QUOTE(Beth79 @ Aug 8 2011, 12:46 PM)
dont say flippers, even normal "buy for own stay" owners like me are scared of escalating interest rates. i used iproperty calculator and discovered that if interest rates goes up to 12%, i'll be paying RM1200 more for my pigeon hole apartment. sustainability is still there but financial quality of life will disappear. and that's just me with my RM250k loan. cant imagine what will happen to those who have overleveraged. i dont wish hard times on anyone.

That's right, we can't expect the mortgage rate to stay low forever.
These days, developers are offering zero down payment (simply jack up the house price and rebate you 10% for the required down payment so you can get your loan approved), zero percent interest during construction, free SPA/legal fees/stamp duty, and the government is talking about 105% loan, 5% for you to buy furniture? These are the recipe for housing disaster, we are repeating the mistakes that caused the US mortgage crisis.
I went to Puchong to enquire the Laman Grandview semi-d/bungalow the other day, what the sale person told me was "sir, you only have to pay RM10k to book a 1.3-1.5mil property, we will rebate you 10% for the down payment, and we expect the price will rise to 1.7-1.9mil next year, you have to be quick, only few units left, our next launch will be 1.7mil onwards!" Totally speechless. "Land scarcity, housing shortage, population boom, if you don't buy now you will be priced out of the market forever" sounds familiar with all these buyer friendly phrases? If people don't have the income to afford a house, how much a seller could ask? How much leverage the flippers could bear?
I think the time to flip houses and make handsome profit has gone. If you buy into their story now, you are very likely to get toast. When the pool of greater fool runs out, and the mortgages held by banks turn sour, our banks will go bust! Hopefully we will not see as many empty buildings on Boleh Land as in Dubai...
Latest news. The European Central Bank is printing money to buy Italian and Spanish bonds. The more paper money they create based on nothing, the higher the inflation will be. Japanese and Swiss central banks just "intervened" their currency exchange last week, with more money printing to keep their exchange rate competitive. Boleh Land will have to keep ringgit competitive to support export as well, which means more money printing... wait until Federal Reserve announces QE3, the temporary commodity price deflation will turn north and spike up. Look at crude oil, cotton, corn, grain...
The inflation storm if not hyperinflation is coming... we will have a currency crisis world wide. I would grab as much GOLD as possible!
For younger generation, it would be far better off to rent a place to live in this property frenzy situation. Think about the difference between servicing a mortgage and paying a rent, use the extra bucks in your pocket and buy other asset class, you don't have to be a housing debt slave. The property price will come back down to match average household income eventually. Some would say the property price will never go down, look at last decade, it went up and up and up...
This post has been edited by debtismoney: Aug 8 2011, 12:26 PM