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 The Fennel @ Sentul East by YTL, Sentul East YTL

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icemanfx
post Dec 10 2013, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 03:31 PM)
For 10% paper profit in 5 months, I'm sure all buyers are looking forward till the next 4 years!
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At this rate, expected profit is about 100% by vp in 4 years time thumbup.gif rclxms.gif rclxm9.gif

Time for shopping in London, Paris and Milan, then order a BMW for him and her rclxm9.gif thumbup.gif rclxms.gif


gspirit01
post Dec 10 2013, 03:44 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 03:31 PM)
You're right, you dont make real profit. For that unit, there will not be any profit at all, real or paper, because it is still unsold.

If that unit gets sold for the current asking price, then all previous buyers get paper profit. Then the question is if it will be sold for that price.

For that, then one has to look at the current price for still available units in Block A and B. If psf price of this particular unit is higher than the ones available in A & B, then its obvious that the paper gain is artificial. However, if the psf is similar to what is available still in A & B (which a simple look at the sales chart will tell you if it is or not), then its more real. The conclusion then is that currently, for someone to want to buy a unit in Fennel, either Blocks A or D, then they will have to pay >10% higher price than what they could have had should they have bought it in July (Block B nonwithstanding coz it was only launched last month, with a launch price already of about 10% higher, and even more for KLCC view. And more importantly, almost 90% sold). And note that the leftover units in A & D are only opened back up < 2 weeks ago.

Thus for buyers, this sounds good. Paper profit is better than no profit. In fact, any profit from property price increase is all on paper....till you sell it.
For 10% paper profit in 5 months, I'm sure all buyers are looking forward till the next 4 years!
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Sorry, I didn't mean to get in between u and others. What I meant is that, without dibs, one yr holding cost for any flipper will be 10%. So, the seller has to make the market by extra 10% after one yr to enable secondary market to make profit. Of course, if the unit can be rented out, this 10% can be easily halfed
cybermaster98
post Dec 10 2013, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 03:31 PM)
For 10% paper profit in 5 months, I'm sure all buyers are looking forward till the next 4 years!
So if a property slump hits around 2015 and lasts say 2 years before a recovery begins, would buyers still be looking forward to 2017 or is Fennel immune to a slump since its a niche product by YTL and ppl wouldn't mind paying say RM 900psf then?

Also while ure on this topic, care to tell me how many multiple phase new launch projects in KV did not enjoy a paper gain when subsequent blocks were launched? Thus are you implying that all projects which enjoyed good paper gain will also enjoy very healthy capital appreciation upon VP and buyers would be lining up to purchase subsale units from initial investors solely based on this 'paper gain' theory?

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Dec 10 2013, 04:30 PM
cybermaster98
post Dec 10 2013, 03:48 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 10 2013, 03:42 PM)
At this rate, expected profit is about 100% by vp in 4 years time  thumbup.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxm9.gif

Time for shopping in London, Paris and Milan, then order a BMW for him and her  rclxm9.gif  thumbup.gif  rclxms.gif
Anyway, based on this 'paper gain' theory, investors in Phase 1 of Tropicana Gardens, Kota Damansara have much more to cheer in the future. The launch price difference between Phase 1 and Phase 2 was about 50%. Phase 2 was about RM 1,100 psf.

So assuming that the project takes 4 years to complete, Phase 2 buyers of TG would be anticipating at least a 50% capital increase upon VP. We would be seeing ppl lining up to buy 597sf studio units for RM985K (starting price) or RM 1,650psf. The bigger 1573sf units would probably be going for RM1,500 psf or close to RM2.4mil.

And all this in Kota Damansara. Perfect logic eh? rclxm9.gif

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Dec 10 2013, 04:30 PM
kamilnu
post Dec 10 2013, 04:27 PM

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That's why...many people dreaming onli. Malaysian buying power will decrease...no more money to buy million2 condo. Those in the top 10% will not buy a condo in Sentul one. They'll buy bungalows or landed props same like those singaporeans who bought horizon hills, east ledang, setia tropika, bukit indah, leisure farm etc.

At one stage million2 condo does not make any sense anymore. Salaryman or small business owner who make up the majority of the general population will not buy these million2 condo. So these condo owners better plan to live there. Rental play also will never make it. For sure -ve cashflow. We'll see.

This post has been edited by kamilnu: Dec 10 2013, 04:32 PM
satrianeo-x
post Dec 10 2013, 04:54 PM

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Tropicana garden... studio @RM900k! Huat ah! EH Dijaya u know, respect la sikit. This is gonna be like PAVILION KLCC wan. With lots of lights and what nots. Those studios will become privatised exclusive boutique hotels with high security and discretion. U say why, I say why not.

Me, I wish to buy 2 uits of Trpicana Grande. Every nite hold private party as lift leads to the 2 units exclusively. One side RnB, another Electronic music. C'mon party people, shake it baby!
ewingcher
post Dec 10 2013, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Dec 10 2013, 02:43 PM)
Moderators please close this thread as it turn into an argument topic or else take action on trouble maker member like Minolta & cybermaster98.

Same as those uuu, ddd, bbb & sss thread.
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An example of Cognitive Dissonance. Optimists and Pessimists, just keep calm and share your valuable thoughts and opinions with us. After all, only time will tell.
simeonelee78
post Dec 10 2013, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(kamilnu @ Dec 10 2013, 04:27 PM)
That's why...many people dreaming onli. Malaysian buying power will decrease...no more money to buy million2 condo. Those in the top 10% will not buy a condo in Sentul one. They'll buy bungalows or landed props same like those singaporeans who bought horizon hills, east ledang, setia tropika, bukit indah, leisure farm etc.

At one stage million2 condo does not make any sense anymore. Salaryman or small business owner who make up the majority of the general population will not buy these million2 condo. So these condo owners better plan to live there. Rental play also will never make it. For sure -ve cashflow. We'll see.
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Only time will tell....
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:21 PM

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QUOTE(gspirit01 @ Dec 10 2013, 03:44 PM)
Sorry, I didn't mean to get in between u and others. What I meant is that, without dibs, one yr holding cost for any flipper will be 10%.  So, the seller has to make the market by extra 10% after one yr to enable secondary market to make profit.  Of course, if the unit can be rented out, this 10% can be easily halfed
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....but this project had DIBS.

And 1 year holding cost during construction, even if there is no DIBS will be BLR-2.4/2.5 of the disbursed amount, not nearly close to 10%.
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 10 2013, 03:42 PM)
At this rate, expected profit is about 100% by vp in 4 years time  thumbup.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxm9.gif

Time for shopping in London, Paris and Milan, then order a BMW for him and her  rclxm9.gif  thumbup.gif  rclxms.gif
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Ya ya, and don't forget the rolls and fellali too while you're at it
satrianeo-x
post Dec 10 2013, 10:35 PM

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Minolta. Not nearly 10%? hmm. What if interest rate goes up? Anyway jolokia, calm your tits.
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Dec 10 2013, 03:47 PM)
So if a property slump hits around 2015 and lasts say 2 years before a recovery begins, would buyers still be looking forward to 2017 or is Fennel immune to a slump since its a niche product by YTL and ppl wouldn't mind paying say RM 900psf then?

Also while ure on this topic, care to tell me how many multiple phase new launch projects in KV did not enjoy a paper gain when subsequent blocks were launched? Thus are you implying that all projects which enjoyed good paper gain will also enjoy very healthy capital appreciation upon VP and buyers would be lining up to purchase subsale units from initial investors solely based on this 'paper gain' theory?
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So you're back. I hope you have had the wisdom and inertia to do a search of paper loss, apparently a term that you are not familiar with, but a simple search will give you pages of links.

Are you saying 2015 will be a slump? If you are, are you selling your property? If not, what the heck are you trying to say? I've heard every year that the next year wil be a slump. I'm still waiting.........

And what project launched with multiple phase didn't make paper gain? Haha. Why do I care about other projects? I am commenting on this thread (and please remember what I taught you yesterday, its called a thread, not a forum, in case you make a fool of yourself again), that there is paper gain in 5 months. First you wrote some nonsense about how paper gain is useless. Now u say all properties launch oso got paper gain. I never say other properties don't have paper gain.

You really should do more reading than talking. Seriously
satrianeo-x
post Dec 10 2013, 10:43 PM

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Miniolta oh minolta.
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:46 PM

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QUOTE(satrianeo-x @ Dec 10 2013, 10:35 PM)
Minolta. Not nearly 10%? hmm. What if interest rate goes up? Anyway jolokia, calm your tits.
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Again, this project got DIBs lah. Interest rate go up oso no difference.

And even if theoretically don't have DIBS, and BLR goes up to a whopping 9% next year, effective interest rate is 9-2.4=6.6%. Thats 6.6% of disbursed amount, mind you. That's not 10% holding cost.
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Dec 10 2013, 03:48 PM)
Anyway, based on this 'paper gain' theory, investors in Phase 1 of Tropicana Gardens, Kota Damansara have much more to cheer in the future. The launch price difference between Phase 1 and Phase 2 was about 50%. Phase 2 was about RM 1,100 psf.

So assuming that the project takes 4 years to complete, Phase 2 buyers of TG would be anticipating at least a 50% capital increase upon VP. We would be seeing ppl lining up to buy 597sf studio units for RM985K (starting price) or RM 1,650psf. The bigger 1573sf units would probably be going for RM1,500 psf or close to RM2.4mil.

And all this in Kota Damansara. Perfect logic eh?  rclxm9.gif
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Why are you talking about TG here? Are you lost? Go put your same comment in TG thread.
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(satrianeo-x @ Dec 10 2013, 10:43 PM)
Miniolta oh minolta.
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Making things interesting hehe
simeonelee78
post Dec 10 2013, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 10:56 PM)
Making things interesting hehe
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Fennel fanboy spotted.... tongue.gif
icemanfx
post Dec 10 2013, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 10:22 PM)
Ya ya, and don't forget the rolls and fellali too while you're at it
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BMW and Merc are realistic and can even buy with cash.

gspirit01
post Dec 10 2013, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(Minolta @ Dec 10 2013, 10:21 PM)
....but this project had DIBS.

And 1 year holding cost during construction, even if there is no DIBS will be BLR-2.4/2.5 of the disbursed amount, not nearly close to 10%.
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First, I would like to say I salute u for your tenacity. And trust me, this is sincere.

My 10% holding cost is after construction. To further explain my 10% holding cost, I have assumed that one is most likely to sell in subsales only after completion. I hvn't included holding cost during construction as it might be covered by dibs. My 10% include interest paid, rpgt, and incidental cost. if no dibs during construction, the first yr holding cost after construction will be even higher. If any flipper can sell now with 10% profit and dibs, it is a good deal!
Minolta
post Dec 10 2013, 11:40 PM

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QUOTE(simeonelee78 @ Dec 10 2013, 11:02 PM)
Fennel fanboy spotted.... tongue.gif
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Where? where? Not me but I just like to whack silly people who like to talk with their butt.

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