Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 V10 - Property Prices (Up, Down or .....), and the debate goes on and on and on ...

views
     
teohkpin
post Mar 27 2013, 02:34 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Mar 27 2013, 02:07 PM)
Everyone here is a virtual tycoon only... they're real when we see/know them... smile.gif

Chillax alright... prices going up!!! buy more...

But back to the previous topic... My vote is down/ stagnant in next six months.. then down down down... (amount of down depends on the craziness of the increment since the artificial boom based on psf).

Oh... btw, I'm not virtual or real tycoon... so please don't take me so seriously unless you feel that I make sense... LoL!!!
*
rather than guessing whether the property market is going up or down. i prefer to be 70% invested (or used up to 70% of my leveraging capacity). if property prices relly crash i hope i get to buy few more, if it goes up further i still have the 70% to benefit.

I already realised 1 unit and holding some cash preparing for the worst. May not be making as much as those who are fully invested like the "taikors" here, but at least i have a backup plan. Part of the cash is in stocks now, and market has been doing quite well over the last few weeks, already making >10% return.
teohkpin
post Mar 29 2013, 12:14 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(tat3179 @ Mar 29 2013, 10:56 AM)
Well, unless you have a crystal ball that could 100% accurately tell you what will happen in the future, how do you know whether your preparation could cover the worst?

Anyway, if you go max in preparing the worst, you won't be investing already....

You will avoid risk to avert disaster...
*
You dont need crystall ball you just need risk management.
It can be done. I have sold 1 unit and cash out the profit but i am still 75% invested. The proceed from the sale of the house can sustained 2 years of me without working, paying my installment, cost of living and suffering a BLR hike of say 10%.
so my worst case:
1.) i loss my job for 2 years
2.) BLR goes to 10%
3.) I am not able to rent out all my units/ or not able to collect rental
4.) I am not able to sell any of my units or re-mortgage for extra cash

I am not a BBB or DDD camp.
I only know, whichever way the market move, i benefit.
Low buy more (as long i still have my job), up....paper gain lor....smile.gif
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 06:10 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(worgen @ May 15 2013, 12:24 PM)
for sure not yet but data will give thm some thin hope and comfort.
*
KLSE all time high, ringgit all time strong, MGS yield all time low, property prices all time high, everything is hunky-dory now.........everybody making gains.

Sustainable?

i think future outlook is weak.....government will have to increase debt or revenue(tax) to support their ever growing spending plus whatever they spend 30% gone ????. Commodities bull is over, will only move sideway and will not help increase government's revenue (Oil and CPO). To rely on domestic consumption soley, our population not huge enough. To rely on corpoarte earnings, how many corporates are expanding overseas bringing huge revenue and profit back? Once ETP contrcution over, what else to boost?
raising debt or tax.....our future is bleak, middle income "promoted" to poor, either by inflation or less income.

Office space - malaysia breaching 100mil sft supercede Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia when overall FDI dropped. Who's the future tenant?landlord?
and more to come Iskandar......

whatever supporting the market now is Liquidity, once malaysia debt breach the safety level and foriegn funds pull out, we will see the impact, Ringgit weakened, KLCI plunge, Bond yiled increases.

Property prices - Down, stagnant or Up? your guess

suddenly putting $$ in US seems to be a better bet.....smile.gif

just my thoughts...




teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 09:55 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(wlinvest2 @ May 15 2013, 09:28 PM)
Let's look at the facts:-

1. US, Japan, China, are all printing money.
The money they print per year is in trillions.resulting Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore and all Asian countries also increase money supply to balance the exchange.

2. With all the money coming to Asia from the west , banks are flood with money. Especially Hong Kong, Singapore.

3. We all know that EU, US, Japan 's growth and unemployment will not be able solve within this year. It is estimated to take 2 to 3 more years to see improvement.
As such, continuing of printing money will persist.

4. If true, Malaysia's property and shares will continue to rise but at a more moderate rate as printing of money slows down when market in the west improves.

5. The money will leave Asia back to US or EU only the economy has very clear sign of bull market which we are not seeing now.

6. With so much liquidity in asia market now, do you really think the property/share market will go down?

I think we still have a few good years. That is my humble opinion.
*
True and I hope that is the case but our economy cannot be supported by liquidity from foreign funds. Is not sustainable. US having sign of improvement, our peers valuation is cheaper, no one can really tell when the liquidity is leaving malaysia.
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:09 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Steven83 @ May 15 2013, 09:57 PM)
Once it leave, the housing bubble will finally pop. Which all of us don't want it to happen because in the end, everyone going to suffer just like  Spain.
*
And I hope to cautious new buyer who plan to buy new project to flip. Risk cld be high by time of delivery, anything could happen 2 years later.
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:26 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(teohkpin @ May 15 2013, 10:09 PM)
And I hope to cautious new buyer who plan to buy new project to flip. Risk cld be high by time of delivery, anything could happen 2 years later.
*
No confidence with Nj administration, spending like nobody business. Better put my children's education fund in SG or US.

This post has been edited by teohkpin: May 15 2013, 10:27 PM
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:33 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(worgen @ May 15 2013, 10:24 PM)
US stocks broke new high.their housing recovery just at the beginning. US recovery still long way to go.

this not only a data but a judgement by wlinvest2:
+1 With so much liquidity in asia market now, do you really think the property/share market will go down?
*
Agreed with wilinvest2, short term market will be doing good. 2 to 3 years down the road nobody knows. Hope our government knows what they are doing and time to tighten their belt. Buying properties is not 6 mths to 1 year game. U need to hold couple of years to see good returns. Personally I think the risk is too high. That's the reason I can never be rich......hahaa.....too risk adverse.
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:41 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Steven83 @ May 15 2013, 10:28 PM)
Don't forget they are just parking the money here to keep the value. It can leave anytime they want, if happens I won't be surprise to see BNM rise the interest rate on all loan. Mark my word, now the -blr rate drop from maximum 2.4 to 2.3.
*
As an investor I will invest when I see sign of recovery and not wait for full recovery when everything has been price in. Also I will move from over priced country to lower priced market. Just my thoughts. So q is malaysia really that attractive? Our GDP superb? Our corporate earnings double digit growth? I am quite pessimistic
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:44 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Steven83 @ May 15 2013, 10:34 PM)
nope...its just you are late to the market. Not a good time as the ROI was bad and everyone hope for property appreciation .... not  healthy.
*
Steve I am already in property market since 2009. Looking at things i think we shld start to be more defensive rather than aggressive.
teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 10:49 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Steven83 @ May 15 2013, 10:44 PM)
Nope...Malaysia is a small pie for fry, our salary grow is like turtle now. Without fundamental  on export and heavily depends on construction sector. We are going the wrong way.
*
That's the reason why I q how long the foreign liquidity will stay.

teohkpin
post May 15 2013, 11:04 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(Steven83 @ May 15 2013, 10:50 PM)
Looks see how thing goes in another 2 years, a lot of property are on the way to be ready in 2004,2005. Notice some property are having hard time to sell off, and showing small significance of decrease 1k-5k. I will monitor for another 2 months.
*
Zuiko taikor always very optimistic becoz he already has his war chest build. He entered early so cost is low and rental yield high. I guess his new purchase if any is financed by previous profits so he can go all way out. For us small time investor need to be very careful. Hard earn money lehhhh........smile.gif
teohkpin
post May 22 2013, 05:21 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(joeblows @ May 20 2013, 11:42 PM)
Kid, I suggest you don't play stocks. It's much too advanced for you and you are still a immature kuchee rat.

Imagine you owning AAPL, down 2-3% last week already cry for mommy, but today it's back up another 2% to $440+.

I think for your level just save your money in piggy bank la ah boy. Don't need to kacau gor gor making money.  brows.gif
*
with this kind of market nothing to shout about with a 9% return.
some stock giving me 60% return within 4 months.
teohkpin
post May 23 2013, 08:28 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
56 posts

Joined: May 2011
QUOTE(joeblows @ May 23 2013, 10:08 AM)
Dude, 50% return in less than 1 week also got - don't need to brag about 60% return in 4 months. Those are mostly penny stocks though.

How many blue chip can go up 60% in 4 months? Not too many (although there are, to be sure).
*
I don't buy penny stocks


Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0528sec    0.63    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 4th December 2025 - 04:25 PM