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 V10 - Property Prices (Up, Down or .....), and the debate goes on and on and on ...

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agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 02:26 PM

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how on earth developing nation with higher portion income spend on necessities i.e. foods can outspend developed world?

you seem to confuse between business opportunity/consumption in developing and developed world.

if I were you, i will just keep my mouth shut and pray this threat quickly fly to pg 50 or more and hope ppl forget about it ........

QUOTE(zuiko407 @ Mar 26 2013, 05:41 PM)
A simple example, Canada vs Malaysia, where have more spending power? Where have higher chances to earn money or growing business?
In mid 90s, many migrate from Hong Kong, was suffer from their business like restaurant, cafe, boutique etc, bcos their spending power are damn low.
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teohkpin
post Mar 27 2013, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Mar 27 2013, 02:07 PM)
Everyone here is a virtual tycoon only... they're real when we see/know them... smile.gif

Chillax alright... prices going up!!! buy more...

But back to the previous topic... My vote is down/ stagnant in next six months.. then down down down... (amount of down depends on the craziness of the increment since the artificial boom based on psf).

Oh... btw, I'm not virtual or real tycoon... so please don't take me so seriously unless you feel that I make sense... LoL!!!
*
rather than guessing whether the property market is going up or down. i prefer to be 70% invested (or used up to 70% of my leveraging capacity). if property prices relly crash i hope i get to buy few more, if it goes up further i still have the 70% to benefit.

I already realised 1 unit and holding some cash preparing for the worst. May not be making as much as those who are fully invested like the "taikors" here, but at least i have a backup plan. Part of the cash is in stocks now, and market has been doing quite well over the last few weeks, already making >10% return.
SUSUFO-ET
post Mar 27 2013, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(Nepo @ Mar 27 2013, 02:18 PM)
You know me, then write down:
My Name
My address
My Telephone

Don't bullXXXX here!
*
rclxms.gif
P/s : Dun use "IF" next time, I hope you get it, read back wat you hv written "So, will u like my shxx if I m tycoon?"

This post has been edited by UFO-ET: Mar 27 2013, 02:44 PM
agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 02:48 PM

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Irony, as a responsible and mindful adult, we should have debts that we are capable. Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private.


QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 26 2013, 07:55 PM)
I dont have debts lah.....and I am close to the life style I want  tongue.gif and I think there are lots of ppl like me.

Once my kids finish uni.. I should be finincially independent biggrin.gif

P/s: some ppl just dont like to use debt leverage.
*
Rooney1985
post Mar 27 2013, 02:55 PM

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QUOTE(teohkpin @ Mar 27 2013, 02:34 PM)
rather than guessing whether the property market is going up or down. i prefer to be 70% invested (or used up to 70% of my leveraging capacity). if property prices relly crash i hope i get to buy few more, if it goes up further i still have the 70% to benefit.

I already realised 1 unit and holding some cash preparing for the worst. May not be making as much as those who are fully invested like the "taikors" here, but at least i have a backup plan. Part of the cash is in stocks now, and market has been doing quite well over the last few weeks, already making >10% return.
*
Good plan... smile.gif
Halamdar
post Mar 27 2013, 03:23 PM

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QUOTE(agentdiary @ Mar 27 2013, 02:48 PM)
Irony, as a responsible and mindful adult, we should have debts that we are capable. Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private.
*
Let just say I beg to differ.

"as a responsible and mindful adult"

For me is make sure I have food on the table to feed my family and a roof over their head biggrin.gif


"Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private"

Dont have debts =/= dont invest.


Before you come screaming : O, u must be rich or from rich family ....... I come from the typical middle income group family. Just that I CHOOSE to Save and invest and NOT to Borrow to invest.

I have seen "millionaires" bankrupt during 1997 when interest rate shoot through the roof, hitting 20% or more. My question is how many could withstand the cash flow problem when interest rate go up another 1 to 2 percent for your loan ? rclxub.gif

As someone my senior used to tell me , over-leverage, you end up as a "slave" to the bank....

Just my 2 cp biggrin.gif
agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 03:37 PM

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very true.

I read some stuffs from Jimmy Lai who never tired shooting Superman Lee in HK. Though both are tycoons, but at least Jimmy is more honest to admit the no.1 purpose of doing business is to make profit and don't pretend to be a good 'Samaritan' with vague social value ideal and flowering language to camouflage the public an act preferred by Super Lee.

QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Mar 27 2013, 12:12 PM)
Must also be careful because nowadays a lot of self-proclaimed tycoons and fraudsters wink.gif

Even if they are really tycoons, they already understand the power of their advice and therefore to a certain extent use this to benefit themselves (e.g. spreading belief that prices going up so that they can exit OR prices going down so that they can enter).
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agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 03:39 PM

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your choice.

only one sentence for you to ponder.

Don't and never trust CPI from government.


QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 03:23 PM)
Let just say I beg to differ.

"as a responsible and mindful adult"

For me is make sure I have food on the table to feed my family and a roof over their head biggrin.gif
"Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private"

Dont have debts =/= dont invest.
Before you come screaming : O, u must be rich or from rich family ....... I come from the typical middle income group family. Just that I CHOOSE to Save and invest and NOT to Borrow to invest.

I have seen "millionaires"  bankrupt during 1997 when interest rate shoot through the roof, hitting 20% or more. My question is how many could withstand the cash flow problem when interest rate go up another 1 to 2 percent for your loan ? rclxub.gif

As someone my senior used to tell me , over-leverage, you end up as a "slave" to the bank....

Just my 2 cp biggrin.gif
*
Rooney1985
post Mar 27 2013, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 03:23 PM)
Let just say I beg to differ.

"as a responsible and mindful adult"

For me is make sure I have food on the table to feed my family and a roof over their head biggrin.gif
"Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private"

Dont have debts =/= dont invest.
Before you come screaming : O, u must be rich or from rich family ....... I come from the typical middle income group family. Just that I CHOOSE to Save and invest and NOT to Borrow to invest.

I have seen "millionaires"  bankrupt during 1997 when interest rate shoot through the roof, hitting 20% or more. My question is how many could withstand the cash flow problem when interest rate go up another 1 to 2 percent for your loan ? rclxub.gif

As someone my senior used to tell me , over-leverage, you end up as a "slave" to the bank....

Just my 2 cp biggrin.gif
*
A very valuable 2 cents... smile.gif
SUSUFO-ET
post Mar 27 2013, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 03:23 PM)
Let just say I beg to differ.

"as a responsible and mindful adult"

For me is make sure I have food on the table to feed my family and a roof over their head biggrin.gif
"Without debts, your wealth will surely and definitely been 'transfer' out to those closer to the monetary expansion circle, both public and private"

Dont have debts =/= dont invest.
Before you come screaming : O, u must be rich or from rich family ....... I come from the typical middle income group family. Just that I CHOOSE to Save and invest and NOT to Borrow to invest.

I have seen "millionaires"  bankrupt during 1997 when interest rate shoot through the roof, hitting 20% or more. My question is how many could withstand the cash flow problem when interest rate go up another 1 to 2 percent for your loan ? rclxub.gif

As someone my senior used to tell me , over-leverage, you end up as a "slave" to the bank....

Just my 2 cp biggrin.gif
*
20%?
klbull
post Mar 27 2013, 04:10 PM

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Debt is like a weapon. You have to learn how and when to use it, and how much to take on, to make the best use of debt. In property investment, the judicious use of debt is almost indispensable.
agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 04:12 PM

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I am more bearish.

from what I know, the overly high debts has prone BNM to make speedy counter measures in order to pull back the number within the BASEL standard.

Current spike in foreigner owning local bonds is a double edge sword. Coupled with expected accelerate inflation, pressure to interests rate is clearly seen.

I think once this stagnant market go for another year (I don't know how long), the whole situation will start to go south. The newer and higher up (stratified property) the property, the greater the impact will be. If it ever happen, I don't think govt can do much about it like taking up problematic assets (aka TARP) or pushing down rate (aka Fed). It is beyond them. But if it really do so, well, then be very very very worry about our ringgit.

It will take some time before the market can recover.

To Halamdar: I owe you an explanation. The debts I mean, is fixed not free float one that tied with OPR or BLR. All my remaining mortgage loans already converted to fix because I bet on the inflation.


QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Mar 27 2013, 02:07 PM)
Everyone here is a virtual tycoon only... they're real when we see/know them... smile.gif

Chillax alright... prices going up!!! buy more...

But back to the previous topic... My vote is down/ stagnant in next six months.. then down down down... (amount of down depends on the craziness of the increment since the artificial boom based on psf).

Oh... btw, I'm not virtual or real tycoon... so please don't take me so seriously unless you feel that I make sense... LoL!!!
*
Halamdar
post Mar 27 2013, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(agentdiary @ Mar 27 2013, 04:12 PM)
I am more bearish.

from what I know, the overly high debts has prone BNM to make speedy counter measures in order to pull back the number within the BASEL standard.

Current spike in foreigner owning local bonds is a double edge sword. Coupled with expected accelerate inflation, pressure to interests rate is clearly seen.

I think once this stagnant market go for another year (I don't know how long), the whole situation will start to go south. The newer and higher up (stratified property) the property, the greater the impact will be. If it ever happen, I don't think govt can do much about it like taking up problematic assets (aka TARP) or pushing down rate (aka Fed). It is beyond them. But if it really do so, well, then be very very very worry about our ringgit.

It will take some time before the market can recover.
   
To Halamdar: I owe you an explanation. The debts I mean, is fixed not free float one that tied with OPR or BLR. All my remaining mortgage loans already converted to fix because I bet on the inflation.
*
Hehe, as I mentioned, EVEN with FIXED rate =/= fool proved.

What if I lost my job, can I still service the loan repayment....if so many property loan > I will die die die and fast fast too. ( BBB fast fast >>>> DDD fast fast)

Dont tell me O, my job is secured... only thing I will ask is are you 100 percent sure ? and how can u be 100 percent sure ?

During economy crises, No One will be spared. What will make a BIG difference > are you prepared for it ?

Just my 3 cp biggrin.gif


AppreciativeMan
post Mar 27 2013, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 04:35 PM)
Hehe, as I mentioned, EVEN with FIXED rate =/= fool proved.

What if I lost my job, can I still service the loan repayment....if so many property loan > I will die die die and fast fast too. ( BBB fast fast >>>> DDD fast fast)

Dont tell me O, my job is secured... only  thing I will ask is are you 100 percent sure ? and how can u be 100 percent sure ?

During economy crises, No One will be spared. What will make a BIG difference > are you prepared for it ?

Just my 3 cp biggrin.gif
*
U earns my vote!! thumbup.gif
Not because u not in debt (because I'm a debt person, the more the merrier drool.gif ), but because your crystal clear plan in your future and importantly..... u don't complain and u don't condemn!! notworthy.gif notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by AppreciativeMan: Mar 27 2013, 04:59 PM
agentdiary
post Mar 27 2013, 04:51 PM

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don't conclude so fast.

Open mind and just think about it:

Superman have 2 prop, one for own stay (RM650k) and one for rental (RM350k).

For own stay, he paid 2k installation and 1.5k respectively. But he receive 1.2k rental.

Thing is, Superman is very conservative and have 1 million in FD for rainy day despite continue saving 2k a month for rainy too.
He also got EPF, insurance and equity too. Bcoz he is so conservative, all derivatives instruments is out from his mind.

This leverage help him!

The problem nowadays is alot of people, most of them I think, leveraging like no tomorrow. Many are on the cliff.

Fire kills, doesn't mean we have to be so scare from using it for our benefits. That's why I am saying 'responsible and mindful adult"


QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 04:35 PM)
Hehe, as I mentioned, EVEN with FIXED rate =/= fool proved.

What if I lost my job, can I still service the loan repayment....if so many property loan > I will die die die and fast fast too. ( BBB fast fast >>>> DDD fast fast)

Dont tell me O, my job is secured... only  thing I will ask is are you 100 percent sure ? and how can u be 100 percent sure ?

During economy crises, No One will be spared. What will make a BIG difference > are you prepared for it ?

Just my 3 cp biggrin.gif
*
Halamdar
post Mar 27 2013, 05:03 PM

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QUOTE(agentdiary @ Mar 27 2013, 04:51 PM)
don't conclude so fast.

Open mind and just think about it:

Superman have 2 prop, one for own stay (RM650k) and one for rental (RM350k).

For own stay, he paid 2k installation and 1.5k respectively. But he receive 1.2k rental.

Thing is, Superman is very conservative and have 1 million in FD for rainy day despite continue saving 2k a month for rainy too.
He also got EPF, insurance and equity too. Bcoz he is so conservative, all derivatives instruments is out from his mind.

This leverage help him!

The problem nowadays is alot of people, most of them I think, leveraging like no tomorrow. Many are on the cliff.

Fire kills, doesn't mean we have to be so scare from using it for our benefits. That's why I am saying 'responsible and mindful adult"
*
Very true biggrin.gif

As for myself, the house I am staying > fully paid up. No debt on the house.

400 K cash > my kids education fund ( IMO, MY best performing investment fund !)

Have some equities (divident play).

But as i said, depend on your risk appetite. And dont be envious of the ppl next to you " that make a few million on speculating property". If they make it, congratulated them.

For me, its most important that I can sleep well at night biggrin.gif

Just my 4 cp !
Rooney1985
post Mar 27 2013, 05:31 PM

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QUOTE(Halamdar @ Mar 27 2013, 05:03 PM)
Very true biggrin.gif

As for myself, the house I am staying > fully paid up. No debt on the house.

400 K cash > my kids education fund ( IMO, MY best performing investment fund !)

Have some equities (divident play).

But as i said, depend on your risk appetite. And dont be envious of the ppl next to you " that make a few million on speculating property". If they make it, congratulated them.

For me, its most important that I can sleep well at night biggrin.gif

Just my 4 cp !
*
Wow... I hope you didn't up your 2 cents to 4 cents because I said the earlier two were very valuable... haha... kidding...

But again.. another valuable 4 cents...
Rooney1985
post Mar 27 2013, 05:35 PM

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QUOTE(agentdiary @ Mar 27 2013, 04:12 PM)
I am more bearish.

from what I know, the overly high debts has prone BNM to make speedy counter measures in order to pull back the number within the BASEL standard.

Current spike in foreigner owning local bonds is a double edge sword. Coupled with expected accelerate inflation, pressure to interests rate is clearly seen.

I think once this stagnant market go for another year (I don't know how long), the whole situation will start to go south. The newer and higher up (stratified property) the property, the greater the impact will be. If it ever happen, I don't think govt can do much about it like taking up problematic assets (aka TARP) or pushing down rate (aka Fed). It is beyond them. But if it really do so, well, then be very very very worry about our ringgit.

It will take some time before the market can recover.
   
To Halamdar: I owe you an explanation. The debts I mean, is fixed not free float one that tied with OPR or BLR. All my remaining mortgage loans already converted to fix because I bet on the inflation.
*
Market to recover definitely... The market hasn't even began recovery in my opinion... its currently on pain killers.
Halamdar
post Mar 27 2013, 05:40 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Mar 27 2013, 05:31 PM)
Wow... I hope you didn't up your 2 cents to 4 cents because I said the earlier two were very valuable... haha... kidding...

But again.. another valuable 4 cents...
*
Inflation lah ... 2cp > 4 cp !!! due to latest CPI from the government !!!

Hahaha laugh.gif

stanicmail
post Mar 27 2013, 05:59 PM

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If the property is for own stay try not to leverage too much. Maybe 50% loan.

If the property is for investment try to max the return by max leverage. Maybe 90% loan.

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