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Financial Are property prices going to drop? V2, The heated debate continues

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AVFAN
post Feb 22 2011, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 22 2011, 03:55 PM)
V1 is giving some interesting information.

Simple check tells me that either people are getting more fed up with property prices and/or speculators are trying harder to defend the high prices.

Time it took for 500 postings in v1:
0-500:      551 days
501-1000:  250 days
1001-1500:  65 days
1501-2000:  45 days
2001-2500:  42 days
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good one! thumbup.gif
the info itself says a bit - since the majorty are for high prices to continue, can conlcude more speculators have jumped on the bandwagon over time.
perhaps the party will last a bit longer than most think. and ok, someone said before - live by the sowrd, die by the sword. no qualms. tongue.gif
bearbearhong
post Feb 22 2011, 05:09 PM

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QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Feb 22 2011, 02:42 PM)
aiyo, when market down & property not move much during the previous pm era
rakyat complain, wan hope & change, govt abolish rpgt & invite ff in & relax the standards for them
now market up & property up, rakyat oso complain  hmm.gif  got mrt, oso bising, bantah here & there  doh.gif

any complain king who had not gone thru a recession eg. 1998 financial crisis, u hav no idea wat it means
bank is takut to giv loan, job is uncertain & int rate is high  nod.gif
if it really happens, do u even hav 6 months standby savings to ride thru it  rolleyes.gif or u gonna invest?
*
bravo to the bold sentence!

imho, prices and demand for landed properties will not drop, those higher end bigger unit condos, may be.


chubbyken
post Feb 22 2011, 05:22 PM

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reading all these postings make me worry sick.
i better fast fast grap a house.

CKHong
post Feb 22 2011, 05:26 PM

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yea... can grab a house.. then grab liao..
if i got $$ i also grab one.. sad.gif
chubbyken
post Feb 22 2011, 05:36 PM

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but if dont grap now, later even harder to buy, how???
man, this is scary...
CKHong
post Feb 22 2011, 05:42 PM

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yea.. grab those that u can afford.. else ur live will be very miserable...grab wisely..
chubbyken
post Feb 22 2011, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(CKHong @ Feb 22 2011, 05:42 PM)
yea.. grab those that u can afford.. else ur live will be very miserable...grab wisely..
*
but now every where in KV seem UP UP UP
so grap any where in KV seem safe... wink.gif
CKHong
post Feb 22 2011, 05:55 PM

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lol..
seem safe only.. not confirm safe..
nothing is confirm one..
diff ppl diff thinking.. so buy wisely smile.gif
property101
post Feb 22 2011, 06:45 PM

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there is another thread in Business section, a lot of people seems to be able to save huge portions of their salary, current property price is still affordable for many people?

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/1750105

(ok...i know some people are going to argue that they are the minority, is there any other point of view apart from that?)
dannyme
post Feb 22 2011, 07:41 PM

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I agree that properties will never depreciate.
But never in history (Malaysia's at least) had properties' prices increase in such magnitude(30%-70%) in a span of 2-3 years, while salary is stagnating.
Some may argue that with household income of 10k-20k, properties are still affordable. But let's be real. Are they the majority??

I have always believed that fundamentals will always have a final say.

And from another point of view, if this speculation, or appreciation(as most of you of prefer to believe) of properties prices is to continue, do you think the majority who could not afford a house will just sit back and just reflect at their misfortune??

Do you guys think the government have learned nothing from Tunisia and Egypt?? People's hardship = government's downfall. And bear in mind that majority of our people still think 'crutches' is a privilege of theirs. Bet your life that government will intervene.

So start looking at things in macro.

Just my 2 sen.




style_in_action
post Feb 22 2011, 09:14 PM

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I think properties price in KL definitely will go up, but the magnitude is uncertain, whether it's really huge or just a mere few thousands. The key is offcourse location and the modern design that catch the eyes of the buyers icon_idea.gif
SUSjasonhanjk
post Feb 22 2011, 10:01 PM

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QUOTE(sampool @ Feb 22 2011, 12:27 PM)
actually in year 2002, they is ppl in US so call richdad (his book prophecy) already predicted there is crash in market in year 2012....
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That is the stock market crash caused by withdrawing of the 401k by the baby boomer. By law they are required to withdraw when reach a certain age.

Kiyosaki already predict Lehman will have problem in 2007 / 2008.
So this year he predicted the fall of China and a second wave of sub-prime.


Added on February 22, 2011, 10:20 pm
QUOTE(prody @ Feb 22 2011, 03:55 PM)
V1 is giving some interesting information.

Simple check tells me that either people are getting more fed up with property prices and/or speculators are trying harder to defend the high prices.

Time it took for 500 postings in v1:
0-500:      551 days
501-1000:  250 days
1001-1500:  65 days
1501-2000:  45 days
2001-2500:  42 days
*
Quote for truth. As properties keep going up, people start to be aware. Now wait for euphoria.

This post has been edited by jasonhanjk: Feb 22 2011, 10:20 PM
ivanachang
post Feb 22 2011, 10:48 PM

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QUOTE(CKHong @ Feb 22 2011, 05:55 PM)
lol..
seem safe only.. not confirm safe..
nothing is confirm one..
diff ppl diff thinking.. so buy wisely  smile.gif
*
depend on what u want ?

to stay = look for security and location
invest = hot commercial market
eXTaTine
post Feb 22 2011, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(dannyme @ Feb 22 2011, 07:41 PM)
I agree that properties will never depreciate.
But never in history (Malaysia's at least) had properties' prices increase in such magnitude(30%-70%) in a span of 2-3 years, while salary is stagnating.
Some may argue that with household income of 10k-20k, properties are still affordable. But let's be real. Are they the majority??

I have always believed that fundamentals will always have a final say.

And from another point of view, if this speculation, or appreciation(as most of you of prefer to believe) of properties prices is to continue, do you think the majority who could not afford a house will just sit back and just reflect at their misfortune??

Do you guys think the government have learned nothing from Tunisia and Egypt?? People's hardship = government's downfall. And bear in mind that majority of our people still think 'crutches' is a privilege of theirs. Bet your life that government will intervene.

So start looking at things in macro.

Just my 2 sen.
*
Never say never, properties do depreciate like in the US or in Malaysia during 1997.....and it will happen again...the million dollar question is, when?
cherroy
post Feb 23 2011, 01:11 AM

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Even though properties price is escalating a lot, the rental rate is not at the same pace with properties price, move like turtle speed only, some even hardly increase much.

It just means rental yield is not attractive anymore (for some properties), so for investment purposes, it is not favourable factor.

Previously, invest in properties, you have 2 front to "win" either good rental yield or capital appreciation, or both.
Now become solely rely on capital appreciation, without good rental yield.
Lose one winning chance. (although it doesn't mean you cannot win in capital appreciation).



TheDoer
post Feb 23 2011, 09:22 AM

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Good point there. And if rental is less of a purchasing factor, then it will be less attractive for people to invest. Thus the slow down of the property hike. If it does not slow down, then there will be a pop, because obviously it was sustained by speculation only.

Just to get this straight for everyone.... Property bubble is a fact not a myth. The only question is When, Where, and by How much.

Despite our research, it may go either way. So don't be too proud no matter which side of the fence you sit.

But on the non speculators camp, we can't help but jeer, because basically, the speculators have made it a living hell for us to afford a home.

I am tempted to get a 2 or 3 upper-low cost homes to invest and rent out, seriously I know of a very nice place. The prop is near to a new industrial area, and the houses are not in disrepair.

But I am not doing it because of ethical reasons, and because I know that it is a gamble for nothing but greed.
CKHong
post Feb 23 2011, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 23 2011, 01:11 AM)
Even though properties price is escalating a lot, the rental rate is not at the same pace with properties price, move like turtle speed only, some even hardly increase much.

It just means rental yield is not attractive anymore (for some properties), so for investment purposes, it is not favourable factor.

Previously, invest in properties, you have 2 front to "win" either good rental yield or capital appreciation, or both.
Now become solely rely on capital appreciation, without good rental yield.
Lose one winning chance. (although it doesn't mean you cannot win in capital appreciation).
*
+1 rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif
TheDoer
post Feb 23 2011, 09:31 AM

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The funny thing about supply and demand is....

Even if there is ample amount of supply. But the suppliers all agree to raise the prices by leaps and bounds. If it is a necessity the people that requires it will continue to pay the asking price, as far as they can afford.

This is not indictive of the actual market price.

It's like a robber who kills an old man for 20 sens. Nobody is the winner.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Feb 23 2011, 09:33 AM
darius30
post Feb 23 2011, 10:04 AM

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If u got a lot of money, no need to think. Go ahead and buy few more.

If u got ngam2 money for 1 property, and buying now is really stupid...even buying for own stay.
chubbyken
post Feb 23 2011, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(darius30 @ Feb 23 2011, 10:04 AM)
If u got a lot of money, no need to think. Go ahead and buy few more.

If u got ngam2 money for 1 property, and buying now is really stupid...even buying for own stay.
*
really?
seems like i should hold now?
i am so confused
one hand scared by comment of property up non stop
one hand got ppl say burst.

i hv the history of jumping in to an investment (for example stock)
immediately price plunge, drop drop drop.
rclxub.gif

sorry not history
is Histories.
i guess i never learn...

This post has been edited by chubbyken: Feb 23 2011, 10:34 AM

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