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leekk8
post Nov 8 2006, 10:12 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Nov 7 2006, 09:52 PM)
Leekk8,

Let me repeat one more time, if you get high dividend every year, why would you ever sell the stock?? In the case of buying PB at $0.68, it pays $0.40 every year.  Why would you want to sell??

You only sell a stock if and only if you get better ROI by investing it on something else.
*
Yes, you're right. If the dividend yield is high, sure we no need to sell the stock. However, there're reasons for us to sell the stock:
- if management team is changed, the dividend yield might different
- if you know the share price will drop soon, why not you sell it and buy it when price low? You can earn the price appreciation and also the dividend
- if there's another good stock that you want to invest into

Darkmage12
post Nov 8 2006, 10:25 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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@leekk8
you should do contra trading
lklatmy
post Nov 8 2006, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Nov 8 2006, 09:33 AM)
then odd lot hard to sell?
*
It has been a long time I haven't been here,so many old timers are still around!

There's a odd lot board that you can sell your odd lots,just ask your Remisier to put up the quotes for you.The quotes are normally quite far off from the current market price.

One point to note,you should sell your odd lots on the same day you sell the board lots,this is because in most broking firms,all selling contracts in respect of the same counter executed on the same day will be consolidated into one contract,and brokerage is calculated on the selling amount.That means you pay less brokerage fees this way compare to selling board and odd lots on different days rclxms.gif .but you have to first check whether is consolidation practise by your broker. cry.gif

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Nov 8 2006, 10:39 AM
dreamer101
post Nov 8 2006, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Nov 8 2006, 10:12 AM)
Yes, you're right. If the dividend yield is high, sure we no need to sell the stock. However, there're reasons for us to sell the stock:
- if management team is changed, the dividend yield might different
- if you know the share price will drop soon, why not you sell it and buy it when price low? You can earn the price appreciation and also the dividend
- if there's another good stock that you want to invest into
*
<< You only sell a stock if and only if you get better ROI by investing it on something else.>>

Leekk8,

You are saying exactly the same thing that I am saying but with more words. Learn to say more with less.

Dreamer

dreamer101
post Nov 8 2006, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Nov 8 2006, 10:12 AM)
- if you know the share price will drop soon, why not you sell it and buy it when price low? You can earn the price appreciation and also the dividend

*
You do not sell. You just buy more. You NEVER really know the share price will drop soon. You think you know that the share price will drop soon.

If anyone in the world know EXACTLY what will happen in any ONE share price, the person will be extremely rich.

Dreamer

P.S.: A few years ago, I made the mistake of believing that I know how a share price will move. It costs me 50% of my whole life's saving at that time. Hopefully, you will learn this lesson with much less money that I lost.

This post has been edited by dreamer101: Nov 8 2006, 11:02 AM
cherroy
post Nov 8 2006, 10:53 AM

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I think sometimes we got reason to sell :

1. Company profit will decline due to deterioration of economy situation, hence low profit -> low dividen.

2. Interest rate will go up, which is related to No.3 below.

3. share price is unreasonable price or price is expensive based on forward PE ratio. Eg. if interest rate is 5% so theorectically forward PE shouldn't be more than 20 since PE ratio of 20 is also about simple 5% return rate. What for you invest in share which give you the same return rate as FD. Forward PE is more accurate to measure, not current PE.

4. Poor prospect or management change (from good to bad)

5. Also, dividen yield must be based on profit earned, special dividen can't be reliable since it is one off which used company acculumated profit to give out. Eg. Pos Holding recent declare special dividen Rm1.++ which is one off.

Share price won't forever go up or go down. If economy situation or share market has peak that better sell it first and taking its profit. After all, like everybody said, it is still a paper profit untill you sell it.

leekk8
post Nov 8 2006, 11:12 AM

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Thanks dreamer for your advice, I will remember what you've said and try not to predict how the share move in short term...

Yes, I have to learn to say more with less, but it's not the only reason for us to sell the share...so, I disagree with the statement you made, which states IF AND ONLY IF... I agree with cherroy, if the management change, the performance might be poor, and dividend will be less or no more dividend. Just imagine, a good performance company change management then buy over some bad companies, sure the performance will become bad...
dreamer101
post Nov 8 2006, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 8 2006, 10:53 AM)
I think sometimes we got reason to sell :

1. Company profit will decline due to deterioration of economy situation, hence low profit -> low dividen.

2. Interest rate will go up, which is related to No.3 below.

3. share price is unreasonable price or price is expensive based on forward PE ratio. Eg. if interest rate is 5% so theorectically forward PE shouldn't be more than 20 since PE ratio of 20 is also about simple 5% return rate. What for you invest in share which give you the same return rate as FD. Forward PE is more accurate to measure, not current PE.

4. Poor prospect or management change (from good to bad)

5. Also, dividen yield must be based on profit earned, special dividen can't be reliable since it is one off which used company acculumated profit to give out. Eg. Pos Holding recent declare special dividen Rm1.++ which is one off.

Share price won't forever go up or go down. If economy situation or share market has peak that better sell it first and taking its profit. After all, like everybody said, it is still a paper profit untill you sell it.
*
Cherroy,

Let's look at your reasons and compare with my reason of buying high dividend yielding bank stock.

1) Company profit going down to recession

Maybe the bank will make less money due to bad loan. But, I am sure that the bank will recover since it had done that for the last time. I may buy more if the share price goes down further.

2. Interest rate will go up, which is related to No.3 below.

Bank make a hell lot more money when interest rate goes up.

3. share price is unreasonable price

Why should I care?? I make money when I buy. Okay, if the P/E went up to 100, I may sell. Anything less than that, I collect dividend every year.

4. Poor prospect or management change (from good to bad)

Only if Malaysia allow foreign bank to open unlimited local branches, I may change my mind.

5. Also, dividen yield must be based on profit earned,

Bank's profit is based on 3% to 4% margin on their loan which is NOT open for competition. Unless the bank makes a lot of bad loan, you can pretty much know 80% to 90% how much money they will make.

Dreamer
dreamer101
post Nov 8 2006, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Nov 8 2006, 11:12 AM)
Thanks dreamer for your advice, I will remember what you've said and try not to predict how the share move in short term...

Yes, I have to learn to say more with less, but it's not the only reason for us to sell the share...so, I disagree with the statement you made, which states IF AND ONLY IF... I agree with cherroy, if the management change, the performance might be poor, and dividend will be less or no more dividend. Just imagine, a good performance company change management then buy over some bad companies, sure the performance will become bad...
*
<< if the management change, the performance might be poor, and dividend will be less or no more dividend. Just imagine, a good performance company change management then buy over some bad companies, sure the performance will become bad...>>

1) Which means at that time, you get better ROI by selling the stock and buy something else.

<<Thanks dreamer for your advice, I will remember what you've said and try not to predict how the share move in short term...>>

2) You can predict and gamble BUT do not be over-confident. Limit how much money that you will gamble with. Manage your risk.

Dreamer

TSky_khor
post Nov 8 2006, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Nov 8 2006, 11:16 AM)
Bank make a hell lot more money when interest rate goes up.
since bank is a business, base lending rate will always > interest rate. means if FD interest goes up, the loan interest will goes up as well (i guess). further more ppl who dun do med-high risk investment will pour their money to the bank FD.

dreamer101
post Nov 8 2006, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(ky_khor @ Nov 8 2006, 11:23 AM)
since bank is a business, base lending rate will always > interest rate. means if FD interest goes up, the loan interest will goes up as well (i guess). further more ppl who dun do med-high risk investment will pour their money to the bank FD.
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Ky_khor,

You are wrong in your sequence of how things usually happens. Bank always raise BLR and credit card interest rate first. Then, wait for a few months before they raise FD and saving rate. So, bank always makes a lot of money first for a few months when interest rate goes up.

Dreamer
pjstreet@com
post Nov 8 2006, 12:39 PM

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Normally, what methodology u guys practise when looking for individual stocks to buy??
dEviLs
post Nov 8 2006, 02:20 PM

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omg is the market really that good ?
i just called my broker wanted to place an order for the new call warrant on MPLANT which is only open for sale today, and heck, it was over-subscribed by lunch time sweat.gif
Drian
post Nov 8 2006, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(dEviLs @ Nov 8 2006, 02:20 PM)
omg is the market really that good ?
i just called my broker wanted to place an order for the new call warrant on MPLANT which is only open for sale today, and heck, it was over-subscribed by lunch time sweat.gif
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Speculation in the making.


Darkmage12
post Nov 8 2006, 05:42 PM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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QUOTE(dEviLs @ Nov 8 2006, 02:20 PM)
omg is the market really that good ?
i just called my broker wanted to place an order for the new call warrant on MPLANT which is only open for sale today, and heck, it was over-subscribed by lunch time sweat.gif
*
hey i thought you cannot trade ?
dEviLs
post Nov 8 2006, 08:48 PM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Nov 8 2006, 05:42 PM)
hey i thought you cannot trade ?
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We can but have to disclose every transaction to internal audit sweat.gif
leekk8
post Nov 10 2006, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(pjstreet@com @ Nov 8 2006, 12:39 PM)
Normally, what methodology u guys practise when looking for individual stocks to buy??
*
I never buy share before, but I think is like this:
The share must be active.
Study the financial statements, know about their profit, liabilities, liquidity, EPS and PE.
Look for the dividen distribution history.
Look for the future plan of the company.
Get know well about their current activities and news.
Study the share price to determine its over valued or under valued.
cherroy
post Nov 10 2006, 12:58 PM

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Several criteria are the key in analyst a company for share trading purposes, generalise only.

1. Its management
2. Earning aka PE ratio (forward PE)
3. Asset or NTA of the company, some company did hold a lot of assets which is undervalued in paper (like KLK)
4. Prospect of the company especially its core business
5. Dividen yield
6. Liquidity of the share
7. Healthy cash flow, a company may earn/profit a lot but huge and pro0longed negative cashflow will bring down the company also, the better exmple is TNB, profit a lot but facing serious cashflow problem.

A share is active or not is less important since if you are talking of investment rather than speculative, the trading volume won't be so important unless you buy a lot. Some quality counters only trade a few each day but bare in mind if the liquidity is poor, it is easy to be manipulated, also can't attract fund to buy it.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Nov 10 2006, 01:13 PM
dreamer101
post Nov 10 2006, 10:36 PM

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All,

1) "Trust but verify". Remember Enron.

Please noted that even in USA, you have accounting scandal. And, sometimes the numbers reported in quarterly and annual reports are lies. So, do not be so confident that the numbers you see in those reports are REAL.

2) Remember UEM.

Before anyone buy stock in Malaysia, they need to remember and study the whole affair about UEM reverse takeover of Renong. They need to ask themselves whether this can happen again. Please noted that 50+% of KLSE is owned by GLC and GLIC. Government is the majority share holders of most companies.

Dreamer


lipkhin
post Nov 11 2006, 04:04 AM

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--- deleted ---

This post has been edited by lipkhin: Dec 1 2010, 02:36 AM

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