QUOTE(GoldChan @ Sep 9 2011, 10:14 AM)
>>
BTW, dont lar - taking the lowest (2001/2002) and then projecting to the highest heheh. I know gold is an investment / trade worthy asset class, but to just look from bottom to top aint a balanced-view.
eg. of a skewed view, i use one of the Malaysian stocks (pathetic moving stocks compared to US stocks
)
Public Bank Bhd
28/10/2008 RM7.420
>>
1. For stock you have to analyze 100+ stock then come up with 5-6 goods one. FYI, not all people buy Public Bank.
but for gold and silver, there are very few source you can choose from . If you done your homework, you can get from UOb.
THus, the probability of getting a higher return in general is much more greater than stock market & property.
>>
Heheeh - changgih leh looking from bottom to up only (sounds kinky too
), right bro? In fact, some property bro can even show properties beating the pants off everything else coz it's highly leveraged, especially bought at the "bottom and looking up" (i like the sound of that somehow
),
Not a balanced view mar. Again, i'm not against gold ar - heck i myself am investing in metals and other commodities. Like some other folks that have posted, just
>>
2. If you have selected the right area Puchong, Cheras, Kinrara, for property then your investment boom. Otherwise, it may not perform as well as gold.
Wrong Area :- Kajang, Dengkil, Balakong, Cyberjaya, :- slower price growth.
Must also buy and sell at the right time.
Thus for timing and selection point of view, golds beat almost every thing in general.
3. I agree that gold by itself is off no use and value. but the way the money is working now and the iiresponsibility of many governments had left us no choice but to take our position in gold.
Can government afford not to print so much money.
Can politician get elected w/o the nice promise they make to the people. How to fulfill the promise, print more $$ lah. run on deficits.
4. In fiat $, fractional reserve is in play. Thus for every RM100 printed, addition RM450 is created by fractional reserve. (by for ease of calculation RM10)
RM100 printed, RM90 deposited to customer1 bank1, RM10 customer use
bank1 rented out RM80/- to customer2, RM70 deposited into bank customer2 bank2 a/c again, customer2 use up RM10/-
Bank 2 rent out RM60/- ....
100, 90, 80, 70,60,50,40,30,20, 10 = 100 (original) + 450 (extra is created out of thin air).
This does not include the interest factor.
If gold and silver is used, then is full reserve banking. If you have 1000oz of gold, you can only rent out 1000 oz of gold.
Thus, the banker won;t like this, because the more it rent the more $ they get for interest.
That why banker has the best and biggest building in the major cities world.
Thus, the gold and silver price must be suppressed.
In 1980s - 2001s, the price is suppressed via the existing central bank gold sales etc.
Yup yup, i know and agree with U (already lar) about cash and printing + banking systems generating ghost numbers based on debts/loans/deposits.
It's the
"gold is everything - bestest in the world" which i differ in opinion.If a person is so worried about
the collapse of governments and countries' economies cash currencies that one invests/buys only gold and not any other assets, think about the aftermath:
a. If it doesnt happenoh oh..... totally "sai lang" / "show hand" approach, all eggs in one basket/asset class... and if it shoots up (heaven is a place on earth), if it falls (hell is a place on earth). Just too much of a roller-coaster ride for my old heart heheh.
b. If it does happenUntil things settle down and an exchange rate is set (for whatever is going to the the value of exchange like gold?)
Holy crap! No businesses running, no value exchange other than barter (until things settle down yar)
Er.. anyone wants to trade their 5kg rice for 1gram of gold? 5gms? Please? anyone?
Gas cylinders for 1gram? 2 grams?
ooo.. what about weapons and secured dwelling to protect oneself's family, physical gold/silver/platinum/sea shells/salt cubes and stuff?
Of course that will only last for "awhile" (i'm being sarcastic yar

) until the country/world starts being civilized again, commerce re-starts and we do things better than barter system.
In addition, i wonder what will happen to people that invested in properties & equities? All koyak - no more land, building & businesses?
Of course those who are holding FDs, Bonds and Money Market accounts all koyak lar.
What about those who are "investing" in gold via Gold Accounts? definitely wiped out too as banks collapses?
Seriously bro, if it does happen, gold vs cash vs other asset classes would be one of my last concerns
c. If it semi-happens (ie. hyper inflation and stuff - the usual kaka)
Bad case: price of Gold goes up, government tries to confiscate, down with the government, revolution, etc., leads to (b) above i think
So-so case: Inflation runs rampant, ppl still use cash, gold prices goes up but so does equities that people want/are in demand (eg. food producing companies, plantations, consumer staples, etc).
Thus not only gold prices goes up during this time? I'm unsure - touch wood i've not been in a DEPRESSION like in the US 1930s-1940s. Er.. i think neither have any fellows here in the forum 
Just a thought. Of course, it's definitely your God given rights to believe solely in gold bro. This is a forum to share point of views and opinions yar
This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Sep 9 2011, 02:38 PM