QUOTE(kelvin667 @ Jul 3 2011, 03:28 PM)
Friend,
if you mention in long run, then i have nothing to say as most property will have this in long run. But as i mention this will drain the cashflow dry trying to competing for tenant for the first few year. 2 issue here :
1] too many units at this area same time completing - tenant problems
2] the price for a unit is about $650k for a 750sf unit, so with current 90%($585,000) loan for 30 year shall be around $3000
that mean 3000/750 = $4.00/psf + 0.40 sinking + maintenance fund = $4.40 psf
correct me if i am wrong, most KLCC area condo is renting at RM3.50 psf (iproperty) now and it is not high dense condo
more over, the site is not consider close to KLCC area as it is not walking distance to KLCC - 3km is not walking distance to me.
so , if you face issue getting tenant and rental yield issue, why not get a better investment?
your posting up there is merely buy for the sake of buying and think that all property will go up in times
yes, but appreciation will defer in your selection and your cashflow will defer..my friends
may not be correct but just my 2 cents
As I've said, this is the point where we agree to disagree but hey I guess our discussion does help others who are assessing these places for investment.
As to your calculations, maybe correct in general but specifically it's not. Again this depends on the individual's portfolio of investment.
On issues of tenancy, I guess everywhere has the issue and in your assessment your general perception is the Ampang area is a problem. Likewise areas like Kajang, Damansara, etc have loads of projects up too. So I cannot agree that this is a problem faced in Ampang. As to the extent of impact of new projects, one cannot confirm whether Kajang, Ampang or Damansara have the most impact. I guess no research has been done on that.
Also, it would be silly not to know that the capital appreciation of properties are no longer inline with rental yield. But again, if proper research is done and the results turn out to be ok to your portfolio, why not? As to whether all properties will go up in time, theoretically it will due to inflation and discount factors, while maintaining other externalities and factors. But I agree that appreciation defers depending on location and so is cashflow of individuals.
The best thing for others reading our discussion is to do your homework properly before you make a decision. But personally, the funny thing is the best decisions are often made in a moment of madness lol. There's a research on Zaltman's ZMET suggesting that when one make a decision of a lifetime, the reasons leading to that moment normally are quite irrational. Don't quote me for that but that's what happened during critical moments of our lives which is why many of us do not react well during those moments. 80% of us will play safe and stay where they are while 20% make decisions which they are not sure are right or wrong. I think this reflects property investment.
Nobody can say who is right or wrong. We can only try to make a 'less wrong' decision at the end of the day due to uncertainties and volatility. At the end, I can say my decision was 'less wrong' for myself, but not others.