Singapore gaming market still at infant stage, as shared by Chairman Tan
Sri Lim Kok Thay who made his first appearance at the results conference
call. He expects RWS to continue to lead given its superior product and
strong management. Potential upside could come from junkets (first licence may be issued in early-2011), and outreach to new markets. Operations continue to ramp up nicely: 470 gaming tables have been opened to date (2Q10: 380; full capacity: 560) and should exceed 500 by end-2010, ahead of 450 guided earlier. Universal Studios should also see its visitor cap lifted to 18k in 2011 from 8k currently with the reopening of Battlestar Galactica and launch of Madagascar ride in 1H11 along with world’s first Transformers ride in 2H11.
BUY, TP raised to S$2.70. We raise our 2010-12F earnings by 8-27% to factor in faster ramp-up and higher EBITDA margins (44-46%). We now estimate Singapore 2011F gaming revenue at US$5b (US$4.6b previously) - achievable as average daily net win growth will only need to grow 20% from current levels. RWS: MBS market share split is expected to be c. 52:48. Maintain BUY on GENS, TP increased to S$2.70 based on sum-of-parts (valuing RWS at 16.5x 2011-12F EV/EBITDA).
Singapore Stocks
Nov 12 2010, 12:23 PM
Quote
0.0310sec
0.97
6 queries
GZIP Disabled