QUOTE(Lampuajaib @ Oct 9 2021, 09:15 AM)
If you are tallking about power projection then you should look into support capabilities. Logistics is the key of power projection. Front liners need close and immediate support to survive.
Why US needs Guam? Why China builds artificial island is SCS?
How many support ship and plane ID compare to SG?
LST, LPD, Oiler ship?
Gen. McArrhur used "Leap frog" strategy to cut supply chain of Japanese forces in WWII and it was very effective. US don't need to attack every Japanese position.
Human right issue is a tool of pressing in diplomatic or an excuse to invade foreign land. You have human right issue in arabs but no in Israel.
But ID economy is flourish....their public debt compare to gdp is much lower than MY.
But ID army is already modernized and economy is spread across the nation.
Nothing wrong....taking advantage is a smart move.
Do you think othet nations in kawasan not doing it?
It is not the time yet to decide to support who, better prepare if war is happened.
Bebas aktif is just a tool in general, but if we are at war there is no bebas aktif anymore. We join to who protect our interest and sovereignity.
Why Rafael and why F15? Why not only Rafael or F15?
It is ID policy to get rojak platform after they have learned what embargoed can do to them. They know they can not trust US or anyone. ID is too big to rely on someone. ID see themselves as India or Turkey. Self sufficiency is the only comfort solution.
ID have bargain position on economy and military. US and China preffer to make friend with ID.
Buying Rafale and F15 Will make ID strong, why not?
Logistic nighmare? Only if you can not deal with it.
Even if ID operates F-16 and F15 the logistic issue is there.You can not eliminate logistic issue. Just deal with it.
I have no idea why anyone wants to be turkey. They fucked up their economy & currency royally and they are no nearer to their objective with eragon pivot to bebas aktif from previous NATO tools. Yes Im classifying bebas aktif is just another independence foreign policy something that happened under mahathirism as well. India is another country that's really isn't going anyway fast enough.Why US needs Guam? Why China builds artificial island is SCS?
How many support ship and plane ID compare to SG?
LST, LPD, Oiler ship?
Gen. McArrhur used "Leap frog" strategy to cut supply chain of Japanese forces in WWII and it was very effective. US don't need to attack every Japanese position.
Human right issue is a tool of pressing in diplomatic or an excuse to invade foreign land. You have human right issue in arabs but no in Israel.
But ID economy is flourish....their public debt compare to gdp is much lower than MY.
But ID army is already modernized and economy is spread across the nation.
Nothing wrong....taking advantage is a smart move.
Do you think othet nations in kawasan not doing it?
It is not the time yet to decide to support who, better prepare if war is happened.
Bebas aktif is just a tool in general, but if we are at war there is no bebas aktif anymore. We join to who protect our interest and sovereignity.
Why Rafael and why F15? Why not only Rafael or F15?
It is ID policy to get rojak platform after they have learned what embargoed can do to them. They know they can not trust US or anyone. ID is too big to rely on someone. ID see themselves as India or Turkey. Self sufficiency is the only comfort solution.
ID have bargain position on economy and military. US and China preffer to make friend with ID.
Buying Rafale and F15 Will make ID strong, why not?
Logistic nighmare? Only if you can not deal with it.
Even if ID operates F-16 and F15 the logistic issue is there.You can not eliminate logistic issue. Just deal with it.
Technically there's no human right issues in not just Israel but Saudi as well. Anyone who is useful, they would close an eyes to it. Technically if ID is a good tools they would close an eyes on it just like Sinkie & Arab gulf countries with their slave laborer issues. Or how slavery & human trafficking issues in MY are quickly ignored.
ID economy & infrastructure pick up recently particularly under Jokowi but it come from the letting go some element of bebas aktif. Mostly fuel by debt. But abilities to acquired more debt depends on the stability of rupiah which depends on western being friendly and invest more FDI and not raising concerned or whatever which would throw them back to square 1.
Well let not go too nationalistic and avoid the issues. ID army aren't as strong as they would, their defense budget is as big as SG but it seem most are ties to personel count at the expenses of equipment
nor their economic development are dispensared. Ignoring those issues on nationalistic ground won't do ID any good. It is afterall the same issue Jokowi trying to solve which earned him his popularity.
But if you want to continue on as always then don't vote for Probowo next presidential election.If they choose Probowo afterwards & allowed probowo defense is an investment program now. It's pretty much about creating an economic of scale during Jokowi which he himself would double down making it's imposibaru for the next guy to turn cause from western dependency.
Logistical issues is a big problem. Jet are expensive, but missiles are far more expensive. At the end even if one buy European weapon the ability to use it continuously to do things US don't like is limited. EU would take the same US stand as both play out the human right issues. So outside of few instances, there's really no tangible benefits there. That not the efficient way to remove a future threats of embargoes.
Arab do acquired both flagship EU & US jet. but it mostly due to possible US future withdrawal from the middle east and thus they are currying favor with EU for future protection. What can ID achieve from getting both Rafale & F15?
The only thing I see if they acquired both Rafale & F15, then it mean they won't want to accelerate their military strength & economic development to it's maximum potential level continuing with susilo doctine of careful progress to balance internal stability at the cost of economic progress which would giving us a good 30 years of leaptime to adjust. If they acquired either Rafale or F15 then it mean they really wanted to leapfrog and accelerate economic development & military strength.
For me as her neighbor, what they choose is their rights. All we can do is adjust our planning & policy depending on which route they took.
Oct 9 2021, 11:03 AM

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