QUOTE(dasecret @ Mar 17 2017, 10:20 PM)
Nah... it's a once in a blue moon thing, that's why worth mentioning. This fund probably can lose 4 digit in a week as well... the big question is, shd I keep or shd I sell
Your maths is quite spot on for an IT guy who doesn't keep track of IRR. What I omitted here is, I had this fund for almost 4 years now, so a lot of it is accumulated profits
I wished... but no... it's a borderline 4 digit; which is worth a brag anyway
T321H FSM Fund pick of the month = suxs! Algozen

pick of the season is still Ponzi 2.0

& Ponzi 1.0

for the Asia Pac ex Japan region.
QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 17 2017, 10:37 PM)
What are the chances for the fund to move to 21% vs 9%? I think chances for it to drop is higher than for it to hit 21%
My thinking once it reached a certain target, withdraw all and put into the select bond fund. Then wait. Eg 15% returns. After all it's already 15% return in less than a year. Even if didn't pump back inside after one year, the return is already 15% pa. Still decent...
Let's use India UTF for illustration. One year ROI is 33.83. Three years annualized is 24.5%, Std-Dev = 17.44%. At this moment, it is still behaving normally. However, if you use the regression to the mean argument, there is a high chance the fund wants to go back to its home ground of 24.5. That is why I have been skimming profit from it and not selling it terus-terus all of it. If the other way around, I would have add into it by DCA.
QUOTE(drew86 @ Mar 17 2017, 11:19 PM)
And what if u dont feel lucky enough to re-enter? Again it's a dilemma in UTF investment. There just isn't a clear cut "resistance" or "support" point to TP/SL at.
I'm as clueless as some people here are. On one hand I would like to just reap the profits in the long run regardless of the volatility. On the other, why let profits dwindle? No right or wrong.. I hope some veterans can shed some light.
QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 17 2017, 11:32 PM)
Xuzen uses allocation. If it exceed that certain value he transfer it out so that the allocation come back to what he want.
Eg. The fund is supposed to be 10% of his total portfolio, it increase to 20%, so he take 10% and divert it to another fund which is (-)
Ramjade, yar! yar! Kasi lu satu like.... you have been paying attention. With asset allocation model, there is already an in-built buy and sell mechanism that is independent of emotion.
QUOTE(puchongite @ Mar 18 2017, 10:16 AM)
Algozen sezs NO!
Xuzen