QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 8 2015, 03:48 AM)
did zeti mention 3.00?
well, we are oil producer and oil is major contribution to the country, so that all make sense. Furthermore, 1MDB has serious problem on integrity which can lead to serious "asset quality issue" (if we look at a country in a whole as an asset). So for me, degrading of RM makes good sense actually. Lets see how they manage the 1MDB issue, and see how oil price going forward.

no specific no. has been mentioned so far. only "undervalued".
well, the strange thing is there is a now lot of contention as to whether msia is still a net exporter or importer of oil. gomen officials hv taken pain to say msia is now a net oil importer but is still a net petroleum exporter when gas is included. banks and intl analysts insist it is net oil exporter. while 30% of gomen revenues comes from oil, there is a huge oil import bill too. so, perhaps it is at a neutral point...?
i think the weak rm is not just about oil anymore. more to do with little fdi, decreasing foreign funds in bursa, illicit outflows, unrelenting habit of borrowing more, confidence, etc. 1 mdb is certainly having an effect - if gomen/fin ministry declares a total bailout (consistent with past records of such bailouts n rakyat forgeting quickly so can do it again), we'll see significant rm movement again.
QUOTE(mikehwy @ Mar 8 2015, 09:17 AM)
Lower rm can have advantages too. Declining exchange in asia can attract western monies and who knows they could be rushing in for our local equities.
Having said this, local arena looks bleak with 1mdb and political sh@t !
advantages of weak rm... only for exporters in usd like rubber glove and palm oil cos., their shareholders, directors and employees, maybe tax dept too. disadvantages, no need to list....
weak currency->attract foreign money to local equities...? i think they will come if they can see the currency strengthening and not continuing to depr against their own currency. as it is now, i believe foreign funds are still net sellers every month for the past 1 yr or so. which probably partly explains bursa's sterile behavior lately - 54% bursa is owned by glc's, local funds like epf, local syndicates and punters trading but little foreign participation. and dun forget not only the rm is the worst performing currency in asia in 2014; bursa is also the worst performer among asian bourses in 2014, losing 13%:
http://www.therakyatpost.com/business/2014...ian-currencies/http://www.bourseinvestment.com/content/wp...utlook-2015.pdflooking ahead, have things changed or major efforts put in place to reverse the trends? that's the big question, isn't it?!
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 8 2015, 10:22 AM)
Not sure about equities but maybe some fixed assets.
But then asset price in Malaysia gone up faster than declining ringgit.
10 yrs ago, I can buy a fairly nice house in Klang Valley for US100K
Now, same house cost US200K.
Inflation in Malaysia --> like rocket ship!

quite true - house prices doubled in last 10 years. some doubled in last 5 yrs!
food prices (except some veg, i suppose) have also doubled in last 10 yrs.
salaries probably average 30-40%.
the effects are clear!
This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 8 2015, 11:50 AM