QUOTE(myhouse @ Nov 16 2017, 09:20 AM)
If property crash 30%..bank all banks will be in trouble, country in trouble....think savings safe?
Residential property constituted 25% to 30% of most banks loan portfolio. Banks don't revalue collaterals unless borrower defaulted.
Property price dropped by 30% won't crash the banking system unless many borrowers are subprime but bank will be more cautious in lending to residential e.g 70% margin of finance.
If many borrowers are subprime, many property price drop will be significantly more than 30%.
QUOTE(aspartame @ Nov 16 2017, 09:30 AM)
Transaction volume drop different from price drop.
Volume drop could mean either less supply or less demand. Since over supply is a common knowledge, mean volume dropped is caused by less demand.
In market economy, over supply or less demand will follow by price drop. Likewise during the bull run, price follow demand rise.
This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 16 2017, 11:11 AM