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 Fundsupermart.com v8, The MS Excel Masterclass version!

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JAIDK23
post Feb 27 2015, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(wodenus @ Feb 27 2015, 02:38 PM)
How did he make 53% in KGF in 5 months.. when the best-case situation for KGF is 15%?
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that's his fund allocation. not profit.
wodenus
post Feb 27 2015, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(JAIDK23 @ Feb 27 2015, 03:06 PM)
that's his fund allocation. not profit.
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Oh lol smile.gif

moon0610
post Feb 27 2015, 03:43 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Feb 27 2015, 10:16 AM)
Post # 2393 applies.
just a note...may not be suitable to some as it may be termed as timing the market....
The market had been GOOD for some weeks.....it may continue to be GOOD for many more weeks or it may not....
if after having used Polarzbearz file.....if you wanted to go in example GTF....keep cash, buy on dips or when there is some correction...have patience and accumulate the fund during dips to built up the % you want to allocate in your portfolio.
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"Buy on dips" means buy when the NAV price drop?
smile.gif plan to move some of my FD to OSK-RHB cash management fund 2 to earn some interest while waiting for any good time & fund to buy
Celestine
post Feb 27 2015, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Feb 27 2015, 02:33 PM)
Keep #2 and choose either #1 or #3, but not both. Discard the other. I prefer to keep #3.

Xuzen.

p/s Why should you listen to me? Coz I am an expert in crystal ball gazing.
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Thanks for your advice, would like to understand the logic behind discarding #1 or #3? Btw, KGF is no good anymore? trying to learn how you experts think and invest; which is essentially the crystal ball gazing skill that you have.

This post has been edited by Celestine: Feb 27 2015, 03:53 PM
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 27 2015, 03:56 PM

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QUOTE(moon0610 @ Feb 27 2015, 03:43 PM)
"Buy on dips" means buy when the NAV price drop?
smile.gif  plan to move some of my FD  to OSK-RHB cash management fund 2 to earn some interest while waiting for any good time & fund to buy
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Not NAV dip, but when the MARKET in which the fund invests in dip
xuzen
post Feb 27 2015, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(Celestine @ Feb 27 2015, 03:52 PM)
Thanks for your advice, would like to understand the logic behind discarding #1 or #3? Btw, KGF is no good anymore? trying to learn how you experts think and invest; which is essentially the crystal ball gazing skill that you have.
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I am happy you asked and I am happy to answer:

CIMB Asia-Pac Dynamic Income Fund aka Ponzi ver 2.0 amongst long time forummers here has the best risk-adjusted return. Hence keep it.

KGF and Small-Cap are essentially invested into the same market and they both have a correlation coefficient of 0.8 which is the numerical/mathematical way of saying you are invested in the same market. 1 is the max value.

KGF's Corr-coeff vs Ponzi is 0.60 whereas Small cap Corr-coeff with Ponzi 2.0 is 0.54.

To be a logical investor, you need to choose the component of your portfolio to have low Corr-coeff with each other, hence choose small-cap with Ponzi 2.0.

Now you ask me, how I get to have access to all these data?

I told you, I have a crystal ball.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Feb 27 2015, 04:02 PM
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 27 2015, 04:10 PM

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nexona88
post Feb 27 2015, 04:29 PM

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pisces88
post Feb 27 2015, 04:33 PM

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fuhh got crystal ball brows.gif
adele123
post Feb 27 2015, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Feb 27 2015, 04:01 PM)
KGF's Corr-coeff vs Ponzi is 0.60 whereas Small cap Corr-coeff with Ponzi 2.0 is 0.54.

To be a logical investor, you need to choose the component of your portfolio to have low Corr-coeff with each other, hence choose small-cap with Ponzi 2.0.

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this is like finance 101 or 201. indeed logical answer... want to share how you get the data? laugh.gif

This post has been edited by adele123: Feb 27 2015, 04:48 PM
nexona88
post Feb 27 2015, 05:05 PM

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Japan's Nikkei share average hit a fresh 15-year high on Friday on upbeat Japanese industrial output data, gains 6.4 pct in Feb flex.gif
Celestine
post Feb 27 2015, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Feb 27 2015, 04:01 PM)
I am happy you asked and I am happy to answer:

CIMB Asia-Pac Dynamic Income Fund aka Ponzi ver 2.0 amongst long time forummers here has the best risk-adjusted return. Hence keep it.

KGF and Small-Cap are essentially invested into the same market and they both have a correlation coefficient of 0.8 which is the numerical/mathematical way of saying you are invested in the same market. 1 is the max value. 

KGF's Corr-coeff vs Ponzi is 0.60 whereas Small cap Corr-coeff with Ponzi 2.0 is 0.54.

To be a logical investor, you need to choose the component of your portfolio to have low Corr-coeff with each other, hence choose small-cap with Ponzi 2.0.

Now you ask me, how I get to have access to all these data?

I told you, I have a crystal ball.

Xuzen
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Wow, that's awesome, thanks for sharing your thoughts, learnt something new. So basically within a portfolio, to be considered logical, one would need low Correlation between the funds within one's own portfolio. that's a pretty awesome technical perspective there:)

Found a link for the benefit of those who would like to know more:
Link 1
Link 2

I'm not gonna ask where/how you get access to the data but am grateful that you're sharing your expert insight;) instead i'm gonna ask this, should one completely diversify one's portfolio completely (look at link 1's umbrella-sunscreen graph) - somehow (from a newbie point of view) it seems like the philosophy of risk mitigation by means of diversification contradicts the aggressive investor nature (assuming the investor is categorized as this). could you enlighten us on your view on this? much appreciated:)

jutamind
post Feb 27 2015, 07:45 PM

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Tell lar where to get this ball....

QUOTE(xuzen @ Feb 27 2015, 04:01 PM)
I am happy you asked and I am happy to answer:

CIMB Asia-Pac Dynamic Income Fund aka Ponzi ver 2.0 amongst long time forummers here has the best risk-adjusted return. Hence keep it.

KGF and Small-Cap are essentially invested into the same market and they both have a correlation coefficient of 0.8 which is the numerical/mathematical way of saying you are invested in the same market. 1 is the max value. 

KGF's Corr-coeff vs Ponzi is 0.60 whereas Small cap Corr-coeff with Ponzi 2.0 is 0.54.

To be a logical investor, you need to choose the component of your portfolio to have low Corr-coeff with each other, hence choose small-cap with Ponzi 2.0.

Now you ask me, how I get to have access to all these data?

I told you, I have a crystal ball.

Xuzen
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SUSDavid83
post Feb 27 2015, 07:59 PM

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42 more posts to new version.

Who's the taker for the new version? Uncle Looi?
Dogta
post Feb 27 2015, 08:02 PM

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Anyone here use the FSM app? Why won't my app load for me, it keeps saying no connection sad.gif
xuzen
post Feb 27 2015, 08:15 PM

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@Jutamind: I tak nak reveal... ini barang kasi saya cari makan wan. I am a professional investor mah.. I have access to info that normal retail investors do not.... brows.gif brows.gif brows.gif

@Celes: I want to comment a little about Link 2. I realised that those are CFA materials. Much have been said that CFA is a tough paper. After seeing those examples, I can say that in real world your calculation is going to be much more messy and not so sterile. Be happy that in CFA questions, it is so vanilla and nice. It is not so in real life.

Scientific and academics will have different outlook compared to a pure speculator. Rational investors take calculated risk, speculators take all sort of risk.

To me an aggressive rational investor is someone who still take risk by adjusting the equity to fixed income ratio. There are of course people who struck it rich by being lucky once or twice. But luck is such a unmanageable parameter, the academics are better off just ignoring it.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Feb 27 2015, 08:26 PM
howszat
post Feb 27 2015, 08:21 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Feb 27 2015, 08:15 PM)
@Jutamind: I tak nak reveal... ini barang kasi saya cari makan wan. I am a professional investor mah.. I have access to info that normal retail investors do not.... brows.gif  brows.gif  brows.gif
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This can be classified as soliciting business, maybe via PM, and can get you banned.

Fine line, I know.

xuzen
post Feb 27 2015, 08:28 PM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Feb 27 2015, 08:21 PM)
This can be classified as soliciting business, maybe via PM, and can get you banned.

Fine line, I know.
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Thanks for the head up. Will be careful.

Xuzen
nexona88
post Feb 27 2015, 08:33 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Feb 27 2015, 07:59 PM)
42 more posts to new version.

Who's the taker for the new version? Uncle Looi?
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give Pinky carry his good work into next version flex.gif rclxms.gif
howszat
post Feb 27 2015, 09:01 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Feb 27 2015, 08:33 PM)
give Pinky carry his good work into next version  flex.gif  rclxms.gif
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Yes, give to Pinky. Looi is an RSS contributer. (In some LYN areas, apparently they battle for the privilege)

Pinky, please add some clarification between "dividends" and "distributions".

In particular, point out that funds give "distributions", not "dividends". Which makes it easier for investors to tell they are not the same thing.




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