QUOTE(smartinvestor01 @ Sep 8 2015, 10:08 AM)
Meanwhile, the total household debt and the low central bank reserves right now is not convincing enough..
Adding to the problems, politic instability and the transparencies of the nation are in doubt in the faces of the world. Foreign investment is the local securities are quite high..
I think the weakness in our local market now is the high ratio of foreign investments against local investments.
I've always struggled with that justification in the first para I quoted above. To me, it's just your BNP Paribas, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs IB talk and rating agencies (those very same companies that rated investment grade investments on junk sub-prime mortgages) trying to justify their actions in the market. Personally, the current sell-off is more to do with the carry-trade or flight to safety due to the Fed's possible rate hike expected this month.
I agree that our local bourse has high exposure to foreign funds but that's always been KLCI's characteristics as a defensive market. When the world was in turmoil after the 2008 GFC, money flooded into our markets because of the same characteristics of our local securities markets.
Will we see funds coming back to EMs if the fed does not hike interest rates? Probably yes because EMs still provide more growth potential than the western economies can. Will China than roil the entire world with its PBOC propping up its stock market? Who knows as nothing is beyond them. They devalued their currency by almost 4% in just 2 trading days.
ps>> OK... cukup OT already