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 Car Resale Values, Fact or Myth?

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kcng
post Mar 8 2013, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 04:42 PM)
Intangible costs (e.g. satisfaction, convenience, etc.) are very much harder to calculate or converted into dollars and cents. Need to ask economist colleague. However, you've managed to answer your own question. Hypothetically, you're willing to lose $10k for 5-years of driving satisfaction. This "satisfaction" is subjective. But let's say we convert it into an ordinal scale, say Likert's 5-point scale. Assuming you're satisfaction level is 5 (perfectly satisfied) as opposed to a better RV car which gives you satisfaction level of 3 (so-so). Thus, you gain 2 points of satisfaction for a 5 year period at a cost of $10k. The next question is, what's your limit/dealbreaker?  $20k? $50k? How many ringgit per satisfaction points per year is good enough for you? Ok so now it becomes more complex and less fun.
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can an economist even put a value on satisfaction?
smile.gif
and mind u diff ppl have diff lvl of satisfaction and also for their limit..

as for me, i don't mind blowing even RM 200k as long as I have satisfaction everytime i get behind the wheels...

good point u have there tho.. hopefully the others can see that....

QUOTE(Bubble Ring @ Mar 8 2013, 05:24 PM)
Not just about driving satisfaction. How about peace of mind driving?
Driving a least-safe car equal waiting for disaster happen! sweat.gif

Resale value can be sacrificed but definitely not for your legs!

user posted image
Here are the example car with premium price tag, high resale value but with poor safety rating:




*
Peace of mind driving?
Like how? Felt dead everytime i get behind the wheels but I am giving the impression that i am supposedly safer?
Thats like asking me to prepare for something that MIGHT happen... and while waiting for that something that MIGHT happen, i have to live in "fear/anticipation/etc" while sacrificing the joy that i can get from driving?

Did i even say that driving satisfaction means u must drive a least-safer car?
rclxub.gif
SUSgoodguyextremist
post Mar 8 2013, 10:16 PM

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QUOTE(edison1437 @ Mar 8 2013, 05:38 PM)
if like that all super bikes need to be thrown away as there is no protection but only satisfaction when riding it  biggrin.gif
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Countries that care about its people, will not let its people take kapchai and motorcycles as primary transport. They prepare convenient and effective public transports with more hubs linking districts. Cars are priced reasonable discouraging people from going for bikes for primary transport. Superbikes and lowriders are mainly for pleasure rides. They are looking forward to replace bikes with fuel saving capsules like in TRON movie.

Car resale value will be good if these are met:
- Lots of spare parts and priced reasonable
- There are workshops that know how to fix
- Looks of the car
- Reliable and maintenance low
- Demand for that car
- Safety and build quality

After GE, heard they will attempt to seize the automotive hub title from Thailand after huge tax reduction. If true, we'll get more cheap spare parts for the brands that have factories here. They are targeting Japanese, Conti and Korean carmakers to invest here. Tax from huge business growth profit especially from foreign investors will compensate the car tax reduction.

This post has been edited by goodguyextremist: Mar 8 2013, 10:19 PM
thefryingfox
post Mar 8 2013, 11:02 PM

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lets talk now- AFTER GE always follows with the words I THINK, I HEARD, MY NEIGHBOUR this n that.


All this speculation is not helping the auto industry. And i agree with the folks up there - you can buy a car that has good 2nd hand value but u can never put a price on driver satisfaction. Everytime i take that specific corner at 130 kmh while the honda's and toyota's can only do at 80kmh...i FEEL so SYOK! and considering i got 400NM OF torque from 1.8k RPM and peaks at 2.3k RPM - you can buy anything like that in the market that gives that kinda thrill - but offcourse, my car depreciates like a bullet train
new[x]
post Mar 8 2013, 11:07 PM

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TS has started a good discussion and his effort must be lauded.

Generally, there are two items that make the bulk of our financial commitments:
1. House
2. Car

For houses, Malaysians need to be aware not to purchase new launching priced at RM700-RM800 per square feet (psf) when property prices in the surrounding area is priced at only RM300-RM400 psf. Property speculators are raking huge profits at the expense of sincere home purchasers while adding no value to the property value chain. It is way better to buy a subsale property than a new launching.

Similarly for cars, we also need to make similar decision not to purchase overpriced cars with low specifications when we can get somewhat similarly priced cars with better technologies and specifications. Certain car makers need to be taught not to rake up huge profits at the expense of hardworking citizen while continue to offer less values than the others.

The money saved could be used to enjoy a better lifestyle - traveling, fine dining, etc., things of which otherwise needed to be sacrificed so that someone could make an obscene amount of money at our expenses.

Agreed?
gunplakk
post Mar 8 2013, 11:15 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367
Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
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not comparing apples with apples... one is 136K another one is 154K... should compare to something that of similar value e.g. Honda Civic 2.0 FD...
purchased : 128K in 07
Sold for : 75K in 2013
6 yrs depreciation... taking financing out of the equation, and looking at it as a pure P&L point of view....
the Civic lost 8833 RM per annum vs 14K of the peugeot
smile.gif

joseph.lim
post Mar 9 2013, 01:44 AM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Mar 8 2013, 11:15 PM)
not comparing apples with apples... one is 136K another one is 154K... should compare to something that of similar value e.g. Honda Civic 2.0 FD...
purchased : 128K in 07
Sold for : 75K in 2013
6 yrs depreciation... taking financing out of the equation, and looking at it as a pure P&L point of view....
the Civic lost 8833 RM per annum vs 14K of the peugeot
smile.gif
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Bro, it is comparing apple to apple where both cars fall under D-segment category. Your Civic is C-segment la, that is apple and orange comparison.
gunplakk
post Mar 9 2013, 05:43 AM

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QUOTE(joseph.lim @ Mar 9 2013, 01:44 AM)
Bro, it is comparing apple to apple where both cars fall under D-segment category.  Your Civic is C-segment la, that is apple and orange comparison.
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well, in terms of segment maybe but here you talking devaluation, so it should be value based. doing it like this seems a little unfair to the Camry
rompers
post Mar 9 2013, 06:47 AM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 8 2013, 04:11 PM)
how do u value satisfaction of ownership then?
the joy of driving?

i know my car might have shitty resale value IF i do want to sell it, but during the short time with the car, i have plenty of driving joy as compared to some boring boat...

how do u rate that value then?

scenario:
$10k saved but I lost 5 years of driving satisfaction?
nah... i will pass...
i rather have driving satisfaction then worrying about some figures that is going to hit me 5 years later...
*
I guess the "joy/satisfaction" of driving can only be afforded by the rich and famous, no?
If one can only afford a Proto*, then he/she should limit his/her imagination (only in terms of driving) and just enjoy the ride.

My point here being, we need to generalise when we discuss about the impact and importance of a vehicle's RV to the masses.
Unfortunately, the masses also means ordinary Joes like myself and a majority of others whom are not equipped with deep pockets. smile.gif

QUOTE(gunplakk @ Mar 8 2013, 11:15 PM)
not comparing apples with apples... one is 136K another one is 154K... should compare to something that of similar value e.g. Honda Civic 2.0 FD...
purchased : 128K in 07
Sold for : 75K in 2013
6 yrs depreciation... taking financing out of the equation, and looking at it as a pure P&L point of view....
the Civic lost 8833 RM per annum vs 14K of the peugeot
smile.gif
*
I think it has already been mentioned that for vehicles of similar values, no calculations are required. Less RV = rugi.
Unless u want to factor in the "intangibles". smile.gif
edison1437
post Mar 9 2013, 08:42 AM

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QUOTE(rompers @ Mar 9 2013, 06:47 AM)
I guess the "joy/satisfaction" of driving can only be afforded by the rich and famous, no?
If one can only afford a Proto*, then he/she should limit his/her imagination (only in terms of driving) and just enjoy the ride.

My point here being, we need to generalise when we discuss about the impact and importance of a vehicle's RV to the masses.
Unfortunately, the masses also means ordinary Joes like myself and a majority of others whom are not equipped with deep pockets. smile.gif
I think it has already been mentioned that for vehicles of similar values, no calculations are required. Less RV = rugi.
Unless u want to factor in the "intangibles". smile.gif
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"satisfaction" of driving only can be measured by the individual him/herself some car you think its satisfy you but not others.
so i dont think that only rich will have the "joy"
some guys will think that he'll satisfy with a proton some will not
of course the guy can afford better he'll go for better
RV good or not when you buy a car u already rugi
RV should not be the 1st priority when you going to choose your car

This post has been edited by edison1437: Mar 9 2013, 08:43 AM
dares
post Mar 9 2013, 08:44 AM

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QUOTE(rompers @ Mar 9 2013, 06:47 AM)
I guess the "joy/satisfaction" of driving can only be afforded by the rich and famous, no?
If one can only afford a Proto*, then he/she should limit his/her imagination (only in terms of driving) and just enjoy the ride.

*
Not really. You don't have to buy a lambo / Ferrari to enjoy driving.

For example, in stock form, a Fiesta offers superior driver satisfaction than a similiarly price Dugong, although the dugong offers better RV due to cheaper maintenance, branding and reliability.

Even if you can only afford a Proton, most Proton cars offer a better drive than Perodua (except Kelisa) in the same price bracket, even though Perodua cars have slightly higher RV.

It's basically down to your own priorities.

This post has been edited by dares: Mar 9 2013, 08:45 AM
kcchong2000
post Mar 9 2013, 08:51 AM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Mar 9 2013, 05:43 AM)
well, in terms of segment maybe but here you talking devaluation, so it should be value based. doing it like this seems a little unfair to the Camry
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Actually other hidden meaning for this calculation comparing same segment but price differently, where after period of 5 years the difference the so called high resale value for camry have been offset (or overpaid to be precise) at the starting price.

So what TS means (or so I thought) on the myth is only a hypothetical figures where after 5 years, the brand with lower resale value is not always on the lost side.

It is not unfair to the Camry to be precise, actually it is quite unfair to car buyer where the market perception always blinded us to making a decision on buying cars due to Resale value and not other criteria such as safety, driving passion, etc

With the so called new camry where price so high without VSA is a joke compare to a normal B segment such as fiesta and Honda City (high spec)
joseph.lim
post Mar 9 2013, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Mar 9 2013, 05:43 AM)
well, in terms of segment maybe but here you talking devaluation, so it should be value based. doing it like this seems a little unfair to the Camry
*
anyway, we cannot control how people think whether they buy their own car based on RV or not, as what others said in this topic, is your money and your own satisfaction, the joy of driving the car you like. If you can afford on a high startup, high monthly instalment, go for it. On the otherside, RV could be one factor why people choose the car, but there are also other factors may have cause them make the decision eg, The reputation of brand, easy to find spare parts whether is original or oem, a lot of specialist out there and so forth. So, don't take it too seriously or personally on this calculation smile.gif

This post has been edited by joseph.lim: Mar 9 2013, 12:01 PM
kcng
post Mar 9 2013, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(rompers @ Mar 9 2013, 06:47 AM)
I guess the "joy/satisfaction" of driving can only be afforded by the rich and famous, no?
If one can only afford a Proto*, then he/she should limit his/her imagination (only in terms of driving) and just enjoy the ride.
*
other people have already answer you...

that is why i say what is the value to be slapped on joy of driving?

for some, is to take their cars (proton or what not) up into the hills of bukit tinggi to enjoy the delicious corners...
for some is to enjoy high-speed cruising with their cars..
for some is to enjoy the driving feel of their cars... steering feedback etc
for some is to enjoy top down slow sunday morning cruise around town...
for some is to do donuts on an empty parking lot...

so how do u put a face value to that?

rompers
post Mar 9 2013, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 9 2013, 11:13 AM)
other people have already answer you...

that is why i say what is the value to be slapped on joy of driving?

for some, is to take their cars (proton or what not) up into the hills of bukit tinggi to enjoy the delicious corners...
for some is to enjoy high-speed cruising with their cars..
for some is to enjoy the driving feel of their cars... steering feedback etc
for some is to enjoy top down slow sunday morning cruise around town...
for some is to do donuts on an empty parking lot...

so how do u put a face value to that?
*
Which I my point exactly. We can not.
Intrinsic and intangible values of "joy and satisfaction" towards a certain product is very much subjective.

We can only generalise here.
If money is no object, perhaps 10 out of 10 will be driving a sports car. However, I could be wrong. Maybe only 6 or 7 will drive a sports car. The balance may find joy in driving a luxury cruiser. Or maybe I'm entirely wrong. Maybe everyone is an environmentalist and chooses to drive a hybrid/electric, etc.

However, how financial analysts and economists and even actuaries come up with statistics and charts are mostly based on the (assumed) general opinion of the masses.
And as mentioned, masses in this case means the ordinary Joes.

As such, for consistency purposes, individual intrinsic preferences will not be factored in for most (if not all) calculations as there is no way to do that. Only an individual can do so himself/herself.

So, u are absolutely right that 'joy and satisfaction' is immeasurable. Thus, it is a moot point to factor that into any calculations.

JMHO smile.gif
coinstar
post Mar 9 2013, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367
Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
*
U confused with cash flow... Total paid for Pug 85k and total paid for Camry 76K... Camry still cheaper..

coinstar
post Mar 9 2013, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367
Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
*
U confused with cash flow... Total paid for Pug 85k and total paid for Camry 76K... Camry still cheaper..

TScybermaster98
post Mar 9 2013, 08:23 PM

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QUOTE(coinstar @ Mar 9 2013, 08:10 PM)
U confused with cash flow... Total paid for Pug 85k and total paid for Camry 76K... Camry still cheaper..
Ure the one who is confused. Cash flow means the amount of money you have LEFT which in this case is the excess amount of the monthly loan repayments.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 9 2013, 08:24 PM

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QUOTE(newx @ Mar 8 2013, 11:07 PM)
TS has started a good discussion and his effort must be lauded.

Generally, there are two items that make the bulk of our financial commitments:
1. House
2. Car

For houses, Malaysians need to be aware not to purchase new launching priced at RM700-RM800 per square feet (psf) when property prices in the surrounding area is priced at only RM300-RM400 psf. Property speculators are raking huge profits at the expense of sincere home purchasers while adding no value to the property value chain. It is way better to buy a subsale property than a new launching.

Similarly for cars, we also need to make similar decision not to purchase overpriced cars with low specifications when we can get somewhat similarly priced cars with better technologies and specifications. Certain car makers need to be taught not to rake up huge profits at the expense of hardworking citizen while continue to offer less values than the others.

The money saved could be used to enjoy a better lifestyle - traveling, fine dining, etc., things of which otherwise needed to be sacrificed so that someone could make an obscene amount of money at our expenses.

Agreed?
Agreed. Well said.
coinstar
post Mar 9 2013, 09:45 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 9 2013, 08:23 PM)
Ure the one who is confused. Cash flow means the amount of money you have LEFT which in this case is the excess amount of the monthly loan repayments.
*
lol... In total u pay more for pug...
rompers
post Mar 10 2013, 06:03 AM

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QUOTE(coinstar @ Mar 9 2013, 09:45 PM)
lol... In total u pay more for pug...
*
No buddy..
For the sake of simplicity, we should take the purchase price of the brand new cars and minus out the final respective total loss values. The difference will tell you which is supposedly a more 'pocket friendly' (for lack of a better word) car.

P/S - provided that everything else remains constant (a.k.a. ceteris paribus) smile.gif

Edit: That's to my understanding-lah..if TS meant something else, then perhaps he could shed some light and correct me.

This post has been edited by rompers: Mar 10 2013, 06:06 AM

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