QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 30 2015, 04:07 PM)
It depends how it is being viewed.
eg.
if we take 2008 as reference point, USD/RM was about 3.40 during that time
Now 2015, USD/RM is 4.40 today.
A person used 34K RM to exchange for 10k USD on 2008, as USD was paying virtually zero interest since 2008, now A person still has 10k USD, which is equivalent to RM44K today
So, A person gain RM10K by holding USD since 2008, now A has RM44k worth.
B put 34K in RM FD on 2008, which carry interest range from 3~4% in this period of time, if we takes average of 3.5%, 7 years x 3.5% compounding is about 27%.
34K x 27% = RM43.2K.
B person has RM43.2K vs A RM44K.
But on paper, A looks like the person "win" big, but in real fact, A only slight better off than B,
while if USD vs RM dropped below 4.30, A actually lose out to B.
Do pay consideration on this issue as well in term of comparison. That's the reason why I emphasis a lot of importance on the yield of every investment.

Cherroy,... I'm afraid you have put in very, very tight timings into your example here to corner me. I am of the opinion that what I intend to do by manipulating around the currencies is quite macro in nature and am not really trying to catch the tight timings that you have put in-place above.
Your example above starts in 2008 and terminates at mid-September, 2015, measuring the parameters exactly during that period to determine success. This is quite an extreme case of market timing in-play, which, again, is not I am not trying to do here.
Furthermore, the view that I take is far into the future. I do not intend to take a measurement by the end of this year, nor by the end-of-the-next, etc.
I do not base my investment success on the RM anymore, for I am running away from the RM.