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 Gold investment corner v4, Will gold price achieve USD2000 by 2012?

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fahrur_07
post Dec 23 2011, 06:46 PM

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hopefully will go up next year above RM180
ooorait
post Dec 23 2011, 07:17 PM

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hope it will continue dip until i get my extra saving to make the investment...
da drummer
post Dec 23 2011, 11:52 PM

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wow...too many to read...
need help here...
1. it is the same if i buy paper gold n not physical gold?
2. im afraid to keep the physical gold coz i travel quite alot...so paper gold is the same value right?
3. which is more profitable gold or asb coz i want to make a little bit money for my wedding purpose...like 1 n half year from now..so which one all of u will suggest?
thnx n sorry for my bad english smile.gif
cruzzie73
post Dec 24 2011, 03:30 AM

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QUOTE(da drummer @ Dec 23 2011, 11:52 PM)
wow...too many to read...
need help here...
1. it is the same if i buy  paper gold n not physical gold?
2. im afraid to keep the physical gold coz i travel quite alot...so paper gold is the same value right?
3. which is more profitable gold or asb coz i want to make a little bit money for my wedding purpose...like 1 n half year from now..so which one all of u will suggest?
thnx n sorry for my bad english smile.gif
*
1. They are not the same. Physical gold is gold. Paper gold is something created by human and it can exist in various forms, from gold certificates to derivatives, to pseudo-investment accounts, to ponzi schemes. Many of which are at risk of default except those that are fully backed by actual gold. Even those papers that give you the right to claim gold, when there is no gold backing in full, you only get the right, but you may never get the gold. While the risks to physical gold is theft and purity of gold.

2. Yes you should be thinking about how to reduce the risks if you are thinking about keeping physical gold. But there are safe ways to keep physical gold, which is under your control. Unlike paper gold, you do not really have control over the risks of default. Yes, both physical and paper have same value in paper money terms. But they have different real values.... physical has gold value, paper has paper value (unless it is fully backed by physical gold, eg. allocated gold accounts)

3. Better to check gold chart to see previous years' price movement, and compare that returns to what ASB is giving. For me, i'd go for gold.

Btw, your english is fine.

This post has been edited by cruzzie73: Dec 24 2011, 03:31 AM
GoldChan
post Dec 24 2011, 05:12 AM

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whatever is it. Thank U lah for sharing my effort and idea.
For those we have convinced the next phase will be "Prisoner Dilemma"


QUOTE(cruzzie73 @ Dec 23 2011, 12:02 AM)
GoldChan, honesty speaking, i'm not sure if i'm interested in convincing cherroy to convert his paper gold into physical gold. I get no benefit out of doing that, and it's kinda tiring. You and I are here to try to create awareness about the need for converting fiat (or any paper assets including paper gold) into physical gold/silver, but it is up to the readers to try to understand, digest, and make an informed decision on how they want to protect their future. If the reader is not willing to even TRY to understand the message, we cannot do anything. What we write in a forum is our opinion generated from our own knowledge, experience, logic, and hopefully unbiased and honest thought, which anyone else has all the right to agree, ignore, or counter our opinion. The thing is, if what you and I think is coming really comes one day, those readers who are well prepared will have much higher chance to survive, those who are not will find themselves in desperate situation. And if what we think about does not come true, then we end up being wrong, causing us holding a bunch of heavy physical gold, well hidden in shoe boxes (no offense intended kakiayam, i'm smart enough to understand the shoe box), and worth millions of Dollars.

Personally I do not care if someone can prove my point wrong about keeping physical gold. In fact, I hope I am wrong. And I hope you and I are wrong about the coming events. But looking at how things go, it looks like the economic and social calamity is inevitable. And it looks like we may not have to wait for 40 years for that to happen, it may come next decade, or even next year. And it looks like keeping physical gold/silver is the best protection.


Added on December 23, 2011, 12:23 am

1. I buy to keep the value of my asset. I also trade to make some quick money. About buying to invest/price appreciation, try to look at it from another angle. 30 years ago, 100oz of gold could buy a house. Today, that same 100oz of gold can also approximately buy a house. Although we see gold price appreciate, it actually just kept its value against other physical items. Price increase is just an idea, it is actually the decrease in the value of paper money, which is what the bankers called "inflation".

2. Gold does not earn you interest. If someone asks you to put money in a certain gold investment product and get paid with interest, think harder. Or come back to the forum to ask if anybody can help you explain how that gold investment product works, and whether it is better than your own gold plan.
*
cherroy
post Dec 24 2011, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(cruzzie73 @ Dec 24 2011, 03:30 AM)
1. They are not the same. Physical gold is gold. Paper gold is something created by human and it can exist in various forms, from gold certificates to derivatives, to pseudo-investment accounts, to ponzi schemes. Many of which are at risk of default except those that are fully backed by actual gold. Even those papers that give you the right to claim gold, when there is no gold backing in full, you only get the right, but you may never get the gold. While the risks to physical gold is theft and purity of gold.

2. Yes you should be thinking about how to reduce the risks if you are thinking about keeping physical gold. But there are safe ways to keep physical gold, which is under your control. Unlike paper gold, you do not really have control over the risks of default. Yes, both physical and paper have same value in paper money terms. But they have different real values.... physical has gold value, paper has paper value (unless it is fully backed by physical gold, eg. allocated gold accounts)

3. Better to check gold chart to see previous years' price movement, and compare that returns to what ASB is giving. For me, i'd go for gold.

*
1) & 2) Yes, that's the kind of statement is that I want to highlight. smile.gif
Both side of risk involved for paper and physical.

Paper gold and physical gold has same value if nothing goes wrong aka default.
Paper gold + trust (no default) is equivalent to physical gold.
I use the word equivalent (not same), as it is in money term.

They do not have different value in money term.
When Comex gold futures is USD1600, it means physical gold trade will be follow USD1600 pricing.

Either Paper gold totally lost the value (default), or same value with physical (no default),
the difference is between either same or zero.

I don't know why you all want to convince me to turn paper gold into physical, I fully aware the risk of default. smile.gif
I may convert or invest in physical, which depended on situation and financial condition out there, who knows?
I thanks you all to share the physical advantage story as well.

My view, despite debt problem around, the chance of default of paper gold is slimmer than plane crash. The highly solution is to let inflation solve the debt problem on its own, inflation means all asset class price inflated, including gold, and paper gold.
Inflation doesn't mean bank must be defaulted, instead inflation can solve the debt problem, and banks can earn even more money in the process.

Do I worry of bank default? Can bank default?
Yes.
But I don't scare of plane crash until don't want to ride a plane.

You don't know the experience others went through, especially last 20-30 years time, whereby gold has fail misery to hedge against inflation even until now, as well as experience of theft, natural disaster and other issue, that has driven some people into paper gold instead of physical. smile.gif
Yes, physical storage risk can be controlled up to certain extend, but I do not agree can be totally controlled as well, same like bank default that out of our control.

I hope this end the debate paper vs physical.
I never said paper gold is best, nor physical is totally risky, I just offer some view on it. smile.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Dec 24 2011, 11:37 AM
desmond_fantasy
post Dec 24 2011, 02:35 PM

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Really hope gold price will drop further and i can buy in more...hahaha biggrin.gif
cruzzie73
post Dec 25 2011, 12:59 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 24 2011, 11:36 AM)
1) & 2) Yes, that's the kind of statement is that I want to highlight.  smile.gif
Both side of risk involved for paper and physical.

Paper gold and physical gold has same value if nothing goes wrong aka default.
Paper gold + trust (no default) is equivalent to physical gold.
I use the word equivalent (not same), as it is in money term.

They do not have different value in money term.
When Comex gold futures is USD1600, it means physical gold trade will be follow USD1600 pricing.

Either Paper gold totally lost the value (default), or same value with physical (no default), - (this clearly shows which is more superior, even in cherroy's subconcious mind.)
the difference is between either same or zero.

I don't know why you all want to convince me to turn paper gold into physical (as said in my earlier post, not interested to convince), I fully aware the risk of default.  smile.gif
I may convert or invest in physical, which depended on situation and financial condition out there, who knows?
I thanks you all to share the physical advantage story as well.

My view, despite debt problem around, the chance of default of paper gold is slimmer than plane crash. The highly solution is to let inflation solve the debt problem on its own (whoa....how i wish inflation can solve debt problem, help people erase off their credit card debts, and property mortgage would be cleared too.... hooray!), inflation means all asset class price inflated, including gold, and paper gold.
Inflation doesn't mean bank must be defaulted, instead inflation can solve the debt problem, and banks can earn even more money in the process.

Do I worry of bank default? Can bank default? (not sure if you really understand what gold default is, and what are the main causes)
Yes.
But I don't scare of plane crash until don't want to ride a plane.

You don't know the experience others went through, especially last 20-30 years time, whereby gold has fail misery to hedge against inflation even until now (err.... if gold failed to hedge against inflation, do you mean gold price increased slower than most other items?), as well as experience of theft, natural disaster and other issue, that has driven some people into paper gold instead of physical.  smile.gif
Yes, physical storage risk can be controlled up to certain extend, but I do not agree can be totally controlled as well, same like bank default that out of our control.

I hope this end the debate paper vs physical.
I never said paper gold is best, nor physical is totally risky, I just offer some view on it.   smile.gif
*
To other readers, please go read up more articles on gold by the experts.

This post has been edited by cruzzie73: Jan 5 2012, 02:42 PM
FrancescoTop8
post Dec 25 2011, 09:25 AM

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QUOTE(sovietmah @ Dec 23 2011, 04:19 PM)
True,
Best is to divide the investment, put all eggs in diff basket.
*
Best for ones not meant best for others.
It`s all down to ones preferences.
lamode
post Dec 26 2011, 10:47 PM

anything could happen!
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loading up at 1600... now or never guys!!! hands.gif rolleyes.gif rolleyes.gif
ooorait
post Dec 27 2011, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(lamode @ Dec 26 2011, 10:47 PM)
loading up at 1600... now or never guys!!!  hands.gif  rolleyes.gif  rolleyes.gif
*
its dropping to 1595 now.. going to maybank after lunch hour.. thumbup.gif
livelifefull
post Dec 27 2011, 11:17 AM

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Still dropping. I awaiting for the right time but probably not that soon!!
kelvyn
post Dec 27 2011, 11:39 AM

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Don't know if it will go below 1500 or not?
lamode
post Dec 27 2011, 11:49 AM

anything could happen!
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QUOTE(ooorait @ Dec 27 2011, 10:40 AM)
its dropping to 1595 now.. going to maybank after lunch hour.. thumbup.gif
*
go go go rclxms.gif

QUOTE(kelvyn @ Dec 27 2011, 11:39 AM)
Don't know if it will go below 1500 or not?
*
highly doubt it, should load up now if u plan to buy brows.gif
pick11
post Dec 27 2011, 02:13 PM

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maybank now got online application for the gold account right?
kelvyn
post Dec 27 2011, 02:30 PM

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QUOTE(pick11 @ Dec 27 2011, 03:13 PM)
maybank now got online application for the gold account right?
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From what I know, for banks, only PBB has online transactions. Others, are over the counter.
SeeD
post Dec 27 2011, 03:55 PM

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Hello guys, are there any website that has information on Malaysian's Gold and Silver? Like types of bullions etc etc.

If there is a book, please PM me about it. Very interested to learn about the Malaysian PM types smile.gif
ilyas_jamal
post Dec 27 2011, 04:45 PM

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Just came back frm bank.. Beli paper gold...
desmond_fantasy
post Dec 27 2011, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(pick11 @ Dec 27 2011, 02:13 PM)
maybank now got online application for the gold account right?
*
Maybank dont have online gold account yawn.gif
kevyeoh
post Dec 27 2011, 06:20 PM

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i kinda agree with what you say...

so in the end...it's really up to the individual to make his/her decision after many inputs from forumers here...it's for us to exchange information and then it is up to the individual to decide on his/her own...afterall, it is his/her own money...

i hope everyone can continue to 'debate' or give his/her own points...not necessarily you have to make others agree with you...as long as everyone has his/her opinion and then the individual will be able to make his/her own informed decision....

cheers !!
cool2.gif cool2.gif

QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 24 2011, 11:36 AM)
1) & 2) Yes, that's the kind of statement is that I want to highlight.  smile.gif
Both side of risk involved for paper and physical.

Paper gold and physical gold has same value if nothing goes wrong aka default.
Paper gold + trust (no default) is equivalent to physical gold.
I use the word equivalent (not same), as it is in money term.

They do not have different value in money term.
When Comex gold futures is USD1600, it means physical gold trade will be follow USD1600 pricing.

Either Paper gold totally lost the value (default), or same value with physical (no default),
the difference is between either same or zero.

I don't know why you all want to convince me to turn paper gold into physical, I fully aware the risk of default.  smile.gif
I may convert or invest in physical, which depended on situation and financial condition out there, who knows?
I thanks you all to share the physical advantage story as well.

My view, despite debt problem around, the chance of default of paper gold is slimmer than plane crash. The highly solution is to let inflation solve the debt problem on its own, inflation means all asset class price inflated, including gold, and paper gold.
Inflation doesn't mean bank must be defaulted, instead inflation can solve the debt problem, and banks can earn even more money in the process.

Do I worry of bank default? Can bank default?
Yes.
But I don't scare of plane crash until don't want to ride a plane.

You don't know the experience others went through, especially last 20-30 years time, whereby gold has fail misery to hedge against inflation even until now, as well as experience of theft, natural disaster and other issue, that has driven some people into paper gold instead of physical.  smile.gif
Yes, physical storage risk can be controlled up to certain extend, but I do not agree can be totally controlled as well, same like bank default that out of our control.

I hope this end the debate paper vs physical.
I never said paper gold is best, nor physical is totally risky, I just offer some view on it.  smile.gif
*

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