QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2006, 10:55 PM)
Here, a high percentage of traders in futures market use it purely as speculative tool just like betting big and small rather than properly studying the market and valuation. If you trade in CI future, you must at least know what is its 100 component stock and which stock affecting the movement of CI most,for example a 10cents increase in Maybank will result in 0.8 point movement and if Maybank and other big guns(TNB, TM) share are doing poorly then surely CI won't have much chance to go up.
Speculative is kind of good for the market also which will spur up the trading activity, but blindly trade in futures just for sake like betting big or small is something not healthy for the development of futures derivative market.
In a well developed market like US, the primary function of the futures market is for investors to do hedging and protect their fund/holding while speculation is kind of secondary for you to make extra profit if marketing condition falls in line with your strategy.
whoa..fundamentals
sorry,but i'm a technician,and all the people i knew that trade the CI futures are technicians too.I believe in the charts,and i do not waste my time researching counters that will affect the price.The people you mentioned above that bet on small or big,or should i say gamblers?
so far,i havent met a futures trader that does what you mentioned there.But i met tons of equity traders that are like that lol.First thing is that the futures market is very volatile,that kind of trading will wiped out your account in no time.Second,i believe all futures trader are at least equipped with a certain knowledge,that sets them apart from the equity gamblers,which consist the uncle that is selling fish in the local market,or the taxi driver.But how well their knowledge will serve them in the futures market,that i do not know.
The problem with our CI futures nowadays is there are too many speculators,but too little hedgers.The speculators lead the tide of battle,not the hedgers.Take a look at recent CI futures chart,it is not something you want to see.While the palm oil futures is the opposite,there amount of speculators and hedgers are well balanced.