QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 16 2017, 10:59 AM)
Residential property constituted 25% to 30% of most banks loan portfolio. Banks don't revalue collaterals unless borrower defaulted.
Property price dropped by 30% won't crash the banking system unless many borrowers are subprime but bank will be more cautious in lending to residential e.g 70% margin of finance.
If many borrowers are subprime, many property price drop will be significantly more than 30%.
Volume drop could mean either less supply or less demand. Since over supply is a common knowledge, mean volume dropped is caused by less demand.
In market economy,
over supply or less demand will follow by price drop. Likewise during the bull run, price follow demand rise.
Will follow by price drop? Very strong words.
QUOTE(landplus @ Nov 16 2017, 11:25 AM)
Transactions drop is usually correlated to prices drop too ... it means less ppl are willing to buy the asking prices, therefore
eventually result in prices drop. From my observation, most property prices have
dropped slightly from its 2013 high!
Keywords: Eventually............but not yet.
Keywords: dropped slightly.......where is the big drop? I am waiting for it and it just ain't coming...