it gives idea which side have better chance to win. Short is good for those knowing what they are doing, what their strategy, and in specific period of time. We have people find difficulty to win in ordinary buy and hold strategy, and want to profit through short is way harder than former. |
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Jul 26 2013, 05:18 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 05:11 PM) I played a lot of short in FKLI before. winners in stock market stays at 5% worldwide, i guess this rate may stay forever. The rest of 95% are always losers. This rate may only change if humanity changes tremendously, probably only possible if being attacked by aliens, and human rebuild the earth from scratch once again. It is way more "risky" than long. You may think it is easy to win by short in bear market, but once market turns time, one can be like "ant on the hot pan". And we do not have any bear market for the last 3~4 years already, so basically (generally or average) most short in the market ended in loss for the last few years. On average bear market is shorter than bull. So basically, it gives idea which side have better chance to win. Short is good for those knowing what they are doing, what their strategy, and in specific period of time. We have people find difficulty to win in ordinary buy and hold strategy, and want to profit through short is way harder than former. Even if one learn more "techniques" of any kind to try to win the market, the market will create other "new techniques" to fight with them. Simply because everyone wants to become winner, winners must kill losers in order to stay as winners. Therefore there is no sure-win technique exist. For instance, the TA machines in recent years. TA experts loss to them even by using another TA machines to fight. Hedge funds losing money is the fact in recent years. This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 26 2013, 05:25 PM |
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Jul 26 2013, 05:26 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM) It is just a standard instrument worldwide.It does not mean everyone will be made a gambler once it is available, but certainly big FF welcome them . meaning to say, even there is a Genting Casino here, not everyone would be converted to gamblers ....... Good or bad, one needs to judge himself............in a matured way This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 05:27 PM |
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Jul 26 2013, 05:33 PM
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Senior Member
3,806 posts Joined: Feb 2012 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 26 2013, 05:18 PM) Simply because everyone wants to become winner, winners must kill losers in order to stay as winners. Therefore there is no sure-win technique exist. But stock market investment is not a zero-sum game. In bull market, there should be more winners.Futures market is a zero-sum game... |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:06 PM
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Senior Member
896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
AAX...free ticket if u buy IPO..better use $$$ to buy promo tic..cheaper...
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Jul 26 2013, 06:09 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 05:33 PM) But stock market investment is not a zero-sum game. In bull market, there should be more winners. you are correct, it's not a zero-sum game.Futures market is a zero-sum game... however, by history, almost all stock market (by looking at their index) are on uptrend. But, in statistic, 95% are losers. Why? |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:10 PM
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Senior Member
7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd IPO cancelled
Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd’s initial public offer has been cancelled, it was learnt on Friday. The money collected from the successful applicants would be returned to the investors. |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:11 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:12 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(davinz18 @ Jul 26 2013, 06:10 PM) Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd IPO cancelled Stop it before IPO, nice work this time, SC. Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd’s initial public offer has been cancelled, it was learnt on Friday. The money collected from the successful applicants would be returned to the investors. |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:14 PM
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Senior Member
7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
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Jul 26 2013, 06:15 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 26 2013, 08:50 PM
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Senior Member
8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jul 27 2013, 09:55 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 27 2013, 09:58 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
So did you buy 2266?
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Jul 27 2013, 10:11 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 27 2013, 10:25 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 27 2013, 10:44 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 27 2013, 10:46 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 10:11 AM) Apa stock code itu? Anyway, I spend last 10 minutes reading... http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2013/0...by-mr-koon.html http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2013/0...jaya-tiasa.html I don't agree with how Dali is handing the comments. Although not expert on palm oil fundamentals, I believe Dali should handle comments more openly. Negative comments/criticism should be openly accepted. I also think and agree with this set of comments by this lmenwe: QUOTE No doubt there is nothing wrong being a contrarian investor! But palm oil had been enjoying boom for the last 12 years! The commodities boom looks likely to end in the next few years. With over expansion in Indonesia only god know how low the price can go and how long it will stay depressed! Don't forget that in 2000/01 FFB only cost RM 80 per tonne! There is still room for CPO to fall! From chartwise, Jtiasa looks actually ok. ![]() It does looks like it's recovering from its recent downtrend and it's in the midst of developing a new trend... Comments? Masta Gark? |
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Jul 27 2013, 10:47 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 27 2013, 11:33 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2013, 10:46 AM) Anyway, I spend last 10 minutes reading... Chart I no expert to comment.. that one i leave it to you. It does looks like it's recovering from its recent downtrend and it's in the midst of developing a new trend... Comments? Masta Gark? Fundamentals ... Last few quarters JTiasa is not doing very well, revenue is about the same, profit is almost none in Q3. Margins has fallen to 2.2%. Overall the CURRENT profit picture is not good. But overall profit for FY13 is pretty bad at 2-2.5 cents per share. But for the future trend in which KKY is arguing on lets see... Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO Average CPO selling price in FY12 is 3,151, FY 13 is 2,177. This is a big profit drop causing the CPO margins to deteriorate from 43% to 7%. Average plywood & Log selling price in FY12 is 1,950&480, FY13 1,775&571. Margins for wood products dropped form 9% to 4%. Plywood & logging business is sunset. KKY is talking about the palm oil business so let us analyze. It has a palm oil plant able reserve land of 70.9k ha. Total planted is 62k, matured is 48k. Reserve land for planting is very limited, hence limiting future growth. Age <4 years is 26.3% Age 4-7 years is 61.8% Age >8 years is 11.9% Growth rate of FFB production is estimated to be raised from 700k in FY 13 to 900k in FY14. Current yields are very poor at 15 ton/ha and OER of 14.13% is downright pathetic. No wonder Jtiasa cannot make much money with it's palm oil plantation, due to it's poor CPO productivity rate. Good plantation companies should be achieve yield of at least 21-23 tpha and oer of 22-23%. Jtiasa is expecting it's palm oil to hit yield of 27 tpha when fully matured, but I know the soil in Sarawak is Peat Soil and NO company can achieve more than 18-20 tpha. Lets say next year their palm oil did go up from 700k FFB to 900k FFB (yield increase from 15tph to 17tph). Assuming thier OER increased slightly to 15% & selling price higher at 2,200. Estimated total gross sale will be 900,000t x 0.15 x 2200 = 297 million lets say margin improve now to 10% total PAT will be 29.7 million Wood business remains challenging so margin same PAT = 32 million which is not significant. FY14EPS will be about 3-3.5 sen unless palm oil prices improve back to >3k I don't see how the business can justify such high price for stock even with future growth built in. Psst, there are palm oil plantation with super growth, OER of 22.5%, yield of 24tpha in good volcanic soil selling at PE 12x. Isn't that a better deal? This post has been edited by gark: Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM |
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Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Maybe I should post the reply to KKY directly at Dali, but scared afterwards get shoot upside down....
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Jul 27 2013, 11:55 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM) Maybe I should post the reply to KKY directly at Dali, but scared afterwards get shoot upside down.... Harlooo, I think your reply here is super geng! Just post the reply la. I don't think he dare to tembak up downside up. Looks like I won't touch this stock. ps: sometimes chart can look good but the good look usually not sustainable one. ps: I like those that seem to want to go up forever and ever type of stocks. |
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Jul 27 2013, 12:13 PM
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Junior Member
456 posts Joined: Oct 2006 |
Anyone holding HAIO?
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Jul 27 2013, 03:25 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 27 2013, 05:20 PM
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1,516 posts Joined: May 2006 |
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Jul 27 2013, 09:10 PM
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Senior Member
2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
Thanks gark. Learnt something new today
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Jul 28 2013, 12:11 AM
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Junior Member
456 posts Joined: Oct 2006 |
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Jul 28 2013, 01:05 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(billeu @ Jul 28 2013, 12:11 AM) When I last looked at Hai-O, I had it in my notes to watch for it at 245.I wrote the following: » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « I didn't like how the stock traded on 28th. No follow through trading. It closed much lower at 240. It then drifted lower and went sideways.... (If I went in, I sure potong... cos the stock later went down to low 220s. I soon forgot about the stock. Kinda regret a tiny bit looking at the stock now .... However, can't say I totally regret it cos at that time, choices were plenty and somehow I wasn't too keen on the economics of Hai-O business enterprise. ( Hai-O is doing nicely eh? It had a solid move up the other day. Good for you. |
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Jul 28 2013, 01:41 PM
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Junior Member
289 posts Joined: Jun 2005 From: Hairy World |
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Jul 28 2013, 04:08 PM
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Junior Member
309 posts Joined: Nov 2011 |
Master Gark,
Thanks for the sharing lesson. I tried to follow step by step... Can you share where/how you get this info: Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO - I used numbers from annual report 2012, but differs from this... Average CPO, plywood, log selling price - Again, annual report 2012 number differs slightly. No info on 2013... Palm oil area, planted, matured and age group - Annual report 2012 again...outdated..i know. FFB growth rate - can't find it OER of 14.13% - ok, what is OER? Sorry... » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « |
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Jul 28 2013, 10:35 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 28 2013, 04:08 PM) Master Gark, Download the 3q report and from the 3q investor presentation also from the 2012 annual report. Info all there, just have to put it together and analyze.Thanks for the sharing lesson. I tried to follow step by step... Can you share where/how you get this info: Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO - I used numbers from annual report 2012, but differs from this... Average CPO, plywood, log selling price - Again, annual report 2012 number differs slightly. No info on 2013... Palm oil area, planted, matured and age group - Annual report 2012 again...outdated..i know. FFB growth rate - can't find it OER of 14.13% - ok, what is OER? Sorry... » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « Oer is oil extraction rate, which the percentage of cpo weight that can be obtained from ffb. You get 150kg of cpo from 1 ton ffb, then your oer is 15%. |
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Jul 29 2013, 08:56 AM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
redtone got show again?
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Jul 29 2013, 09:16 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 28 2013, 10:35 PM) Download the 3q report and from the 3q investor presentation also from the 2012 annual report. Info all there, just have to put it together and analyze. Oer is oil extraction rate, which the percentage of cpo weight that can be obtained from ffb. You get 150kg of cpo from 1 ton ffb, then your oer is 15%. I was reading KYY's point about JT's timber business. Quote: As reported, the price of timber and plywood has increased by about 50% due to the Japanese demand for the reconstruction of the damages caused by the recent tsunami. I will move a resolution in the coming AGM to list the company’s timber business. I believe all shareholders will support my proposed resolution. This will benefit JT shareholders. For example IOI Corp is listing their Property business and IOI Corp shareholder will be given one IOI Property share for every three IOI Corp shares held. I gave it a thought and burst out laughing. For example, why bring out that Tsunami to prove a point? Furthermore that Tsunami happened back in 2011 and 2011 is not that 'recent'. I compare JT's log business on March 2011 with current. http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ncements/545705 Log business sales totalled 214.917 million and JT churned out a porfit of 38 million. Most recent quarterly. JT's wood business did increase but to just 291.566 million. However, profits fell to just 4.969 million. JT listing its timber business? KYY's speaking like a salesman without looking much into data THAT MATTERS. |
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Jul 29 2013, 09:17 AM
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All Stars
10,859 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Sarawak |
i wanna ask, if the share payable date is on 22nd july for the dividend, it will go into my bank account or 22nd july? or have to wait how long?
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Jul 29 2013, 09:21 AM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 29 2013, 09:42 AM
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Senior Member
896 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
Gadang..falling down falling down...buying again anyone??
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Jul 29 2013, 09:51 AM
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Senior Member
4,514 posts Joined: Apr 2010 |
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Jul 29 2013, 09:58 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 29 2013, 09:16 AM) I was reading KYY's point about JT's timber business. Quote: As reported, the price of timber and plywood has increased by about 50% due to the Japanese demand for the reconstruction of the damages caused by the recent tsunami. I will move a resolution in the coming AGM to list the company’s timber business. I believe all shareholders will support my proposed resolution. This will benefit JT shareholders. For example IOI Corp is listing their Property business and IOI Corp shareholder will be given one IOI Property share for every three IOI Corp shares held. I gave it a thought and burst out laughing. For example, why bring out that Tsunami to prove a point? Furthermore that Tsunami happened back in 2011 and 2011 is not that 'recent'. I compare JT's log business on March 2011 with current. http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ncements/545705 Log business sales totalled 214.917 million and JT churned out a porfit of 38 million. Most recent quarterly. JT's wood business did increase but to just 291.566 million. However, profits fell to just 4.969 million. JT listing its timber business? KYY's speaking like a salesman without looking much into data THAT MATTERS. Also he say Jtiasa total book value of it's land is RM 44k per ha, he expect it can fetch 100k per ha. Deep jungle land in Sarawak? Don't think so. But I found a hidden gem in Jtiasa's that KKY never did mention after further digging into it's records. Jtiasa has the largest forest plantation in Malaysia something like 235k ha. Only about 30k ha is planted due to poor sales of plywood business in which not so much wood required hence 70% of the land is left idle after logging. Now if Jtiasa CAN convert those from forest plantation to palm oil estate, then we really have a hidden gem here as they will be one of the largest palm oil estates in Sarawak. Can they do that? According to law they cannot, as they have to 'manage' the forest for rehab after logging, but being Malaysia anything can happen. By the way these forest plantation/rehab land is concession and land cost is FOC Why KKY never mention this point? Is it not do-able? This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 10:28 AM |
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Jul 29 2013, 10:41 AM
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All Stars
10,859 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Sarawak |
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Jul 29 2013, 11:20 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 29 2013, 11:21 AM
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4,514 posts Joined: Apr 2010 |
QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 29 2013, 10:41 AM) i am holding the stock thru CIMB itrade.. so how to check i got e-dividend acc or not? i also dunno they stock under my name or not lol.. You have to open a e-dividend account. Refer to your broker to get it done. Just one account and all dividends received will be channeled there. |
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Jul 29 2013, 11:32 AM
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All Stars
10,859 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Sarawak |
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Jul 29 2013, 11:44 AM
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Senior Member
896 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Ampang |
Kpj manyak sakit... And gdex flying liao
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Jul 29 2013, 11:57 AM
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Senior Member
6,583 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
august correction came early?
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Jul 29 2013, 12:00 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
today can survive above 1800?
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Jul 29 2013, 12:09 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 29 2013, 12:23 PM
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Senior Member
3,806 posts Joined: Feb 2012 |
How bad is China's economy?
Every week we hear some bad news from China, for example: QUOTE China’s manufacturing weakened by more than estimated in July, according to a preliminary survey of purchasing managers that casts further doubt on the government’s ability to meet its annual economic growth (CNGDPYOY) target. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-24/c...wn-deepens.htmlThe reading of 47.7 for an index released today by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics, if confirmed in the final report Aug. 1, would be the lowest in 11 months. Readings below 50 indicate contraction. A separate euro-area gauge showed manufacturing unexpectedly expanded this month QUOTE China’s exports and imports unexpectedly declined in June, underscoring the severity of the slowdown in the world’s second-biggest economy as Premier Li Keqiang reins in credit growth. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-10/c...on-economy.htmlOverseas shipments fell 3.1 percent from a year earlier, the most since the global financial crisis, data from the General Administration of Customs showed in Beijing today, compared with the median estimate of a 3.7 percent gain in a Bloomberg News survey. Imports dropped 0.7 percent, while the median projection was for a 6 percent increase. But at the same time, we have been told that China's GDP will grow about 7.5% this year, which is one of the fastest in the world. Where does the growth come from |
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Jul 29 2013, 12:24 PM
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Senior Member
4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
tmclife tmclifee ! bee boo bee boo !
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Jul 29 2013, 12:27 PM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 29 2013, 12:39 PM
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Senior Member
8,652 posts Joined: Sep 2005 From: lolyat |
Long time didnt check in, index already standing at 1800
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Jul 29 2013, 12:43 PM
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Senior Member
3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 29 2013, 12:23 PM) How bad is China's economy? Internal infrastructure construction boost by chinese Gov. Every week we hear some bad news from China, for example: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-24/c...wn-deepens.html http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-10/c...on-economy.html But at the same time, we have been told that China's GDP will grow about 7.5% this year, which is one of the fastest in the world. Where does the growth come from |
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Jul 29 2013, 01:26 PM
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4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
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Jul 29 2013, 02:06 PM
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4,514 posts Joined: Apr 2010 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 29 2013, 11:20 AM) I think it should be next day, as most use Giro to transfer the e-dividend, so take 1 day to clear. The dividend monies are parked with the bank earlier together with the list of shareholders. So when the due date comes, a click will suffice and the monies should be there.Correct me if I am wrong. |
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Jul 29 2013, 02:32 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
Today palm oil plunge a lot kah?
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Jul 29 2013, 02:45 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 29 2013, 02:32 PM) No wor.. only drop RM 9 from 2183 to 2174...Probally someone panic now psychologically below 2200. Time to pick some juicy plantations... Probally this news kua... QUOTE "Reports about European lawmakers backing a proposal to limit the use of biofuels in the region’s transport sector coupled with higher than expected soy stockpiles by the U.S. Department of Agriculture sparked selling pressure in the market," This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 02:47 PM |
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Jul 29 2013, 02:47 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 29 2013, 02:51 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 02:45 PM) No wor.. only drop RM 9 from 2183 to 2174... France will not discriminate palm oil products Probally someone panic now psychologically below 2200. Time to pick some juicy plantations... Probally this news kua... the CPO shld go up |
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Jul 29 2013, 02:52 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 02:51 PM) They don't discriminate only they don't use it... whats the difference? These from the same people which raised the nutella tax. CPO need this plunge, too many people planting expecting green gold. Good to shake out the weaker players, and the the price bottom up and set it up nicely for a bull run later. Hope the price drop below RM 1,500 / ton.. a lot of people gonna give away their palm fruit for free. This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 02:54 PM |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:00 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Here we go again roller coaster... dead cat bouncing, now going down.
All my current holdings is blood RED today... This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 03:01 PM |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:02 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:09 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 02:52 PM) They don't discriminate only they don't use it... whats the difference? These from the same people which raised the nutella tax. apa macam..you got give tips for plantation stock..also go down ??? like SOPCPO need this plunge, too many people planting expecting green gold. Good to shake out the weaker players, and the the price bottom up and set it up nicely for a bull run later. Hope the price drop below RM 1,500 / ton.. a lot of people gonna give away their palm fruit for free. |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:12 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 03:09 PM) Sure go down ler.. all CPO go down, in short term all profit will get hit. But I see a longer picture on the maturing palm oil, which will translate to higher earning, but a couple years down the road. Not for the faint hearted... This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 03:13 PM |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:20 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:12 PM) Sure go down ler.. all CPO go down, in short term all profit will get hit. But I see a longer picture on the maturing palm oil, which will translate to higher earning, but a couple years down the road. is CPO continue still can go down ???Not for the faint hearted... |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 03:20 PM) Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast.Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton. Trick is look for :- 1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years 2. Significant plantable reserves 3. Lowest EV per ha plantation 4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha) 5. High OER (Min 20%) |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:35 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM) Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast. THANKS YOU VERY MUCH.. Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton. Trick is look for :- 1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years 2. Significant plantable reserves 3. Lowest EV per ha plantation 4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha) 5. High OER (Min 20%) |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:37 PM
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4,093 posts Joined: Jul 2011 |
listen music in this red market... |
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Jul 29 2013, 03:55 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 29 2013, 04:04 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM) Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast. so which is your top pick? tdm? Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton. Trick is look for :- 1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years 2. Significant plantable reserves 3. Lowest EV per ha plantation 4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha) 5. High OER (Min 20%) |
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Jul 29 2013, 04:16 PM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 29 2013, 04:42 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 29 2013, 04:43 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 29 2013, 04:45 PM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 29 2013, 05:06 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
my post-GE gain has almost back to flat. thanks to REITs.
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Jul 29 2013, 05:13 PM
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7,142 posts Joined: Oct 2008 From: Sin City |
Khazanah Nasional buying Turkey health insurer for US$252m
Khazanah Nasional Bhd's insurance holding company Avicennia Capital Sdn Bhd is buying a 90% stake in Turkey's health insurer Acibadem Saglik ve Hayat Sigorta A.S. (Acibadem Sigorta) for US$252mil. Khazanah said on Monday that Avicennia Capital had inked an agreement to buy the stake from Mehmet Ali Aydinlar and family and The Abraaj Group. The Malaysian government's strategic investment fund said Acibadem Sigorta is a leading provider of health insurance services for corporate and individual clients in Turkey, and has the second largest market share in the industry. Acibadem Sigorta's headquarters is in Istanbul and it operates six regional offices across Turkey. Acibadem Sigorta's premium health insurance offering provides its customers with access to a large network of high quality healthcare facilities in Turkey. The acquisition complemented Avicennia Capital's acquisition of the CIMB Aviva insurance businesses in Malaysia in early 2013. |
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Jul 29 2013, 09:38 PM
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1,516 posts Joined: May 2006 |
Anyone here eye-ing for Sunreit?
Planning to scoop some! |
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Jul 29 2013, 10:20 PM
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1,059 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
red red red
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Jul 29 2013, 11:08 PM
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633 posts Joined: May 2006 |
hi, anyone know any reason behind the reason drop in JCY ?
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Jul 30 2013, 08:14 AM
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All Stars
15,942 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(andrewL @ Jul 29 2013, 11:08 PM) Most stocks are consolidating its positions ahead of Raya (normal la, a lot want to have cash for Raya) and it's quite possible the sea of red and lackluster trading could continue. For JCY, I last wrote: QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:51 PM) On the other hand, the observation that redtone consolidates after its quarterly earnings the past few quarterly earnings is spot on. The worrying thing for JCY is the the step backwards is worrying, esp the trade on last Friday. I do know this a fact ... since when redtone was below 40 sen. JCY on the other hand is actually looking good. It's just digesting its recent gains. No stocks go straight up, its usually 2 steps forward 1 step backward. (ps: me not on this one cos I don't understand its fundamentals. Perhaps that was a sign to square of one's position and eat humble pie. ![]() The only small positive one can draw from it is that the volume for the past 2 days has shrunk a lot. ( this is not a big positive cos sometimes when the stock continues to fall quite substantially, volume could suddenly gather momentum, indicating fear had probably struck a lot more nerves) |
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Jul 30 2013, 08:20 AM
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266 posts Joined: Oct 2010 From: Pahang/Melaka |
redtone anyone
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Jul 30 2013, 09:05 AM
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1,229 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
must be a lot of happy ppl today
SONA IPO ROI is ~20% |
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Jul 30 2013, 09:17 AM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Sona.. Drop one.. Cannot buy when open..
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Jul 30 2013, 09:19 AM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 09:27 AM
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266 posts Joined: Oct 2010 From: Pahang/Melaka |
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Jul 30 2013, 09:32 AM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:21 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
going to transfer mainboard next week |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:37 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:44 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:45 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM) This stock is good for hit and run, like Ultraman did.Chartwise, I do not know how promising it is But people are cautious about US markets liao...... Just my 0.01sen opinion......... This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 10:47 AM |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM
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All Stars
13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM) then may got chance rebound a bit, if the market not very red This post has been edited by StupidGuyPlayComp: Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM
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739 posts Joined: Jan 2009 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:53 AM
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739 posts Joined: Jan 2009 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:54 AM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:56 AM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 10:58 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:00 AM
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739 posts Joined: Jan 2009 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:01 AM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:02 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:04 AM
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13,681 posts Joined: Mar 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:05 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:07 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 11:04 AM) Bursa assistant also quite good, can scan EOD data before buy......and candle charts This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 11:08 AM |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:29 AM
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Senior Member
2,178 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: The Pearl of the Orient - MY |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:36 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 11:40 AM
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147 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
Today bought some Sona below ipo price and sold and earn some bucket of KFC
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Jul 30 2013, 12:11 PM
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2,178 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: The Pearl of the Orient - MY |
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Jul 30 2013, 12:20 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 02:33 PM
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1,059 posts Joined: Jun 2013 |
any tips for today?
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Jul 30 2013, 02:42 PM
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375 posts Joined: Mar 2012 |
GENM
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Jul 30 2013, 04:05 PM
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3,784 posts Joined: Jun 2005 |
such a boring day
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Jul 30 2013, 04:27 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
fengsui chart said, we all go to hell 2 days later.
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Jul 30 2013, 04:28 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:29 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:30 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:40 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:42 PM
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1,758 posts Joined: Oct 2009 |
Wow... Sona going crazyy again.....
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Jul 30 2013, 04:46 PM
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607 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:50 PM
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Senior Member
28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Whole market volume is from SONA contribution
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Jul 30 2013, 04:50 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:55 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:58 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 30 2013, 04:59 PM
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1 posts Joined: Jul 2013 |
Gadang Move
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Jul 30 2013, 05:00 PM
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8,432 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
Looks like still got people asking extension for bullish market. Anyway, this week, it's freaking bad for my profile.
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Jul 30 2013, 05:07 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Probably after a slight correction, then we are on riding mode again?
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Jul 30 2013, 05:10 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:17 PM
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28,187 posts Joined: Mar 2007 From: Underworld |
Who knows? Not yet UMNO AGM then still can ride on I guess.. Haha.
Later break, no more wait you again. |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:18 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:20 PM
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3,806 posts Joined: Feb 2012 |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:28 PM
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1,370 posts Joined: Feb 2011 |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:33 PM
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Elite
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Jul 30 2013, 05:43 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
Fitch downgrades Malaysia outlook to “negative” from “stable ”
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Jul 30 2013, 05:49 PM
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Elite
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Jul 30 2013, 05:55 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 05:56 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:00 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:01 PM
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Elite
3,777 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:02 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:04 PM
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6,356 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:09 PM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 06:04 PM) Ringgit drops to three-year low Malaysia's ringgit fell to a three-year low on concern global investors will repatriate funds after US$2.9 billion of sovereign debt matures tomorrow. The local-currency bonds "may have a large proportion of foreign ownership" and capital outflows could cause the ringgit to underperform, Dariusz Kowalczyk, a Credit Agricole CIB strategist in Hong Kong, wrote in a research note today. The yield on the government's benchmark three-year notes ended yesterday at the highest level since November 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. "One of the factors that is behind the depreciation in the ringgit has been the large redemption of Malaysian government securities," said Khoon Goh, a senior strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd in Singapore. "That has got the market somewhat concerned that we're going to see some large outflows from the bond market." The ringgit declined 0.3 per cent to 3.2365 per dollar as of 10.03am in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It earlier touched 3.2379, the weakest level since July 1, 2010. It has fallen for five straight days, the longest losing streak since December 2012, and depreciated 2.4 per cent this month and 5.5 per cent in 2013. Global funds held 33 per cent of Malaysian sovereign notes in May, the highest proportion among Southeast Asia's biggest economies, according to central bank and Finance Ministry data. This renders the nation's securities vulnerable to a global sell-off, Arjun Shetty, a rate strategist in Singapore at Deutsche Bank AG, said last week. The government will auction RM4.5 billion of 2020 securities today, according to data published on the central bank's website. The ringgit also weakened amid concern about a possible deterioration of Malaysia's current-account balance, Goh said. The surplus fell to RM8.7 billion in the January-March period from RM22.9 billion in the preceding three months, official data show. The nation may record an US$800 million current-account deficit in the second quarter, the first shortfall since 1997, according to a July 26 note from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. One-month implied volatility in the ringgit, a measure of expected moves in exchange rates used to price options, rose 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, to 8.30 per cent. Government bonds declined. The yield on the 3.48 per cent notes due March 2023 climbed four basis points to 3.97 per cent, the highest since the notes were issued in March, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.-- Bloomberg KUALA LUMPUR (July 31): BNP Paribas is of the view that Malaysia faces a possible sovereign downgrade if its economic growth slows and the reforms stalled. The research house also sees a weaker ringgit ahead due to fiscal strain. “With revenues remaining stagnant at best, Malaysia’s debt-to-revenue ratio at 237% in 2012 is already well above the ‘A’ range medians of 137%. “This puts the sovereign at risk of an outlook downgrade should growth falter or reforms stall,” said a country strategy report on Malaysia by PNB Paribas. In the same report, it said the US dollar/ringgit will see more volatility as Malaysia’s current account surplus buffer gets eroded and investors hedge themselves through the currency. “We currently have a forecast of 3.15 by end of this year and 3.30 by end 2014. We are revising these up to 3.25 and 3.35 respectively,” it said. Below is the full report by PNB Paribas dated July 29, written by its analysts Yii Hui Wong and Mirza Baig: “Our recent trip to Malaysia has cemented our bearish view on Malaysian rates and the currency. Policymakers appear too sanguine on the growth and debt outlook and politics are still playing a role in key fiscal reform decisions. The weakness in the fiscal outlook is not new. The government has been beating the drum on fiscal consolidation for years. Yet, the official government debt / GDP ratio has continued to climb, now just 1.5% short of the 55% of GDP ceiling. In an environment of strong growth and robust capital inflows, this could be easily brushed aside as was the case for 2012 and much of this year. However, growth is moderating, led by the drag from net exports and a loss in momentum from investment spending. With China slowing and Fed tapering expected to impact inflows negatively, this will amplify worries over debt sustainability. Fiscal reforms remain distant… We expect the trigger for a further sell-off in MGS to be the debt ceiling issue and the lack of fiscal reforms both on the revenue and expenditure side. On the revenue side, the GST implementation is key to broadening the tax base. Petroleum-related revenues contributed 30% of RM207.2 billion of federal government revenues in 2012 with half of this came as dividends from Petronas. Instead of a fixed amount of RM30 billion as dividends, Petronas has repeatedly stated that it would be moving gradually to a 30% (of profits) dividend distribution which implies approximately RM12-15bn (or 6%-8% of revenue) reduction eventually. A simple back-of-the-envelope calculation implies that the GST rate will have to be a minimum of 5-6% rather than the original 4% if rolled out together with other comprehensive tax reform measures. We remain sceptical that these can be carried out especially as the budget is likely to be passed in October, before the UMNO general assembly elections for party leadership. Even then, it is assumed in our projections that the GST will be implemented immediately and effectively whereas the reality is that GST would have a lead-in period of around 12-18 months. With revenues remaining stagnant at best, Malaysia’s debt-to-revenue ratio at 237% in 2012 is already well above the ‘A’ range medians of 137%. This puts the sovereign at risk of an outlook downgrade should growth falter or reforms stall. On the expenditure side, subsidies take up about 19% of total expenditure with around 10-12% as fuel subsidies. Plans to cut subsidies on the widely used RON 95 grade of petrol have been shelved since December 2010. Interest payments also take up about 11% of total expenditures, so a back-up in yields would put additional strains. And given the UMNO elections, it seems unlikely that the government would cut food and fuel subsidies any time this year. Instead, development spending may be cut to plug the gap, though this may hurt growth. … and support for ringgit is fading Compounding the issues in fiscal sustainability is the structural decline of the current account surplus – largely driven by the deteriorating trade balance. Our economists have pencilled in a current account surplus of 4% of GDP for this year and 2% for 2014 with risks on the downside. Commodity exports make up around 30% of the export basket and the price impact on export growth has been the driver of the decline. In the electronics sector which makes up another 30% of exports, a turnaround is unlikely to materialize in the near-term as demand for the traditional PC hardware that Malaysia produces remains muted. With net FDI flows remaining negative, portfolio inflows waning, and locals continuing to buy USD, the support for MYR and local currency bonds is diminishing. Bear steepening in MGS While MGS net supply for the rest of the year is a manageable MYR8.8 billion and the next big redemption month is only in October (with MYR6bn worth of redemptions), foreign holdings are around 47% of MGS. We believe that much of these holdings are underwater, exacerbated by currency losses. Through 2011/12, USDMYR was trading below 3.20. 3Y and 5Y MGS yields were also trading below 3.47% and 3.66% respectively. The pain threshold for some investors could already have been breached given where the currency and bonds are now trading. As regards local support, we understand that local investors have been mostly buying GIIs, quasi-sovereign debt or corporate paper as these provide higher yields. For example, insurer holdings of MGS paper has remained relatively stable around 8-9% of outstanding stock while banks have maintained it around 13-14%. Otherwise, some of them have been looking to diversify to invest in other markets, primarily in Korea and Thailand. Even the national pension fund, EPF, already hold 30.8% of outstanding MGS. They have their own mandates to fulfil and we do not expect them to be a large support for MGS in the event of a sell-off. BNM currently holds only 0.5% of outstanding stock of MGS and technically can buy up to 10% of any issue in their normal monetary operations. However, should they step in, we think that it would only serve to shake confidence than bolster it. We recommend shortening duration in bonds and establishing 3s10s steepeners in swaps at 82bps. The 3Y10Y spreads in bonds and swaps are currently 47bps and 92bps respectively. We are targeting 100bps in bond spreads and 130 bps in swap spreads. Bonds could underperform swaps as the proliferation of range accrual products onshore could weigh on steepening momentum (refer Chart 8). Carry is slightly positive at 1bp per month on these trades. There are two domestic risks to the steepening view. First, if the administration surprisingly delivers fiscal reforms, then it would likely convince ratings agencies to delay a sovereign downgrade. It would come as a sharp surprise to the market too, which has adopted a resigned and bearish attitude towards Malaysian fixed income. As such, the Malaysia budget announcement in October 2013 presents an unusually high event risk for the market. The second risk is if BNM were to hike rates. Clearly the growth outlook does not support tightening, though if MYR depreciation takes on IDR or INR type proportions, BNM would be in a bind. On the currency, we think USD/MYR will see more volatility as the current account surplus buffer gets eroded and investors hedge themselves through the currency. We currently have a forecast of 3.15 by end of this year and 3.30 by end 2014. We are revising these up to 3.25 and 3.35 respectively.” This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 06:15 PM |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Those bond funds NAV are moving downwards too. So that's just because of the market value? As they not necessarily selling their bond holdings right? As those are low risk funds, they mostly will hold the bond to receive steady interest income right? If this is the case, we may consider to buy at low?
http://www.publicmutual.com.my/application...formancenw.aspx This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM |
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Jul 30 2013, 06:40 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM) Those bond funds NAV are moving downwards too. So that's just because of the market value? As they not necessarily selling their bond holdings right? As those are low risk funds, they mostly will hold the bond to receive steady interest income right? If this is the case, we may consider to buy at low? U tend to gain on maturity but it takes 8 to 15 years to mature for long term bonds .http://www.publicmutual.com.my/application...formancenw.aspx Long term bond is out of favour in current trend unless with very attractive yields , short term ones like 3 years maybe It is more risky to speculate on bond yields, experts say..... This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 06:41 PM |
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Jul 30 2013, 07:12 PM
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All Stars
14,899 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Kuala Lumpur & Selangor |
With RM expected to depreciate further, it's time to look for companies that are export oriented.
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Jul 30 2013, 07:49 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM
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984 posts Joined: Nov 2008 |
palm oil
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Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 30 2013, 07:53 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 07:54 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
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Jul 30 2013, 07:58 PM
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I remember the price of palm oil went up during the crisis of 1998 when the MYR was trending down agst the USD.... Hope my memory is still sound
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Jul 30 2013, 08:06 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:07 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(Oracles99 @ Jul 30 2013, 08:06 PM) I think we all are going to hear this remark from the gomen "This time is different". The reality is that this time is no different from last time. Lucky I am in 85% cash now, thanks you pong sway chart. Maybe we would experience a bloodbath in the markets tomorrow Hope tomorrow really bloodbath.. This post has been edited by gark: Jul 30 2013, 08:07 PM |
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Jul 30 2013, 08:09 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:12 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:24 PM
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All Stars
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QUOTE(andrewleewaikeong @ Jul 30 2013, 08:12 PM) Can I know where is the source for 10B RM bond matures tomorrow ? Where could I get the info ? Ringgit drops to three-year lowThanks Malaysia's ringgit fell to a three-year low on concern global investors will repatriate funds after US$2.9 billion of sovereign debt matures tomorrow. The Edge Rounded up after converting to rm |
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Jul 30 2013, 08:26 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:32 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:33 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:33 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:37 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 08:42 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 09:11 PM
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Jul 30 2013, 09:15 PM
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