Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed
16 Pages  1 2 3 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USD/MYR drop, V2

views
     
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 01:33 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
For the helpful forummers here who carry a view that the ASM is still viable, please visit your branches asap if you wished to top-up or open booklet. I have made some divestments !

Good luck !
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 04:06 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 9 2015, 03:13 PM)
U divest 4 or 5 or 6 digits (excl decimals)?
*
Only 6-lar, some got 7, .... where to get decimals ? BUt I have not sold all yet,... Listen to him speak on Oct 9,.. then can decide whether to get rid of all or not.
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 05:12 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(nexona88 @ Sep 9 2015, 04:35 PM)
Personal reminder to myself of these meeting dates that will affect MYR, OPR , Bursa etc.

sep 9 umno supreme council meeting

sep 11 bnm meeting

sep 16 (potential) red rally

sep 16-17 (sep 18 early morning here) USA Fed FOMC meeting

laugh.gif
*
Oct 9 - Budget 2016. probably the most impt speech for our local events this yr..

Sep 11 - Singapore Election, for those invested into SG assets.
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 07:00 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 9 2015, 06:33 PM)
the former, can expect nothing new. same old, same old.
assumption oil price going up to 80
in particular, same billions poured in agri & fisheries projects despite little yield.
incr budget for civil service, bonus; incr br1m.
bigger budget deficit, i.e. incr debt.

the latter... singapore - pap stays.
also nothing new, same old, same old.
more foreign $, stronger sgd.
more msians go there to study/work.
more skilled/qualified migrant workers/investors from everywhere - white, brown, yellow, black...
all that prophesied in last 2 LKY books, grand master's insights and one man's view.
*
I beg to deffer = I have reasons to believe that with Msia's current state, the PM will rollout some surprises.

Without Mr LKY, the PAP may experience some surprises.
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 09:18 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 9 2015, 09:01 PM)
Hansel,

<<For the helpful forummers here who carry a view that the ASM is still viable>>

Are you helping or hurting people with this post??  You have substantial investment outside of Malaysia.  Even if you invest in ASx, you DO NOT put all your eggs into ONE basket.  Meanwhile, most Malaysians have 20+% of their gross income in EPF.  If they invest in ASx, they are putting all their eggs into ONE basket.  How could that make sense??

It is VERY SIMPLE.

Do not put all your eggs into ONE basket.

If you want to be helpful, WARN people before telling them to invest in ASx.

It makes sense for BUMI to invest in ASB due to political reason.  But, why would a non-bumi invest in ASx??

Dreamer
*
Tq. There are Bumis and Non-Bumis alike here. Let them choose what's best. I'm just being neutral.

By the way, I can't guarantee too that I am right !

AVFAN,... my friend,.. if our PM does not roll out something really good to help us this time, do you think he will still stand up there, shouting unnecessary slogans and unhelpful war-cries just to raise more attention ? What will it further do to his rep ?

What about that economic council that he has set-up that's supposed to roll out something to help this country ? They should be helping him to formulate Budget 2016.

He BETTER have something for us. ... That's what the policy-makers are there for, especially in these times. ohmy.gif sad.gif sweat.gif

This post has been edited by Hansel: Sep 9 2015, 09:20 PM
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 09:23 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(langstrasse @ Sep 9 2015, 07:46 PM)
I guess the question on everyone's mind would be : if you're taking it out of ASM, what are you channelling your money into ?
*
Hi.... I'm not a good role model. I have a very pessimistic and defensive 'what if this happens' and 'what if that happens' attitude. I tend to 'over-do' my due diligence too much. At the slightest smell of risk, I will disengage.
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 09:26 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 9 2015, 09:01 PM)
Hansel,

Meanwhile, most Malaysians have 20+% of their gross income in EPF.  If they invest in ASx, they are putting all their eggs into ONE basket.  How could that make sense??

Dreamer
*
I have to agree very much with the above. THAT STATEMENT IS VERY TRUE. sad.gif
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 09:52 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 9 2015, 09:39 PM)
eh, where hv u been all these years? tongue.gif

go back a few budgets, all same, smoke n mirrors, media sing a couple of songs, yell bravo, that's all. biggrin.gif
*
But this is a Crisis Budget, this budget and the strategies within should not be the normal cut-and-dry type anymore. There must be concrete tactics to help pull us out of this hole we are in. It's a Crisis Budget, man,...

I really don't know how to express myself better, just this, that it's a Crisis Budget.

For those gov't guys monitoring this thread, please tell your leaders that this is a Crisis Budget. If the PM can pull us out of this hole we are in with strong policies and strategies that produce results, he will be in the history books forever. A leader who, in spite of some setbacks along the way, managed to produce results.
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 10:11 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
I'll reply to ALL of the above postings with this big sledgehammer :-

I'm an idealist, and a little bit of a patriot - not everything for myself only. Also for others.

I am hoping for the best from the leadership ! Perhaps one more rabbit in the hat that only the leadership can think of and not us.

Editing for the third time : Then I wouldn't have to selloff my properties and wire the funds out.

For God, King and Country ! nod.gif

This post has been edited by Hansel: Sep 9 2015, 10:19 PM
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 10:16 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 9 2015, 09:59 PM)
what crisis?! biggrin.gif
*
I appreciate your sense of humour, in times in crisis,.... rclxms.gif biggrin.gif
Hansel
post Sep 9 2015, 10:57 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(langstrasse @ Sep 9 2015, 10:55 PM)
You sound a lot like an engineer :-)
*gulp*
That does help put things into perspective.
Man you guys are loaded ! :-)
*
Far from it. Learnt investing by DIY,.. perhaps focussed too much on the risk management section.

Money is the root of all evil.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 11:56 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 10 2015, 10:41 AM)
Over the years, I have invested in KLSE unsystematically, I won some and lost some and felt that this is a no win situation. Maybe I have not mastered the tricks like so many of the experts here. Which is why I am comfortably invested in ASX knowing that they consistent gives 6-7% until the recent scares flaring out like wild fire. I am starting to look into asset diversification and corelation(don't want to be caught in the situation where 1 asset gain is canceled out by 1 lost).

I know of a friend who invested in China Stocks  over the last ten years. With a intial investment of RM1m in 2005, the value rose to RM5m in 2007, then it came down to RM1m+ after the crisis and dingdong there until this year when it rose to RM4m+. When I told him that 1 bird in hand is better than 2 in the bush, he replied that this time is different. Unfortunately it is now back to RM1m+. If he is to liquidate all now, he will still makes some money (may be 3-4%/pa). May be it is the rollercoaster feeling that he is after.
So this would be considered a long term investment but without appropriate timing of cashing out it is just like a rollercoaster ride.
*
That was my suspicion when I first started my investment journey, hence I avoided the KLSE, but instead put my heart and soul into learning the SGX and some western bourses. I also dived into the ASX. I'm glad I made the right decisions. ASX had given me good returns. I had a good run... and I am ready to 'take profit' now and move-on to other vehicles.

Don't know-lar,... perhaps for starters, ASX is a place to park your money first just like myself when I first started. BUT : times are different today. Just be careful-lar, or put in half only to cut your risk into 2.

If your friend did not collect any divdiends along the way, but had only depended on capital growth, then I feel the loss here. I have purchased funds that, based on NAV is slightly on the losing side now because of currency exchange, but the dividends that I have collected over the years puts me very highly on the winning side....

Furthermore, I always get my divdiends monthly and quarterly, hence enabling me to reinvest quicker back into the mkt place.

Hmm,... lots of talk abt money here,.. not very healthy, huh ?

Edit : correct grammar errors.

This post has been edited by Hansel: Sep 10 2015, 11:59 AM
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 12:08 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(supersound @ Sep 10 2015, 09:56 AM)
Anything that will fluctuate, is not wise to keep for long period. As keeping for long period, it will more or less break even. I still have SGD400 that got during rm2.50 from my friend last year.
Worth rm1000 and now worth rm1200(round up). So if I change it now, I earn 20% thumbup.gif
*
Hi,...a fluctuating instrument is still worthy to buy if it gives out consistent cashflow. For me, I will just hold it for long term, and with the additional cashflow generated from the instruments (or from my profession), I will plough it back into the instruments if I think the fundamentals are still there but the instrument is dropping in price because of 'a falling tide'.

Cashflow is utmost in my mind.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 12:11 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 10 2015, 11:16 AM)
The point of diversification of asset is not about making gain, but to "protect" your wealth, or normalise your investment.

Eg.
You have FD, Bonds, stock.
We know these 3 asset class doesn't correlate each other and most of the time have inverse correlation.
When FD low, stock high.
Bond low, stock high
FD low, bond high

But you still diversify into these 3 asset class, as you always have something to compensate in whatever situation, aka your wealth is more "protected", instead of invest all in stock, when stock market plunge, you lose all, or invest all in bond but when bond price dropped time, you lose big.

*
But there have been signs in the last few years that the inverse correlation of the above instruments do not prevail anymore.

Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 01:40 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 10 2015, 01:19 PM)
It may because of massive QE that skew the normal inverse correlation, especially on bonds, whereby bond dropped to extremely low yield previously.
*
Right ! Or perhaps the mkt is so uncertain that everybody, retailers and institutions alike withdrew from every instrument and preferred to stay on the sidelines every now and then. But then fund mgrs and insitutions don't really like to hold cash, their nvestors will query them, and they must be able to provide really good answers to convince the mkt to stay on.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 01:43 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 10 2015, 01:21 PM)
Any special reason why Thai Baht is stronger than MYR when Thailand is not short of troubles lately? MYR's fair value should at least be on par.
*
Well, the way I see it, the neighbouring has always had problems for as long as the investing public can remember, hence the Baht is immune from falling further. Prbs are a norm for them. For Msia, I believed what we are going through now are very unique and the scandals are really bad compared to history.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 01:47 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(supersound @ Sep 10 2015, 01:39 PM)
If it is steady only, then how would some make money from it hmm.gif
We don't have much fundamentals as long as we are surrounded by some political issues and scandals.
*
I was replying to your statement on something not worthy to hold-in to. Yes, if your position has changed and you are now saying that fluctuations can still make instruments worthy to hold-on to because of the potential capital gain, I would agree too. HOWEVER, for myself, I'd rather hold-on to assets of good fundamentals and with fluctuations that can be explained, on the condition that such assets provide good cashflow.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 01:56 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 10 2015, 01:51 PM)
So it is more on perception than fundamental? Investors are immune to the troubles in Thailand. So if Malaysia political problems subsided/solved  then MYR should strengten.
*
Just a personal sentiment abt Thailand. Msia - hard to tell,... perhaps that's what the ruling party is waiting for.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 02:25 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 10 2015, 02:13 PM)
The less investors coming in previously, the less investor going out.

The less money want to outflow, the more stable your currency.
*
smile.gif So the sentiment has always been low,... my sentiment exactly. Hence 'pouring more salt into the wound wouldn't aggravte the pain any further'.
Hansel
post Sep 10 2015, 02:27 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,353 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(supersound @ Sep 10 2015, 02:24 PM)
Well, if you were to ask me, nothing is worth to hold on to. Hit and run still my concept on making money. Market crashed got people commit suicide, got people get rich. Timing is important.
Like with the recent UAE(10)-Malaysia(0), 1 of our local bookie king managed to make billions. He know the problem on FAM and it is a danger to our national team, rather than wait for faith, why not play a fake ball and make fast money thumbup.gif
Remember, if there's danger for a situation, there's always opportunities.
Anyway, just because of my bloody share broker mistakenly taken 5000 units as 50000 units, I get rm5000 for no reason as I targeted to make rm500 only. Now my head starts to crack how to hide this money from my wife sweat.gif
*
Tq fro your good opinions. biggrin.gif


16 Pages  1 2 3 > » Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0606sec    0.50    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 4th December 2025 - 09:18 PM