maybe still too early to tell.
US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter
US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter
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May 3 2013, 09:39 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
maybe no sell in may syndrome this year.
maybe still too early to tell. |
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May 3 2013, 09:42 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
1615... ka-ching!
It may continue to push up.. but time for me to lock in some profits in long positions and put some cash aside, letting the rest trail. |
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May 3 2013, 09:53 PM
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Validating
1,525 posts Joined: Oct 2012 |
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May 3 2013, 09:57 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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May 3 2013, 10:04 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
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May 3 2013, 10:04 PM
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Senior Member
814 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Under the Sun. |
lose steam already.....release my puts....
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May 3 2013, 10:08 PM
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Senior Member
3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
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May 3 2013, 10:23 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
QUOTE(foofoosasa @ May 3 2013, 10:08 PM) The market always surprises people.. when you least expect it, it will happen and when you most anticipate it, it won't happen or.. as some would claim that as .."we're not wrong, we just too early". |
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May 3 2013, 10:26 PM
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Senior Member
3,482 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
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May 3 2013, 10:40 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Dow 15000...is here. Hee Haw..
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May 3 2013, 10:42 PM
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Senior Member
814 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Under the Sun. |
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May 3 2013, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
814 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Under the Sun. |
need your guys help on my experiment. i tested out small contract on hedging via straddle/strangle but to no avail.
Initially opened ATM straddle, then let say today Call leg is making money but Put (let say net $100). Then, the chart start to reverse or no reverse, immediately I roll up/down Put with the same delta and everything with the Call, shouldn't the profit frm the Call leg (net $100) is already locked in? However, I still see money lose even doing so due to the profit gained from the Call leg is unable to cover the bid/ask spread loss of the new Put? Assuming the roll up/down is on the same day, hence not much decay or vega (no earnings or crazy news) involved. This post has been edited by countdown: May 3 2013, 10:58 PM |
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May 3 2013, 11:06 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
QUOTE(countdown @ May 3 2013, 10:53 PM) need your guys help on my experiment. i tested out small contract on hedging via straddle/strangle but to no avail. You lost me on the part about "chart start to reverse or no reverse, immediately I roll up/down".Initially opened ATM straddle, then let say today Call leg is making money but Put (let say net $100). Then, the chart start to reverse or no reverse, immediately I roll up/down Put with the same delta and everything with the Call, shouldn't the profit frm the Call leg (net $100) is already locked in? However, I still see money lose even doing so due to the profit gained from the Call leg is unable to cover the bid/ask spread loss of the new Put? Assuming the roll up/down is on the same day, hence not much decay or vega (no earnings or crazy news) involved. Can you give more specific example? Say stock XYZ trading at price 100, you started a long straddle ATM (buy one call @ $1, one put at price $1.., total=$2). So what happens next, again? This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 3 2013, 11:13 PM |
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May 3 2013, 11:22 PM
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Senior Member
814 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Under the Sun. |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 3 2013, 11:06 PM) You lost me on the part about "chart start to reverse or no reverse, immediately I roll up/down". XYZ $100 -> ATM straddle let say premium $2 with $1 Call & Put each similar to above. Delta for both is around 0.50 each assuming other greeks are not much changes.Can you give more specific example? Say stock XYZ trading at price 100, you started a long straddle ATM (buy 1 call @ $1, 1 put at price $1..). So what happens again? XYZ goes up to $103 -> by right not much profit, somehow the P/L showed net $100 profit. The Call delta is now let say 0.60 and the Put is 0.40, doesn't really matter whether there is a reversal or not, I want to lock in the $100 profit, so I roll up with a new Put from 0.40 to 0.60 delta, of course with 0.60 delta the strike price is also different already. But the P/L shows a loss. I was wondering is the lost due to the bid/ask spread of the new Put or the slight vega changes (was ignore earlier) of both Call & Put? Couldn't confirm. This post has been edited by countdown: May 3 2013, 11:25 PM |
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May 3 2013, 11:44 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
QUOTE(countdown @ May 3 2013, 11:22 PM) XYZ $100 -> ATM straddle let say premium $2 with $1 Call & Put each similar to above. Delta for both is around 0.50 each assuming other greeks are not much changes. When XYZ goes up $103, you should have $1 in profit (intrinsic) because you pay $2 in premium ($3-$2).XYZ goes up to $103 -> by right not much profit, somehow the P/L showed net $100 profit. The Call delta is now let say 0.60 and the Put is 0.40, doesn't really matter whether there is a reversal or not, I want to lock in the $100 profit, so I roll up with a new Put from 0.40 to 0.60 delta, of course with 0.60 delta the strike price is also different already. But the P/L shows a loss. I was wondering is the lost due to the bid/ask spread of the new Put or the slight vega changes (was ignore earlier) of both Call & Put? Couldn't confirm. Your call value should be more than $1, but your put value should be below $1. The thing I that still not clear is the part about your CALL delta 0.60 and PUT is 0.40. ? When you roll up, you will pay for ask price and bid price to close up previous strike. Yes, there is your spread premium that you have to pay up. When you roll up, you're not really locking in your profit. You're just closing the previous position and opening up a new one with a different calendar or strike price. Does that help? |
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May 4 2013, 12:07 AM
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Senior Member
814 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Under the Sun. |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 3 2013, 11:44 PM) When XYZ goes up $103, you should have $1 in profit (intrinsic) because you pay $2 in premium ($3-$2). Let say my profit is huge enough ($100) to cover the spread (-$20), will it shows min profit of $80 i.e. the white line above the zero in TOS?Your call value should be more than $1, but your put value should be below $1. The thing I that still not clear is the part about your CALL delta 0.60 and PUT is 0.40. ? When you roll up, you will pay for ask price and bid price to close up previous strike. Yes, there is your spread premium that you have to pay up. When you roll up, you're not really locking in your profit. You're just closing the previous position and opening up a new one with a different calendar or strike price. Does that help? I also found out that there is vega drop for both Call & Put (compared to yesterday's close) after the positive news, thus can't ignore the vega as I assumed earlier Once the XYZ goes up, Call delta will increase to (.60) and a decrease in Put's delta to (.40). This post has been edited by countdown: May 4 2013, 12:11 AM |
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May 4 2013, 11:17 AM
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Junior Member
163 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
Thank you for your guidance, Danmoon and Yok!
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May 6 2013, 08:06 AM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Guys,
Be careful going long this week... |
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May 6 2013, 09:42 AM
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Senior Member
1,007 posts Joined: Oct 2006 From: island up north |
QUOTE(Jasonk176 @ May 3 2013, 05:58 PM) I'm in dilemma. Just to make you aware before you start your journey. With stock option you can make lots of money and lose quite a lot as well. It is not straight forward like stock as it has multiple variables that affect the option price and at least one of this variable has quite significant impact in addition to underlying stock price. Without attending any formal class, you may take several months or years to learn on your own and then make money. Maybe faster if you can grasp the concept fast. Let see what type of leading you need after a month learning. The strategies are not platform specific, so should not be a problem for you.Let me learn the stock option thingy is one month first. Can you lead me from the if i'm using different platform ? kimyee73 |
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May 6 2013, 04:15 PM
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Junior Member
487 posts Joined: Aug 2011 |
Where in KL can I open a US stock exchange account, with live prices? Or are there better alternatives?
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