Have algozen been wrong?

Contradicting data from diff fund houses. Some gung-ho, some pessimistic. In the end, opinions are like ars3hole, everyone has got one. So, how do we retail investor do it? Go by the numbers.

And my numbers tell me to:

I) Neutral on small cap
II) Underweigh Large cap
III) Overweigh on corp bonds. (Avoid gov / MGS)

Xuzen

p/s The above are specific to Bolehland stocks nia.

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 8 2016, 11:38 AM

waiting on ponzi 2 news

I repeat my allocation:

I) Large develop mkt cap = 54% (Titan)

II) Asia Pac ex-Jp = 36% (Ponzi 2.0)

III) Bolehland small-cap = 10% (ESISC)

No change at until next reading. I am reducing Ponzi 2.0 from previously 40% to allocate more into Titan. A caveat wrt Titan: I am betting on this horse due to our MYR weakness. When MYR reverse, I will review my holding on Titan. The MYR weakness factor overrides the fundamental valuation of the underlying assets.


p/s I just glance through my data and I see that the fundamentals do not change. What you are seeing are typical knee jerk stochastic oversold signal. It is just market noise. Ignore them for the time being.



This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 8 2016, 11:32 AM

Xuzen, hope you don't mind me asking, have the crystal ball been wrong before? Say how many times out of 100 times?

Wrong in what?
pls elaborate the Wrong spec/rules?

example
did the crystal ball spelled out...
these holdings will get x% of profits by...x months? or
these holding will NOT falls even when others will?
These holding will not have volatility?


This post has been edited by T231H: Jan 8 2016, 11:36 AM

My most spectacular failed reading (which I have written here before) is my wrong bet on China specific fund in Qtr2 - Qtr 3 Yr 2015. I was so gung-ho in China that at one time I allocated 80% into china specific fund (Manulife greater china and CIMB greater china). It was not a happy ending. But I recovered and now I use longer term data to smoothen my prediction.

Xuzen

p/s That is why Pinky always boast his IRR >>> Xuzen. He did not kena the China poison mah!



This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 8 2016, 11:45 AM

RHB Big Cap China Enterprise Fund (-10%) and CIMB-Principal Greater China Equity Fund (+1%) these 2 funds still worth to hold? china outlook looks gloomy..

TIP #4: INVEST IN VALUE AND NOT MARKET SENTIMENT

There will always be noises in the markets.
The important thing is to screen out these noises and focus on long-term fundamentals of your investments and the prospects of your investments.
Do not be worried about short-term market fluctuations, stay focused and keep calm. Presently, our Research team favours China, Hong Kong, and South Korea as well as Asia ex-Japan which are accorded 4.5 or 5-star "Very Attractive" rating.
Read How Value Investing Works In Unit Trusts? and Idea Of The Week: How Do You Identify When To "Buy Low, Sell High"? [12 Apr 2013].

http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...-Jan-2016--6682

Xuzen,

Corp bonds like which fund specifically?

I m heavy on ponzi 2 than titan.. advisable do switching?

This post has been edited by prince_mk: Jan 8 2016, 12:58 PM

Btw RHB & CIMB, I would prefer the CIMB one, but I no longer have the stomach for single country specific fund. hence for me, I will keep neither.

Xuzen

Libra Asnita Bond... now before any of you all say, this bond fund return is very low. Always bear in mind a bond fund in a portfolio is to decrease the total portfolio volatility, given its return of around 5% p.a. with a volatility of 1%, it is one of the best bond fund in the FSM universe . Bond fund is not for you to create extra profit, it is to protect profit.

Wrt Ponzi 2.0 and Titan... read back a few posts. Already shared my thoughts liao.

Xuzen

After yesterday rout, portfolio ROI slides down to 5.5% and IRR tanks down below 2% at 1.8%. OMG!

OnePRS Growth?

Maybe start to consider in CMF also higher..

my profit all gone~damn you china devaluation!

Bottom Line.....Defensive Avenues For Volatile Times

It can be heart-wrenching to see the value of your assets decline significantly during bouts of volatility in the equity market.
While such tumultuous times are usually not hoped for, there is no need for investors to despair.
Apart from shifting their money into more defensive assets to insulate against significant losses, keeping calm can also help investors ride out the volatility, rather than making knee-jerk reactions (panicking) that usually do not work out well as intended.
It is also important for investors to diversify their portfolios across a wide array of asset classes, as well as geographies as it is difficult to know with certainty how asset classes or geographical markets will perform in the future..

by Fundsupermart.com .... January 8, 2016

in its disclaimer...there is this...."Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice".

https://secure.fundsupermart.com/main/artic...8-Jan-16--11198

This post has been edited by MUM: Jan 8 2016, 07:35 PM

wahh today all red kaw2..

All fund timing with fsm discount day ka? hahaha

Very de RED. perhaps opportunity to VCA tomorrow

Fundsupermart's Discounted Initial Sales Charge changed to 0.5 % for fund houses participating at FSM Investment Fair

This post has been edited by Ah SiAnG: Jan 9 2016, 12:07 AM