Probably.. it did so previously. Max down i think will be RM 1,600-1,800/ton, lower than that a lot of plantation will not want to harvest, and let the fruit rot on tree. When this happens like in 2008/2009 the bounce back is extremely fast.
Plantation companies are not all efficient, when the price is high all tom d*** and harry also can make money. Looking at yield/ha and OER, low cost producers total costs are about RM 1,200-1,500 /ton CPO. Medium Cost producers are RM 1,500-1,800/ton CPO. Higher cost producers are about RM 1,800-2,200/ton.
Trick is look for :-
1. Low average tree age of 5-8 years
2. Significant plantable reserves
3. Lowest EV per ha plantation
4. High yield per Ha (min 18 t/ha)
5. High OER (Min 20%)
THANKS YOU VERY MUCH..