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 Car Resale Values, Fact or Myth?

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joeblows
post Mar 8 2013, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(mokhzaini @ Mar 8 2013, 02:45 PM)
is this a thread genuinely discussing how important RV or, it just an excuse hiding behind the importance of RV just because somebody bought a good car with very bad history thus that car now value worthless?

if everyone is doing the first part, then good lah. because RV is not only matter here, but all of the world. so does the running cost. how importance, thats another matter lah. but if everyone here is doing the second part, then i am afraid they are just trying to devalue something of a value in the first place.

okay, i see many people just look at the price tags alone. of which just half truth. so how about after sales stuffs? servicing easiness? parts easy to find? and very widespread presence nationawide? how about those stuffs? they do contribute to high RV.

are they justify the high selling price? well it depends on the situation. now easy la type behind keybord and say nothing matter except price tags. say what if your branded korean make had to stay in workshop for weeks because the parts yet to arrive from korea? or ur german make come in come out service centres simply because they cannot figure whats wrong?

all i am trying to say is, RV is not a matter of just the price tag. u gotta see the whole thing. okay now some brands of course selling good value for money. nevermind, for anyone buying those so please do so and enjoy whatever the brands are throwing. but hiding behind this RV to level the field isnt that nice.
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I can't comment on Toyota much.

But don't think Honda cars are problem-free compared to the likes of Korean or German makes. VW does need to buck up on their service centres however.

Right now, I would say Honda cars are just coasting on brand appeal, hybrids and the sporty look of some of their rides, but the value for money is rather lacking.

JMHO.
monocle
post Mar 8 2013, 04:20 PM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 8 2013, 04:11 PM)
how do u value satisfaction of ownership then?
the joy of driving?

i know my car might have shitty resale value IF i do want to sell it, but during the short time with the car, i have plenty of driving joy as compared to some boring boat...

how do u rate that value then?

scenario:
$10k saved but I lost 5 years of driving satisfaction?
nah... i will pass...
i rather have driving satisfaction then worrying about some figures that is going to hit me 5 years later...
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facts please..
kcng
post Mar 8 2013, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(monocle @ Mar 8 2013, 04:20 PM)
facts please..
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scenario..
means i pluck a figure out from the air and use it as an example...

else can u tell me how you rate value of driving satisfaction?
gheyfriend
post Mar 8 2013, 04:36 PM

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everyone started to ask facts now days?......ppl ady say example but somehow seems like now days need to prove it to the point n compare apple to apply..cannot just accept as an opinion meh?



dares
post Mar 8 2013, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 8 2013, 04:11 PM)
how do u value satisfaction of ownership then?
the joy of driving?

i know my car might have shitty resale value IF i do want to sell it, but during the short time with the car, i have plenty of driving joy as compared to some boring boat...

how do u rate that value then?

scenario:
$10k saved but I lost 5 years of driving satisfaction?
nah... i will pass...
i rather have driving satisfaction then worrying about some figures that is going to hit me 5 years later...
*
+1

even if you are not a driving kaki, maybe safety is worth something?
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 8 2013, 04:11 PM)
how do u rate that value then?

scenario:
$10k saved but I lost 5 years of driving satisfaction?
nah... i will pass...
i rather have driving satisfaction then worrying about some figures that is going to hit me 5 years later...
*
Intangible costs (e.g. satisfaction, convenience, etc.) are very much harder to calculate or converted into dollars and cents. Need to ask economist colleague. However, you've managed to answer your own question. Hypothetically, you're willing to lose $10k for 5-years of driving satisfaction. This "satisfaction" is subjective. But let's say we convert it into an ordinal scale, say Likert's 5-point scale. Assuming you're satisfaction level is 5 (perfectly satisfied) as opposed to a better RV car which gives you satisfaction level of 3 (so-so). Thus, you gain 2 points of satisfaction for a 5 year period at a cost of $10k. The next question is, what's your limit/dealbreaker? $20k? $50k? How many ringgit per satisfaction points per year is good enough for you? Ok so now it becomes more complex and less fun.
aaronchaiz
post Mar 8 2013, 05:02 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888

Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
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RM154990 - RM 136888 = RM18102. The difference also almost 20k. doh.gif
Drian
post Mar 8 2013, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367
Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
*
I think the big flaw in the calculation is the assumption that the service/maintenance costs are equal.
If they were really equal peugeout will never have such bad resale value in the first place.



Bubble Ring
post Mar 8 2013, 05:24 PM

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QUOTE(kcng @ Mar 8 2013, 04:11 PM)
how do u value satisfaction of ownership then?
the joy of driving?

i know my car might have shitty resale value IF i do want to sell it, but during the short time with the car, i have plenty of driving joy as compared to some boring boat...

how do u rate that value then?

scenario:
$10k saved but I lost 5 years of driving satisfaction?
nah... i will pass...
i rather have driving satisfaction then worrying about some figures that is going to hit me 5 years later...
*
Not just about driving satisfaction. How about peace of mind driving?
Driving a least-safe car equal waiting for disaster happen! sweat.gif

Resale value can be sacrificed but definitely not for your legs!

user posted image


Here are the example car with premium price tag, high resale value but with poor safety rating:




TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(Drian @ Mar 8 2013, 05:17 PM)
I think the big flaw in the calculation is the assumption that the service/maintenance costs are equal.
If they were really equal peugeout will never have such bad resale value in the first place.
The point of the discussion is not to justify why resale values are low or high. That calculation is an ilustration to show that although a particlar make may have a low resale value in future but when u take into account the initial start up costs and 'savings' on monthly installments, then the poor resale value is sorta evened out. Its not meant to be an all conclusive calculation which is why i put it on a thread to pick your brains. Everybody is free to agree or disagree but do explain why.

Cheers!
edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(Bubble Ring @ Mar 8 2013, 05:24 PM)
Not just about driving satisfaction. How about peace of mind driving?
Driving a least-safe car equal waiting for disaster happen! sweat.gif

Resale value can be sacrificed but definitely not for your legs!

user posted image
Here are the example car with premium price tag, high resale value but with poor safety rating:




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if like that all super bikes need to be thrown away as there is no protection but only satisfaction when riding it biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by edison1437: Mar 8 2013, 05:38 PM
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 05:44 PM

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QUOTE(Drian @ Mar 8 2013, 05:17 PM)
I think the big flaw in the calculation is the assumption that the service/maintenance costs are equal.
If they were really equal peugeout will never have such bad resale value in the first place.
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That "flaw" was intentional. The assumption was made purposefully (irrespective to whether it's true or not) for/due to:
1. Ease of calculation.
2. Lack of data for (maintainance/service) costs.






tehoice
post Mar 8 2013, 06:01 PM

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actually a suitable example could be by comparing the old sonata vs old camry or even old accord, from there, you might see the difference. of course, with those assumptions mentioned above.
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 06:03 PM

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QUOTE(edison1437 @ Mar 8 2013, 05:38 PM)
if like that all super bikes need to be thrown away as there is no protection but only satisfaction when riding it  :D
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This statement is true depending who you ask and how they rate safety. Many parents (including myself) will never let their children get motorcycle license or ride bikes. Road traffic fatality rates are highest among riders. I also already saw too many cases of "unnecessary" severe head injuries and fractures resulted from "minor" accidents to the extent that i feel bikes should be banned. "Unnecessary" here means that it could have been avoided had they had drive instead of riding. For those who couldn't afford cars, use public transport instead.
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 06:08 PM

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QUOTE(tehoice @ Mar 8 2013, 06:01 PM)
actually a suitable example could be by comparing the old sonata vs old camry or even old accord, from there, you might see the difference. of course, with those assumptions mentioned above.
*
Yup. But for the sake of impartiality, you'll need to provide:
1. Original car price (when it was bought brand new).
2. Resale price at a given time (e.g. after 5 or 7 years)
3. % or downpayment/interest rates. (irrelevant, if assumed to be equal).
kadajawi
post Mar 8 2013, 07:14 PM

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QUOTE(edison1437 @ Mar 8 2013, 05:38 PM)
if like that all super bikes need to be thrown away as there is no protection but only satisfaction when riding it  biggrin.gif
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With the right protective gear and attitude it's not that bad. Of course, in Malaysia both are usually bad.

This post has been edited by kadajawi: Mar 8 2013, 07:14 PM
edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 07:30 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 06:03 PM)
This statement is true depending who you ask and how they rate safety. Many parents (including myself) will never let their children get motorcycle license or ride bikes. Road traffic fatality rates are highest among riders. I also already saw too many cases of "unnecessary" severe head injuries and fractures resulted from "minor" accidents to the extent that i feel bikes should be banned. "Unnecessary" here means that it could have been avoided had they had drive instead of riding. For those who couldn't afford cars, use public transport instead.
*
Having own transport will be more convenient
If your want to take public transport also need to depend where you stay
Don't think public transport in bolehland is convenient enough

QUOTE(kadajawi @ Mar 8 2013, 07:14 PM)
With the right protective gear and attitude it's not that bad. Of course, in Malaysia both are usually bad.
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This I need to agree in western country normally they'll have full protective gear if they ride in those "fast" bikes
A Germany friend of mine said that he only need about 10 min to wear all the safety gears rather than having serious injuries
kailord
post Mar 8 2013, 07:45 PM

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Personally, I do think RV is an important factor to consider when buying a car. Especially if your income is not so high. However, that alone should not be the only consideration. I have a lot of people around me that would quickly disapprove of a car choice based on its RV. To me that's just stupid and annoying.

There are so many other factors to consider. Safety, reliability, cheap maintenance, parts availability, driving satisfaction, extra features, etc.

Put all those into your personal consideration and then decide whether the price tag and the RV are worth the ride.
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 07:55 PM

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Most developed countries put great concern on safety. They even wear full protective gear when riding BICYCLES. That includes helmet, elbow guards, knee guards, proper shoes, straps to keep the bottom part of your trousers from flaring out. When i was a student long time ago, i saw many lecturers put on all those gear on top of their office wear (suit+tie) when cycling to work. Yes, i understand our public transport is atrocious. But, to me at least, the risks of injury/death from bikes in Msia is too high. Convenience can take a back seat.
FlyWheel
post Mar 8 2013, 08:32 PM

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QUOTE(tehoice @ Mar 8 2013, 06:01 PM)
actually a suitable example could be by comparing the old sonata vs old camry or even old accord, from there, you might see the difference. of course, with those assumptions mentioned above.
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Perhaps even better if comparing the old Optima vs old Camry.

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