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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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wodenus
post Feb 5 2015, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 5 2015, 01:58 PM)
it may yet come.

but do get ready since that may mean usd1=rm3.9x. laugh.gif
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I'm quite sure they will cap it at 3.7 smile.gif

wodenus
post Feb 18 2015, 05:45 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 18 2015, 07:38 AM)
2100... OK.I got my angpau.
You can let the bears out and sell again! 

Bring it all the way to 2000 (or below) .. and rebuy.  tongue.gif
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How weird that you quote the S&P numbers directly as if you can actually buy and sell those numbers smile.gif

wodenus
post Feb 18 2015, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 18 2015, 10:54 PM)
No-lah.. have to play the SPY ETF, it correlates closely to SP500.
210 = 2100 on SP500.  1/10 of the size.

Some of us want a 5% pullback to get back in...  brows.gif
Not sure if market can give this chance or not.

The bulls have been pretty strong despite all the negative headlines for past few weeks.
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You might get it yet. Looks a bit shaky at the top. LOL kind of weird.. 200 - 210 is just 5% .. minus commission it's 4.2% maybe? that's about the promo rate for 1-year FD smile.gif
wodenus
post Feb 19 2015, 09:37 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 19 2015, 04:17 AM)
this is computer game. i play computer game everyday, no matter holiday or working day.  tongue.gif
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How can you do that with the commission that high lol
wodenus
post Feb 19 2015, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 13 2015, 12:21 AM)
i don't think so. solar is just a cost saving investment. The real engine is still on iphone CNY sales, i believe.  laugh.gif
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Must be a lot of rich Chinese in the U.S. to cause that to happen lol
wodenus
post Feb 19 2015, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 19 2015, 09:56 AM)
buffet/berkshire just dumped exxonmobil, conoco philips; added ibm, deere...

follow him? biggrin.gif

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/berkshire-ha...-224127267.html
and ya, i think thh fed is joining the currency wars, so... long equities all the way! laugh.gif
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You want to follow him just buy berkshire lol.. much easier right smile.gif

wodenus
post Feb 19 2015, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 19 2015, 11:20 AM)
i trust n follow him 10% only, so i bought xlf, 9.3% holdings in berkshire. laugh.gif
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LOL.. how do you know which 10% to follow smile.gif

wodenus
post Feb 19 2015, 07:09 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 19 2015, 07:02 PM)
care less on money, care more on the fun of looking into future (be it trading or investment, same). that's the spirit of my happiness on stocks.   laugh.gif
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Heh... no wonder smile.gif

This post has been edited by wodenus: Feb 21 2015, 03:00 AM
wodenus
post Mar 4 2015, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 3 2015, 04:05 PM)
overall PE is not so high though, just a little overpriced, not yet bubble i guess.  laugh.gif
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Uptrend has been going on a while.. might have a pull back soon
wodenus
post Mar 10 2015, 07:12 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 10 2015, 03:16 PM)
think not so easy...

everyday, there is some report saying "msia abc.xyz worst performer..."

today, this one:
fyi, rm touched 3.70/usd this morning.
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That's the plan.. spread the bad news to lower the rate. But if you really read the article, you can see the facts are different from the tone of it. Problem is people don't read and fall for obvious hatchet jobs.

Thing is now, how is this government going to respond to this?

This post has been edited by wodenus: Mar 10 2015, 07:13 PM
wodenus
post Mar 13 2015, 06:57 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 13 2015, 11:12 AM)
by the end of this year it will probably be around 3.8  sweat.gif
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Won't go above 3.7 smile.gif
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 12:27 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 12:25 AM)
actually, the average consensus among the banks is 3.77 by Q4.
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Ok. Looks like they are defending at 3.7 though. Anywho, global recession time, do you think?

This post has been edited by wodenus: Mar 14 2015, 12:30 AM
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 01:00 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 12:54 AM)
The only one optimistic about our RM right now is Zeti. It's true MYR is undervalued but only slightly, and comparatively less vs some other currencies out there.
Right now only US is holding the fort. China is so so. Eurozone is the dogs. However, the various QEs should mean that we will see a lot of free and hot money swirling around in equities. A good time to pick choice Euro stocks if you are playing those. The timing of the next US interest rate hike is the key I think
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QE does not seem to be working. US has been in decline for three weeks. Eurozone still dead. US can't hike now will send market into free fall.
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 01:16 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 01:14 AM)
from what I hear US rate hike will likely be July to Sept time frame.
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That's the plan but how are they going to execute it with the market in this condition?

This post has been edited by wodenus: Mar 14 2015, 01:16 AM
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 01:20 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 01:17 AM)
US is improving, but if Yellen puts the rate hike too early everything could stop in its tracks, so maybe later than sooner.
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A three-week decline is a strange definition of improving smile.gif but yes exactly that, they can't risk it now, they will have to wait.
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 01:33 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 01:28 AM)
I'm referring to the overall US economy not just the equities. It's still relatively rosy compared to the other place. Low oil prices are good for their economy.
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Well equities are the economy right? If equities are down and the economy is up, shouldnt people be buying equities right now? It seems that way to me.
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 01:48 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 01:41 AM)
no, equities are not really the economy anymore, they're forward looking. The various QEs made sure that there was more money than anyone would dare to use. So since the banks are unable to lend out, they put into equities.
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OK so the market is going to continue to tank while the economy improves? But then people will have a lot of money with no place to put it.
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Mar 14 2015, 10:57 AM)
Not people, mostly banks I think.
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Well unemployment rate is dropping, wages are going up, people will soon be rich again. And then interest rates will go up, which will make them richer.
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 14 2015, 11:06 AM)
Don't worry. If you're like me, you've been through tough times.
The second round, you will know what to do and be more prepared.

In '97 after the crisis, I left M'sia and went over S'pore. Even S'pore not immune. 2 1/2 years later,
dot com bubble hit US and it hit S'pore even worse than Malaysia '97 crisis. I was devasted. Lost my apartment, car and everything. Left S'pore to USA to start over.

In '08 financial crisis hits USA, I was better prepared. Maintained my portfolio well, and I was able to get thru it.
When it recovers later, my net worth grew 3x times over when everyone was still suffering.

If another big one hit M'sia (the signs are here...) just get ready to tough it out. You should be hardened by now.
Opportunities are also here.   nod.gif
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If you lost everything how did you have the money to move? If you are declared a bankrupt you have to return to your home country and are forbidden to travel out of it right?

This post has been edited by wodenus: Mar 14 2015, 11:15 AM
wodenus
post Mar 14 2015, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 14 2015, 11:28 AM)
No, I was not bankrupt but my bank account down to a few hundred after I paid all my creditors.
My dad (bless his heart) helped me to get started again with his emergency fund and one way ticket to US.
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You had nice parents smile.gif

This post has been edited by wodenus: Mar 14 2015, 11:34 AM

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