QUOTE(mois @ Oct 17 2012, 10:59 AM)
Thanks you for valueable input WW! You always the best when it comes to sharing information
I have a bad news for swiftlet farming industry. My buyer told me his boss in indonesia has around 480tonnes of bird nest unsold. We have heard indonesia can export their bird nest to china. But the truth is, their nest havent appear in chinese market especially in Guangzhou. The reason why the price now is low is because of no demand for bird nest consumption. If china delay bird nest issue longer, more people will forget about bird nest. This is the main treat for swiftlet industry. Supply vs demand thing.
Production of bird nest increase mutiple fold ever since. If you harvest 2kgs today, next year you will be harvesting 4kg. That is 100% increment. Regional prices of raw nest is almost similar to us. Swiftlet industry future is on China's hand now.
One more thing, this month production of bird nest is low due to breeding season. In december, everyone harvests will increase about 2-3 times. Buyer side already predict rm1300 for AB. This is so doomed.
My friend,
Let me tell you my reasoning and comments on the matter and that's there isn't a reason for Indo to keep EBN and they are always just dealing with HK all these years and have been doing so for century and only use Malaysia base to legally export EBN directly to China ( if they want to get all certifications for their EBNs in China) all these while cos they cannot export to China due to the Bird Flu for many years. So, Indo nests must be processed and certified safe as the country is still "Bird Flu" country in order to export to any part of the world. Now that Malaysia cannot export our nests, Indo also cannot legalize their nests in China so they will have to wait until their own country can legalize their nests to China which I believe will be more difficult cos of the "Flu" problem. (my assumption only)
1. Due to this, since the day that our country has the problem with Red Nests' incident brought out into the light by a famous Malaysian although these type of nests are never our's but we paid the price like" Lembu punya susu, Sapi dapat nama nya". So, what has this ban on EBN has big impact on Indo's nests. The said Malaysian's intention may meant good but the resultant was found to be HELL for Malaysia EBN as he didn't know (or did he) that all imported unprocessed EBN in China are deemed to be Malaysian EBN on paper.......
2. The Malaysian Authorities is right to ensure that future Malaysian nests exported must be our's and not just passing thru as we do have a reputation to keep otherwise, our nests will be banned, too.
3. So, some form of control is needed at the exporting of nests but why bother with the farmers as we are innocent from the very beginning of the incident.
4. All the authorities need to check are all the exporters to China or any part of the world to ensure that all EBN are local produced EBN and not foreign EBN using our access to China.
5. While admitting that we must make sure that the problem will not arise again but why disallow the export of unprocessed EBN to China or other part of the world; causing the greatest fall in price for our EBN.
6.IF some Dato's want to make our processing nests be the best in the world, we are also proud but pls. do allow unprocessed to be expoted and not to make it a necessity or requirements for export and this will only cause monopolization in the processing of nests and only the handful of the very rich and powerful will only be able to export and what leave us; price determine by a few rich sharks to make a kill whenever they want or fancy.
7.Like I said before, a team of buyers came and I asked them why they are buying so low and that retail price in China is very much the same. The Answers are surprising stupid as they told me that they still have unsold nests in China and so they have to sell high. The demand of nest in China is very much lesser and why are they buying from us and the only reason I can see is that there is no market for the very high end nests i.e Red nests which formally can fetch up to RMB60K now are all gone so there is certainly a huge drop in price but only that it's affecting the over priced nests.
8. If we are honest and only supply and ensure that all Malaysian nests are original and without any additive or chemical, there shall be no reason for China or whatever country to reject our nests as these nests have been proven safe and healthy for hundreds of years......
9. Provide our oversea buyers with real information on our EBN and assure them that the Malaysia authorities will take stiff action against anyone cheating on the nests like putting them behind bars and also canning, too to cause health problem or danger to the consumers but this will definitely be a problem with all the corruption going on.
Need to stop here as I can write for hours on the matter and everyone reading will be bored or sleeping....
Do have a Good Day
Words of Advice: Creating panic will only cause panic selling and this will only benefit middlemen who long ago only make 200/kg and now can make many times this amount. WW
This post has been edited by West Wing: Oct 17 2012, 01:06 PM