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 US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?

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TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 10:37 PM, updated 13y ago

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Continued from http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/1249574

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This post has been edited by zamans98: Mar 1 2011, 11:49 AM


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Attached File  Form_W_8BEN.pdf ( 91.03k ) Number of downloads: 75
mIssfROGY
post Jul 1 2010, 10:38 PM

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so fast version 3 de ah smile.gif
semi annual, bears start to rule...yeah.

This post has been edited by mIssfROGY: Jul 1 2010, 10:39 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2010, 10:38 PM

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2nd half of the year.. the BEARS are here to stay. biggrin.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 10:40 PM

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Ya loh, opening Quarter already bad. Q1 was fantastic.

Look at gold:


Gold Price Change due to Weakening of US Dollar+19.30
Gold Price Change due to Predominant Selling -31.70
Gold Price: Total Change-12.40

epalbee3
post Jul 1 2010, 10:43 PM

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Third people to report in.. wink.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2010, 10:46 PM

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Gold today just profit taking but IMO, it will go higher in the coming days. It is the fear factor because of Europe.

Oil broke below technical support at $73 now. All commodities are being liquidated now for cash by funds.
TCK below 29
FCX below 58
X below 38

SPX is now below 1020.. if we closed below this, huge leg down in the next few days.

Cheap will get cheaper soon. smile.gif

mH3nG
post Jul 1 2010, 10:47 PM

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Whoa...
Everything is dropping like a rock now. blink.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 10:57 PM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 1 2010, 10:47 PM)
Whoa...
Everything is dropping like a rock now.  blink.gif
*
yo man, haven't see you around for ages. Are you still holding C, ETFCD? How about AAPL?
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2010, 11:08 PM

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Dow just broke below 9700.. if we close here, H&S will confirm.

Short is good.
honglun
post Jul 1 2010, 11:10 PM

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World cup has been my only attention currently. And just checked my portfolio today. Down 18% YOY. vmad.gif It's so hard to time the market's bottom.
mH3nG
post Jul 1 2010, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 1 2010, 10:57 PM)
yo man, haven't see you around for ages. Are you still holding C, ETFCD? How about AAPL?
*
Market is too choppy for me but is probably perfect for you and danmooncake to trade in. biggrin.gif

I'm still holding ETFCD. The reverse split didn't really do much to help push the shares up.
As for C, I'm still waiting for an entry point. Waiting to see if it'll retest $3.5 first.

Haven't got any AAPL.
danmooncake
post Jul 1 2010, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(honglun @ Jul 1 2010, 11:10 PM)
World cup has been my only attention currently. And just checked my portfolio today. Down 18% YOY.  vmad.gif  It's so hard to time the market's bottom.
*
Nobody can accurately predict the bottom. We've dropped through the floor at major index. It will continue to go down for another leg. Just wait 1 to 2 weeks and see where it goes.

Earnings may be the only chance for the market to rally back up but until then, bears rule or just play the short side to win.


mH3nG
post Jul 1 2010, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(honglun @ Jul 1 2010, 11:10 PM)
World cup has been my only attention currently. And just checked my portfolio today. Down 18% YOY.  vmad.gif  It's so hard to time the market's bottom.
*
Use the charts to help you. smile.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 1 2010, 11:24 PM)
Use the charts to help you.  smile.gif
*
but most of the time, the CHART lies. Look at C, its pushed down not entirely because of technical factor, its because US Treasury is dumping.
mH3nG
post Jul 1 2010, 11:28 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 1 2010, 11:25 PM)
but most of the time, the CHART lies. Look at C, its pushed down not entirely because of technical factor, its because US Treasury is dumping.
*
Oh? They started disposing it already?
Gonna queue some at $3.20 then. biggrin.gif

Crap. Was half awake and I accidentally bought some at $3.68.
Luckily it was a small amount. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by mH3nG: Jul 1 2010, 11:37 PM
cloud9_lee
post Jul 1 2010, 11:36 PM

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Targeting MGM now biggrin.gif

And still holding LVS @ 22.82. sad.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 1 2010, 11:40 PM

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quiet for sometimes, suddenly today so many people..

DOW still got little support.. but from what I observe, today is -200 type one..


TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 11:47 PM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 1 2010, 11:28 PM)
Oh? They started disposing it already?
Gonna queue some at $3.20 then.  biggrin.gif

Crap. Was half awake and I accidentally bought some at $3.68.
Luckily it was a small amount.  sweat.gif
*
Read this:

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

honglun
post Jul 1 2010, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 1 2010, 11:24 PM)
Use the charts to help you.  smile.gif
*
I would like to quote Warrent Buffet's on this, "If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians."

TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(cloud9_lee @ Jul 1 2010, 11:36 PM)
Targeting MGM now biggrin.gif

And still holding LVS @ 22.82. sad.gif
*
What's your entry target for MGM? I haven't touched MGM for quite some times. Eying LVS. Q 21.00, didn't get any. perhaps 2molo la.
neozero
post Jul 1 2010, 11:50 PM

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Most small cap are already at the lowest in 52 weeks already
TSzamans98
post Jul 1 2010, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(neozero @ Jul 1 2010, 11:50 PM)
Most small cap are already at the lowest in 52 weeks already
*
yup, that;s why it seems, after the WORLD CUP 2010 (which was staged and cause people to "lose" focus for 1 month), market will goes haywire again. Argh - not enough fund to buy again ...
neozero
post Jul 2 2010, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 1 2010, 11:56 PM)
Argh - not enough fund to buy again ...
*
Same problem here... everything is down but with limited fund what should I focus on... arhhhh
TSzamans98
post Jul 2 2010, 12:19 AM

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Look at GOLD, it that a sign that the pipe is about to burst?


Gold Price Change due to Weakening of US Dollar+17.20
Gold Price Change due to Predominant Selling-50.00
Gold Price: Total Change-32.80

Jul 01, 2010 12:15 NY Time
Bid/Ask 1209.60 - 1210.60
Low/High 1206.10 - 1245.10
epalbee3
post Jul 2 2010, 12:26 AM

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-200 points is on-going..


danmooncake
post Jul 2 2010, 02:06 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 2 2010, 12:26 AM)
-200 points is on-going..
*
Nice, I've covered some shorts positions here.

Closing update:
Dow 9732.53 -41.49 -0.42%
Nasdaq 2101.36 -7.88 -0.37%
S&P500 1027.37 -3.34 -0.32%

We have a bit of a reversal here after SPX hit 1010 (that's the support line).
Not green but good enough until we get the job numbers on Friday.

This is the big one, let see how the market reacts. Remember, market expects 9.8% (which is already bad).
If it comes in worse than this, then it is KABOOM!! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 06:59 AM
mH3nG
post Jul 2 2010, 07:47 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 1 2010, 11:47 PM)
Read this:

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Thanks zamans98.
Erroralot
post Jul 2 2010, 08:08 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 2 2010, 02:06 AM)
Nice, I've covered some shorts positions here.

Closing update:
Dow 9732.53 -41.49 -0.42%
Nasdaq 2101.36 -7.88 -0.37%
S&P500 1027.37 -3.34 -0.32%

We have a bit of a reversal here after SPX hit 1010 (that's the support line).
Not green but good enough until we get the job numbers on Friday.

This is the big one, let see how the market reacts. Remember, market expects 9.8% (which is already bad).
If it comes in worse than this, then it is KABOOM!!  laugh.gif
*
Reporting in! smile.gif

Nice reversal! Jobs jobs jobs tonight... if it unexpectedly beats expectation for the better, I am gonna be expecting a lot of short squeezing! Be prepared to cover shorts in pre market if that happens (notes to self too!)

Goood luck to all ! thumbup.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 2 2010, 01:10 PM

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Don't worry, good job result will also dump the market..

there are other news like china and europe..

But I do see the immediate support point at 9.7k..

We need to break this tonight or we have to bounce a little back..

I am holding long term short..
htt
post Jul 2 2010, 01:44 PM

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Check in.
TSzamans98
post Jul 2 2010, 04:27 PM

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Today, we have the mother of news :

Unemployment Rate

Market is going to be very volatile....
danmooncake
post Jul 2 2010, 08:31 PM

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Jobs numbers are better than expected than last month...!! rclxms.gif

http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Unemployment rate: 9.5m (June) versus 9.7m (May) (this is good)
Private sector increases: +83k versus 33k (last month), ok but higher than 100k is expected

Opps.. the details on the hourly worked aren't too good here. hmm.gif
Non-farm payroll: -125k (June) vs. +431k (May)
Hourly worked: -0.1 (June) vs +0.2 (May)

Overall numbers seems okay here with the layoff the census bureau.. private sector picked up some
but not as much as expected (100K or higher).

Update
I'm going to close out my shorts tonight. Not going to hold out for 3 days weekend. Keeping some longs on
the table because I think we're oversold a bit and more than price in and should go back up some for next week.

Next week: I think the stress tests for the European banks should be watched.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 09:10 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 2 2010, 10:00 PM

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I will see the dip tonight because this big news cannot drive the market up..

somemore, people do not know which number to look at, so I will hold on short..

Enjoy today ride..
GregPG01
post Jul 2 2010, 10:01 PM

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Direction less after 30 mins. doh.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 2 2010, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(GregPG01 @ Jul 2 2010, 10:01 PM)
Direction less after 30 mins.  doh.gif
*
It will stay flat for tonight till next week. The job numbers (in the details) aren't really glory but they are not armageddon either. If the market didn't tank earlier this week expecting this bad job number, it could have tanked today.

Factory orders in May also show slow down: -1.4 vs. +1.2 (April)

Longer term trend still down. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 10:36 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 2 2010, 10:56 PM

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seems like DOW is trying very hard to break 9.7k..
danmooncake
post Jul 2 2010, 11:12 PM

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Decided to stay out longs all together. I'm out for now. laugh.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 2 2010, 11:54 PM

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All in for short here.. brazil lose the ball..


Added on July 3, 2010, 12:42 amquiet there?


Added on July 3, 2010, 12:43 amit is going below 9.6k tonight..


Added on July 3, 2010, 9:02 amjust dip like 40 points at the end.

now 9686.48.

US is enjoying the independent day, then people will forget about the market and go for shopping and travelling.

This week China has led the dip by it HangSeng, ShangZheng and ShenZhen in a few consequtive days. Europe bank stress test will be on next week.. US has no market on Monday, so anything happens will be reflected only on Tuesday night.

On the other hand, California state governor Arnold has ordered to pay only minimum wages to the government staffs since they cannot balance the financial situation.

So, for next week, there will be push and pull by bull and bear. Bear will still have bigger chance to win.

Remember, theoretically the market now is already -15% from the top. Then people said it is entering into bear which will dip another 20-30%, overall.

What is your outlook for next week?

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 3 2010, 09:02 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 3 2010, 09:18 PM

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Good evening,

Had to take off early yesterday - close shop early. Didn't post any update. I guess we all know what's the score anyway. Bears won! biggrin.gif

There are no bulls in sight and I'm afraid none will appear for a while. The path has been carved out for more bears for now.
You are correct, we actually have exceeded the -15% from the top for this correction (Dow -15.6%, SPX -18%, Nas -20%).
Once reached or exceeded 20%, we're officially in bear market territory. Nasdaq already reached that target.

The "death cross" (50MA below 200MA) for SPX has occurred. Dow will be next, followed by Nasdaq. Once all three confirmed, then more heavy selling. Selling will accelerate even faster if that happens because large funds won't tolerate that and they will dump.
Hence, we may see -40% to -50% from the top.

The only saving grace will be earnings and even if there are good earnings, the bounce won't be high.
People will take opportunities to sell into the pop.

Then, we will clearly see Double Dip is in the works here. nod.gif



epalbee3
post Jul 4 2010, 12:46 AM

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50% means 5500 points.. wink.gif wow.. too much.

don't worry, it won't go there straight; if it goes, we always have some chance to sell into pop.. I guess next week DOW has the potential to go to 9.2k. But be careful, last two days we have small dips.

If the real dip ever come, it will not be a few tens points; usually 200-400 points. watch out and plan properly what you think it should be: bear or bull, once it moves, no chance to invert it..

I am still full in bear.

In fact, what I worry is the fundamental US economy, you all know what is the situation, can't really find a good news except pres. obama said to build the broadband for rural areas.

Then, judge yourselves, market is unpredictable, but please play protectively..


Added on July 4, 2010, 1:17 ambut DOW needs 9k points to reach 20% dip from its top..

will this be achieved next week?

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 4 2010, 01:17 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 4 2010, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 4 2010, 12:46 AM)
50% means 5500 points.. wink.gif wow.. too much.

don't worry, it won't go there straight; if it goes, we always have some chance to sell into pop.. I guess next week DOW has the potential to go to 9.2k. But be careful, last two days we have small dips.

If the real dip ever come, it will not be a few tens points; usually 200-400 points. watch out and plan properly what you think it should be: bear or bull, once it moves, no chance to invert it..

I am still full in bear.

In fact, what I worry is the fundamental US economy, you all know what is the situation, can't really find a good news except pres. obama said to build the broadband for rural areas.

Then, judge yourselves, market is unpredictable, but please play protectively..


Added on July 4, 2010, 1:17 ambut DOW needs 9k points to reach 20% dip from its top..

will this be achieved next week?
*
Er..no, 50% here is for the Fibo retracement, that's approx Dow 8900 (not Dow 5500) or SPX 950, close enough for your Dow 9k call.
Dow 9k is a approx. 25% dip, not 20% dip from top (11205), clearly a bear market territory. wink.gif

Next week game plan - Euro bank stress tests, expected to pass (or major disappointment). We may pop up a little but good to sell and for re-positioning shorts. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 4 2010, 09:51 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 5 2010, 12:05 AM

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let's wait for it.. tomorrow is US independent day, so no market.. but we can know what happens through Asean market.. if both are down, we will se a big dip..
danmooncake
post Jul 5 2010, 12:13 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 5 2010, 12:05 AM)
let's wait for it.. tomorrow is US independent day, so no market.. but we can know what happens through Asean market.. if both are down, we will se a big dip..
*
I'll be watching for Europe market, which is the tail end before the start for NYSE. nod.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 5 2010, 05:26 PM

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seeing today's market.. i think tomorrow will still be a dip for US market..

stay tuned..
danmooncake
post Jul 5 2010, 08:31 PM

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Europe market still green. Let see how it ends. tongue.gif


TSzamans98
post Jul 5 2010, 08:42 PM

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Not too bad, based on the current market movement. We can expect a green day on Tuesday. Good sentiment due to the ID day.
epalbee3
post Jul 5 2010, 10:14 PM

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mixed day.. waiting for US market to join, other markets can make no directions.

Tomorrow US market may see below 9.5k..
Futures is now negative..

Depends on the market sentimental now..


Added on July 5, 2010, 10:16 pmAnyway, what happen today still have to combine with tomorrow's market to influence US market.

If CI tomorrow raises above 1300, I will short the future and hold a few weeks..


Added on July 6, 2010, 5:44 pmSeems like my stocks and futures will doom today.

If talking about how doom, it depends how long the "valuation" lies will remain until they have to uncover it..

Most probably will hibernate for tonight and stand for the winter..

enjoy the bull tonight.. wink.gif

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 6 2010, 05:44 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2010, 08:10 PM

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Well, we're coming off a bit of a oversold condition. Every bit of a lack of bad news will become good news.
Let the bulls take this north tonight! Need another week of so before earnings. biggrin.gif

Also, the stress tests for Europe banks aren't that bad... biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 6 2010, 09:05 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 6 2010, 10:17 PM

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how is the stress test?
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2010, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 6 2010, 10:17 PM)
how is the stress test?
*
Well, the concerns for them have eased off. That's why Europe rallies and Dow follows.

Anyway, back to US market.

The semi-conductors are doing pretty good. Have you all notice that during the past 2 months of general stocks decline, STEC and CRUS have been doing pretty good? I think STEC will eventually go back to $15 or $16 range.




epalbee3
post Jul 6 2010, 10:42 PM

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semiconductor is an area which has cycles..

one cycle good and one cycle bad, you must be able to see these cycles to win..

the market share for semicon is only for big company, except those generating SOC.


Added on July 6, 2010, 10:43 pm
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 6 2010, 08:10 PM)
Well, we're coming off a bit of a oversold condition. Every bit of a lack of bad news will become good news.
Let the bulls take this north tonight!  Need another week of so before earnings. biggrin.gif

Also, the stress tests for Europe banks aren't that bad...  biggrin.gif
*
I really feel that this is a news purposely created to raise the market..

nothing concrete has even happened.. it is made news..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 6 2010, 10:43 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 6 2010, 10:46 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 6 2010, 10:42 PM)
semiconductor is an area which has cycles..

one cycle good and one cycle bad, you must be able to see these cycles to win..

the market share for semicon is only for big company, except those generating SOC.


Added on July 6, 2010, 10:43 pm

I really feel that this is a news purposely created to raise the market..

nothing concrete has even happened.. it is made news..
*
Yes, it is all technical trades now.. since we're oversold, market wants to go up.. then get ready for bigger dive later.

Personally, I like to see it go back up to 1100 for better shorts at that level. It is possible if earnings are artificially ramped up. laugh.gif


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post Jul 6 2010, 11:21 PM

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Hi sorry, just to double confirm, on 2 July 2010, DJ closed at 8,300.02. Was it true?
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post Jul 6 2010, 11:37 PM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 6 2010, 11:21 PM)
Hi sorry, just to double confirm, on 2 July 2010, DJ closed at 8,300.02. Was it true?
*
No.. it was 9686.48 -46.05 -0.47%.

I guess, the MM already preview that it will reach 8300 soon. tongue.gif
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post Jul 6 2010, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 6 2010, 11:37 PM)
No.. it was 9686.48 -46.05 -0.47%.

I guess, the MM already preview that it will reach 8300 soon.  tongue.gif
*
How come Yahoo Finance shows it closed at 8300 on 2 July? rclxub.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2010, 12:04 AM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jul 6 2010, 11:38 PM)
How come Yahoo Finance shows it closed at 8300 on 2 July?  rclxub.gif
*
Yahoo sometimes goof'ed up on many of its numbers when there is no trading on that day. It is misprint.
But, Dow was around 8300 July 2, 2009. biggrin.gif



epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 12:22 AM

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Then we shall see 8000 soon..

If today DOW turns red, tomorrow will be a big big dip.. wink.gif


Added on July 7, 2010, 12:50 ami have feeling that today DOW is going to red..

we may see big big dip tomorrow in Asia..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 7 2010, 12:50 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 7 2010, 02:19 AM

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wow, almost SCAM like. MM pushed up, then make money. Now sell sell sell.

Nobody knows. Should sell my C, and buy back at current price. WTF.

Form +$700 to now - $110!
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 7 2010, 02:19 AM)
wow, almost SCAM like. MM pushed up, then make money. Now sell sell sell.

Nobody knows. Should sell my C, and buy back at current price. WTF.

Form +$700 to now - $110!
*
They're showing everyone that they're in control. Just watch it to bring it back up to kill the shorts. nod.gif

Closing update:
Dow 9743.62 +57.14 +0.59%
Nasdaq 2093.88 +2.09 +0.10%
S&P500 1028.06 +5.48 +0.54%

See... they brought it back to green as a teaser, Dow up +57 pts, half of +100 pts at premarket. nod.gif

We're still very volatile here. Be very cautious here. nod.gif


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 7 2010, 04:53 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 07:53 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 7 2010, 02:19 AM)
wow, almost SCAM like. MM pushed up, then make money. Now sell sell sell.

Nobody knows. Should sell my C, and buy back at current price. WTF.

Form +$700 to now - $110!
*
zaman, i think this is a purposely made news.

ask a analyst to write a good report, then the momo come in and bring up the price.

nothing concrete, no data.

In fact, DOW had once become -50 last night. Now close 50..
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post Jul 7 2010, 08:46 AM

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zamans - is the subtitle for this v3 suppose to be 'double bottom coming' or 'double dip coming'? biggrin.gif

epal - if you have noticed, there isn't any good news today other than the fact NYSE tries to ride off Europe and Asian gains. Then, things falters and falls apart after ISM data came out (53.8 versus 55 expected for June).




This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 7 2010, 08:50 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 08:50 AM

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it is the same, just the time matter.. wink.gif

after the dip, there will be bottom, then is time for us to long..


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post Jul 7 2010, 08:52 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 7 2010, 08:50 AM)
it is the same, just the time matter.. wink.gif

after the dip, there will be bottom, then is time for us to long..
*
Actually, I'm thinking this is the last chance.. there will not be any more upside from here. brows.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 08:58 AM

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there will be, may be months or years later..


Added on July 7, 2010, 5:16 pmok, tonight is dip.. hope to see < 9.6k..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 7 2010, 05:17 PM
syong
post Jul 7 2010, 08:59 PM

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anyone bought MGM?

epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 11:01 PM

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unexpected gain, so i better stay hibernated. enjoy your bull..
danmooncake
post Jul 7 2010, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 7 2010, 11:01 PM)
unexpected gain, so i better stay hibernated. enjoy your bull..
*
It may not last unless closed above SPX 1040. Tomorrow initial claims - expected to be bad.
Bears still got chance to drive down prices.


epalbee3
post Jul 7 2010, 11:43 PM

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when is stress test result out?

danmooncake
post Jul 8 2010, 01:29 AM

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BUY alert!!! SPX broke above 1040, now at 1048 and likely to close it too. biggrin.gif

Volume is picking up here. Financials led the rally! rclxms.gif

Epal: As for the Europe Bank stress tests, here's the latest news:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Europe-to-ma...1&asset=&ccode=

Update:
I've jumped back into TNA 34 and ERX 25 to ride this up a bit. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 02:13 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 8 2010, 02:23 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 7 2010, 08:46 AM)
zamans - is the subtitle for this v3 suppose to be 'double bottom coming' or 'double dip coming'?  biggrin.gif

epal - if you have noticed, there isn't any good news today other than the fact NYSE tries to ride off Europe and Asian gains. Then, things falters and falls apart after ISM data came out (53.8 versus 55 expected for June).
*
Its double bottom, not dip.

Dip is short term, very short. To ensure bottom, we need to see long term trending. We just got 2nd GREEN/break since last 7 red sessions.


user posted image

user posted image

This post has been edited by zamans98: Jul 8 2010, 02:26 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 8 2010, 02:37 AM

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z: I guess you're still long term bullish! biggrin.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 8 2010, 03:20 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 8 2010, 02:37 AM)
z: I guess you're still long term bullish!  biggrin.gif
*
yes, especially if GERMAN wins the WORLD CUP.
danmooncake
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 03:20 AM)
yes, especially if GERMAN wins the WORLD CUP.
*
Hopefully, they will. nod.gif

Market bulls finally came out from hiding. Just 20 mins to go.
shoduken
post Jul 8 2010, 04:03 AM

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it break 10k again. short or long term bull, we will know this week xD
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QUOTE(shoduken @ Jul 8 2010, 04:03 AM)
it break 10k again. short or long term bull, we will know this week xD
*
Closing update:
Dow 10018.28 +278.66 +2.82%
Nasdaq 2159.47 +65.59 +3.13%
S&P500 1060.27 +32.21 +3.13%

Wow! What a surge! The bulls are finally awake and ready to turn this ship around. rclxms.gif

Riding TNA and ERX for immediate short term trades. Still holding AAPL Aug 250 calls (up 20% today drool.gif ).
Let see if we can reach 1075~1085 by tomorrow. That would make a better short entry. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 05:33 AM
htt
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 03:20 AM)
yes, especially if GERMAN wins the WORLD CUP.
*
Look like Spain is on their way...
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QUOTE(htt @ Jul 8 2010, 06:43 AM)
Look like Spain is on their way...
*
Opps.. if Spain wins WC, that's means the market will tank. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 08:03 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 8 2010, 08:03 AM)
Opps.. if Spain wins WC, that's means the market will tank.  laugh.gif
*
If Spain win, then less ppls will go on strike even if government launch austerity measure... tongue.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 8 2010, 10:40 AM

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Amazing feat. Broke 10K..

where are the NAY sayers saying we will see 9K? or possible 8.5K? I'm bullish for long term.

Today will be a reddish day, due to "profit" taking.
epalbee3
post Jul 8 2010, 06:46 PM

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we never know, but market will tend to move the way opposite to majority people view. if more people are bullish, then it is bearish. Vice-vesa.

Anyway, i will probably hibernate until the market goes bear.. enjoy your bull at this time..
danmooncake
post Jul 8 2010, 08:34 PM

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Jobless claims came in better for week ending July 3rd.
454k versus 472k prior week. Equities market should move up based on this news. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 08:35 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 8 2010, 09:34 PM

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Hmm... still eyeing C.
Wonder if it'll hit $4 again and then reverse or shoot off and never look back.

danmooncake
post Jul 8 2010, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 8 2010, 09:34 PM)
Hmm... still eyeing C.
Wonder if it'll hit $4 again and then reverse or shoot off and never look back.
*
I think eventually C will go above $4. Wait for them to report their earnings in the next few weeks.
After that, I'll sell into the rally. biggrin.gif

TSzamans98
post Jul 8 2010, 10:15 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 8 2010, 09:38 PM)
I think eventually C will go above $4. Wait for them to report their earnings in the next few weeks.
After that, I'll sell into the rally.  biggrin.gif
*
aye to that as well. 1/2 to go, then it will be clean from GOVT hands. After that, they can reverse split and shake off the retailers like me... whistling.gif
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Psst.. looks like STEC has a break out above $13.50. biggrin.gif

Also, tonight, 5:1 reverse split for these four 3x Bear ETF made them looks as if they've gained over 300%. biggrin.gif

TZA - Small Caps
DRV -Real Estate
ERY - Energy
TYP - Tech



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 10:37 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 8 2010, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 10:15 PM)
aye to that as well. 1/2 to go, then it will be clean from GOVT hands. After that, they can reverse split and shake off the retailers like me...  whistling.gif
*
Going to find an entry point and then put the shares under my pillow and sleep on it.
Who knows, maybe it'll double in a year's time. biggrin.gif
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post Jul 8 2010, 10:35 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 8 2010, 10:25 PM)
Psst.. looks like STEC has a break out above $13.50.  biggrin.gif
*
$20... come on, it is just within reach.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 10:35 PM)
$20... come on, it is just within reach.
*
$20.., I think that's too high. I'm just targeting $15 max. laugh.gif

Update: 11pm
Market coming off from the highs now going flat - retail sales came in disappointed.
I won't be surprised if we close negative but should be higher than yesterday low.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 8 2010, 11:09 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 9 2010, 01:22 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 8 2010, 11:07 PM)
$20.., I think that's too high. I'm just targeting $15 max.  laugh.gif

Update: 11pm
Market coming off from the highs now going flat - retail sales came in disappointed.
I won't be surprised if we close negative but should be higher than yesterday low.
*
$15 is short-term target. $18 is next on course to $20 before hit-back. I want to unload mine at $17.xx via TS. Then re-purchase it back at lower level, in batches.
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z - have you checked out MU? Peers like STEC but I think better value and perhaps possibly more upside?

Closing update:
Dow 10138.99 +120.71 +1.20%
Nasdaq 2175.40 +15.93 +0.74%
S&P500 1070.25.25 +9.98 +0.94%

Well, we got initial claims came in better than expected, though with weaker same store sales but that was quickly overcome with late buyers came in. SPX didn't fell below yesterday low, not even touching 1055.

I believe this rally will continue into earnings next week. Still holding on my longs trades: TNA, ERX, AAPL calls and just added a small position in UPRO.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 9 2010, 04:12 AM
mIssfROGY
post Jul 9 2010, 09:20 AM

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how do they calculate reverse split? I just gain over2k over this....is tis the effect of reverse split? or am i dreaming?
danmooncake
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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 9 2010, 09:20 AM)
how do they calculate reverse split? I just gain over2k over this....is tis the effect of reverse split? or am i dreaming?
*
They just take your shares and divide it by the ratio.

For example: For 5:1 reverse split, if you have 500 shares, you now have 100 shares.
Each share looks as if it is worth more but you less shares. The value is actually the same (before any stock movement).
Any odd balance that remains undivided will be given as cash to you (like force selling) on the previous day closing price.

laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 9 2010, 09:43 AM
mIssfROGY
post Jul 9 2010, 08:15 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 9 2010, 09:43 AM)
They just take your shares and divide it by the ratio.

For example: For 5:1 reverse split, if you have 500 shares, you now have 100 shares.
Each share looks as if it is worth more but you less shares. The value is actually the same (before any stock movement).
Any odd balance that remains undivided will be given as cash to you (like force selling) on the previous day closing price.

laugh.gif
*
ohh thats wat i tot so too...but the figures aint telling so earlier...whahahaha
but now it is...so i stopped dreaming mad.gif

This post has been edited by mIssfROGY: Jul 9 2010, 08:18 PM
danmooncake
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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 9 2010, 08:15 PM)
ohh thats wat i tot so too...but the figures aint telling so earlier...whahahaha
but now it is...so i stopped dreaming  mad.gif
*
I hope you didn't buy any 3x bear shares earlier this week, otherwise you could be hurting bad if market moves back up during earnings month.
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post Jul 9 2010, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 9 2010, 02:49 AM)
z - have you checked out MU? Peers like STEC but I think better value and perhaps possibly more upside?
Yes, I did. Monitored for 6 months now. But not volatile. If market bad, it dropped in % more than others.

QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 9 2010, 08:15 PM)
ohh thats wat i tot so too...but the figures aint telling so earlier...whahahaha
but now it is...so i stopped dreaming  mad.gif
*
yes, please STOP dreaming... Most broker platform cannot calculate the inception price.

C broke $4, and DJIA broke 10,150 and heading onwards to 10,300
danmooncake
post Jul 9 2010, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 9 2010, 10:36 PM)
C broke $4, and DJIA broke 10,150 and heading onwards to 10,300
*
C needs to close above this $4 price for at least two days, then possibly we got a new range play.
Hoping to see C can touch $5 again! biggrin.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10197.72 +59.04 +0.58%
Nasdaq 2175.40 +21.05 +0.97%
S&P500 1077.93 +7.68 +0.72%

C finally closed at 4.04, that's a very good sign. rclxms.gif
Just need more days like this upward trend even for a few cents that should be good for C.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 10 2010, 05:09 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 10 2010, 05:46 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 9 2010, 10:55 PM)

C finally closed at 4.04, that's a very good sign.  rclxms.gif
Just need more days like this upward trend even for a few cents that should be good for C.
*
Looking forward for USD5, before I can short it. smile.gif Another tranche waiting for sale by US Treasury. Once the Governmnent is flushed from the system, we can see even $7 or $10
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 10 2010, 05:46 PM)
Looking forward for USD5, before I can short it. smile.gif Another tranche waiting for sale by US Treasury. Once the Governmnent is flushed from the system, we can see even $7 or $10
*
zamans98, how do you short a US stock, assuming you are using a Malaysian stockbroker?

on C, should have sold when it hitted the upper $4s, missed a handsome profit there. sad.gif cry.gif
will the current uptrend curtailed by this piece of news..

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/New-rules-bi...578446.html?x=0

New rules, big changes coming for financial world
Big changes ahead for financial world from government crackdown more than a year in the making


ShareretweetEmailPrintCompanies:SUFFER
FILE - In this June 16, 2010 file photo, Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass. is seen on Capitol Hill in Washington. Senate Democrat leaders will work this week to secure the last votes needed to pass legislation imposing the most sweeping new rules on banks and Wall Street since the Great Depression. Republican Brown said he wanted to study the bill over last week's congressional recess, and has indicated the bill is more to his liking after House and Senate negotiators dropped a plan to impose a $19 billion tax on large banks and hedge funds to pay for the bill. (AP Photo/Drew Angerer, File)

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{"s" : "entk.pk","k" : "a00,a50,b00,b60,c10,g00,h00,l10,p20,t10,v00","o" : "","j" : ""} Jim Kuhnhenn, Associated Press Writer, On Saturday July 10, 2010, 6:40 pm EDT
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Big changes are in store for the financial world from a government crackdown more than a year in the making.

Democratic leaders in the Senate are trying to secure the final votes needed to pass legislation this coming week that would impose the most sweeping rules on banks and Wall Street since the Great Depression. The financial industry and consumers already are anticipating -- in some cases bracing for -- the impact.

Banks might see their bottom lines suffer. Lenders will have to disclose more information. Borrowers will have to prove their ability to repay. The masters of high finance will find it harder to sidestep regulations. Government watchdogs will be under orders to look more suspiciously at risky behavior.

Not all the changes will occur overnight once Congress gets the legislation to President Barack Obama. Throughout the 2,300-page bill, federal monitors are given one to two years to write the new rules of the road for Wall Street. In some instances, the timing isn't even specified.

Diana Farrell, deputy director of the White House's National Economic Council, says some adjustments already are under way as big banks re-examine their trading business and prepare for a new oversight system that will require them to write their own funeral plans in the event of failure.

"There is some immediate impact," said Scott Talbott, senior vice president at the Financial Services Roundtable, an industry group representing some of the bigger banks in the United States. "But it will take about two years before the full impact is felt, before the uncertainty starts to dwindle."

"Overall," said Travis Plunkett, legislative director of the Consumer Federation of America, "starting with the consumer regulations, this is landmark legislation."

Votes on the bill have broken along highly partisan lines. The House passed it June 30 with only three Republicans voting in support.

It needs 60 votes in the Senate. Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., delayed a final Senate vote until after the July Fourth holiday because of the death of Sen. Robert Byrd, D-W.Va., and hesitation from three Republicans who previously had supported the legislation. One of those Republicans, Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, has since announced her endorsement.

The other two Republicans -- Sens. Scott Brown of Massachusetts and Olympia Snowe of Maine -- said they wanted to study the bill over the holiday break. Both have indicated the bill is more to their liking after House and Senate negotiators dropped a plan to impose a $19 billion tax on large banks and hedge funds to pay for the bill.

Also, Sen. Maria Cantwell, D-Wash., who had voted against a Senate version of the legislation in May, has said she will now vote for the bill.

But a fourth Republican who supported the Senate version -- Sen. Charles Grassley of Iowa -- has reservations about the alternative financing mechanism negotiated by Senate and House Democrats and the White House. The new method of covering the cost of the bill would use $11 billion generated by ending the unpopular Troubled Asset Relief Program -- the $700 billion bank bailout created in the fall of 2008 at the height of the financial scare. Democrats also agreed to increase premium rates paid by commercial banks to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to insure bank deposits.

Grassley's spokeswoman, Jill Kozeny, said the senator is concerned using the FDIC fees as a credit to the FDIC and as an offset, and prefers that the remaining bailout money help pay down the debt.

That leaves little room for error in the vote counting. Without Grassley and with the timing of seating a replacement for Byrd still uncertain, Cantwell, Collins, Snowe and Brown would give the bill exactly the 60 votes needed to overcome potentially fatal procedural delays.

The finished legislation hews closely to the plan that Obama's administration released in June 2009.

"That's been one of the most pleasant surprises of this process," Farrell said in an interview.

In some instances, the final bill is even tougher. The administration and Democrats in Congress squabbled over details on capital standards for banks and the breadth of restrictions on their derivatives business. Derivatives are financial instruments whose values change based on the price of some underlying investment. They were used for speculation, fueling the financial crisis.

The most symbolic and high-profile defeat for the president was an exception in the bill carved out for auto dealers, who won't fall under the supervision of a new consumer protection bureau. Obama had looked upon consumer protections for home and auto buyers as features that would sell the bill to the public, but auto dealers proved to be a tough lobbying and political foe, pressing their case with lawmakers that they merely assembled loans and didn't administer them.

While Obama would have preferred an earlier conclusion for the bill, its passage less than four months from the general election is as good as it can get politically.

The partisan lines will lead Democrats to cast Republicans as the party of Wall Street, exploiting a populist, anti-big bank sentiment among voters. Republicans will portray it as big government overreach.

The legislation is a blend of specific prescriptive remedies that regulators must undertake and broader regulatory guidance.

For example, it spells out what the Federal Reserve must take into account in setting new limits on the fees that banks charge merchants who accept debit cards.

At the same time, it gives regulators leeway in such areas as the definition of a commercial user of complex derivatives -- typically large manufacturers and industries such as airlines that use derivatives as hedges against market fluctuations. Regulators also would decide how much money those users should put up to cover their bets.

The bill directs regulators and other government agencies to undertake more than 60 studies that will determine if or how new rules will be put into place.

and by the way, who here holds AIG? smile.gif




mH3nG
post Jul 11 2010, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 10 2010, 05:46 PM)
Looking forward for USD5, before I can short it. smile.gif Another tranche waiting for sale by US Treasury. Once the Governmnent is flushed from the system, we can see even $7 or $10
*
The faster they get out the better. Then we can see C pop. laugh.gif



QUOTE(sakae @ Jul 11 2010, 10:13 AM)
zamans98, how do you short a US stock, assuming you are using a Malaysian stockbroker?

on C, should have sold when it hitted the upper $4s, missed a handsome profit there.  sad.gif    cry.gif 
will the current uptrend curtailed by this piece of news..

*
sakae, you can't short US stocks with a Malaysian stockbroker. Well at least not with CIMB.
You need to open an account with a discount broker in US like MBTrading, Sogotrade, etc.
sakae
post Jul 11 2010, 10:58 PM

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how do we compound dividends from US stocks, let say C pays a dividend and i want it compounded and I am using a malaysian broker.

OSK told me when dividends are paid, we are given an option to compound or to cash it, true?

I know C has a program to compound dividends but since i purchased thru OSK, how can i register for it?

these US discount brokers MBTrading , Sogotrade .. are they reliable & safe?
danmooncake
post Jul 12 2010, 09:05 PM

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QUOTE(sakae @ Jul 11 2010, 10:58 PM)
how do we compound dividends from US stocks, let say C pays a dividend and i want it compounded and I am using a malaysian broker.

OSK told me when dividends are paid, we are given an option to compound or to cash it, true?

I know C has a program to compound dividends but since i purchased thru OSK, how can i register for it?

these US discount brokers MBTrading , Sogotrade .. are they reliable & safe?
*
MBtrading, SogoTrade, etc are safe - they're guaranteed with and registered with SIPC.
I think OSK may told you - in ONE out some possible scenarios - NOT NECESSARILY always. It all depends which stocks you have purchased and if you've any proper paperwork in place.

Here's how the foreign broker do it. Dividends given (if any), then 15% withhold by US govt. Yes, they tax you on dividends.
Then, it is given to you in your cash account unless you've signed a DRIP (Dividend Reinvestment Income Plan) with the stock that you've purchased.


Market watch tonight:
Europe going down, Dollar going up, Equities going down a bit permarket

BP - close to getting a new CAP on oil and relief oil done. Up 3.2% premarket.

STEC - something boosting it.. perhaps upgrade. This is great if true!

Overnight, Oil crossed over $76, new range could be $76 - $80. Nice! I'm in ERX and UCO riding this up a bit.

Let's watch AA earnings after trading later. I think it will be bad for them. Too much supply of
aluminium and prices have fallen in second Qtr. Traders may short AA after earnings report even if it is good.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 12 2010, 09:11 PM
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post Jul 12 2010, 09:46 PM

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C prices are rising. Must be the Treasury dumping the shares earlier that forced it below $4.
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post Jul 12 2010, 10:05 PM

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Oh my lovely STEC. Come to papa. DMC, it just crossed 15.50, hitting high 15.72.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 12 2010, 10:05 PM)
Oh my lovely STEC. Come to papa. DMC, it just crossed 15.50, hitting high 15.72.
*
Let see if it can touch $16 by tomorrow. A close above that 200MA a good sign.
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post Jul 12 2010, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 12 2010, 10:13 PM)
Let see if it can touch $16 by tomorrow. A close above that 200MA a good sign.
*
dumped 1/3. 1/3 let it run TS, and 1/3 keep for future


Added on July 12, 2010, 10:43 pmSTEC upgraded to BUY

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «



This post has been edited by zamans98: Jul 12 2010, 10:43 PM
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There is gap between 14.75 and 15.31 for STEC. Hm...I think it will come to that level to fill it later. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 12 2010, 10:54 PM
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post Jul 12 2010, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 12 2010, 10:54 PM)
There is gap between 14.75 and 15.31 for STEC. Hm...I think it will come to that level to fill it later.  laugh.gif
*
As expected, after an upgrade, it raised momentarily. Now back to early $15. Still looking forward for $16 before another reversal back to $13-14 level.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 12 2010, 11:44 PM)
As expected, after an upgrade, it raised momentarily. Now back to early $15. Still looking forward for $16 before another reversal back to $13-14 level.
*
Sell into the rally! rclxms.gif Let see if it can bounce off 14.75 to fill this gap or not.
Looks like gap is filled. Not sure if STEC bulls can take it back to $15 or not. Pretty strong selling here. laugh.gif


Gosh.. PlayBoy stocks surged 40% because of rumor that Hefner wants to take this to private. He wanted buy out shareholders. I'm not surprise - in days of plenty of porn from Internet, Playboy Enterprise revenue is dropping like crazy.

Closing update:
Dow 10216.27 +18.24 +0.18%
Nasdaq 2198.36 1.91 +0.09%
S&P500 1078.75 +0.79 +0.07%

The indices just inched up slightly only but a lot of other stocks taken down today. STEC can't even closed above last Friday closing price, lost 2.98% despite upgrade, it closed at $14.31.

C however managed to close at 4.12, awesome! rclxms.gif Hopefullly, it will be pumped up to close to $5 so we can take
major profits here. drool.gif

Update: 4:30am
Interesting! AA actually beats street estimates. Given all than worst than expected earnings for AA, we could get a small pop at open the next session. Bulls need to push this market to SPX 1100 - get ready for the big short. brows.gif

Update: 6:30am
CSX (rail transport) also got better earnings! This is going to set the stage for more uptrend move. Nice.


Added on July 13, 2010, 8:42 pm
Update: July 13, 8:42pm
The energy sector will get a market boost from CVX tonight. Another good earnings.
Market is at the higher ceiling for Dow 10251 and SPX 1085 futures. Close to profit taking stage. biggrin.gif

C now trading at $4.20 pre-market. rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 13 2010, 08:45 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 13 2010, 08:45 PM

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danmooncake, C is already hitting $4.20 in the pre market. brows.gif

But one thing worries me, come Friday, will it stall and drop back to below $4?
epalbee3
post Jul 13 2010, 08:53 PM

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as you know, i m in for bear..

so, i hope it won't be too green..

depends on market sentiment..
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post Jul 13 2010, 09:07 PM

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wow, the best week in 2010, and green are very promising here.

C 4.20
STEC 14.70
AA 11.32. argh. Missed it, should pick more at 9.80's 10 sessions ago
CENX rally from $9 to $10 on AA's news
GLD went up crazy to 119
LVS also hit up to 23.52
S crazy, was hoping it dropped to $4 but 2 straight session with +8% for this 2 days

Note: I'm selling STEC into strength. I believe that the BUY call effects will fade away by Friday. Any other opinion?
epalbee3
post Jul 13 2010, 10:20 PM

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when intel wants to say something?
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post Jul 13 2010, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 13 2010, 10:20 PM)
when intel wants to say something?
*
When is the result due?

We can anticipate TECHNOLOGY sector to move by 4-8% within 1-2 days from the result announcement, if its positive. U can buy KLSE stocks selling CPU, cannot remember the name.
epalbee3
post Jul 13 2010, 11:20 PM

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what does it mean by AA 1 cent surprise? it is just little. why market behaves so big?

then when Moody downgraded portugal, nothing happens..
Europe stock climbed..

why?


Added on July 13, 2010, 11:36 pm
QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 13 2010, 11:13 PM)
When is the result due?

We can anticipate TECHNOLOGY sector to move by 4-8% within 1-2 days from the result announcement, if its positive. U can buy KLSE stocks selling CPU, cannot remember the name.
*
INTC should due today..


This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 13 2010, 11:36 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 14 2010, 12:28 AM

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Hi Guys,

I love it when the market moves (doesn't matter bulls or bears but as long it moves!) and today it did.

The bulls broke out from SPX 1080 and gap up to 1090 and now got more room to go to challenge the resistance ceiling target @ 1095 (50MA) ~ 1111 (200MA). Dow has to crawl over 10370 (200MA) to claim victory.

Portugal - downgrade, perhaps nothing else is new here, therefore looking at Greece as proxy, they'll get their act together to get the debt auction off in future. The market figures US corporate earnings for now won't be affected by this single nation. It may later but not now, Europe fears are put aside.

AA - When all the doom and gloom on aluminum demand are overdone. AA moves to upside with their wonderful earnings and better outlook, coupled with CSX - rail transportation activities are strong in US.

Back to our favourite C (Citigroup), anyway, here's my plan for C
(since I hold a substantial amount of this avg $3.7).

C broke out from the $4 barrier because the supply has been overcome (Govt done selling and FINRA finalized). Now, the demand is more and we'll gradually see C moves back to $5. I will be unloading my C shares as it gradually moves up.

If you want to be long, I think it is safe to scale some in at this level ($4 ~ $4.3).
There is tremendous amount of volume for C now. $4 now is seems to be the support.

But, I'll be looking to start my short position if SPX moves closer to 1100 and 1111 and I'll stop loss if it breaks above.


Added on July 14, 2010, 4:57 amClosing update
Dow 10363.02 +146.75 +1.44%
Nasdaq 2242.03 +43.67 +1.99%
S&P500 1095.34 +16.59 +1.54%

There you go. Bulls got green shoots.

After hours, INTC posted strong earnings with huge profits. This should help move tech sector up next day.

C closed at $4.30 (+4.62%). rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 14 2010, 06:24 AM
htt
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 13 2010, 11:13 PM)
When is the result due?

We can anticipate TECHNOLOGY sector to move by 4-8% within 1-2 days from the result announcement, if its positive. U can buy KLSE stocks selling CPU, cannot remember the name.
*
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Intel-posts-...1&asset=&ccode=
sakae
post Jul 14 2010, 08:43 AM

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C 's on the move upwards .. need to monitor this carefully, missed the $5 boat last round cry.gif

i m holding an average price of 3.94, however the exchange rate is not favourable, 3.35 compared to 3.22 at the moment, how do you guys get around the exchange rate issue?

Will Govt start selling next week after the earnings report and bring C's price down?
epalbee3
post Jul 14 2010, 09:09 AM

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also don't know it will climb or not. but just keep observe it, anything wrong just turn back. that is how we did. wink.gif


Added on July 14, 2010, 9:19 ambut I think eventually market will get bored with all those earnings and start dropping.. remember market only has short term memory?

we was just talking about double dip last week, then this week all good news..

if the market trend goes against you, either you should run straight away or keep in refrigenerator until it is ready..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 14 2010, 09:19 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 14 2010, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(sakae @ Jul 14 2010, 08:43 AM)
C 's on the move upwards .. need to monitor this carefully, missed the $5 boat last round  cry.gif 

i m holding an average price of 3.94, however the exchange rate is not favourable, 3.35 compared to 3.22 at the moment, how do you guys get around the exchange rate issue?

Will Govt start selling next week after the earnings report and bring C's price down?
*
Just put your sell order with GTC for $5. Come back in 3 months and check again.

Anyway, why are you concern about exchange rate? hmm.gif


Added on July 14, 2010, 9:46 am
QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 14 2010, 09:09 AM)
also don't know it will climb or not. but just keep observe it, anything wrong just turn back. that is how we did. wink.gif


Added on July 14, 2010, 9:19 ambut I think eventually market will get bored with all those earnings and start dropping.. remember market only has short term memory?

we was just talking about double dip last week, then this week all good news..

if the market trend goes against you, either you should run straight away or keep in refrigenerator until it is ready..
*
That DD hasn't vanished yet. Just went into hibernation until the earnings euphoria ends.
The daily, weekly and 3 months trend are still down but the 6 months are moving sideways.

If this earnings season plus the next quarter can't pull SPX go back above 1150 or DOW above 10800, then we're still in a bear market rally.

We'll be crossing this 10000 level multiple times until it doesn't work anymore.
Just place your traps to get money both ways. nod.gif


Added on July 14, 2010, 8:33 pmTonight is crucial 1st test for the bulls. Can it retain 1095 and cross over to do the 2nd test at 1111?
I've unload and took some profits off the table here (TNA, ERX, UCO) and leaving some on the table.
Not in shorts yet but will get ready to jump in.

Premarket: Retail sales came in -0.5% versus -0.2%.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 14 2010, 09:04 PM
sakae
post Jul 14 2010, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 14 2010, 09:39 AM)
Just put your sell order with GTC for $5. Come back in 3 months and check again.

Anyway, why are you concern about exchange rate?  hmm.gif
huh? who is GTC?

i m trading via OSK Msia, thus incurring an exchange rate difference due to the weaker USD/stronger ringgit.
Is there a better way to trade US stocks? do share.

newbie newbie here but learning blush.gif
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QUOTE(sakae @ Jul 14 2010, 09:10 PM)
huh? who is GTC?

i m trading via OSK Msia, thus incurring an exchange rate difference due to the weaker USD/stronger ringgit.
Is there a better way to trade US stocks? do share.

newbie newbie here but learning  blush.gif
*
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gtc.asp

IMO, the best way to trade is to open a DIRECT account with a US Brokerage like most of us here do.
With the local broker, not only you pay fees but you're paying immediate exchange rate on spot. This is insane.
Keep your money in USD until the rate is favorable to you and repatriate later. Stop feeding the wolves in Malaysia.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 14 2010, 09:35 PM
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post Jul 14 2010, 09:46 PM

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Profit taking in progress... aiyo. come on C, cross to 4.50$
danmooncake
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 14 2010, 09:46 PM)
Profit taking in progress... aiyo. come on C, cross to 4.50$
*
That's correct but C now is a BUY for any pull back to low $4. smile.gif


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post Jul 14 2010, 11:21 PM

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BP can sell soon? more upside? Anyway how many stocks do you guys usually buy?
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post Jul 14 2010, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jul 14 2010, 11:21 PM)
BP can sell soon? more upside? Anyway how many stocks do you guys usually buy?
*
for me, depends on risk aversion, capital, news and holding power.

If you have a capital of USD5,000, u work out how much u can buy. Diversify, or buy ETF.
If the share price, take C as the most popular stock discussed here.

C @ 4.20 x 200 -->$840
if drop, buy again say
@ 4.00 x 200 -->$800
if drop again, average it. REVENGEEEEE @ 3.80 x 300 -> U$1140

So that like putting all your money in C. Total shares : 700, value at USD2,780...

I'm sure u can figure it out.
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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jul 14 2010, 11:21 PM)
BP can sell soon? more upside? Anyway how many stocks do you guys usually buy?
*
Are you holding BP? tongue.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10366.72 +3.7 +0.04%
Nasdaq 2249.84 +7.81 +0.35%
S&P500 1095.17 -0.17 -0.02%

Despite great earnings from INTC yesterday, market is very reluctant to go higher. Strong resistance here at the 50MA. Sold off rest of my longs and holding cash now. laugh.gif




This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 15 2010, 04:42 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 15 2010, 08:16 AM

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according to our theory, if stock remains one place with good news, the dip will come soon.

US states governments are actually broke now. California reduced staff salary to minimum salary. Some states do not pay the bill.

most of the US citizen feel that they are in recession. yet all earnings from INTC or YUM are actually a result of their oversea business at China, etc.

Of course the opposite side is good earnings which drive up the stock prices. Yet JPM and C results will be out soon. If we have one big earning dissapontment, then the stock will dip a lot.

What do you think? wink.gif

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 15 2010, 08:18 AM
Darkmage12
post Jul 15 2010, 09:13 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 15 2010, 01:54 AM)
Are you holding BP?  tongue.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10366.72 +3.7 +0.04%
Nasdaq 2249.84 +7.81 +0.35%
S&P500 1095.17 -0.17 -0.02%

Despite great earnings from INTC yesterday, market is very reluctant to go higher. Strong resistance here at the 50MA.  Sold off rest of my longs and holding cash now.  laugh.gif
*
Yes that's why asking you guys haha
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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jul 15 2010, 09:13 AM)
Yes that's why asking you guys haha
*
If you're in positive territory, nothing wrong with taking profits!
Profits always good, no matter how small. Just don't be greedy. tongue.gif


Added on July 15, 2010, 10:26 am
QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 15 2010, 08:16 AM)
according to our theory, if stock remains one place with good news, the dip will come soon.

US states governments are actually broke now. California reduced staff salary to minimum salary. Some states do not pay the bill.

most of the US citizen feel that they are in recession. yet all earnings from INTC or YUM are actually a result of their oversea business at China, etc.

Of course the opposite side is good earnings which drive up the stock prices. Yet JPM and C results will be out soon. If we have one big earning dissapontment, then the stock will dip a lot.

What do you think? wink.gif
*
Is that your theory? tongue.gif

Anyway, from what I can see.. the SPX is 85 points from the low, 55 points to the target for January high, 125 points to target for April highs.

The technicals are indicating stocks becoming a bit over-extended after moving up for more than 5-6 straight days, demands are slowing, and market due for a pause or a small pull back. Whether we will roll over or now, dunno yet. SPX printing doji now but we need more data points to see clearly the direction. If SPX breaks down 1088, then it will be sell signal.

IMO, so far, earnings are not done, and US companies are reporting very good results which makes their valuation cheaper (whether internal or external). The US economic news aren't stellar but they're not negative. Slower growth doesn't mean zero growth here.

Bulls may not want to give up yet until market gets a bit more higher - which will make valuation less attractive, then we will get the bigger sell off later. brows.gif


Added on July 15, 2010, 8:42 pmUpdate: July 15 8:42pm

All right.. looks like still a bit bullish tonight.

JPM and Marriott results are good!

Initial Jobless claims also good this week: 429k vs. 454k (last week)
Except for PPI for June: -0.5 vs. -0.1 (prior, looks like deflation here)

Update: 9:40pm
Traders to continue to sell at the resistance level here at SPX 1095 and Dow 10400 despite better results from JPM and Marriot and also initial claims. Waiting to see if we fall below 1088 and close (then I'll short) or if bulls can come back later at closing (like yesterday).

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 15 2010, 09:45 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 15 2010, 10:06 PM

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Sold off my last batch of C at $4.14.
Waiting for below $4. smile.gif


Added on July 15, 2010, 10:12 pmHeavy selling going on in C. Has treasury started disposing again?

This post has been edited by mH3nG: Jul 15 2010, 10:12 PM
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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 15 2010, 10:06 PM)
Sold off my last batch of C at $4.14.
Waiting for below $4.  smile.gif


Added on July 15, 2010, 10:12 pmHeavy selling going on in C. Has treasury started disposing again?
*
No, just profit taking after so many days of up. General indices are showing sell signal.
Wait for C to dip to $4 again and watch for uptick before buying back.
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post Jul 15 2010, 10:28 PM

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According to the above theory, it will dip another few days.. wink.gif let's see if this is true..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 15 2010, 10:28 PM
Darkmage12
post Jul 16 2010, 12:08 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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haha BP went up again just place GTC at 50 for 200 the rest keeping
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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jul 16 2010, 12:08 AM)
haha BP went up again just place GTC at 50 for 200 the rest keeping
*
$50? Good luck to you.

BP surge on rumor that that they will cap the well soon. That's it.
I'm staying away from BP. If it goes to $40, I'll short it. brows.gif
Darkmage12
post Jul 16 2010, 12:51 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 16 2010, 12:41 AM)
$50?  Good luck to you.

BP surge on rumor that that they will cap the well soon. That's it.
I'm staying away from BP.  If it goes to $40, I'll short it.  brows.gif
*
Thanks. Just saw it breach 37 lolz
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post Jul 16 2010, 12:52 AM

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me? I will short BP. If you work in O&G, u will know that the cap is not the final answer. the pressure build-up is so strong, it will break the cap.

we are talking about 1800m underwater pressure.
danmooncake
post Jul 16 2010, 04:25 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10359.31 -7.41 -0.07%
Nasdaq 2249.08 -0.76 -0.03%
S&P500 1096.48 +1.31 +0.12%

Market dived in the early session after worse than expected PPI numbers but came back in late and near closing as good news from BP capping came thru, GS settled their case for $550m, and also passing of the FINRA law.

Not much change from yesterday but the volatility was good for day trade. Didn't partake tonight - too busy. sad.gif
Tomorrow OpEX day.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 16 2010, 06:07 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 16 2010, 07:57 AM

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haha,.. then my theory haven't started yet.. so according to the theory, if the market remains stable despite good news, big and continuous dip is followed. wink.gif

for OPEX day, see the direction of momo first, then you decide which way to go.. just for the day..


Added on July 16, 2010, 8:01 amIf you see Google quarter report which did not meet the estimate by analyst, tonight should start with a dip..



This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 16 2010, 08:01 AM
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 16 2010, 07:57 AM)
haha,.. then my theory haven't started yet.. so according to the theory, if the market remains stable despite good news, big and continuous dip is followed. wink.gif

for OPEX day, see the direction of momo first, then you decide which way to go.. just for the day..


Added on July 16, 2010, 8:01 amIf you see Google quarter report which did not meet the estimate by analyst, tonight should start with a dip..
*
Well, some people expected GOOG to fail because of being kicked out of China last time. Not sure if this has any effect on its revenue. tongue.gif

Let see if the bulls can pull another assault on SPX 1100 and Dow 10400 tonight. laugh.gif


Added on July 16, 2010, 10:24 am
QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 16 2010, 12:52 AM)
me? I will short BP. If you work in O&G, u will know that the cap is not the final answer. the pressure build-up is so strong, it will break the cap.

we are talking about 1800m underwater pressure.
*
BP has more problems than that cap. There are mountains of lawsuits now piling up and the expenses to clean up the gulf area could potential wipe out BP's revenue for the next ten years. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 16 2010, 10:24 AM
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post Jul 16 2010, 08:46 PM

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The mother bank finally "WON" the SEC battle.

They will need to pay 550 million dollars or a little over 2 weeks income to settle and close the case. GS shoot aftermarket nearing 6.5%. If market is good, we can see GS to 155$ in no time.
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post Jul 16 2010, 09:24 PM

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Mixed bag results for C. Lesser revenue due to trading but still beats street estimates.
Like BAC, C should drop at open tonight but I think the dip buyers will be coming in at closing.


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post Jul 16 2010, 10:23 PM

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Say hello to under $4. brows.gif
All that's left is to wait... smile.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 16 2010, 10:48 PM

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it is start of the dip.. stay tuned.. the theory is tested.. smile.gif


Added on July 16, 2010, 10:59 pmThe profit is no longer the indicator, but revenue is the real indicator of the economic. When revenue drops, it reflects the consumer spending and the raise in profit by cutting down the operating cost will drive utility and commodity market down. Thus, this is a bad news in fact. But this is not important, the important thing is market tries to find a reason to drop because it is time to go down.. wink.gif

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 16 2010, 10:59 PM
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post Jul 16 2010, 11:29 PM

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I've washed out some C at 4.25 on Wed.
Rebuy back C @ 3.96 here, SL 3.92. smile.gif


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post Jul 16 2010, 11:52 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 16 2010, 11:29 PM)
I've washed out some C at 4.25 on Wed.
Rebuy back C @ 3.96 here, SL 3.92.  smile.gif
*
yeah, should do that as well. was targetting $4.50 before bounce back. arghhh!
epalbee3
post Jul 17 2010, 12:24 AM

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will we close below 10k tonight..?

according to theory, the market will fall at least a few days.. until other indicator comes..
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post Jul 17 2010, 01:05 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 17 2010, 12:24 AM)
will we close below 10k tonight..?

according to theory, the market will fall at least a few days.. until other indicator comes..
*
Option day - Calls are taken out or nullified. Puts are working.
I think SPX 1070 (or Dow 10135) should hold here.. otherwise even bears should be scare. shakehead.gif




TSzamans98
post Jul 17 2010, 03:50 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 17 2010, 12:24 AM)
will we close below 10k tonight..?

according to theory, the market will fall at least a few days.. until other indicator comes..
*
Don't think so. its Option Day, its normal market is volatile. If you have cash, just pump in ya..

We will see higher than 10,050, range-bound to 10,100.
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post Jul 17 2010, 04:08 AM

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Closing update

Dow 10097.90 -261.41 -2.52%
Nasdaq 2179.05 -70.03 -3.11%
S&P500 1064.86 -31.61 -2.88%


Well, it doesn't look good here. We closed below SPX 1070 and Dow 10100.
Got stop out on C @ 3.92 (small loss here sweat.gif).

I'll be riding some shorts here until we'll get a wave up again (in TZA and VXX) laugh.gif

Oh.. shorting BP as well.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100716/ap_on_..._gulf_oil_spill tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 17 2010, 06:25 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 17 2010, 08:18 AM

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ok, the bear has won the week.. wink.gif

The dip is continue from the start to the end. I guess momo that pushed the stock up has run away during last two days. Now is ikan billis trying to push and pull, wondering why nobody pushing the thing up.
I think the dip is for a few days.
What do you think about the outlook of next week?


Added on July 18, 2010, 12:33 amFor TZA and TNA, why don't we use SPXU and UPRO?

There are better linked with 3x S&P gain..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 18 2010, 12:33 AM
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 17 2010, 08:18 AM)
ok, the bear has won the week.. wink.gif

The dip is continue from the start to the end. I guess momo that pushed the stock up has run away during last two days. Now is ikan billis trying to push and pull, wondering why nobody pushing the thing up.
I think the dip is for a few days.
What do you think about the outlook of next week?


Added on July 18, 2010, 12:33 amFor TZA and TNA, why don't we use SPXU and UPRO?

There are better linked with 3x S&P gain..
*
Actually, got some SPXU earlier part of the week. Now in positive territory.

Next week, I expect we'll continue the downtrend and most likely with any earnings popping, market will sell into the pop. Bad economic news will trump earnings this time. I think we may retest or even take out the S&P 1010 low (or Dow 9614) in 2 to 3 weeks time. nod.gif
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post Jul 18 2010, 11:46 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 18 2010, 11:43 PM)
Actually, got some SPXU earlier part of the week. Now in positive territory.

Next week, I expect we'll continue the downtrend and most likely with any earnings popping, market will sell into the pop. Bad economic news will trump earnings this time.  I think we may retest or even take out the S&P 1010 low (or Dow 9614) in 2 to 3 weeks time.  nod.gif
*
LONG GOLD spotted. smile.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 19 2010, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 18 2010, 11:43 PM)
Actually, got some SPXU earlier part of the week. Now in positive territory.

Next week, I expect we'll continue the downtrend and most likely with any earnings popping, market will sell into the pop. Bad economic news will trump earnings this time.  I think we may retest or even take out the S&P 1010 low (or Dow 9614) in 2 to 3 weeks time.  nod.gif
*
Yeah, it is definitely a dip.. but we don't know where is the bottom.
Have to check with the signals next week. Perhaps this is the time going to less than 9600 before the cycle completes.

enjoy your short now.. wink.gif

If you have any tips, let me know..
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 19 2010, 12:11 AM)
Yeah, it is definitely a dip.. but we don't know where is the bottom.
Have to check with the signals next week. Perhaps this is the time going to less than 9600 before the cycle completes.

enjoy your short now.. wink.gif

If you have any tips, let me know..
*
Could get a better re-short entry if AAPL and IBM can help to rise the market up a bit but I don't expect we'll get higher than 1100 until we revisit the lows again.


Added on July 19, 2010, 8:19 pm
Looks like a small bounce is due tonight from the hard sell Friday because of this news:
NABE (National Association of Business Economics) survey indicates "prospects" for hiring is on the rise. nod.gif

If SPX can't hold 1055 by closing end of this week, then hard sell again next week. I'll continue to hold shorts with stops above SPX 1088.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 19 2010, 08:42 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 19 2010, 09:33 PM

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C is slightly up on earnings upgrade.

QUOTE
BW raises Citigroup outlook, prefers J.P. Morgan

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised their earnings outlook for Citigroup Inc. /quotes/comstock/13*!c/quotes/nls/c  (C  3.95, +0.05, +1.28%)  on Monday, but voiced concerns about the bank's pace of recovery. The analysts upped Citigroup's 2010 earnings estimate to 27 cents a share from 7 cents a share. They cited improving credit trends, but remained cautious over potential bank fees and higher capital requirements. The analysts also noted that the bank's "improvement in asset quality lagged behind a few of its peers," and favored investments in rival J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. /quotes/comstock/13*!jpm/quotes/nls/jpm  (JPM  39.13, +0.13, +0.33%) . They kept their rating on Citigroup at market perform with a price target of $4.70 a share. Separately, Oppenheimer & Co. analysts maintained their outperform rating and $4.45-a-share price target on Citigroup. Shares of Citi were up about 0.8% premarket Monday, trading at $3.93 each.
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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 19 2010, 09:33 PM)
C is slightly up on earnings upgrade.
*
C is now trading below that $4 resistance line again. Just need to close above it for the
bulls to have more conviction.
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post Jul 19 2010, 10:19 PM

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perhaps there is some rebounce due to europe..

but I guess this rally will become red later..

wait and see..
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 19 2010, 10:19 PM)
perhaps there is some rebounce due to europe..

but I guess this rally will become red later..

wait and see..
*
Yes, it will.. the technicals are indicating we're going lower... let see how long the bulls can hold off. laugh.gif
epalbee3
post Jul 19 2010, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 19 2010, 10:44 PM)
Yes, it will.. the technicals are indicating we're going lower... let see how long the bulls can hold off.  laugh.gif
*
Momo may push the market to below 10k so that everyone will push the market down.. wink.gif

So, just wait.. as long as you don't use margin..


Added on July 19, 2010, 11:18 pmEurope market has become red from green.. wink.gif

The dip is unavoidable..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 19 2010, 11:18 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 20 2010, 12:11 AM

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yo yo ing again. 10,100 is well supported.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 20 2010, 12:11 AM)
yo yo ing again. 10,100 is well supported.
*
Watch for near closing. I think bulls will give up this spot. nod.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 20 2010, 12:20 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 16 2010, 12:52 AM)
me? I will short BP. If you work in O&G, u will know that the cap is not the final answer. the pressure build-up is so strong, it will break the cap.

we are talking about 1800m underwater pressure.
*
see? leaking in progress. BP shares sinking now. Argh. Too fast, thinking SHORT @ 38.00
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 20 2010, 12:20 AM)
see? leaking in progress. BP shares sinking now. Argh. Too fast, thinking SHORT @ 38.00
*
You're spot on.. thumbup.gif That sudden pop to last week high near $40 was perfect for short I missed that but only managed to make an entry at 37.50 during pull back.

Anyway, this cap is in pretty risky situation if they already detected seepage on the ocean floor.
If the seabed is breached later due to the pressure, all hell could break loose here.
They need to drill that relief well and suck up all the oil as soon as possible.


Added on July 20, 2010, 5:29 amClosing update:
Dow 10154.43 +56.53 +0.56%
Nasdaq 2198.23 +19.18 +0.88%
S&P500 1071.25 +6.37 +0.60%

The bulls managed to get 56 points back tonight. But, all these may not last till tomorrow.

IBM reported poor earnings after hours and tomorrow, I think we'll see blood bath.
The economic data from the Home Builder confidence level isn't that rosy either.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 20 2010, 05:35 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 20 2010, 07:20 AM

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IBM revenue dropped.. so there will be red tomorrow..


Added on July 20, 2010, 7:23 amIBM dropped $5.39 after market.

Multiply by 7.5 we get 40 points retreat..

so tomorrow will continue to drop.. wink.gif

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 20 2010, 07:23 AM
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post Jul 20 2010, 08:32 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 20 2010, 07:20 AM)
IBM revenue dropped.. so there will be red tomorrow..


Added on July 20, 2010, 7:23 amIBM dropped $5.39 after market.

Multiply by 7.5 we get 40 points retreat..

so tomorrow will continue to drop.. wink.gif
*
Yeah... let's continue to ride the bears.. tongue.gif

I just glanced through the bearish news report on Homebuilders in US.
Here it is:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Homebuilders...8&asset=&ccode=


Added on July 20, 2010, 8:49 pmWhoa! Goldman boy got whacked big time with 2nd q earnings fell 83% to $453 million.


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 20 2010, 08:49 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 20 2010, 09:40 PM

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Battle of Bear vs Bull @ 10,000. So far still holding ...
Q C x 700 @ 3.88
epalbee3
post Jul 20 2010, 09:41 PM

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ok.. we will see below 10k today.. aim for below 9.5k then wait for signal..

smile.gif there is a signal in every trade... wink.gif
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post Jul 20 2010, 09:48 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 20 2010, 09:41 PM)
ok.. we will see below 10k today.. aim for below 9.5k then wait for signal..

smile.gif there is a signal in every trade... wink.gif
*
Dunno about Dow..but if S&P500 can't hold 1055-1060 level.. bam.. then it is 1040 is next.

We may see some late day buying in anticipation of AAPL earnings tomorrow.
AAPL better come thru otherwise it will be more powers to the bears! laugh.gif
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post Jul 20 2010, 10:00 PM

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I was scammed by this MOMO. Now C heading higher, crossed 4$.

AAPL earning is good for this quarter only. Iphong 4 sales now getting slower due to design rush + flaw. Read up babeh!
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post Jul 20 2010, 10:29 PM

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I don't know about C.. but long term trend should be lower as financial revenue is expected to suffer by next quarter.

Now see when the momo wants to push down.. wink.gif

enjoy watching the price.. smile.gif


Added on July 20, 2010, 11:05 pmStock seems like dun want to drop.. is it another trap or rebounce? it depends on time at this level..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 20 2010, 11:05 PM
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 20 2010, 10:29 PM)
I don't know about C.. but long term trend should be lower as financial revenue is expected to suffer by next quarter.

Now see when the momo wants to push down..  wink.gif

enjoy watching the price.. smile.gif


Added on July 20, 2010, 11:05 pmStock seems like dun want to drop.. is it another trap or rebounce? it depends on time at this level..
*
MOMO indeed wants to drive prices back up. Commodities (Oil/Minerals/Metals) are fighting the trend today due Dollar tanking - thanks for China for spiking this overnight. Financials and Tech are still losing the battle. The longer trend is still down for now.

I expect AAPL earnings to come thru well ahead of expectation tonight and tomorrow maybe we can see AAPL pop above $250. Then, I sell into this rally. biggrin.gif

C - This baby wants to go up! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 20 2010, 11:41 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 21 2010, 12:02 AM

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boring market.. what to do now?
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post Jul 21 2010, 12:24 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 21 2010, 12:02 AM)
boring market.. what to do now?
*
Perhaps nothing tonight. Wait for AAPL to deliver the goods.. then short. I think we got 2-3 more days of down cycle before it moves back up if oversold condition comes in later. Today, momo tries to take this back to the 20MA to even the playing field. They try to shake money from bears but I don't think we will close in green tonight but I think SPX 1060 should hold.
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casino stocks still on upside ma... hopefully will up and up again. haha
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post Jul 21 2010, 12:33 AM

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ok lar.. very boring.. sleep first..
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post Jul 21 2010, 01:56 AM

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Damn.. gotta to cover some shorts now and take some profits off the table (VXX, TZA & SPXU).
Getting too risky here. sweat.gif

The bulls are waking up with that stupid jobless extension bill. Have to wait for AAPL earnings first and try to short again at much higher level later.

Closing update:
Dow 10229.96 +75.53 +0.74%
Nasdaq 2222.49 +21.18 +1.10%
S&P500 1083.48 +12.23 +1.14%

I must admit tonight reverse course is totally unexpected. I was hoping for close below yesterday level but we got pushed up after that crazy jobs bills and overnight commodities buying rally from China even with all the bad economic news and less than stellar earnings from GS and IBM.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 21 2010, 07:04 AM
Myoswee
post Jul 21 2010, 04:24 AM

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200 point swing today. Nice rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 21 2010, 04:47 AM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Jul 21 2010, 04:24 AM)
200 point swing today. Nice  rclxms.gif
*
Crazy huh? This 180% degree turn completely took me off guard...

But, anyway, AAPL earnings came through! Net income soars 78%!! drool.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 21 2010, 04:48 AM
epalbee3
post Jul 21 2010, 07:30 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 21 2010, 01:56 AM)
Damn.. gotta to cover some shorts now and take some profits off the table (VXX, TZA & SPXU).
Getting too risky here.  sweat.gif 

The bulls are waking up with that stupid jobless extension bill. Have to wait for AAPL earnings first and try to short again at much higher level later.

Closing update:
Dow 10229.96 +75.53 +0.74%
Nasdaq 2222.49 +21.18 +1.10%
S&P500 1083.48 +12.23 +1.14%

I must admit tonight reverse course is totally unexpected.  I was hoping for close below yesterday level but we got pushed up after that crazy jobs bills and overnight commodities buying rally from China even with all the bad economic news and less than stellar earnings from GS and IBM.
*
momo unexpectedly wanted to push the price up..

despite BP, IBM and Housing.

you must not use margin at this time..

let's see what will happen tonight.. now bull and bear have equal chance..

DMC, we should know this when the OIL price is so green and momo maintained price at one level to load in more long..

Stay hibernating.. and wait..


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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 21 2010, 07:30 AM)
momo unexpectedly wanted to push the price up..

despite BP, IBM and Housing.

you must not use margin at this time..

let's see what will happen tonight.. now bull and bear have equal chance..

DMC, we should know this when the OIL price is so green and momo maintained price at one level to load in more long..

Stay hibernating.. and wait..
*
Actually, bears have more chance and better level to short because the resistance lines at 50 MA and 200MA still above the current price. I'm not expecting we go above this unless we got super good economic data here in the coming two weeks.

I'll attempt another short at 1090 tomorrow.

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post Jul 21 2010, 08:42 AM

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what? a green closing........... yeeeehaa

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post Jul 21 2010, 09:34 PM

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Sold AAPL calls.. 20% profit. biggrin.gif

Wow! Commodities are on fire today - Crude, Steel, Cooper., etc.. rclxms.gif
C moves back above $4. rclxms.gif

Close out from BP shorts.. 8% profit. sweat.gif

I think the bulls are building base here to try another assault on the 50 MA and 200 MA later.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 21 2010, 10:24 PM
David_Brent
post Jul 21 2010, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 21 2010, 09:34 PM)
Sold AAPL calls.. 20% profit.  biggrin.gif

Wow! Commodities are on fire today - Crude, Steel, Cooper., etc..  rclxms.gif
C moves back above $4.  rclxms.gif

Close out from BP shorts.. 8% profit. sweat.gif

I think the bulls are building base here to try another assault on the 50 MA and 200 MA later.
*
Wow! notworthy.gif
Time to give up on the wage-slave call centre and become a full-time day trader!! thumbup.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 21 2010, 11:47 PM

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QUOTE(David_Brent @ Jul 21 2010, 11:30 PM)
Wow! notworthy.gif
Time to give up on the wage-slave call centre and become a full-time day trader!! thumbup.gif
*
No way.. the wage-slave call centre is the only place that give me free high speed access to the Internet (much better than crappy TM net), graveyard work hours but got flexibility to trade. Nothing beats this for now. biggrin.gif
David_Brent
post Jul 22 2010, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 21 2010, 11:47 PM)
No way.. the wage-slave call centre is the only place that give me free high speed access to the Internet (much better than crappy TM net), graveyard work hours but got flexibility to trade.  Nothing beats this for now.  biggrin.gif
*
Good for you mate!! rclxms.gif icon_rolleyes.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 22 2010, 04:49 AM

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Closing update

Dow 10120.53 -109.43 -1.07%
Nasdaq 2187.33 -35.16 -1.58%
S&P500 1069.59 -13.89 -1.28%

After Bernanke said the US economy is "unusually uncertain", the market tanks!
The bears are ecstatic now! biggrin.gif



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post Jul 22 2010, 07:08 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 22 2010, 04:49 AM)
Closing update

Dow 10120.53 -109.43 -1.07%
Nasdaq 2187.33 -35.16 -1.58%
S&P500 1069.59 -13.89 -1.28%

After Bernanke said the US economy is "unusually uncertain", the market tanks! 
The bears are ecstatic now!  biggrin.gif
*
And the Europe bank stress test coming. It's coming...
mH3nG
post Jul 22 2010, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(GregPG01 @ Jul 22 2010, 07:08 AM)
And the Europe bank stress test coming. It's coming...
*
If a lot of banks fail the test tomorrow... brows.gif
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post Jul 22 2010, 08:38 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 22 2010, 04:49 AM)
Closing update

Dow 10120.53 -109.43 -1.07%
Nasdaq 2187.33 -35.16 -1.58%
S&P500 1069.59 -13.89 -1.28%

After Bernanke said the US economy is "unusually uncertain", the market tanks! 
The bears are ecstatic now!  biggrin.gif
*
Hopefully the bears are not slaughtered tonight in masses.
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post Jul 22 2010, 09:04 PM

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Wow! The data from Europe and Dow earnings from CAT, MMM and UPS look very good!

This time, it's the bears who will be punished.
All bears hope not last yet - Initial claims aren't good last week (464k v.427k), and we have yet to get housing data.
We'll get another chance to watch the battle at SPX 1088 again.
I've shorted some at SPX 1095 but I'm ready to cover my shorts if this fails. biggrin.gif

Update: 10pm
Hot dang...even with bad housing numbers, the bulls are pumping this above SPX 1090. I got my trailing stop out here. Small profit only.
Bernanke is about to testify. Let see if he brings out any negative words that may scare the market this time. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 22 2010, 10:13 PM
epalbee3
post Jul 22 2010, 10:28 PM

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what does it mean when all bad news but rally continues?
TSzamans98
post Jul 22 2010, 10:58 PM

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what a supa mini bullSheat.

+220 points. but C moving an inch only.

epal - means MM is pushing for another leg up before tank in few days time.
epalbee3
post Jul 22 2010, 11:11 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 22 2010, 10:58 PM)
what a supa mini bullSheat.

+220 points. but C moving an inch only.

epal - means MM is pushing for another leg up before tank in few days time.
*
technically it is a cup.. so according to technical analysis..

but no one knows.. up to you to see..
danmooncake
post Jul 22 2010, 11:14 PM

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If 1095 and 1100 gets taken out the next few days, the next gap up will be 1130.
At a higher level, that's a much better short. nod.gif

C is sitting nicely at the top of the BB band, it needs to hover around here a bit more before the next move up.
But, 3.95 acts as nice support here.

Psst. STEC looks like it is about to trade at a new price channel.
David_Brent
post Jul 22 2010, 11:59 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 22 2010, 11:14 PM)
If 1095 and 1100 gets taken out the next few days, the next gap up will be 1130.
At a higher level, that's a much better short.  nod.gif

C is sitting nicely at the top of the BB band, it needs to hover around here a bit more before the next move up.
But, 3.95 acts as nice support here.

Psst. STEC looks like it is about to trade at a new price channel.
*
May I ask a noobie question? icon_idea.gif
Do you ever read back your previous posts and compare the content...? icon_rolleyes.gif
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post Jul 23 2010, 12:41 AM

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QUOTE(David_Brent @ Jul 22 2010, 11:59 PM)
May I ask a noobie question? icon_idea.gif
Do you ever read back your previous posts and compare the content...? icon_rolleyes.gif
*
Huh? Sorry, are you referring to the part 'I've shorted some at SPX 1095' or the part about 'STEC about to trade at new price channel' or the part about 'At a higher level, that's a much better short.' ? blink.gif

If it is latter, definitely much better at higher level but this crazy market may not allow it. It may sound contradictory, but I will take my chance at it whenever reasonable - got to make my move if opportunity exist. wink.gif

Update: 1am
hmm.gif It looks like we're at this ceiling again 1095 ... I'm going try again with SPXU @ 32, with SL @ 31.50
Maybe it'll gets filled later and hopefully won't get taken out. These past few days, with the bear traps abound, it has been pretty nasty to go short. sweat.gif

Closing update
Dow 10322.30 +201.77 +1.99%
Nasdaq 2245.89 +58.56 +2.68%
S&P500 1093.67 +24.08 +2.25%

My SPXU order got filled @ 32 but really troublesome here for bears. I was expecting a lower close for SPX but at 1093, it is a delicate here. Hopefully, it won't gap up if more good earnings are going to be announced during premarket tonight. sweat.gif


Added on July 23, 2010, 5:16 amBoth MSFT and AMZN reported earnings.

MSFT beats and AMZN misses. AMZN being raped, near 15% drop after hours. ohmy.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2010, 05:25 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 23 2010, 08:48 AM

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Another leg up for Friday. But During mid day to close, expect to see profit taking in progress.
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2010, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 23 2010, 08:48 AM)
Another leg up for Friday. But During mid day to close, expect to see profit taking in progress.
*
AMZN got beaten really bad after hours. MSFT isn't looking good either even with their great earnings.
But, these few days, the materials (X, TCK, FCX) and oil (UCO) have been moving up including China/HK FTSE stocks (FXI, XPP).
I'm hoping for a weekend sell off here for profit taking, so that I can exit and get some profits for my shorts. laugh.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2010, 10:45 AM
cloud9_lee
post Jul 23 2010, 10:42 AM

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my LVS & MGM still see-sawing. Up 1 day and down another day. So bored.
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post Jul 23 2010, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(cloud9_lee @ Jul 23 2010, 10:42 AM)
my LVS & MGM still see-sawing. Up 1 day and down another day. So bored.
*
Both your LVS and MGM have a nice pop (3% and 4.75% respectively). rclxms.gif

LVS announced that they will report next Wednesday, before market opens. This one is to watch. I bet LVS will
continue to run up till earnings and short will take 'em down after that.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Las-Vegas-Sa...8.html?x=0&.v=1

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2010, 10:48 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2010, 08:29 PM

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QUOTE(philin @ Jul 23 2010, 05:33 PM)
Wish Warren Buffet post all his current buy and sell stocks so that we can copy him to make money - albeit just buy a few shares only that's affordable to most Malaysians.

Is there any web site to show his stock movements?
*
BRK-B should be affordable now. Look at its prospectus. You will know what its underlying investments.

Anyway, premarket movement still showing market hasn't top out yet. sad.gif
Will decide to bail out from SPXU tonight if the stress tests results from Europe prove positive later. sweat.gif

F easily beats estimates (68c vs 40c). Shares up 4% pre-market.

SNDK which also reported yesterday, easily beats estimates (1.08 vs. 89c) but tanks because CEO wants to retire.
What a shame. But this company outlook is very good for storage and chips. Hopefully this could also
give STEC a boost for the upcoming quarter results.

Just got a news flash that the Treasury has decided to dump another 1.5 billions shares (up to 30%) of Citigroup shares.
C is under pressure at around $4.05 now. doh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2010, 08:59 PM
mH3nG
post Jul 23 2010, 09:33 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 23 2010, 08:29 PM)
BRK-B should be affordable now.  Look at its prospectus. You will know what its underlying investments.

Anyway, premarket movement still showing market hasn't top out yet.  sad.gif
Will decide to bail out from SPXU tonight if the stress tests results from Europe prove positive later.  sweat.gif

F easily beats estimates (68c vs 40c). Shares up 4% pre-market.

SNDK which also reported yesterday, easily beats estimates (1.08 vs. 89c) but tanks because CEO wants to retire.
What a shame. But this company outlook is very good for storage and chips. Hopefully this could also
give STEC a boost for the upcoming quarter results.

Just got a news flash that the Treasury has decided to dump another 1.5 billions shares (up to 30%) of Citigroup shares.
C is under pressure at around $4.05 now.  doh.gif
*
News on C: Treasury-to-sell-more-citigroup-shares
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2010, 10:40 PM

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In MTW @ 10, SL 9.5.

Looks like a small break out above 20MA. I think more upside to come, riding on CAT outlook. wink.gif
TSzamans98
post Jul 23 2010, 11:32 PM

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Arghhh. Just dumped 1/3 of C, should dump all early just now.

Ah, never mind, time to buy.
Charlie82
post Jul 24 2010, 12:07 AM

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hi new here,
interested in Citi, seem zaman dumping now
today's news on govt liquidating another tranche over next few mths
what's a good price to board for medium/long term?
maybe wait for dip to 3.55?
thanks
danmooncake
post Jul 24 2010, 12:32 AM

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Euro stress tests came in good. Out of 91 banks, only 7 failed.
Quick reaction - Euro tanking but I think it will bounce next week.
I'm closing my shorts for weekend.

If you like C (for speculating banks), check out IRE.
They've passed the stress test.
Charlie82
post Jul 24 2010, 12:56 AM

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thanks DMC,
IRE good catch, price stabilising and converging towards 50ma. if can surpass 50ma will be a clean break, i think. just thinking out aloud LOL. guess u r already on-board IRE? tongue.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 24 2010, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Jul 24 2010, 12:56 AM)
thanks DMC,
IRE good catch, price stabilising and converging towards 50ma. if can surpass 50ma will be a clean break, i think. just thinking out aloud LOL. guess u r already on-board IRE? tongue.gif
*
Yes, just a small batch at 3.86, for speculative play only.
TSzamans98
post Jul 24 2010, 02:55 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Jul 24 2010, 12:07 AM)
hi new here,
interested in Citi, seem zaman dumping now
today's news on govt liquidating another tranche over next few mths
what's a good price to board for medium/long term?
maybe wait for dip to 3.55?
thanks
*
Charlie, I can dump becoz I bought at 3.75-3.80. No worries, U can pick-up at that level. Buy in batches.

personally, I dun think so it will reach 3.55 anytime soon. This is biggest dump by Treasury, rest assured you can buy CITI for long term. I got 3,000 Citi now.
cloud9_lee
post Jul 24 2010, 07:17 AM

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QUOTE(philin @ Jul 23 2010, 05:33 PM)
Wish Warren Buffet post all his current buy and sell stocks so that we can copy him to make money - albeit just buy a few shares only that's affordable to most Malaysians.

Is there any web site to show his stock movements?
*
http://247wallst.com/2010/05/17/buffett-be...-gci-ge-gs-gsk/
Charlie82
post Jul 24 2010, 08:50 AM

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DMC,
IRE I queue 3.96 after you highlighted. close but no cigar yawn.gif(, so good luck on your trade but i read you are very cool with trades, so bravo and hope to learn from you guys here yawn.gif)

Zaman,
congratz on your C and thanks for the advice. will buy C in batches.
TSzamans98
post Jul 26 2010, 09:20 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Jul 24 2010, 08:50 AM)
DMC,
IRE I queue 3.96 after you highlighted. close but no cigar yawn.gif(, so good luck on your trade but i read you are very cool with trades, so bravo and hope to learn from you guys here yawn.gif)

Zaman,
congratz on your C and thanks for the advice. will buy C in batches.
*
Sure, no worries mate. Set your target to buy say @ 380's
danmooncake
post Jul 26 2010, 09:09 PM

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I think we got some bullish momentum here since the Friday close is above the 50MA. Next is to take the 200MA at SP500 1113. The big monthly GDP report will be here this Friday.

At premarket, FDX raises guidance. Last week, UPS reported great earnings too. Transportation seems to have better outlook here. BDI is rising again. Watch the shippers like DRYS, EGLE and DSX. I think they can move up pretty quick if momentum continues for them. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 26 2010, 09:33 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 26 2010, 10:03 PM

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managed to scoop C @ 4.01 x 700. Set Sell at 4.10
mH3nG
post Jul 26 2010, 10:20 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 26 2010, 10:03 PM)
managed to scoop C @ 4.01 x 700. Set Sell at 4.10
*
Congrats on the profits. thumbup.gif
But why is it up? Is it because of the better than expected results of the stress test?
Because the only other news I saw on C was that Treasury is going to sell another 1.5 bil shares before 30 Sept which isn't all that positive since they'll still be holding about 3.6 bil.

U.S. to further sell down Citigroup interest

This post has been edited by mH3nG: Jul 26 2010, 10:26 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 27 2010, 12:37 AM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 26 2010, 10:20 PM)
Congrats on the profits.  thumbup.gif
But why is it up? Is it because of the better than expected results of the stress test?
Because the only other news I saw on C was that Treasury is going to sell another 1.5 bil shares before 30 Sept which isn't all that positive since they'll still be holding about 3.6 bil. 

U.S. to further sell down Citigroup interest
*
I'm not too worry about Treasury selling because it is infact a good news if Treasury can get rid of their mother load.
It may put some initial price pressure but after that, C will eventually rise higher in the free market.

Today, we got 'rising tides and lifting all boats'. SP500 is testing 200MA. If this ceiling break, we'll get more short covering and it will go higher. laugh.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10525.43 +100.81 +0.97%
Nasdaq 2296.43 +26.96 +1.19%
S&P500 1115.01 +12.35 +1.12%

Bulls made its mark, closing higher today. Both Dow and SP500 closed above the 200MA.
Next target: Dow: 10600, SP500: 1131, Nasdaq: 2342


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 27 2010, 04:58 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 27 2010, 05:53 AM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jul 26 2010, 10:20 PM)
Congrats on the profits.  thumbup.gif
But why is it up? Is it because of the better than expected results of the stress test?
Because the only other news I saw on C was that Treasury is going to sell another 1.5 bil shares before 30 Sept which isn't all that positive since they'll still be holding about 3.6 bil. 

U.S. to further sell down Citigroup interest
*
Not sure entirely why, just looking at the B/Sell Q. Due to positive aura in the market for now, just pick it up.

Also, anyone of you is trading S? Look at her, keep moving up, despite poor outlook of the wireless industry in Amarica.

Headline read as:
Good result from FEDEX (accounting issues again??).+11% for last 5 trading days... Looking ahead we have:

Western Union WU 16.68
DELL 13.74

Who want to bet for a positive outlook for EK? EK up 16% in the last 5 trading days.

http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/37511/Earn...+-+Analyst+Blog


This post has been edited by zamans98: Jul 27 2010, 06:00 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 27 2010, 06:13 AM

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S business should continue to expand because of the newer HTC EVO 4G android phones are selling like hot cakes (for those who wanted the alternative to iPhone) and more 4G networks are been built in US.
But, looks like the upside is going to be limited here.

I'm still in IRE. I'm going to ride up a bit longer and up my stops to 4.3. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 27 2010, 06:14 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 27 2010, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 27 2010, 06:13 AM)
S business should continue to expand because of the newer HTC EVO 4G android phones are selling like hot cakes (for those who wanted the alternative to iPhone) and more 4G networks are been built in US.
But, looks like the upside is going to be limited here.

I'm still in IRE.  I'm going to ride up a bit longer and up my stops to 4.3.  biggrin.gif
*
For me, IRE is a speculative stock, any price below $4 is a good bet. whistling.gif
STEC holding well.
danmooncake
post Jul 27 2010, 08:02 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 27 2010, 05:07 PM)
For me, IRE is a speculative stock, any price below $4 is a good bet.  whistling.gif
STEC holding well.
*
Yes, IRE is very speculative. I'm in for a short ride only. Any bad news from Euro zone will make this dive like no parachute. sweat.gif

STEC is indeed moving up nicely and passed the above the 200MA.
Most likely, it will retest $16.35 high again made in May.

SP500 is on its way to 1130. Oil going to $80. Futures full of green shoots. whistling.gif

Update 10pm
Consumer confidence is 50.4 (July) vs. 54.3 (June).

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 27 2010, 10:01 PM
Charlie82
post Jul 27 2010, 10:45 PM

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DMC/Zaman,
congratz on IRE/C
ABK is another speculative one tongue.gif although chartwise is forming nicely already breaking pass 50MA
but afraid you guys have to leave without Charlie lol
will wait to board next train unless another in play tongue.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 27 2010, 10:55 PM

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Out IRE @ 4.5, 16% profit.
Out MTW @ 11, 10% profit.

Small entry for TNA @ 46.25, SL 45.5



TSzamans98
post Jul 28 2010, 01:32 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Jul 27 2010, 10:45 PM)
DMC/Zaman,
congratz on IRE/C
ABK is another speculative one tongue.gif although chartwise is forming nicely already breaking pass 50MA
but afraid you guys have to leave without Charlie lol
will wait to board next train unless another in play tongue.gif
*
No no, please don't touch ABK. Its like Kenmark in BSKL.

Better go and pick better shares out there. U may want to pick XLF for Financial (good ETF)

My own popular picks :

C
ETFC (now ETFCD)
HL
UCO
S
STEC
AA
CENX
LVS
MGM
XLF
2x ETF - URE/UYG
ING
DRYS
GS
RBS
GE
INTC

Top being the most traded and the rest are ranked accordingly.

p/s GOLD got whacked. Planning to buy 100gram gold bar of Credit Suisse.

danmooncake
post Jul 28 2010, 05:02 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10537.69 +12.26 +0.12%
Nasdaq 2288.25 -8.18 -0.36%
S&P500 1113.84 -1.17 -0.10%

Only the Dow managed to hold on the gains plus a bit more after consumer confidence dipped big time in July.
If we get any more bad news before GDP report this Friday, this market will go south. nod.gif

TSzamans98
post Jul 28 2010, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 28 2010, 05:02 AM)
Closing update
Dow 10537.69 +12.26 +0.12%
Nasdaq 2288.25 -8.18 -0.36%
S&P500 1113.84 -1.17 -0.10%

Only the Dow managed to hold on the gains plus a bit more after consumer confidence dipped big time in July.
If we get any more bad news before GDP report this Friday, this market will go south.  nod.gif
*
SOLD all STEC at small profit. I'm out of this "etf" alike. Short Pending @ 15.85.
1/2 of my portfolio now is C. whistling.gif


Added on July 28, 2010, 8:20 pmLosses widened and shares price rallied? This is FIRST I heard this quarter. Up 40cts or 8% to 5.22 in pre-market.

Take a look at SPRINT (S) - S(CAM) ?

Sprint Nextel Corp. (S US) rose 9.1 percent to $5.27. The third-largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier reported its net loss widened to $760 million, or 25 cents a share, from $384 million, or 13 cents, a year earlier. The company had costs of 10 cents a share related to deferred tax assets. Demand for the HTC Corp. Evo smartphone helped draw new customers.

"with analysts expecting to see a loss of $0.19 per share. For the same period last year the company lost $0.13"



This post has been edited by zamans98: Jul 28 2010, 08:20 PM
danmooncake
post Jul 28 2010, 09:19 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 28 2010, 09:22 AM)
SOLD all STEC at small profit. I'm out of this "etf" alike. Short Pending @ 15.85.
1/2 of my portfolio now is C. whistling.gif


Added on July 28, 2010, 8:20 pmLosses widened and shares price rallied? This is FIRST I heard this quarter. Up 40cts or 8% to 5.22 in pre-market.

Take a look at SPRINT (S) - S(CAM) ?

Sprint Nextel Corp. (S US) rose 9.1 percent to $5.27. The third-largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier reported its net loss widened to $760 million, or 25 cents a share, from $384 million, or 13 cents, a year earlier. The company had costs of 10 cents a share related to deferred tax assets. Demand for the HTC Corp. Evo smartphone helped draw new customers.

"with analysts expecting to see a loss of $0.19 per share. For the same period last year the company lost $0.13"
*
I guess the positive news from them maybe they got more subscribers this quarter - maybe investors are seeing this could help them into future earnings. laugh.gif

"Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) today reported that during the second quarter of 2010, the company achieved its first total net wireless subscriber growth in three years and its best postpaid churn result ever. "

"Sprint gained a total of approximately 111,000 net subscribers in the quarter. Demand for smartphones like HTC EVO™ 4G and BlackBerry® Curve™ - combined with Sprint's best ever postpaid churn of 1.85 percent - led to positive net postpaid subscriber growth of 136,000 on the CDMA network and 285,000 for the Sprint brand, and best ever year-over-year quarterly net postpaid subscriber loss improvement of 763,000. The company achieved its best year-over-year quarterly improvement in postpaid gross subscriber additions in more than five years. "

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 28 2010, 09:20 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 28 2010, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 28 2010, 09:19 PM)
I guess the positive news from them maybe they got more subscribers this quarter - maybe investors are seeing this could help them into future earnings.  laugh.gif

"Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) today reported that during the second quarter of 2010, the company achieved its first total net wireless subscriber growth in three years and its best postpaid churn result ever. "

"Sprint gained a total of approximately 111,000 net subscribers in the quarter. Demand for smartphones like HTC EVO™ 4G and BlackBerry® Curve™ - combined with Sprint's best ever postpaid churn of 1.85 percent - led to positive net postpaid subscriber growth of 136,000 on the CDMA network and 285,000 for the Sprint brand, and best ever year-over-year quarterly net postpaid subscriber loss improvement of 763,000. The company achieved its best year-over-year quarterly improvement in postpaid gross subscriber additions in more than five years. "
*
oh yeah babe.. down down down... whistling.gif 4.87 now. 4.50 anyone??
danmooncake
post Jul 28 2010, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 28 2010, 09:59 PM)
oh yeah babe.. down down down...  whistling.gif  4.87 now. 4.50 anyone??
*
I'll wait till SP500 touches 1090-1095 and watch for uptick before nipping some.

I think we will pull back here a bit more and hopefully forming the higher lows.
Tonight seems to be a slow retracement, rather than a big sell off.
TSzamans98
post Jul 29 2010, 12:31 AM

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EK posted worst profit in recent history.

Shares tumbled 11%. This is one of the stock I monitored lately.
LVS is flying again, breaking 26.50. From 22$ 10 trading days ago..

Fcuk, my CENX dropped like nobody business. Terrible quarterly report. Don't think I will see $12/- any time soon.


Added on July 29, 2010, 1:01 amTop 10 Best-Performing Large Cap Stocks Year-to-Date

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by zamans98: Jul 29 2010, 01:01 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 29 2010, 02:58 AM

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In TZA @ 30.80 to hedge the pull back here.

Closing update
Dow 10497.88 -39.81 -0.38%
Nasdaq 2264.56 -23.69 -1.04%
S&P500 1106.13 -7.71 -0.69%

Mr.Market wants to go down here.. it won't be long now, we may see -3 digits pull back.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 29 2010, 05:53 AM
TSzamans98
post Jul 29 2010, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 29 2010, 02:58 AM)
In TZA @ 30.80 to hedge the pull back here.

Closing update
Dow 10497.88 -39.81 -0.38%
Nasdaq 2264.56 -23.69 -1.04%
S&P500 1106.13 -7.71 -0.69%

Mr.Market wants to go down here.. it won't be long now, we may see -3 digits pull back.
*
umm, i'm with you. Added TS in C.

Short LVS pending at 27.00
danmooncake
post Jul 29 2010, 08:42 PM

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Continuous jobless claims tick down 11k to 450k.
SPX still above 1106, futures up 6 pts. SPX seems to still at support.

I'm close out my TZA @ 31.20 position for now. Will wait at sidelines for now.

Going back to MTW @ 10.45

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 29 2010, 09:13 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 29 2010, 10:32 PM

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Trailing Stop marked.

LONG CENX @ 9.55 x 400. STOP @ 9.70.

SHORT LVS @ 27.30 x 150, STOP 28.00
danmooncake
post Jul 29 2010, 10:47 PM

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Crap.. got kicked out from MTW @ 10.25. sweat.gif

This market feels like rolling over.. early rally didn't come up well.

Update 11:50pm

There you go.. bears finally came in. Let see how low we can go this time.
I suspect we may bounce off 50MA later to form higher lows.

Watching that SP500 1085 to 1090 support line.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 29 2010, 11:54 PM
TSzamans98
post Jul 30 2010, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 29 2010, 10:47 PM)
Crap.. got kicked out from MTW @ 10.25.  sweat.gif

This market feels like rolling over.. early rally didn't come up well.

Update 11:50pm

There you go.. bears finally came in. Let see how low we can go this time.
I suspect we may bounce off 50MA later to form higher lows.

Watching that SP500 1085 to 1090 support line.
*
yup, 2m is mega news. beware [Advance GDP q/q]

Perhaps internally they knew the data would be bad, so hey - take profit... NOW

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post Jul 30 2010, 02:05 AM

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C to pay $75m fine but that's peanuts for them. biggrin.gif

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Citi-to-pay-...3&asset=&ccode=

Closing update
Dow 10467.16 -30.72 -0.29%
Nasdaq 2251.69 -12.87 -0.57%
S&P500 1101.53 -4.60 -0.42%

Not sure how long the bulls can hang on here.. but certainly not good. Rejected 3 times at the 1115 level, dropped to 1095 support,
and settled back at 1101. We shall see if GDP report will help the bulls.. and if not, we'll drop to 1080 or below.
I'll get ready to re-short again later. nod.gif


Added on July 30, 2010, 8:35 pmGDP 2.4% for 2nd Q. This isn't good. The last Q results was good (revised from 2.7% to 3.7%). The means this Q gap and downtrend is much bigger.
Selling will continue tonight. nod.gif

Closing update
Dow 10465.94 -1.22 -0.01%
Nasdaq 2254.70 +3.01 +0.13%
S&P500 1101.60 +0.07 +0.01%

Stocks initially retreated after the less than expected GDP number but came back after the PMI and slightly better expected consumer confidence numbers. The bulls are not giving up yet. This week still ends up higher than last week. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 31 2010, 05:38 AM
ozak
post Jul 31 2010, 02:14 PM

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On Tap For Next Week:

MONDAY: ISM manufacturing index; construction spending
TUESDAY: Auto sales; personal income & outlays; pending home sales; factory orders; Blackberry & AT&T news conf.; Earnings from Pfizer and MasterCard
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage applications; challenger job-cut report; ADP employment report; ISM non-manufacturing index; weekly oil inventories; American Express analyst meeting; Earnings from Toyota, Tome Warner and Allstate
THURSDAY: Retail sales; Fed hearing on new mortgage regulations; BoE announcement; ECB announcement; weekly jobless claims
FRIDAY: Fed hearing on new bank regulations; employment numbers; consumer credit

What a happening week.


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post Jul 31 2010, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Jul 31 2010, 02:14 PM)
On Tap For Next Week:

MONDAY: ISM manufacturing index; construction spending
TUESDAY: Auto sales; personal income & outlays; pending home sales; factory orders; Blackberry & AT&T news conf.; Earnings from Pfizer and MasterCard
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage applications; challenger job-cut report; ADP employment report; ISM non-manufacturing index; weekly oil inventories; American Express analyst meeting; Earnings from Toyota, Tome Warner and Allstate
THURSDAY: Retail sales; Fed hearing on new mortgage regulations; BoE announcement; ECB announcement; weekly jobless claims
FRIDAY: Fed hearing on new bank regulations; employment numbers; consumer credit

What a happening week.
*
Next Friday employment numbers for month of July is going to be crucial to watch.

Starting Monday, bulls will get its chance to try to break that ceiling 1120 and it this doesn't work by Thursday, Friday will be a strong case for bears to take this back to down 1080 or below again. whistling.gif
Charlie82
post Aug 1 2010, 09:13 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 28 2010, 01:32 AM)
No no, please don't touch ABK. Its like Kenmark in BSKL.

Better go and pick better shares out there.  U may want to pick XLF for Financial (good ETF)
Thanks buddy, jk nia on ABK tongue.gif
On/off I look at C, LYG and YGE only
C may have to wait 3.8x if friday data not good (as mentioned by DMC) plus when US govt start throwing next truncheon
LYG another well beaten share recently due to PIIGS thingy, unsure if/when another scalp will emerge
YGE their "solar not so stellar" lately yet got big swings tongue.gif
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post Aug 2 2010, 10:55 PM

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Whoa!!! Crossed over SPX 1120 and Dow 10600. If we closed at this level tonight, we'll get a bull flag.
The shorts covering at this level will make this as the support level. sweat.gif

Jumped back in TNA 44.80, SL 44. Will ride this for a couple of days and see what happens. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 2 2010, 10:58 PM
htt
post Aug 2 2010, 10:58 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 2 2010, 10:55 PM)
Whoa!!!  Crossed over SPX 1120 and Dow 10600. If we closed at this level tonight, we'll get a bull flag.
The shorts covering at this level will make this as the support level.  ohmy.gif
*
Seems like we are heading on another height with ground sentiment turning sour... up more more... I about to dispose some tongue.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 2 2010, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Aug 2 2010, 10:58 PM)
Seems like we are heading on another height with ground sentiment turning sour... up more more... I about to dispose some tongue.gif
*
Same sentiments here.. got to put in those trailing stops. The bulls can quickly turn bears by Friday with those employment numbers. I'll give it one or two more days here. nod.gif
Darkmage12
post Aug 2 2010, 11:35 PM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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hi guys same question again. BP. Any updates?
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post Aug 2 2010, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Aug 2 2010, 11:35 PM)
hi guys same question again. BP. Any updates?
*
As far I know, BP got billions of dollars to pay out and may not see any profits for the next two quarters.




Darkmage12
post Aug 3 2010, 12:04 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 2 2010, 11:42 PM)
As far I know, BP got billions of dollars to pay out and may not see any profits for the next two quarters.
*
Yup I read something about that. The well capped already?
danmooncake
post Aug 3 2010, 01:39 AM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Aug 3 2010, 12:04 AM)
Yup I read something about that. The well capped already?
*
Yes, the well is capped. Some seepage on the ocean floor but BP claims that it is not from the capped Oil rolleyes.gif

Are you holding BP? laugh.gif
Darkmage12
post Aug 3 2010, 02:01 AM

shhhhhhhhh come i tell you something hehe
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 3 2010, 01:39 AM)
Yes, the well is capped. Some seepage on the ocean floor but BP claims that it is not from the capped Oil  rolleyes.gif

Are you holding BP?  laugh.gif
*
Yes still holding since I last posted here 2 weeks ago I think
danmooncake
post Aug 3 2010, 06:29 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10674.38 +208.44 +1.99%
Nasdaq 2295.36 +40.66 +1.80%
S&P500 1125.86 +24.26 +2.20%

Woo.. the bulls ramp up a notch tonight.
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post Aug 3 2010, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 1 2010, 09:13 AM)
Thanks buddy, jk nia on ABK  tongue.gif
On/off I look at C, LYG and YGE only
C may have to wait 3.8x if friday data not good (as mentioned by DMC) plus when US govt start throwing next truncheon
LYG another well beaten share recently due to PIIGS thingy, unsure if/when another scalp will emerge
YGE their "solar not so stellar" lately yet got big swings  tongue.gif
*
C @ 3.80? hmm, even if DOW dropped 200pts on Friday, I will pickup C @ any price. For long haul @ USD5.00

Will add another 2,000 -3,000 shares.

LYG - I hold none. Better options is RBS and ING. Both are up by 30% since my last purchase

ING @ 7.95, today 10.34 (last entry May) ----> 31%
RBS @ 11.75 (last entry 100 shares in June) today : 16.56 -------> up 40%


danmooncake
post Aug 4 2010, 05:49 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10636.38 -38.00 -0.36%
Nasdaq 2283.52 -11.84 -0.52%
S&P500 1120.46 -5.40 -0.48%

The bulls gave back some tonight. C closed at 4.13 (still pretty good support here). rclxms.gif

But, I got stopped out from my TNA @ $45. Small profit here. sweat.gif

Will try to re-enter again pre-market if we're still bullish, otherwise I'll jump to short.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 4 2010, 06:19 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 4 2010, 08:53 AM

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STEC swings up after market. I only got 200 shares left - bought at low $15.25

Will revenge STEC on FRIDAY...
ronn77
post Aug 4 2010, 09:36 AM

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Anyone here holding AIG?

I have 150 shares due to purchase of 3,000 shares before it goes consolidated 20-1 which mine posession become 150.

I'm targetting USD50 before deciding to sell...
TSzamans98
post Aug 4 2010, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Aug 4 2010, 09:36 AM)
Anyone here holding AIG?

I have 150 shares due to purchase of 3,000 shares before it goes consolidated 20-1 which mine posession become 150.

I'm targetting USD50 before deciding to sell...
*
AIG? How do you trade your AIG? Thru local broker or direct?

If direct, use Trailing STOP. If local broker - just call them and ask for T.Stop. They should know.
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post Aug 4 2010, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Aug 4 2010, 09:36 AM)
Anyone here holding AIG?

I have 150 shares due to purchase of 3,000 shares before it goes consolidated 20-1 which mine posession become 150.

I'm targetting USD50 before deciding to sell...
*
In that case, just set a GTC Sell Order for your AIG at $50. AIG needs approx $10 move up from here.
Who knows, it may hit one day. wink.gif


Added on August 4, 2010, 8:27 pmADP numbers came in better than expected tonight: 42k vs. 25k
Futures in green now.

Slipped back into TNA to play bull: $45. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 4 2010, 08:36 PM
ronn77
post Aug 4 2010, 09:56 PM

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I bought AIG through DBS Vickers online which been using them for SGX trading too.

My target is another $10 and will take profit temporarily while waiting it to drop another 10% before going in again.
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post Aug 4 2010, 10:04 PM

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Out TNA: $46. biggrin.gif
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post Aug 4 2010, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2010, 10:04 PM)
Out TNA: $46.  biggrin.gif
*
wow, u're stuntman. I dare not to touch it. Its super hot 3x ETF. I rather go for XLF - slow but not daring.

STEC off steam and now settled day low.

DOG JONES losing steam, traders lock in profit. Gold soared to break $1200/oz again, up 25$ in 4 trading days.
danmooncake
post Aug 4 2010, 11:00 PM

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I'm looking for nice short position in TZA q 29.50 but didn't get it yet. I think by closing tomorrow, market will probably pull back before the jobs report on Friday. That number expected to be bad. But, the US govt may fudge that number to the upside to trick the bulls.


TSzamans98
post Aug 4 2010, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 4 2010, 11:00 PM)
I'm looking for nice short position in TZA q 29.50 but didn't get it yet. I think by closing tomorrow, market will probably pull back before the jobs report on Friday. That number expected to be bad.  But, the US govt may fudge that number to the upside to trick the bulls.
*
Aye, I'm with you. I'm expecting the data to be bad. I just reloaded my 2nd account with some bullet to pickup C, S during the volatile market.
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post Aug 4 2010, 11:21 PM

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Argh.. I've resubmitted my q for TNA for reload play @ 44.50 but didn't hit. sad.gif


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post Aug 5 2010, 12:36 AM

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Finally, GS is break 155. Another few dollar, I'm in profit.

Sold all STEC, Q to buy at 14.75 x 300.

LVS seems unstoppable. Luckily I cover my short with minor loss.
cloud9_lee
post Aug 5 2010, 03:31 AM

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I guess LVS will hit $31 - 32 before retreat by 15% - 20%.

Usually it hardly go beyond target price set by those financial analysts. The latest upgraded target price is $32.


Added on August 5, 2010, 3:41 amWill DJI touch 11,000 again soon?

This post has been edited by cloud9_lee: Aug 5 2010, 03:41 AM
danmooncake
post Aug 5 2010, 05:26 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10680.43 +44.05 +0.41%
Nasdaq 2303.57 +20.05 +0.08%
S&P500 1127.24 +6.78 +0.61%

The bulls took back the loss yesterday and gained a few more points.
It is getting closer to that border at S&P500 1131, which was the resistance ceiling on June 21.



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post Aug 5 2010, 10:03 AM

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user posted image

My next target - re enter S. Hopefully S will be 4.35-4.40 on Friday (2molo la)


danmooncake
post Aug 5 2010, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 5 2010, 10:03 AM)
user posted image

My next target - re enter S. Hopefully S will be 4.35-4.40 on Friday (2molo la)
*
Nice! Looks like a good opportunity to buy some at this pull back since it is already at the bottom of
the BB. laugh.gif


Added on August 5, 2010, 8:40 pmInitial jobless claims came in higher this week: up 19K at 479k.
This pullback may be set for tomorrow bigger ones. brows.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 5 2010, 08:40 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 5 2010, 09:01 PM

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wow, bad data. WTF, all going down. Time to buy partial @ bottom if you dare.

Tomolo still got bigger fireworks.
danmooncake
post Aug 5 2010, 10:25 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 5 2010, 09:01 PM)
wow, bad data. WTF, all going down. Time to buy partial @ bottom if you dare.

Tomolo still got bigger fireworks.
*
I dare.. thanks for the tip for S. I nipped a small position at 4.53.
I think it worth a try at this level. nod.gif

The pullback this morning are being bought. I won't be surprised we'll turn green and close flat.
The sell off are nothing here. Funds are buying this market. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 5 2010, 10:29 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 6 2010, 12:00 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 5 2010, 10:25 PM)
I dare.. thanks for the tip for S. I nipped a small position at 4.53.
I think it worth a try at this level.  nod.gif

The pullback this morning are being bought. I won't be surprised we'll turn green and close flat.
The sell off are nothing here.  Funds are buying this market.  nod.gif
*
Seems range-bound at -25pts to -45 points.

I bought some S @ 4.55 a while ago. Will buy again 2molo.

Q another batch for STEC at 14.50. Yesterday's purchase at 14.77 sold at 14.92
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 07:34 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10674.98 -5.45 -0.05%
Nasdaq 2293.06 -10.51 -0.46%
S&P500 1125.81 -1.43 -0.13%

Well, the early dive to -50 pts on the Dow pretty much has diminished. Buyers came back.
That's going to be pretty exciting to see what happens to the market after big job report tonight.

I suspect we'll dive down and funds will start pushing this back up by next week. biggrin.gif

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post Aug 6 2010, 08:59 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 6 2010, 07:34 AM)
Closing update
Dow 10674.98 -5.45 -0.05%
Nasdaq 2293.06 -10.51 -0.46%
S&P500 1125.81 -1.43 -0.13%

Well, the early dive to -50 pts on the Dow pretty much has diminished. Buyers came back.
That's going to be pretty exciting to see what happens to the market after big job report tonight.

I suspect we'll dive down and funds will start pushing this back up by next week.  biggrin.gif
*
Yes, just wait for tonite fireworks. I'm buying in batches. S, C, STEC (LONG all)... and LVS(short)
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 08:33 PM

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Unemployment: 9.5% July vs 9.5% June

Nonfarm payroll: 131k July vs. 221k June
Private sector: 71k versus 100k expected.

I think we'll sell off at open here.. perhaps rebuy back much later.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 6 2010, 08:39 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 6 2010, 08:40 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 6 2010, 08:33 PM)
Unemployment: 9.5% July vs 9.5% June

Nonfarm payroll: 131k July vs. 221k June
Private sector: 71k versus 100k expected.

I think we'll sell off at open here.. perhaps rebuy back much later.
*
its bad but not so bad data... time to reload.................yeah...
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Aug 4 2010, 09:36 AM)
Anyone here holding AIG?

I have 150 shares due to purchase of 3,000 shares before it goes consolidated 20-1 which mine posession become 150.

I'm targetting USD50 before deciding to sell...
*
Watch AIG today.. could be popping even in down market due to better earnings.

Also, C could be a loading up opportunity at low $4 here. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 6 2010, 09:12 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 6 2010, 10:04 PM

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AIG flew high high

Reloaded C @ 4.07 x 700, S 4.45 x 700.
STEC 14.90 x 200
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 11:09 PM

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In TNA 40.90

Let see if we can bounce back up.
TSzamans98
post Aug 6 2010, 11:23 PM

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Guys, time to pickup C is here. 4.01 low, possible hit 4.00 before heading back to 4.20.

DMC - TNA? Wow. Im in for LVS.
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 6 2010, 11:23 PM)
Guys, time to pickup C is here. 4.01 low, possible hit 4.00 before heading back to 4.20.

DMC - TNA? Wow. Im in for LVS.
*
I'm in for short term swing play only. Perhaps even day trading.
If bears cannot take it down by -200 pts tonight, most likely funds will start buying next week.


changccs
post Aug 6 2010, 11:35 PM

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wanna ask, what online broker u guys use to trade US stock, did it got any delay?if got delay how to trade?
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2010, 11:46 PM

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QUOTE(changccs @ Aug 6 2010, 11:35 PM)
wanna ask, what online broker u guys use to trade US stock, did it got any delay?if got delay how to trade?
*
I use TD Ameritrade, ScottTrade and MBTrading.

MBTrading is cheapest (I think Zamans brought this up to everyone attention last time).
TD Ameritrade offers me the best tool.
Scott Trade is in between, which I use for options play.

No delay for me.. realtime. But, I don't use TMnet. My company has 45Mbps direct line to US.

Market update: 11:50pm - Looks like the bears are slowly retreating. Sellers seem exhausted.


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 6 2010, 11:50 PM
changccs
post Aug 6 2010, 11:53 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 6 2010, 11:46 PM)
I use TD Ameritrade, ScottTrade and MBTrading.

MBTrading is cheapest (I think Zamans brought this up to everyone attention last time).
TD Ameritrade offers me the best tool.
Scott Trade is in between, which I use for options play.

No delay for me.. realtime. But, I don't use TMnet. My company has 45Mbps direct line to US.

Market update: 11:50pm - Looks like the bears are slowly retreating. Sellers seem exhausted.
*
may i know which ISP u subcribe that have 45mbps, and have direct line to US?
Charlie82
post Aug 7 2010, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 6 2010, 11:23 PM)
Guys, time to pickup C is here. 4.01 low, possible hit 4.00 before heading back to 4.20.

DMC - TNA? Wow. Im in for LVS.
*
just now q c 4.02 brows.gif
hope to join the bandwagon tongue.gif
danmooncake
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QUOTE(changccs @ Aug 6 2010, 11:53 PM)
may i know which ISP u subcribe that have 45mbps, and have direct line to US?
*
I believe it is SingTel. Don't ask me how but I know it is quite fast.
I can see CNN/CNBC/Bloomberg TV stream.. stock quotes, etc all real time. wink.gif



TSzamans98
post Aug 7 2010, 02:16 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 7 2010, 01:48 AM)
I believe it is SingTel. Don't ask me how but I know it is quite fast.
I can see CNN/CNBC/Bloomberg TV stream.. stock quotes, etc all real time.  wink.gif
*
Yes, only Singapore lines are a real charm and cheap.
Telekom Malaysia do offer 45mbps for big MNC only. The price tag is about 70K MYR a month (2 years back). Now not sure.

U lucky *******, all port open meh? Shiat. Download a full DVD-5 Rip 4.7GB will take only about 9 to 15 min - depending on where are the file hosted.

In US, get Home AT&T - cost you USD 70/month for 24mbps line - but this is not enterprise line... smile.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 7 2010, 02:30 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 7 2010, 02:16 AM)
Yes, only Singapore lines are a real charm and cheap.
Telekom Malaysia do offer 45mbps for big MNC only. The price tag is about 70K MYR a month (2 years back). Now not sure.

U lucky *******, all port open meh? Shiat. Download a full DVD-5 Rip 4.7GB will take only about 9 to 15 min - depending on where are the file hosted.

In  US, get Home AT&T - cost you USD 70/month for 24mbps line - but this is not enterprise line... smile.gif
*
Yes, all ports open but I cannot download <ahem> ripped movies, otherwise will get fired. sweat.gif

Ok for use with voice ip call, stocks trading, watching tv. I may even able to try Netflix because
we also got VPN service that use US IP addresses. laugh.gif

Yes, I think I heard from my US friend that they're able to get USD30-50/month for 25~50Mbps Internet access via cable modem at home. He still complains that his speed cannot match Asia countries.. I think he meant maybe Japan or HongKong, not Malaysia-lah. Those in Japan/HK can get full 100Mbps cheap using fiber.


TSzamans98
post Aug 7 2010, 02:39 AM

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DMC - yeah. Hongkie and Jipun have great speed, not to forget South Korea as well.

Reloaded x500 C @ 4.02. 1,000 Q @ 4.00
danmooncake
post Aug 7 2010, 02:52 AM

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My 2000 order C@4.01 hasn't hit yet. I thought I saw a quick blip @ 4.01 but must be thousands of buy orders in front of me.





TSzamans98
post Aug 7 2010, 03:03 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 7 2010, 02:52 AM)
My 2000 order C@4.01 hasn't hit yet. I thought I saw a quick blip @ 4.01 but must be thousands of buy orders in front of me.
*
Yup, that's why I bought market direct. Total C in hand right now is 4,000. Wait till it reach 4.50 or 5.00 smile.gif whistling.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 7 2010, 03:21 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 7 2010, 03:03 AM)
Yup, that's why I bought market direct. Total C in hand right now is 4,000. Wait till it reach 4.50 or 5.00 smile.gif whistling.gif
*
Crap! I walked away for a few minutes. Hungry buyers came back in.. now jacked prices back up to 4.04. mad.gif
Dow already reclaimed back 80 points.

Ok, I'll raise my stakes here but not a penny more! Here we go.. 2000 C @ 4.03

Closing update
Dow 10653.56 -21.42 -0.20%
Nasdaq 2288.47 -4.59 -0.20%
S&P500 1121.64 -4.17 -0.37%

Managed to fill C @ 4.03, C took off and close at 4.06. I think next week, C will zoom back to 4.30 if Dow re-test 10700.

Close half position off TNA @ 43.35. Good enough for nice dinner this weekend! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 7 2010, 05:01 AM
Charlie82
post Aug 7 2010, 08:56 AM

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Woohoo join you guys at C, 1k got filled @4.02, other 1k @3.99 no smoke
However C vol pretty thin at less than half of average
Let's see if can rebound off 50MA level support brows.gif
TSzamans98
post Aug 7 2010, 02:08 PM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 7 2010, 08:56 AM)
Woohoo join you guys at C, 1k got filled @4.02, other 1k @3.99 no smoke
However C vol pretty thin at less than half of average
Let's see if can rebound off 50MA level support  brows.gif
*
rclxub.gif did C hit 3.99? Can't be, even 4.00 is not. perhaps u're saying 4.01 and 4.02 aye?

LVS again make me sick. Come' on already, go down b@stard... shakehead.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 7 2010, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 7 2010, 02:08 PM)
rclxub.gif  did C hit 3.99? Can't be, even 4.00 is not. perhaps u're saying 4.01 and 4.02 aye?

LVS again make me sick. Come' on already, go down b@stard... shakehead.gif
*
Z:

I think Charlie82 meant his 1K order for C got filled at 4.02 but no hit for 3.99.
I'm not sure if C is willing to let itself touch 50MA at 3.97 here. It tags 4.01 and that's it for yesterday.

Anyway, I think LVS too powerful to go down, every dips being bought.
Trend for LVS is up. Better join those crazy bullish buyer until it changes. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 7 2010, 10:03 PM
Charlie82
post Aug 8 2010, 09:28 AM

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DMC
Yup you got it righto man tongue.gif
C am watching daily chart there was a gap up from 3.82 to 3.96 on 3oct09.
In case this support level is re-visited, will probably collect more.
However I think the weekly chart looks damn good
I still believe C at this level is good for the mid to long term.
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Monday evening, perhaps chance for bounce play for HPQ.

HPQ CEO got ousted because of sexual harassment case. HPQ drops 10% because of this news.
IMO, this is overdone and nothing to do with the company performance.
Last quarter, HPQ delivered excellent earnings and outlook is good for upcoming quarter. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 9 2010, 11:58 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 9 2010, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 9 2010, 11:57 AM)
Monday evening, perhaps chance for bounce play for HPQ.

HPQ CEO got ousted because of sexual harassment case. HPQ drops 10% because of this news.
IMO, this is overdone and nothing to do with the company performance. 
Last quarter, HPQ delivered excellent earnings and outlook is good for upcoming quarter.  nod.gif
*
Thanks DMC. Yes, the news is way too much.
I'm in to KLIC as well. Have a look at all KLIC info on Google Finance. Last Friday dropped was due to the CEO's announcement to step down. whistling.gif

BP moving slowly everyday. shakehead.gif


Added on August 10, 2010, 12:56 amBought C x 700 @ 4.20, 700 @ 4.04.

This post has been edited by zamans98: Aug 10 2010, 12:56 AM
noflyzone
post Aug 10 2010, 02:42 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 9 2010, 04:25 PM)
BP moving slowly everyday.  shakehead.gif
*
Everyone's waiting for the litigations to roll in..

If they ever come at all laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 10 2010, 04:23 AM

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Closing update:
Dow 10698.75 +45.19 +0.42%
Nasdaq 2305.69 +17.22 +0.75%
S&P500 1127.79 +6.15 +0.55%


Today, the bulls took it closer to the SP500 1131 level. Maybe the upcoming Fed meeting will make or break this.


Added on August 10, 2010, 8:56 pmLooks like tonight, bears want to take it down as much as possible. brows.gif

Closing update
Dow 10644.25 -54.50 -0.51%
Nasdaq 2277.17 -28.52 -1.24%
S&P500 1121.06 -6.73 -0.60%

Bears power got diminished after Fed announcement. Loaded up more C at $4.00 during dip. nod.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 11 2010, 05:20 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 11 2010, 05:51 AM

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"Two stocks fell for every one that rose on the NYSE, while volume came to a light 798 million shares.

Stocks that traders call defensive, or that are expected to hold up even in a weak economy, were the market's best performers after the Fed decision. That was another sign that investors weren't euphoric about the Fed's moves."

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100810-715583.html
danmooncake
post Aug 11 2010, 08:27 PM

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Futures pretty red... C now at 3.94, 6c cheaper than yesterday low.
Looks like the bears are awake with much strong force to draw blood tonight. biggrin.gif

I think we could see 2% down here tonight.







This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 11 2010, 08:50 PM
ante5k
post Aug 11 2010, 08:32 PM

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here i come C smile.gif

my 1000th post ...

This post has been edited by ante5k: Aug 11 2010, 08:33 PM
danmooncake
post Aug 11 2010, 09:12 PM

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QUOTE(ante5k @ Aug 11 2010, 08:32 PM)
here i come C smile.gif

my 1000th post ...
*
Hmm... I'm queuing two batches: 1K 3.90, 2K 3.80. tongue.gif

TSzamans98
post Aug 11 2010, 09:58 PM

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C outlook for today

Looks like Mother America is selling again, more sellers than buyers.

Bought 1000 @ 3.93, another 1000 @ 3.90 and 1000 @ 3.85

If Prince Al-Waleed trust CITI, why not me?

QUOTE

CAIRO (Zawya Dow Jones) -- Saudi Arabian billionaire Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal, Citigroup Inc.'s /quotes/comstock/13*!c/quotes/nls/c  (C  3.94, -0.06, -1.50%) biggest individual shareholder, said Monday that Chief Executive Vikram Pandit has his "firm backing," and congratulated the company on posting a first-quarter net profit of $4.4 billion.

"Citigroup has demonstrated its ability to overcome the recent economic obstacles," Alwaleed said in an e-mailed statement.

"I commend Citigroup's performance and the management of Citigroup under the leadership of Pandit who has my firm backing," he said.

Citigroup, reporting its strongest results in nearly three years, said earlier Monday that the fallout from the financial crisis and the bank's massive strategic repositioning is settling.

The bank's first-quarter profit more than doubled from a year earlier as it recorded increased revenue from investment banking and improving losses from bad loans.

In January, the Saudi billionaire told Fox Business News that 2010 was the year Pandit had "to deliver" results and that shareholders had already given the U.S. bank two years to turn it around.

In 2006, Alwaleed grew impatient with the U.S. bank's former CEO, Chuck Prince, complaining that its costs were rising faster than revenue. Pandit replaced Prince in 2007.

Alwaleed, who owns 95% of Kingdom Holding Co. , has focused his investments on banks, hotels and media firms, building sizable stakes in companies like Citigroup, News Corp. /quotes/comstock/15*!nwsa/quotes/nls/nwsa (NWSA 13.39, -0.54, -3.88%) , Apple Inc. /quotes/comstock/15*!aapl/quotes/nls/aapl (AAPL 253.49, -5.92, -2.28%) , and Time Warner Inc. /quotes/comstock/13*!twx/quotes/nls/twx (TWX 31.32, -0.69, -2.16%) . The conglomerate also owns stakes in Fairmont Raffles and Four Seasons. News Corp. owns Dow Jones & Co, publisher of this newswire and the Wall Street Journal.

Alwaleed has kept a low profile after his U.S. stock picks plunged in the wake of the financial crisis and wiped out half of his conglomerate's equity. The company, which bounced back to profit last year after selling some hotels and land in Saudi Arabia, posted a SAR31 billion net loss in the fourth quarter of 2008.

Over the past few months the prince has regained his swagger and has traveled around the world seeking investors and acquisition
ante5k
post Aug 11 2010, 10:44 PM

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anyone looking at RSO?
TSzamans98
post Aug 11 2010, 11:08 PM

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RSO?

What is this company's principal activities? The volume is very weak.

Oh my KLIC. Down 12% since yesterday. All reports and comments are good, but still downhill. -500++ on this counter. Aiya.

Made another buy of C @ 3.90. Next stop is 3.80 x 2,000. After that, my bullets runs dry...
ante5k
post Aug 11 2010, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 11 2010, 11:08 PM)
RSO?

What is this company's principal activities? The volume is very weak.

Oh my KLIC. Down 12% since yesterday. All reports and comments are good, but still downhill. -500++ on this counter. Aiya.

Made another buy of C @ 3.90. Next stop is 3.80 x 2,000. After that, my bullets runs dry...
*
real estate commercial loan papers. high yield dividend stock with risk smile.gif

epalbee3
post Aug 11 2010, 11:35 PM

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long time hibernating.. today is big dip..

don't how low it can go..
TSzamans98
post Aug 11 2010, 11:45 PM

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QUOTE(ante5k @ Aug 11 2010, 11:13 PM)
real estate commercial loan papers. high yield dividend stock with risk smile.gif
*
Umm, I will rather buy ING, or UNG or HPQ. That's me.


Added on August 12, 2010, 12:56 amC at 3.85 coming leh..

Abis bullets for C. Go go go. See you at 4.50$ in 2 months time baby!

This post has been edited by zamans98: Aug 12 2010, 12:56 AM
danmooncake
post Aug 12 2010, 01:04 AM

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My order for C @ 3.90 got filled.

If we don't back off from below SPX 1090 by closing tonight, I'll hold off from going long.
The bulls got scared and bears now are trying to turn the tide here.

This could be bad because lower than the 1080 could be the target. It is going to be pretty sharp drop to 1010.


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post Aug 12 2010, 01:35 AM

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My watchlist - about 50 stocks, only 2 green. That's how bad it is.

FAZ, SKF.


danmooncake
post Aug 12 2010, 05:09 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10378.83 -265.42 -2.49%
Nasdaq 2208.63 -68.54 -3.01%
S&P500 1089.47 -31.59 -2.82%

Whoopsie! Here we go again. Looks like the small uptrend for the past month has broken here.

If we can't close above 1090 for any bounce up by tomorrow.. then good bye bulls.

Also, I have to abandon S @ 4.55 at open today. Judging from the strenght of the bears,
it possibly can push this lower by Friday.

After hours, even strong tech titan CSCO got hammered when they beaten earnings but loses a bit on revenue.
Tonight, we're going to see more blood here.



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 12 2010, 07:55 AM
ronn77
post Aug 12 2010, 11:26 AM

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looks like investors are throwing their posession after positive hike since June.

I do targetting "C" but will only go in at under 3.75, believe more selling pressure will persist. Might be worth a look into RBS and BAC.
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post Aug 12 2010, 11:55 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Aug 12 2010, 11:26 AM)
looks like investors are throwing their posession after positive hike since June.

I do targetting "C" but will only go in at under 3.75, believe more selling pressure will persist. Might be worth a look into RBS and BAC.
*
RBS certainly look attractive here..

Tonight, let the blood bath continues at start.. probably take your pick later in late day.


TSzamans98
post Aug 12 2010, 05:21 PM

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C @ 3.75 is possible taking into the current scenario. Plus slow dumping by Treasury.

Last 2 weeks, seems like $4.30 is reachable. But today, anything can happen. Pre-market price looking from very bad to bad and now positive.

Dunno what is the actual reason of the "SUPER RED WEDNESDAY"

The DOW trend is like this ////////\\/////\\ and so on and so forth.

C at this moment is 3.87.

Another bearish news is :

Yen Trades Near 1995 High on Speculation Intervention Unlikely

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post Aug 12 2010, 08:41 PM

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Initial claims came in worse than expected.
484k versus 460k-470k consensus.

More selling tonight! smile.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 12 2010, 08:54 PM
speed7791
post Aug 12 2010, 09:09 PM

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do u think dow has already peaked - for tis year? hmm.gif
epalbee3
post Aug 12 2010, 09:13 PM

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i have long waited.. this is the start point of another dip..
danmooncake
post Aug 12 2010, 09:13 PM

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QUOTE(speed7791 @ Aug 12 2010, 09:09 PM)
do u think dow has already peaked - for tis year? hmm.gif
*
Yes..I think so. April high (SPX 1220) is most likely the top for this year. But, we may revisit it again after November elections.


Added on August 12, 2010, 9:15 pm
QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 12 2010, 09:13 PM)
i have long waited.. this is the start point of another dip..
*
You're a patient bargain hunter.. thumbup.gif


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 12 2010, 09:15 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 12 2010, 10:47 PM

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weird, my que for LVS x 300 @ 27.00 was canceled. Still waiting for J2trade to confirm. Could be some technical error.

Anyone Long MGM or LVS?
danmooncake
post Aug 12 2010, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 12 2010, 10:47 PM)
weird, my que for LVS x 300 @ 27.00 was canceled. Still waiting for J2trade to confirm. Could be some technical error.

Anyone Long MGM or LVS?
*
Was that pre-market only? Sometimes, if you queue only for pre-market and if it didn't get filled, it will auto cancel and you've to resubmit during market time.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 12 2010, 11:33 PM
Charlie82
post Aug 12 2010, 11:42 PM

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Anyone got C at 3.83 pre-market? now 3.87-3.88
Seem like rebounding off previous gap as support? or are we going to see lower level(s)? like 3.55? LOL
TSzamans98
post Aug 13 2010, 12:49 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 12 2010, 11:25 PM)
Was that pre-market only? Sometimes, if you queue only for pre-market and if it didn't get filled, it will auto cancel and you've to resubmit during market time.
*
Yup, pre-market. Confirmed not filled. Ahh, there goes some USD 300...

QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 12 2010, 11:42 PM)
Anyone got C at 3.83 pre-market? now 3.87-3.88
Seem like rebounding off previous gap as support? or are we going to see lower level(s)? like 3.55? LOL
*
Not likely, unless DOW goes down under aka 10,000 pts or S&P 500 at 1,000pts
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post Aug 13 2010, 01:14 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 12 2010, 08:41 PM)
Initial claims came in worse than expected.
484k versus 460k-470k consensus.

More selling tonight!  smile.gif
*
tak jalan banyak pun hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 13 2010, 07:05 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10315.95 -58.88 -0.57%
Nasdaq 2190.27 -18.36% -0.83%
S&P500 1083.61 -5.86 -0.54%

As expected, got some haircut today.. but I think tomorrow shorts may cover by midday.
Re-queue 2K worth of C @ 3.8, no filled.

I took some long positions in UCO @ 9.45 and CRUS @ 18 tonight.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 13 2010, 07:05 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 13 2010, 02:29 PM

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Pre-market yo-yo again.

Today is Friday the 13th....

C should bounced to $4


Added on August 13, 2010, 9:34 pmC flying. Good. 8 cts to USD4.00

Where are everyone? Scared of Friday 13th??

This post has been edited by zamans98: Aug 13 2010, 09:34 PM
mynewuser
post Aug 13 2010, 09:50 PM

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Any good stock to pick?
TSzamans98
post Aug 13 2010, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(mynewuser @ Aug 13 2010, 09:50 PM)
Any good stock to pick?
*
C, RBS, STEC, S, LVS, MGM ... its endless. your question is too open.

You should be asking what are good shares say below USD5? With potential growth?

Susah lo. whistling.gif

danmooncake
post Aug 13 2010, 10:47 PM

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Looks like bulls are preparing...
Added more UCO @ 9.35 tonight.

Closing update:
Dow 10303.15 -16.80 -0.16%
Nasdaq 2173.48 -16.79 -0.77%
S&P500 1079.25 -4.36 -0.40%


Despite slightly much better data (CPI and Consumer Sentiments), totally lack of volume tonight. Still close slightly down but I think we're at bottom wave for this round..

C managed to close at 3.88. rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 14 2010, 04:18 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 16 2010, 08:42 PM

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Pre-market index is green, but that is not a guarantee of anything.

some green, some red. Let's hope for 100pts up today. tongue.gif

danmooncake
post Aug 16 2010, 09:00 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 16 2010, 08:42 PM)
Pre-market index is green, but that is not a guarantee of anything.

some green, some red. Let's hope for 100pts up today. tongue.gif
*
That's true.. bulls/bears fight continue but bears have got quite a bit gaining ground last week. nod.gif

If we turn green later, I may exit some long some positions and get some short positions.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 16 2010, 09:17 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 16 2010, 09:39 PM

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Aiya, good news, but shares got dumped, in line with GLOBAL SELLDOWN. WTF.
Charlie82
post Aug 16 2010, 09:41 PM

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C -missed out 3.83 last week, queue 1k @3.85
let the bull/bear fight till they happy happy lol
danmooncake
post Aug 16 2010, 09:52 PM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 16 2010, 09:41 PM)
C -missed out 3.83 last week, queue 1k @3.85
let the bull/bear fight till they happy happy lol
*
You may get it this week... laugh.gif
Psst... look at PAR drool.gif Offered made by Dell to buy this storage company.

Too late to get some.. but I'm taking the HPQ long trade: In 40.50 nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 16 2010, 10:29 PM
Charlie82
post Aug 16 2010, 10:58 PM

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C rebound off 3.86 mad.gif ?? let see how's the closing tongue.gif
PAR wow that's obscene +8.xx doh.gif
HPQ that's an excellent long !!
I am just sticking to C for the long haul, cheers
TSzamans98
post Aug 16 2010, 11:53 PM

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I already long HPQ last week. sad.gif

HPQ Margin Stock 40.76 -1.95 350 42.71 average
danmooncake
post Aug 17 2010, 02:43 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 16 2010, 11:53 PM)
I already long HPQ last week. sad.gif

HPQ  Margin  Stock  40.76    -1.95  350  42.71 average
*
HPQ have to be scaled in due to negative movement of general indices.. but it is at buy point at around 40 ~ 41.
But, I'm putting a stop at 39.50, just in case the market has another flash crash like in June.

I'm hoping it will swing up for 44-45 for healthy profits later.

Closing update:
Dow 10302.01 -1.14 -0.01%
Nasdaq 2181.87 +8.39 +0.39%
S&P500 1079.38 +0.13 +0.01%

Pretty much flat day.. with little volume. Not much buyers or sellers.. computers just auto trade with each other.


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 17 2010, 05:47 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 17 2010, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 17 2010, 02:43 AM)
HPQ have to be scaled in due to negative movement of general indices.. but it is at buy point at around 40 ~ 41.
But, I'm putting a stop at 39.50, just in case the market has another flash crash like in June.

I'm hoping it will swing up for 44-45 for healthy profits later.
Premarket HPQ up by $1.00. Must be something good. Me keeping for short term. Looking at $45 as well.

Overall pre-market looks favorably green green green....
danmooncake
post Aug 17 2010, 09:14 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 17 2010, 06:15 PM)
Premarket HPQ up by $1.00. Must be something good. Me keeping for short term. Looking at $45 as well.

Overall pre-market looks favorably green green green....
*
Green shoots today..

I saw your avatar.. and I like the palladium play - that's hot metals play for 2010 ~ 2011.
Psst...Check out SWC. Sweet spot to buy some. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 17 2010, 09:16 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 17 2010, 09:47 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 17 2010, 09:14 PM)
Green shoots today..

I saw your avatar.. and I like the palladium play - that's hot metals play for 2010 ~ 2011.
Psst...Check out SWC.  Sweet spot to buy some. wink.gif
*
Yes, it will be the next GOLD. Plenty of it in Agfhan. SWC ? I tot your favorite is and will always be TCK, then HL?
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post Aug 17 2010, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 17 2010, 09:47 PM)
Yes, it will be the next GOLD. Plenty of it in Agfhan. SWC ? I tot your favorite is and will always be TCK, then HL?
*
TCK is mainly Copper/Zinc/Lead/Coal - not much Palladium. sad.gif



TSzamans98
post Aug 17 2010, 10:57 PM

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Ah, I see. Will keep an eye on SWC.

S is moving from low. Same goes with INTC.

Just look at LVS, never ending bull. What next? I'm thinking to short at $30.
danmooncake
post Aug 18 2010, 02:34 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 17 2010, 10:57 PM)
Ah, I see. Will keep an eye on SWC.

S is moving from low. Same goes with INTC.

Just look at LVS, never ending bull. What next? I'm thinking to short at $30.
*
Yeah, LVS.. can't stop this bullish stock. Perhaps don't short,
have just follow the trend here - buy that dip near the 20MA. wink.gif


Closing update:
Dow 10405.85 +103.84 +1.01%
Nasdaq 2209.44 +27.57 +1.26%
S&P500 1092.54 +13.16 +1.22%

The bulls got their relief rally. laugh.gif
Question is.. will this carry through tomorrow? whistling.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 18 2010, 05:38 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 18 2010, 11:59 AM

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I canceled my LVS short Q.

Will focus on C and S only. Perhaps will re-look again on EK. LYG.

danmooncake
post Aug 18 2010, 11:20 PM

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Something moving X up...in a down market. Unusual activity detected. hmm.gif
TSzamans98
post Aug 18 2010, 11:51 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 18 2010, 11:20 PM)
Something moving X up...in a down market. Unusual activity detected.   hmm.gif
*
and move the market to -7pts now from -60pts. C is very solid, can't catch at 3.85. Maybe will pickup some now at 3.88 (nice number no?)


Added on August 18, 2010, 11:54 pm
Thu Aug 19
8:30pm Unemployment Claims
10:00am Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

I canceled all my buy Q. Will buy tomorrow.

This post has been edited by zamans98: Aug 18 2010, 11:54 PM
cloud9_lee
post Aug 19 2010, 12:52 AM

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I guess can short LVS at $32 or so.

Well but, I dont dare.


Added on August 19, 2010, 12:56 ammy MGM has no energy at all.

Bought at $9.80 since few weeks back.

Let's see how it goes.

This post has been edited by cloud9_lee: Aug 19 2010, 12:56 AM
danmooncake
post Aug 19 2010, 04:56 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10415.54 +9.69 +0.09%
Nasdaq 2215.70 +6.26 +0.28%
S&P500 1094.16 +1.62 +0.15%


Open red, went green, almost tag 1100 ceiling again, rejected and came back down.
Still positive but I think we'll sell off at open tomorrow. Double top scenario.
Got a bit of TZA @ 33.60 to ride this one down a bit. Wish me luck.. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 19 2010, 06:17 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 19 2010, 08:35 PM

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pre-market down. Unemployment claim is not favorable.
Yes, time to pickup C, S and let's short LVS>..

danmooncake
post Aug 19 2010, 09:42 PM

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Got out from TZA 35.10 this morning during dip.. small profit. biggrin.gif


TSzamans98
post Aug 19 2010, 09:45 PM

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Intel buying McAfee .. MFE jumped 60%. WTF. missed ...
danmooncake
post Aug 19 2010, 09:56 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 19 2010, 09:45 PM)
Intel buying McAfee .. MFE jumped 60%. WTF. missed ...
*
Wow..MFE not even my radar but not too good for INTC shareholders.

I just found that another possible take over is X. That's why its shares were up these past two days.
No confirmation yet of the buyout rumor. If true, X could rally to $60~$70.

Update: 10pm

Crap.. Philly Fed came out with -7 pts. That's bad news for manufacturing. Sold my TZA too soon. sad.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 19 2010, 10:02 PM
Charlie82
post Aug 19 2010, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 19 2010, 08:35 PM)
pre-market down. Unemployment claim is not favorable.
Yes, time to pickup C, S and let's short LVS>..
*
Dow recovering a bit now from earlier
Am queuing C at 3.80, any luck?

Again 3.82 looks like got plenty of support hmm.gif

This post has been edited by Charlie82: Aug 19 2010, 11:01 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 19 2010, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 19 2010, 10:51 PM)
Dow recovering a bit now from earlier
Am queuing C at 3.80, any luck?

Again 3.82 looks like got plenty of support  hmm.gif
*
Maybe, place your order. Market nearing -200pts.

I bought some at 3.83. Luckily I canceled all my Que yesterday. Jumped into S at 4.27 x 2000 - now straight down to 4.20. Aiyoh. Q again at 4.15 2000.
danmooncake
post Aug 20 2010, 12:16 AM

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Be careful. SP500 close to testing the support line low at 1070 here. I think if we
take another 10 pts below here to 1060 and break below that, we
could go back to 1010 or below.

I taking a small position for CRUS @ 17.65, SL $17.

Still waiting for LVS to pull back - that's seems like a forever wait. hmm.gif


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 20 2010, 12:24 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 20 2010, 12:43 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 20 2010, 12:16 AM)

Still waiting for LVS to pull back - that's seems like a forever wait.  hmm.gif
*
LVS rebounded from low. On another note, I failed to get S @ 3.15, and not even any at 3.20.
danmooncake
post Aug 20 2010, 02:45 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 20 2010, 12:43 AM)
LVS rebounded from low.  On another note, I failed to get S @ 3.15, and not even any at 3.20.
*
Did S drop below $4? sweat.gif If so, Oh boy.. that would not be good.

Anyway, I think SP500 support at 1070 should hold for tonight. Some bounced from
some shorts covering and bargain hunters.

I'm a little pissed I missed the 2 additional pts run up for TZA tonight. Sigh.. can't win them all. sad.gif

Closing update
Dow 10271.21 -144.33 -1.39%
Nasdaq 2178.95 -36.75 -1.66%
S&P500 1075.63 -18.53 -1.69%


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 20 2010, 06:05 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 20 2010, 06:06 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 20 2010, 02:45 AM)
Did S drop below $4?  sweat.gif If so, Oh boy.. that would not be good.

Anyway, I think SP500 support at 1070 should hold for tonight. Some bounced from
some shorts covering and bargain hunters.

I'm a little pissed I missed the 2 additional pts run up for TZA tonight. Sigh.. can't win them all.  sad.gif
*
lol, no - it was a typo error. always mistaken it with EK

4.20 low, 4.25 close. I got on average at 4.29. Just checked, that I placed another order x600 @ 4.35. Didn't canceled it. doh.gif

H-P's Lesjak: Customers 'Behind Us 100%' >HPQ

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by zamans98: Aug 20 2010, 06:08 AM
danmooncake
post Aug 20 2010, 08:28 PM

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Looks like cheap sale tonight.. biggrin.gif

I may nip some here if we dive down near Dow 10K. nod.gif
TSzamans98
post Aug 20 2010, 09:36 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 20 2010, 08:28 PM)
Looks like cheap sale tonight..  biggrin.gif

I may nip some here if we dive down near Dow 10K.  nod.gif
*
OPEX day. If sentiment is weak, perhaps it will be down by -100pts, DOG Jones. SPX could re-visit 1055
danmooncake
post Aug 20 2010, 10:20 PM

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Bailed out from CRUS premarket 17.30 with small loss. Looking for another entry at 15/16 level later.
I'm still holding to HPQ..looking to add another position at 39'ish.

No capitulation selling yet.


TSzamans98
post Aug 21 2010, 01:16 AM

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Well well well.

S now back to 4.15. Picking up some. C stubborn, never cross 4.70 (Q x 2000)


danmooncake
post Aug 21 2010, 02:09 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 21 2010, 01:16 AM)
Well well well.

S now back to 4.15. Picking up some. C stubborn, never cross 4.70 (Q x 2000)
*
Same here..volume is low. I think early next week, we may see some capitulation selling.
C may see 3.65 as a quick gap down. I'm queuing up in batches if 3.70 doesn't fill today.

1000 C @ 3.70
1000 C @ 3.65
1000 C @ 3.50

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 21 2010, 02:10 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 21 2010, 06:04 AM

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Dow Jones 10,213.62 -57.59 (-0.56%)
S&P 500 1,071.69 -3.94 (-0.37%)

Nasdaq 2,179.76 +0.81 (0.04%)

NEW YORK: Wall Street stocks ended mostly lower Friday as traders remained concerned over the pace of recovery of the US economy after weak data.

Err? Where is the OPEX thingy?
danmooncake
post Aug 21 2010, 08:18 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 21 2010, 06:04 AM)
Dow Jones 10,213.62  -57.59  (-0.56%)
S&P 500 1,071.69  -3.94  (-0.37%)

Nasdaq 2,179.76  +0.81  (0.04%)

NEW YORK: Wall Street stocks ended mostly lower Friday as traders remained concerned over the pace of recovery of the US economy after weak data.

Err? Where is the OPEX thingy?
*
Yeah man.. not as bearish as I thought. sad.gif

Dow dived down to -123pts.., SP500 -11pts then sellers already exhausted, it slowly crawls itself back up
Can't get C @ 3.70, nada.. decided to take the plunge and grab @ 3.73 as it moves up.
Oh well. we'll play again next week. smile.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 21 2010, 08:18 AM
Charlie82
post Aug 21 2010, 02:15 PM

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Yeah think market still ok
S&P look like doing a small dip next but looking at 1050 support
C still marginally bearish, sitting on 3.74 support, next 3.62 & 3.46 in extreme case. in case you are interested, I use this link below link
http://www.stockconsultant.com/consultnow/...s.cgi?&symbol=C
if any chance may queue 3.6x or 3.5x next week smile.gif

This post has been edited by Charlie82: Aug 21 2010, 02:16 PM
danmooncake
post Aug 23 2010, 08:10 PM

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Oh Crap! doh.gif
HPQ offered to buy PAR for 1.6 billion at $24/share, that's 33% higher than DELL last week.
Damn.. wrong play for HPQ! mad.gif
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/2010...R-24-Share-Cash

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 23 2010, 08:10 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 23 2010, 09:41 PM

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Expecting +100 points at least today.

C move fast, did;t managed to get any at 3.76
Charlie82
post Aug 23 2010, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 23 2010, 09:41 PM)
Expecting +100 points at least today.

C move fast, did;t managed to get any at 3.76
*
S&P and DOW flat from green opening doh.gif
C back to 3.78/3.79 opening too
Am queuing at 3.71 see got chance or not tongue.gif

HPQ trying level best to be hw system integrator too huh rclxub.gif
Congratz to those who have PAR though rclxms.gif
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post Aug 24 2010, 12:45 AM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 23 2010, 11:25 PM)
S&P and DOW flat from green opening  doh.gif
C back to 3.78/3.79 opening too
Am queuing at 3.71 see got chance or not  tongue.gif

HPQ trying level best to be hw system integrator too huh  rclxub.gif
Congratz to those who have PAR though  rclxms.gif
*
Nice for PAR but absolutely bad for HPQ. I hope this deal won't go thru and let other bidders ramp this up for PAR.
PAR now is 100x P/E. HPQ may get stuck below $40 because of this.. sad.gif

Market sentiments aren't good. I've bought a little TZA @ 36 during green zone.
I'm thinking the market want to see SP 1050 here first. Let's see what happens by end of the week.

Closing update:
Dow 10174.41 -39.21 -0.38%
Nasdaq 2159.63 -20.13 -0.92%
S&P500 1067.36 -15.29 -0.43%

Well, the bulls didn't turn up here tonight. The green opening is head fake.. market lost steam and bears took over.
No massive attack yet but I don't think it will be long. The only thing working for me tonight is TZA. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 24 2010, 05:01 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 24 2010, 10:16 AM

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D@mn it, yes it was FAKE. Up nearing 70pts before dropped 50 points in less than 5 minutes.

C 3.73 pre-market. 3.70 then is possible.

S reaching 4.07. sad.gif Mine was 4.295
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post Aug 24 2010, 09:02 PM

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Woo wee... cheap sales again.

Dow 10000, here we are again. SP 500 1050-1055 as support tonight
Perhaps we'll see 1040 again by Friday or early next week.

C: 3.69 premarket

Housing data by 10pm (expected to be bad).

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 24 2010, 09:59 PM
epalbee3
post Aug 24 2010, 09:59 PM

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as promised, i will turn up a while when market is dipping..

we shall see again <10k, got this possibilities.. wink.gif
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post Aug 24 2010, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 24 2010, 09:59 PM)
as promised, i will turn up a while when market is dipping..

we shall see again <10k, got this possibilities.. wink.gif
*
Bam! You got it! 9999 now! The existing home sales dropped over 20% last month..

Your target of Dow 9500 may be in play in couple of weeks. biggrin.gif
epalbee3
post Aug 24 2010, 10:05 PM

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last time when DOW wanted to push downwards at 10k, some memos hold at the line and move the index up..

let's see how momo wants this time..


Added on August 24, 2010, 10:07 pm
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 24 2010, 10:03 PM)
Bam! You got it!  9999 now! The existing home sales dropped over 20% last month..

Your target of Dow 9500 may be in play in couple of weeks.  biggrin.gif
*
hope what u said is true.. wink.gif

haha.. preferably go to 9k lar.. huat ah..

but.. as u see, long or short at this point has equally chance to win.. just keep it for long term..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Aug 24 2010, 10:07 PM
m@nn
post Aug 24 2010, 10:22 PM

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Can we buy drop in DOW?
TSzamans98
post Aug 25 2010, 12:47 AM

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QUOTE(m@nn @ Aug 24 2010, 10:22 PM)
Can we buy drop in DOW?
*
don't get you. You can short S&P 500 if you want. Check out SPY, its pretty much S&P 500. or Nasdaq as whole if you wanna short or long get QQQQ
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Waah.. just came back in from short break.

My queue to sell for TZA @ 42 didn't hit. sad.gif

Dow actually pushed back up above 10K after dipping -9 pts below 10K. Looks like support here at this level for now.
Well, I don't think we're done yet. More "less good" news for Thurs (Initial Claims) and Friday (revised GDP outlook). Market may sell off later into close. tongue.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10040.45 -133.96 -1.32%
Nasdaq 2123.76 -35.87 -1.66%
S&P500 1051.87 -15.49 -1.45%

Existing home sales plunged 27.2% in July shocking.gif
I expect more blood tomorrow...

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 25 2010, 05:24 AM
epalbee3
post Aug 25 2010, 08:06 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 25 2010, 01:41 AM)
Waah.. just came back in from short break.

My queue to sell for TZA @ 42 didn't hit.  sad.gif

Dow actually pushed back up above 10K after dipping -9 pts below 10K. Looks like support here at this level for now.
Well, I don't think we're done yet. More "less good" news for Thurs (Initial Claims) and Friday (revised GDP outlook). Market may sell off later into close.  tongue.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10040.45 -133.96 -1.32%
Nasdaq 2123.76 -35.87 -1.66%
S&P500 1051.87 -15.49 -1.45%

Existing home sales plunged 27.2% in July  shocking.gif
I expect more blood tomorrow...
*
what does it mean if existing home sales plunged 27.2%?
that means the price has been too high? or less customers are there?
That means home price going to dip?

it is ok, but as u said, there is chance for 9.5k now. 3 more days to go for the week.
Most probably i will hibernate again... then when bears appear, I will show up a while.. wink.gif
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 25 2010, 08:06 AM)
what does it mean if existing home sales plunged 27.2%?
that means the price has been too high? or less customers are there?
That means home price going to dip?

it is ok, but as u said, there is chance for 9.5k now. 3 more days to go for the week.
Most probably i will hibernate again... then when bears appear, I will show up a while.. wink.gif
*
In May, existing home sales drop 2.2%
In June, existing home sales drop 5.1%
In July, suddenly drop 27.2% versus expected 14%

That's huge..it means nobody buying used homes. Normally that's show the strength of the residential market is dwindling
or they won't buy since the housing credit has expired.

Tonight, we'll get the new home sales and durable goods data. If both are bad.. then.. we'll drop another leg. nod.gif


Added on August 25, 2010, 9:14 pm

Update: Aug 25th

9:30pm Durable goods came in 0.3% only versus 2% expected.. therefore another few pts off..
10:00pm New Home Sales down 12.4% (July) vs. 12.1% up (June)... not too good.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 25 2010, 10:03 PM
epalbee3
post Aug 25 2010, 10:13 PM

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If both new and existing home sales are down every month, thus it is the weak signal of US economy.

DOW tried to hold on 10k but seems like no good news to bring it up..

momo going to play trend today again.. may be push up a bit then push down.. but not sure..

9.5k is possible then..
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post Aug 25 2010, 10:44 PM

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How many of the stocks are there in the US? Just NYSE alone got a lot ler
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post Aug 25 2010, 11:54 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 25 2010, 10:13 PM)
If both new and existing home sales are down every month, thus it is the weak signal of US economy.

DOW tried to hold on 10k but seems like no good news to bring it up..

momo going to play trend today again.. may be push up a bit then push down.. but not sure..

9.5k is possible then..
*
Yes, if Dow breaks July 9757 low, it is possible for Dow to see 9.5k. Depends on how it gets there,
it may cause a spike jump back up.

Tonight, we got a short term bounce from the low of SP 1040 or Dow 9940.
Tomorrow, we still have initial jobless claims (expected another jump from last week), and Friday GDP.

GDP will be the big one that can cause 3 digits swing on the Dow.
No reason to go long now until we have bottom or at least retest the July lows.

Furthermore, next week - September is a bad month for stocks.
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post Aug 26 2010, 01:46 AM

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Undersold is key here. Citi stock has held up well in the face of so much underhang from Timothy “TaxCheat” Geithner’s shares.

The problem is that they still have a lot of selling pressure they have to exert before the stock can turn around, so C will stay oversold for the next 4-6 months.

C today is testing 3 months low. Fcukers sitting at Treasury should now sell everything.
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post Aug 26 2010, 04:53 AM

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Closing update

Dow 10060.06 +19.96 +0.20%
Nasdaq 2141.54 +17.78 +0.84%
S&P500 1055.33 +3.46 +0.33%

We got bad data at the beginning, sending all indexes to monthly lows,
then, once it touched SP 1040, bulls came in and buy up all the way into the close despite negative data.
Crazy huh?

Anyway, took a long position in TNA @ 32, and finally jumped out from TZA @ 41.
This ride up won't be a long one. I'll probably re-short again later.

Didn't buy any C yet today despite hitting 3.64 low, and at close, it looks as if C didn't participate in the rally at all.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 26 2010, 05:30 AM
epalbee3
post Aug 26 2010, 08:03 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 26 2010, 04:53 AM)
Closing update

Dow 10060.06 +19.96 +0.20%
Nasdaq 2141.54 +17.78 +0.84%
S&P500 1055.33 +3.46 +0.33%

We got bad data at the beginning, sending all indexes to monthly lows,
then, once it touched SP 1040, bulls came in and buy up all the way into the close despite negative data.
Crazy huh? 

Anyway, took a long position in TNA @ 32, and finally jumped out from TZA @ 41. 
This ride up won't be a long one. I'll probably re-short again later.

Didn't buy any C yet today despite hitting 3.64 low, and at close, it looks as if C didn't participate in the rally at all.
*
momo in play now..
last night was OPEX day right?
usually got unusual thing during OPEX.
momo will defend the price.
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post Aug 26 2010, 09:09 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 26 2010, 08:03 AM)
momo in play now..
last night was OPEX day right?
usually got unusual thing during OPEX.
momo will defend the price.
*
No, OPEX was last week. Just that the technicals indicated it was bottom and the trading computers says BUY. That's it.
But, I don't think it will last. We got unemployment claims and GDP report to go. Let see how it will fair out.

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post Aug 26 2010, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 26 2010, 04:53 AM)
Closing update


Didn't buy any C yet today despite hitting 3.64 low, and at close, it looks as if C didn't participate in the rally at all.
*
wait, can get it today or Friday, GDP + Unemployment news.
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post Aug 26 2010, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 26 2010, 12:22 PM)
wait, can get it today or Friday, GDP + Unemployment news.
*
hopefully maybe can get more C at <3.60, that sound like a steal with current forex yawn.gif)
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38850188?__source=y...text|&par=yahoo
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The initial claims came in at 473k versus 500k last week. Therefore, much better than last week.
Futures going up! laugh.gif

Dell ups the bid to 24.30 for 3PAR, that's 30c higher the HPQ. 3PAR board says they've accepted it.
Hopefully, HPQ will give this up and don't enter into the bidding war.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 26 2010, 08:52 PM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 26 2010, 08:45 PM)
The initial claims came in at 473k versus 500k last week. Therefore, much better than last week.
Futures going up!  laugh.gif
*
Futures +2 only, compare with +12 earlier
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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Aug 26 2010, 08:50 PM)
Futures +2 only, compare with +12 earlier
*
I'm seeing +39 for Dow (real time). wink.gif
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post Aug 26 2010, 09:06 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 26 2010, 08:54 PM)
I'm seeing +39 for Dow (real time).  wink.gif
*
Maybe mine not real time. But jz now I reload...+54
epalbee3
post Aug 26 2010, 11:14 PM

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red now..
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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 26 2010, 11:14 PM)
red now..
*
Yippee!.. It can't break the barrier at 1060.
Loaded up some more TZA, and sold off TNA.

Tomorrow GDP, let see if it can break below 1040 again.
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post Aug 27 2010, 01:03 AM

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The Hindenburg Omen IS Scary, but So Are the Fundamentals


After tumbling below 10,000 yet again Wednesday morning, the Dow rebounded to close above that psychologically important level and was slightly higher early Thursday. Still, fear in the market is being expressed by the continued rally in Treasuries and widespread chatter about an ominous sounding technical indicator: The Hindenburg Omen.

The Hindenburg Omen has a roughly 25% accuracy rate in predicting big market upheaval since 1987, meaning it's far from infallible but isn't inconsequential either. The indicator's creator, mathematician Jim Miekka, compares the Hindenburg Omen to a funnel cloud that precedes a tornado in a recent interview with The WSJ. "It doesn't mean [the market's] going to crash, but it's a high probability," he said.

Complex and esoteric even in the world of technical indicators, the Hindenburg Omen is triggered when the following occurs, Zero Hedge reports:

* -- The daily number of NYSE new 52-week highs and the daily number of new 52-week lows must both be greater than 2.2% of total NYSE issues traded that day.
* -- The NYSE's 10-week moving average is rising.
* -- The McClellan Oscillator (a technical measure of "overbought" vs. "oversold" conditions) is negative on that same day.
* -- New 52-week highs cannot be more than twice the new 52-week lows. This condition is absolutely mandatory.

These criteria have been hit twice since Aug. 12, prompting Miekka to get out of the market entirely, The WSJ reports. Judging by the recent market action, many others are following suit -- or at least moving in the same direction.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 27 2010, 01:03 AM)
The Hindenburg Omen IS Scary, but So Are the Fundamentals
After tumbling below 10,000 yet again Wednesday morning, the Dow rebounded to close above that psychologically important level and was slightly higher early Thursday. Still, fear in the market is being expressed by the continued rally in Treasuries and widespread chatter about an ominous sounding technical indicator: The Hindenburg Omen.

The Hindenburg Omen has a roughly 25% accuracy rate in predicting big market upheaval since 1987, meaning it's far from infallible but isn't inconsequential either. The indicator's creator, mathematician Jim Miekka, compares the Hindenburg Omen to a funnel cloud that precedes a tornado in a recent interview with The WSJ. "It doesn't mean [the market's] going to crash, but it's a high probability," he said.

Complex and esoteric even in the world of technical indicators, the Hindenburg Omen is triggered when the following occurs, Zero Hedge reports:

    * -- The daily number of NYSE new 52-week highs and the daily number of new 52-week lows must both be greater than 2.2% of total NYSE issues traded that day.
    * -- The NYSE's 10-week moving average is rising.
    * -- The McClellan Oscillator (a technical measure of "overbought" vs. "oversold" conditions) is negative on that same day.
    * -- New 52-week highs cannot be more than twice the new 52-week lows. This condition is absolutely mandatory.

These criteria have been hit twice since Aug. 12, prompting Miekka to get out of the market entirely, The WSJ reports. Judging by the recent market action, many others are following suit -- or at least moving in the same direction.
*
Yeah, everyone is talking about this. The problem is, the more people expect this, the less likely it will happen.
For the event happen, sometimes, it has to come as a surprise like a black swan, then it will take everyone surprise and bam! There you go.

How about Dow 5000? Charles Nenner says this will be in two years. wink.gif


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post Aug 27 2010, 03:03 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 27 2010, 01:06 AM)
Yeah, everyone is talking about this. The problem is, the more people expect this, the less likely it will happen.
For the event happen, sometimes, it has to come as a surprise  like a black swan, then it will take everyone surprise and bam! There you go.

How about Dow 5000?  Charles Nenner says this will be in two years.  wink.gif
*
9,972.79 (-87.27 )

falling down....10,000 broken.....
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Closing update:

Dow 9985.81 -74.25 -0.74%
Nasdaq 2118.69 -22.85 -1.07%
S&P500 1047.22 -8.11 -0.77%

Yup, the bears are still in control! We now know the bulls got head fake for yesterday rally.
Tomorrow is the big GDP number.. Either it will be good or we will crash to test July lows.
Get ready! smile.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 27 2010, 05:48 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 27 2010, 08:33 PM

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a little green today as at now :

GDP 1.6%
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 27 2010, 08:33 PM)
a little green today as at now :

GDP 1.6%
*
Frak! I was hoping it was slightly less than that, and we can re-test 1040 again.
I got out from my TZA now while still in profit a bit otherwise Kena squeeze! sweat.gif
Will try again at higher level. Oil already moving back up to $73.

Update:
Took another look at PAR again. Damn HPQ up its bid to $27, and DELL matches again.
Whoa! This bidding war.. is crazy for this puny company.

Gotta watch for Ben speech tonight. It is going to be a big mover. Last time, he mentioned "unusual uncertainty",
the market tanks big time and hasn't recover it. nod.gif

Update 9:30pm
HPQ top it again, with $30 bid for PAR. This is absolutely crazy!! PAR is like hot ebay item! doh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 27 2010, 09:29 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 27 2010, 09:41 PM

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PAR is absolutely crazy. Didn't even touched it. I thought DELL offer was accepted by PAR Board. Now what?

even 200 shares is good for USD1000!!!

Index green +50 points, and my portfolio is not good green. Yesterday the index was -10points, it shed more $$ out of my account than green +50!
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Man... 1040.. now going nip back some here. Absolutely crazy market here.
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post Aug 27 2010, 10:14 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 27 2010, 09:41 PM)
PAR is absolutely crazy. Didn't even touched it. I thought DELL offer was accepted by PAR Board. Now what?

even 200 shares is good for USD1000!!!

Index green +50 points, and my portfolio is not good green. Yesterday the index was -10points, it shed more $$ out of my account than green +50!
*
DJ, S&P, Nasdaq now all red, not quite convinced (or happy) with +1.6% GDP
Wow PAR got more parring up to go huh? missed it too
C put a 1k q 3.55 look c look c brows.gif
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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Aug 27 2010, 10:14 PM)
DJ, S&P, Nasdaq now all red, not quite convinced (or happy) with +1.6% GDP
Wow PAR got more parring up to go huh? missed it too
C put a 1k q 3.55 look c look c  brows.gif
*
Actually, 1.6 is already better than the revised expected 1.2 low end of 2nd qtr GDP.
Market now is bouncing up/down of the volatility. The high frequency traders are battling it out. nod.gif


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post Aug 27 2010, 10:34 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 27 2010, 10:25 PM)
Actually, 1.6 is already better than the revised expected 1.2 low end of 2nd qtr GDP.
Market now is bouncing up/down of the volatility. The high frequency traders are battling it out.  nod.gif
*
Ya market probably volatile these few trading days
S&P need to close/stay above 1050 to hopefully rally but unsure sustainability hmm.gif
I want my C at 3.55 drool.gif hahaha, then market can do a bullish reversal wink.gif

This post has been edited by Charlie82: Aug 27 2010, 10:34 PM
TSzamans98
post Aug 27 2010, 10:36 PM

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I prepared some cash for C @ 3.50's. See it at 4.50$ in few months time.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 27 2010, 10:36 PM)
I prepared some cash for C @ 3.50's. See it at 4.50$ in few months time.
*
hei z let's wait till $5.00 b4 we hop off whistling.gif
oh shoot C running away now 3.71 doh.gif

This post has been edited by Charlie82: Aug 27 2010, 10:43 PM
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Check out INTC. It has a flash crash to 16.55!

Bernanke speech is good.. so we're going back up.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 27 2010, 11:07 PM
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stock seems rebounce..
may be US gomen is buying?
TSzamans98
post Aug 28 2010, 12:24 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 27 2010, 11:06 PM)
Check out INTC. It has a flash crash to 16.55!

Bernanke speech is good.. so we're going back up.
*
Yes, I was wondering too. Why? System error? DOW +123 but still haven't contra off yesterday's negative. We need 300 points before can say its a micro-bull. whistling.gif
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post Aug 28 2010, 05:21 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10150.65 +161.84 +1.65%
Nasdaq 2153.63 +34.94 +1.65%
S&P500 1064.59 +17.37 +1.66%

Well, I guess we got a micro bull here.. I look'ed at my 15 mins chart and downtrend broken for now with two tags at the bottom of the SP500 1039 floor. For Dow, that's 9925-9935 floor.

Let see how high we can go this time. I believe the bulls won't last long because lots of lots headwinds even for
technicals. The Hindenburg omen still here and worst of all - it is September again.

I'll look forward to sell my TNA at 37-38, maybe as early as Monday pop if we can there.
I think most traders will take some profits as soon as they can.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 28 2010, 05:21 AM
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post Aug 28 2010, 05:55 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 28 2010, 05:21 AM)

I'll look forward to sell my TNA at 37-38, maybe as early as Monday pop if we can there.
I think most traders will take some profits as soon as they can.
*
Aye, by the way of it, the micro-bull last as expected, 1 day late. Uncle Ben words is powderfull.. We should be seeing some more carry forward sentiment on Monday before slow sell and downwards on Thursday & Friday.

Look at LVS, never ending stop of BULL by itself.
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post Aug 28 2010, 06:20 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 28 2010, 05:55 AM)
Aye, by the way of it, the micro-bull last as expected, 1 day late. Uncle Ben words is powderfull..  We should be seeing some more carry forward sentiment on Monday before slow sell and downwards on Thursday & Friday.

Look at LVS, never ending stop of BULL by itself.
*
Yeah man.. Uncle Ben words carry a lot of weigh. More powerful than Obama. Nobody is listening to Obama anymore.

July 21st, Ben said "usually uncertainty", market dies.
Today, Ben said "Fed stands ready to act if needed to spur slowing growth". Then, bulls awake!

He's in control of this financial market. notworthy.gif







TSzamans98
post Aug 30 2010, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 28 2010, 06:20 AM)
Yeah man.. Uncle Ben words carry a lot of weigh. More powerful than Obama. Nobody is listening to Obama anymore.

July 21st, Ben said "usually uncertainty", market dies.
Today, Ben said  "Fed stands ready to act if needed to spur slowing growth". Then, bulls awake! 

He's in control of this financial market.  notworthy.gif
*
Nobody listen to Ohbama becoz Uncle Ben is Jew. Jew control US of A. The rest are just puppets.
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post Aug 30 2010, 08:40 PM

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Finally, a bit of good news from HPQ.

Source: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hewlett-p...0?siteid=yhoof2

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Hewlett-Packard Co. /quotes/comstock/13*!hpq/quotes/nls/hpq (HPQ 39.04, +1.04, +2.74%) said Monday it would buy back up to $10 billion of its own stock. Shares of the company rose 2.6% to $38.98 following the announcement. The Palo Alto, Calif. technology firm said it plans to repurchase shares "opportunistically." In the third quarter, HP repurchased approximately $2.6 billion worth of its shares. As of July 31, the company had approximately $4.9 billion of repurchase authorization remaining under an $8 billion repurchase authorization approved by the board in 2009. HP has approximately 2.3 billion shares of common stock outstanding
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post Aug 30 2010, 09:51 PM

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I'm long for HPQ, for at least 6 months. Looking forward for it hitting back $50-55

NYSE volume is fading.
danmooncake
post Aug 31 2010, 05:33 AM

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Closing update
Dow 10009.73 -140.92 -1.39%
Nasdaq 2119.97 -33.66 -1.56%
S&P500 1048.92 -15.67 -1.47%

The bears didn't leave.. tongue.gif

I have to bail out from my TNA @ 36 and jumped back into TZA @ 36.25.
I'll swap them again if market turns north again.

As for HPQ, it does them little good to announce shares buy back at this time. General market still on downtrend.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 31 2010, 05:45 AM
TSzamans98
post Aug 31 2010, 05:47 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 31 2010, 05:33 AM)
Closing update
Dow 10009.73 -140.92 -1.39%
Nasdaq 2119.97 -33.66 -1.56%
S&P500 1048.92 -15.67 -1.47%

The bears didn't leave..  tongue.gif 
indeed, they stayed on. It came earlier than I thought. The total P&L of 160 over points is lower than the 'LOSS' of 140 over points. How convenient. Totally not fair. Look at S and C. Performed poorly. Not to mention STEC.

Is the doomsday really coming soon? DOW played well and closed few pips over 10K
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post Aug 31 2010, 08:44 AM

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Ok.. now at 10k boundary again. We still have 4 days for the week.

Usually momo like to push up at this 10k points. See what will happen tonight. I am looking into 9.5k.
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I believe S&P 1010 (July lows) is on target here, the short term floor at 1040 could be taken out by tomorrow.
There's pretty quick gap down towards SP1010.

If SP1010 breaks down.. say to SP1000 and does not reverse back up,
then the Head and Shoulders myth will become reality, we'll could
see July 09 lows (pretty sharp drop here)..that would be Dow 8000. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 31 2010, 10:10 AM
epalbee3
post Aug 31 2010, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 31 2010, 10:09 AM)
I believe S&P 1010 (July lows) is on target here, the short term floor at 1040 could be taken out by tomorrow.
There's pretty quick gap down towards SP1010.

If SP1010 breaks down.. say to SP1000 and does not reverse back up,
then the Head and Shoulders myth will become reality, we'll could
see July 09 lows (pretty sharp drop here)..that would be Dow 8000.  sweat.gif
*
If Dow goes to 8k, it will be great for those who short.
I am buying bear for US.
However, I don't think it is such easy, as 8k needs a red in GDP.. if not, it will rebound somewhere...

Waking up to see the bear again.. smile.gif
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post Aug 31 2010, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 31 2010, 10:39 AM)
If Dow goes to 8k, it will be great for those who short.
I am buying bear for US.
However, I don't think it is such easy, as 8k needs a red in GDP.. if not, it will rebound somewhere...

Waking up to see the bear again.. smile.gif
*
You are correct. Right now, the GDP is positive (with US govt pumping it of course). Much lower on the 2nd Q versus 1st Q.
I expect the 3rd Q to be lower as well, maybe 1.0 to 1.5 percent. If US govt sees the GDP less than 1%, they will issue 2nd QE, which could trap bears if it happens. Gotta be careful here when shorting too. nod.gif


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post Aug 31 2010, 09:49 PM

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DOW/S&P slightly down opening, following Europe major indices closed slightly down hmmm
come come C coming to 3.5x drool.gif
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post Aug 31 2010, 10:02 PM

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3 major econ data for tonight:

a) Case-Shiller Home Prices: 4.23% versus 3.1% expected (Positive)
b) Chicago PMI: 56.7 versus 57 expected (ballpark same expectation)
c) Consumer Confidence: 53.5 (Aug) vs. 51 (July) (Positive)

So, there you go.. we may go green.

Out of TZA, back into TNA.. biggrin.gif Swing again tomorrow.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 31 2010, 10:13 PM
epalbee3
post Aug 31 2010, 10:09 PM

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unexpected good news..
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post Aug 31 2010, 10:18 PM

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Stocks rise on unexpected consumer strength !!!
A surprise jump in consumer confidence is giving stocks a lift. The Conference Board says its consumer confidence index for August jumped to 53.5. That's above the 50.5 economists had predicted and provides some hope to traders about the pace of recovery.

All US major indices green now tongue.gif , may hold above 10k & 1050 huh.gif ?? aisehman C bounced off 3.63 unsure.gif
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post Aug 31 2010, 10:18 PM

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FDIC says number of troubled banks in second quarter rises to 829 – highest since 1992.

DOW going south..


Added on August 31, 2010, 10:41 pmfinally DOW under red zone now..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Aug 31 2010, 10:41 PM
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post Aug 31 2010, 10:48 PM

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DOW back to green. Supports still hold at 10,000
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post Aug 31 2010, 11:31 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Aug 31 2010, 10:48 PM)
DOW back to green. Supports still hold at 10,000
*
Every time it dives below 10K, it quickly being bought out.. doh.gif

It was 60pts below, now 40+ pts above.. almost like a 100 pts gain already.

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post Aug 31 2010, 11:35 PM

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yupe..
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post Sep 1 2010, 01:02 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Aug 31 2010, 11:35 PM)
yupe..
*
whistling.gif umm.. why r u heppi? I thought u're BEARISH?
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post Sep 1 2010, 01:57 AM

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I'm out TNA.. volume is really pathetic. doh.gif
Staying sidelines here.

Gotta to watch for China PMI tomorrow..
This one is going to set the bulls/bear direction as well.

Last month was bearish.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-01/c...nomy-cools.html

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 1 2010, 02:03 AM
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post Sep 1 2010, 03:24 AM

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Red again. Dragged down by INTEL. Dunno what the BOD are thinking. Fresh after McAfee deal, now seeking Wireless business of Infineon For $1.4 Billion.

Now, shareholders dislike the idea and start throwing INTC down. From $20 now heading to $17, and it drag down DJIA with her.


Added on September 1, 2010, 3:26 amforget to add CSCO also dragging the DOW down.


Added on September 1, 2010, 4:16 amDow Jones 10,014.72 +4.99 (0.05%)
S&P 500 1,049.33 +0.41 (0.04%)
Nasdaq 2,114.03 -5.94 (-0.28%)

Scam closing??

This post has been edited by zamans98: Sep 1 2010, 04:16 AM
danmooncake
post Sep 1 2010, 04:26 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 1 2010, 03:24 AM)
Red again. Dragged down by INTEL. Dunno what the BOD are thinking. Fresh after McAfee deal, now seeking Wireless business of Infineon For $1.4 Billion.

Now, shareholders dislike the idea and start throwing INTC down. From $20 now heading to $17, and it drag down DJIA with her.


Added on September 1, 2010, 3:26 amforget to add CSCO also dragging the DOW down.


Added on September 1, 2010, 4:16 amDow Jones  10,014.72  +4.99  (0.05%)
S&P 500  1,049.33  +0.41  (0.04%)
Nasdaq 2,114.03  -5.94  (-0.28%)

Scam closing??
*
Yeah man.. there are few investors/traders at all.

If you watch the last hour action, those fast computers are in control.
They take it down, attract the bears.. then ramp it up, take money from bears. rclxub.gif

I'm not falling for it. I think I stay at the sidelines until Friday, may even stay off after
next week when volume returns. doh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 1 2010, 04:26 AM
epalbee3
post Sep 1 2010, 08:29 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 1 2010, 01:02 AM)
whistling.gif umm.. why r u heppi? I thought u're BEARISH?
*
i'm bearish.. but i think some momo is controlling at 10k points..

it is not nice to see < 10k for the US regulators..


Added on September 1, 2010, 8:32 am
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 1 2010, 04:26 AM)
Yeah man.. there are few investors/traders at all.

If you watch the last hour action, those fast computers are in control.
They take it down, attract the bears.. then ramp it up, take money from bears.  rclxub.gif

I'm not falling for it.  I think I stay at the sidelines until Friday, may even stay off after
next week when volume returns.  doh.gif
*
when DOW is at 10k points, we don't know how momo wants it to be..
Same chance for going both sides, but, as you see upsides are limited until US economy shows green indicator; downside are supported by some momo.

So, I guess it will sideline a while..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Sep 1 2010, 08:32 AM
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post Sep 1 2010, 09:53 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 1 2010, 08:29 AM)

when DOW is at 10k points, we don't know how momo wants it to be..
Same chance for going both sides, but, as you see upsides are limited until US economy shows green indicator; downside are supported by some momo.
There will be - and always be upsides of the economy. Not until end 2011 or early 2012. The housing + employment numbers says it all
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post Sep 1 2010, 08:48 PM

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Look at that... futures up 3 digits despite bad ADP employment report (-10K for August).
Watch out, I think the big boys may take this down by end of the day.

I think I'll look for 'shorting' opportunities here. brows.gif
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post Sep 1 2010, 10:19 PM

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ohmy.gif
This look like a bull run !
S&P opened 1049 and if stayed/closed above 1070 is gonna be a bullish engulfment candle ! Likewise with DOW
Momo sharks making it happening huh.gif
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post Sep 1 2010, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Sep 1 2010, 10:19 PM)
ohmy.gif
This look like a bull run !
S&P opened 1049 and if stayed/closed above 1070 is gonna be a bullish engulfment candle ! Likewise with DOW
Momo sharks making it happening  huh.gif
*
Damn big boys trying to kill bears..with quite a bit hedge below SP1066, they have to cover above it causing the spike above 1070. I may try to short at 1080 here to scalp. Looking an entry in TZA and SPXU.


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post Sep 1 2010, 11:56 PM

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i think the big boss is playing against ikan billis..


Added on September 2, 2010, 12:07 ami think most likely it will go up a few hundreds then come back testing the 10k again.. momo is playing like this..

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Sep 2 2010, 12:07 AM
TSzamans98
post Sep 2 2010, 12:51 AM

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AMAZING!!


Added on September 2, 2010, 12:51 amAMAZING! 230 points and yet unemployment data is not that good///

This post has been edited by zamans98: Sep 2 2010, 12:51 AM
danmooncake
post Sep 2 2010, 12:56 AM

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I'm shorting this snake.. we got to 1080, I don't think it will go higher tonight until we get stellar good news Thur/Fri.
In SPXU 32.50. Stop Loss $32 for one or two days swing trade only.

Wish me luck.. sweat.gif

Update: 2am
Lowering my stop for SPXU to 32.25. If SPX closes 1080 or above, then I better bail. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 2 2010, 02:02 AM
TSzamans98
post Sep 2 2010, 05:48 AM

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Dow Jones 10,269.47 +254.75 (2.54%)
S&P 500 1,080.29 +30.96 (2.95%)
Nasdaq 2,176.84 +62.81 (2.97%)

One of the best performance of S&P in many months.
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post Sep 2 2010, 06:00 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 2 2010, 05:48 AM)
Dow Jones  10,269.47  +254.75  (2.54%)
S&P 500    1,080.29    +30.96  (2.95%)
Nasdaq      2,176.84          +62.81  (2.97%)

One of the best performance of S&P in many months.
*
Crazy man.. absolutely crazy.. doh.gif
epalbee3
post Sep 2 2010, 08:11 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 2 2010, 06:00 AM)
Crazy man.. absolutely crazy..  doh.gif
*
I feel that tonight we will get a big dip.. look at the oil price..

The bull is not supported fundamentally.. thus momo's bullet can finish soon..


Added on September 2, 2010, 8:12 am
QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 2 2010, 05:48 AM)
Dow Jones  10,269.47  +254.75  (2.54%)
S&P 500    1,080.29    +30.96  (2.95%)
Nasdaq      2,176.84          +62.81  (2.97%)

One of the best performance of S&P in many months.
*
zaman, how come u also can stay this late?

This post has been edited by epalbee3: Sep 2 2010, 08:12 AM
danmooncake
post Sep 2 2010, 08:37 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 2 2010, 08:11 AM)
I feel that tonight we will get a big dip.. look at the oil price..

Added on September 2, 2010, 8:12 am

zaman, how come u also can stay this late?
*
Oil hasn't follow up yet because of the bearish inventory level, more than 3.4 million barrel of oil build up since last week.

But, Oil isn't tanking either - 73.50 to $74 is ok. Once Oil gets over $75, the bulls want to take it to $80 but Dow better be higher than 10700 by then.

Let see how initial claims come out later tonight.




epalbee3
post Sep 2 2010, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 2 2010, 08:37 AM)
Oil hasn't follow up yet because of the bearish inventory level, more than 3.4 million barrel of oil build up since last week.

But, Oil isn't tanking either - 73.50 to $74 is ok. Once Oil gets over $75, the bulls want to take it to $80 but Dow better be higher than 10700  by then.

Let see how initial claims come out later tonight.
*
With housing and auto dropping more than 20%, I guess the fundamental is not there. Thus it is purely cooked by the big boss.
Whether it will be higher than 10.7k or not depends on big boss and the ikan billis who swim along with them.
It is also hard to fall below 10k as the big momo will support it and ben might say something when it does happen..
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post Sep 2 2010, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 2 2010, 08:11 AM)
I feel that tonight we will get a big dip.. look at the oil price..

The bull is not supported fundamentally.. thus momo's bullet can finish soon..


Added on September 2, 2010, 8:12 am

zaman, how come u also can stay this late?
*
Fasting month. Sometimes stays awake up to 6am, sleep for 1 hour, to work at 8+ and back 4+. Hehehe.
C and S almost near to my entry price, target to sell partially before FRIDAY.
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post Sep 2 2010, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 2 2010, 11:25 AM)
Fasting month. Sometimes stays awake up to 6am, sleep for 1 hour, to work at 8+ and back 4+. Hehehe.
C and S almost near to my entry price, target to sell partially before FRIDAY.
*
How is your US stocks trading? Earn big bucks? I also start trade in US stocks. Which broker you are using? And how you wire the money over there?
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post Sep 2 2010, 09:22 PM

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Initial claims came in at 472k, slightly higher than consensus 470k but down from prior revised week of 478k.
Bulls will pause tonight before the big number tomorrow. biggrin.gif

But, look at PAR. Got another 5% boost with $33 bid from HPQ!
Damn HPQ! mad.gif I'll sell this piece of crap soon.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 2 2010, 09:32 PM
epalbee3
post Sep 2 2010, 09:41 PM

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As for me.. it should be dip.. some kind of corrections for yesternight rally..
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post Sep 2 2010, 10:02 PM

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BULL on the way.........
Charlie82
post Sep 2 2010, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 2 2010, 10:02 PM)
BULL on the way.........
*
Yup and both DOW/S&P need to stay above MA50 and maybe gyrate to/fro MA100 brows.gif
C already 3.86 bugger didn't even reach 3.61 mad.gif
HPQ not giving up fight with DELL on PAR rclxub.gif
maybe they should just buy EMC brows.gif
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post Sep 2 2010, 10:37 PM

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QUOTE(Charlie82 @ Sep 2 2010, 10:12 PM)
Yup and both DOW/S&P need to stay above MA50 and maybe gyrate to/fro MA100  brows.gif
C already 3.86 bugger didn't even reach 3.61  mad.gif
HPQ not giving up fight with DELL on PAR  rclxub.gif
maybe they should just buy EMC  brows.gif
*
EMC worth 20 times more than lousy PAR, HPQ can't afford.

HPQ just burning away last quarter earnings trying to buy this (PAR) piece of crap company .

Stupid HPQ board, forget PAR-lah!
Go hire a CEO to turn this company around, your shareholders will be much happier!

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 2 2010, 10:37 PM
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post Sep 2 2010, 10:50 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 2 2010, 10:37 PM)
EMC worth 20 times more than lousy PAR, HPQ can't afford.

HPQ just burning away last quarter earnings trying to buy this (PAR) piece of crap company .

Stupid HPQ board, forget PAR-lah!
Go hire a CEO to turn this company around, your shareholders will be much happier!
*
aye, agreed. After the scandal, HPQ on downtrend. Best way forward is to rebuild the company. Let's DELL suffer for long term. There's other area to take care rather than spending billions in stupid company.

Disclaimer : I hold 250shares of HPQ at 41.75
Charlie82
post Sep 2 2010, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 2 2010, 10:37 PM)
EMC worth 20 times more than lousy PAR, HPQ can't afford.

HPQ just burning away last quarter earnings trying to buy this (PAR) piece of crap company .

Stupid HPQ board, forget PAR-lah!
Go hire a CEO to turn this company around, your shareholders will be much happier!
*
Exactly but HPQ really suffers from complete solution to compete
C running away 3.92 fuyoh go go go I wait for you at 5.00 drool.gif brows.gif
Look like gonna be a mixed day at the market place today hmm.gif
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post Sep 2 2010, 11:49 PM

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I'm new to US stock trading, may i know how can i trade US stock and which banks or securities provide US stock market platform?
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QUOTE(lzk @ Sep 2 2010, 11:49 PM)
I'm new to US stock trading, may i know how can i trade US stock and which banks or securities provide US stock market platform?
*
lzk - most of us here use the US brokers directly instead of going through local broker to avoid the arm and leg fees.

Check out the following popular ones:
TD Ameritrade
MB Trading
FirstTrade
Scott Trade
Just2Trade
Interactive Brokers
Option Express

Always look for SIPC insured brokers.

Before you can start trading, the process to open an account with the proper documentation verification, money transferred, etc..may take about 1-2 weeks.

Some of those brokers have virtual trading tools that you can test out by just opening an account so that you can have test out their tools ahead of time.

So, feel free just check 'em out and let us know what your thoughts on them. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 3 2010, 12:30 AM
TSzamans98
post Sep 3 2010, 12:32 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Sep 2 2010, 11:45 AM)
How is your US stocks trading? Earn big bucks? I also start trade in US stocks. Which broker you are using? And how you wire the money over there?
*
QUOTE(lzk @ Sep 2 2010, 11:49 PM)
I'm new to US stock trading, may i know how can i trade US stock and which banks or securities provide US stock market platform?
*
Use Direct trading, you control

Broker : Just2trade.com
Fee : USD2.50 (Two dollars and cts fifty only0

If your account below USD5,000 - u just get web-based trade platform, which is not too bad. Rate 6/10


Added on September 3, 2010, 12:44 amFor those who want to get a reasonable broker - here are screenshot of Just2trade.com

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image


Added on September 3, 2010, 6:06 amwoot, 4am onwards - the bull re-fuel and re-charged.


Dow Jones 10,320.10 +50.63 (0.49%)
S&P 500 1,090.10 +9.81 (0.91%)
Nasdaq 2,200.01 +23.17 (1.06%)

This post has been edited by zamans98: Sep 3 2010, 06:06 AM
danmooncake
post Sep 3 2010, 06:22 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 3 2010, 12:32 AM)

Added on September 3, 2010, 6:06 amwoot, 4am onwards - the bull re-fuel and re-charged.
Dow Jones  10,320.10   +50.63  (0.49%)
S&P 500     1,090.10          +9.81  (0.91%)
Nasdaq       2,200.01          +23.17  (1.06%)
*
Wow! The bulls still moving ahead, though slower pace now than yesterday.

I'm outta my SPXU since yesterday.. total failure for bears to hold the 1080 line. shakehead.gif
Next bear assault will likely be 1100-1105 if employment situation is within expectation tomorrow.

Looking at my long portfolio - AAPL and TCK, all looking pretty again. thumbup.gif
Oh HPQ.. doh.gif I guess I'll give it a few more days. Hopefully, it will get back to the 40s.
Dell has completely given up the fight with them for owning PAR.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 3 2010, 06:37 AM
epalbee3
post Sep 3 2010, 08:06 AM

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I think it is momo's way to trap bear..

the only thing that u can do is to wait..
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post Sep 3 2010, 08:34 AM

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The bull stayed the day ahead of non-farm data smile.gif
C ended 3.88 whao nice number "new fatt fatt" hahaha
BKC wow closed +25% being offer $24.00 by little know private equity firm from Brazil notworthy.gif
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post Sep 3 2010, 08:17 PM

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3 mega news today. Beware and get ready to rumble.

Looking forward for a good entry for ING.
danmooncake
post Sep 3 2010, 08:23 PM

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Yes,... ready for this big move tonight. thumbup.gif

I'm hedged now on the downside..got some TZA premarket.
Ready to cover if jobs report is good.. 2 more mins to go. sweat.gif

Update: 8:30pm
Damn.. numbers are better than expected.. gotta covered! sweat.gif

ok.. clean up my mess a bit. uh uh..here's what's important:
Non-farm: -54k versus -90k (expected) good for bulls here
Private payrolls: 67k versus 40k (expected) also good for bulls here.

Close out my short positions for now. We going to see 3 digits for bulls again.
Still positive here with my long AAPL and TCK calls. Going to sell some to
take profits off the table during market for the long weekend. laugh.gif

Whoa.. HPQ came back above $40 now.. nice! rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 3 2010, 08:58 PM
TSzamans98
post Sep 3 2010, 09:27 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 3 2010, 08:23 PM)
Yes,... ready for this big move tonight.    thumbup.gif

Whoa.. HPQ came back above $40 now.. nice!  rclxms.gif
*
Not yet 3 digits, we still have ISM data at 10pm. If still greenish, then confirmed 3 digits.

I sold partially S yesterday, thinking of bad data today. S from low 3.80's 3 days back to now 4.30's. When is Citi's turn eh?
danmooncake
post Sep 3 2010, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 3 2010, 09:27 PM)
Not yet 3 digits, we still have ISM data at 10pm. If still greenish, then confirmed 3 digits.

I sold partially S yesterday, thinking of bad data today. S from low 3.80's 3 days back to now 4.30's. When is Citi's turn eh?
*
Well, looks like C got a 2% boost. Not bad. Closer to $4 now. Once it crosses above, that's will be a new box range.


This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 3 2010, 09:40 PM
TSzamans98
post Sep 3 2010, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 3 2010, 09:37 PM)
Well, looks like C got a 2% boost. Not bad. Closer to $4 now. Once it crosses above, that's will be a new box range.
*
Yup, let her break $4 and we can see 4.25$ from there onwards. I'm now putting up my Trailing Stop on C and S.
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post Sep 3 2010, 09:41 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 3 2010, 09:39 PM)
Yup, let her break $4 and we can see 4.25$ from there onwards. I'm now putting up my Trailing Stop on C and S.
*
Psst.. are you still watching LVS?

This thing won't die when the market pulls back, it rockets up when we rally. Another new high already. shocking.gif
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post Sep 3 2010, 09:43 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 3 2010, 09:41 PM)
Psst.. are you still watching LVS?

This thing won't die when the market pulls back, it rockets up when we rally. Another new high already.  shocking.gif
*
Watching yes, entering trade? No, with the same cash, I will rather trade C or S. LVS is not my type, a bit risky for me.
lzk
post Sep 3 2010, 09:45 PM

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Thank you so much danmooncake and zamans for your great information. Btw, @zamans98, do you know options? It seems like quite complicated..is it? Mind to share some info?
danmooncake
post Sep 3 2010, 09:50 PM

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QUOTE(lzk @ Sep 3 2010, 09:45 PM)
Thank you so much danmooncake and zamans for your great information. Btw, @zamans98, do you know options? It seems like quite complicated..is it? Mind to share some info?
*
I play options when the market trade sideways (hedging long and short via calls/puts spread) - it is very complicated. Do not venture into it unless you know what you're doing and know the direction and timing. Time is always against you no matter.
Cheaper way to play stocks but more volatile than 3x ETF. Very dangerous. nod.gif




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post Sep 3 2010, 10:20 PM

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QUOTE(lzk @ Sep 3 2010, 09:45 PM)
Thank you so much danmooncake and zamans for your great information. Btw, @zamans98, do you know options? It seems like quite complicated..is it? Mind to share some info?
*
No - sorry, I have almost zero OPTION experience. Can't help u there.


Added on September 3, 2010, 10:28 pmIn observance of Labor Day, US financial markets will be closed on Monday, September 6, 2010.

This post has been edited by zamans98: Sep 3 2010, 10:28 PM
epalbee3
post Sep 3 2010, 11:05 PM

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seems like the bears are killed...hibernating..
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post Sep 3 2010, 11:23 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 3 2010, 09:27 PM)
Not yet 3 digits, we still have ISM data at 10pm. If still greenish, then confirmed 3 digits.

I sold partially S yesterday, thinking of bad data today. S from low 3.80's 3 days back to now 4.30's. When is Citi's turn eh?
*
as expected, it is not 3 digits game today. Monday is holiday in US . So mostly people are selling into strength.

I liquidated all S with tiny profit. Will re-enter when it breached 4.30 and below. Sold half C with tiny profit. Will pickup at below 3.80.
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post Sep 4 2010, 01:05 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 3 2010, 11:23 PM)
as expected, it is not 3 digits game today. Monday is holiday in US . So mostly people are selling into strength.

I liquidated all S with tiny profit. Will re-enter when it breached 4.30 and below. Sold half C with tiny profit. Will pickup at below 3.80.
*
Same here..

Just sold 2/3 of my TCK long position, 13% profit.
Let go of my AAPL 250 calls, 55% profit but lost 10% on silly bear tricks on hedging.
Overall still up this week with cash in pocket, I'm happy.

I got 3 days weekend off, same like US labor day.
It is dead quiet tonight, hardly any calls coming in. laugh.gif



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post Sep 4 2010, 01:59 AM

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LOOK - MOMO is trapping the small investors/traders. Pushing and breaks 10,400 DJIA and 1100 S&P.


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post Sep 4 2010, 04:10 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 4 2010, 01:59 AM)
LOOK - MOMO is trapping the small investors/traders. Pushing and breaks 10,400 DJIA and 1100 S&P.
*
Unbelievable.. just came back from my break, and bulls are still here!!
The bears are getting slaughtered tonight. sweat.gif

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post Sep 4 2010, 05:39 AM

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Closing update.

Dow Jones 10,447.93 +127.83 (1.24%)
S&P 500 1,104.51 +14.41 (1.32%)
Nasdaq 2,233.75 +33.74 (1.53%)

Private employers hired more workers over the past three months than first thought, a glimmer of hope for the weak economy ahead of the Labor Day weekend. But the unemployment rate rose because not enough jobs were created to absorb the growing number of people looking for work.

While the report hardly suggests the economy is out of danger, it's a reassuring sign after weeks of troubling data and comes after some encouraging economic figures in the past week.
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 4 2010, 05:39 AM)
Closing update.

Dow Jones   10,447.93  +127.83  (1.24%)
S&P 500      1,104.51          +14.41  (1.32%)
Nasdaq        2,233.75   +33.74  (1.53%)

Private employers hired more workers over the past three months than first thought, a glimmer of hope for the weak economy ahead of the Labor Day weekend. But the unemployment rate rose because not enough jobs were created to absorb the growing number of people looking for work.

While the report hardly suggests the economy is out of danger, it's a reassuring sign after weeks of troubling data and comes after some encouraging economic figures in the past week.
*
Z: Thanks for the update man!

The fact remains that UE hasn't gone down yet but market are so hungry with any piece of good news,
they just rallied! whistling.gif

Closing down office, getting ready to head home for the holidays!
Have a great weekend! laugh.gif


Added on September 7, 2010, 8:37 pmDid everyone has a great weekend? I did..

Now.. let see.. Dow futures red, Euro in scare zone again. Time for a little pullback here and profit taking. biggrin.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 7 2010, 08:37 PM
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post Sep 7 2010, 09:28 PM

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Pre-market looking weak. 3 minutes to opening.
epalbee3
post Sep 7 2010, 09:58 PM

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in my opinion, it is not profit taking, it is going back to 10k line and make another decision.. holidays.. quite good if really enjoy..
TSzamans98
post Sep 8 2010, 12:53 AM

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Lol, check out the news. US Stocks falls on EUROZONE's economic condition. Whattttt?
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post Sep 8 2010, 01:19 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 8 2010, 12:53 AM)
Lol, check out the news. US Stocks falls on EUROZONE's economic condition. Whattttt?
*
Crazy huh? Yet another worry about Eurozone again?
But we all know the media just want to cook this up as a reason for sell off.

I'm just thinking .. time to move money off the table because we got 4 days of up.. and running into resistance area here.
A decent pull back would be nice - give some money back to the bears.. laugh.gif

I do think bulls want to take this higher if bears can't muster a 3 digits pull back by tonight. nod.gif

Closing update
Dow 10340.69 -107.24 -1.03%
Nasdaq 2208.89 -24.86 -1.11%
S&P500 1091.84 -12.67 -1.15%

Correction - bears able to get -3 digits on Dow or more than 1%. This does not look good for bulls.
I'm shorting.. whistling.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 8 2010, 05:12 AM
epalbee3
post Sep 8 2010, 08:18 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 8 2010, 01:19 AM)
Crazy huh? Yet another worry about Eurozone again?
But we all know the media just want to cook this up as a reason for sell off.

I'm just thinking .. time to move money off the table because we got 4 days of up.. and running into resistance area here.
A decent pull back would be nice - give some money back to the bears.. laugh.gif

I do think bulls want to take this higher if bears can't muster a 3 digits pull back by tonight.    nod.gif

Closing update
Dow 10340.69 -107.24 -1.03%
Nasdaq 2208.89 -24.86 -1.11%
S&P500 1091.84 -12.67 -1.15%

Correction - bears able to get -3 digits on Dow or more than 1%.  This does not look good for bulls.
I'm shorting..  whistling.gif
*
zaman, it is because momo wants it to down.. no other reason..

just buy at the middle and wait to reap enough lar..

dmc.. dow seems to make a way back to 10k. the last few days are just nonsense...smile.gif
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post Sep 8 2010, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 8 2010, 08:18 AM)
zaman, it is because momo wants it to down.. no other reason..

just buy at the middle and wait to reap enough lar..

dmc.. dow seems to make a way back to 10k. the last few days are just nonsense...smile.gif
*
Bulls want to make the stand at SPX 1090-1094 or Dow 10330-10350.

Let see if they can push it up. I'll be holding some short position until market breaks above 1107, which I doubt can happen this short trading week without any "better than expected" econ data or news.


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post Sep 8 2010, 10:08 PM

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DMC got new avatar... haha. Goddess

Eying Technologies stocks - MU and INTC
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post Sep 8 2010, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 8 2010, 10:08 PM)
DMC got new avatar... haha. Goddess

Eying Technologies stocks - MU and INTC
*
Heh-heh. Tired of the old one. Besides Raya and Mooncake festivals are here.
Got to be feel a bit of festivities. tongue.gif

But, I'm a bit bearish now. HPQ now suing ex-CEO. This one just continues to hurt them. I'll be selling HPQ on the next run up. Almost got out last Friday but missed it. sad.gif



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post Sep 9 2010, 12:14 AM

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"Stocks Advance as Debt Concern Eases; Treasuries Decline "

how do they make two opposite statements within two days?
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post Sep 9 2010, 12:36 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 9 2010, 12:14 AM)
"Stocks Advance as Debt Concern Eases; Treasuries Decline "

how do they make two opposite statements within two days?
*
That's why I hardly follow the news anymore. They don't make sense especially no data and low volume this week.
Just follow the technicals. We're overbought here. We are going to have a wave down here soon if bulls can't break above that SP 1105-1107.

Both Dow and SP500 still can't break Friday highs yet. nod.gif
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post Sep 9 2010, 05:11 AM

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Dow Jones 10,387.01 +46.32 (0.45%)
S&P 500 1,098.87 +7.03 (0.64%)
Nasdaq 2,228.87 +19.98 (0.90%)


Stocks closed higher, led by the banks, but off the session highs. Investors continued to question the health of the U.S. economy and recovery efforts. Equities sold off a bit after the text of President Obama's speech on business tax breaks was made available. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book survey of 12 regional banks showed a deceleration in economic growth across the country. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended up 46.32 points, or 0.45%, to close at 10,387. The S&P 500 gained 7.03 points, or 0.64%, to close at 1098, and the Nasdaq was up 19.98 points, or 0.90%, to finish at 2228.


Look at LVS. What is stopping her?

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post Sep 9 2010, 06:06 AM

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Still holding some shorts here.. I think market going to puke soon.
The 'rally up' volume is extremely low. brows.gif

As for LVS - Higher and higher.. just like NLFX.
Gotta buy some when it pullbacks to 29 or lower to scalp.


Added on September 9, 2010, 8:33 pmI'm outta shorts premarket.
Better stay in cash to try again later.

Jobless claims drop (down 27k to 451k) and trade deficit down.
Bulls have more ammo to charge up later. rclxm9.gif






This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 9 2010, 08:33 PM
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post Sep 9 2010, 09:17 PM

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WOW, pre-market looking very beautiful.

LVS marching on. MGM follows, from low $9 to today $10.53.


jasontoh
post Sep 9 2010, 10:29 PM

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JNJ rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif
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post Sep 10 2010, 01:40 AM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Sep 9 2010, 10:29 PM)
JNJ  rclxm9.gif  rclxm9.gif  rclxm9.gif
*
err, what is there to shout? There are better performer out there. This ain't KLSE.

Better is Adobe

32.96 +3.65 (12.45%)
NRGY
MW


Added on September 10, 2010, 1:49 am
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 9 2010, 06:06 AM)
Still holding some shorts here.. I think market going to puke soon. 
The 'rally up' volume is extremely low. brows.gif
DMC - are u still gunning for FUQI? Now is dirt cheap, below USD5!
under SEC investigation. Will only look into it when it reaches USD1.00

This post has been edited by zamans98: Sep 10 2010, 01:49 AM
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post Sep 10 2010, 01:57 AM

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Sell off coming... biggrin.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10415.24 +28.23 +0.27%
Nasdaq 2236.20 +7.33 +0.33%
S&P500 1104.21 +5.34 +0.49%

Market rallied off earlier after better than expected initial jobless claims and trade gap eases off but gave back the gains.
I don't think it can stay at this level any longer and it is pretty toppy at the moment.
I think all it takes a just a bit of bad news, and this market will sell off with -3 digits again.

Therefore, I've made a small entry for via bear shares SPXU @ 30 and TZA 31.80 at the moment.



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 10 2010, 04:18 AM
epalbee3
post Sep 10 2010, 08:09 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 10 2010, 01:57 AM)
Sell off coming...  biggrin.gif

Closing update:
Dow 10415.24 +28.23 +0.27%
Nasdaq 2236.20 +7.33 +0.33%
S&P500 1104.21 +5.34 +0.49%

Market rallied off earlier after better than expected initial jobless claims and trade gap eases off but gave back the gains.
I don't think it can stay at this level any longer and it is pretty toppy at the moment.
I think all it takes a just a bit of bad news, and this market will sell off with -3 digits again.

Therefore, I've made a small entry for via bear shares SPXU @ 30 and TZA 31.80 at the moment.
*
dmc, how do u see the overbought signal? RSI or volume?
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post Sep 10 2010, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Sep 10 2010, 01:40 AM)
err, what is there to shout? There are better performer out there. This ain't KLSE.

Better is Adobe

32.96 +3.65 (12.45%)
NRGY
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Added on September 10, 2010, 1:49 am
DMC - are u still gunning for FUQI? Now is dirt cheap, below USD5!
under SEC investigation. Will only look into it when it reaches USD1.00
*
I'm keeping long term. So going up is like another giant footstep.
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post Sep 10 2010, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Sep 10 2010, 08:09 AM)
dmc, how do u see the overbought signal? RSI or volume?
*
Yes, both RSI and Full Stochastic Oscillator. They're crossing over now, kissing, looks like it is moving down.
Maybe one day I am early here.. but let see what happens tonight. I got some tight stops in place.

As for FUQI, not touching at the moment. I may look at some call options for cheaper risk play but if NASDAQ delists it in two weeks, those calls will be worthless.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 10 2010, 10:59 AM
TSzamans98
post Sep 10 2010, 03:04 PM

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DMC - about right. But volume is fading, not only NYSE but all over the world. This is a trend or just every1 are expecting doomsday?

which one is which now?
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post Sep 11 2010, 04:25 AM

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Closing update:
Dow 10462.77 +47.53 +0.46%
Nasdaq 2242.48 +6.28 +0.28%
S&P500 1109.55 +5.37 +0.49%

Another bull day but close with a low volume week.

Anyway, I'm scaling in my short positions now. Trimming the excess at the top, and selling into every bit of the uptick.
Sold off all my AAPL calls and 3/4 of TCK for moderate profits.

But, still holding HPQ. I must admit made a bad call on this one. No excuse. shakehead.gif

Have a great Hari Raya Aidilfitri holidays and enjoy your weekend!

Hopefully, volume returns next week. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 11 2010, 04:25 AM
epalbee3
post Sep 11 2010, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 11 2010, 04:25 AM)
Closing update:
Dow 10462.77 +47.53 +0.46%
Nasdaq 2242.48 +6.28 +0.28%
S&P500 1109.55 +5.37 +0.49%

Another bull day but close with a low volume week. 

Anyway, I'm scaling in my short positions now. Trimming the excess at the top, and selling into every bit of the uptick.
Sold off all my AAPL calls and 3/4 of TCK for moderate profits.

But, still holding HPQ.  I must admit made a bad call on this one. No excuse.    shakehead.gif

Have a great Hari Raya Aidilfitri holidays and enjoy your weekend!

Hopefully, volume returns next week.  laugh.gif
*
The technical support is seen as 10k, but seeing the low volume for these upsides, I guess next week may be a dip.

Something is unusual, the bear is killed but bull has no power to up. May be momo is waiting to let go..

enjoy the dip next week..
danmooncake
post Sep 13 2010, 09:06 PM

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No dip yet.. China boosting stocks.

Damn HPQ, another crazy buying spree. Just throw away another 1.5billion instead of giving back to shareholders. doh.gif

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/14/technolo...er=yahoofinance

All banks most likely going to rally today.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100913-703359.html

Outta shorts tonight.. mad.gif Going to try again probably at 1125-1129 if bulls are going to us there.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 13 2010, 09:17 PM

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