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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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danmooncake
post Feb 28 2015, 06:16 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 28 2015, 04:44 AM)
looking at 2000 coming... biggrin.gif
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Market flat this week.. same as Monday closing.

Next week - we need more bears power!!! brows.gif


AVFAN
post Feb 28 2015, 07:37 AM

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small bear came. next week, big bull will arrive brows.gif

QUOTE
(Bloomberg) -- Global equities from Europe to Asia rallied in February to multiyear highs, while the best month since 2012 for the Nasdaq Composite Index left the technology barometer within striking distance of its dot-com era record.
The Nasdaq Composite surged 7.1 percent, climbing within 60 points of its March 2000 high, as Apple Inc. rose 9.6 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 5.5 percent, rebounding from its worst month in a year with the biggest gain since October 2011. The MSCI All-Country World Index added 5.4 percent after rising to an intraday high on Feb. 26. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index fell 36 percent for its biggest monthly drop on record.
“What we’re seeing is better signs of economic growth, strong earnings outside the energy and materials sectors,” Michael Strauss, chief investment strategist and chief economist at Commonfund Group in Wilton, Connecticut, said in a phone interview. The firm oversees about $25 billion. “That’s a support point for Nasdaq, given its lower exposure to energy.”
The Nasdaq is flirting with 5,000 after advancing for 10 straight days through Feb. 24, and is now 1.7 percent from its bubble peak. At its current pace, the index is poised to rise for nine straight quarters, a feat it’s never accomplished.
It has taken two bull markets and more than 4,500 days for the technology index to get close to making up all the ground lost in the dot-com collapse. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reached all-time highs in October 2007 and again in March 2013.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...adds-66-billion

danmooncake
post Mar 2 2015, 11:11 PM

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XLE is looking interesting again with this pull back to 77/78.. hopefully, it can go below 75 area for another round for dip buying. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 2 2015, 11:12 PM
AVFAN
post Mar 3 2015, 12:37 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 2 2015, 11:11 PM)
XLE is looking interesting again with this pull back to 77/78.. hopefully, it can go below 75 area for another round for dip buying.  brows.gif
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doesn't look like that'll happen anytime soon. i actually think oil price will stay rangebound 48-52 for months!

so, i'm taking my eyes off oil/energy for a while.

looking to add to tech and healthcare...

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 3 2015, 12:47 AM
yok70
post Mar 3 2015, 05:01 AM

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so damn bullish....
give me some bear bear lah... laugh.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Mar 3 2015, 05:01 AM
danmooncake
post Mar 3 2015, 06:56 AM

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Nasdaq 5000... . reminds me of DotCom bubble.. 15 years ago. sweat.gif
Kaka23
post Mar 3 2015, 07:05 AM

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Bull bull.. Still can continue charging?!!
AVFAN
post Mar 3 2015, 09:43 AM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Mar 3 2015, 07:05 AM)
Bull bull..  Still can continue charging?!!
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i think so - for a few more months.
bull is good. laugh.gif

eu starting to release qe.
usd getting stronger n stronger.
never mind oil stays at 50.
what is there not to like? tongue.gif
yok70
post Mar 3 2015, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 3 2015, 06:56 AM)
Nasdaq 5000... . reminds me of DotCom bubble.. 15 years ago.  sweat.gif
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overall PE is not so high though, just a little overpriced, not yet bubble i guess. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 3 2015, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 3 2015, 04:05 PM)
overall PE is not so high though, just a little overpriced, not yet bubble i guess.  laugh.gif
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Ya, pe not too high. many now making real good money, big cash flow unlike those dotcoms with nothing.

Low oil price is also fueling growth n profits for some.

If oil price n usd stay calm n cool, Dow can hit 19000 before Xmas! brows.gif


My take tonite.... Bull again. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 3 2015, 06:24 PM
Brother J
post Mar 4 2015, 05:11 AM

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-Holds zero interests in this lair

This post has been edited by Brother J: Jul 14 2015, 01:34 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 4 2015, 06:42 PM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ Mar 4 2015, 05:11 AM)
such an awesome volatility for daytrading
cheers.gif  Happy Chap Goh Meh
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cheers.gif

not for day trading but usd1=rm3.6475! laugh.gif
wodenus
post Mar 4 2015, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 3 2015, 04:05 PM)
overall PE is not so high though, just a little overpriced, not yet bubble i guess.  laugh.gif
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Uptrend has been going on a while.. might have a pull back soon
danmooncake
post Mar 5 2015, 01:41 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 4 2015, 06:42 PM)
cheers.gif

not for day trading but usd1=rm3.6475! laugh.gif
*
Wow.. I haven't check exchange rate for a while.. how come ringgit getting weaker and weaker every month?
I thought this is Oil related but then Oil price seems to have bottom and rising back above $60 now. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 5 2015, 01:41 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 5 2015, 02:00 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 5 2015, 01:41 AM)
Wow.. I haven't check exchange rate for a while.. how come ringgit getting weaker and weaker every month? 
I thought this is Oil related but then Oil price seems to have bottom and rising back above $60 now.  hmm.gif
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strength of rm is surely oil price related esp when everyone is watching how big the fiscal budget deficit will actually be for the year.

but it's probably now being wrangled by the strength of the greenback, lack of fdi confidence and a string of juicy news incl 1mdb.

well... if you haven't noticed, the media is now harping less on the pain and more on the joy of how good a weak rm is for exports!

and i think a rate cut is on the cards...

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 5 2015, 02:03 AM
yok70
post Mar 5 2015, 05:52 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 5 2015, 02:00 AM)
strength of rm is surely oil price related esp when everyone is watching how big the fiscal budget deficit will actually be for the year.

but it's probably now being wrangled by the strength of the greenback, lack of fdi confidence and a string of juicy news incl 1mdb.

well... if you haven't noticed, the media is now harping less on the pain and more on the joy of how good a weak rm is for exports!

and i think a rate cut is on the cards...
*
last year, everyone kept saying rate hike. now, rate cut. what a ride, always unpredictable. thumbup.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 5 2015, 08:37 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 5 2015, 05:52 AM)
last year, everyone kept saying rate hike. now, rate cut. what a ride, always unpredictable.  thumbup.gif
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IMO, Msia real inflation is considered high relative to income and the rising household debt is big issue now because too many people borrowing too much speculate on real estate property and other gimmicks.

I think BNM should continue raise its OPR to another 25 basis point to 3.50 to curb these easy money. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 5 2015, 09:19 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 5 2015, 05:52 AM)
last year, everyone kept saying rate hike. now, rate cut. what a ride, always unpredictable.  thumbup.gif
*
precisely - things changed over the past year with the dramatic fall of commodity prices incl oil, much to the shock n chagrin of gomen.

viewing a protracted low oil price scenario, add heated currency wars, chances are bnm can't afford not to cut rates in the next few months.

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 5 2015, 08:37 AM)
IMO, Msia real inflation is considered high relative to income and the rising household debt is big issue now because too many people borrowing too much speculate on real estate property and other gimmicks.

I think BNM should continue raise its OPR to another 25 basis point to 3.50 to curb these easy money.  biggrin.gif
*
bnm may be prudent but gomen is not. debt has been viewed as good, actually the prime fuel for domestic consumption and hence gdp growth in recent years which explains the massive buildup in household debt.

the fallback was oil but that's broken. between a rock and a hard place, limited options. can't do much on the fiscal side, so back to the monetary side, cut rates to incr debt and spending to keep growing. last resort, devalue the currency! tongue.gif

latest: usd1=rm3.658.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 5 2015, 09:23 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 6 2015, 10:03 PM

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another volatile session coming, i think:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100746255?region=world#.

looking at likely int rate hike, stronger usd, oil price drop...



the only counter on my watchlist now showing green futures is heathcare... and appl which lost 5% from peak.

Apple to replace AT&T in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.



we'll see in 30 mins. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 6 2015, 10:16 PM
yok70
post Mar 6 2015, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 6 2015, 10:03 PM)
another volatile session coming, i think:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100746255?region=world#.

looking at likely int rate hike, stronger usd, oil price drop...
the only counter on my watchlist now showing green futures is heathcare... and appl which lost 5% from peak.

Apple to replace AT&T in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
we'll see in 30 mins. biggrin.gif
*
after joining Dow, it will no longer in Nasdag? Is one company can only listed in 1 index? notworthy.gif

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