HEY GUYS...
Im planing to do FOREX in china ren ming bi....pls gv me some comments on it...
Investment (Local and International), Everything About Investment
Investment (Local and International), Everything About Investment
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Nov 1 2006, 07:45 PM
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Senior Member
2,733 posts Joined: Aug 2006 |
HEY GUYS...
Im planing to do FOREX in china ren ming bi....pls gv me some comments on it... |
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Nov 2 2006, 11:59 PM
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All Stars
17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 1 2006, 04:30 PM) Malaysia is now the least attractive bourse among Asian countries, even JCY (one of the biggest hdd manufacturer based in JB) has postponed the listing in KLSE and consider to be listed in Singapore or HK as The Edge reported. KLSE really lack of quality company to be invested, also liquidity is quite low which make some listing meaningless. it seems they have stop gorenging Iris.... no more huge price change on itUnless there is major restructuring of GLCs company, and policy revamp, it is difficult to attract really serious foreign interest and fund coming. We don't need hedge fund that 'goreng' Iris like mad which won't do any good to the market. This post has been edited by Darkmage12: Nov 3 2006, 12:00 AM |
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Nov 3 2006, 09:00 AM
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Senior Member
2,185 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
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Nov 3 2006, 12:05 PM
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All Stars
17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
earlier this year there was 1 hedge fund from US suffering huge loses right? they under investigation also now
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Nov 3 2006, 05:59 PM
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Junior Member
202 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
QUOTE(Drian @ Oct 27 2006, 06:18 PM) You know I was calculating whether unit trust is really worth it or is it just hype. So I took one as an example and benchmarked it against the FD to see whether it is really good or is it all hype. FYI, your culculation is too straight forward.Name of Fund Public Growth Fund Category of Fund Equity Fund Approved Fund Size 4.5 Billion Units Launch Date 11 December 1984 Investor's Risk Profile Moderate Fund Objective To achieve long-term capital appreciation with income considered incidental. FEES & CHARGES Service Charge 5% - 7% of NAV per unit Repurchase Charge Nil Annual Management Fee 1.5% per annum of the NAV Management Expense Ratio(%) 1.56 (for Financial Year Ended 31 July 2005). Annual Trustee Fee 0.06% per annum of NAV, subject to a minimum fee of RM18,000 and a maximum fee of RM450,000 per annum. For fund financial report please go to http://www.publicmutual.com.my/page.aspx?name=PGF go to review, register and download the report Now Assume I have RM100,000 and I invested on 2004 (since they have only 3 years data shown) Beginning 2004 Service charge for purchasing = RM6000 (average service charge) Total investment = RM 94,000 Annual return 2006 = 4.78% Annual return 2005 = 12.3% Annual return 2004 = 16.79% Investment value end 2004 = 109782 Management fee = 1700 Net Investment Value = 108082 Investment value end 2005 = 121376 Management fee = 1820 Net Investment Value = 119556 Investment value end 2006 = 125270 Management fee = 1879 Net Investment Value = 123391 End of 2006 Sell Sale value = 123391 Service charge = 8637 Total amount = 114754 Net profit over 3 years = 14754 Annual returns = 4.918% FD returns 4.2% for 36 months (3 years) Now the point of my post , take a look closely. The unit trust "supposedly" has an average annual return of 11.29%(I think this is considered on the high side) for the three years but after cashing in on the profit you realised that it ONLY ouperforms FD by 0.76%. Can you imagine if the fund annual returns was just average say 7-8%. Where did all the money go? 1.) Management Fees charged annually. This fees can go up to 3% REGARDLESS of how the fund is doing. 2.) Service charges. Every buy and sell are charged 5-7%. So if a Unit trust fund boast on high annual returns, please do the maths and calculate how much the fund need to perform to cover all your "losses". I notice most of you just take annual returns figure without taking into account these factors at all. Now do you still wonder why hundreds of million has been lost in unit trust as reported in the newspaper? as i mention on my previous post.... 3 type of source of return from UT which are: 1. The rise in unit price (We call it capital appreciation) 2. The annual dividen/distribution/bonus declared 3. The unit split declared. Switch from one fund to another whenever there is dividend or split unit to be announced, so that it can maximize the ROI Of course at one point of time, once the item 2 and 3 declared, there is no value added, but once the unit price increase.., the value RM will definitely increase.. Why hundreds of million has been lost in unit trust as reported in the newspaper? There is a few reasons why this thing happen 1. The fund they invest not really perform 2. They got a lazy ass fund manager 3. The company they invested in, holds small fund size. 4. Inexperience fund manager. For example; the fund manager put all the money in equity fund which is high risk fund without diversified the investments OR just leave the money fluctuate without do any proper switching method, * Public Mutual only imposed the service charge once, on your initial/first investment. After that only management fees 1.5% perannum This post has been edited by pidah: Nov 3 2006, 06:02 PM |
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Nov 3 2006, 06:27 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
A manager who manage equity fund only can invest the money into equity, not bond or anything else which is bound by trustee and its objective. So can totally blame them since they have nothing to choose from.
The main issue why local equity fund mostly suffer losses because of poor performance of KLSE. Although CI manage to hit 1000 today but what is the meaning for the whole market? Nothing, even when CI reached 1000, the counters loss still more than gain one with 400 to 300 ratio. Also with high management fee and entry fee, it left not much from unit trust holder to gain. eg. a fund manage to make profit of 10%, sound quite good, but after deduct the entry fee of 5% and 1.5% management fee, it left 3.5% for the unit trust holder only. Still think the charges or fee are quite expensive in Malaysia. The index can go up is much due to some push up by EPF and PNB with few selective buying which can be done easily since liquidity are low as well as volume so a few ten million of buying will easily push the index up few point which is peanut for EPF board or PNB who manage asset of billion. While other than index link heavy weight still like dead and buried state. The scenario is like they are having large chunks of share in those heavy weight like TNB, MISC, Maybank so push up these stock will make them good profit on paper as well as having good report card so pushing up these stock won't do any harm. That's why you see the index keep on climbing although without much participant from foreign fund. A lot of listed company are already become GLCs, it is almost impossible to find a heavyweight in the market that EPF or gov investment arm don't have more than 20-30% of share of it. This post has been edited by cherroy: Nov 3 2006, 06:32 PM |
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Nov 3 2006, 08:23 PM
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Senior Member
1,478 posts Joined: Sep 2005 |
nah....the 1000.6 is just a false break.
It managed to went up there,but lasted for only 1 minute LOL. Not to mention,the 1000 level ISNT the true resistance,its merely a psychological resistance,due to the price dwelling in the 800-900 levels for nearly a year.The true resistance lies within the 1021 level,and the "major" one is located at the 1200s.The FKLI didnt even went up to the 1k level today. To be honest,i'm quite skeptical about CI right now.Some of the trend indicators are already in the state of overbought,and there are bearish patterns forming. |
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Nov 3 2006, 09:42 PM
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Elite
15,855 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(pidah @ Nov 3 2006, 05:59 PM) FYI, your culculation is too straight forward. Pidah,as i mention on my previous post.... 3 type of source of return from UT which are: 1. The rise in unit price (We call it capital appreciation) 2. The annual dividen/distribution/bonus declared 3. The unit split declared. Switch from one fund to another whenever there is dividend or split unit to be announced, so that it can maximize the ROI Of course at one point of time, once the item 2 and 3 declared, there is no value added, but once the unit price increase.., the value RM will definitely increase.. Why hundreds of million has been lost in unit trust as reported in the newspaper? There is a few reasons why this thing happen 1. The fund they invest not really perform 2. They got a lazy ass fund manager 3. The company they invested in, holds small fund size. 4. Inexperience fund manager. For example; the fund manager put all the money in equity fund which is high risk fund without diversified the investments OR just leave the money fluctuate without do any proper switching method, * Public Mutual only imposed the service charge once, on your initial/first investment. After that only management fees 1.5% perannum If his calculation is wrong, show your calculation and tell us where he did wrong. Dreamer |
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Nov 3 2006, 09:54 PM
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Senior Member
1,059 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: KL |
I think I have corrected the calculation at post #1461. It should be 7.797% return per annum. For sure, we assume there is no switching activities in this case, as not many people are free to monitor the market always and switch the funds. In my opinion, people who invest in mutual funds are mostly busy people and don't know about market performance. So, most of the mutual funds owners will not switch their funds. Dividend distribution is not value added, so we do not take this into profit calculation.
In fact, I admit that switching is a good activities to maximize the profit. I bought a fund two years ago, but lossing money. So, I switch half the funds to Index funds, when at that time KLCI is only 860++. So, now I do not loss money, but earn a little bit from this investment. The objective I invest mutual funds is, I know I can learn about investment faster when I really put money into it. Is it silly? This post has been edited by leekk8: Nov 3 2006, 09:58 PM |
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Nov 3 2006, 10:37 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Nov 4 2006, 12:47 AM
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All Stars
52,874 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
Investment is like planting a fruit tree. You won't be able to see the fruit in short term. Good performing mutual funds (unit trusts) need at least 3 years to see positive returns and you may break even by the first year.
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Nov 4 2006, 10:08 AM
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Senior Member
2,185 posts Joined: Oct 2005 |
QUOTE Sale value = 123391 Wrong calculation pidah.Service charge = 8637 Total amount = 114754 Net profit over 3 years = 14754 Annual returns = 4.918% Correction. No fee is imposed on selling. So you shouldnt have deducted 8637 when you sell. 123391 = 100,000 * (A)^3 A = 1.073 7.3% compounded ROI for 3 years. Much better than FD. This post has been edited by luqmanz: Nov 4 2006, 10:11 AM |
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Nov 4 2006, 11:49 AM
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Senior Member
2,251 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: on da move with 3G technology |
Erm..something popped into my mind. Why not we invest in those ah longs who needs money to borrow money out? Then we also can have nice interest.... my friend does that I think it's 1.5% per month... so means by 3 months it matches the interest rate of any bank FD
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Nov 4 2006, 12:06 PM
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Senior Member
1,059 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: KL |
QUOTE(hamster9 @ Nov 4 2006, 11:49 AM) Erm..something popped into my mind. Why not we invest in those ah longs who needs money to borrow money out? Then we also can have nice interest.... my friend does that I think it's 1.5% per month... so means by 3 months it matches the interest rate of any bank FD Ah Long is illegal in Malaysia, you might be sued if doing this...It's not an investment if we do something illegal... |
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Nov 4 2006, 01:43 PM
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All Stars
17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Nov 4 2006, 07:38 PM
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Senior Member
2,251 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: on da move with 3G technology |
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Nov 4 2006, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
1,059 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: KL |
QUOTE(hamster9 @ Nov 4 2006, 07:38 PM) I think it's legal as long you do not charge interest. That's all... License means u can charge interest. Yes, it's legal if you didn't charge any interest on your loan. If you lend money or even give money to your friends without charge any fees, it's legal...You can give your money to anybody...right??? |
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Nov 5 2006, 09:37 AM
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Senior Member
2,251 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: on da move with 3G technology |
QUOTE(leekk8 @ Nov 4 2006, 10:53 PM) Yes, it's legal if you didn't charge any interest on your loan. If you lend money or even give money to your friends without charge any fees, it's legal... Yeah, from what I heard have to be friends with those "tai kos" big brother so we can invest in it You can give your money to anybody...right??? |
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Nov 5 2006, 06:44 PM
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All Stars
17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Nov 5 2006, 11:33 PM
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Elite
15,855 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(David83 @ Nov 4 2006, 12:47 AM) Investment is like planting a fruit tree. You won't be able to see the fruit in short term. Good performing mutual funds (unit trusts) need at least 3 years to see positive returns and you may break even by the first year. David83,Let me play devil advocate here and ask why?? Why I cannot buy an investment that pays me immediately and pay me every year?? It is my choice and if it is NOT a good deal, I do not have to buy!!! I can keep my money in the FD until I find a good deal. This is my strategy for my money in Malaysia. In 2005, I buy the best managed Malaysian Bank stock at RM6.80 (including commission). It pays $0.55 commission last year. This give me yield of 8%. This year I get dividend of $0.40. This gives me yield of 5.9%. Looks like this will be the yield going forward. I am NOT even looking at appreciation. What is the risk?? Yes, it is higher than FD. But, this bank survived the last recession and if this bank goes to hell, you can forget about the whole KLSE too. It is about the same risk as the KLSE index. Until foreign bank can come in, all local banks enjoy a margin of 3% to 4% ( difference between loan and FD rate). The banks will make a lot of money. So, please tell me why am I buying unit trust?? Where I lose a few percents when I buy and a few percents every year?? For foreign exposure, why not buying mutual fund from US companies like Vanguard?? There is no load and annual maintenance of less than one percent?? ASB may make sense if I am a bumi. But, other than that why?? Dreamer P.S.: 1) The lot size is 1,000 shares. I can save my money in FD until I have enough money. Since the dividend is around $0.40, I can wait until the share price is low enough and yield is attractive to me. I make money when I buy. 2) This is part of my portfolio of FD, real estate, and banking stock. I have enough cash for 2 years of expenses in FD. So, I have enough money for a normal recession. This post has been edited by dreamer101: Nov 5 2006, 11:38 PM |
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