Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

65 Pages « < 44 45 46 47 48 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 FundSuperMart v18 (FSM) MY : Online UT Platform, UT DIY : Babystep to Investing :D

views
     
SUSyklooi
post Aug 10 2020, 08:18 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(lee82gx @ Aug 10 2020, 08:02 PM)
I track cumulative IRR, as i believe this is the best gauge on my overall investments, it also is a good comparison vs opportunity cost.

My rojak portfolio is currently doing 6.x% per annum since joining FSM, sometime in 2015.

At the peaks in 2017, it was doing even 10% and I thought I was invincible. However I think I made the mistake of focusing too heavily in Malaysian funds (KGF glory days) while not really understanding macroeconomics.

Before that since 2006 I already started investing via Public mutual, blindly following agent advice that DCA sure can make money. This was my biggest mistake as many funds stagnated.

So now, I have 2 major lessons learnt: Know the macroeconomics and don't focus in Malaysia.

My goal is 8% per annum cumulative IRR.
*
i do track my portfolio's IRR initially and till now also.
but now i don't really monitor it,...as the longer the time frame in investment, the IRR value does not impact much with the movement of the mkts.

also since i am DIY from noob status....
i portfolio compositions swinged heavily between funds and sector and classes during the initial few year.
if i had swinged them correctly during those early years, my portfolio's IRR could be very nice.
the problem is i did not swing it correctly to what the markets had performed vmad.gif ranting.gif

thus if i had to take into the early years of learning curves,...my IRR reading is very low.

as i learned more, i realised i should not focused too much about the IRR value (from start till now), as that reading would have taken into consideration of my earlier DIY learning curves screw ups returns too.

now, i try to focus more to the ROI per calender year for the risk appetite that i want and the expected ROI pa i expected to get....not sure if that is correct.
SUSyklooi
post Aug 12 2020, 11:02 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(monkey9926 @ Aug 12 2020, 10:57 AM)
if i have 100k port, ill be ashamed to top up rm100. at least 1k la.
*
nothing to be ashamed of,...for we does not know what he intention is...
for he could be "betting" with some pocket money
for he could just be buying and then telling others that he just bought while you guys are still in fear?
or something else



SUSyklooi
post Aug 13 2020, 10:09 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Aug 13 2020, 10:01 AM)
Did some adjustment to Greater China and Gold allocation today.
*
if i am not mistaken, last few weeks you had taken some profits from those right?
now doing that again?
SUSyklooi
post Aug 13 2020, 11:18 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Aug 13 2020, 11:05 AM)
The last time I took profit off Greater China was in May 28th, no new top up to it since then

As for Gold, i have only been adding position. No profit taking yet this year.

This rebalancing is to adjust for the recent correlation divergence that I could observe between Gold and other equities. Also greater china equity momentum has slowed down a little. My modelling suggests a cut of allocation to all range of equities to reduce risk. We'll have to see if its the right or wrong call.
*
doh.gif my bad... notworthy.gif
i think you did mention something like sold off 1/3 of something...(so now confirmed is not gold or china)
(i remember cos i did said to myself wow 1/3 .......)
SUSyklooi
post Aug 14 2020, 09:00 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(monkey9926 @ Aug 14 2020, 08:52 AM)
if u cant get the all 40% rise, if u still can get 20-30%. still good news.
*
but hor, for most of the times for most of the people,...after 20% rises in NAV, they will say, it is already not worth it for it is already too high and the covid19 thread and economic repercussion from it is still there,.....wait for it to come down first before buying more....
SUSyklooi
post Aug 14 2020, 09:10 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(rojakwhacker @ Aug 14 2020, 09:06 AM)
....
I could not read full content of the article as it open to member only. But based on the header and first few content, it sound like part of china market in production going to be split to other country. So may sound like bad news lead to drop in NAV just like the news of tencent and wechat on last week. Am i correct?
.....
*
try this site?
China’s Days as World’s Factory Are Over, IPhone Maker Says

Read more at: https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/hon...rs-apple-demand

https://www.google.com/search?ei=y-A1X-WZCe...Q4dUDCAw&uact=5

looks like thestar got it from there too.
SUSyklooi
post Aug 14 2020, 09:27 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(rojakwhacker @ Aug 14 2020, 07:21 AM)
This will affected all the unit trust fund related to it and the NAV will drop in this few weeks, correct? Is good time to invest?
*
from the below post, you seems like you "enlightened"??

QUOTE(rojakwhacker @ Aug 14 2020, 09:23 AM)
Does not sound like drop now. tongue.gif
So just not to predict but go for long term. Even crash also will climb back in the long run by keep it claim. thumbup.gif
*
SUSyklooi
post Aug 14 2020, 09:51 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(rojakwhacker @ Aug 14 2020, 09:32 AM)
Good for the company, good for unit trust good for us, but loss for now for china i guess.
Yes it is, level up my confident level. biggrin.gif
*
i guess it is not a 100% lose.
for those companies will also be bringing the money back to HQs in China for financial closing/reporting
for the people in the countries in which those businesses set up manufacturing bases, will make some money and then can afford to buy more goods (China goods)
for those companies saved paying US tariff, more profit for Chinese companies,...more benefits for China
people less work in China?....manufacturing workers seldom pay much.....

SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 11:01 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(qintian @ Aug 17 2020, 10:53 AM)
anyone heard of this product offered by standard chartered malaysia? whereby they can leverage your investment to 1.75x for whichever amount you have invested.

from their bond profile 80% invested in bond and 20% in singapore reit.. 4.5% p.a. return and the interest payback monthly..

says you invest RM100,000.00 .. they leverage your investment back at 75,000.00 at borrowing cost @1.325% p.a ... but the return is same at 4.5% p.a

https://www.sc.com/my/investments/principal-heritage-series/

can any sifu here provide their opinion in this type of product?
*
not sure about others, but for me is I don't invest with borrowed money in which that borrowed money is the money i cannot afford to lose.
btw, how much % of Sales charges they charge for that SG Reits and the Bond?

QUOTE(citymetro @ Aug 17 2020, 10:54 AM)
...
Dining vouchers only. If cash that can be invested then more attractive.
*
thanks for highlighting 'Dining voucher only"...
was tempted to buy RM100 for that "win" but stopped after having read your post.
SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 11:41 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(qintian @ Aug 17 2020, 11:26 AM)
hi Yklooi, sales charge 2% (1 time chager) during purchase..
noted with thanks on your input.. any other comment others that the borrow money portion?

4.5% paying monthly looks good.. moreover i feel safe.. in any case at which month they started not to pay in 4.5% as promised.. can quit anytime.
according the the RM, the income fund (4.5%) risk are standard deviation 6%

20% SG Reits = Asendas Reit, Capital & Maple
*
i don't think it is monthly 4.5%...
looking from the performance from the factsheet...looks like 4.5% for the past 3 months total....
1 yr record is still negative returns....
too new a fund to evaluate performance of its track record

do you need to convert from MYR to SGD to invest in it?
if yes, what is the conversion spread between MYR>SGD and then SGD>MYR when you redeem?

according to the fund factsheet the initial charges is 3%,...they gives you discount of 1%?
The target fund for Principal Heritage Series is Fullerton SGD Heritage Fund and it is managed by Fullerton Fund Management.

from the factsheet of this Fullerton SGD Heritage Fund
https://www.fullertonfund.com/CMS/Uploads/F...e_Income_En.pdf


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 12:06 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(qintian @ Aug 17 2020, 11:58 AM)
Sorry about the mis-info , it should be 4.5% p.a but payout of income/interest happened via monthly
Yes and no for SGD conversion, here is what the RM asked to do

1) we do not need to convert our initial principle into SGD, we just pledge our principle into FD , and they can borrow us 95% of our pledge money and borrow us SGD, while our initial fund are still in MYR and will enjoy 1 year FD @ 2.5%

2) then they will again match the SGD that invested with leverage up to 1.75

3) all the monthly interest/payout will be in SGD. it's up to us whether to keep it or convert back to MYR (if we think SGD will strengthen we may keep)

4) if sgd go strengthen much, we will need to top up the differences, but i wont consider a loss, because the interest are still pay in SGD

5) interest rate for SGD borrowing are low , around 1.325% p.a.

6) yes, sales charge can be vary.. can nego based on the investment amount.

with all the calculation come in, return can be around 8-9% per year. moreover the risk factor is low, whereby you dont get shock after 1 year suddenly the fund master says this year bad year we only able to pay you 2%.. and i dont really expect the fund to be moving when 80% of the fund is already in bond.

to me kind of too good to be true.. thats why i am a bit worried  laugh.gif  laugh.gif  but this leveraging and also FD pledge and borrowing is only for their priority customer.
*
that is a BIG concern for me....
anyway, how many % of your networth are you planning to put in?...if just 1~2%,...then can try try lah so that you will be among their preferred priority customers.
SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 01:51 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(encikbuta @ Aug 17 2020, 01:41 PM)
i guess to be fair, the 2% sales charge is one-time charge so in your calc, ok la, we assume the 2% kena all in 1st year. so first year oni get extra 0.6% return. but subsequent years, he no longer kena sales charge, so i re-calculated, he'd theoretically get extra 2% returns every year after the first year (on top of the 2.5% interest rate). so total about 4.5% p.a. returns from RM100k. SG bond fund and SG REITs giving about 3 - 5% p.a. on average so i guess the estimated 4% p.a. return (in the calc above) from the Fullerton fund alone quite fair.

hm.. i'd put the RM100k in a proper bond fund ler. AmTactical Class B oso giving 6% p.a. over 5 yrs then no need do this leverage stuff.
*
using MUM's example...
after the initial 1st yr
assuming your SGD25k investment gives you 4% returns pa = SGD1000
net gain from this investment using loan is SGD1000 - SGD 330 (loan interest) = 670 SGD gain
SGD670 x 3 = MYR2010

MYR2000 (from Spore) + MYR 2500 (interest from pledged FD) = MYR4500

that is about 4.5% from your RM100k FD + Spore investment
you get about 2.0% EXTRA from the current 2.5% interest rate

2.0% extra for all the risk on this leverage stuff.... hmm.gif hmm.gif

AmTactical Class B oso giving 6% p.a. over 5 yrs then no need do this leverage stuff. thumbup.gif thumbsup.gif



SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 01:58 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(qintian @ Aug 17 2020, 01:48 PM)
@MUM, from my calculation will be

100k pledge FD 2.5% yes will get RM2500
SGD calculation is correct, except they are having a promotion now which is loan rate at 0.525% for 1 year, starting from next year onwards will be 1.325%.. so = SGD131 pa

sales charge will be SGD1,166 (33300 + 25000 x2%)
loan interest will be SGD131
sgd25k x 4% = sgd1,000
sgd33k x 4% = sgd1,320

net gain = sgd2,320 - sgd1,166 sales charge = SGD 1,154
SGD1,154 - SGD131 = SGD1,023 x3 = MYR 3,069

MYR3,069 + MYR 2500 (FD) = 5,569MYR

back to around 5.569%

for second years onward

100K pledge FD 2.5% will get RM2500 (of course this % can be vary)
SGD back to 1.325% = SGD331pa

for second year no more sales charge so will be
sgd25k x 4% = sgd1,000
sgd33k x 4% = sgd1,320

SGD2,320 -SGD331 =1,989
1,989 x 3 = 5,967

net gain 5,967+ 2500 (FD) = 8,467 (~8%)

i am calculate based on the input given..to be very frank, my planning is as below

i have borrow 200k from bank for a house loan (2,9%), so i actually have 100k to put in offset the interest, but now instead of put in the housing loan account..
i am thinking to put in this 100k to this plan, the monthly return can actually cover my monthly installment.. and the breakeven for first year is low (6 months turn over if every month 4.5%p.a. given)

then i am actually leverage the bank borrowing to offset my house rental..

guys i am not trying to beautified the return etc... just trying my very best to counter all the answer or concern given..if my calculation is wrong, please let me know also..
In any case somebody have posted something that i cannot counter, meaning this investment plan have the hidden risk.. i am putting in 50% of my net worth in .. thats why i need to be very careful..

thank you guys and sifu.
*
the 4% in RED is from your MYR100k FD pledge which is 2.5% and not 4% right?
SUSyklooi
post Aug 17 2020, 02:18 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(qintian @ Aug 17 2020, 02:14 PM)
..........

the borrowing from 4% - 1.325% = 2.675% net gain looks little from %
but i am thinking this is bank borrowing which we have no cost.. and if the amount is big, then 2.675% can be crucial..
*
do you have back up plan if the fund got less than 2% returns or go negatives for 2 yrs?

or if the fund dived >5% in 2 weeks, what would you do?
SUSyklooi
post Aug 19 2020, 07:19 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(dasecret @ Aug 19 2020, 06:18 PM)
Agree with Lee; ROI is meaningless as you won't be able to compare with the returns of other investment vehicles such as FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns, property rental returns etc which is more annualised in nature

If you want to blank out earlier years, you can start with the year you want to start tracking, say 2018; with the market value as at 1 jan 2018; and then calculate the XIRR from 1 jan 2018 onwards; it would give a much better picture. That's how I evaluate my investment performance; although I start from day 0 la

The downside of comparing per calendar year is, some years you do better than EPF, some years worse off, what does that mean exactly? need to have a more cumulative view to compare
*
if you use IRR to compare your DIY UT portfolio investment returns with the returns of other investment vehicles such as FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns, property rental returns etc which is more annualised in....
you are comparing YOUR own performance in selection and % of allocation for your UT portfolio against the performance FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns,
and this own performance is your own only, for one should not compare with others too as the composition of asset in a portfolio can varies alot

unless you are comparing individual fund(s) with the returns of other investment vehicles such as FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns, property rental returns etc which is more annualised in.....then one can see which is "better.".....
and this "better" is also part of the story; for

if in a 10 yrs IRR track,....if an investment for the the last 8 calendar years had been giving only 3% ROI pa, but only 2 yrs giving 12% each in the early year,.... the IRR value would look nice,....
if you just looked at the IRR it show better than 5% 4%, but if you looked at the calendar year ROI, you will noticed 12, 12, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, (total 48)......
will you take this one or another one that has this 1, 2, 3, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, (total 48), thus same IRR value but if one did not capture and monitor the YoY value, one will no notice that 1 has been stagnant for 8 yrs while the other one is having continuous improvement

and also do take into consideration, the value of IRR does not change much in relation to the returns if the tracking years is long (like > 10 yrs) and the poor returns is short (like 1 or 2 yrs),...IRR smoothen the volatility...

thus i am now using YoY (ROI per calendar year) to see how my own DIY portfolio performed with my target returns for that year.
for i may shift my port allocation and asset composition to suit my risk appetite when the time come be it due to market sentiments or sudden market event during the year.....
and these shifting of my port composition and allocation is only reflecting own performance for that particular year .

in the end,...if my DIY portfolio ROI or IRR is 5% and yours is 10%,....
it just shows that you have a 10% and i have a 5% returns for our portfolio selected
it does not shows what is inside the composition in my port or your port.
if one is too focused in trying to get a higher numbers, one may have lost their focus in allocating a portfolio that is suitable to their risk appetite and risk capacity too.

This post has been edited by yklooi: Aug 19 2020, 11:45 PM
SUSyklooi
post Aug 20 2020, 01:02 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


was back reading an article on KGF......

was a darling of many during those time....
i was one of those that were enticed by her returns.....

will her magic power ever come back?


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
SUSyklooi
post Aug 21 2020, 01:51 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(citymetro @ Aug 21 2020, 01:45 PM)
Not much choice in Tech funds through FSM. Anyone knows if the other platform have more choices?
*
i found this in FSM....
maybe you can add a few more in Public mutual site?



Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
SUSyklooi
post Aug 21 2020, 01:57 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(citymetro @ Aug 21 2020, 01:54 PM)
Thanks! I filtered through FSM and found the same few funds.
TA Global Tech seems to be a fav here but looking at its benchmark, doesn't look too appetizing. Any input?
*
i usually don't look at the benchmark...
i just looked at "can i expect to get XX% pa in this coming 1 year?"
are you looking at "can the fund meet it stated benchmark in the coming 1 year? (what is the benchmark value in terms of returns?)
SUSyklooi
post Aug 21 2020, 02:21 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


QUOTE(citymetro @ Aug 21 2020, 02:12 PM)
I guess most investors will look at what you are looking at, which is *can I expect to get XX% pa in X year/s*, myself included.
But I also like to look at if the fund can make me X% pa more and that is when comparing the fund's performance to its benchmark comes in.
*
for me...I also like to look at if the fund can make me X% pa more and that is when comparing the fund's performance to its benchmark comes in peers. and at times i compared with their risk reward ratio too
SUSyklooi
post Aug 23 2020, 04:41 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
8,188 posts

Joined: Apr 2013


Foreign funds resume selling on Bursa
Sunday, 23 Aug 2020
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...-bursa#cxrecs_s

25th weeks of consecutive net selling, then net buy on 26th week, then net sell again on 27th week sweat.gif doh.gif

just when you think KGF will get another shot, then sweat.gif sweat.gif

65 Pages « < 44 45 46 47 48 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0549sec    0.87    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 8th December 2025 - 05:57 PM