QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jan 28 2014, 06:36 PM)
maybe u want to reconsider.. i think i overlook something di when i post..
taking back the same example:
Buying a 850k DSL (previously bought 750K now likely to be echo hill case) after 10 years..... u di pay 420k installment (3.5k X 12 X10 years).. plus 75k deposits... legal fees stamp duty 25k upon selling and your progit of 100k lets say...and ur loan sum is 650k.. let us assume rental for DSL is RM1,000.00-RM1,800.00.. increase monthly...we take a median of RM1,500.00 per month (this works out to be RM180K for 10 years)
so 650k -420k-(75k-25k) -100k profit.. bro assuming interest rates does not flactuate at all.. you still owe the bank RM30K.. let say (provided 10 years you have tenant secure tenant) you get RM180K for 10 years. after minus RM30k you owe to the bank... you still earn 150k.. but think again the 75 k is actually the deposit you park in and 25 k is actually the legal fees payable, these are your own money) 100k total.. therefore, even with rental covers.. you only earn 80k for 10 years (assuming you really have tenant). that is like 8 k per year and that is RM666.00 per month.. rental in average..
now lets adjust to 950k.. total profit of 200k..
based on the above you earn 80k for 100k profit, but for 200k profit, you earn around 180k for 10 years per year 18k? RM1,500.00 per month.. this is reasonable but the risk of no one buying a DSL outskirt worth 950k (another extra 30k [being extra 20k deposit and stamp duties payable])
so you see.. this will then reduced to the arguements of whether the prop price will climb over the million mark.. WILL IT or is it REASONABLE TO EXPECT SO? holding long term really not viable.. and outskirt prop really runs the risk.. coz the starting price for echo hill is expected to be at least 650k... COZ phase 1 ( 450k +legal fees+ minimum expected profit landed 100K) =580K? subsales? izzit logic to say? new phase 650k at least? so developer sales no problem as entry is low.. your flipped price really going to be stagnant for quite sometime coz you are selling future price.. if i bought the DSL from you for 750k.. can i expect like you around 3 years to appreciate to another 300k just like you.. dat makes the figure 1.05 million DSL outskirt? UNLIKELY RIGHT.. this was never a phenomena in previous years before 2010, things was great.. just this few years.. the price are crazy and unsustainable..
the real market buyers are workers middle class and upper middle..
bearbear,
You should not be hanging here. Property investment does not suit your risk preference. If you are that pessimistic on investment, you can never invest in anything. You think too much. Or you should change job. Your job is affecting your life. No I am not trying to bash you. Just concern about you. Compare to other DDD people, you are way too pessimistic. At least they know when market collapse, it will recover. And it won't be RM100k in 10 years so little. If only RM100k in 10 years, nobody want to invest in property
In property investment, invest within your means. I agree there are some flippers who go for broke. Let them suffer. They will eventually. But for ordinary investors, don't expect to ride the wave at the highest point and get off at the lowest. We will never be able to time the market. While we all thought that the market is going to come down, they market may go up instead. We never know. Just like in 2008 Euro crisis. Everyone thought market will come down. But it just stagnant for a while and shot up