I believed prophetjul has a personal experience here in his successful gold investment,... I suspect he DID make this CAGR,... let him provide his points,...
EPF DIVIDEND, EPF
EPF DIVIDEND, EPF
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Jan 26 2018, 02:31 PM
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9,361 posts Joined: Aug 2010 |
I believed prophetjul has a personal experience here in his successful gold investment,... I suspect he DID make this CAGR,... let him provide his points,...
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Jan 26 2018, 02:39 PM
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4,761 posts Joined: Jun 2007 From: My house |
QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 26 2018, 02:31 PM) I believed prophetjul has a personal experience here in his successful gold investment,... I suspect he DID make this CAGR,... let him provide his points,... I don't invest in gold as I do not believe it is really a good investment commodity. Bet there will be many coming back to me saying otherwise. Ha.Below is the gold price graph. Yes, if invested in gold in 2001 till 2012, one would have made a very high return! This post has been edited by plumberly: Jan 26 2018, 02:39 PM |
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Jan 26 2018, 03:37 PM
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9,361 posts Joined: Aug 2010 |
QUOTE(plumberly @ Jan 26 2018, 02:39 PM) I don't invest in gold as I do not believe it is really a good investment commodity. Bet there will be many coming back to me saying otherwise. Ha. That's what I suspected,...I think bro prophet entered in 2000,...Below is the gold price graph. Yes, if invested in gold in 2001 till 2012, one would have made a very high return! |
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Jan 26 2018, 04:28 PM
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48,471 posts Joined: Sep 2014 From: REality |
QUOTE(plumberly @ Jan 26 2018, 02:39 PM) I don't invest in gold as I do not believe it is really a good investment commodity. Bet there will be many coming back to me saying otherwise. Ha. ahh thanks for the graph..Below is the gold price graph. Yes, if invested in gold in 2001 till 2012, one would have made a very high return! then.. I guess He should have enter way earlier.. No wonder can make very good return.. but seriously, Not everyone is lucky to enter that low.. |
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Jan 26 2018, 11:19 PM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(xuzen @ Jan 25 2018, 10:41 AM) Your post above piqued my interest and I went back to do some quick calculations mainly because to satisfy my curiosity. Are you a Yank?I look up 10 years gold spot price from www.kitco.com. In Jan 2008, gold spot is USD 850 and ten years later in Jan 2018, the gold spot is USD 1,310 Using a quick financial calculator, the annualised return for gold spot for ten years period is 4.42% p.a. To compare, in the FSM S'pore UT table, there are 140 Mutual Funds that have annualised return above 4.42% p.a. for the past ten years. Why I did not use 15 years? Because FSM S'pore UT data is max'ed out at 10 years historical. For FSM M'sia , there are 70 UTF that return > 4.42% p.a. for the past ten years. Xuzen Why use Usd? 2007 Rm2300 2017 Rm5318 That's 9% CAGR. 2002 RM 1100 2017 RM 5318 11% CAGR This post has been edited by prophetjul: Jan 26 2018, 11:24 PM |
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Jan 26 2018, 11:22 PM
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QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 25 2018, 12:38 PM) No way gold can achieve 11% CAGR over 15 years. That's just some pipe dream. The actual figure should be less than 5% CAGR You shoul do some calculations here http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?csrf=5886e...h=12&EndYr=2017 Don't simply pluck a random number. This post has been edited by prophetjul: Jan 26 2018, 11:24 PM |
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Jan 26 2018, 11:26 PM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Jan 26 2018, 11:29 PM
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jan 26 2018, 04:28 PM) ahh thanks for the graph.. you are right.then.. I guess He should have enter way earlier.. No wonder can make very good return.. but seriously, Not everyone is lucky to enter that low.. Not everyone was lucky to be attracted to gold then. It was a very dead asset. i was studying it since 1999 before i took a big plunge in 2001. My bet was just to beat FD rates. Those days one could only buy gold bullions, no gold accounts or ETFs. This post has been edited by prophetjul: Jan 26 2018, 11:30 PM |
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Jan 27 2018, 12:25 AM
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2,033 posts Joined: Jul 2005 |
QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 26 2018, 11:22 PM) You shoul do some calculations Gold is traded in USD. It should be use as reference to calculate the compound gain from gold investment over time. You should not confuse forex gain as part of the gain in the gold value when traded in local currency (other than USD).here http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?csrf=5886e...h=12&EndYr=2017 Don't simply pluck a random number. This post has been edited by Singh_Kalan: Jan 27 2018, 12:31 AM |
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Jan 27 2018, 08:07 AM
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QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 12:25 AM) Gold is traded in USD. It should be use as reference to calculate the compound gain from gold investment over time. You should not confuse forex gain as part of the gain in the gold value when traded in local currency (other than USD). So, don’t complain about imported food price since they are quoted in forex ?Your logic is very laughable |
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Jan 27 2018, 09:05 AM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 12:25 AM) Gold is traded in USD. It should be use as reference to calculate the compound gain from gold investment over time. You should not confuse forex gain as part of the gain in the gold value when traded in local currency (other than USD). We are trading in MYR. Do you earn in USD? If Yes, then you could use USD.i don not earn in MYR. Gold is trades inverse to USD. Definitely when USD is strong, gold is weak. Gold is then percieved as a currency. Therefore trading in gold IS investing ,by poroxy, in Forex. |
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Jan 27 2018, 09:10 AM
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Veering off topic now.
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Jan 27 2018, 09:11 AM
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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jan 27 2018, 08:07 AM) So, don’t complain about imported food price since they are quoted in forex ? If gold performance is based on local currency and forex gain/loss is consider as part of the gold value, different countries will have different CAGR figure which can varies widely depending on the local currency performance againts USD. Zimbabwe may hv CAGR +100%, while Japan may be -3% (just example). Which sound even not logic considering that its a same item.Your logic is very laughable This post has been edited by Singh_Kalan: Jan 27 2018, 09:22 AM |
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Jan 27 2018, 09:23 AM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 09:11 AM) If gold performance is based on local currency and forex gain/loss is consider as part of the gold value, different countries will have different CAGR figure which can varies widely depending on the local currency performance againts USD. Zimbabwe may hv CAGR 100%, while Japan may be -3% (just example). Which sound even not logic considering that its a same item. Forex is part of gold investment as gold is valued in USD, not MYR. You cannot change that. Unless your earnings is in USD, your rate of retrun on investment is in your natural currency. THAT, i think is logical. |
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Jan 27 2018, 09:56 AM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 27 2018, 09:23 AM) Forex is part of gold investment as gold is valued in USD, not MYR. You cannot change that. Unless your earnings is in USD, your rate of retrun on investment is in your natural currency. THAT, i think is logical. No doubt you can't separate the forex part from GOLD when investing in local currency. But when comparing performance of GOLD over years against other investment, Gold quoted in USD should only be used. This is not to confuse people with the part from forex gain/loss. |
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Jan 27 2018, 09:59 AM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 09:56 AM) No doubt you can't separate the forex part from GOLD when investing in local currency. But when comparing performance of GOLD over years against other investment, Gold quoted in USD should only be used. This is not to confuse people with the part from forex gain/loss. Again. Do you earn in USD? Would a Malaysian fund manager report in USD to his Malaysian investors? |
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Jan 27 2018, 10:08 AM
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4,258 posts Joined: Nov 2012 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 09:11 AM) If gold performance is based on local currency and forex gain/loss is consider as part of the gold value, different countries will have different CAGR figure which can varies widely depending on the local currency performance againts USD. Zimbabwe may hv CAGR +100%, while Japan may be -3% (just example). Which sound even not logic considering that its a same item. Yes, different country will have different CAGR, based on the home currency. Why must it be all quoted in USD ?All companies take into account of forex gain/loss in accordance to accounting standard. That's why those companies earn in forex their share price shoot up like mad during RM depreciation. Do you deduct the share price because of currency gain ? EPF takes into account the forex gain/loss for their overseas investment Funds sold in RM take into account of forex gain/loss when they report their CAGR Our imported food experience inflation because we buy in RM Those Zimbabwe people if they have foresight, they would have gain in forex because they can convert their USD back to buy a lot of stuff. You may personally view it differently, but all others do take into account forex gain/loss in terms of base currency |
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Jan 27 2018, 10:11 AM
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2,033 posts Joined: Jul 2005 |
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Jan 27 2018, 10:20 AM
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12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 10:11 AM) I earned in muti currency. MYR, SGD, USD Likewise, understand what i mean. NO and that s not relevant. Try understand what i meant again. If you were a wage earner in MYR , used MYR to invest in gold, what are your calculated returns in? USD? EPF invests in all,sorts of foreign currency denominated assets. What are their returns reported in? USD? |
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Jan 27 2018, 10:23 AM
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2,033 posts Joined: Jul 2005 |
QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Jan 27 2018, 09:56 AM) No doubt you can't separate the forex part from GOLD when investing in local currency. But when comparing performance of GOLD over years against other investment, Gold quoted in USD should only be used. This is not to confuse people with the part from forex gain/loss. That s my point. Others not relevant.This post has been edited by Singh_Kalan: Jan 27 2018, 10:25 AM |
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