QUOTE(jolokia @ Dec 21 2013, 09:54 PM)
The conflict in our sources comes from new and existing home sales focus.
Mine sources should be new+existing, while yours is existing. Existing stock is tightening, which should be interpreted as good news as the demand removes the supply from the market.
Quoting your source again below:
Existing home sales fell for the third straight month and posted their first annual decline in more than two years.
Julie Schmit, USA TODAY 6:57 p.m. EST December 19, 2013
Existing home sales lost steam in November as buyers faced higher interest rates and
a tight supply of homes for sale, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday.
Sales dropped for the third straight month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.9 million, down 4.3% from October and down 1.2% from a year earlier — marking the first year-over-year drop in 29 months.
Home sales are being hurt by higher mortgage interest rates, limited inventory and tight credit, says Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/busine...vember/4115407/Providing another source that housing market in US has been heating up:
LATEST US DATA
Housing starts jump to near 6-year high in Nov
Stronger market could allow Fed to start cutting back on bond purchases
PUBLISHED DECEMBER 19, 2013
[WASHINGTON] US housing starts surged to their highest level in nearly six years in November - a sign of strength in the housing market that could give the Federal Reserve ammunition to start cutting back its bond purchases.
The Commerce Department said yesterday that housing starts jumped 22.7 per cent, the biggest increase since January 1990, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million units.
That was the highest level since February 2008 and only the second time since the collapse of the housing market in 2006 that starts rose above a one million-unit pace.
The department also said groundbreaking increased 1.8 per cent in October and slipped 1.1 per cent in September. The release of housing starts data for September and October was delayed because of a 16-day shutdown of the federal government in October.
The report was released as Fed officials met for a second day. The housing market had slowed in recent months - a development policymakers acknowledged at the October meeting.
Some economists expected the Fed to announce a reduction in its US$85 billion monthly bond-buying programme later yesterday, although more believed that it would wait until January or March.
A run-up in mortgage rates, in anticipation of the US central bank tapering its monthly bond purchases, took some edge off the sector's recovery earlier in the year, but not enough to halt the process as a steady increase in household formation from multi-decade lows props up demand.
Last month, groundbreaking for single-family homes, the largest segment of the market, soared 20.8 per cent to a 727,000-unit pace, the highest level since March 2008.
Starts for volatile multi-family homes jumped 26.8 per cent to a 364,000-unit rate.
Multi-family home starts have risen strongly through the course of the housing recovery, buoyed by demand for rental apartments as still-high unemployment and stringent lending practices by banks price potential homeowners out of the market.
While permits to build homes fell 3.1 per cent in November to a 1.01 million-unit pace, they were above economists' expectations for a 990,000-unit pace. - Reuters
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/premium/to...gh-nov-20131219This post has been edited by BTimes: Dec 21 2013, 10:38 PM