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 Car Resale Values, Fact or Myth?

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TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM, updated 13y ago

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This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367


Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720


SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(s@ni @ Mar 8 2013, 09:30 AM)
could u put also inspira 2.0P & kia k5? i'm interested to know oso la... but, maintenance cost is also the biggest headache..
U gotta choose cars which have been on the road for some time in order to make a logical comparision. Pointless comparing cars which are new. I think 3 years would be the minimum period in which to compare which is why the Peugeot 407 was chosen i guess. But feel free to make other similar comparisons.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(s@ni @ Mar 8 2013, 09:37 AM)
inspira is near to 3 years iinm hmm.gif

k5 is new... so cant compare la? ok noted.
Yup i guess so. Maybe compare against the previous gen Civic?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 10:19 AM

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QUOTE(woengx2 @ Mar 8 2013, 10:09 AM)
Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L
Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $136,888 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $66,888
Toyota Camry 2.0L
Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $154,800 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $54,800

If you bought both the car by "cash", it obviously show which car has good resale value.  tongue.gif

Off course you may argue that no one buying car by cash but to the matter of fact it does happened.  biggrin.gif
We can't have a scenario for every circumstance. So we'll go with the norm or general scenario. There are ppl who buy cars cash but those are rare and few. Its not always based on affordability. Car interest rates are low so it makes sense to take a loan but ensure the extra funds are earning a better return elsewhere. Sadly, many ppl take car loans to increase their affordability.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(FlyWheel @ Mar 8 2013, 10:13 AM)
You may have comparing the wrong segment or value, you should have compare the 407 with Altis not camry and then you will have totally different answer. sweat.gif
Isnt the 407 a D segment? Well, why dont u provide the calculations then?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(gheyfriend @ Mar 8 2013, 10:32 AM)
y when ppl question the statement and u end up calling ppl calculate then? y cant u accept something even when u know it's wrong? some ppl just don have the knowledge like u to come out with those graph...

back to the topic, it's just a myth...i choose camry even if it's more expensive....coz chinamen mentality mar.....
Ru born stupid or just acting? I asked him to provide the calculations not because i dont believe but because i dont have the figures myself la. So if he has it then he's most welcome to share and enlighten us. Maybe there really is a difference. U think im gonna go do research for every damn car price ah? Anyway, that calculation was provided by another forumer (which ive clearly mentioned). Im sharing this with everybody to encourage a mature discussion. If u dont think u can offer mature comments then kindly stay out of this thread. And what is that i know which is wrong? I dont see anything wrong in that calculation.

Next time dont just make blind wild accusations. If ure not sure, then by all means ASK!

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Mar 8 2013, 12:04 PM
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 11:00 AM)
By the way, I think the original post/calculation was made by me, in a Mazda6 thread. I was just trying make a simple illustration on how poor resale vale can be offset by lower purchase price, from a financial point of view. There were a few assumptions though e.g. comparison should be cars of the same segment (in the example, both are d-segments), should be of same age, no change in new price (e.g. change in tax structure, etc.) bla bla... I was doing it out of boredom as I like playing with numbers.
Yes i didnt remember who said it first. But i thought it was a good sharing and calculation. Thats why i thought id share it for everyone to take note especially those who keep harping on resale value.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(edison1437 @ Mar 8 2013, 12:13 PM)
not remembering who mentioned but you able to come out such similar quotes notworthy.gif  notworthy.gif
When he posted this a few months back, i immediately saved the calculations on my computer for reference. I was going through my files this morning when i found this and decided to post it.

And your point is?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(gheyfriend @ Mar 8 2013, 12:32 PM)
only 1 ppl here is good in investing,so, by his calculations tweaking by someone else,watever car versus toyota, watever car wins
Its ppl like you who ruin mature threads like this. Can we have some more constructive comments please?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(gheyfriend @ Mar 8 2013, 12:38 PM)
is tat y u decided to buy tat K5? u gotta thank him.....  thumbup.gif  thumbup.gif
Bro, common la. Im sure u know that i didnt buy my ride in Jan this year rite? doh.gif

Anyway, i was one of those who thought very highly about resale values too. But after reading many articles i began to understand there are more important factors to consider than just resale value. Hence my decision to leave Toyota after 9.5 years. biggrin.gif
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:46 PM

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1,063 views in less than 4hrs. Not bad eh. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Mar 8 2013, 12:47 PM
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 12:53 PM)
Yes, you can say cars aren't investments. We can consider them as lialibilties/losses. But the point of making some rough calculation to find out if we can minimize loss. My earlier calculation is just to show how RV can be overrated i.e. not exactly superb financially speaking. I'm not Sam Loo lah bros, don't shoot me.
Haha! Sam Loo! That fellow gone silent now eh? Wonder what happened to him. Well personally i think that was a good calculation you made. Any other calculations you have done since?
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 01:30 PM

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QUOTE(joeblows @ Mar 8 2013, 01:27 PM)
Also a good indicator to know how much your car is worth at any particular time and the price you can expect to get.

You never know when you may have reason to suddenly sell your car prematurely: migrating, suddenly strike jackpot so upgrading to the latest Beemer, liquidating your car for quick cash, etc etc.
Yea especially if u need to buy KR2. biggrin.gif
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(joeblows @ Mar 8 2013, 01:36 PM)
hehe.......I did go and take a look, but the units left over wasn't to my liking (low floor or bad layout).

Only one unit still pending loan approval on high floor so asked SA to notify me if loan rejected but didn't call till now.

Wish you all the best with that investment, I'm disposing my 1120 taking the cash and putting it in short term investments.  laugh.gif
Got one at high floor. But the problem is many trying to get that unit.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(Seng21 @ Mar 8 2013, 01:50 PM)
Because malaysia cars are way overpriced! If you are making 5K a month and the car is only about 25K, would you care about resale value?
Good point!
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 02:21 PM

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QUOTE(GeminiGeek @ Mar 8 2013, 02:15 PM)
Is this calculation based on an assumption a high resale value car have higher selling price? Try comparing price to price, then you'll get the effect of resale value. My accounting background says so.

But then again, when buying car, buy what u want, buy what u need, buy what u love. Not resale value. Haven't buy car already consider how much you can sell it? Srsly?
How ru gonna get same prices? The cars with the higher prices are usually those from Toyota and Honda which is the source of the 'issue' since other similar makes are offering better equipped cars for cheaper prices.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(Drian @ Mar 8 2013, 05:17 PM)
I think the big flaw in the calculation is the assumption that the service/maintenance costs are equal.
If they were really equal peugeout will never have such bad resale value in the first place.
The point of the discussion is not to justify why resale values are low or high. That calculation is an ilustration to show that although a particlar make may have a low resale value in future but when u take into account the initial start up costs and 'savings' on monthly installments, then the poor resale value is sorta evened out. Its not meant to be an all conclusive calculation which is why i put it on a thread to pick your brains. Everybody is free to agree or disagree but do explain why.

Cheers!
TScybermaster98
post Mar 9 2013, 08:23 PM

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QUOTE(coinstar @ Mar 9 2013, 08:10 PM)
U confused with cash flow... Total paid for Pug 85k and total paid for Camry 76K... Camry still cheaper..
Ure the one who is confused. Cash flow means the amount of money you have LEFT which in this case is the excess amount of the monthly loan repayments.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 9 2013, 08:24 PM

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QUOTE(newx @ Mar 8 2013, 11:07 PM)
TS has started a good discussion and his effort must be lauded.

Generally, there are two items that make the bulk of our financial commitments:
1. House
2. Car

For houses, Malaysians need to be aware not to purchase new launching priced at RM700-RM800 per square feet (psf) when property prices in the surrounding area is priced at only RM300-RM400 psf. Property speculators are raking huge profits at the expense of sincere home purchasers while adding no value to the property value chain. It is way better to buy a subsale property than a new launching.

Similarly for cars, we also need to make similar decision not to purchase overpriced cars with low specifications when we can get somewhat similarly priced cars with better technologies and specifications. Certain car makers need to be taught not to rake up huge profits at the expense of hardworking citizen while continue to offer less values than the others.

The money saved could be used to enjoy a better lifestyle - traveling, fine dining, etc., things of which otherwise needed to be sacrificed so that someone could make an obscene amount of money at our expenses.

Agreed?
Agreed. Well said.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 10 2013, 07:59 AM

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QUOTE(rompers @ Mar 10 2013, 06:03 AM)
No buddy..
For the sake of simplicity, we should take the purchase price of the brand new cars and minus out the final respective total loss values. The difference will tell you which is supposedly a more 'pocket friendly' (for lack of a better word) car.

P/S - provided that everything else remains constant (a.k.a. ceteris paribus) smile.gif

Edit: That's to my understanding-lah..if TS meant something else, then perhaps he could shed some light and correct me.
Yup.

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