QUOTE(jootat @ Mar 19 2013, 02:13 PM)
Ic, so this PCSF fund is expected not moving anytime within these two years? Actually, i am having some difficult time doing analysis on my PMF and having difficult time making some decision whether to cut loss and invest in something else.
Not sure what analysis you need to make a decision.
Me, very simple - bet on the fastest horse in the stable.
I believed all the past comments (since I joined this forum mid of last year) and shared experiences so far in this forum is more than sufficient to decide which route to take...
I was in same boat as you... it is a matter of 'hard work' to dig oneself out of a deep hole... keep tracking & monitoring ALL the funds regularly.
Example, there was a dip in the market yesterday... see all those red figures in today's prices? Do you know which ones have the biggest drop?
Here's the bottom 4:
18/3/2013 PUBLIC FAR-EAST PROPERTY & RESORTS FUND PFEPRF 0.3339 -0.0048 -1.42%
18/3/2013 PUBLIC CHINA ITTIKAL FUND PCIF 0.1733 -0.0026 -1.48%
18/3/2013 PUBLIC CHINA SELECT FUND PCSF 0.1580 -0.0024 -1.50%
18/3/2013 PUBLIC CHINA TITANS FUND PCTF 0.2145 -0.0034 -1.56%
(Let's see which one will bounce back today.)
If you're holding all 4 funds since 31 Dec 2012, do you know which one is in deep shit?
Following is their year-to-date gains, respectively: 13.28%,
-4.43%, -0.74%, -2.20%
How will they perform from today onwards? Your guess is as good as mine, and as good as any experts - we don't have a crystal ball to see the future.
Maybe forming our own personal insight gained by reading widely, past experiences, etc. in making our own fundamental judgement would help in our decision.
What I read so far (and what I believed is true) is that this year should be as good as or better than 2012. And we're right smack in the middle of the region that's supposed to be stable and steady growth... so don't have to look too far; just read regional news to keep abreast of what's going on.
Cheers.... happy investing!
P.S. Time is money. I'm now looking at multi-month, not multi-year periods in switching horses.