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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V134, CI step into 1800, are you happy?

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SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 23 2013, 07:15 PM, updated 13y ago

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biggrin.gif Long time I did not open thread..............

Hello CI 1800

john123x
post Jul 23 2013, 07:22 PM

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so fast v134.....
jy1905
post Jul 23 2013, 07:35 PM

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LOL!! number three this time
hlily
post Jul 23 2013, 07:58 PM

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me no.4
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post Jul 23 2013, 08:00 PM

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Checking in
xproc
post Jul 23 2013, 08:01 PM

free for all
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phew phewwww
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post Jul 23 2013, 08:09 PM

начинаещ
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post Jul 23 2013, 08:10 PM

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Check-in #8. Huat AH! rclxm9.gif
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post Jul 23 2013, 08:11 PM

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apa ini???
Notice: Service Interruption

Please note that OSK188 will not be available for online trading today owing to technical issues. Do check your order status for all orders that were placed earlier in the morning before the system outage.

Meanwhile, please contact your Dealer/Remisier for immediate assistance.
We apologise for any inconvenience caused. hmm.gif hmm.gif
jy1905
post Jul 23 2013, 08:16 PM

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i got really pissed off by cimbclicks
the site is darnnnnn slow
anyone facing the same problem?
yok70
post Jul 23 2013, 08:45 PM

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1800, are you happy?
i more happy can check in #11. I like number. biggrin.gif
cwhong
post Jul 23 2013, 08:47 PM

Growth company seeker ..... :)
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post Jul 23 2013, 08:57 PM

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post Jul 23 2013, 09:06 PM

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post Jul 23 2013, 09:08 PM

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OnG, Property, Finance counters!
Bull run!
ham_revilo
post Jul 23 2013, 09:30 PM

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QUOTE
TPP News US-led trade talks gain complexity as Japan joins

KUALA LUMPUR, July 23 (Reuters) - Japan joined U.S.-led trade talks on Tuesday, adding its weight to a pact that covers two-fifths of
the world economy but raising further doubt over whether negotiators can prise open sensitive sectors such as farm goods and statelinked
firms.
Tokyo's entry, which takes to 12 the number of countries in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), is a key plank of Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe's plans to shake up Japan's economy and return it to growth after years of stagnation.
His "Abenomics" agenda won a further mandate on Sunday when his coalition won a strong majority in a parliamentary election.
A major goal of U.S. President Barack Obama's administration, the TPP aims to tear down barriers in areas such as government
procurement and set standards for workers' rights, environmental protection and intellectual property rights.
But it faces tough resistance in several countries, including communist Vietnam and Malaysia, where state-linked enterprises and
selective handouts of government contracts are entrenched and politically sensitive.
Japan's entry adds another layer of complexity.
"They'll come up with some agreement, but whether it will be as deep as they want it to be is another question," said Jayant Menon, a
senior economist at the Asian Development Bank.
"Malaysia and Vietnam will never agree to the rules they want on state-owned enterprises."
http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-ne...apan-joins.html
laugh.gif whistling.gif sweat.gif doh.gif

This post has been edited by ham_revilo: Jul 23 2013, 09:31 PM
mopster
post Jul 23 2013, 10:19 PM

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silent reader check in..
and Good News to M2U Stocks for iPad users!!!!
check out the latest update...

now can view research reports, ta charts, news, and good till date orders..
rclxm9.gif :cheer:

https://itunes.apple.com/qa/app/m2u-stocks-...d491273619?mt=8
Veda
post Jul 23 2013, 10:36 PM

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#18 good number!

Btw before I go mandi, just wanna say this guy Isaac Chin is one of my investment heroes ....

http://www.nextinsight.net/index.php/story...451-isaac-chin-

This post has been edited by Veda: Jul 23 2013, 11:01 PM
old_and_slow
post Jul 24 2013, 12:37 AM

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maybank wa, mbsb, and redtone to watch tomorrow biggrin.gif

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post Jul 24 2013, 01:11 AM

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yok70
post Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM

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Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later? notworthy.gif
CP88
post Jul 24 2013, 01:31 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM)
Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later?  notworthy.gif
*
Buy n sell and the process repeats! tongue.gif
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post Jul 24 2013, 08:13 AM

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alex_king
post Jul 24 2013, 08:14 AM

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index record high smile.gif _ _ _
bennike129
post Jul 24 2013, 08:25 AM

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any thoughts on REITs?
xcxa23
post Jul 24 2013, 08:26 AM

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What do you guys think about TDM??
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 08:48 AM

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hmm.gif Look at the redtone announcement, VT acquire 60k lot on 19/7 in open market............

the price should be 0.775-0.800

big player in game
vccy118
post Jul 24 2013, 08:58 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 08:48 AM)
hmm.gif Look at the redtone announcement, VT acquire 60k lot on 19/7 in open market............

the price should be 0.775-0.800

big player in game
*
Checking in!

60k lots is 6mil stocks eh, wow

drsaleh
post Jul 24 2013, 08:59 AM

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TDM looking for another run today?
john123x
post Jul 24 2013, 09:11 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 08:48 AM)
hmm.gif Look at the redtone announcement, VT acquire 60k lot on 19/7 in open market............

the price should be 0.775-0.800

big player in game
*
u interested? me still thinking

SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(john123x @ Jul 24 2013, 09:11 AM)
u interested? me still thinking
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hmm.gif I on board few weeks ago
john123x
post Jul 24 2013, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 09:12 AM)
hmm.gif I on board few weeks ago
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thx to VT, u got bout 25% paper profit?
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 09:20 AM

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QUOTE(john123x @ Jul 24 2013, 09:16 AM)
thx to VT, u got bout 25% paper profit?
*
laugh.gif no, 10%+ only.........

this is not fundamental attractive counter, i bought because of news

in fact, now is selling the "future" price.........not low
cdspins
post Jul 24 2013, 09:22 AM

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jerrychoo2004
post Jul 24 2013, 09:31 AM

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sap fatt sap fatt ah!!!
1810 now...8 more points to go to the magic number ^^
Babablacksheep
post Jul 24 2013, 09:47 AM

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QUOTE(bennike129 @ Jul 24 2013, 08:25 AM)
any thoughts on REITs?
*
IGBReit attractive price now (comparing historical chart)
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 09:50 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM)
Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later?  notworthy.gif
*
later Maybank IB will call for option stock - maybe PUT Warrant since they have plenty on their hand....
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 09:52 AM

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tongue.gif lol, less than 1 hour trading today, already cover back last 2 days loss
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 09:53 AM

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QUOTE(bennike129 @ Jul 24 2013, 08:25 AM)
any thoughts on REITs?
*
my curiosity until what extend the MGS interest rate will hike to what level, the reits will continue depress shocking.gif

I wonder how retail can purchase MGS to joy the ride? smile.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 09:50 AM)
later Maybank IB will call for option stock - maybe PUT Warrant since they have plenty on their hand....
*
tongue.gif need play till so tricky?

small fish will cry
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM

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QUOTE(Babablacksheep @ Jul 24 2013, 09:47 AM)
IGBReit attractive price now (comparing historical chart)
*
?

This is IGBReit chart since listing.

user posted image

Is the chart going up? No.
Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes
Is there any IMMEDIATE indication when the stock will stop falling? No
Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting?

What is the indicative yield at current price?

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 24 2013, 01:24 AM)
Maybank IB acts as stabilizer and bought Airasia X stocks. Then what? They will hold those stocks? Or they will sell back to the market later?  notworthy.gif
*
As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM)
?

This is IGBReit chart since listing.

user posted image

Is the chart going up? No.
Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes
Is there any IMMEDIATE indication where the stock will stock falling? No
Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting?

What is the indicative yield at current price?
*
Morning Boon3,

here the yield.


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM)
As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. laugh.gif
*
If one is not lazy, one can use Uncle Google to check on past Greenshoe options performances.

This one is the first one tongue.gif

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/commentary/...hoe-option.html
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM)
Morning Boon3,

here the yield.
*
Thanks felix.

Is DPU of 6.38 sen an estimated figure?

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:01 AM)
As a stabilizing manager, the fund to purchase comes from the IPO proceeds itself, so it is basically AAX buying back itself. No loss to the stabilizing manager as they are merely agents, AAX foots the bill, later all these shares goes back to treasury. laugh.gif
*
Hi gark,

I thought the stabilizing mechanism using own IB $$$, not the $$$ from the IPO listing company?
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM)
Thanks felix.

Is DPU of 6.38 sen an estimated figure?
*
YES nod.gif from Prospectus
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:03 AM)
If one is not lazy, one can use Uncle Google to check on past Greenshoe options performances.

This one is the first one tongue.gif

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/commentary/...hoe-option.html
*
If any IPO requires stabilizing manager on the first day itself already means it is overpriced and is going to fall sooner or later. Anyway I don't subscribe to IPO, most of it overpriced.

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM)
If any IPO requires stabilizing manager on the first day itself already means it is overpriced and is going to fall sooner or later. Anyway I don't subscribe to IPO, most of it overpriced.
*
I also agree. smile.gif
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 10:05 AM)
Hi gark,

I thought the stabilizing mechanism using own IB $$$, not the $$$ from the IPO listing company?
*
From overallotment of shares by listing company if not mistaken.
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM)
YES  nod.gif  from Prospectus
*
I see.

However, prospectus numbers and promises is one thing. Company performing and actually doing what they promise is another thing.

So far from Bursa website: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ll&company=5227

IGBReit has only announced ONE dividend payment in Jan 2013 and paid in Feb 2013. DPU was only 1.83 sen.
It's now July 2013.
I believe that no other dividend has been announced.

Could this be another reason why this REIT is sliding and there's a chance that it could even go below its IPO price of 125?



gark
post Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 10:08 AM)
YES  nod.gif  from Prospectus
*
You must take note that IGBREIT is now paying out 100% of earnings, this in the future is not sustainable...later will revert back to 90+%
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM)
You must take note that IGBREIT is now paying out 100% of earnings, this in the future is not sustainable...later will revert back to 90+%
*
Me eat first, think later what i eat...
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 10:22 AM

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hmm.gif PBBank performing good...........really king of fundamental
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post Jul 24 2013, 10:27 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:15 AM)
You must take note that IGBREIT is now paying out 100% of earnings, this in the future is not sustainable...later will revert back to 90+%
*
What's your estimate DPU from IGBReit for 2103?
dflyz
post Jul 24 2013, 10:32 AM

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check in....

YEAH!!! CI more than 1800....
valan
post Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM

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ooo Redtone got show again
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM

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QUOTE(valan @ Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM)
ooo Redtone got show again
*
tongue.gif touched 0.83..........
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post Jul 24 2013, 10:42 AM

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SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 10:22 AM)
hmm.gif PBBank performing good...........really king of fundamental
*
Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB.....

Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment .

Indo bank Share price kinda like rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought .....

Some more need to sell down some share portion in order to keep listed in INdonesia......

Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 24 2013, 10:45 AM
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 10:36 AM)
tongue.gif touched 0.83..........
*
U are not running off this time hmm.gif

Congratulation anyway.......... thumbup.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM)
Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB.....

Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment .

Indo Share price kinda like  rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought .....

Some more need to sell down some share  portion in order to keep listed.

Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only.
*
hmm.gif PBBank is the very stable bank with steady growth in Malaysia.............because its manage by chinese but in conservative style, low bad debt.

they posted a good quarterly report yesterday
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post Jul 24 2013, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:46 AM)
U are not running off this time  hmm.gif

Congratulation anyway.......... thumbup.gif
*
tongue.gif I q sell 0.83...............but i feel that it will go higher than this price

no want greedy, no guts for 100% gain
cherroy
post Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 09:53 AM)
my curiosity until what extend the MGS interest rate will hike to what level,  the reits will continue depress  shocking.gif

I wonder how retail can purchase MGS to joy the ride?  smile.gif
*
Bonds are in sliding mode across since the word "tapering" surface.

It is price of bonds go down, that sending yield higher.
You don't "enjoy" your bond, when bond yield rising.

SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 10:49 AM)
tongue.gif I q sell 0.83...............but i feel that it will go higher than this price

no want greedy, no guts for 100% gain
*
I traded REdtone at about 40sen.........

Now it is about 100% from my trading price......... laugh.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM)
Bonds are in sliding mode across since the word "tapering" surface.

It is price of bonds go down, that sending yield higher.
You don't "enjoy" your bond, when bond yield rising.
*
Bond Yield is planned for a rise.

The trend is upward, just gradually maybe hmm.gif
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post Jul 24 2013, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM)
I traded REdtone at about 40sen.........

Now it is about 100% from my trading price......... laugh.gif
*
laugh.gif you manyak hebat...........

always successfully target the 100% gain
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:27 AM)
What's your estimate DPU from IGBReit for 2103?
*
Don't know oh... never done much research yet. tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 10:59 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 10:57 AM)
laugh.gif you manyak hebat...........

always successfully target the 100% gain
*
I trade REdtone on and off , rather than hold for mid term.

Not a very steady company....
cwhong
post Jul 24 2013, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:44 AM)
Might be some funds are shifting from Maybank to PBB.....

Maybank Indonesia faced a heavy write off aka impairment .

Indo bank  Share price kinda like  rp 350 compared to rp 550 when bought .....

Some more need to sell down some share  portion in order to keep listed in INdonesia......

Not saying Maybank is bad, just updating my info here only.
*
This maybank always got scandal one..... Now tony pua asking for the BII shares sold at what price and to whom? Dun know they bother to answer his question or not....... hmm.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:58 AM)
Don't know oh... never done much research yet.  tongue.gif
*
It goes underwater soon, below its IPO price hmm.gif
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post Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM

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when you plan to sell ? smile.gif

QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:52 AM)
I traded REdtone at about 40sen.........

Now it is about 100% from my trading price......... laugh.gif
*
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 10:58 AM)
Don't know oh... never done much research yet.  tongue.gif
*
tongue.gif

IGBReit is one monster reit leh.
The numbers of shares (or the number of slices of the cake) is very long hor. >3.4 Billion.
Cake have to feed many hor. tongue.gif
cwhong
post Jul 24 2013, 11:06 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM)
tongue.gif

IGBReit is one monster reit leh.
The numbers of shares (or the number of slices of the cake) is very long hor. >3.4 Billion.
Cake have to feed many hor. tongue.gif
*
Will have impact to igb once setia eco city completed........ hmm.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(valan @ Jul 24 2013, 11:04 AM)
when you plan to sell ? smile.gif
*
I stop buying redtone, too expensive hmm.gif

Zero balance.

just Look see look see now
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(cwhong @ Jul 24 2013, 11:06 AM)
Will have impact to igb once setia eco city completed........  hmm.gif
*
Maybe and possible.

Personally, I do not like Mad Valley at all. tongue.gif
It's been almost 2 years since I last step foot inside that place. sweat.gif

SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(cwhong @ Jul 24 2013, 11:06 AM)
Will have impact to igb once setia eco city completed........  hmm.gif
*
Retail business is quite slow, but reit holders expect rentals to go up forever.

Hope that the golden gooses are not killed off by the high rentals.
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM)
Maybe and possible.

Personally, I do not like Mad Valley at all. tongue.gif
It's been almost 2 years since I last step foot inside that place.  sweat.gif
*
Why? I find MV to be the best shopping mall for me lah.. laugh.gif
river.sand
post Jul 24 2013, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(cwhong @ Jul 24 2013, 11:01 AM)
This maybank always got scandal one..... Now tony pua asking for the BII shares sold at what price and to whom? Dun know they bother to answer his question or not....... hmm.gif
*
Seems like no effect on Maybank's price hmm.gif
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 11:13 AM)
Why? I find MV to be the best shopping mall for me lah.. laugh.gif
*
laugh.gif

I also dunno why. tongue.gif


Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 11:17 AM)
laugh.gif

I also dunno why. tongue.gif
*
sweat.gif

But it's been a while since I last stepped on MV.
I dislike shopping actually. Car parks problem and the price sometimes you can get cheaper at your local 99 speedmart.
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 11:19 AM)
sweat.gif

But it's been a while since I last stepped on MV.
I dislike shopping actually. Car parks problem and the price sometimes you can get cheaper at your local 99 speedmart.
*
Haha!

Yeah.. to think about it, I don't quite enjoy shopping too. sweat.gif


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post Jul 24 2013, 11:30 AM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 24 2013, 11:14 AM)
Seems like no effect on Maybank's price  hmm.gif
*
Hiding here and there in the accounts until year end..........one big action yawn.gif


cherroy
post Jul 24 2013, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 24 2013, 10:54 AM)
Bond Yield is planned  for a rise.

The trend is upward, just gradually maybe hmm.gif
*
I do not see it rise too far.
Just normalise back what it should be.

I do not see how quality bond yield can above 4-5% when there is no central banks around the world is hiking interest, nor concern about inflation.

SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 24 2013, 11:31 AM)
I do not see it rise too far.
Just normalise back what it should be.

I do not see how quality bond yield can above 4-5% when there is no central banks around the world is hiking interest, nor concern about inflation.
*
" Quality Bonds" , not sure which ones u refer to but ( a bit long winded ) :-

(July 23): Borrowing costs for Malaysia’s Syarikat Prasarana Negara Bhd. look set to rise for its planned sukuk as a government guarantee and a drought in new issuance fail to shield the company from a global increase in yields.

The state-owned public transport operator plans to sell 1 billion ringgit ($315 million) of debt due in 10 to 15 years in August, which Asian Islamic Investment Management Bhd. predicts will have to offer a 50 basis-point premium over non-Shariah- compliant sovereign notes. Ten-year government bonds pay 3.82 percent, indicating Prasarana’s new securities may yield more than the 3.77 percent it paid for that maturity in August 2012.

The world’s biggest sukuk market is experiencing its worst year for sales since 2010, with nothing apart from Prasarana’s offering confirmed in the pipeline from local-currency issuers. Average yields on global corporate Islamic securities increased 27 basis points since the end of May to 4.18 percent amid concern an end to U.S. monetary stimulus will spur outflows from Asia, an index compiled by HSBC Holdings Plc shows.

“Even though the corporate debt market is pretty dry, investors won’t chase paper like before,” Fariza Taib, a fixed- income manager overseeing 1 billion ringgit at Kuala Lumpur- based Asian Islamic Investment, said in a July 18 interview. “Still, demand will be there from insurers and pension funds that need to manage assets and liabilities.”

Malaysia’s offerings of Islamic bonds, which pay returns on assets to comply with the Koran’s ban on interest, dropped 65 percent to 19.9 billion ringgit this year, after reaching a record 95.8 billion ringgit in 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Issuance from the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council, which includes Saudi Arabia, fell 38 percent to $10.8 billion.

Rising Guarantees
Prasarana intends to raise 4 billion ringgit this year from sukuk to extend an overhead light railway in and around Kuala Lumpur, with a further 1 billion ringgit planned in September and 2 billion ringgit toward year-end, Mohd. Zahir Zahur Hussain, the group finance director, said in a July 17 interview.

The risk of the Federal Reserve cutting bond purchases will have a limited impact on Prasarana’s borrowing costs due to the level of local demand and state backing, Mohd. Zahir said.

Prime Minister Najib Razak’s administration is offering government guarantees for debt issuers looking to fund projects under Malaysia’s $444 billion development program to build railways, roads and power plants over the next 10 years.

Such securities totaled 147.8 billion ringgit, or 69.4 percent of gross domestic product, as of March, Chua Hak Bin, an economist in Singapore at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said in an interview yesterday. That’s up from 68.5 percent and 64.8 percent at the end of 2012 and 2011, he said.

‘Red Flag’
At current trajectories, quasi-public debt, which includes government-guaranteed notes, will reach 72 percent by year-end and may test 80 percent in about two years, a level typically regarded as a “red flag,” Chua said.

“The rise in government-guaranteed debt isn’t a major concern as the funds raised are used for infrastructure development, which will spur growth in the economy,” Michael Chang, who oversees $1 billion as head of bonds at MCIS Zurich Insurance Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur, said in an interview yesterday. “We would probably buy the Prasarana sukuk as we still need to extend duration.”

Prasarana priced 15-year Islamic bonds at 4 percent at the previous sale in 2012. The yield has since climbed 30 basis points, or 0.3 percentage point, to 4.3 percent, the latest prices from Bursa Malaysia show. The rate on similar-maturity 5.248 percent government notes that don’t comply with religious tenets rose 27 basis points this year to 4.06 percent, the highest since March 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Corporate Gains
The Bloomberg-AIBIM Bursa Malaysia Corporate Index, which tracks 57 local-currency Shariah-compliant bonds, climbed 2.2 percent in 2013 to 104.56. Borrowing costs on the nation’s top- rated 15-year non-Islamic notes remained stable in July, rising three basis points to 4.55 percent, a central bank gauge shows.

Global sukuk, including company debt and sovereigns, posted a loss of 0.3 percent this year, according to the HSBC/Nasdaq Dubai US Dollar Sukuk index, while JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI Global Index shows bonds in emerging markets lost 5.9 percent.

The premium investors demand to hold Shariah notes sold internationally over the London interbank offered rate narrowed 34 basis points to 183 basis points in July, after widening 38 points in June, the biggest increase since November 2011.

No Hindrance
Corporate sukuk in the Southeast Asian nation benefits from a higher degree of scarcity than for government debt, Nor Hanifah Hashim, fixed income head at Franklin Templeton Investments Malaysia, said in a July 5 e-mail.

Prasarana’s Mohd. Zahir said the company will proceed with its planned bond sale even if the Fed starts tapering its asset purchases. The company, which has total debt of 9.9 billion ringgit outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, sold 2 billion ringgit of sukuk in August 2012, receiving 3.6 billion ringgit in orders.
“In general, we prefer shorter-dated paper because yields have gone up,” Mohd Noor Hj A Rahman, chief executive officer at OSK-UOB Islamic Fund Management Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur, said in a July 19 interview. “We would only buy Prasarana sukuk if yields are attractive.”

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 24 2013, 11:41 AM
davidcch07
post Jul 24 2013, 12:27 PM

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Not bad INARI & REDTONE! smile.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jul 24 2013, 12:27 PM)
Not bad INARI & REDTONE! smile.gif
*
Nice tip on REdtone some time back...... thumbup.gif


Madbull
post Jul 24 2013, 01:03 PM

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Check in...88 = huat huat...
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 01:32 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 11:10 AM)
Maybe and possible.

Personally, I do not like Mad Valley at all. tongue.gif
It's been almost 2 years since I last step foot inside that place.  sweat.gif
*
Ok wat... got everything under the sky.

Then which mall you usually go ah? tongue.gif Or you don't like go mall one... laugh.gif
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 01:39 PM

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Bonds : Death of an asset class.

Link here...

A very technical but good analysis for bonds returns for the next 7 years, which is expected to perform below cash.

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 01:40 PM
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 01:46 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 11:19 AM)
sweat.gif

But it's been a while since I last stepped on MV.
I dislike shopping actually. Car parks problem and the price sometimes you can get cheaper at your local 99 speedmart.
*
got girlfriend/wife/children different story liao.... 'forced' to go shopping... sweat.gif
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 01:46 PM)
got girlfriend/wife/children different story liao.... 'forced' to go shopping... sweat.gif
*
nod.gif nod.gif Dont bring wife shopping sure WIFE/GF/Concubine/Mistress/Female moody Temperature not stable.
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 01:55 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 01:51 PM)
nod.gif  nod.gif Dont bring wife shopping sure WIFE/GF/Concubine/Mistress/Female moody Temperature not stable.
*
Wah you so 'keng' got mistress and concubine also bring shopping ah.... laugh.gif Nanti kena' chop'.
felixmask
post Jul 24 2013, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 01:55 PM)
Wah you so 'keng' got mistress and concubine also bring shopping ah....  laugh.gif Nanti kena' chop'.
*
must treat them good, then only they serve well back.
gark
post Jul 24 2013, 02:03 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 24 2013, 02:00 PM)
must treat them good, then only they serve well back.
*
Bring them shopping if wife/relative/friend/private detective see.. go back home wife 'chop' your little..... rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 24 2013, 02:04 PM
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 02:03 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 24 2013, 01:46 PM)
got girlfriend/wife/children different story liao.... 'forced' to go shopping... sweat.gif
*
Nowadays I escape by saying need to OT. Hahaha
jy1905
post Jul 24 2013, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 02:03 PM)
Nowadays I escape by saying need to OT. Hahaha
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maybe she find someone else go with her coz you "OT"
SKY 1809
post Jul 24 2013, 02:12 PM

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QUOTE(jy1905 @ Jul 24 2013, 02:06 PM)
maybe she find someone else go with her coz you "OT"
*
Someone burned himself, cos wife fell in love with another one of the same sex.....

another Sad story...

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 24 2013, 02:12 PM
yok70
post Jul 24 2013, 03:11 PM

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NEW YORK (Reuters) - Investors raised their longer-dated U.S. Treasuries holdings in the latest week after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sought to reduce worries about rising interest rates, according to a survey released on Tuesday.

He added the Fed will likely hold short-term rates near zero for a long time even after it stops buying Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.

J.P. Morgan surveys 40 to 60 of its Treasuries clients weekly, of which 60 percent are fund managers, 25 percent are speculative accounts and 15 percent are central banks and sovereign wealth funds.
It asks 10 to 20 of its active clients each week about their Treasuries holdings, of which 70 percent are speculative accounts and the rest are money managers.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/investors-ad...A3BtaA--;_ylv=3
cks
post Jul 24 2013, 03:20 PM

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tdm very powderful...
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 03:23 PM

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Redtone manyak ong rclxms.gif
Babablacksheep
post Jul 24 2013, 03:36 PM

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Wow. Ranhill Petronas license got revoked!
Extremely bad news for an IPO listing soon.
kuluuluk
post Jul 24 2013, 03:37 PM

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Meet Mr. Money Mustache. Hundreds of thousands of readers follow his bold advice on his self-titled blog — and for good reason. He has cracked the retirement code while many of us were struggling with student loans. At 23 years old he began working and saving…and saving some more. By age 30, he’d amassed some $800,000 in cash and investments, and then entered early retirement.

How I Retired at 30
valan
post Jul 24 2013, 04:18 PM

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another happy day biggrin.gif

QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 03:23 PM)
Redtone manyak ong rclxms.gif
*
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 03:23 PM)
Redtone manyak ong rclxms.gif
*
laugh.gif I took profit..................

congratz to us
davidcch07
post Jul 24 2013, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 05:19 PM)
laugh.gif I took profit..................

congratz to us
*
so fast? hmm.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:21 PM)
so fast?  hmm.gif
*
laugh.gif yup...........but i believe it can go higher.

just I prefer took profit
yok70
post Jul 24 2013, 04:22 PM

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Why people has no problem to trade healthcare sector at PE so high? It's like 50x is very much acceptable. Are they growing that fast? Really? And yield is not so attractive either. I don't see fast growing on KPJ, even IHH. Now Tropicana Medical Center. Not saying they are bad business, in fact they are very good business. But can they grow that much in next 3 years? Or the market is valuating their 10 years later scale? hmm.gif

http://nexttrade.blogspot.com/2013/07/tmcl...hcare-play.html
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:19 PM)
laugh.gif I took profit..................

congratz to us
*
Congrats. Any profit is good profit.

QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:21 PM)
so fast?  hmm.gif
*
Now left few of us. What's your TP? biggrin.gif
yok70
post Jul 24 2013, 04:26 PM

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I just wanna say REITs are selling like hot cakes....then realize is it correct to say that for REIT's case? biggrin.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:25 PM)
Congrats. Any profit is good profit.
Now left few of us. What's your TP?  biggrin.gif
*
hmm.gif give you a hint, check back the history...........

I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce.............

after announce it will go downward on 3rd day

if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement

This post has been edited by StupidGuyPlayComp: Jul 24 2013, 04:28 PM
davidcch07
post Jul 24 2013, 04:31 PM

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Rm 1 smile.gif
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:31 PM)
Rm 1 smile.gif
*
Wow rclxms.gif
But I'll sell once reach TP 95 cents. biggrin.gif
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM)
hmm.gif give you a hint, check back the history...........

I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce.............

after announce it will go downward on 3rd day

if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement
*
When is the announcement date? blush.gif
valan
post Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM

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LIKE +1
i'm also looking at that range

QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM)
Wow  rclxms.gif
But I'll sell once reach TP 95 cents.  biggrin.gif
*
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM)
When is the announcement date?  blush.gif
*
hmm.gif last year is 30/7
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM)
Wow  rclxms.gif
But I'll sell once reach TP 95 cents.  biggrin.gif
*
Why have a preset targets?

Listen to the stock. tongue.gif

Sometimes the stock can go much higher than the TP but there also many times it falls way short of TPs.
Me? I always prefer to listen.

Good profits eh? smile.gif
valan
post Jul 24 2013, 04:41 PM

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Shud be end of July

QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:35 PM)
When is the announcement date?  blush.gif
*
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM)
Why have a preset targets?

Listen to the stock. tongue.gif

Sometimes the stock can go much higher than the TP but there also many times it falls way short of TPs.
Me? I always prefer to listen.

Good profits eh? smile.gif
*
Yes.
Depending on sentiment at that time, see how it goes actually, but the plan is 95 cents.

On the other hand, JCY doh.gif
Icehart
post Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:40 PM)
hmm.gif last year is 30/7
*
QUOTE(valan @ Jul 24 2013, 04:41 PM)
Shud be end of July
*
Thanks to both of you. rclxms.gif
valan
post Jul 24 2013, 04:44 PM

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thanks for sharing your observation.
and gratz on your profit

QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 24 2013, 04:27 PM)
hmm.gif give you a hint, check back the history...........

I found this counter is up trend before the excellent quarterly result being announce.............

after announce it will go downward on 3rd day

if it repeated this time, the best time to sell is the 2nd day after the announcement
*
This post has been edited by valan: Jul 24 2013, 04:44 PM
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 24 2013, 04:42 PM)
Yes.
Depending on sentiment at that time, see how it goes actually, but the plan is 95 cents.

On the other hand, JCY  doh.gif
*
On the other hand, the observation that redtone consolidates after its quarterly earnings the past few quarterly earnings is spot on.
I do know this a fact ... since when redtone was below 40 sen. smile.gif

JCY on the other hand is actually looking good.
It's just digesting its recent gains.
No stocks go straight up, its usually 2 steps forward 1 step backward.
(ps: me not on this one cos I don't understand its fundamentals. tongue.gif )

Babablacksheep
post Jul 24 2013, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 09:58 AM)
?

This is IGBReit chart since listing.

user posted image

Is the chart going up? No.
Is the chart showing a stock whose price is continuing to fall? Yes
Is there any IMMEDIATE indication when the stock will stop falling? No
Comparing to historical chart, why is IGBReit interesting?

What is the indicative yield at current price?
*
IMO, price looks attractive = cheap buy compare to history price.
Since REIT is long term structure smile.gif

davinz18
post Jul 24 2013, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(Babablacksheep @ Jul 24 2013, 04:59 PM)
IMO, price looks attractive = cheap buy compare to history price.
Since REIT is long term structure  smile.gif
*
Wait for few more days, can get at IPO price biggrin.gif
Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(Babablacksheep @ Jul 24 2013, 04:59 PM)
IMO, price looks attractive = cheap buy compare to history price.
Since REIT is long term structure  smile.gif
*
Compare to history price, the price is now much lower.
Is it good just cos it's lower?

How much dpu has this reit actually paid thid year? 1.83 Sen.
It's now almost end July.
Why so little so far?
When will the next divi be paid?
How much?
Madbull
post Jul 24 2013, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 05:04 PM)
Compare to history price, the price is now much lower.
Is it good just cos it's lower?

How much dpu has this reit actually paid thid year? 1.83 Sen.
It's now almost end July.
Why so little so far?
When will the next divi be paid?
How much?
*
IPO is in 3 quarter last year so DPU declared was 1.83 (i assume is only 1 quarter profit)
If dividend is declare half yearly, then we will expect another one soon..
How much is a question but should expect abt 3.5sen?

This post has been edited by Madbull: Jul 24 2013, 05:19 PM
yok70
post Jul 24 2013, 05:49 PM

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IGBReit should pay about 7 sen for entire year.
No acquisition in pipeline, so can only consider organic growth. The organic growth is to further utilize Midvalley space, ie. the top cinema floor, they are building 2nd floors on top of some shops. And of course, major growth for the next 3 years or so will come from Garden's rental revision. The traffic in Garden has increased substantially the recent year. This is the same as Pavilion 2-3 years ago, from tiny traffic into fast increasing.
Regarding parking issue, in fact, all top shopping malls in Malaysia suffers from this issue. 1U, Pyramid, Midvalley etc. Even fees as high as KLCC is not easy to find parking too. Wondering why is that so difficult to solve. Can't they simply add few more floors of parking in the building? shakehead.gif
ivanau88
post Jul 24 2013, 05:58 PM

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argh. everytime have long meeting sure miss something. Missed my redtone again. gotta enter again :/
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post Jul 24 2013, 06:00 PM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 24 2013, 03:37 PM)
Meet Mr. Money Mustache. Hundreds of thousands of readers follow his bold advice on his self-titled blog — and for good reason. He has cracked the retirement code while many of us were struggling with student loans. At 23 years old he began working and saving…and saving some more. By age 30, he’d amassed some $800,000 in cash and investments, and then entered early retirement.

How I Retired at 30
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Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(davinz18 @ Jul 24 2013, 05:00 PM)
Wait for few more days, can get at IPO price  biggrin.gif
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After getting IPO price... then what? tongue.gif


Boon3
post Jul 24 2013, 06:18 PM

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QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 24 2013, 05:18 PM)
IPO is in 3 quarter last year so DPU declared was 1.83 (i assume is only 1 quarter profit)
If dividend is declare half yearly, then we will expect another one soon..
How much is a question but should expect abt 3.5sen?
*
I understand your point.

IGBReit is a monster size reit.
3.4 billion shares and a market cap of 4.32 billion.

It took a very strong hand to push the stock down from 145 to current price of 127.

I, for one, would respect what this strong hand is trying to do first before assuming anything else.
If the stock is really good, paying a little bit more when the share price recovers won't hurt.
What would hurt is buying now and have no idea why the so-called solid reit keeps dropping.

My one sen.
myasiahobby
post Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM

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this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa holiday smile.gif
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post Jul 24 2013, 09:08 PM

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QUOTE(myasiahobby @ Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM)
this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa  holiday  smile.gif
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omg, this friday is my T+3
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post Jul 24 2013, 09:09 PM

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QUOTE(myasiahobby @ Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM)
this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa  holiday  smile.gif
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Nope, not holiday for Bursa. Only for certain states. Nuzul Al Quran is not national public holiday.
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QUOTE(myasiahobby @ Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM)
this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa  holiday  smile.gif
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Thought selangor only holidays?
Bursa is base on KL
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:18 AM

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laugh.gif

Nobody uses Bursa website? tongue.gif

Bursa holidays are stated here: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/about-us/holidays/


Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 08:51 AM

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Morning chart...

Fake stuff... tongue.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 08:55 AM

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Yesterday closing actually not too bad. tongue.gif

user posted image

So what's the fuss?

At 125, IF IGBReit pays as promised in its prospectus, what the yield? tongue.gif
Is it something to worth to hunt for? tongue.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 08:59 AM

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The other day, if not mistaken ... tongue.gif
this was suggested for look see-ing.... whistling.gif

user posted image




ronnie
post Jul 25 2013, 08:59 AM

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QUOTE(myasiahobby @ Jul 24 2013, 08:21 PM)
this Friday Nuzul Al-Quran is bursa  holiday  smile.gif
*
Kuala Lumpur no holiday... so Bursa continues.
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:01 AM

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Getting nervous after two red days meh? tongue.gif

Don't scared lar... trend still strong, yes? whistling.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:04 AM

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The big money is always in the waiting.. tongue.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:08 AM

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Me think still OK la... sweat.gif sweat.gif

IMO I think it's just building itself up for the next leg up.

user posted image
kuluuluk
post Jul 25 2013, 09:13 AM

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Tambun!!!! 1.50 again.... blush.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:13 AM

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Are you in it to win it? tongue.gif

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Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 25 2013, 09:13 AM)
Tambun!!!!  1.50 again....    blush.gif
*
Buy more la.... at 153? tongue.gif laugh.gif

sweat.gif

user posted image
kuluuluk
post Jul 25 2013, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 09:16 AM)
Buy more la.... at 153? tongue.gif  laugh.gif

sweat.gif

user posted image
*
TP 1.50 only but no takers!! yet

Do your chart magic.... plz with all those lines!! thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by kuluuluk: Jul 25 2013, 09:19 AM
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:20 AM

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And of course the very scientific chart of the coming weeks....

August and September is coming...

Pong Pong Ssway sifoo says all gains will be given back by end Sept... and from where we are ... that should be a loss of over 190 pts and counting. sweat.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 25 2013, 09:17 AM)
TP 1.50 only but no takers!! yet

Do your chart magic....  plz with all those lines!!  thumbup.gif
*
laugh.gif

Why should TP set at 150? rolleyes.gif

I don't use TP la...

Ok I lied. tongue.gif
The TP I use is toilet paper. laugh.gif

Seriously... I am not one to use Target Prices.

And if I don't have... like I said... I might even buy at 153! LOL!
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:34 AM

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This one also getting whacked until out of shape hor. tongue.gif

Yesterday volume... err ... sweat.gif sweat.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:37 AM

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On the other hand, this other tailou died earlier and it looks as if it's in the process of finding its feet. tongue.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:42 AM

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Shiit... spammer. tongue.gif

This other tailou also can be considered died ealier jor.. tongue.gif

Looks like it's also in the process of finding of finding its feet... but then some might ask if the *C is the current stabilizing factor? rolleyes.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:47 AM

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Consolidating after announcing another decent set of earnings + *C ? rolleyes.gif
Or as some might say 'sell on news'? tongue.gif
Or should one continue to sit? tongue.gif

user posted image
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 09:51 AM

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rolleyes.gif Consolidating after recent run with high at 32 sen.
Looks like 32 is the immediate R. tongue.gif

user posted image
cooldownguy86
post Jul 25 2013, 10:06 AM

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Boon dailou very rajin
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 10:09 AM

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Correction.. not rajin la... was just very bored. tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 09:34 AM)
This one also getting whacked until out of shape hor. tongue.gif

Yesterday volume... err ...  sweat.gif  sweat.gif

user posted image
*
Somehow these are the graphs that excite me.. not the forever up one. Something wrong with me? icon_question.gif
cooldownguy86
post Jul 25 2013, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM)
Somehow these are the graphs that excite me.. not the forever up one. Something wrong with me?  icon_question.gif
*
Ya i also like this. So much flesh. Very sexy. Haha
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM)
Somehow these are the graphs that excite me.. not the forever up one. Something wrong with me?  icon_question.gif
*
Forever up ones are good especially if you are patiently sitting in it. tongue.gif
To get big gains, you have to wait.
How to get 3x or 4x winners if you don't wait?
It's the same with investing or is the investing following the trading? rolleyes.gif tongue.gif
Investors don't pull the plants out upon seeing the first bloom of flowers, do they? rolleyes.gif

Those falling ones...
laugh.gif
I know... you like cos .... you are drilled that buying something 'cheaper' is a good thing. tongue.gif
I know ... very hard to argue against that reasoning. Haha.
But in the stock market, I have seen incidents where all it takes is one bad falling cheap stock to whack you out of the game.
I saw it in Transmil last time.
Kaki thought when Tranmil fell kau-kau, it was opportunity of life time to buy something 'good' at a much 'cheaper' price.
How can it be bad? They argued.
Rich man Billionaire Kuok got big stake in the stock wor.
How can he let it die.
Kaki bought a lot when it limit down the second time.
When it rebounded a fair bit, he was convinced he was so right.
He bought more. doh.gif
When Tranmil resumed falling.. he constantly bought more.
Still saying Kuok will not let Tranmil die.
He was wrong.
I am sure he lost at least 250k (maybe more) in that stock. He denied. Saying only 100+. sweat.gif

When the stock is in its initial falling stage, what would really hurt is buying and then to see the stock continue to fall and have no idea why the stock keeps falling and have no idea when it will stop falling.
If I want, I would rather wait a bit first.
Let the selling finish first and not do the risky thing of guessing where and when the stock will stop falling.

Waiting to buy is as important as waiting to sell. tongue.gif
LOWYAT3AB
post Jul 25 2013, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:11 AM)
Somehow these are the graphs that excite me.. not the forever up one. Something wrong with me?  icon_question.gif
*
I do not chase prices which are shooting up,
unless there are strong buying signals.

I love these types of charts where prices are still falling.

Prices cannot continue to keep falling with no end.

I will monitor and try to catch rebound.
Need to wait to see when selling stops and if likely short-term
rebound is strong or not.

I have made good profits from stocks which
have rebounded from grossly oversold positions.

Anyone has any LATEST fundamental data or interesting news
to share on this counter AXREIT ?

This post has been edited by LOWYAT3AB: Jul 25 2013, 10:59 AM
gark
post Jul 25 2013, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 10:30 AM)
Forever up ones are good especially if you are patiently sitting in it. tongue.gif
To get big gains, you have to wait.
How to get 3x or 4x winners if you don't wait?
It's the same with investing or is the investing following the trading?  rolleyes.gif  tongue.gif
Investors don't pull the plants out upon seeing the first bloom of flowers, do they?  rolleyes.gif

Those falling ones...
laugh.gif
I know... you like cos .... you are drilled that buying something 'cheaper' is a good thing. tongue.gif
I know ... very hard to argue against that reasoning. Haha.
But in the stock market, I have seen incidents where all it takes is one bad falling cheap stock to whack you out of the game.
I saw it in Transmil last time.
Kaki thought when Tranmil fell kau-kau, it was opportunity of life time to buy something 'good' at a much 'cheaper' price.
How can it be bad? They argued.
Rich man Billionaire Kuok got big stake in the stock wor.
How can he let it die.
Kaki bought a lot when it limit down the second time.
When it rebounded a fair bit, he was convinced he was so right.
He bought more.  doh.gif
When Tranmil resumed falling.. he constantly bought more.
Still saying Kuok will not let Tranmil die.
He was wrong.
I am sure he lost at least 250k (maybe more) in that stock. He denied. Saying only 100+.  sweat.gif

When the stock is in its initial falling stage, what would really hurt is buying and then to see the stock continue to fall and have no idea why the stock keeps falling and have no idea when it will stop falling.
If I want, I would rather wait a bit first.
Let the selling finish first and not do the risky thing of guessing where and when the stock will stop falling.

Waiting to buy is as important as waiting to sell. tongue.gif
*
Nice transmile story... but the transmile stock falling is together with deteriorating fundamentals. This kind of 'falling' stock I also don't want to touch.

For the forever up stock, most are selling at high valuation, again back to fundamentals. I also hesitant to buy cause it is overvalued...

Sometimes so difficult to play stock market, buy susah, don't buy also susah... sweat.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 25 2013, 10:35 AM)
Nice transmile story... but the transmile stock falling is together with deteriorating fundamentals. This kind of 'falling' stock I also don't want to touch.

For the forever up stock, most are selling at high valuation, again back to fundamentals. I also hesitant to buy cause it is overvalued...

Sometimes so difficult to play stock market, buy susah, don't buy also susah... sweat.gif
*
At that time, Transmil was made to look nice cos of fake accounting. (fake account showed solid growth) sweat.gif
Kaki still bought once the news was announced.
Argued based on his buying price vs highest price doh.gif
Argued even more kau-kau citing Kuok factor. doh.gif

Yeah... stock game is sometime very weird one. tongue.gif
Sometimes buta-buta machine gun shoot, everything also can win big (as seen after GE. ) laugh.gif
Sometimes think-think until brain juice spill all out... buy and then still can lose money. doh.gif

Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 09:34 AM)
This one also getting whacked until out of shape hor. tongue.gif

Yesterday volume... err ...  sweat.gif  sweat.gif
Compare the early morning chart...

user posted image

with this one just taken...

user posted image

See the volume and the fall? Isn't it gathering momentum? rolleyes.gif

Take out the bigger zoom chart to see where we are at...

user posted image

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 10:57 AM
kueyteowlou
post Jul 25 2013, 11:00 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 10:56 AM)
Compare the early morning chart...

user posted image

with this one just taken...

user posted image

See the volume and the fall? Isn't it gathering momentum?  rolleyes.gif

Take out the bigger zoom chart to see where we are at...

user posted image
*
walao.. chartist !!

gadang u think today can hit RM1.1? brows.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(kueyteowlou @ Jul 25 2013, 11:00 AM)
gadang u think today can hit RM1.1?  brows.gif
laugh.gif

Wait I call Uncle Pong direct line for consultation first......








tongue.gif
kueyteowlou
post Jul 25 2013, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 11:01 AM)
laugh.gif

Wait I call Uncle Pong direct line for consultation first......
tongue.gif
*
help me to call vincent tan, quek leng chan and peter lim.... ask for their tmclife too whistling.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 11:18 AM

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Huat lai la
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(kueyteowlou @ Jul 25 2013, 11:17 AM)
help me to call vincent tan, quek leng chan and peter lim.... ask for their tmclife too  whistling.gif
*
doh.gif

Macha! I only know one and only one Uncle Pong lah! tongue.gif

Vincent Tan, Quek, Peter Lim.. all also dunno who I am. tongue.gif
V-Zero
post Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM

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It's been a while laugh.gif

Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already.
I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. tongue.gif

SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 11:40 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM)
It's been a while laugh.gif

Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already.
I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. tongue.gif
*
Hard to say. Maybe CI climb up to 2000 pts, where esle some other asset class like reits go down hill.

U see some stocks like palm oil might refuse to follow the CI, by joining the opposition camp.

So it is not across the board thing from now on. hmm.gif

Might signal the market somehow near the peak too yawn.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 25 2013, 11:43 AM
Madbull
post Jul 25 2013, 11:49 AM

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Kinsteel..buy high sell higher..can ar??
hlily
post Jul 25 2013, 11:50 AM

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good rrrr
AeonCr climbing back
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 11:52 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 11:33 AM)
It's been a while laugh.gif

Almost August, bring out the godly pong sui chart already.
I'd love to see bloodbath with KLCI at 1600. tongue.gif
*
Where you go? tongue.gif

This time your calculation is correct. laugh.gif
1600 by end Sept hor...

1700 count as Uncle Pong count wrong math hor.. tongue.gif

Edit... attach Uncle Pong lengzhai chart. tongue.gif

user posted image

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 12:06 PM
drsaleh
post Jul 25 2013, 11:59 AM

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SBC Corp look steady.. may climb further

ILB also..

GABGAQRS warrant out..
V-Zero
post Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 11:52 AM)
Where you go? tongue.gif

This time your calculation is correct. laugh.gif
1600 by end Sept hor...

1700 count as Uncle Pong count wrong math hor.. tongue.gif
*
Went cari makan tongue.gif

Maybe EPF is the creator of the pong sui chart. tongue.gif
Then got hope 1600. laugh.gif
Icehart
post Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM

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GOB super strong today.
SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM)
GOB super strong today.
*
Sharks playing David Gor stocks hmm.gif
Icehart
post Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM)
Sharks playing David Gor stocks  hmm.gif
*
David gor still holding? hmm.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 25 2013, 12:09 PM)
David gor still holding?  hmm.gif
*
Do not know but he is the one pointed out about GOB.

Quite good to trade by buy on consolidation ......
Icehart
post Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:13 PM)
Do not know but he is the one pointed out about GOB.

Quite good to trade by buy on consolidation ......
*
Use magic card summon him davidcch07 laugh.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 12:07 PM)
Went cari makan  tongue.gif

Maybe EPF is the creator of the pong sui chart.  tongue.gif
Then got hope 1600.  laugh.gif
*
EPF? laugh.gif

What also you say one.

For the record..

Jan: 1627.55
Feb: 1,637.63 - up 10.08
March: 1,671.63 - up 34.00
Apr: 1,717.65 - up 46.02
May: 1,769.22 - up 52
June: 1773.54 - up 4.3

Now we are at 1810. tongue.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:17 PM

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Every month place long no need to think blind blind earn money. So good
Icehart
post Jul 25 2013, 12:18 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:17 PM)
Every month place long no need to think blind blind earn money. So good
*
Just saw your posting on Supermx. rclxms.gif
V-Zero
post Jul 25 2013, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:14 PM)
EPF? laugh.gif

What also you say one.

For the record..

Jan: 1627.55
Feb: 1,637.63 - up 10.08
March: 1,671.63 - up 34.00
Apr: 1,717.65 - up 46.02
May: 1,769.22 - up 52
June: 1773.54 - up 4.3

Now we are at 1810. tongue.gif
*
I change my mind like a girl changes her clothes. tongue.gif laugh.gif

You know lah our index got strong support one never tumble beyond 1%. thumbup.gif
On a side note, some REITs look attractive. drool.gif
Madbull
post Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 12:20 PM)
I change my mind like a girl changes her clothes.  tongue.gif  laugh.gif

You know lah our index got strong support one never tumble beyond 1%.  thumbup.gif
On a side note, some REITs look attractive.  drool.gif
*
Which REITs attracts u most?? hmm.gif

This post has been edited by Madbull: Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:27 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:17 PM)
Every month place long no need to think blind blind earn money. So good
*
You no scare what Uncle Pong say meh?

Uncle Pong say we muntah everything back the next two months wor.... tongue.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:28 PM

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QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM)
Which REITs attracts u most?? hmm.gif
*
TumbleReit 5111 hmm.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 12:28 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 25 2013, 12:18 PM)
Just saw your posting on Supermx.  rclxms.gif
*
This one?

Supermax - Bursting to Super Growth

Yea.. Confident. Can go already. T4 already over. Wait for Fryday..
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:27 PM)
You no scare what Uncle Pong say meh?

Uncle Pong say we muntah everything back the next two months wor....  tongue.gif
*
Uncle Pong put this to try to affect many people into doing the same action together, hence can reflect the same result in the market.

SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM)
Uncle Pong put this to try to affect many people into doing the same action together, hence can reflect the same result in the market.
*
Most formuers pay more attention to the Sui charts than how the real economy goes hmm.gif



Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:34 PM)
Most formuers pay more attention to the Sui charts than how the real economy goes  hmm.gif
*
It could be true...

You play the share market, one of the most important thing is to know how the players behave so you can guess their moves.. So you can plan ahead and move ahead of them..

This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Jul 25 2013, 12:36 PM
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:29 PM)
Uncle Pong put this to try to affect many people into doing the same action together, hence can reflect the same result in the market.
*
Uncle Pong got the best job... tongue.gif

Can say 1000 things...
980 things not right... never mind one. tongue.gif
the 20 things say correct... means Uncle Pong damn terror the chun!

tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 12:41 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:35 PM)
It could be true...

You play the share market, one of the most important thing is to know how the players behave so you can guess their moves.. So you can plan ahead and move ahead of them..
*
But FED Ben has the sole right to alter the directions of the charts.....

May as well guess what he intends to do .

See reits now, u know what I mean........
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:41 PM)
But FED Ben has the sole right to alter the directions of the charts.....

May as well guess what he intends to do .

See reits now, u know what I mean........
*
Well, FED BEN got his terror-ness. But this time around, I think BN + UMNO more significant this round. KLCI tarak apa apa pun.. More on sendiri world sendiri play
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:45 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:39 PM)
Uncle Pong got the best job... tongue.gif

Can say 1000 things...
980 things not right... never mind one. tongue.gif
the 20 things say correct... means Uncle Pong damn terror the chun!

tongue.gif
*
Maybe can start to make another Pong Chart for 2014 before Uncle Pong create one.. Then fast fast post out and circulate it as fast as possible.. biggrin.gif Then the whole KLSE listen to you liau..
ham_revilo
post Jul 25 2013, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:45 PM)
Maybe can start to make another Pong Chart for 2014 before Uncle Pong create one.. Then fast fast post out and circulate it as fast as possible.. biggrin.gif Then the whole KLSE listen to you liau..
*
2500 by 2014 year end flex.gif

Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:45 PM)
Maybe can start to make another Pong Chart for 2014 before Uncle Pong create one.. Then fast fast post out and circulate it as fast as possible.. biggrin.gif Then the whole KLSE listen to you liau..
*
rolleyes.gif ........ hmm.gif hmm.gif


Can think over gua. tongue.gif

LOL!

I can get bro V-Zero to promote. hehe
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 25 2013, 12:48 PM)
2500 by 2014 year end  flex.gif
*
Why so little?

LOL! tongue.gif
V-Zero
post Jul 25 2013, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 25 2013, 12:21 PM)
Which REITs attracts u most?? hmm.gif
*
Take the market cap divide by the book value, almost less than 1 already.

Means paying RM1 for asset worth more than RM1. brows.gif


QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:50 PM)
rolleyes.gif ........  hmm.gif  hmm.gif
Can think over gua. tongue.gif

LOL!

I can get bro V-Zero to promote. hehe
*
Come come.
Draw one then I help you distribute in whole KL PJ area. laugh.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:56 PM

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The chart keep on go up one or got up and down one?
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post Jul 25 2013, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 25 2013, 12:48 PM)
2500 by 2014 year end  flex.gif
*
U shud put 5200 la.. Hahaha. Then got bull---- effect
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 25 2013, 12:54 PM)
Take the market cap divide by the book value, almost less than 1 already.

Means paying RM1 for asset worth more than RM1.  brows.gif
Come come.
Draw one then I help you distribute in whole KL PJ area.  laugh.gif
*
Feb - down UP
Mar - up
Apr - up
May -up
June - down UP
July - up
Aug - up
Sep - up
Oct - up
Nov -up
.................... haiyaaaa.... why susah... just put all also UP la.

laugh.gif

Sure very popular one.

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 12:57 PM)
U shud put 5200 la.. Hahaha. Then got bull---- effect
*
Where the I LIKE VERY THE MUCH butang?

tongue.gif
V-Zero
post Jul 25 2013, 01:01 PM

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Cannot lah like that too fake.

Prefer with some wild swings. brows.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 01:01 PM

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Over perform everyone in the world. All investor over the world also come to Malaysia KLSE to goreng already..
ham_revilo
post Jul 25 2013, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 25 2013, 12:59 PM)
Feb - down UP
Mar - up
Apr - up
May -up
June - down UP
July - up
Aug - up
Sep - up
Oct - up
Nov -up
.................... haiyaaaa.... why susah... just put all also UP la.

laugh.gif

Sure very popular one.
*

Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +400
May: -20
June: +100
July: +200
Aug: +400
Sep: -20
Oct: +100
Nov: +200
Dec: +400

like that maybe can reach 5200 tongue.gif

malaysia boleh tongue.gif
Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 25 2013, 01:05 PM)
Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +400
May: -20
June: +100
July: +200
Aug: +400
Sep: -20
Oct: +100
Nov: +200
Dec: +400

like that maybe can reach 5200 tongue.gif

malaysia boleh tongue.gif
*
Wakaka!!!!!

You memang the best! thumbup.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 01:09 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 25 2013, 01:05 PM)
Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +400
May: -20
June: +100
July: +200
Aug: +400
Sep: -20
Oct: +100
Nov: +200
Dec: +400

like that maybe can reach 5200 tongue.gif

malaysia boleh tongue.gif
*
Where can?

Add up total only +2060 points. Now say 1800.

Total is 3860 only.

You need
Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +300
May: +400
June: +500
July: +600
Aug: -500
Sep: +100
Oct: +300
Nov: +500
Dec: +700

Boon3
post Jul 25 2013, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 01:09 PM)
Where can?

Add up total only +2060 points. Now say 1800.

Total is 3860 only.

You need
Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +300
May: +400
June: +500
July: +600
Aug: -500
Sep: +100
Oct: +300
Nov: +500
Dec: +700
*
Wakaka!

You audited those numbers! laugh.gif

Ok.. fast fast print this chart out!

thumbup.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 25 2013, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 01:09 PM)
Where can?

Add up total only +2060 points. Now say 1800.

Total is 3860 only.

You need
Feb: +100
Mar: +200
Apr: +300
May: +400
June: +500
July: +600
Aug: -500
Sep: +100
Oct: +300
Nov: +500
Dec: +700
*
Wow , Like that soon can catch up with Dow Ind only 15000 plus plus whistling.gif
Madbull
post Jul 25 2013, 02:11 PM

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wake up guys...wake up...
yeobobo
post Jul 25 2013, 03:02 PM

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0011 any wind ?
Pan84
post Jul 25 2013, 03:12 PM

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AAX first time drop 1.24. biggrin.gif
ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 25 2013, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 25 2013, 03:12 PM)
AAX first time drop 1.24. biggrin.gif
*
Now everyone can strike IPO biggrin.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 25 2013, 03:32 PM)
Now everyone can strike IPO biggrin.gif
*
laugh.gif

"Everyone can fly" changed to "Everyone can strike IPO"
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 03:47 PM

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biggrin.gif something that I wish to say earlier but worry AAX holder shoot me...........

my view, all those bought AAX IPO and intention for the price shoot up on listing day................Since the price cant up meaning your intention/objective has failed. Should admit the failure and sell right?

why keep?

if wanna keep, is that because its good in prospect and fundamental? or just refuse to admit the failure?
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 03:56 PM

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Next week another 2 ipo listed- Ranhill and Sona, will c how they go
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 04:01 PM

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4pm Liao, show time for Redtone?

Madbull
post Jul 25 2013, 04:02 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 03:56 PM)
Next week another 2 ipo listed- Ranhill and Sona, will c how they go
*
I thot Ranhill will delay their listing
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 04:01 PM)
4pm Liao, show time for Redtone?
*
hmm.gif look at the sell q, thats not thick so not likely they will goreng today.................
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 04:07 PM

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Coastal rebound, good sign?
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 25 2013, 04:02 PM)
I thot Ranhill will delay their listing
*
Sc had review their ipo, investor who subscribed may offer money back
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post Jul 25 2013, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 04:07 PM)
Coastal rebound, good sign?
*
i hate that rebound. my buyback queue was at lower and almost hit yesterday lah. shakehead.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:04 PM)
hmm.gif look at the sell q, thats not thick so not likely they will goreng today.................
*
perhaps a buy call i sensed for small peanuts like me
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 25 2013, 04:19 PM)
perhaps a buy call i sensed for small peanuts like me
*
you want buy or sell?
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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:22 PM)
you want buy or sell?
*
buy i thought. i took profit last friday and missed yesterday frying session while in meeting
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 25 2013, 04:25 PM)
buy i thought. i took profit last friday and missed yesterday frying session while in meeting
*
biggrin.gif tomorrow frying, if you buy then you suffer loss now.............share price in red today
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:22 PM)
you want buy or sell?
*
I want to buy but fun log in to itrade vmad.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM)
I want to buy but fun log in to itrade vmad.gif
*
sweat.gif i using itrade now, but facing frequent auto logout problem............
jy1905
post Jul 25 2013, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:28 PM)
sweat.gif i using itrade now, but facing frequent auto logout problem............
*
cimb gone case
both their internet banking and itrade
i could NOT trade overseas market at all
any better platform for overseas market??
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(jy1905 @ Jul 25 2013, 04:30 PM)
cimb gone case
both their internet banking and itrade
i could NOT trade overseas market at all
any better platform for overseas market??
*
smile.gif not idea on this, I only trade local
yok70
post Jul 25 2013, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:28 PM)
sweat.gif i using itrade now, but facing frequent auto logout problem............
*
are you using the new platform? i found it quite ok lately. hmm.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 25 2013, 04:32 PM)
are you using the new platform? i found it quite ok lately.  hmm.gif
*
new platform..............I suspect it incompatible with my company firewall
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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 04:27 PM)
biggrin.gif tomorrow frying, if you buy then you suffer loss now.............share price in red today
*
im thinking will they fry anytime soon for this few days. why suffer ? its almost the lowest of the day already
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post Jul 25 2013, 04:45 PM

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some like it red. tongue.gif


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Bonescythe
post Jul 25 2013, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 25 2013, 03:47 PM)
biggrin.gif something that I wish to say earlier but worry AAX holder shoot me...........

my view, all those bought AAX IPO and intention for the price shoot up on listing day................Since the price cant up meaning your intention/objective has failed. Should admit the failure and sell right?

why keep?

if wanna keep, is that because its good in prospect and fundamental? or just refuse to admit the failure?
*
I think AAX is not finished yet.

If we look at these heavy IPO past performance.. They are more likely to stay stubborn for a couples of week first before shooting upwards. Just my observation on a few counters like
1. Gasmsia
2. IHH

Just my lousy half cents.. But there are fail cases like FGV of course.
panasonic88
post Jul 25 2013, 05:00 PM

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CI 1808 making new high

However another red day for me, paper gain is shrinking everyday

Sien jor yawn.gif


Neo18
post Jul 25 2013, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:00 PM)
CI 1808 making new high

However another red day for me, paper gain is shrinking everyday

Sien jor yawn.gif
*
you still betting for KLCI to go higher? hahaha... in my opinion, too high liow

mopster
post Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:00 PM)
CI 1808 making new high

However another red day for me, paper gain is shrinking everyday

Sien jor yawn.gif
*
icon_idea.gif icon_idea.gif
maybe it's a sign for spring cleaning... and bring in new blood tongue.gif
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM

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Buy Redtone at rm0.82, no know is a good decision o not?
panasonic88
post Jul 25 2013, 05:06 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM)
icon_idea.gif  icon_idea.gif
maybe it's a sign for spring cleaning... and bring in new blood  tongue.gif
*
Err brought liao, secretly blush.gif

This post has been edited by panasonic88: Jul 25 2013, 05:06 PM
ivanau88
post Jul 25 2013, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 05:05 PM)
Buy Redtone at rm0.82, no know is a good decision o not?
*
i din made it tongue.gif colleague dropped by and chat tongue.gif all the best mate
omg528
post Jul 25 2013, 05:08 PM

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lemonade, dun worry...report is coming out next week...
hehe....
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post Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM

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noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance?
what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately?


» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 25 2013, 04:54 PM)
I think AAX is not finished yet.

If we look at these heavy IPO past performance.. They are more likely to stay stubborn for a couples of week first before shooting upwards. Just my observation on a few counters like
1. Gasmsia
2. IHH

Just my lousy half cents.. But there are fail cases like FGV of course.
*
laugh.gif maybe..............until now still no clear direction
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:07 PM)
i din made it tongue.gif colleague dropped by and chat tongue.gif all the best mate
*
Last time I bought at rm0.72, sold it and re-enter again coz hand itchy, holding 95%of cash, no idea wat to buy
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post Jul 25 2013, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(Neo18 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:04 PM)
you still betting for KLCI to go higher? hahaha... in my opinion, too high liow
*
hmm.gif I feel that most of the non CI counter already no energy to follow CI anymore.............

except those goreng one
sweetlemonande
post Jul 25 2013, 05:13 PM

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When market will crash?? hmm.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 05:10 PM)
Last time I bought at rm0.72, sold it and re-enter again coz hand itchy, holding 95%of cash, no idea wat to buy
*
biggrin.gif 0078 got insider news.............
panasonic88
post Jul 25 2013, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM)
noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance?
what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately?
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Axis Reit is one of the well managed Reit that has the most assets in their portfolio.

Based on 2012's update, Axreit has Office & warehouses: 25 & Retail: 2, with high occupany rate as well. And it is one of local funds favourite too. I remember the yield used to be >6%, nowadays drop to 4.x% only.
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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:00 PM)
CI 1808 making new high

However another red day for me, paper gain is shrinking everyday

Sien jor yawn.gif
*
you are not alone .... yawn.gif

defensive investing is not the IN thing lately . tongue.gif

This post has been edited by GregPG01: Jul 25 2013, 06:34 PM
ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 25 2013, 06:07 PM

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Gadang results very scary oooo
Lets see hows the market reaction...


Attached File(s)
Attached File  1479173797_1628207692.pdf ( 244.39k ) Number of downloads: 75
davinz18
post Jul 25 2013, 06:48 PM

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Encorp wins RM114mil construction contract

Encorp Bhd said today its unit, Encorp Construction & Infrastructure, had been awarded the main contract to build a business centre worth RM114mil in Cyberjaya.

It said Setia Haruman Sdn Bhd issued the letter of award on July 25th.

Work on the project – which encompasses shops, offices, a car park and other amenities, including a 24 storey building – will commence on Sept 2 this year, with delivery date set 24 months down the road on Sept 2, 2015.

The company said it did not see any exceptional risk in undertaking the project and expected the contract would contribute positively to the earnings of the Encorp Group during the duration of the contract.
jasontoh
post Jul 25 2013, 09:24 PM

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I guess this is the first time I login to this new thread. And it is at page 13 already. Wow.
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post Jul 25 2013, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 25 2013, 09:24 PM)
I guess this is the first time I login to this new thread. And it is at page 13 already. Wow.
*
MBSB very yummy lately. Congrats for you. rclxms.gif
cherroy
post Jul 25 2013, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 25 2013, 05:09 PM)
noob question. why axreit go from rm1 in 2009 to rm3 plus today, but others like arreit or tower-reit or quill capita can't match the performance?
what's the fundamental strength behind axis? has this fundamental changed lately?
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Very simple.

Axreit DPU is improving over the time, from last time around 13~14 to now around 18 cents.
Somemore, Axreit has shown it has the ability to expand its portfolio that improve DPU and asset base without needing any cent from shareholders nor any dilution effect.

Somemore its portfolio is diversified across, so less rely on single or two tenants, or related party.
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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 25 2013, 09:37 PM)
MBSB very yummy lately. Congrats for you.  rclxms.gif
*
True, but it looks like going back to the price before BNM scare the ikan bilis away. Hopefully can surge up further and I can sell it to pay house downpayment tongue.gif
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QUOTE(sweetlemonande @ Jul 25 2013, 05:13 PM)
When market will crash?? hmm.gif
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How to time the market? If someone know the answer, no need to be here ady tongue.gif tongue.gif
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post Jul 25 2013, 11:29 PM

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eh guys,just to confirm,tomorrow market close or open ah? i mean 26 July 2013,Friday as KL dont have holiday,selangor yes.
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post Jul 25 2013, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(Darkcursed @ Jul 25 2013, 11:29 PM)
eh guys,just to confirm,tomorrow market close or open ah? i mean 26 July 2013,Friday as KL dont have holiday,selangor yes.
*
Earlier Boon3 posted this link:
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/about-us/holidays/

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post Jul 26 2013, 09:23 AM

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Forum is deaD?
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post Jul 26 2013, 09:30 AM

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0078=gOgO 7(chai) 8 (fatt)
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Gadang price sink due to reports? Can buy ah? Any sifu here can comment
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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 09:23 AM)
Forum is deaD?
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Some states on holiday. Forumers haven't wake up yet. biggrin.gif
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post Jul 26 2013, 09:37 AM

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Coastal price seem like stabilize hmm.gif hmm.gif
old_and_slow
post Jul 26 2013, 09:38 AM

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redtone got show ;D
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post Jul 26 2013, 09:51 AM

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yay, it's redtone day again
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post Jul 26 2013, 09:51 AM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 09:23 AM)
Forum is deaD?
*
A lot of silent reader here brows.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 09:51 AM)
A lot of silent reader here  brows.gif
*
Maybe too many forumers holding cash and go into hibernation mode .......maybe only yawn.gif

Any exciting news we may not know so far hmm.gif
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 10:11 AM)
Maybe too many forumers holding cash and go into hibernation mode .......maybe only yawn.gif

Any exciting news we may not know so far  hmm.gif
*
true also,
I also kind of hibernation mode this 2 weeks. I am sure a lot of people leave stock market for a while already. hmm.gif
Top Gun
post Jul 26 2013, 10:13 AM

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yawn.gif Being yawn.gif for yawn.gif so yawn.gif many yawn.gif days yawn.gif yawn.gif yawn.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 10:13 AM)
true also,
I also kind of hibernation mode this 2 weeks. I am sure a lot of people leave stock market for a while already. hmm.gif
*
Many old timers think the CI is kinda high besides projecting a " fake" image. hmm.gif


foofoosasa
post Jul 26 2013, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 10:15 AM)
Many old timers think the CI is kinda high besides projecting a " fake" image. hmm.gif
*
I am not sure CI high or not la, only 1 year later when looking back today, then we know CI really high or not.

Our market still haven't go into crazy mode, though I do think most of the mid cap is slightly overvalued and many Big caps considered expansive.

Our reits counter and blue chips yield probably can give some clue though hmm.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 10:22 AM)
I am not sure CI high or not la, only 1 year later when looking back today, then we know CI really high or not.

Our market still haven't go into crazy mode, though I do think most of the mid cap is slightly overvalued and many Big caps considered expansive.

Our reits counter and blue chips yield probably can give some clue though  hmm.gif
*
Most Asian nations like China have to tackle their debt issues.......the upcoming budgets might show that

So the economic expansions and profit growths might be impacted.

So what makes CI to go more sky high , another big puzzle , maybe more gorengable than other markets hmm.gif

Just my half sen view..

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 10:30 AM
V-Zero
post Jul 26 2013, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 10:15 AM)
Many old timers think the CI is kinda high besides projecting a " fake" image. hmm.gif
*
Ini, lately I never bother to check stocks anymore. doh.gif
Just take our blue chip compare to company like Coke in US.

Freakin expensive. doh.gif
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 10:41 AM)
Ini, lately I never bother to check stocks anymore.  doh.gif
Just take our blue chip compare to company like Coke in US.

Freakin expensive.  doh.gif
*
Coca Cola : KO: NYSE... PE ratio is 20.6x FY13 wor... which of our blucheat is more expensive than that? laugh.gif
ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM

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Bursa should kick out existing CI components & bring in Lemon chan counters, sure can hit 3000 pts.
V-Zero
post Jul 26 2013, 10:48 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM)
Coca Cola : KO: NYSE... PE ratio is 20.6x FY13 wor... which of our blucheat is more expensive than that?  laugh.gif
*
Not exactly blue chip lah.
But the price sure is blue chip price. tongue.gif

Dlady @ PE 23.94
Nestle @ PE 31.97
F&N @ PE 24.30
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 26 2013, 10:44 AM)
Bursa should kick out existing CI components & bring in Lemon chan counters, sure can hit 3000 pts.
*
But Harvest at 29sen, the PE is 460X......... biggrin.gif

Many more got negative PE.......

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 10:49 AM
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 10:50 AM

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Come.. Let's goreng some stock.. It is Fryday!!
What ingredient we got?

Redtone?
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post Jul 26 2013, 10:50 AM

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Fitters is good for frying anot?
Maybe can fry to 80 cents today looking at that manner how the stock is moving.
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:52 AM

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Wow, Takaful is so grorengable .......

Potential CI stock.........
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 10:48 AM)
Not exactly blue chip lah.
But the price sure is blue chip price.  tongue.gif

Dlady @ PE 23.94
Nestle @ PE 31.97
F&N @ PE 24.30
*
Ok comparable lah... except nestle. tongue.gif But then again I get your point.

Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only...

Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1..
cadmus
post Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM

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hm... hope it doesn't blows up.
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post Jul 26 2013, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM)
Ok comparable lah... except nestle.  tongue.gif  But then again I get your point.

Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only...

Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1..
*
That's what I thought too. What I can say this market is too small.
Now people feel these blue chips getting more expansive and start buying 2nd liner & third liner hmm.gif
I should say already instead of start buying tongue.gif

This post has been edited by foofoosasa: Jul 26 2013, 10:56 AM
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM)
Ok comparable lah... except nestle.  tongue.gif  But then again I get your point.

Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only...

Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1..
*
How to compare. many in US have worldwide businesses , some local ones only have kampung wide type hmm.gif
V-Zero
post Jul 26 2013, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM)
Ok comparable lah... except nestle.  tongue.gif  But then again I get your point.

Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only...

Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1..
*
Btw wondering if you know how to calculate the PE of KLCI?
Take the price and earnings of all the CI stocks? hmm.gif

Need to consider the weightage also right. shakehead.gif

btw.. Hoping Dlady to drop to PE20. laugh.gif


QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jul 26 2013, 10:55 AM)
That's what I thought too. What I can say this market is too small.
Now people feel these blue chips getting more expansive and start buying 2nd liner & third liner  hmm.gif
*
You have a point there.
That explains why my ahpek watch list never move while index at record high. tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 10:58 AM)
Btw wondering if you know how to calculate the PE of KLCI?
Take the price and earnings of all the CI stocks?  hmm.gif

Need to consider the weightage also right.  shakehead.gif

btw.. Hoping Dlady to drop to PE20.  laugh.gif
You have a point there.
That explains why my ahpek watch list never move while index at record high.  tongue.gif
*
Yes take all earning divide by all price total. Or you can just google... tongue.gif KLCI PE is about 16x now, not too high but not low either.

ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 26 2013, 11:05 AM

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Riding on SCABLE
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post Jul 26 2013, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 11:01 AM)
Yes take all earning divide by all price total. Or you can just google... tongue.gif   KLCI PE is about 16x now, not too high but not low either.
*
But the weight age is used for computing the CI lor hmm.gif

Meaning to say, average of 16X is a bit fake lah .

BTW. EPF also not favoring lower PE CI stocks.....maybe

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 11:10 AM
khchong81
post Jul 26 2013, 11:08 AM

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Anyone on Coastal ride?
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 11:08 AM)
But the weight age is used for computing the CI lor hmm.gif

Meaning to say, average of 16X is a bit fake  lah  .

BTW. EPF also not favoring lower PE CI stocks.....maybe
*
The PE 16x not calculated by me one leh.. by the index manager, FTSE KLCI. tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 11:13 AM)
The PE 16x not calculated by me one leh.. by the index manager, FTSE KLCI.  tongue.gif
*
Ya it is true......Kinda like a shopping mall

If u have many more floors than the ground and first floors maybe like Times Squares.

Then the Average rental cost is said to be cheaper .......than others

But ........... hmm.gif

BTW

Debt Burden

Malaysia’s debt burden places the nation at risk of a sovereign rating downgrade, Lam Chee Mun, a Kuala Lumpur-based fund manager at TA Investment Management Bhd., which oversees 650 million ringgit, said in a July 24 interview. The country is rated A- by Standard & Poor’s, the fourth-lowest investment grade and four levels above Indonesia.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 11:30 AM
V-Zero
post Jul 26 2013, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 11:13 AM)
The PE 16x not calculated by me one leh.. by the index manager, FTSE KLCI.  tongue.gif
*
Did some search, didn't come out any.
Mind letting me know where you get the PE kah? blush.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 11:39 AM

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Got Coastal + Maybulk... Looks like some O&G related shipping trend again
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(V-Zero @ Jul 26 2013, 11:36 AM)
Did some search, didn't come out any.
Mind letting me know where you get the PE kah?  blush.gif
*
The good PE sometimes consist of currency gains.....so it is a bit fake.

Can see Tenaga results , many one off gains




Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 12:17 PM

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Gtronic really powerful...
cseow
post Jul 26 2013, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 11:39 AM)
Got Coastal + Maybulk... Looks like some O&G related shipping trend again
*
what you think of Coastal bro??..still can up?? i thinking of entering icon_rolleyes.gif
river.sand
post Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 10:53 AM)
Ok comparable lah... except nestle.  tongue.gif  But then again I get your point.

Apple is PE 10, Microsoft PE 12 and google PE 23 only...

Nestle is wayyy to expensive.. yet got people buy 1..
*
Apple - Warren Buffet won't touch
Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates
Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter sweat.gif

Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo...
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post Jul 26 2013, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM)
Apple - Warren Buffet won't touch
Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates
Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter  sweat.gif

Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo...
*
So what is the fair PE for defensive stocks , 100x hmm.gif
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 02:16 PM)
Apple - Warren Buffet won't touch
Microsoft - Buffett also won't touch because he is a good friend of Bill Gates
Google - PE 23 is really high for a tech counter  sweat.gif

Nestle is defensive. Even if economy is bad people still eat Maggi and drink Milo...
*
Coca Cola is PE 20+
Kraft Foods is PE 20+
J&J is PE 20+
Unilever is PE 20+
Nestle SA is PE 18.8+
Danone is PE 20+


....

Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+? rolleyes.gif

Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents? tongue.gif

Hint, hint... buy Nestle SA, higher dividend, lower PE, higher growth... than Nestle Malaysia (which is 70% owned by Nestle SA rolleyes.gif )

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 26 2013, 02:26 PM
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(cseow @ Jul 26 2013, 01:45 PM)
what you think of Coastal bro??..still can up?? i thinking of entering  icon_rolleyes.gif
*
I dunno.. Taste and see and you will know it is good (or bad)
ham_revilo
post Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM)
Coca Cola is PE 20+
Kraft Foods is PE 20+
J&J is PE 20+
Unilever is PE 20+
Nestle SA is PE 18.8+
Danone is PR 20+
....

Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+?  rolleyes.gif

Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents?  tongue.gif
*
malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser.

the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy.

just my 2 cent though smile.gif

gark
post Jul 26 2013, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM)
malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser.

the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy.

just my 2 cent though smile.gif
*
No wor.. i won't buy even though i drink milo for many years already. Oligo is not a bad alternative. tongue.gif
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 02:21 PM)
Coca Cola is PE 20+
Kraft Foods is PE 20+
J&J is PE 20+
Unilever is PE 20+
Nestle SA is PE 18.8+
Danone is PE 20+
....

Why nestle malaysia so 'keng' one have to sell at PE 30+?  rolleyes.gif

Other companies not defensive meh, including Nestle's parents?  tongue.gif

Hint, hint... buy Nestle SA, higher dividend, lower PE, higher growth... than Nestle Malaysia (which is 70% owned by Nestle SA  rolleyes.gif )
*
Nestle got list in US market? I can't seems to find it. hmm.gif
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post Jul 26 2013, 02:35 PM

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Maybulk crazy mode.. Wanna hit the sky?
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post Jul 26 2013, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:32 PM)
malaysia market small ma. not much competitor, if milo double the price tomorrow, i think people will still buy but maybe lesser.

the same goes to the stock i think, its expensive but people still buy.

just my 2 cent though smile.gif
*
IF bursa re introduces short sellings in aggressive manner , then no more excuses laugh.gif
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 02:41 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 26 2013, 02:35 PM)
Nestle got list in US market? I can't seems to find it. hmm.gif
*
Listed in SIX Swiss stock exchange. But you can buy the ADR from US market.
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 02:41 PM)
Listed in SIX Swiss stock exchange. But you can buy the ADR from US market.
*
Code name? I really cannot identify, so many about the same name
cherroy
post Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 26 2013, 02:36 PM)
IF bursa re introduces short sellings in aggressive manner , then no more excuses  laugh.gif
*
Short selling?

Hope people won't be get burn then.

Short selling can be worst than long.

As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock.
Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00

If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9. whistling.gif

Anchovies try to short a stock to make money?
Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies.
Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price.
Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock? whistling.gif

Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 26 2013, 02:45 PM
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM)
Short selling?

Hope people won't be get burn then.

Short selling can be worst than long.

As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock.
Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00

If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9.  whistling.gif

Anchovies try to short a stock to make money?
Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies.
Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price.
Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock?   whistling.gif

Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one.
*
Do not forget about the FF , not just ikan bakar alone.

And 30% limit downs on few stocks, but noises everywhere .........

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 02:49 PM
ham_revilo
post Jul 26 2013, 02:55 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 02:44 PM)
Short selling?

Hope people won't be get burn then.

Short selling can be worst than long.

As in long position, the most you loss is how much you pay for the stock.
Aka if you buy Rm1.00, the most you loss is Rm1.00

If you short a stock at Rm1.00, then stock fly to Rm10, you lose Rm9.  whistling.gif

Anchovies try to short a stock to make money?
Shark can in return push up the stock price and trap all the anchovies.
Wasn't last time we have second board stock that traded at Rm100? even though fundamental doesn't suggest it worth at that price.
Can shark can hold on the price, and make those short seller life miserable, disregard the fundamental issue of the stock?  whistling.gif

Short selling may not something good for anchovies especially low liquidity stock that can be easily influenced by shark one.
*
that why must always cut loss lo.

but the same can goes the other way too. A good fundamental stock can be short by sharks and force price stay low tongue.gif

Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 02:57 PM

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How many time one can cut loss. Every cut will make it shorter and shorter.. In the end, there is nothing to cut anymore
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 02:57 PM)
How many time one can cut loss. Every cut will make it shorter and shorter.. In the end, there is nothing to cut anymore
*
nothing to cut ma cut kuku lo laugh.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:00 PM)
nothing to cut ma cut kuku lo  laugh.gif
*
That's a good idea. Can i borrow urs to cut?

My one nothing left already to cut
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 03:18 PM)
That's a good idea. Can i borrow urs to cut?

My one nothing left already to cut
*
haven't grown up. how to borrow? biggrin.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:20 PM)
haven't grown up. how to borrow?  biggrin.gif
*
Wei, I found a good stock. Wanna hoot with me anot?
9318.. I think manyak ok. Still fresh like oyster from the sea.

I let you buka and taste first.. want?
dEviLs
post Jul 26 2013, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/corporate/media-centre/media-releases/2101

BURSA MALAYSIA DERIVATIVES’ OPEN INTEREST HITS ALL TIME HIGH
26 Jul 2013

Surpassing 250,000 contracts for all products and 200,000 contracts for FCPO

Bursa Malaysia  ended the day with two new historical record highs. Open Interest (OI) for all products hit a new high of 251,994 contracts at the end of day on Thursday 25th July, whilst FCPO saw 201,209 contracts remained open at the end of the same day.

Bursa Malaysia Derivatives’ Chief Executive Officer, Mr Chong Kim Seng said, "The growing Open interest is a reflection of BMD’s growing strength. This positive development is indicative of an elevated confidence in our derivatives market as well as interest in hedging the cash exposure using futures instruments by institutions."

The OI for all products and FCPO contracts on BMD have been consistently rising over the past four years. All contracts saw a record high OI of 148,652 contracts in 2010, 187,580 in 2011, 214,065 in 2012 and now an increase of 18% to 251,994 in just seven months of 2013. Meanwhile, OI on FCPO registered a historical high of 91,035 contracts in 2010, 143,338 contracts in 2011, 173,649 contracts in 2012 and now a 16% increase to 201,209 OI in July 2013.

About Open Interest

Open interest reflects hedgers' collective position in the Futures Exchange, taken against their other exposures and positions in the physical markets and is critical to the success of a futures contract. The true economic value of a Futures Exchange lies with its use as a price risk hedging facility, which is reflected in the open interest of the Exchange, and in turn reflecting hedgers' confidence in such a facility. The higher the Open interest, the higher the hedgers' confidence in the facility.


derivatives grabs the spotlight again tongue.gif
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 03:24 PM)
Wei, I found a good stock. Wanna hoot with me anot?
9318.. I think manyak ok. Still fresh like oyster from the sea.

I let you buka and taste first.. want?
*
you mean hit and run ar? how far? brows.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 03:29 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:25 PM)
you mean hit and run ar? how far?  brows.gif
*
No lar. Not hit and run.. Hit and hold and see one.. Dun always hit and run. Sometimes hit already get stuck cannot run.. Hahaha

I think 80 cents like this lar..
gark
post Jul 26 2013, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 26 2013, 02:43 PM)
Code name? I really cannot identify, so many about the same name
*
Nestle = NSRGY:OTC US - US Stock ADR (15% witholding tax on dividends)

Nestle = NESN:VX - Swiss stock exchange (No dividend tax)

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 26 2013, 03:37 PM
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 03:29 PM)
No lar. Not hit and run.. Hit and hold and see one.. Dun always hit and run. Sometimes hit already get stuck cannot run.. Hahaha

I think 80 cents like this lar..
*
if contra 3-4 days. i don't mind. biggrin.gif
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post Jul 26 2013, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:33 PM)
if contra 3-4 days. i don't mind.  biggrin.gif
*
Like this ah. This I cannot promise you lar bro.. Haha. Maybe later 4pm also give you see some good good show already lo..
Now also quite active already.
If the volume can break 2.5m shares, then ok one.. I think can jalan jalan makan angin abit one.
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 03:59 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 03:33 PM)
if contra 3-4 days. i don't mind.  biggrin.gif
*
160 lots left? How?
I generous one..You want to take it or how?
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 04:02 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 03:59 PM)
160 lots left? How?
I generous one..You want to take it or how?
*
eh. sorry. i was too slow. unexpected visitor. you take i also take.
Bonescythe
post Jul 26 2013, 04:09 PM

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QUOTE(Pan84 @ Jul 26 2013, 04:02 PM)
eh. sorry. i was too slow. unexpected visitor. you take i also take.
*
How many? 2k lots?
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 04:12 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 04:09 PM)
How many? 2k lots?
*
impossible for me to take 2K. max 500 only. limited limit bullet unless you ask our another big gunner - @TOP GUN. tongue.gif Later he will get mad again say BO JIO. laugh.gif
cherroy
post Jul 26 2013, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 02:55 PM)
that why must always cut loss lo.

but the same can goes the other way too. A good fundamental stock can be short by sharks and force price stay low tongue.gif
*
It is a silly move to depress a good fundamental stock by sell short by shark.

Imagine BAT being severe shorted by shark and plunge to Rm10, how nice.... biggrin.gif
Doing charity? laugh.gif


ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 26 2013, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 04:34 PM)
It is a silly move to depress a good fundamental stock by sell short by shark.

Imagine BAT being severe shorted by shark and plunge to Rm10, how nice....  biggrin.gif
Doing charity?  laugh.gif
*
More like introducing unfair games for retailers.
Pan84
post Jul 26 2013, 04:45 PM

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Bone gor. 9318 now 75.5 want to Q or not? biggrin.gif
kalandra
post Jul 26 2013, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 26 2013, 03:29 PM)
No lar. Not hit and run.. Hit and hold and see one.. Dun always hit and run. Sometimes hit already get stuck cannot run.. Hahaha

I think 80 cents like this lar..
*
Bone got insider news on fitters is it? laugh.gif

Any explain for why the sudden hike in volume?
davinz18
post Jul 26 2013, 04:49 PM

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Bonia sees 11% stake traded off-market as shares hit all-time high

Bonia Corporation Bhd saw 22.17 million shares transacted off-market on Friday at an average price of RM2.54.

Stock market data showed the shares accounted for 11% of its paid-up of 201.57 million shares.

At 4.02pm, Bonia was up 10.6% or 27 sen to RM2.81 -- a record high -- in regular trade.
cherroy
post Jul 26 2013, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 26 2013, 04:41 PM)
More like introducing unfair games for retailers.
*
How many retailers are winning in derivatives? whistling.gif

I only saw a lot of Ikan bilis bakar last time out when CWs are hot time...

Short selling can be 10x difficult to win as compare long, and its risk is way bigger than long.

Mind can be short-circuited as well when seeing market green green time... joking only. laugh.gif

It is not for weak hearted anchovies.
ham_revilo
post Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 04:50 PM)
How many retailers are winning in derivatives?  whistling.gif

I only saw a lot of Ikan bilis bakar last time out when CWs are hot time...

Short selling can be 10x difficult to win as compare long, and its risk is way bigger than long.

Mind can be short-circuited as well when seeing market green green time... joking only.  laugh.gif

It is not for weak hearted anchovies.
*
but shorting is extremely useful during bear market smile.gif

cherroy
post Jul 26 2013, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM)
but shorting is extremely useful during bear market smile.gif
*
I played a lot of short in FKLI before.
It is way more "risky" than long.

You may think it is easy to win by short in bear market, but once market turns time, one can be like "ant on the hot pan".

And we do not have any bear market for the last 3~4 years already, so basically (generally or average) most short in the market ended in loss for the last few years.

On average bear market is shorter than bull.
So basically, it gives idea which side have better chance to win.

Short is good for those knowing what they are doing, what their strategy, and in specific period of time.

We have people find difficulty to win in ordinary buy and hold strategy, and want to profit through short is way harder than former.
yok70
post Jul 26 2013, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 26 2013, 05:11 PM)
I played a lot of short in FKLI before.
It is way more "risky" than long.

You may think it is easy to win by short in bear market, but once market turns time, one can be like "ant on the hot pan".

And we do not have any bear market for the last 3~4 years already, so basically (generally or average) most short in the market ended in loss for the last few years.

On average bear market is shorter than bull. 
So basically, it gives idea which side have better chance to win.

Short is good for those knowing what they are doing, what their strategy, and in specific period of time.

We have people find difficulty to win in ordinary buy and hold strategy, and want to profit through short is way harder than former.
*
winners in stock market stays at 5% worldwide, i guess this rate may stay forever. The rest of 95% are always losers. This rate may only change if humanity changes tremendously, probably only possible if being attacked by aliens, and human rebuild the earth from scratch once again. laugh.gif

Even if one learn more "techniques" of any kind to try to win the market, the market will create other "new techniques" to fight with them. Simply because everyone wants to become winner, winners must kill losers in order to stay as winners. Therefore there is no sure-win technique exist. For instance, the TA machines in recent years. TA experts loss to them even by using another TA machines to fight. Hedge funds losing money is the fact in recent years.



This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 26 2013, 05:25 PM
SKY 1809
post Jul 26 2013, 05:26 PM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Jul 26 2013, 05:04 PM)
but shorting is extremely useful during bear market smile.gif
*
It is just a standard instrument worldwide.

It does not mean everyone will be made a gambler once it is available, but certainly big FF welcome them .

meaning to say, even there is a Genting Casino here, not everyone would be converted to gamblers .......

Good or bad, one needs to judge himself............in a matured way

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 26 2013, 05:27 PM
river.sand
post Jul 26 2013, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 26 2013, 05:18 PM)
Simply because everyone wants to become winner, winners must kill losers in order to stay as winners. Therefore there is no sure-win technique exist.
*
But stock market investment is not a zero-sum game. In bull market, there should be more winners.
Futures market is a zero-sum game...


Madbull
post Jul 26 2013, 06:06 PM

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AAX...free ticket if u buy IPO..better use $$$ to buy promo tic..cheaper... biggrin.gif
yok70
post Jul 26 2013, 06:09 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2013, 05:33 PM)
But stock market investment is not a zero-sum game. In bull market, there should be more winners.
Futures market is a zero-sum game...
*
you are correct, it's not a zero-sum game.
however, by history, almost all stock market (by looking at their index) are on uptrend. But, in statistic, 95% are losers. Why? biggrin.gif
davinz18
post Jul 26 2013, 06:10 PM

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Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd IPO cancelled

Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd’s initial public offer has been cancelled, it was learnt on Friday.

The money collected from the successful applicants would be returned to the investors.
yok70
post Jul 26 2013, 06:11 PM

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QUOTE(Madbull @ Jul 26 2013, 06:06 PM)
AAX...free ticket if u buy IPO..better use $$$ to buy promo tic..cheaper... biggrin.gif
*
finally, below IPO price. more to come? I wish to see 15% downwards. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Jul 26 2013, 06:12 PM

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QUOTE(davinz18 @ Jul 26 2013, 06:10 PM)
Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd IPO cancelled

Ranhill Energy and Resources Bhd’s initial public offer has been cancelled, it was learnt on Friday.

The money collected from the successful applicants would be returned to the investors.
*
Stop it before IPO, nice work this time, SC. thumbup.gif
davinz18
post Jul 26 2013, 06:14 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 26 2013, 06:12 PM)
Stop it before IPO, nice work this time, SC.  thumbup.gif
*
Maybe someone "very influential" complain to SC thus canceling the IPO smile.gif
yok70
post Jul 26 2013, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(davinz18 @ Jul 26 2013, 06:14 PM)
Maybe someone "very influential" complain to SC thus canceling the IPO  smile.gif
*
lets hope it's not. lets hope our dear SC is truly improving. sweat.gif
jasontoh
post Jul 26 2013, 08:50 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 26 2013, 03:32 PM)
Nestle = NSRGY:OTC US - US Stock ADR (15% witholding tax on dividends)

Nestle = NESN:VX - Swiss stock exchange (No dividend tax)
*
So, I was right at first, but the div yield is like shakehead.gif
gark
post Jul 27 2013, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 26 2013, 08:50 PM)
So, I was right at first, but the div yield is like  shakehead.gif
*
Dividend yield is 3.3%... not much difference form Nestle Malaysia's dividend. tongue.gif
Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 09:58 AM

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So did you buy 2266? tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 27 2013, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2013, 09:58 AM)
So did you buy 2266? tongue.gif
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Apa stock code itu? rclxub.gif
Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 10:11 AM)
Apa stock code itu?  rclxub.gif
*
laugh.gif

That property stock you ask me to see the other day.
Last close 190. tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 27 2013, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2013, 10:25 AM)
laugh.gif

That property stock you ask me to see the other day.
Last close 190. tongue.gif
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No did not buy leh... tongue.gif
Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 10:11 AM)
Apa stock code itu?  rclxub.gif
Anyway, I spend last 10 minutes reading... rclxub.gif

http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2013/0...by-mr-koon.html
http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2013/0...jaya-tiasa.html

I don't agree with how Dali is handing the comments.
Although not expert on palm oil fundamentals, I believe Dali should handle comments more openly.
Negative comments/criticism should be openly accepted.

I also think and agree with this set of comments by this lmenwe:

QUOTE
No doubt there is nothing wrong being a contrarian investor! But palm oil had been enjoying boom for the last 12 years! The commodities boom looks likely to end in the next few years. With over expansion in Indonesia only god know how low the price can go and how long it will stay depressed! Don't forget that in 2000/01 FFB only cost RM 80 per tonne! There is still room for CPO to fall!


From chartwise, Jtiasa looks actually ok.

user posted image

It does looks like it's recovering from its recent downtrend and it's in the midst of developing a new trend...

Comments? Masta Gark? smile.gif
Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 10:44 AM)
No did not buy leh... tongue.gif
*
Apa la!

Looking ok... means you can consider buying mah. tongue.gif

I thought you would have bought at 183 liao. tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 27 2013, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2013, 10:46 AM)
Anyway, I spend last 10 minutes reading...  rclxub.gif

It does looks like it's recovering from its recent downtrend and it's in the midst of developing a new trend...

Comments? Masta Gark? smile.gif
*
Chart I no expert to comment.. that one i leave it to you. tongue.gif

Fundamentals ...

Last few quarters JTiasa is not doing very well, revenue is about the same, profit is almost none in Q3. Margins has fallen to 2.2%. Overall the CURRENT profit picture is not good. But overall profit for FY13 is pretty bad at 2-2.5 cents per share.

But for the future trend in which KKY is arguing on lets see...

Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO

Average CPO selling price in FY12 is 3,151, FY 13 is 2,177. This is a big profit drop causing the CPO margins to deteriorate from 43% to 7%.

Average plywood & Log selling price in FY12 is 1,950&480, FY13 1,775&571. Margins for wood products dropped form 9% to 4%.

Plywood & logging business is sunset. KKY is talking about the palm oil business so let us analyze.

It has a palm oil plant able reserve land of 70.9k ha. Total planted is 62k, matured is 48k. Reserve land for planting is very limited, hence limiting future growth.
Age <4 years is 26.3%
Age 4-7 years is 61.8%
Age >8 years is 11.9%

Growth rate of FFB production is estimated to be raised from 700k in FY 13 to 900k in FY14.

Current yields are very poor at 15 ton/ha and OER of 14.13% is downright pathetic. No wonder Jtiasa cannot make much money with it's palm oil plantation, due to it's poor CPO productivity rate. Good plantation companies should be achieve yield of at least 21-23 tpha and oer of 22-23%.

Jtiasa is expecting it's palm oil to hit yield of 27 tpha when fully matured, but I know the soil in Sarawak is Peat Soil and NO company can achieve more than 18-20 tpha.

Lets say next year their palm oil did go up from 700k FFB to 900k FFB (yield increase from 15tph to 17tph). Assuming thier OER increased slightly to 15% & selling price higher at 2,200.

Estimated total gross sale will be 900,000t x 0.15 x 2200 = 297 million
lets say margin improve now to 10% total PAT will be 29.7 million
Wood business remains challenging so margin same PAT = 32 million which is not significant.

FY14EPS will be about 3-3.5 sen unless palm oil prices improve back to >3k I don't see how the business can justify such high price for stock even with future growth built in.

Psst, there are palm oil plantation with super growth, OER of 22.5%, yield of 24tpha in good volcanic soil selling at PE 12x. Isn't that a better deal? wink.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM
gark
post Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM

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Maybe I should post the reply to KKY directly at Dali, but scared afterwards get shoot upside down.... laugh.gif
Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 11:55 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM)
Maybe I should post the reply to KKY directly at Dali, but scared afterwards get shoot upside down.... laugh.gif
*
laugh.gif

Harlooo, I think your reply here is super geng! thumbup.gif
Just post the reply la.
I don't think he dare to tembak up downside up. laugh.gif

Looks like I won't touch this stock.

ps: sometimes chart can look good but the good look usually not sustainable one.
ps: I like those that seem to want to go up forever and ever type of stocks. tongue.gif
billeu
post Jul 27 2013, 12:13 PM

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Anyone holding HAIO?


Boon3
post Jul 27 2013, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(billeu @ Jul 27 2013, 12:13 PM)
Anyone holding HAIO?
*
I almost went in few months back... sad.gif

I thought it was making a nice solid comeback and I still do. wink.gif
Larrylow
post Jul 27 2013, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 27 2013, 11:45 AM)
Maybe I should post the reply to KKY directly at Dali, but scared afterwards get shoot upside down.... laugh.gif
*
Master Gark, you should post the reply and see how they argue.

Btw, I can see the way you structured your standpoint here and they make a lot of sense to me. notworthy.gif
simplesmile
post Jul 27 2013, 09:10 PM

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Thanks gark. Learnt something new today smile.gif
billeu
post Jul 28 2013, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 27 2013, 03:25 PM)
I almost went in few months back...  sad.gif

I thought it was making a nice solid comeback and I still do.  wink.gif
*
Divvy is quite good. Any research on this by u? drool.gif
Boon3
post Jul 28 2013, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(billeu @ Jul 28 2013, 12:11 AM)
Divvy is quite good. Any research on this by u? drool.gif
*
When I last looked at Hai-O, I had it in my notes to watch for it at 245.

I wrote the following:

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


I didn't like how the stock traded on 28th. No follow through trading. tongue.gif
It closed much lower at 240.

It then drifted lower and went sideways.... (If I went in, I sure potong... cos the stock later went down to low 220s. tongue.gif )
I soon forgot about the stock.

Kinda regret a tiny bit looking at the stock now ....
However, can't say I totally regret it cos at that time, choices were plenty and somehow I wasn't too keen on the economics of Hai-O business enterprise. ( laugh.gif Cheh! Trying to console myself for missing a good one. tongue.gif )

Hai-O is doing nicely eh?
It had a solid move up the other day.
Good for you. smile.gif


Sanity
post Jul 28 2013, 01:41 PM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 26 2013, 11:05 AM)
Riding on SCABLE
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It shud be Flying on SCABLE brows.gif

This post has been edited by Sanity: Jul 28 2013, 01:42 PM
spiderman17
post Jul 28 2013, 04:08 PM

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Master Gark,

Thanks for the sharing lesson. I tried to follow step by step...
Can you share where/how you get this info:

Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO
- I used numbers from annual report 2012, but differs from this...

Average CPO, plywood, log selling price
- Again, annual report 2012 number differs slightly. No info on 2013...

Palm oil area, planted, matured and age group
- Annual report 2012 again...outdated..i know.

FFB growth rate
- can't find it

OER of 14.13%
- ok, what is OER? Sorry... sweat.gif




» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

gark
post Jul 28 2013, 10:35 PM

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QUOTE(spiderman17 @ Jul 28 2013, 04:08 PM)
Master Gark,

Thanks for the sharing lesson. I tried to follow step by step...
Can you share where/how you get this info:

Jtiasa's Bussiness is 35% plywood, 37% logs and 12% CPO
- I used numbers from annual report 2012, but differs from this...

Average CPO, plywood, log selling price
- Again, annual report 2012 number differs slightly. No info on 2013...

Palm oil area, planted, matured and age group
- Annual report 2012 again...outdated..i know.

FFB growth rate
- can't find it

OER of 14.13%
- ok, what is OER? Sorry... sweat.gif
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Download the 3q report and from the 3q investor presentation also from the 2012 annual report. Info all there, just have to put it together and analyze.

Oer is oil extraction rate, which the percentage of cpo weight that can be obtained from ffb. You get 150kg of cpo from 1 ton ffb, then your oer is 15%.
ivanau88
post Jul 29 2013, 08:56 AM

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redtone got show again? tongue.gif
Boon3
post Jul 29 2013, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 28 2013, 10:35 PM)
Download the 3q report and from the 3q investor presentation also from the 2012 annual report. Info all there, just have to put it together and analyze.

Oer is oil extraction rate, which the percentage of cpo weight that can be obtained from ffb. You get 150kg  of cpo from 1 ton ffb, then your oer is 15%.
*
smile.gif

I was reading KYY's point about JT's timber business.

Quote: As reported, the price of timber and plywood has increased by about 50% due to the Japanese demand for the reconstruction of the damages caused by the recent tsunami. I will move a resolution in the coming AGM to list the company’s timber business. I believe all shareholders will support my proposed resolution. This will benefit JT shareholders. For example IOI Corp is listing their Property business and IOI Corp shareholder will be given one IOI Property share for every three IOI Corp shares held.

I gave it a thought and burst out laughing.

For example, why bring out that Tsunami to prove a point?
Furthermore that Tsunami happened back in 2011 and 2011 is not that 'recent'.

I compare JT's log business on March 2011 with current.

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ncements/545705

Log business sales totalled 214.917 million and JT churned out a porfit of 38 million.

Most recent quarterly.
JT's wood business did increase but to just 291.566 million.
However, profits fell to just 4.969 million.

JT listing its timber business? laugh.gif

KYY's speaking like a salesman without looking much into data THAT MATTERS.
ben3003
post Jul 29 2013, 09:17 AM

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i wanna ask, if the share payable date is on 22nd july for the dividend, it will go into my bank account or 22nd july? or have to wait how long?
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post Jul 29 2013, 09:21 AM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 29 2013, 09:17 AM)
i wanna ask, if the share payable date is on 22nd july for the dividend, it will go into my bank account or 22nd july? or have to wait how long?
*
Depends on your broker. Mine usually 2 weeks.
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post Jul 29 2013, 09:42 AM

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Gadang..falling down falling down...buying again anyone??

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post Jul 29 2013, 09:51 AM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 29 2013, 09:17 AM)
i wanna ask, if the share payable date is on 22nd july for the dividend, it will go into my bank account or 22nd july? or have to wait how long?
*
If the shares are registered in your name and you have a e-dividend account, you should get it on the same day.
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 09:58 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 29 2013, 09:16 AM)
smile.gif

I was reading KYY's point about JT's timber business.

Quote:  As reported, the price of timber and plywood has increased by about 50% due to the Japanese demand for the reconstruction of the damages caused by the recent tsunami. I will move a resolution in the coming AGM to list the company’s timber business. I believe all shareholders will support my proposed resolution. This will benefit JT shareholders. For example IOI Corp is listing their Property business and IOI Corp shareholder will be given one IOI Property share for every three IOI Corp shares held. 

I gave it a thought and burst out laughing.

For example, why bring out that Tsunami to prove a point?
Furthermore that Tsunami happened back in 2011 and 2011 is not that 'recent'. 

I compare JT's log business on March 2011 with current.

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...ncements/545705

Log business sales totalled 214.917 million and JT churned out a porfit of 38 million.

Most recent quarterly.
JT's wood business did increase but to just 291.566 million.
However, profits fell to just 4.969 million.

JT listing its timber business? laugh.gif

KYY's speaking like a salesman without looking much into data THAT MATTERS.
*
Yup... that's why I say plywood is a sunset business. At best case, profits will just remain stable. Anyway whatever to be repaired after tsunami, has already been repaired.

Also he say Jtiasa total book value of it's land is RM 44k per ha, he expect it can fetch 100k per ha. Deep jungle land in Sarawak? Don't think so. wink.gif Even land in East coast Palm oil estate also selling at 35-50k/ha. Perak estates are about 80k-100k.

But I found a hidden gem in Jtiasa's that KKY never did mention after further digging into it's records. Jtiasa has the largest forest plantation in Malaysia something like 235k ha. Only about 30k ha is planted due to poor sales of plywood business in which not so much wood required hence 70% of the land is left idle after logging. Now if Jtiasa CAN convert those from forest plantation to palm oil estate, then we really have a hidden gem here as they will be one of the largest palm oil estates in Sarawak. Can they do that? According to law they cannot, as they have to 'manage' the forest for rehab after logging, but being Malaysia anything can happen. By the way these forest plantation/rehab land is concession and land cost is FOC wink.gif

Why KKY never mention this point? Is it not do-able? laugh.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 10:28 AM
ben3003
post Jul 29 2013, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(cckkpr @ Jul 29 2013, 09:51 AM)
If the shares are registered in your name and you have a e-dividend account, you should get it on the same day.
*
i am holding the stock thru CIMB itrade.. so how to check i got e-dividend acc or not? i also dunno they stock under my name or not lol..
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post Jul 29 2013, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(cckkpr @ Jul 29 2013, 09:51 AM)
If the shares are registered in your name and you have a e-dividend account, you should get it on the same day.
*
I think it should be next day, as most use Giro to transfer the e-dividend, so take 1 day to clear.
Correct me if I am wrong.
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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 29 2013, 10:41 AM)
i am holding the stock thru CIMB itrade.. so how to check i got e-dividend acc or not? i also dunno they stock under my name or not lol..
*
You have to open a e-dividend account. Refer to your broker to get it done. Just one account and all dividends received will be channeled there.
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post Jul 29 2013, 11:32 AM

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QUOTE(cckkpr @ Jul 29 2013, 11:21 AM)
You have to open a e-dividend account. Refer to your broker to get it done. Just one account and all dividends received will be channeled there.
*
oh.. i believe i already give my bank details and they scan my bank book last time...
cooldownguy86
post Jul 29 2013, 11:44 AM

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Kpj manyak sakit... And gdex flying liao
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post Jul 29 2013, 11:57 AM

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august correction came early? laugh.gif
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today can survive above 1800? tongue.gif
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post Jul 29 2013, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(cooldownguy86 @ Jul 29 2013, 11:44 AM)
Kpj manyak sakit... And gdex flying liao
*
biggrin.gif GDEX 0078 +20c
this counter always perform during market in red
river.sand
post Jul 29 2013, 12:23 PM

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How bad is China's economy?

Every week we hear some bad news from China, for example:

QUOTE
China’s manufacturing weakened by more than estimated in July, according to a preliminary survey of purchasing managers that casts further doubt on the government’s ability to meet its annual economic growth (CNGDPYOY) target.
The reading of 47.7 for an index released today by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics, if confirmed in the final report Aug. 1, would be the lowest in 11 months. Readings below 50 indicate contraction. A separate euro-area gauge showed manufacturing unexpectedly expanded this month
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-24/c...wn-deepens.html

QUOTE
China’s exports and imports unexpectedly declined in June, underscoring the severity of the slowdown in the world’s second-biggest economy as Premier Li Keqiang reins in credit growth.
Overseas shipments fell 3.1 percent from a year earlier, the most since the global financial crisis, data from the General Administration of Customs showed in Beijing today, compared with the median estimate of a 3.7 percent gain in a Bloomberg News survey. Imports dropped 0.7 percent, while the median projection was for a 6 percent increase.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-10/c...on-economy.html

But at the same time, we have been told that China's GDP will grow about 7.5% this year, which is one of the fastest in the world. Where does the growth come from rclxub.gif
kueyteowlou
post Jul 29 2013, 12:24 PM

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tmclife tmclifee ! bee boo bee boo !
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post Jul 29 2013, 12:27 PM

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QUOTE(kueyteowlou @ Jul 29 2013, 12:24 PM)
tmclife tmclifee ! bee boo bee boo !
*
Bee boo bee boo... means ambulance coming.

So who is injured? tongue.gif
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post Jul 29 2013, 12:39 PM

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Long time didnt check in, index already standing at 1800 sweat.gif
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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 29 2013, 12:23 PM)
How bad is China's economy?

Every week we hear some bad news from China, for example:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-24/c...wn-deepens.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-10/c...on-economy.html

But at the same time, we have been told that China's GDP will grow about 7.5% this year, which is one of the fastest in the world. Where does the growth come from  rclxub.gif
*
Internal infrastructure construction boost by chinese Gov. sweat.gif Not really healthy growth of GDP.
kueyteowlou
post Jul 29 2013, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 29 2013, 12:27 PM)
Bee boo bee boo... means ambulance coming.

So who is injured? tongue.gif
*
cry.gif cry.gif cry.gif cry.gif
cckkpr
post Jul 29 2013, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 29 2013, 11:20 AM)
I think it should be next day, as most use Giro to transfer the e-dividend, so take 1 day to clear.
Correct me if I am wrong.
*
The dividend monies are parked with the bank earlier together with the list of shareholders. So when the due date comes, a click will suffice and the monies should be there.
Icehart
post Jul 29 2013, 02:32 PM

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Today palm oil plunge a lot kah?
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 29 2013, 02:32 PM)
Today palm oil plunge a lot kah?
*
No wor.. only drop RM 9 from 2183 to 2174...

Probally someone panic now psychologically below 2200.

Time to pick some juicy plantations... laugh.gif especially those CPO cost below RM 1500 ones... still got good margin, shake out all the weak players:hehe:

Probally this news kua...

QUOTE
"Reports about European lawmakers backing a proposal to limit the use of biofuels in the region’s transport sector coupled with higher than expected soy stockpiles by the U.S. Department of Agriculture sparked selling pressure in the market,"


This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 02:47 PM
felixmask
post Jul 29 2013, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 29 2013, 02:32 PM)
Today palm oil plunge a lot kah?
*


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
felixmask
post Jul 29 2013, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 02:45 PM)
No wor.. only drop RM 9 from 2183 to 2174...

Probally someone panic now psychologically below 2200.

Time to pick some juicy plantations... laugh.gif especially those CPO cost below RM 1500 ones...  still got good margin, shake out all the weak players:hehe:

Probally this news kua...
*
France will not discriminate palm oil products

the CPO shld go up hmm.gif
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 02:51 PM)
They don't discriminate only they don't use it... whats the difference? These from the same people which raised the nutella tax. rolleyes.gif

CPO need this plunge, too many people planting expecting green gold. Good to shake out the weaker players, and the the price bottom up and set it up nicely for a bull run later. Hope the price drop below RM 1,500 / ton.. a lot of people gonna give away their palm fruit for free. brows.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 02:54 PM
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 03:00 PM

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Here we go again roller coaster... dead cat bouncing, now going down.

All my current holdings is blood RED today... laugh.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 03:01 PM
ivanau88
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:00 PM)
Here we go again roller coaster... dead cat bouncing, now going down.

All my current holdings is blood RED today...  laugh.gif
*
so do i. damn bloody RED
felixmask
post Jul 29 2013, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 02:52 PM)
They don't discriminate only they don't use it... whats the difference? These from the same people which raised the nutella tax.  rolleyes.gif

CPO need this plunge, too many people planting expecting green gold. Good to shake out the weaker players, and the the price bottom up and set it up nicely for a bull run later. Hope the price drop below RM 1,500 / ton.. a lot of people gonna give away their palm fruit for free.  brows.gif
*
apa macam..you got give tips for plantation stock..also go down ??? like SOP
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 03:12 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 03:09 PM)
apa macam..you got give tips for plantation stock..also go down ??? like SOP
*
Sure go down ler.. all CPO go down, in short term all profit will get hit. But I see a longer picture on the maturing palm oil, which will translate to higher earning, but a couple years down the road. tongue.gif

Not for the faint hearted... laugh.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 29 2013, 03:13 PM
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:12 PM)
Sure go down ler.. all CPO go down, in short term all profit will get hit. But I see a longer picture on the maturing palm oil, which will translate to higher earning, but a couple years down the road.  tongue.gif

Not for the faint hearted...  laugh.gif
*
is CPO continue still can go down ???
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 29 2013, 03:20 PM)
is CPO continue still can go down ???
*
Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast.

Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton.

Trick is look for :-

1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years
2. Significant plantable reserves
3. Lowest EV per ha plantation
4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha)
5. High OER (Min 20%)





felixmask
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM)
Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast.

Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton.

Trick is look for :-

1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years
2. Significant plantable reserves
3. Lowest EV per ha plantation
4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha)
5. High OER (Min 20%)
*
THANKS YOU VERY MUCH.. flex.gif
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wub.gif

listen music in this red market...
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post Jul 29 2013, 03:55 PM

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QUOTE(cckkpr @ Jul 29 2013, 02:06 PM)
The dividend monies are parked with the bank earlier together with the list of shareholders. So when the due date comes, a click will suffice and the monies should be there.
*
Giro or interbank transfer need 1 day for clearing, won't be instant.
yok70
post Jul 29 2013, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 03:27 PM)
Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast.

Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton.

Trick is look for :-

1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years
2. Significant plantable reserves
3. Lowest EV per ha plantation
4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha)
5. High OER (Min 20%)
*
so which is your top pick? tdm? biggrin.gif
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 29 2013, 04:16 PM

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biggrin.gif lucky day for me. Portfolio super green
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 29 2013, 04:04 PM)
so which is your top pick? tdm?  biggrin.gif
*
TDM bought and sold already recently.. 60% profit. laugh.gif Not recommend to buy back at these prices.
gark
post Jul 29 2013, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 29 2013, 04:16 PM)
biggrin.gif lucky day for me. Portfolio super green
*
Wah you so geng. rclxms.gif Others all bleeding red ink hahaha.
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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 29 2013, 04:43 PM)
Wah you so geng.  rclxms.gif Others all bleeding red ink hahaha.
*
tongue.gif But sometime you all super green, I no movement.............

you look me good I look you nice only
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post Jul 29 2013, 05:06 PM

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my post-GE gain has almost back to flat. thanks to REITs. unsure.gif
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Khazanah Nasional buying Turkey health insurer for US$252m

Khazanah Nasional Bhd's insurance holding company Avicennia Capital Sdn Bhd is buying a 90% stake in Turkey's health insurer Acibadem Saglik ve Hayat Sigorta A.S. (Acibadem Sigorta) for US$252mil.

Khazanah said on Monday that Avicennia Capital had inked an agreement to buy the stake from Mehmet Ali Aydinlar and family and The Abraaj Group.

The Malaysian government's strategic investment fund said Acibadem Sigorta is a leading provider of health insurance services for corporate and individual clients in Turkey, and has the second largest market share in the industry.

Acibadem Sigorta's headquarters is in Istanbul and it operates six regional offices across Turkey. Acibadem Sigorta's premium health insurance offering provides its customers with access to a large network of high quality healthcare facilities in Turkey.

The acquisition complemented Avicennia Capital's acquisition of the CIMB Aviva insurance businesses in Malaysia in early 2013.
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post Jul 29 2013, 09:38 PM

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Anyone here eye-ing for Sunreit?

Planning to scoop some!
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red red red
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post Jul 29 2013, 11:08 PM

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hi, anyone know any reason behind the reason drop in JCY ?

Boon3
post Jul 30 2013, 08:14 AM

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QUOTE(andrewL @ Jul 29 2013, 11:08 PM)
hi, anyone know any reason behind the reason drop in JCY ?
*
Most stocks are consolidating its positions ahead of Raya (normal la, a lot want to have cash for Raya) and it's quite possible the sea of red and lackluster trading could continue. sweat.gif

For JCY, I last wrote:

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 24 2013, 04:51 PM)
On the other hand, the observation that redtone consolidates after its quarterly earnings the past few quarterly earnings is spot on.
I do know this a fact ... since when redtone was below 40 sen. smile.gif

JCY on the other hand is actually looking good.
It's just digesting its recent gains.
No stocks go straight up, its usually 2 steps forward 1 step backward.
(ps: me not on this one cos I don't understand its fundamentals. tongue.gif )
The worrying thing for JCY is the the step backwards is worrying, esp the trade on last Friday. wink.gif
Perhaps that was a sign to square of one's position and eat humble pie.

user posted image

The only small positive one can draw from it is that the volume for the past 2 days has shrunk a lot. ( this is not a big positive cos sometimes when the stock continues to fall quite substantially, volume could suddenly gather momentum, indicating fear had probably struck a lot more nerves)
hando911
post Jul 30 2013, 08:20 AM

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redtone anyone smile.gif
valan
post Jul 30 2013, 09:05 AM

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must be a lot of happy ppl today
SONA IPO ROI is ~20%
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post Jul 30 2013, 09:17 AM

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Sona.. Drop one.. Cannot buy when open..
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post Jul 30 2013, 09:19 AM

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QUOTE(hando911 @ Jul 30 2013, 08:20 AM)
redtone anyone smile.gif
*
me smile.gif abit worry :S
hando911
post Jul 30 2013, 09:27 AM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 09:19 AM)
me smile.gif abit worry :S
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i read some good rumor before, hopefully will have some change sweat.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(hando911 @ Jul 30 2013, 09:27 AM)
i read some good rumor before, hopefully will have some change sweat.gif
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i scare over d... lets see how la
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 30 2013, 10:21 AM

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biggrin.gif 0078 still performing..........

going to transfer mainboard next week
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:21 AM)
biggrin.gif 0078 still performing..........

going to transfer mainboard next week
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Any tips laugh.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 10:39 AM
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:37 AM)
Any tips  laugh.gif
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laugh.gif deleted

This post has been edited by StupidGuyPlayComp: Jul 30 2013, 10:44 AM
Icehart
post Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 09:32 AM)
i scare over d... lets see how la
*
I sold yesterday at 84 cents already to set off my losses on JCY. sweat.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM)
I sold yesterday at 84 cents already to set off my losses on JCY.  sweat.gif
*
smile.gif yesterday still able sold at 84, you are lucky and rapid response
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:40 AM)
laugh.gif insider news, next monday shift to mainbaord
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U work there blush.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM)
smile.gif yesterday still able sold at 84, you are lucky and rapid response
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I had the chance to sell it off at 0.85 but I din. Lesson learnt... tongue.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM)
U work there  blush.gif
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tongue.gif keep secret.............
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 10:45 AM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM)
I had the chance to sell it off at 0.85 but I din. Lesson learnt... tongue.gif
*
This stock is good for hit and run, like Ultraman did.

Chartwise, I do not know how promising it is hmm.gif

But people are cautious about US markets liao......

Just my 0.01sen opinion.........

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 10:47 AM
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM)
I had the chance to sell it off at 0.85 but I din. Lesson learnt... tongue.gif
*
hmm.gif Redtone will announce the quarterly result today or tomorrow, I positive on the result.

then may got chance rebound a bit, if the market not very red

This post has been edited by StupidGuyPlayComp: Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM
Icehart
post Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:42 AM)
smile.gif yesterday still able sold at 84, you are lucky and rapid response
*
I wouldn't if I'm not bleeding in JCY. sweat.gif
omg528
post Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM)
hmm.gif Redtone will announce the quarterly result today or tomorrow, I positive on the result.

then may got chance rebound a bit, if the market not very red
*
I also quite confident on Redtone report which will annouce by today...hehe...
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post Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(omg528 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM)
I also quite confident on Redtone report which will annouce by today...hehe...
*
laugh.gif the main concern is the price trend after the report.........
omg528
post Jul 30 2013, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:52 AM)
laugh.gif the main concern is the price trend after the report.........
*
haha..VT buy around 0.8 and the price is still remain this range..
still ok ba... tongue.gif tongue.gif
Icehart
post Jul 30 2013, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(omg528 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:53 AM)
haha..VT buy around 0.8 and the price is still remain this range..
still ok ba... tongue.gif  tongue.gif
*
Speaking of VT, stocks held/played by VT apparently have high swing %. laugh.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:49 AM)
hmm.gif Redtone will announce the quarterly result today or tomorrow, I positive on the result.

then may got chance rebound a bit, if the market not very red
*
I'm aware of the result, I was hoping for that but then now that I see. Rebound pun sikit.
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 30 2013, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(omg528 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:53 AM)
haha..VT buy around 0.8 and the price is still remain this range..
still ok ba... tongue.gif  tongue.gif
*
laugh.gif VT very tricky one, hard to say
omg528
post Jul 30 2013, 11:00 AM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:56 AM)
I'm aware of the result, I was hoping for that but then now that I see. Rebound pun sikit.
*
i think today drop is due to contra kaki? tongue.gif
ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 30 2013, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(omg528 @ Jul 30 2013, 10:53 AM)
haha..VT buy around 0.8 and the price is still remain this range..
still ok ba... tongue.gif  tongue.gif
*
Hard to tell leh....how about buy at high price & announce, buy & sell & lower price & kept silent.
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:58 AM)
laugh.gif VT very tricky one, hard to say
*
Hi Ultra,

Any android softwares got good world stock indexes including Bursa.

Usually HTC got built in one, but not on google nexus phones..... hmm.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 11:02 AM
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 30 2013, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 11:02 AM)
Hi Ultra,

Any android softwares  got good world stock indexes including Bursa.

Usually HTC got built in one, but not on google nexus phones..... hmm.gif
*
hmm.gif really no idea on this...........I only use KLSE Screener, got some important index like DJ, STI etc
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 10:58 AM)
laugh.gif VT very tricky one, hard to say
*
Some people just play many rounds of a stock , then can buy up the company from their pocket money......

MBF was one of them...
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 30 2013, 11:04 AM)
hmm.gif really no idea on this...........I only use KLSE Screener, got some important index like DJ, STI etc
*
Screener seems to be the best so far..

Bursa assistant also quite good, can scan EOD data before buy......and candle charts

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 11:08 AM
kuluuluk
post Jul 30 2013, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 11:07 AM)
Screener seems to be the best so far..

Bursa assistant also quite good, can scan EOD data before buy......and candle charts
*
bloomberg app also ok ma..no?
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 30 2013, 11:29 AM)
bloomberg app also ok ma..no?
*
Bursa Index got , I thought mainly Bloomberg news.

Ya got , but show % only hmm.gif

But I like the HTC one, programmable than fixed yawn.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 11:41 AM
sweetlemonande
post Jul 30 2013, 11:40 AM

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Today bought some Sona below ipo price and sold and earn some bucket of KFC thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
kuluuluk
post Jul 30 2013, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 11:36 AM)
Bursa Index got , I thought mainly Bloomberg  news.

Ya got , but show % only hmm.gif

But I like the HTC one, programmable than fixed  yawn.gif
*
No, it shows alot.. maybe info requirement is diff... blush.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 30 2013, 12:11 PM)
No, it shows alot..  maybe info requirement is diff...  blush.gif
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Yes , u are right.

Back to my beloved Bloomberg icon_rolleyes.gif
hlily
post Jul 30 2013, 02:33 PM

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any tips for today?
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post Jul 30 2013, 02:42 PM

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post Jul 30 2013, 04:05 PM

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such a boring day
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:27 PM

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fengsui chart said, we all go to hell 2 days later. biggrin.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:27 PM)
fengsui chart said, we all go to hell 2 days later.  biggrin.gif
*
like this meh..... :S
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:28 PM)
like this meh..... :S
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we can anti-fengshui also, see who more powerful. laugh.gif
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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:29 PM)
we can anti-fengshui also, see who more powerful.  laugh.gif
*
feng shui started few hundred years back...probably thousands... go against ar tongue.gif
felixmask
post Jul 30 2013, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:27 PM)
fengsui chart said, we all go to hell 2 days later.  biggrin.gif
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go holland only...not HELL flex.gif like 2008/2009 Financial Crisis or 1997 Asean Crisis
flamestudio
post Jul 30 2013, 04:42 PM

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Wow... Sona going crazyy again.....
ctrl_alt_del
post Jul 30 2013, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:30 PM)
feng shui started few hundred years back...probably thousands... go against ar tongue.gif
*
Err... that feng shui chart using lunar calendar vs Gregorian calendar? If lunar calendar, we still got 1 month bullish market.
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:50 PM

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Whole market volume is from SONA contribution
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 30 2013, 04:46 PM)
Err... that feng shui chart using lunar calendar vs Gregorian calendar? If lunar calendar, we still got 1 month bullish market.
*
then need to ask busar ikut yg mana mia calendar
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(ctrl_alt_del @ Jul 30 2013, 04:46 PM)
Err... that feng shui chart using lunar calendar vs Gregorian calendar? If lunar calendar, we still got 1 month bullish market.
*
fengshui chart for stock market woh? how can use lunar. must be modern mah. tongue.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 04:58 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 30 2013, 04:50 PM)
Whole market volume is from SONA contribution
*
value is close to volume and sona is just penny stock.
so i guess not, big cap also can goreng a little. hmm.gif
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:00 PM

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Looks like still got people asking extension for bullish market. Anyway, this week, it's freaking bad for my profile.
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:07 PM

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Probably after a slight correction, then we are on riding mode again?
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 30 2013, 05:07 PM)
Probably after a slight correction, then we are on riding mode again?
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ride on a bull or a donkey? tongue.gif
Took almost 1week to break 1800 but 1 day to break below 1800 :/ Irony
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:17 PM

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Who knows? Not yet UMNO AGM then still can ride on I guess.. Haha.

Later break, no more wait you again.
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 30 2013, 05:17 PM)
Who knows? Not yet UMNO AGM then still can ride on I guess.. Haha.

Later break, no more wait you again.
*
hahah market bad i kacau abit only. yeah, once kerbau datang, kerbau pun boleh terbang
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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 04:30 PM)
feng shui started few hundred years back...probably thousands... go against ar tongue.gif
*
We are not against feng shui, but maybe against some feng shui masters tongue.gif
風水佬呃你十年八年...

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post Jul 30 2013, 05:28 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 05:18 PM)
hahah market bad i kacau abit only. yeah, once kerbau datang, kerbau pun boleh terbang
*
Are you hinting Terbau akan terbang? hmm.gif
Got it! Thanks for the tipsy! tongue.gif
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QUOTE(Top Gun @ Jul 30 2013, 05:28 PM)
Are you hinting Terbau akan terbang? hmm.gif
Got it! Thanks for the tipsy! tongue.gif
*
kelong d dont find me. me talking about bull yawn.gif
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 05:43 PM

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Fitch downgrades Malaysia outlook to “negative” from “stable ”
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 05:43 PM)
Fitch downgrades Malaysia outlook to “negative” from “stable ”
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what a news at what a time....feng shui chart says it all
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post Jul 30 2013, 05:55 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 05:49 PM)
what a news at what a time....feng shui chart says it all
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Quite many bad news if u read the Edge. hmm.gif
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 05:43 PM)
Fitch downgrades Malaysia outlook to “negative” from “stable ”
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BolehLand Bond need to hike cuupon rate hmm.gif
Reits supress again ???
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post Jul 30 2013, 06:00 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 05:56 PM)
BolehLand Bond need to hike cuupon rate  hmm.gif
Reits supress again ???
*
Malaysia bonds hit 3.97 % today . hmm.gif

10B RM bond matures tomorrow, with heavy FF outflow expected.

RM is getting hit. hard.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 06:13 PM
ivanau88
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:00 PM)
Malaysia bonds hit 3.98 % today .  hmm.gif

10B RM bond matures tomorrow, with heavy FF outflow expected.

RM is getting hit. hard.
*
meaning tomorrow will be HELL to the traders
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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:01 PM)
meaning tomorrow will be HELL to the traders
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HOLLAND for reits ?
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:00 PM)
Malaysia bonds hit 3.98 % today .  hmm.gif

10B RM bond matures tomorrow, with heavy FF outflow expected.

RM is getting hit. hard.
*
hi sky 1809,


can you share which site you reference BolehLand BOND yield ?
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 06:09 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 06:04 PM)
hi sky 1809,
can you share which site you reference BolehLand BOND yield ?
*
Ringgit drops to three-year low
Malaysia's ringgit fell to a three-year low on concern global investors will repatriate funds after US$2.9 billion of sovereign debt matures tomorrow.

The local-currency bonds "may have a large proportion of foreign ownership" and capital outflows could cause the ringgit to underperform, Dariusz Kowalczyk, a Credit Agricole CIB strategist in Hong Kong, wrote in a research note today. The yield on the government's benchmark three-year notes ended yesterday at the highest level since November 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

"One of the factors that is behind the depreciation in the ringgit has been the large redemption of Malaysian government securities," said Khoon Goh, a senior strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd in Singapore. "That has got the market somewhat concerned that we're going to see some large outflows from the bond market."

The ringgit declined 0.3 per cent to 3.2365 per dollar as of 10.03am in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It earlier touched 3.2379, the weakest level since July 1, 2010. It has fallen for five straight days, the longest losing streak since December 2012, and depreciated 2.4 per cent this month and 5.5 per cent in 2013.

Global funds held 33 per cent of Malaysian sovereign notes in May, the highest proportion among Southeast Asia's biggest economies, according to central bank and Finance Ministry data. This renders the nation's securities vulnerable to a global sell-off, Arjun Shetty, a rate strategist in Singapore at Deutsche Bank AG, said last week.

The government will auction RM4.5 billion of 2020 securities today, according to data published on the central bank's website.

The ringgit also weakened amid concern about a possible deterioration of Malaysia's current-account balance, Goh said. The surplus fell to RM8.7 billion in the January-March period from RM22.9 billion in the preceding three months, official data show. The nation may record an US$800 million current-account deficit in the second quarter, the first shortfall since 1997, according to a July 26 note from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

One-month implied volatility in the ringgit, a measure of expected moves in exchange rates used to price options, rose 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, to 8.30 per cent.

Government bonds declined. The yield on the 3.48 per cent notes due March 2023 climbed four basis points to 3.97 per cent, the highest since the notes were issued in March, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.-- Bloomberg


KUALA LUMPUR (July 31): BNP Paribas is of the view that Malaysia faces a possible sovereign downgrade if its economic growth slows and the reforms stalled.

The research house also sees a weaker ringgit ahead due to fiscal strain.

“With revenues remaining stagnant at best, Malaysia’s debt-to-revenue ratio at 237% in 2012 is already well above the ‘A’ range medians of 137%.

“This puts the sovereign at risk of an outlook downgrade should growth falter or reforms stall,” said a country strategy report on Malaysia by PNB Paribas.

In the same report, it said the US dollar/ringgit will see more volatility as Malaysia’s current account surplus buffer gets eroded and investors hedge themselves through the currency.

“We currently have a forecast of 3.15 by end of this year and 3.30 by end 2014. We are revising these up to 3.25 and 3.35 respectively,” it said.

Below is the full report by PNB Paribas dated July 29, written by its analysts Yii Hui Wong and Mirza Baig:

“Our recent trip to Malaysia has cemented our bearish view on Malaysian rates and the currency.

Policymakers appear too sanguine on the growth and debt outlook and politics are still playing a role in key fiscal reform decisions.

The weakness in the fiscal outlook is not new. The government has been beating the drum on fiscal consolidation for years. Yet, the official government debt / GDP ratio has continued to climb, now just 1.5% short of the 55% of GDP ceiling.

In an environment of strong growth and robust capital inflows, this could be easily brushed aside as was the case for 2012 and much of this year.

However, growth is moderating, led by the drag from net exports and a loss in momentum from investment spending. With China slowing and Fed tapering expected to impact inflows negatively, this will amplify worries over debt sustainability.

Fiscal reforms remain distant…

We expect the trigger for a further sell-off in MGS to be the debt ceiling issue and the lack of fiscal reforms both on the revenue and expenditure side.

On the revenue side, the GST implementation is key to broadening the tax base. Petroleum-related revenues contributed 30% of RM207.2 billion of federal government revenues in 2012 with half of this came as dividends from Petronas.

Instead of a fixed amount of RM30 billion as dividends, Petronas has repeatedly stated that it would be moving gradually to a 30% (of profits) dividend distribution which implies approximately RM12-15bn (or 6%-8% of revenue) reduction eventually.

A simple back-of-the-envelope calculation implies that the GST rate will have to be a minimum of 5-6% rather than the original 4% if rolled out together with other comprehensive tax reform measures.

We remain sceptical that these can be carried out especially as the budget is likely to be passed in October, before the UMNO general assembly elections for party leadership.

Even then, it is assumed in our projections that the GST will be implemented immediately and effectively whereas the reality is that GST would have a lead-in period of around 12-18 months.

With revenues remaining stagnant at best, Malaysia’s debt-to-revenue ratio at 237% in 2012 is already well above the ‘A’ range medians of 137%.

This puts the sovereign at risk of an outlook downgrade should growth falter or reforms stall.

On the expenditure side, subsidies take up about 19% of total expenditure with around 10-12% as fuel subsidies. Plans to cut subsidies on the widely used RON 95 grade of petrol have been shelved since December 2010.

Interest payments also take up about 11% of total expenditures, so a back-up in yields would put additional strains.

And given the UMNO elections, it seems unlikely that the government would cut food and fuel subsidies any time this year. Instead, development spending may be cut to plug the gap, though this may hurt growth.

… and support for ringgit is fading

Compounding the issues in fiscal sustainability is the structural decline of the current account surplus – largely driven by the deteriorating trade balance.

Our economists have pencilled in a current account surplus of 4% of GDP for this year and 2% for 2014 with risks on the downside.

Commodity exports make up around 30% of the export basket and the price impact on export growth has been the driver of the decline.

In the electronics sector which makes up another 30% of exports, a turnaround is unlikely to materialize in the near-term as demand for the traditional PC hardware that Malaysia produces remains muted.

With net FDI flows remaining negative, portfolio inflows waning, and locals continuing to buy USD, the support for MYR and local currency bonds is diminishing.

Bear steepening in MGS

While MGS net supply for the rest of the year is a manageable MYR8.8 billion and the next big redemption month is only in October (with MYR6bn worth of redemptions), foreign holdings are around 47% of MGS.

We believe that much of these holdings are underwater, exacerbated by currency losses.

Through 2011/12, USDMYR was trading below 3.20. 3Y and 5Y MGS yields were also trading below 3.47% and 3.66% respectively.

The pain threshold for some investors could already have been breached given where the currency and bonds are now trading.

As regards local support, we understand that local investors have been mostly buying GIIs, quasi-sovereign debt or corporate paper as these provide higher yields.

For example, insurer holdings of MGS paper has remained relatively stable around 8-9% of outstanding stock while banks have maintained it around 13-14%.

Otherwise, some of them have been looking to diversify to invest in other markets, primarily in Korea and Thailand.

Even the national pension fund, EPF, already hold 30.8% of outstanding MGS. They have their own mandates to fulfil and we do not expect them to be a large support for MGS in the event of a sell-off. BNM currently holds only 0.5% of outstanding stock of MGS and technically can buy up to 10% of any issue in their normal monetary operations.

However, should they step in, we think that it would only serve to shake confidence than bolster it.

We recommend shortening duration in bonds and establishing 3s10s steepeners in swaps at 82bps. The 3Y10Y spreads in bonds and swaps are currently 47bps and 92bps respectively.

We are targeting 100bps in bond spreads and 130 bps in swap spreads. Bonds could underperform swaps as the proliferation of range accrual products onshore could weigh on steepening momentum (refer Chart 8). Carry is slightly positive at 1bp per month on these trades.

There are two domestic risks to the steepening view. First, if the administration surprisingly delivers fiscal reforms, then it would likely convince ratings agencies to delay a sovereign downgrade.

It would come as a sharp surprise to the market too, which has adopted a resigned and bearish attitude towards Malaysian fixed income. As such, the Malaysia budget announcement in October 2013 presents an unusually high event risk for the market.

The second risk is if BNM were to hike rates. Clearly the growth outlook does not support tightening, though if MYR depreciation takes on IDR or INR type proportions, BNM would be in a bind.

On the currency, we think USD/MYR will see more volatility as the current account surplus buffer gets eroded and investors hedge themselves through the currency.

We currently have a forecast of 3.15 by end of this year and 3.30 by end 2014. We are revising these up to 3.25 and 3.35 respectively.”

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 06:15 PM
yok70
post Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM

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Those bond funds NAV are moving downwards too. So that's just because of the market value? As they not necessarily selling their bond holdings right? As those are low risk funds, they mostly will hold the bond to receive steady interest income right? If this is the case, we may consider to buy at low? notworthy.gif

http://www.publicmutual.com.my/application...formancenw.aspx

This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 06:40 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:26 PM)
Those bond funds NAV are moving downwards too. So that's just because of the market value? As they not necessarily selling their bond holdings right? As those are low risk funds, they mostly will hold the bond to receive steady interest income right? If this is the case, we may consider to buy at low?  notworthy.gif

http://www.publicmutual.com.my/application...formancenw.aspx
*
U tend to gain on maturity but it takes 8 to 15 years to mature for long term bonds .

Long term bond is out of favour in current trend unless with very attractive yields , short term ones like 3 years maybe hmm.gif

It is more risky to speculate on bond yields, experts say.....

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 30 2013, 06:41 PM
Icehart
post Jul 30 2013, 07:12 PM

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With RM expected to depreciate further, it's time to look for companies that are export oriented. hmm.gif
gark
post Jul 30 2013, 07:49 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 30 2013, 07:12 PM)
With RM expected to depreciate further, it's time to look for companies that are export oriented. hmm.gif
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Rubber.......gloves. tongue.gif 100% export to USA...
Oracles99
post Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM

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palm oil
gark
post Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 05:56 PM)
BolehLand Bond need to hike cuupon rate  hmm.gif
Reits supress again ???
*
Blame it on N*jib spending money like water nowdays. shakehead.gif


This post has been edited by gark: Jul 30 2013, 07:52 PM
gark
post Jul 30 2013, 07:53 PM

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QUOTE(Oracles99 @ Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM)
palm oil
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Palm oil trades in RM leh....MPOB price. tongue.gif
gark
post Jul 30 2013, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 06:02 PM)
HOLLAND for reits ?
*
4% bond yield... as previously predicted. REIT have to yield 5.5% to compensate now... brows.gif
Oracles99
post Jul 30 2013, 07:58 PM

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I remember the price of palm oil went up during the crisis of 1998 when the MYR was trending down agst the USD.... Hope my memory is still sound biggrin.gif biggrin.gif
Oracles99
post Jul 30 2013, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 30 2013, 07:51 PM)
Blame it on N*jib spending money like water nowdays.  shakehead.gif
*
I think we all are going to hear this remark from the gomen "This time is different". The reality is that this time is no different from last time.
Maybe we would experience a bloodbath in the markets tomorrow
gark
post Jul 30 2013, 08:07 PM

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QUOTE(Oracles99 @ Jul 30 2013, 08:06 PM)
I think we all are going to hear this remark from the gomen "This time is different". The reality is that  this time is no different from last time.
Maybe we would experience a bloodbath in the markets tomorrow
*
Lucky I am in 85% cash now, thanks you pong sway chart. laugh.gif

Hope tomorrow really bloodbath.. rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Jul 30 2013, 08:07 PM
Oracles99
post Jul 30 2013, 08:09 PM

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QUOTE(ivanau88 @ Jul 30 2013, 05:49 PM)
what a news at what a time....feng shui chart says it all
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I am downloading the chart now biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif
andrewleewaikeong
post Jul 30 2013, 08:12 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 06:00 PM)
Malaysia bonds hit 3.97 % today .  hmm.gif

10B RM bond matures tomorrow, with heavy FF outflow expected.

RM is getting hit. hard.
*
Can I know where is the source for 10B RM bond matures tomorrow ? Where could I get the info ?

Thanks
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 08:24 PM

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QUOTE(andrewleewaikeong @ Jul 30 2013, 08:12 PM)
Can I know where is the source for 10B RM bond matures tomorrow ? Where could I get the info ?

Thanks
*
Ringgit drops to three-year low
Malaysia's ringgit fell to a three-year low on concern global investors will repatriate funds after US$2.9 billion of sovereign debt matures tomorrow.

The Edge

Rounded up after converting to rm
felixmask
post Jul 30 2013, 08:26 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 30 2013, 07:54 PM)
4% bond yield... as previously predicted. REIT have to yield 5.5% to compensate now... brows.gif
*
any way retail can buy bond ?
SKY 1809
post Jul 30 2013, 08:32 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 30 2013, 08:07 PM)
Lucky I am in 85% cash now, thanks you pong sway chart.  laugh.gif

Hope tomorrow really bloodbath.. rclxms.gif
*
Petronas also delays its 18B project in Johor .......do not know any links to Bond yields hmm.gif
holybo
post Jul 30 2013, 08:33 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 08:26 PM)
any way retail can buy bond ?
*
buy bond fund instead?
andrewleewaikeong
post Jul 30 2013, 08:33 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 30 2013, 08:24 PM)
Ringgit drops to three-year low
Malaysia's ringgit fell to a three-year low on concern global investors will repatriate funds after US$2.9 billion of sovereign debt matures tomorrow.

The Edge

Rounded up after converting to rm
*
thanks mate , appreciate your help
felixmask
post Jul 30 2013, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(holybo @ Jul 30 2013, 08:33 PM)
buy bond fund instead?
*
any suggestion ?
holybo
post Jul 30 2013, 08:42 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 08:37 PM)
any suggestion ?
*
currently most of the bond fund got hit from the yield expansion. You might read research from fundsupermart?
felixmask
post Jul 30 2013, 09:11 PM

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QUOTE(holybo @ Jul 30 2013, 08:42 PM)
currently most of the bond fund got hit from the yield expansion. You might read research from fundsupermart?
*
personally do you invest any bond fund at fundsupermart?
holybo
post Jul 30 2013, 09:15 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Jul 30 2013, 09:11 PM)
personally do you invest any bond fund at fundsupermart?
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amdynamic, rhb, ambond

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