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> Vivian Balakrishnan remarks that Malaysia-, -Singapore water deal is "morally wrong"

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deodorant
post Mar 3 2019, 08:40 AM

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QUOTE(agent sawyer @ Mar 3 2019, 02:55 AM)
1 of these days I'll go down and find my Hyflux contact, ask him what the hell happened
The official explanation apparently is that hyflux betted big on energy generation in their latest tuaspring plant, but then energy prices tanked so nobody wanted to buy it over and so they just bled money until coffers were dry.
Gon Freaks
post Mar 3 2019, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(tatsuyachiba @ Mar 3 2019, 02:27 AM)
It is ironic that Vivian used "red herring" because his arguments were full of them as well.

Let's look at Singapore's points:
1) The 1962 water agreement is a contract and contracts cannot be broken and are sacrosanct.
BS. Contracts are broken all the time. Even treaties can be broken. What follows are consequences

2) The 1965 contract is a basis of the separation and to break it calls into question the very Separation.
BS. The water agreement is not a foundational principle of the Separation but an accommodation to the Separation.
He is saying if the water agreement is not adhered to, the Separation agreement flounders. We need to distinguish between them.

3) Malaysia did not review rates in 1987 and hence has lost all right for further review.
This is debatable. Does passing on a milestone review negate any right forever to review it in perpetuity? Can be argued that Malaysia delayed a decision without prejudice.
For Singapore to say this with finality is disingenuous.

What Malaysia says:
1) This is an unfair contract. Unfair commercial contracts are brought before judicial review or arbitration all the time
2) Singapore is profiting tremendously at their own citizens' expense. Singapore always downplays this.

The reality:
1) Malaysia can choose to terminate but there are consequences. The biggest consequence is that Johor and Melaka rely on Singapore's water. If Malaysia starts building capacity here, then we can get Singapore's attention and bargain. Right now we have no leverage.
2) Malaysia can dam the water out of spite. There is no win win here so this is an immature response. But it creates leverage and uncertainty for Singapore which may help with negotiations
3) Malaysia can propose terms for extending supply if rates are backdated to today. Little strategic value as in the long run, Malaysia does not ned to $ and would still rely on Singapore to furnish water to Johor.
4) at the end, Malaysia's response has always been to tie the water to a package of agreements in the main: ILS Seletar, Johor port harbour limits, KYM land, CPF of West malaysians etc etc

The unknown:
LKY's Singapore hsa said they would defend and go to war over water. The Singapore armed forces strategy has always been to hold ground in Johor for 72 hours and sue for peace.
This doctrine is questionable today. Singapore has always had the hardware to do so but what has changed is how interconnected its economy is to the rest of the world. Before it was port shipping, whichSingapore could protect with its navy. But today, Singapore runs and trades on sentiment and services. The moment the first bullet is fired, Singapore's knowledge economy will be ruined and may never recover. Investors will flee, its sizeable foreign expertise will run and its primary mechanism of inflation management, the S$ will collapse. Malaysia can hunker down for the long term. A war, even if limited and precise, will hurt Singapore irreparably.
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wow, you brought up some good points. can channel this to the team that handles the agreement?

Faidzal
post Mar 3 2019, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(tatsuyachiba @ Mar 3 2019, 02:27 AM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


The reality:
1) Malaysia can choose to terminate but there are consequences. The biggest consequence is that Johor and Melaka rely on Singapore's water. If Malaysia starts building capacity here, then we can get Singapore's attention and bargain. Right now we have no leverage.
2) Malaysia can dam the water out of spite. There is no win win here so this is an immature response. But it creates leverage and uncertainty for Singapore which may help with negotiations
3) Malaysia can propose terms for extending supply if rates are backdated to today. Little strategic value as in the long run, Malaysia does not ned to $ and would still rely on Singapore to furnish water to Johor.
4) at the end, Malaysia's response has always been to tie the water to a package of agreements in the main: ILS Seletar, Johor port harbour limits, KYM land, CPF of West malaysians etc etc

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
1. only part of johor and parts of melaka rely on water treated by Singapore. as mentioned, the raw water never left Malaysian soil, it has always been processed by Singapore's PUB water treatment plants inside Johor's borders.

technically johor (well, ranhill bhd) has been building capacity over the years as well as getting some of the previously-owned-by-Singapore water treatment plants (those set up by Singapore in the lapsed 1961 agreement that ended in 2011).

2. as Vivian mentioned, johor got a free dam (lingggui dam) out of all this.

3. once the 1962 agreement ends in 2061, all Singapore water plants located in johor will be given FOC to johor (like what happened to 1-2 treatment plants under the 1961 agreement which ranhil-SAJ took over in 2011). and Singapore must find a new source of water if they don't want to buy any more water (raw or treated) from johor.

hence the plan by Singapore to buy water from Indonesia laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif


Faidzal
post Mar 3 2019, 09:58 AM

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QUOTE(Artus @ Mar 3 2019, 02:44 AM)
A lot of the raw water of Johor already diverted to Singapore in the first place so how to produce enough treated water? This agreement, just like the building of the Causeway, was another trick by the British. On the surface, it looked as if both the building of the Causeway and the water agreement would benefit Malaysia but in fact we kena conned left, right and center.
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clearly many ppl are underinformed.
Faidzal
post Mar 3 2019, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(weissPC @ Mar 3 2019, 02:30 AM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Furthermore, as indicated in the video, if Malaysia increase the price of raw water, what is there to prevent Singapore to jack up the price of treated water to Malaysia? Isn't that stupid?

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
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finally someone with a smart answer to all of this.

congrats. there is hope amongst malaysians
Faidzal
post Mar 3 2019, 10:02 AM

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QUOTE(JimbeamofNRT @ Mar 3 2019, 02:58 AM)
see how civilised them in the august house
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that's what happen when you properly use a cadre system to pick your MPs and inevitably future leaders.

but of course it will mean only the elites will rule...
Faidzal
post Mar 3 2019, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(mleemlee232 @ Mar 3 2019, 08:24 AM)
Our papers had never reported the amount of money SG spent in water treatment plants in johor. The 1st water treatment plant had been handed over to Johor in 2011.

Talk to any Johorians esp those in JB n they will tell you that water rationing is not as common as in other parts of MY.

Actually,  really think it is a complete waste of time for us to discuss water. 

What we need is to up our own game which obviously is more difficult than just playing politics.
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this.

though there have been occasional water rationing or shortages.

only south and south east johor benefit from Singapore-treated water plants, all other districts get water from fully Malaysian plants.

let's not forget kluang had a very bad water shortage problem just a few year's back.

but 1 thing that is very commendable is the water quality sold to us by SAJ.

in johor you don't need those water filters as the water is clean (unlike say Selangor where water filter is a must).


Mai189
post Mar 3 2019, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(deodorant @ Mar 3 2019, 08:40 AM)
The official explanation apparently is that hyflux betted big on energy generation in their latest tuaspring plant, but then energy prices tanked so nobody wanted to buy it over and so they just bled money until coffers were dry.
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Hyflux (by itself) is just one plant. It is unlikely the Sg government will let the plant come to waste. This is essentially a private company. The Sg government is watching events very closely. The real issue I have heard is not energy. But membrane technology. The membranes developed by Hyflux the company is more expensive than the ones imported from other countries e.g. germany. It killed them. If the Sg government is to take over, it will use the most cost efficient membrane. But I would think the Sg government wants to see whether Hyflux, a homegrown company, can still survive.

SG do have a number of desalination plants, SingSpring (Hyfluz and Keppel), Sungei Tampines, Tuaspring (Hyflux), Tuas Desalination Plant (TDP3) (PUB -SG government), Keppel Marina East Desalination Plant (KMEDP) (PUB - Sg government), Jurong Island Desalination Plant (JIDP)( PUB-Sg government, and more under development e.g. Changi Desalination Plant (CDP) (PUB- SG government), etc.

Sgreans are tactical and work on the basis of long term strategy and what is cost efficient and failing that, a balance of achieveable best aims. I have a feeling they can in fact be self reliant now if they increase production of new water and clean water from their New Water and desalination plants. But, it will cost them more to use desalination (of course they can afford it). Also, the cost of desalination is going down as tech matures.

Do not be surprised if they say suddenly decide to not buy water anymore i.e. way before 2016. In fact, the number of new desalination and New Water plants coming online suggests that they will no longer indeed need Malaysian water. The Sg government does not want to be distracted by this childish argument about an international agreeement agreed and signed by both countries and one in which Malaysia ( "sleeping" as admitted by Daim) forgot to exercise its right of review. The eventual money involved is inconsequential or small to what they earn.








Artus
post Mar 3 2019, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(AllnGap @ Mar 3 2019, 07:29 AM)
Where u get this info from ?? 1% that's super low
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I hope our government takes action just like what the Australian tax authorities are doing to their tax-avoiding large companies:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-11-20/tax-...-fight/10512732

QUOTE
At issue was the margin on mark-ups for commodities BHP sold to its Singapore operations. The island nation's headline company tax rate is 17 per cent, but in years gone by, companies like BHP have been able to legally reduce it to near-zero, thanks to generous incentives from Singapore's Government.

Marketing hubs established by the mining giants allow commodities dug up in Australia, such as iron ore and coal, to be sold to the companies' own operations in Singapore, before they are subsequently sold with a high mark-up to China and other nations.


Imagine we have a factory here that produced something at RM100 and intending to sell to China at RM150. The factory can avoid paying tax on the RM50 profit by "selling" to their Singapore "marketing arm" for RM100.01 and then its "marketing arm" "sells" to China for RM150, with Singapore only levying perhaps a tiny 0.25% tax on the RM49.99 profit.

This, to me, is morally wrong.


pgsiemkia
post Mar 3 2019, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(aLittleMisfit @ Mar 3 2019, 01:54 AM)
bullshit

talk about moral when they know they are buying really cheap and unfair price, then wants to hide behind the deal

bullying malaysia while trying to be on high moral ground really makes us puke
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Cos their politicians high iq and creditable degrees from real university not like here. Smarter and wiser to manipulate org kampung here
KopiChia
post Mar 3 2019, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(Faidzal @ Mar 3 2019, 01:52 AM)
Vivian is for male.

Vivienne is female form of Vivian.

like how Danielle is female form of Daniel.

and so on...
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Ever heard of Vivian Hsu? Go Google her.
Artus
post Mar 3 2019, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 03:52 PM)
sg is already self sufficient in water through NEWater and desalination. in fact, sg has been supplying johor with water when it had shortages in the past few years. malaysia has been threatening to cut for a long time not.

i think just cut water is good, just cut all. sg can also send all malaysians working in singapore back to malaysia. also embargo malaysia, dont buy anything or invest in malaysia. let all the malls and properties and businesses collapse.

sg can simply buy fruits and food from thailand or indonesia instead, sg doesnt need malaysia for anything, including water these days.

go go go  rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif
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No, Singapore is still not self sufficient in water on their own. If it is, there is no point for them to defend the very unfair agreement.

Singapore cannot afford to send back Malaysians working there because they have a huge baby shortage problem.

Yes, Singapore can always buy food from Thailand or Indonesia but that simply means higher prices because of higher transportation and storage costs. Is that going to help the most expensive city in the world?


amidamaru
post Mar 3 2019, 04:02 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 03:55 PM)
a war may see peninsula malaysia including KL being ceded to singapore forever.

malaysia stands no chance against sg in a war.

not to mention sg is one of the biggest investor in msia, and many msians work in sg to send money home.

msia economy will collapse first, not that it has much of a high-value-services sector to begin with.

many msians will want to be singaporean citizen rather than msian citizens as well.
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Hahahaha. If war happen. I can see sporean will take the money and run 1st.
Artus
post Mar 3 2019, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 03:55 PM)
a war may see peninsula malaysia including KL being ceded to singapore forever.

malaysia stands no chance against sg in a war. 100 state of the art fighter jets will be over msia's skies 5 mins in and johor will be lost in 2 days. usa/australia may help and the seventh fleet with another 200 airplanes and ships will block out the sunlight in peninsula malaysia.

not to mention sg is one of the biggest investor in msia, and many msians work in sg to send money home.

msia economy will collapse first, not that it has much of a high-value-services sector to begin with.

many msians will want to be singaporean citizen rather than msian citizens as well.
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I don't think Malaysia would be stupid enough to go to war without somebody else backing us up. What happens if Russia and China backs Malaysia? Just shoot some rockets at all the power stations in Singapore and the island is totally paralysed.


wanted111who
post Mar 3 2019, 04:06 PM

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See their game? Buying raw water from us, treated it and selling it back to us, now, we are paying them instead of they paying us.

Singapore pays 3 sen (1 Singapore cent) per 1,000 gallons of raw water, and sells treated water back to Johor at 50 sen per 1,000 gallons.

Singapore drawing up to 250 million gallons a day (mgd) of raw water from the Johor River, and Johor entitled to 5mgd of treated water from Singapore.

Per above, SG buying raw water from us @ rm 7500, they are selling treated water to us @ rm 2500.
In the video, the minister admitted that they are selling more than the agreement of 5mgd @ 16 million gallons of treated water back to us. So they paid us rm7500, we pay them rm 8000.00. We actually paying then rm 500 daily.

Walao, we give them 250 m gallons, they give us back 16 m gallons and we need to pay them at the end of the day. Win liao lo.

We don't know how to treat water? We don't have land to build water treatment plant? We don't have money? Don't have technology? I suggest no more exporting raw water to sg, they want buy, buy treated water from us @ rate 40 cent / 1000 gallon (20% below what they selling us) we will build water treatment plant in johor.

This post has been edited by wanted111who: Mar 3 2019, 04:10 PM
aLittleMisfit
post Mar 3 2019, 04:07 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 04:00 PM)
sg has been self sufficient 10 years ago, sg only imports water because it is cheaper. sg can produce water to cover 2x-3x of what it uses.

sg can send all malaysians back home and replace them with 1 billion indians or chinese or thais EASILY, just cancel all their work visas and within a year all gone. many chinese/indians/filipinoes, all want to work in SG. there is no lack of low skilled workers wanting to work in SG

buying food from thailand is not much more expensive than buying from msia, thai rice and msian rice same price anyway.
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this sums up their bullying mindset. please take the fake high moral mindset back. hypocrites
Artus
post Mar 3 2019, 04:12 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 04:00 PM)
sg has been self sufficient 10 years ago, sg only imports water because it is cheaper. sg can produce water to cover 2x-3x of what it uses.

sg can send all malaysians back home and replace them with 1 billion indians or chinese or thais EASILY, just cancel all their work visas and within a year all gone. many chinese/indians/filipinoes, all want to work in SG. there is no lack of low skilled workers wanting to work in SG

buying food from thailand is not much more expensive than buying from msia, thai rice and msian rice same price anyway.
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Self sufficient? Singapore produces its own oil and gas to power the desalination plants? They cannot afford to totally depend on desalination because it is too costly.

Without many Malaysians travelling to work everyday at the island, how is Singapore going to solve the huge housing problem if they import others to replace all the Malaysians? Anyway, how do you replace hundreds of thousands of skilled people overnight?

I didn't know Singaporeans only eat rice alone everyday.


wanted111who
post Mar 3 2019, 04:16 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 04:10 PM)
u use the tap water in johor, it is so fresh and clean, all colourless can drink straight. because sg treats the water for johor.

u go kl and use the tap water, it is yellow with sediments, a bit disgusting.

u see the difference in STANDARDS when singaporeans do things and other ppl do things?

without singaporeans investing and shopping in johor, tomorrow all can go back farming vegetables, all the malls and shops and service sector will close.
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Press when we can, pull when we have to. SG need us more or we need them more? without raw materials what can SG do?

We can milk them, we have to milk them.


Artus
post Mar 3 2019, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(wanted111who @ Mar 3 2019, 04:06 PM)
See their game? Buying raw water from us, treated it and selling it back to us, now, we are paying them instead of they paying us.

Singapore pays 3 sen (1 Singapore cent) per 1,000 gallons of raw water, and sells treated water back to Johor at 50 sen per 1,000 gallons.

Singapore drawing up to 250 million gallons a day (mgd) of raw water from the Johor River, and Johor entitled to 5mgd of treated water from Singapore.

Per above, SG buying raw water from us @ rm 7500, they are selling treated water to us @ rm 2500.
In the video, the minister admitted that they are selling more than the agreement of 5mgd @ 16 million gallons of treated water back to us. So they paid us rm7500, we pay them rm 8000.00. We actually paying then rm 500 daily.

Walao, we give them 250 m gallons, they give us back 16 m gallons and we need to pay them at the end of the day. Win liao lo.

We don't know how to treat water? We don't have land to build water treatment plant? We don't have money? Don't have technology? I suggest no more exporting raw water to sg, they want buy, buy treated water from us @ rate 40 cent / 1000 gallon (20% below what they selling us) we will build water treatment plant in johor.
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It was a clear-cut con job by the British, just like the building of the Causeway. Too bad we didn't realised that back then and got trapped.


wanted111who
post Mar 3 2019, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(wannastudy @ Mar 3 2019, 04:08 PM)
these plants can already produce 2-3x the amount of water singapore uses.

signapore has NO NEED to import water from johor anymore but does so because it is CHEAPER.

it is the same old silly politicians trying to stir crap...but their brains still stuck in 1970s...SG is already in 2020!!
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Then why they die die want to buy from us? Die die don't want to let go the raw water deal? Because the cost is higher, they knew it. We knew it as well.

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