Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed
123 Pages « < 34 35 36 37 38 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USD/MYR drop, V2

views
     
prody
post Sep 24 2015, 11:03 AM

Dance while the record spins
******
Senior Member
1,548 posts

Joined: Apr 2005


QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 10:52 AM)
I have PMed you the good bankers I use now. I won't tell the bad ones  tongue.gif

I also think it won't be better for RM. I will buy if it dips below 4.30 now. I expect RM to fall at least to 4.50 by the end of the year
*
Thanks, as mentioned I think private advice will probably be more accurate than public predictions by these institutions.


Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 11:03 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 24 2015, 10:39 AM)

i stopped putting a number to it.

like i said many times, as long as commodities prices stay low, usual gomen carefree spending, more bijan chronicles, putrajaya/bnm do nothing about int rates, it will just keep going in same direction. yes, for me, it's that simple. tongue.gif
*
Fair enough. How do you make a decision when to invest. Curious to know...
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 11:10 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(prody @ Sep 24 2015, 11:03 AM)
Thanks, as mentioned I think private advice will probably be more accurate than public predictions by these institutions.
*
Their advice is based on the research done by their team. I tell them my objective and my preference and they apply the most current scenario tailor made to my needs.

Not all bankers do that. Most are just like salesmen, just want business by recommending anything which makes them the most commission. As time goes by, I will know who is good and who is bad. And the quality of research teams plays a big part.

Let's see the 4.30 buy, 4.50 TP is correct or not tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Sep 24 2015, 11:11 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,455 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 11:02 AM)
While the professionals like IBs with much higher reputation is not afraid to do that in the open

I guess this is all about personal ego as big as a watermelon  tongue.gif
*
touched 4.40.

hlib needs to buy moody's model to do a better job. tongue.gif

QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 11:03 AM)
Fair enough. How do you make a decision when to invest. Curious to know...
*
no, i don't do fx trading.

i just hold whatever fx i hav, do sgreits, some small time crude trading.
i smell major fall in dow before year end. tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 11:15 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 24 2015, 11:11 AM)

no, i don't do fx trading.

i just hold whatever fx i hav, do sgreits, some small time crude trading.
i smell major fall in dow before year end. tongue.gif
*
Ya, I think DJI (and all other markets too) will tumble.

Great mind think alike ? tongue.gif
wodenus
post Sep 24 2015, 11:17 AM

Tree Octopus
********
All Stars
14,990 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 10:09 AM)
It is Hong Leong Investment Bank. A big organisation. They put their reputation on the line in the open. At least they make a complete prediction which we can judge them within a time frame.

I do care IBs or stock brokers are right or wrong. Their opinions affect my decision. And yes, I will form an opinion on who is good at prediction as times go. At least I can judge them if they give a time frame.

For those who refuse to give a time frame while still love to give their prediction with rhetorics, I can't tell whether they are right or wrong ever. They could be right after all. But they have not balls or intention to prove themselves. That makes a debate very difficult and with no ending

BTW, what do you think of RM by this year end ? Just curious to know
*
Personally I think you should buy the RM when he finally gets it and steps down. So there's a prediction and a time frame smile.gif

icemanfx
post Sep 24 2015, 12:34 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
21,456 posts

Joined: Jul 2012


Those ib and rating agency depending on GLC for business are almost always issue positive outlook to the public.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 24 2015, 12:39 PM
icemanfx
post Sep 24 2015, 12:37 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
21,456 posts

Joined: Jul 2012


QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 11:02 AM)
Of course. There is no prediction which is static. In fact, things could change in the next hour. Like a terrorist nukes New York. US$ will tumble. RM back to 3.30. Gold will soar

What I am saying is without a time frame, no prediction is meaningful. That is what I am saying to the pessimist and negative people here who avoided to make a meaningful prediction. They are just afraid to be wrong. While the professionals like IBs with much higher reputation is not afraid to do that in the open

I guess this is all about personal ego as big as a watermelon  tongue.gif
*
Then what is your prediction of RM by year end?
Hansel
post Sep 24 2015, 12:51 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,361 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 23 2015, 05:08 PM)
Those who hold SDG or SGD denominated investments, there might be a risk coming that MAS might do further monetary easing

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/s...ary-easing-risk
*
I look at it as a chance to convert more MYR into the SGD, since I am taking a longterm bet that Msia will still lose out to Sgp. I hoped they eased, just like in January this yr if my memory serves me correctly.
wodenus
post Sep 24 2015, 03:01 PM

Tree Octopus
********
All Stars
14,990 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 24 2015, 12:51 PM)
I look at it as a chance to convert more MYR into the SGD, since I am taking a longterm bet that Msia will still lose out to Sgp. I hoped they eased, just like in January this yr if my memory serves me correctly.
*
In the long term yes, but the thing is, will it lose out to opportunity cost?
Hansel
post Sep 24 2015, 03:33 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,361 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(wodenus @ Sep 24 2015, 03:01 PM)
In the long term yes, but the thing is, will it lose out to opportunity cost?
*
Tks,... I don't think the weakening of the SGD will remain for long. Certainly the longer that it is down, the more opportunity cost incurred. But then again, I don't have any other better places or instruments to invest into, or that I am confident of sufficiently.
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 03:34 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(wodenus @ Sep 24 2015, 11:17 AM)
Personally I think you should buy the RM when he finally gets it and steps down. So there's a prediction and a time frame smile.gif
*
No he won't step down. Or it will take 2-3 years for him to step down

There you go. My prediction is with a time frame tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 03:43 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 24 2015, 12:37 PM)
Then what is your prediction of RM by year end?
*
Read the above. I already gave the specific numbers and time frame twice

I will post for the 3rd time for you specifically --> I buy my bankers' advice - buy when it is <4.30. TP is 4.50. Before year end. It has already touched 4.40 today. I bought last Friday at 4.22xx. Not far away from 4.50 thumbup.gif

I hope those pessimist and negative people will be very specific. It adds perspective to our debate. The sky will not fall down when your prediction is wrong. Why afraid to be wrong ? Your ego is so big even you are wrong in cyber world, you cannot take it ? tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 03:47 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 24 2015, 12:51 PM)
I look at it as a chance to convert more MYR into the SGD, since I am taking a longterm bet that Msia will still lose out to Sgp. I hoped they eased, just like in January this yr if my memory serves me correctly.
*
Good strategy. Long term view always prevail. But if you are trading and taking advantage of the volatility, then you have to act more short term.

Having said that, I think SGD will still be better than RM even for short term.
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 03:48 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(wodenus @ Sep 24 2015, 03:01 PM)
In the long term yes, but the thing is, will it lose out to opportunity cost?
*
That's why unker dreamer always say - don't put all your eggs in 1 basket. Spread your risk thumbup.gif
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 03:49 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 24 2015, 03:33 PM)
Tks,... I don't think the weakening of the SGD will remain for long. Certainly the longer that it is down, the more opportunity cost incurred. But then again, I don't have any other better places or instruments to invest into, or that I am confident of sufficiently.
*
I thought you invest in US stock too ?
AVFAN
post Sep 24 2015, 04:20 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,455 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 03:47 PM)
Having said that, I think SGD will still be better than RM even for short term.
*
one possibility...

sgd will take over old usd rate... 3.30, then 4.00, 4.40.

ok, give it 5 years. tongue.gif
Brandon323
post Sep 24 2015, 04:28 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
199 posts

Joined: Jul 2013
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 03:43 PM)
Read the above. I already gave the specific numbers and time frame twice

I will post for the 3rd time for you specifically --> I buy my bankers' advice - buy when it is <4.30. TP is 4.50. Before year end. It has already touched 4.40 today. I bought last Friday at 4.22xx. Not far away from 4.50  thumbup.gif

I hope those pessimist and negative people will be very specific. It adds perspective to our debate. The sky will not fall down when your prediction is wrong. Why afraid to be wrong ? Your ego is so big even you are wrong in cyber world, you cannot take it ?  tongue.gif
*
May I know how do you buy USD? Do you convert at normal bank forex rate? I read that you also use DCI: do you often use that to convert? (I have not used before) Curious to know how much is the spread can you save by using DCI?(I assume you get a better rate) And also finally, if you buy at 4.22 and intend to sell at 4.5, that is quite short term trading, are you sure that is a good way to make money? I am more of a long term holder of any kind of instruments and I seldom trade in and out as commission kills in the long run.
Showtime747
post Sep 24 2015, 04:29 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
4,258 posts

Joined: Nov 2012
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 24 2015, 04:20 PM)
one possibility...

sgd will take over old usd rate... 3.30, then 4.00, 4.40.

ok, give it 5 years. tongue.gif
*
At least you give a time frame like a man with balls tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Sep 24 2015, 04:34 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,455 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 24 2015, 04:29 PM)
At least you give a time frame like a man with balls  tongue.gif
*
ok, i give more time sensitive detailed calc:

int rate parity => msia int rate need to be 7.3% against sgd's near zero to stay at current 3.1.

1.073@5 yrs, compound = 1.422; x today's 3.1=4.40.

just for brain exercise but maybe it just might come out that way, ya? tongue.gif

123 Pages « < 34 35 36 37 38 > » Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0382sec    0.68    6 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 10th December 2025 - 10:03 PM