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 V11 - Property Prices Discussion, Intelligent debates only pls

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TSkochin
post Jun 20 2013, 11:35 AM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:29 AM)
Yes... very very discipline...

I came across a young man, earning 3.5K per mth... managed to save some money, but car started giving problems, had to decide whether to repair (which would cost him a few K) or sell it off and get a new car... He decided to buy a new car... and upgraded from a 80K car to a 120K car... monthly would only cost him 1K (after trading-in his problematic older car)... I asked him, are you sure that's wise? He said "yes, I can afford 1K from my 3.5K nett every month. I'll be disciplined" ... two months after he got his car, his tyre got punctured... (first blow to his budget)... then he needed to tint his car (second blow to budget)... because he was driving a nicer car, he started going out more often (third blow to budget)... then he found a girlfriend (4th blow to budget)... His new circle of friends had new gadgets (5th blow to budget)... etc, etc... After 6 months of so called self-discipline, his parents ended up footing his car installments until today and even the new set of tyres... moral of the story?

Everyone can chip in as long as its logical... lmfao!!! biggrin.gif
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boss, just because your 'fren' failed doesn't mean everybody fail to manage their financials.
but honestly, i salute those rm3.5k salary earners driving >rm100k vehicles.

blowwater101
post Jun 20 2013, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Jun 20 2013, 11:35 AM)
boss, just because your 'fren' failed doesn't mean everybody fail to manage their financials.
but honestly, i salute those rm3.5k salary earners driving >rm100k vehicles.
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if 3.5k salary can drive >rm100k car....proton dont need to sell and close door next month rclxub.gif
Rooney1985
post Jun 20 2013, 11:41 AM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Jun 20 2013, 11:35 AM)
boss, just because your 'fren' failed doesn't mean everybody fail to manage their financials.
but honestly, i salute those rm3.5k salary earners driving >rm100k vehicles.
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Moral of story is not about failing (everyone will fail no matter how good they are)... moral of story is, its easy to say you'll be disciplined before you enter the situation... the real test only starts when you're in it...
So why don't you have a simulation to test yourself first (If you're going to commit 3.5K a month) lets see if you can save that amount monthly for 3-6 months first, to be safer, make it 4.5K per month. If you can do it... hey... you've got the discipline... OR you can take the risk and try it out for real... Well that's my opinion of the moral of the story... Feel free to add in other morals... biggrin.gif
Rooney1985
post Jun 20 2013, 11:43 AM

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affordability is vr subjective one...some manager earn 8k but they think they only afford to buy a Vios, some youngster 3K only still stretch themself to get a VIOS...if youngster can stretch themself to get expensive car...they can stretch themself to buy a house too...car & prop is diff products but what i mean here is the mentality of youngster.

what im trying to say is for youngster that choose property over car, they can go for 800k prop if they wish too...and many of them havent bought any house yet, so the demand is still there...

Hmmm I hope someone remembers the above statements... If 3K can buy vios proton better close down... lmfao!!!
AMINT
post Jun 20 2013, 11:43 AM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:35 AM)
RM is down against most major currencies (US, AUD, NZD, SGD, HKD)... Hmmmm... wonder whats going on... LMFAO!!!!
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Yes. USD changed to RM last 2 week was RM3.05 but now RM3.15. huhu. good for those who earn outside of malaysia but I wanna know what is currently going on? Anybody can help to explain? Some of my friends said that the RM will be devalued even further to rm3.3 like that very soon vs USD
Rooney1985
post Jun 20 2013, 11:49 AM

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QUOTE(AMINT @ Jun 20 2013, 11:43 AM)
Yes. USD changed to RM last 2 week was RM3.05 but now RM3.15. huhu. good for those who earn outside of malaysia but I wanna know what is currently going on? Anybody can help to explain? Some of my friends said that the RM will be devalued even further to rm3.3 like that very soon vs USD
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Yes yes... I would also like to know... anybody? anybody care to explain? biggrin.gif lol!!! And more importantly for the majority of those who read this forum... what may be the impact on property prices (if any)... please... anybody? smile.gif
blowwater101
post Jun 20 2013, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:43 AM)
affordability is vr subjective one...some manager earn 8k but they think they only afford to buy a Vios, some youngster 3K only still stretch themself to get a VIOS...if youngster can stretch themself to get expensive car...they can stretch themself to buy a house too...car & prop is diff products but what i mean here is the mentality of youngster.

what im trying to say is for youngster that choose property over car, they can go for 800k prop if they wish too...and many of them havent bought any house yet, so the demand is still there...

Hmmm I hope someone remembers the above statements... If 3K can buy vios proton better close down... lmfao!!!
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hey bro, they can stretch to that extent but it doesnt mean that it is advisable le....

notworthy.gif


teohkpin
post Jun 20 2013, 11:51 AM

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QUOTE(AMINT @ Jun 20 2013, 11:43 AM)
Yes. USD changed to RM last 2 week was RM3.05 but now RM3.15. huhu. good for those who earn outside of malaysia but I wanna know what is currently going on? Anybody can help to explain? Some of my friends said that the RM will be devalued even further to rm3.3 like that very soon vs USD
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foreign funds selling MGS dominated in MYR. So sell MYR.....sell sell sell...to buy back their own currency.......then you have local companies / tycoons investing in forien land....selll MYR.......Sell selll sell. and more selling.......That's why in earlier version i siad.....Malaysia lack of fundamental and current economic model cannot sustained.....more selling to come.

if you have children.....best to save their education fund in foriegn land......whcih is picking up close to 2.5....and 5 years later....>3.0 ......tongue.gif
AMINT
post Jun 20 2013, 11:52 AM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:49 AM)
Yes yes... I would also like to know... anybody? anybody care to explain?  biggrin.gif lol!!! And more importantly for the majority of those who read this forum... what may be the impact on property prices (if any)... please... anybody?  smile.gif
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In my opinion, the more devalued the RM, the more foreigners would be interested to buy especially Singaporeans. Our exchange rate is quite bullshit now. I am happy since I earn some parts in USD but I am worried what will happen to my country situation especially we know that we are having huge debt.


Rooney1985
post Jun 20 2013, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(blowwater101 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:50 AM)
hey bro, they can stretch to that extent but it doesnt mean  that it is advisable le....

notworthy.gif
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Oh.. so are you implying that its not advisable to stretch one's financials? If so, then is it advisable to stretch 8K to buy a 800K property? hmmmm... biggrin.gif
Rooney1985
post Jun 20 2013, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(AMINT @ Jun 20 2013, 11:52 AM)
In my opinion, the more devalued the RM, the more foreigners would be interested to buy especially Singaporeans. Our exchange rate is quite bullshit now. I am happy since I earn some parts in USD but I am worried what will happen to my country situation especially we know that we are having huge debt.
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Hmmm.. I see... it makes sense that from a purchasing power point of view, it would draw more property investors in to buy because its cheaper.. but from an economic point of view if the currency is devaluing due to weak fundamentals, which investors would want to start up businesses here... and if few, then where will the jobs (especially for expats) come from? And if that is not there then where is the rental demand and yield going to come from? If business declines then wouldn't there be job cuts? Well unless of course and obviously that the whole economy relies again on property development??? Which is what it already has been doing... so is there going to be more? Hmmmm....
AMINT
post Jun 20 2013, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:56 AM)
Oh.. so are you implying that its not advisable to stretch one's financials? If so, then is it advisable to stretch 8K to buy a 800K property? hmmmm... biggrin.gif
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Stretch is fine if one has plan B, C, D ,E to service loan... if no plan, i would suggest to buy at own affordability standard.
Yamma
post Jun 20 2013, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(EddyLB @ Jun 20 2013, 10:57 AM)
If 800k property loan 720k, tenure 40 years, monthly installment is RM3k. 3k out of 8k is 37.5%, so bank will still approve

Depends on the couple want to buy or not. The bank says they can afford  laugh.gif
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so cheap one? mine loan 550k 35 years got to pay 2600 p.m.

i doubt 35 vs 40 bring significant diff..
blowwater101
post Jun 20 2013, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 11:56 AM)
Oh.. so are you implying that its not advisable to stretch one's financials? If so, then is it advisable to stretch 8K to buy a 800K property? hmmmm... biggrin.gif
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bear in mind if one spend 1k out of 3.5k net income (29%+) or 3k of out 8k (38%) is very different one le, 30%+- from net income but net free cash flow is different.

3k out of 8k net income i think is ok...have enough holding power. if the location is not bad...the area is good...why not ? bear in mind is 1st prop will occupaid for own stay in future...

thx for your practical view, i got what u mean notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by blowwater101: Jun 20 2013, 12:04 PM
kurtkob78
post Jun 20 2013, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(teohkpin @ Jun 20 2013, 10:58 AM)
I commented in version 10 that everything is looking too rosy with bond yield all time low, equity all time high and property prices all time high, all dirven by liquidty. With the unwinding of liquidty now, MGS yield has steppened, USD to RM today 3.197......next should be equity, which we will see a huge reversal of foreign fund...... Property? if market panic......i think we will see people locking in profits, more selling than buying and price will drop.....coincide witht the oversupply of high rise coming 2014. If i am thinking of buying, i will hold on first.....i think we should see some correction (>10% drop in MV) in 2Q14. Just my thought.....
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since the prop appreciate at about 10% per year, when we reach 2Q 2014, the correction will come back to 2Q 2013? Might as well buy now?

that's assuming the trend is 10% appreciation per year. I donno about the real appreciation. ANyone can clarify?
AMINT
post Jun 20 2013, 12:10 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ Jun 20 2013, 12:01 PM)
Hmmm.. I see... it makes sense that from a purchasing power point of view, it would draw more property investors in to buy because its cheaper.. but from an economic point of view if the currency is devaluing due to weak fundamentals, which investors would want to start up businesses here... and if few, then where will the jobs (especially for expats) come from? And if that is not there then where is the rental demand and yield going to come from? If business declines then wouldn't there be job cuts? Well unless of course and obviously that the whole economy relies again on property development??? Which is what it already has been doing... so is there going to be more? Hmmmm....
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I am not an economist but just saying based on what I think is logic. I believe property prices wont be affected negatively until 2016-2017. why? We have such stimulus like the Economic Tranformation Plan. One of the things is the new MRT phase 1,2,3 and lrt#2,3.

We have employed many foreigners professional and non-professionals to work and actually from the data I have, rental in certain parts of kl is been increasing steadily. well this maybe an artificial effect since it is supported by the projects of the ETP.

I believe since these projects are ongoing, property prices would not be affected as not just foreigners coming but Malaysians are also buying near MRT and LRT. Until around 2016-2017, in which the next GE is around the corner and MRT#1 and LRT#2 almost completed or functional (dunno), then maybe we could see some negative effect. that time MRT#2,#3 and others ETP is still unknown of their status. If BN loses, then we could see something else in the initial stage.


If you ask me, we are in the correct timing to buy near these new MRT, LRT. When all phases completed, I believe price wont be as per current price anymore. bad news for buyer then. This is a chance of a lifetime. one should look into this opportunity just like those early buyers before 2008.

This post has been edited by AMINT: Jun 20 2013, 12:17 PM
TSkochin
post Jun 20 2013, 01:17 PM

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QUOTE(AMINT @ Jun 20 2013, 12:10 PM)
I am not an economist but just saying based on what I think is logic. I believe property prices wont be affected negatively until 2016-2017. why? We have such stimulus like the Economic Tranformation Plan. One of the things is the new MRT phase 1,2,3 and lrt#2,3.

We have employed many foreigners professional and non-professionals to work and actually from the data I have, rental in certain parts of kl is been increasing steadily. well this maybe an artificial effect since it is supported by the projects of the ETP.

I believe since these projects are ongoing, property prices would not be affected as not just foreigners coming but Malaysians are also buying near MRT and LRT. Until around 2016-2017, in which the next GE is around the corner and MRT#1 and LRT#2 almost completed or functional (dunno), then maybe we could see some negative effect. that time MRT#2,#3 and others ETP is still unknown of their status. If BN loses, then we could see something else in the initial stage.
If you ask me, we are in the correct timing to buy near these new MRT, LRT. When all phases completed, I believe price wont be as per current price anymore. bad news for buyer then. This is a chance of a lifetime. one should look into this opportunity just like those early buyers before 2008.
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hmm.gif hmm.gif hmm.gif
AMINT
post Jun 20 2013, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Jun 20 2013, 01:17 PM)
hmm.gif  hmm.gif  hmm.gif
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Why bro? After mrt and lrt completed, those houses nearby will surely appreciate, right? I consider that as a chance of a lifetime to buy at current price
icemanfx
post Jun 20 2013, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(AMINT @ Jun 20 2013, 01:25 PM)
Why bro? After mrt and lrt completed, those houses nearby will surely appreciate, right? I consider that as a chance of a lifetime to buy at current price
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Before KLIA was completed, house price in Nilai, Sepang, Salak Tinggi area was rocketed. However, after KLIA was completed, lots of these houses were left vacant for many years.


blowwater101
post Jun 20 2013, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jun 20 2013, 01:38 PM)
Before KLIA was completed, house price in Nilai, Sepang, Salak Tinggi area was rocketed. However, after KLIA was completed, lots of these houses were left vacant for many years.
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chance of a lifetime...mayb too optimistic...

but compare KLIA with MRT/LRT development ..... rclxub.gif

KLIA only a good factor for nilai/sepang....MRT/LRT is direct enhancement of the current city

This post has been edited by blowwater101: Jun 20 2013, 01:44 PM

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