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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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lunatique
post Sep 21 2015, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(drake88 @ Sep 21 2015, 11:36 AM)
Icemanfx r working in OnG industry ?
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 21 2015, 11:58 AM)
Ice cream stall assistant and student.
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sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif
drake88
post Sep 21 2015, 12:17 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 21 2015, 11:58 AM)
Ice cream stall assistant and student.
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reason i ask because there is many supply vsl base on sabah (to be specific labuan ASB port) . Many still working and chartered.

Can i have 1 tub of good ice cream from you?? rclxms.gif rclxms.gif
nexona88
post Sep 21 2015, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(drake88 @ Sep 21 2015, 12:17 PM)
reason i ask because there is many supply vsl base on sabah (to be specific labuan ASB port) . Many still working and chartered.
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I tot there's has been some workers cut in O&G sector hmm.gif
drake88
post Sep 21 2015, 12:27 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Sep 21 2015, 12:20 PM)
I tot there's has been some workers cut in O&G sector  hmm.gif
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I dont have paper evidence... but what i know is they cut off the contract worker and redundancy employee only
nexona88
post Sep 21 2015, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(drake88 @ Sep 21 2015, 12:27 PM)
I dont have paper evidence... but what i know is they cut off the contract worker and redundancy employee only
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oh I see. tongue.gif
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 01:06 PM

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QUOTE(3antz @ Sep 21 2015, 11:00 AM)
Hello Hansel, with the expensive SGD now is it still worth buying? Should I wait for dip (probably not anytime soon) before I start investing some? What's your opinion? Thanks.
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Hi 3antz,... I'd like to put up an article that I read this morning :-

Odds stacking up for another monetary policy easing in October: analysts

The MAS will be more dovish.

A slew of poor economic data will likely push Singapore’s central bank to ease monetary policy in October, following an unscheduled easing move in January.

The odds have risen for another easing as dire August export numbers have dragged Singapore ever closer to a state of technical recession.

“We are increasingly convinced that the upcoming Monetary Authority of Singapore meeting in October could present some dovish bias and there could be a one-off downward shift in the SGD NEER midpoint by 1%,” said Francis Tan, Economist at UOB.

Tan does not expect the SGD nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) slope and bandwidth to be adjusted.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Hak Bin Chua said that short-term interest rates will likely rise further if the MAS shifts to a neutral bias in October.

“We think MAS will likely shift its current weak appreciation bias to a neutral (zero) bias and/or re-center the S$NEER band downwards in October, if a technical recession is confirmed for 3Q,” he said.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

When the Singapore 'Bank Negara', the Monetary Policy Authority (MAS) meets next month, they will decide on a number of parameters for the succeeding period. A UOB Economist said they will defitey lower the reference band of which their SGD is matched against for determining the SGD Exchange Rate. This generally translates into a weakening of the SGD across the board, but specifically against which currency, I am not sure because the basket of reference band currencies is never disclosed to public,...

Hence, the SGD may weaken against the MYR next month, but again, this is speculative, and with the MYR so weak, I wonder how much a weakened SGD will drop against our MYR. MIght not even drop at all...

Anyway, if you are in for the long term, it's okay to go in now. Oil price still has downside compared to upside, and with the MYR tracsking oil price so closely, chances are the RM will weaken further against the SGD. So, buy-in now while the MYR 'is still stronger' agisnt the SGD.

After you have converted and wired your RM to Sgp, think of something to do with that SGD. FD is not worth it.
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 01:13 PM

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Long term view of the city-state. Would you bet on it to be able to grow the SGD strength for a few tens of years more into the future ? Would you buy more of the SGD ?... The decision is up to each of us whether to make the move or not.

Singapore poised to overtake Switzerland as world’s largest commodity trading hub

It will handle 30% of agri-commodity trade by 2025. Singapore will snatch Switzerland’s commodity trading crown over the next decade, as the city-state continues to ramp up operations on back of burgeoning Asian demand for commodities. CLSA forecasts that Singapore will handle 30% of global agricultural commodity trade by 2025, up from just 20% in 2015. Singapore will also retain its spot as Asia’s largest oil trader. Singapore’s commodity trading position will be cemented by improved operating conditions such as preferential tax rates for commodity traders, infrastructure improvements and increased logistics capacity.
AVFAN
post Sep 21 2015, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 21 2015, 01:13 PM)
Long term view of the city-state. Would you bet on it to be able to grow the SGD strength for a few tens of years more into the future ? Would you buy more of the SGD ?... The decision is up to each of us whether to make the move or not.
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i just did. tongue.gif
icemanfx
post Sep 21 2015, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(drake88 @ Sep 21 2015, 12:17 PM)
reason i ask because there is many supply vsl base on sabah (to be specific labuan ASB port) . Many still working and chartered.

Can i have 1 tub of good ice cream from you??  rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif
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Free topping is possible.
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 01:55 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 21 2015, 01:22 PM)
i just did. tongue.gif
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Congrats,... rclxms.gif

But, disclaimer : if that report is wrong and Sgp turns out just like Bolehland in 10 years time, don't blame me. biggrin.gif
nexona88
post Sep 21 2015, 02:03 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 21 2015, 01:55 PM)
Congrats,... rclxms.gif

But, disclaimer : if that report is wrong and Sgp turns out just like Bolehland in 10 years time, don't blame me. biggrin.gif
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laugh.gif Singapore ke arah kuasa besar dunia. won't become like BolehLand said one unker sweat.gif laugh.gif
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 02:07 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Sep 21 2015, 02:03 PM)
laugh.gif Singapore ke arah kuasa besar dunia. won't become like BolehLand said one unker  sweat.gif  laugh.gif
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Hi Nexona,.. I hoped Unker is right. The challenge in investment is : anybody can be wrong, especially if we are in for the long term. smile.gif

Wait,... if you read the Unker's posts carefully, he never said Sgp will succeed. He said Bolehland will definitely fail. smile.gif Better clarify this before he hits with another posting for inaccuracy.

This post has been edited by Hansel: Sep 21 2015, 02:09 PM
MGM
post Sep 21 2015, 02:12 PM

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By creating a international zone thru reclaimed land along d Tebrau Straits stretching from Changi to Tua with 200k units ave rm5mil each based on d Sentosa Cove idea. That will bring in 1Tril. Would that change d situation?
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 02:17 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 21 2015, 02:12 PM)
By creating a international zone thru reclaimed land along d Tebrau Straits stretching from Changi to Tua with 200k units ave rm5mil each based on d Sentosa Cove idea. That will bring in 1Tril. Would that change d situation?
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Should be one of the factors that make Sgp great. Still,..need to be careful. Look what happened to our Iskandar ?
TSwil-i-am
post Sep 21 2015, 02:17 PM

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All Asia Pacific currencies depreciated today
However, our MYR leading the depreciation with 1.48% to 4.2587

AVFAN
post Sep 21 2015, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 21 2015, 01:55 PM)
Congrats,... rclxms.gif

But, disclaimer : if that report is wrong and Sgp turns out just like Bolehland in 10 years time, don't blame me.  biggrin.gif
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sg and msia were once the same.

now they are opposite twins.

where one will fail, the other will succeed.

what one will not do, the other will.

so, pick yr choice. tongue.gif
Hansel
post Sep 21 2015, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 21 2015, 02:36 PM)
sg and msia were once the same.

now they are opposite twins.

where one will fail, the other will succeed.

what one will not do, the other will.

so, pick yr choice. tongue.gif
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Twins,.... biggrin.gif rclxms.gif I'll still pick the southern twin, or not to pick at all.
Showtime747
post Sep 21 2015, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 21 2015, 10:20 AM)
while many "know" it, i think only a minority understand all the reasons and its coming impact.
most simply brush it off a temp, will return to 3.30 or has no impact on them.
partly becos they our ministers tell them that, and they believe.
can't help if that is the ingrained thought process.
in the absence of new major development, it will most likely hang around 4.20-4.30.
gdp or gdp per capita looks fine but once u look at debt/gdp or debt/capita, it doesn't look good - been using enormous debt to buy gdp.
we are not in recession and hope it doesn't.
if it falls into recession, it will be harder this time to bounce back - rising consumer prices, huge debt overhang, little room to move.
it will take massive cuts in big ticket items of the budget and we know bijan & co. will not do that.
i am of the view the economy and rm will get worse before they get better. not all doom and gloom but quick recovery will be elusive.
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End of the day, there is no harm to diversify. Glad that we have been doing that before the depreciation. On hindsight, regret never did more tongue.gif
MGM
post Sep 21 2015, 02:53 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 21 2015, 02:17 PM)
Should be one of the factors that make Sgp great. Still,..need to be careful. Look what happened to our Iskandar ?
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Iskandar is not an International Zone with tax-free status so not as attractive, thats why somebody is toying with this idea.
Showtime747
post Sep 21 2015, 02:54 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 21 2015, 10:29 AM)
Showtime747,

<<Would you be able to set a timeframe ?>>

It is your money and your life.  You have to make the RIGHT BET before it is too late.  You have to live with your decision.  I had placed my bet.  You have to decide on your own.

I wish you best of luck. 

Dreamer
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As usual, when I challenge the doomsayers to set a timeframe, no one has the balls to commit. Your kind of answer is expected

A : Bro, your health is bad, you will get sick and never recover
B : When will I get sick and never recover ?
A : 1 day...
B : rclxub.gif

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