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 Gold Investment Corner V8, All About Gold

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Hastebreak
post Mar 20 2025, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 20 2025, 10:51 AM)
Date $/oz RM/g RM/$

20.03.25 3050 435.10 4.436 (fed rates unchanged, sees 2 rate cuts this year; US 10 yr yield drops to 4.246%; gold new high $3052/oz)
18.03.25 3015 430.80 4.443 (US airstrikes in yemen; US-Iran tensions; gold new record price $3015/oz, RM430.80/g)
14.03.25 2987 426.90 4.445 (US inflation slows; trade wars + retaliations intensify; gold price new record high $2989/oz, RM426.90/g)
11.03.25 2887 411.20 4.430 (retreat of US-EU equity markets; fed adopts "wait & see" for rate cuts; trump tariffs on china commence)
11.02.25 2919 419.60 4.458 (new trump tariffs on steel, aluminum; gold new high $2921/oz, RM419.8/g)
04.02.25 2817 403.70 4.456 (gold price hit new record high $2830/oz, RM407/g; tariffs on mexico, canada paused 1mth)
21.01.25 2722 392.00 4.477 (Trump2.0 inauguration, markets bracing for tariffs, bond yields falling, $ weakens)
10.01.25 2670 386.00 4.495 ("trump" inflation fears; china central bank continues buying bullion; incr in gold ETFs buying)
19.12.24 2603 376.90 4.503 (fed rate cut 25bps, signals slow down in 2025 cuts; DXY 108.1; carnage in disappointed equity markets)
08.11.24 2700 380.80 4.385 (fed rate cut 25bps)
07.11.24 2662 378.62 4.422 (trump win aftermath)

so, here we are, at $3050... what next?

good read:
https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-...iation-now-main
https://www.forex.com/en/news-and-analysis/...ory-03-19-2025/
*
With this morning's FOMC having no changes, the defending high would be around $3050. smile.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 22 2025, 10:18 AM

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like many expected, gold dipped, profit taking, closing Friday at $3024, DXY 104.15.

next week will be interesting to watch... will it correct further, consolidate, or start run up again?

will u sell, buy or hold? biggrin.gif Enjoy the weekend!

good reads:

Gold market analysis: Signals of an imminent price correction
https://www.kitco.com/opinion/2025-03-21/go...rice-correction

Gold’s rally is getting tired - but ETF demand is just waking up
https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-...and-just-waking
Zhik
post Mar 24 2025, 05:34 AM

eeerrrmmmnnn, stupidity has no limit?
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 22 2025, 10:18 AM)
like many expected, gold dipped, profit taking, closing Friday at $3024, DXY 104.15.

next week will be interesting to watch... will it correct further, consolidate, or start run up again?

will u sell, buy or hold? biggrin.gif Enjoy the weekend!

good reads:

Gold market analysis: Signals of an imminent price correction
https://www.kitco.com/opinion/2025-03-21/go...rice-correction

Gold’s rally is getting tired - but ETF demand is just waking up
https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-...and-just-waking
*
Will the peace talk between urkrain/russia with help of us affect gold price?
Will the latest news of silicon valley bank post unrealised loss of 620B usd, depreciate the usd and boast the gold price?

This post has been edited by Zhik: Mar 24 2025, 06:09 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 24 2025, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(Zhik @ Mar 24 2025, 05:34 AM)
Will the peace talk between urkrain/russia with help of us affect gold price?
Will the latest news of silicon valley bank post unrealised loss of 620B usd, depreciate the usd and boast the gold price?
*
the ukraine war been going on >3years.
if peace talks succeed, surely demand for gold will decrease but that may not be the biggest factor.
but peace won't come easy, from what is reported currently.

SVB collapse? wasn't that like 2 years ago?

what i read & watched over the weekend...

.. will be interesting to see what happens on march 31 when the april futures contracts expire.
.. more institutional funds are getting into long term gold futures, exchange for physical (EFP).
.. july 1 basel3 tier1 asset requirement for gold - unclear if this will affect the US paper/ETF gold volumes.
.. speculation that musk will audit fort knox in time for july 1 deadline.
.. china & india central banks continue to buy gold; russia is selling gold to china via barter, not $.

this one is interesting:

QUOTE
Gold Price Paradox: A $13 billion naked short on yellow metal in India that loves glitter
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/e..._campaign=cppst

Zhik
post Mar 24 2025, 10:38 AM

eeerrrmmmnnn, stupidity has no limit?
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 24 2025, 10:21 AM)
the ukraine war been going on >3years.
if peace talks succeed, surely demand for gold will decrease but that may not be the biggest factor.
but peace won't come easy, from what is reported currently.

SVB collapse? wasn't that like 2 years ago?

what i read & watched over the weekend...

.. will be interesting to see what happens on march 31 when the april futures contracts expire.
.. more institutional funds are getting into long term gold futures, exchange for physical (EFP).
.. july 1 basel3 tier1 asset requirement for gold - unclear if this will affect the US paper/ETF gold volumes.
.. speculation that musk will audit fort knox in time for july 1 deadline.
.. china & india central banks continue to buy gold; russia is selling gold to china via barter, not $.

this one is interesting:
*
Bharat ? Srsly?
Interesting.
What is the contract that going to expired on 30th march ?

This post has been edited by Zhik: Mar 24 2025, 10:39 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 27 2025, 10:31 AM

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Goldman Sachs increased its central bank demand forecast from 50 tons per month to 70 tons, citing heightened U.S. policy uncertainty, and anticipated that China may continue to purchase gold rapidly over the next 3-6 years.
..
Goldman Sachs highlighted two potential upside factors for gold ETFs. First, a Fed rate cut triggered by an economic recession could push the gold price to USD3,410 by year-end. Second, increased investor demand for gold as a hedge might drive ETF holdings back to pandemic-era levels, potentially lifting the gold price to USD3,680 by year-end.

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aaf...atest-news/AAFN
Zhik
post Mar 27 2025, 10:36 AM

eeerrrmmmnnn, stupidity has no limit?
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 27 2025, 10:31 AM)
Goldman Sachs increased its central bank demand forecast from 50 tons per month to 70 tons, citing heightened U.S. policy uncertainty, and anticipated that China may continue to purchase gold rapidly over the next 3-6 years.
..
Goldman Sachs highlighted two potential upside factors for gold ETFs. First, a Fed rate cut triggered by an economic recession could push the gold price to USD3,410 by year-end. Second, increased investor demand for gold as a hedge might drive ETF holdings back to pandemic-era levels, potentially lifting the gold price to USD3,680 by year-end.

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aaf...atest-news/AAFN
*
But china federal has not been buying gold since past few months.
AVFAN
post Mar 27 2025, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(Zhik @ Mar 27 2025, 10:36 AM)
But china federal has not been buying gold since past few months.
*
where u read that?

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-...ary-2025-03-07/

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-chinese-...ds-202503261403
Zhik
post Mar 27 2025, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 27 2025, 12:38 PM)
I am sorry, it is my mistake. It is US federal, not china side.
AVFAN
post Mar 27 2025, 01:42 PM

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since nothing big happening with gold now...

SILVER...short squeeze coming? "March 31st is Buy Silver Day"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dp4QTQIf4Fg
Zhik
post Mar 27 2025, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 27 2025, 01:42 PM)
since nothing big happening with gold now...

SILVER...short squeeze coming? "March 31st is Buy Silver Day"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dp4QTQIf4Fg
*
I tot us is going to bomb middle east? Just they dont reveal which country.
BoomerangCircles
post Mar 27 2025, 05:14 PM

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AI - Gold's (XAU/USD) price movement in the next hour depends on market conditions, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and trading sentiment. Based on recent analysis, resistance levels are around $3,047, and a breakout above this could lead to further gains. However, if the price fails to break through, it might consolidate or retrace.
AVFAN
post Mar 27 2025, 06:29 PM

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Are u watching? biggrin.gif

gold spiked to $3052/oz and still rising. RM435/g.

last record high was $3057.

silver also hitting $34 again.

what happened today?


prophetjul
post Mar 27 2025, 06:53 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 27 2025, 06:29 PM)
Are u watching? biggrin.gif

gold spiked to $3052/oz and still rising. RM435/g.

last record high was $3057.

silver also hitting $34 again.

what happened today?
*
Trump's tariffs extending to auto. LOL

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fxstreet.c...rs-202503270517

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Mar 27 2025, 06:54 PM
Zhik
post Mar 27 2025, 07:31 PM

eeerrrmmmnnn, stupidity has no limit?
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 27 2025, 06:29 PM)
Are u watching? biggrin.gif

gold spiked to $3052/oz and still rising. RM435/g.

last record high was $3057.

silver also hitting $34 again.

what happened today?
*
Yup, been monitoring it since yesterday night.
Trump latest 25% permenant tariff into auto imported to us causes gold price to shoot up.
But i wonder why only now they mentioning the news esp china media. Hahaha.
Manage to buy in this morning before the rise.

This post has been edited by Zhik: Mar 27 2025, 07:32 PM
AVFAN
post Mar 27 2025, 08:09 PM

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trump tariffs.. auto 25%; he also threatened pharma... from ireland, china, australia..."very soon".

will hit americans hard as US healthcare cost is already highest in the world due to high death rates from auto accidents, drugs... + high health insurance premiums.

not unlike here where health insurance premiums are now skyrocketing.


i hv little doubt gold will set new record high price tonight.

futures showing $3092; $3100 is round the corner!

silver looks very promising, futures approaching $34.80 - risk/reward is 3x gold - consider!! laugh.gif

i'm going to hv a great lunch tmr! brows.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 28 2025, 08:47 AM

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Date $/oz RM/g RM/$

28.03.25 3062 436.36 4.430 (trade tensions mount with more tariffs, more threats; gold price record high $3063/oz, RM436/g)
20.03.25 3050 435.10 4.436 (fed rates unchanged, sees 2 rate cuts this year; US 10 yr yield drops to 4.246%; gold new high $3052/oz)
18.03.25 3015 430.80 4.443 (US airstrikes in yemen; US-Iran tensions; gold new record price $3015/oz, RM430.80/g)
11.03.25 2887 411.20 4.430 (retreat of US-EU equity markets; fed adopts "wait & see" for rate cuts; trump tariffs on china commence)
11.02.25 2919 419.60 4.458 (new trump tariffs on steel, aluminum; gold new high $2921/oz, RM419.8/g)
04.02.25 2817 403.70 4.456 (gold price hit new record high $2830/oz, RM407/g; tariffs on mexico, canada paused 1mth)
21.01.25 2722 392.00 4.477 (Trump2.0 inauguration, markets bracing for tariffs, bond yields falling, $ weakens)
10.01.25 2670 386.00 4.495 ("trump" inflation fears; china central bank continues buying bullion; incr in gold ETFs buying)
19.12.24 2603 376.90 4.503 (fed rate cut 25bps, signals slow down in 2025 cuts; DXY 108.1; carnage in disappointed equity markets)
08.11.24 2700 380.80 4.385 (fed rate cut 25bps)
07.11.24 2662 378.62 4.422 (trump win aftermath)

good read:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oy9hdBzFkIw
https://think.ing.com/articles/mar-a-lago-a...ing-the-dollar/
nexona88
post Mar 28 2025, 09:21 AM

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Everytime breaking record high...

Don't be surprised if RM500/g by year end...
Cubalagi
post Mar 28 2025, 09:34 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 28 2025, 09:21 AM)
Everytime breaking record high...

Don't be surprised if RM500/g by year end...
*
But u never buy. 😔
AVFAN
post Mar 28 2025, 09:53 AM

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oh boy... $3072... might get to 3100 by 31 march!

silver $34.42... still waiting for it to explode... or never?!

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 28 2025, 09:53 AM

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