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 Fundsupermart.com v13, Merry X'mas and Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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SUSyklooi
post Dec 17 2015, 12:32 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Dec 17 2015, 12:12 PM)
I feel you. I'm figuring out ways to get 10% ROI annually as well. If you can get that, IRR does not matter even if it is lower currently since you screwed up  whistling.gif  for last couple of years. Your IRR will slowly rise with your 10% annual ROI  thumbup.gif. Let me know your method if you able to achieve it by end of next year. I'll let you know as well if I can achieve it by then  rclxm9.gif  sweat.gif  sweat.gif
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hmm.gif "Your IRR will slowly rise with your 10% annual ROI"
looking at my chart/data....it seems that the RATE of IRR movement from year to the next is getting less as the year goes by...even though the ROI rate is at 10% pa.....
have to think of a way to max the investment, at a risk reward pattern that i can take.
will be thinking of how....will post result here as usual...

YES...if you screwed up your youth...you will get harder at later stage of life......same philosophy as investment? ha-ha.....if your IRR are screwed up the first few years of your investment life.....your better investment IRR will be harder to achieves later in the investment life..

have to try to convince myself of your post about....
"if can get 10% pa annually, IRR does not matter"...
i know it is true...just that......... doh.gif

thanks


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xuzen
post Dec 17 2015, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(BestWorker8-5pm @ Dec 17 2015, 10:54 AM)
First time purchaser, inflation rate leading, FD rate cannot catch up..
Come to the point fund will be good buy, but target 1-3 years holding, maybe 4x of FD rate then sold..
But kaboom or financial storm could be happen, sound unsecured..  cry.gif
all fund buyers got any brilliant idea?
*
First dating, cost of getting marry getting higher, my salary cannot catch up..
Come to a point wanna date a good girl, but target 1 - 3 years dating, maybe 4x of salary dowry then marry..
But kaboom or don't work out could happen, sound unsecured..: cry.gif
all daters got any brilliant idea?

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 17 2015, 02:21 PM
xuzen
post Dec 17 2015, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Dec 17 2015, 11:31 AM)
lol not even worried about my unit trusts la. just weather the storm. I just need someone to help me understand how the increase in fed hike will affect us so i can prepare/invest/hold down wisely
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Fed rate up, US equity rally... Titan up, you win some

Fed rate not up, Emerging Mkt rally... Ponzi up, you win some.

Titan down, Ponzi down.... your CMF up.... you win also.

Diversity rulez!

Apa lagi lu mau?

Xuzen
wongmunkeong
post Dec 17 2015, 03:34 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Dec 17 2015, 11:44 AM)
Hold steady. Any storm would just be temporary IMHO.
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Ngek! Not too right..
there may come a "storm" to wipe out the basic financial instruments as we know them
BUT...
when that happens, i think our stocks/mutual funds/cash will be the least of our worry laugh.gif
(think food, water, easily defend-able shelters, weapons)

---
oo.. btw, on the Luxemburg / Ireland domiciled feeder funds (eg GTF, ESIGEM, etc) - 2% service charges, 0% withholding tax & capital gains, 1.8%pa mgt fees
VS
US-domiciled ETFs - 0.6%+/- brokerage fees. 30% withholding tax on dividend, 0% on capital gains on non-resident aliens, 0.5%pa mgt fees

assuming dividends contributes to the total returns averaging 44%-48%
+
based on responses from FSM,
=i think i'll do ETFs only when there's extreme fear / blood.
The differences, give 100 years, 75 years and 30 years holding... less than 10% variance per year average on an assumed 8%pa returns for ETFs.

However, to me, specific US-domiciled stocks still looks good going directly.

Shared Excel (zipped): Attached File  Total_Returns___Price____Div_.zip ( 181.43k ) Number of downloads: 15

please do highlight if i've mis-assumed / miscalculated some stuff, impacting the bottom line greatly ya notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Dec 17 2015, 03:48 PM
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 17 2015, 03:44 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Dec 17 2015, 03:34 PM)
Ngek! Not too right..
there may come a "storm" to wipe out the basic financial instruments as we know them
BUT...
when that happens, i think our stocks/mutual funds/cash will be the least of our worry  laugh.gif
(think food, water, easily defend-able shelters, weapons)
*
Putin vs Obama flex.gif

End of Days™ wave.gif
nexona88
post Dec 17 2015, 05:54 PM

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Fitch keeps Malaysia’s rating at A- with Stable outlook
QUOTE
the Employees Provident Fund will provide funding in the event of a sell-off by non-residents.

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ting/?style=biz
SUSDavid83
post Dec 17 2015, 06:00 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 17 2015, 05:54 PM)
Fitch keeps Malaysia’s rating at A- with Stable outlook

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ting/?style=biz
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I thought we have ValueCap

but wait ...

Delay in ValueCap’s RM6b injection?

KUALA LUMPUR: State-owned investment fund ValueCap Sdn Bhd, which was expected to start buying up underperforming stocks on the local bourse this month, may see a partial delay in its first tranche of funding of RM6 billion.

A source familiar with the matter told The Edge Financial Daily that there had been a delay in the funds coming into the market.

URL: http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/d...medium=facebook
river.sand
post Dec 17 2015, 06:03 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Dec 17 2015, 11:51 AM)
It depends on what is your believe. If like pinky, he absolutely scorn it. If you believe price action is indicative of what the market think (including emotion, believe, news etc.) of the security regardless of fundamental analysis, then you can use tech analysis for UT but in limited fashion since you do not have OHLC.  In fact you can get DIY weekly OHLC data using daily NAV price  cool2.gif UT price action is the result of combination of price movement in underlying assets, dividend collected, investor deposit/withdrawal, fund manager's action, forex movement etc.
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I tried TA before, in stock investment.

But whether it's stock market or UT, trend, momentum and sentiment are all short term. Since I invest in UT for long term, I don't bother to do TA lah...

TA, if we get it right, we may save a few percent of capital. But I am eyeing 8% annual return laugh.gif

And, if we get it wrong, we may miss the boat...

This post has been edited by river.sand: Dec 17 2015, 06:06 PM
nexona88
post Dec 17 2015, 06:07 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Dec 17 2015, 06:00 PM)
I thought we have ValueCap

but wait ...

Delay in ValueCap’s RM6b injection?

KUALA LUMPUR: State-owned investment fund ValueCap Sdn Bhd, which was expected to start buying up underperforming stocks on the local bourse this month, may see a partial delay in its first tranche of funding of RM6 billion.

A source familiar with the matter told The Edge Financial Daily that there had been a delay in the funds coming into the market.

URL: http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/d...medium=facebook
*
I wonder which party delay the funding? hmm.gif
kimyee73
post Dec 17 2015, 06:34 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Dec 17 2015, 06:03 PM)
I tried TA before, in stock investment.

But whether it's stock market or UT, trend, momentum and sentiment are all short term. Since I invest in UT for long term, I don't bother to do TA lah...

TA, if we get it right, we may save a few percent of capital. But I am eyeing 8% annual return laugh.gif

And, if we get it wrong, we may miss the boat...
*
Not all TA are short term. It depends on your time frame. If you trades on weekly or monthly chart, they are not short term. What happened if you don't use TA in 2000? US market was moving sideway for 12 years before breakout and in the bull for last 3-4 years. Imagine your money going nowhere for 12 long years.
T231H
post Dec 17 2015, 07:52 PM

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Heed the Lessons of History—Can the US Rate Hike Benefit the Stock Market?.... December 17, 2015....Author : iFAST Research Team

http://www.fundsupermart.com.hk/hk/main/re...articleNo=10947

wil-i-am
post Dec 17 2015, 10:25 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Dec 17 2015, 06:00 PM)
I thought we have ValueCap

but wait ...

Delay in ValueCap’s RM6b injection?

KUALA LUMPUR: State-owned investment fund ValueCap Sdn Bhd, which was expected to start buying up underperforming stocks on the local bourse this month, may see a partial delay in its first tranche of funding of RM6 billion.

A source familiar with the matter told The Edge Financial Daily that there had been a delay in the funds coming into the market.

URL: http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/d...medium=facebook
*
Money will b redy JIT for window dressing @ Bursa on 31/12
Vanguard 2015
post Dec 17 2015, 10:44 PM

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I have been looking at the PRS funds mainly for the RM3k tax relief.

The only benefits are as listed in FSM website.


QUOTE
What are the incentives of investing in PRS?

No/Minimal sales charge – PRS funds have no/minimal sales charge to ensure that you enjoy the lowest investment costs on your retirement savings.
Low entry requirements – Minimum initial contribution is RM100 and minimum subsequent contribution is RM50 per fund.
Flexibility – contributors can choose funds that best suit their investment needs.
Convenience – automatic monthly contributions via Regular Savings Plan.
Transparency – contributors have timely access to fund performance and information.
Tax relief - up to RM 3,000 per tax payer per year of assessment (Y/A) from Y/A 2012 to 2021.
But I see the performance of the funds are so, so only. I think the best performing fund is Kenanga OnePRS Fund. Am I right? Apart from tax relief and zero sales fee, I can't think of any other reasons why someone would prefer PRS funds with their lock in period compared to the normal funds under FSM.

SUSDavid83
post Dec 17 2015, 10:45 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 17 2015, 10:44 PM)
I have been looking at the PRS funds  mainly for the RM3k tax relief.

The only benefits are as listed in FSM website.
But I see the performance of the funds are so, so only. I think the best performing fund is Kenanga OnePRS Fund. Am I right? Apart from tax relief and zero sales fee, I can't think of any other reasons why someone would prefer PRS funds with their lock in period compared to the normal funds under FSM.
*
Kenanga OnePRS Growth Fund?

It is feeding into KGF.
Vanguard 2015
post Dec 17 2015, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Dec 17 2015, 10:45 PM)
Kenanga OnePRS Growth Fund?

It is feeding into KGF.
*
Yes, I know. About 70% KGF and 30% Kenanga Bond. But I think it is OK if I only put RM3k every year for the tax relief although I already have KGF in my portfolio.
dexk
post Dec 17 2015, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Dec 17 2015, 02:13 AM)
doh.gif  just made a simulation.....
if my % of ROI since invest were to increase by 10% pa from now till DEC 2019,
my IRR is just 6.33%

hmm.gif what are my chances of getting 10% pa percentage of ROI since invest continuously for the next 4 years?
my guess is, it will be VERY slim....so are my chances of having IRR > 6%  cry.gif
hmm.gif is my calculation wrong or my expectation of investment is wrong... rclxub.gif

any TAIKOR(s) can help comment?  notworthy.gif
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I'm no expert, just thinking out loud. With IRR below 4.5%, its much better off putting that money in your home loan account (I'm assuming you have one). It's capital guaranteed and ~4.5% savings/returns guaranteed.
Do you really need to be diversified globally and in return get a lower IRR? Each fund in itself is already somewhat diversified (of course there are those special focus funds) compared to single stocks etc. If you choose any of the good local fund and only wallop them, example only KGF or Eastspring small cap or RHB smart treasure and keep a 5-10 years horizon. Is the risk really that great in this case that die die must diversify?
BTW, I'm post 1997 era so maybe those who lived thru that era would feel differently?
SUSyklooi
post Dec 18 2015, 08:55 AM

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QUOTE(dexk @ Dec 17 2015, 11:56 PM)
I'm no expert, just thinking out loud. With IRR below 4.5%, its much better off putting that money in your home loan account (I'm assuming you have one). It's capital guaranteed and ~4.5% savings/returns guaranteed.
Do you really need to be diversified globally and in return get a lower IRR? Each fund in itself is already somewhat diversified (of course there are those special focus funds) compared to single stocks etc. If you choose any of the good local fund and only wallop them, example only KGF or Eastspring small cap or RHB smart treasure and keep a 5-10 years horizon. Is the risk really that great in this case that die die must diversify?
BTW, I'm post 1997 era so maybe those who lived thru that era would feel differently?
*
......
"IF" can know the outcome before hand,...then like you said,..putting it in home loan is much better.... tongue.gif
in investment, I could not foresee the outcome of my investment (unless I choose FI/mm funds).
but now with my simulated data....I "can see" the possible outcome of my IRR......
but as Kimyee said.....IRR does not matters if ROI can be kept high yearly...

Do you really need to be diversified globally and in return get a lower IRR?
depending on the situation,...just for example.....due to Ringgit depreciation....some Global funds performed much better. I think diversification is to reduce portfolio volatility risk, to have a more stable portfolio......
yes,..because of that, it "may" reduce ROI. (because if did not diversify,....fire power concentrated on the wrong area would not gives much returns too)

Is the risk really that great in this case that die die must diversify?
depending on what one seek......better sleep or better pocket money.

rclxms.gif
yes, thanks for the suggestions....KGF or Eastspring small cap or RHB smart treasure
I had been planning on focusing on that too.....missed out on smart treasure thou...now will plan to add smart treasure on board.....
will not keep 5-10 yrs......Change, if they did not perform after 2~3 yrs.....(the more years that did not perform, they will drag down my IRR/ROI)

my preliminary new set up planning is 45% FI, 55% EQ, EQ focused on Asia pac, m'sia + 2% in global tech
like you said..."only wallop them" (the past high performers) sweat.gif

"I'm post 1997 era"...maybe a good thing too.....new ideas and inspiration too.... thumbup.gif

thumbup.gif thanks again

dasecret
post Dec 18 2015, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 17 2015, 10:44 PM)
I have been looking at the PRS funds  mainly for the RM3k tax relief.

The only benefits are as listed in FSM website.
But I see the performance of the funds are so, so only. I think the best performing fund is Kenanga OnePRS Fund. Am I right? Apart from tax relief and zero sales fee, I can't think of any other reasons why someone would prefer PRS funds with their lock in period compared to the normal funds under FSM.
*
For individual contribution, yes, that's about the only benefit

That's why I always advocate for it for employer contribution. But not many employers are willing to do it. If you are self-employed under Sdn Bhd, you should consider that

One of the popular tax planning method is to shift remuneration into extra EPF contribution as it is tax deductible for the company up to 19% employer contribution. For the extra 7%, actually PRS can get tax deduction too. The biggest pro is, if you put in EPF, when you want to take out account 1 for unit trust investment, you need to pay sales charge; the funds must be approved by EPF which means only Malaysian equities and the amount you can take out will be less than the entire additional 7%

The con however is, most HR would not do extra work paying into different asset management companies and occasionally the employees would want to switch funds or fund house
Vanguard 2015
post Dec 18 2015, 10:45 AM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Dec 18 2015, 10:41 AM)
For individual contribution, yes, that's about the only benefit

That's why I always advocate for it for employer contribution. But not many employers are willing to do it. If you are self-employed under Sdn Bhd, you should consider that

One of the popular tax planning method is to shift remuneration into extra EPF contribution as it is tax deductible for the company up to 19% employer contribution. For the extra 7%, actually PRS can get tax deduction too. The biggest pro is, if you put in EPF, when you want to take out account 1 for unit trust investment, you need to pay sales charge; the funds must be approved by EPF which means only Malaysian equities and the amount you can take out will be less than the entire additional 7%

The con however is, most HR would not do extra work paying into different asset management companies and occasionally the employees would want to switch funds or fund house
*
Thanks a lot for your info. I am an employer but not under sdn bhd. I am under partnership. Therefore I think I should do PRS to get the tax relief. I don't have EPF as well unless I do self contribution.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Dec 18 2015, 10:46 AM
dasecret
post Dec 18 2015, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 17 2015, 11:25 PM)
Yes, I know. About 70% KGF and 30% Kenanga Bond. But I think it is OK if I only put RM3k every year for the tax relief although I already have KGF in my portfolio.
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Actually I wish they have pure equity funds like CIMB or Affin Hwang or Am for us to choose. Kenanga bond is really lousy and dragging down the growth fund performance... 1 year return of 2.3%, CMF is much better

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