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 Investment (Local and International), Everything About Investment

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whtrader
post Oct 14 2005, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(Geminist @ Oct 13 2005, 12:07 AM)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Chip

Thanks smile.gif
*

Another 2 questions, what's future and options trading?
Hi,


Future and options are derivative from an underlying.
For more info about its components visit this good site Investopedia
whtrader
post Oct 26 2005, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(Truth Practitioner @ Oct 25 2005, 09:59 PM)
Haha! Personally I feel there's no politics involved directly in the share market. Note the word "directly".

Can politics influence the economy? Certainly yes! Politics directly determine the economic policies of a country which will influence the economy. Since the economy affects the share market, you can say that politics indirectly influence the share market (note the word "indirectly").

It's something like this...

Politics--->Economic policies---->Economy---->Share market
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Also there are insider trading. Most of the stocks are priced even before the news break.
whtrader
post Oct 26 2005, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(Truth Practitioner @ Oct 26 2005, 01:28 PM)
lklatmy,
Thank you for contributing here. I hope you will be posting more often so that we can continuously learn from you, the experienced one.

Since you have years of experience, do you know what is the long term trend for KLSE from historical data? Is it on an uptrend?
*


Hi,
A quote.
QUOTE
Past performance are not an indication of future performance.
whtrader
post Oct 30 2005, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(lavender @ Oct 30 2005, 05:33 PM)
er.. my question is a bit out of the flow..

anyone know anything about investing in gold in malaysia??

i was told by a fund manager that there's a cyclical trend - equities & bonds will be trading well, then commodity will trade well.

anyway, he believes that the cycle now is for commodities and i've heard that gold is a good thing to invest it ( if got war, gold is still valuable).

oh, i also heard from a jeweller that diamond is a good investment as well.

biggrin.gif Diamond is a girl's best friend.

wat do u all think abt gold & diamond investment??
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Isn't the price of an ounce/gold at an all time high? Wonder if nows the time to be buying? whistling.gif
Just my 2cent.
whtrader
post Oct 31 2005, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Oct 31 2005, 09:46 AM)
Trading short term in the market is normally accomplished  with the aid of charting,aka technical analysis.There r many different charting  techniqs but the final aim is to try to determine the best opportunity to enter and exit the mkt based on past history of price and volume.

I consider my self a long term trader and seldom trade shortterm .

Trading in any market is an art,not a science,so,a techniq that worked now may not work in future.

In short term trading,you may get it right 9 times,but when u get it wrong 1 time,the losses may well exceed you cumulative gains.Of course,if u r part of the syndicate ,then the reverse will be true.

Again,the various breakouts and indications can actually be "manufactured" in a illiquid mkt.This is especially true if there is no proper enforcement.

So,I leave it to u to ponder whether u want to trade short or long term smile.gif
*
In short term trading which I presume you mean day trading, scalping trading or swing trading.

QUOTE
In short term trading,you may get it right 9 times,but when u get it wrong 1 time,the losses may well exceed you cumulative gains.Of course,if u r part of the syndicate ,then the reverse will be true.


Depends largely on which instrument and strategy you are using.

whtrader
post Oct 31 2005, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(khoong25 @ Oct 31 2005, 11:29 AM)
If you were interested in gold, you could try opening a brokerage account in the US/Aus/Canada ...  there are alot of quality canadian /aus gold mining/exploration company worth buying into..

or you could try gcitrading.com which you can speculate on gold with leveraging ...
in times of inflation, gold/diamonds are good hedge against your paper currency losing its value.

Malaysia is slowly suffering from the ringgit peg as inflation is starting to bite.  If the gov doesn't change anything, the ringgit will just slowly lose its value...

If you wanted to talk about long-term stock market trend, alot of stock markets are uptrend in the long term ...  you just gotta have patience and ride out the bad times as well..if you are thinking of investing, you should consider learning how to read a company's annual report/etc.

derivatives = futures/options/swaps/forwards/warrants .. etc ... google it ..

I'm an advocate of short-term trading ... so I do believe in it.  It is all about risk management, position sizing, and discipline ...

Im not familiar with the Malaysian sharemarket, so I can't comment on it, except I do believe there's not enough disclosure, too much insider trading, and the 30% bumi equity rule on the companies will just hurt the KLSE in the long term.
JUST MY OPINION.
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QUOTE
Malaysia is slowly suffering from the ringgit peg as inflation is starting to bite.  If the gov doesn't change anything, the ringgit will just slowly lose its value...


laugh.gif I am not sure what you mean. Did you mean the pegging of Malaysian is counter productive? Please explain.

QUOTE
Im not familiar with the Malaysian sharemarket, so I can't comment on it, except I do believe there's not enough disclosure, too much insider trading, and the 30% bumi equity rule on the companies will just hurt the KLSE in the long term.
JUST MY OPINION.


I second that.
whtrader
post Nov 1 2005, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(khoong25 @ Nov 1 2005, 07:00 AM)
Appears to be many questions .. I shall try my best ..

1. Ringgit peg
At the start, it was probably good because it provided stability ... but now?.. I'm not so sure anymore ...
A managed float, is in effect a 'dirty float' and in reality really is no difference than a peg... I could go on and on about this, but this comes down to Malaysia not developing its economy and reforming its policies and keeping the ringgit artificially low and remaining a predominantly low-skilled manufacturing economy.  when it should be moving up the services chain...
Uncontrollable inflation is the direct result of the peg...
Inflation is already rearing its head, have you noticed things have been getting more and more expensive?

2.Investing ...
Investing in anything is good, doesn't matter how much $$ you have as long as you've done your research, and have a LONG term time frame for your investment to materialise ... some ideas such as bio-tech/healthcare, islamic banking, gold/silver, uranium, etc ...  I can see Islamic banking booming hugely in Malaysia, as Malaysia's ties with the Middle East grow...
As for overseas investing, that's something you have to work out and find out, unfortunately I can't help you on that dept because I'm not based in Malaysia.

2. RE: About trends in a market ...
http://www.seykota.com/tribe/TSP/Trends/index.htm
may be hard to read, but summary is, a trend can be what you want to see at a time frame that you pick ... So is the KLSE in a long-term time frame? That's for your interpretation....

3. Short-term / Long-term trading / technical analysis
There is such a thing as long-term trading, but its more like 'investing'.. Too many definitions here ..  You can be 'trading' for the long term when you intend to get a position in something for a longer time frame say 5 years .. you can then use technical analysis to enter into positions at 'price dips', think the lowpoint of a sine-wave that's moving upwards...

When you talk about trading, it becomes much more specific .. you can enter a trade for a few hours to few days to a few months ...  Trading can very much become a job in itself.. if you're not willing to commit, then you should stick to 'investing' for the long-term.. 

Yes you can make money with technical analysis, I hang out with a lot who do, as for me I'm barely breaking even, but I'm giving it time and intend to make it work..  If you think its a skim-cepat-kaya, its not ...  but as with everything in life, if you give it time,effort,energy it will be rewarding.

If anyone would like to discuss anything I've just said in private, you're welcomed to PM me ..

Bottom line for all the negativity and 'No' and 'Can't and 'not for me' ... Here's a line for you to ponder ..

YOU ARE WHO YOU THINK YOU ARE, AND WHO YOU THINK YOU ARE NOT
Ken
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1. Did Malaysia copy China? biggrin.gif

QUOTE
As for overseas investing, that's something you have to work out and find out, unfortunately I can't help you on that dept because I'm not based in Malaysia.


2. Trading or investing overseas does have an edge because the goverment don't tax when you move money back. If you profit that is. biggrin.gif
Where are you currently based?

2. Isn't that Trend following? And Trend following judge the speed of the trend. I am not familiar with Trend Following. What I know is what I read here Turtle Trader. Are you part of his group?

QUOTE
When you talk about trading, it becomes much more specific .. you can enter a trade for a few hours to few days to a few months ...  Trading can very much become a job in itself.. if you're not willing to commit, then you should stick to 'investing' for the long-term..


3. Like my previous post
short term = day trading, swing trading, scalping
Very true the learning curve to be a trader or an investor is high. Many hour is need for the education and trading stage.

My questions.
What are your trading style day, swing or scalper. What instrument do you specializes in?

whtrader
post Nov 2 2005, 11:40 AM

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QUOTE(Truth Practitioner @ Nov 2 2005, 11:15 AM)
I think we still need to time the market even if we are investing for the long term, am I right? This is because you'd rather buy when the market is low and let it grow to its peak. Sell it off at its peak and wait for another "low". Errr... now this sounds a little bit like short term trading...

So do you actually time the market if you invest in long term? I feel there is still a need to time the market...

And do you believe in "dollar cost averaging"?
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QUOTE
I think we still need to time the market even if we are investing for the long term, am I right?

Yes you are right. Timing one of the key factor in a successful trade.

QUOTE
This is because you'd rather buy when the market is low and let it grow to its peak. Sell it off at its peak and wait for another "low". Errr... now this sounds a little bit like short term trading...


It depends on the instrument you are currently using. If stocks you can short if you think the price will decrease. But you have to wait for an uptick to cover.
If Options you can buy puts.

QUOTE
And do you believe in "dollar cost averaging"?


Actually I have a negative conception of dollar cost averaging. My logic,why add onto a losing trade just close the trade. You can always buy later at lower. This are my views as a short term trader. But if you have the conviction that the underlying will move your way ,only that your timing was off then why not.

This post has been edited by whtrader: Nov 2 2005, 11:43 AM
whtrader
post Nov 2 2005, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Nov 1 2005, 10:28 PM)
Wow!this topic is getting very interesting and I can see many sifu such as whtrader and khoong25 giving their learned views ,I believe some r based out of Malaysia and is trading actively in the futures market.
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Like everyone I am still learning, but I do take trading seriously. biggrin.gif
whtrader
post Nov 2 2005, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Nov 2 2005, 02:17 PM)
In Malaysia,u can't short a stock without first having bought the stock earlier,ie,no short selling.That's why IMHO,Malaysia still lack the depth for sophisticated traders.
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You are right my apologies laugh.gif . Another road block trading locally rolleyes.gif
whtrader
post Dec 29 2005, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Dec 29 2005, 12:25 AM)
omg the your totally wrong they calculate dividend base on the par value for stock market if not then why dun u get maxis? their dividend is 300+% if i remember correctly la .... like that means we get almost 30 ringgit per share  liao!
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About dividend yield.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dividendyield.asp

Since one must own a stock to get dividend, is it possible to sell option? Like covered call in Malaysia?

Are there any website that compiles data on dividend issues of Malaysian stocks?
smile.gif Sign up for an account.
http://biz.thestar.com.my/marketwatch/bonus/


(Disclaimer:this is not a recommedation on the above securities and I am not responsible if any loss is suffered by any person due to this article/posting) thumbup.gif
Does this makes us look sophisticated?. I think so. whistling.gif

This post has been edited by whtrader: Dec 29 2005, 01:11 AM
whtrader
post Dec 29 2005, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(abubin @ Dec 29 2005, 12:17 PM)
Sorry for jumping into this "interesting" discussion late. Anyway, I only read from page 16 onwards...so what I am going to say might already being said.

First, about Technical Analysis. If one were to go into investing that require usage of TA, I must stress that TA is a very powerful tool if you know how to use it properly. Combined with Fundamental analysis, it can become a complete skillset for share investment. Theorically, one can actually invest by only using TA. It is quite possible to make money this way. Because most TA methods took years to evolve and those trends usually do not deviate. Deviation would happen only in certain cases like certain announcement or natural disaster and so on. For cases like natural disaster, nobody can predict. Not even if you took all method of analysis into consideration. These are risks that everybody have to take in investment business. So, don't tell me crap that TA doesn't work. It does work if you know how to wield it properly.

Second, don't waste your time with Malaysian stock market if you plan to pursue full time share trading. TA doesn't work that well in Malaysian market because of the way stocks are traded here. Most of the TA methods derived from US/UK market which already see a very established market with very strong backbone. Malaysia market have so low trading value compared to US. Anyone with enough money can easily manipulate Malaysian share market because of it's low trading value. Also, we have lots of uneducated aunties and uncles who play shares purely based on speculations. Most of the time, professional market players can easily relaase some speculations and you see those aunties/uncles start panicking. If you do want to play local stock market, play long term. Short term margin based method is just not worth the risks.

Third, you have money and really interested in share investment? They best one I see so far is "Options". This is something like futures but it's based on real stocks. You can read more about it at

http://www.optionetics.com/
http://www.cboe.com/
http://www.optionsxpress.com

If you are interested there is a local person teaching options trading method. His site is

http://www.celestialoptions.com

I do know this person and I can tell you he is very technically incline with ways of trading options. There are a few other options trading lecturer in the market but most of them are not as technical as this guy. One speaker from Singapore only teach of you one easy weasy method and aims for making quick bucks for himself. Anyway you can survey around by going to their introductory seminar which is free.

BTW, not many countries have options trading. Even if some have, the volume is not high enough. Only in the US that the volume is volatile enough for trading. Depending on the method you are applying into your options trading strategy, you can make lots of money (more risk) or less money (less risk). If you ask me, I think this is a better investing method than Malaysian share trading. Options and Futures both rely a lot on TA and less on speculative news. Therefore, you don't need to waste time listening to news and stuff. But that doesn't mean you don't need to. Sometimes, some important announcements do play important role on the share.

Once you are into these things, you will know how to position yourself in the share market world.

Goodluck on your investment.
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Hi,

thumbup.gif For introducing options here. A must have arsenal for serious traders thumbup.gif
IMHO.
First.
I have mixed feeling about TA, I find that TA tend to lag behind price movements. Integrating or using many TA signals produces conflicting signals some buy and some sell. TA can't be used in every market type. These are my observation and from testing(Underlying QQQQ. Currently in range). I use parabolic sars and bollinger band for a 6 month period. I am curious what are you using? Care to share laugh.gif There are many TA backtesting software but I have not explore this yet. But still the best TA I found are support and resistanse.

Second.
I believe this is very true regarding our share market. And besides on the subject of options , Malaysian are European style and the volatility is low.

A great website for beginners, highly recommended for paper trading
http://www.optionsxpress.com

IMHO keep your hard earn cash and head on to http://www.thinkorswim.com/tos/client/index.jsp. There are online session that you can read in pdf files. The cover greeks ,strategies and many stuff. If you read them all sweat.gif then you can jump to intermediate wub.gif .And also they have a very powerful software platform. The only thing I can complain are their commisions but it is worth it.

Ya abubin I know which singapore guy you are implying whistling.gif . Did you attend his seminar?

And in the immortal words of Max Ansbacher(The New Options Market) "No matter how much you know about an option the success of a trade depends on the subsequent movement of the underlying.

Abubin,Maybe we can start an option trading group. cool.gif

Until next time wink.gif

whtrader
post Dec 30 2005, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 29 2005, 03:00 PM)
why do so many people fancy trading options?
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Cheaper but cheap does have it drawbacks.

QUOTE(abubin @ Dec 29 2005, 04:41 PM)
Because you can use lots of strategy depending on how greedy you are. There are all type of strategy for making quick money, risky money, stable money, big money and so on. Once you are experience enough, you can mixed them according to stock signals and by this time, I am sure you can make at least 10% return per month. That's 1,000 for 10,000 you invested, in USD!!

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You project options trading like picking money from trees. sweat.gif

QUOTE(abubin @ Dec 29 2005, 04:47 PM)
Hey, QQQ is one hot index among options traders!!! It is especially stays very true to TA charts.

On the type of charts to use, it really depends on your strategy. Parabolic sars is not commonly spotable and it's rare. The results also not very reliable. You have to look at other analysis to get more accurate picture. Usually parabolic sars comes with some sort of news announcement.

On bolinger band, I find it quite interesting. It can help a lot with predicting turnaround of a share.

Anyway, I have stopped trading options for sometime now. Will continue back later...really no time lah. I am in some sort of hibernation mode.... smile.gif
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TA is more an art than science. Lets leave at that.

QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 29 2005, 07:20 PM)
what about forex?
is options better than that?

see? i got to top 10 today lol
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You mean commision wise? whistling.gif
What do you mean by top ten today? unsure.gif


QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Dec 29 2005, 08:01 PM)
wow your a licensed person  thumbup.gif  btw u working for which securities?
anyone here who is really trading and not just talking ?
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I am paper trading.

QUOTE(lklatmy @ Dec 29 2005, 09:24 PM)
You mean won't or could?
UGPM
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What is UGPM? And what are the perks getting a licensed? What it is for? How to get it?

QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Dec 29 2005, 09:35 PM)
he means could la where got something that won't lose money if got tell me i go do it
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Get a job. sweat.gif thumbup.gif
whtrader
post Jan 3 2006, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Dec 31 2005, 01:57 AM)
paper trading? no cash involved? u can earn 1k a day ma?
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I did once in paper earn more than 1 k from HPQ not in 1 day though.
OX.
HPQ
8/17/2005 O STC .HPQHE-HPQ AUG 25 Call 10 1.35 15 1334.94
8/12/2005 O BTO .HPQHE-HPQ AUG 25 Call 10 0.25 15 -265 $1,069.94
Total Realized Gain/Loss for HPQ $1,069.94

And FYI I have achieve what those Gurus always trumped in their seminar on my own. The only difference is those 500% or more profit don't come often, quite rare in my case sometimes just pure luck thumbup.gif sweat.gif . I am now working on consistency of profitable trade + huge profits. And just to add I have been wiped out in my paper account a few times with a USD 5k starting capital. cry.gif I am thankful I heed some good traders advice not to play with real cash first because like all profession you need to educate your self before you can have the skill and experience to go work. biggrin.gif

IMHO the current market lacks the volatility to generate huge profits in one day.
I do have an account in ThinkOrSwim but don't have the courage to dive in yet. I am testing the dynamics of various strategies. Currently I am testing covered calls and some event driven trades. Are there anyone out there currently trading either paper or real cash?

This post has been edited by whtrader: Jan 4 2006, 08:57 AM
whtrader
post Jan 7 2006, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(KVReninem @ Jan 3 2006, 09:13 PM)
sifu, wut us TOS?
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I am no sifu, what I have learnt and read can be acquired online. Just put in the neccesary effort. flex.gif biggrin.gif

QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jan 6 2006, 08:14 PM)
your trading paper means no cash involve rite? like if i buy 10k PBB stocks today and sell in the same day no cash involve can consider trading paper ma? with real cash i do it b4 also cos couldn sell it in time laugh.gif
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Are you implying liquidity? sweat.gif
Don't really understand your point.
whtrader
post Jan 9 2006, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(harrychoo @ Jan 9 2006, 10:35 AM)
is own business considered as investment?
*
In my term yes. You do have to raise capital either funding your own or from external investors. Capital for registration of company, name , etc.

In a joyous mood to share. thumbup.gif
Trading Resolution For 2006



This post has been edited by whtrader: Jan 9 2006, 02:24 PM
whtrader
post Jan 18 2006, 11:54 AM

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http://info.channelnewsasia.com/bb/viewforum.php?f=12

Someone has been asking me about seminar on options, and I rolleyes.gif somehow stumbled this today while doing my daily lurking. To my suprize they comment on many seminar in Malaysia. Happy reading. thumbup.gif
whtrader
post Feb 13 2006, 11:58 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 13 2006, 11:46 PM)
i invest in futures market alone,a lone wolf.
btw...anyone here can elaborate the difference between loan stocks and warrants? these stuffs are playing jedi mind tricks with me
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Which futures market are you in?

Btw
The main difference between warrants and call options is that warrants are issued and guaranteed by the company, whereas options are exchange instruments and are not issued by the company. Also, the lifetime of a warrant is often measured in years, while the lifetime of a typical option is measured in months.

Guess I can related cause I know about call options.
whtrader
post Feb 14 2006, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 14 2006, 09:32 AM)
CI futures,cpo is a bit volatile for me,the risk of my account getting wiped out in the price fluctuation of the cpo market is high,so i decided to stay away from it temporary.

what about loan stocks?
buying something in the future with the current price.A great place to trade,since our local stock market is equivalent to poo.

http://www.investopedia.com/university/futures/futures1.asp
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CI futures in Malaysia. Does CI refer to the KLCI index?
How many percent do you allocate pertrade/position?
As I know the commision for futures contract is Rm60 correct?

QUOTE(reno_raird @ Feb 14 2006, 05:24 PM)
anyone heard of DrStevenLee?
claim that his Power System can achieve ROI 250% annually, in stock market?
250% is very tempting...
what do you all think?
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If he can do that successfully with track record and all. Hedge funds in the world will fight to take him under their payroll. Imagine 6% of 10billion would be his management fees. sweat.gif

whtrader
post Feb 20 2006, 12:15 AM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 15 2006, 09:32 AM)
CI futures or kloffe in short,yes...CI is the composite index

1%-3%...not much

RM50
stock market very very volatile?
the market moves slightly faster than a garbage truck reversing,and i think the second half of the description fits into the futures section.

and the futures's description fit into the money market..forex?

futures is volatile,but not as volatile as forex
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1% - 3% good money management. As I know 1 contracts is RM2000 up front, so considering you play with one contract your capital is about RM200,000 - RM300,000 thumbup.gif Correct me if I am wrong.
And 1 point movement is RM50 right. So just want to know do you day trade or hold more than a day? biggrin.gif

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